English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For January 21/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2023/english.january21.23.htm
News Bulletin Achieves
Since 2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006
Click On The Below Link To Join
Eliasbejjaninews whatsapp group so you get the LCCC Daily A/E Bulletins every
day
https://chat.whatsapp.com/FPF0N7lE5S484LNaSm0MjW
اضغط على الرابط في أعلى للإنضمام
لكروب Eliasbejjaninews
whatsapp group وذلك لإستلام
نشراتي العربية والإنكليزية اليومية بانتظام
Bible Quotations For today
Then Jesus summoned his twelve disciples and gave them authority
over unclean spirits, to cast them out, and to cure every disease and every
sickness
Matthew 10/01-07/:”Then Jesus summoned his twelve disciples and gave them
authority over unclean spirits, to cast them out, and to cure every disease and
every sickness. These are the names of the twelve apostles: first, Simon, also
known as Peter, and his brother Andrew; James son of Zebedee, and his brother
John; Philip and Bartholomew; Thomas and Matthew the tax-collector; James son of
Alphaeus, and Thaddaeus; Simon the Cananaean, and Judas Iscariot, the one who
betrayed him. These twelve Jesus sent out with the following instructions: ‘Go
nowhere among the Gentiles, and enter no town of the Samaritans, but go rather
to the lost sheep of the house of Israel. As you go, proclaim the good news,
“The kingdom of heaven has come near.”
Question: “Did God create evil?”
GotQuestions.org?/January 20/2023
Answer: At first it might seem that if God created all things, then evil must
have been created by God. However, evil is not a “thing” like a rock or
electricity. You cannot have a jar of evil. Evil has no existence of its own; it
is really the absence of good. For example, holes are real but they only exist
in something else. We call the absence of dirt a hole, but it cannot be
separated from the dirt. So when God created, it is true that all He created was
good. One of the good things God made was creatures who had the freedom to
choose good. In order to have a real choice, God had to allow there to be
something besides good to choose. So, God allowed these free angels and humans
to choose good or reject good (evil). When a bad relationship exists between two
good things we call that evil, but it does not become a “thing” that required
God to create it.
Perhaps a further illustration will help. If a person is asked, “Does cold
exist?” the answer would likely be “yes.” However, this is incorrect. Cold does
not exist. Cold is the absence of heat. Similarly, darkness does not exist; it
is the absence of light. Evil is the absence of good, or better, evil is the
absence of God. God did not have to create evil, but rather only allow for the
absence of good. God did not create evil, but He does allow evil. If God had not
allowed for the possibility of evil, both mankind and angels would be serving
God out of obligation, not choice. He did not want “robots” that simply did what
He wanted them to do because of their “programming.” God allowed for the
possibility of evil so that we could genuinely have a free will and choose
whether or not we wanted to serve Him. As finite human beings, we can never
fully understand an infinite God (Romans 11:33-34). Sometimes we think we
understand why God is doing something, only to find out later that it was for a
different purpose than we originally thought. God looks at things from a holy,
eternal perspective. We look at things from a sinful, earthly, and temporal
perspective. Why did God put man on earth knowing that Adam and Eve would sin
and therefore bring evil, death, and suffering on all mankind? Why didn’t He
just create us all and leave us in heaven where we would be perfect and without
suffering? These questions cannot be adequately answered this side of eternity.
What we can know is whatever God does is holy and perfect and ultimately will
glorify Him. God allowed for the possibility of evil in order to give us a true
choice in regards to whether we worship Him. God did not create evil, but He
allowed it. If He had not allowed evil, we would be worshiping Him out of
obligation, not by a choice of our own will.
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on January 20-21/2023
Lebanon loses UN voting rights over dues
Lebanese MPs Hold Sit-In Inside Parliament
Parliament sit-in underway as more MPs support the protest
Reformist MPs begin sit-in at Lebanese parliament in protest against political
deadlock
Lebanon Says It Will Pay UN Dues after Losing Voting Rights
European Prosecutors Hear Lebanese Bankers in Central Bank Commission Probe
Beirut Port Investigator Refuses to Apprise File to French Judicial Delegation
Lebanese bankers and officials questioned by European delegation in financial
probe
Lebanon Central Bank Sets New Rate for Withdrawals from Dollar Deposits
Bankers make 'confessions' to European investigators as 'wildcard witness'
emerges
Hezbollah delegation holds second meeting with Jumblat
Japan supports Lebanese Hospital Geitaoui University Medical Center with medical
equipment
American Mideast Coalition for Democracy: Open Letter to UNSG Re: UN Rep.
Publicly Thanking Hezbollah Official for “Tour d’Horizon” in Lebanon
This World Is Gone Mad’: UN Envoy Draws Fire Over Tweet Thanking Hezbollah
Terrorist for a Briefing
Anger In Lebanon At UN Special Coordinator Who Met With Hizbullah Official And
Thanked Him
Ibrahim Murad, President Of Lebanon's Syriac Union Party: If Hizbullah Wants To
Turn Us Into Dhimmis, We Must Fight It Militarily; Traitors And Collaborators
Should Be Hung From Electric Poles; Political Methods Will Get Us Nowhere;
Revolution Requires Blood
Crimes Without Punishment… In Lebanon’s Autumn/Hanna Saleh/Asharq Al-Awsat/January,
20/2023
EU ambassador to Lebanon says it's 'high time' to address challenges
What happened to the Switzerland of the Middle East?
Western and Arab officials to meet on Lebanon in early February
Titles For The
Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on January 20-21/2023
US Says Iran is the World's Leading Sponsor of Terrorism
Dublin Says ‘Doing All It Can’ to Free French-Irish Citizen Held in Iran
Stringent US Moves against Money Flows from Iraq to Iran
Russia's Putin holds second phone call in just over a week with Iranian
president
Top US general says Ukraine war has become an 'absolute catastrophe' for Russia,
estimating it's suffered 'significantly well over' 100,000 casualties
Ukraine war: 'This is such a stupid tank': Commander's plea for Western upgrades
Russia's relationship with U.S. at its 'lowest historical point,' Kremlin says
Israel Asks Pope Francis, Red Cross to Help Release Four Citizens in Gaza
World Court Says It Has Received UN Request for Opinion on Israel Occupation
Saudi rules out Israel normalization without two-state solution
Defense leaders meet amid dissent over tanks for Ukraine
Titles For The
Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on January 20-21/2023
Turkey: Putin's Open Door for Harming Western Interests/Burak Bekdil/Gatestone
Institute/January 20/2023
Ukraine: Waiting for the Stinger Moment/Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/January,
20/2023
Iran's Revolutionary Guards: from military operations to business
empire/Reuters/January 20/2023
Iran’s aerial threat on the rise as a result of Russia’s use of its suicide
drones in Ukraine war/Luke Coffey/Arab News/January 21, 2023
Afghanistan: Changing the Taliban’s mentality toward women will not be easy/Maha
Akeel/Arab News/January 21, 2023
January 20-21/2023
Lebanon loses UN voting rights
over dues
Associated Press/January 20/2023
Lebanon, Venezuela and South Sudan are in arrears on paying dues to the United
Nations' operating budget and are among six nations that have lost their voting
rights in the 193-member General Assembly, the U.N. chief said in a letter
circulated Thursday. According to the secretary-general's letter, the minimum
payments needed to restore voting rights are $1,835,303 for Lebanon, $76,244,991
for Venezuela, $619,103 for Equatorial Guinea, $196,130 for South Sudan, $61,686
for Gabon, and $20,580 for Dominica. Also losing voting rights are Dominica,
Equatorial Guinea and Gabon, Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said. Gabon is
serving a two-year term on the Security Council though its voting rights there
are not affected. The U.N. Charter states that members whose arrears equal or
exceed the amount of their contributions for the preceding two full years lose
their voting rights. But it also gives the General Assembly the authority to
decide "that the failure to pay is due to conditions beyond the control of the
member," and in that case a country can continue to vote. The General Assembly
decided that three African countries on the list of nations in arrears --
Comoros, Sao Tome and Principe and Somalia -- would be able to keep their voting
rights. It granted the three countries the same exemption last year.
Lebanese MPs Hold Sit-In Inside Parliament
Beirut - Caroline Akoum/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 20 January, 2023
After Lebanon’s parliament failed to elect a new president for the 11th time on
Thursday, several deputies decided to stage a sit-in, with lawmakers Melhem
Khalaf and Najat Saliba leading the protest. Later, lawmakers Firas Hamdan and
Cynthia Zarazir joined the sit-in at parliament. The move was supported by a
number of opposition deputies, including the Lebanese Kataeb party, whose head,
MP Sami Gemayel, said: “We are studying the move and we may join it at any
time.”Contacts began with other deputies and blocs with the aim of expanding the
circle of participation. “My constitutional responsibility, and in compliance
with what the articles of the constitution impose on me, I will remain inside
the parliament hall with deputy Najat Saliba, and we will not leave it until the
session is kept open for successive sessions to elect a president and save
democracy,” said Khalaf in his address to parliamentarians. This is in protest
to the failure to elect a president for the 11th time in almost 3 months.
Lebanon has been without a president since Michel Aoun’s tenure ended on
October, 30, 2022. In a press conference from inside the parliament, Khalaf said
that the parliament should be holding nonstop sessions until the president is
elected. Khalaf and Saliba decided to stay in parliament hall in the dark with
the electricity turned off in the afternoon, while a few deputies were keen to
stay with them to support them and secure what they needed. Among the deputies
who stayed behind to support Khalaf and Saliba was MP Wadah al-Sadiq. “There is
great support for the decision to sit-in in the parliament, and what we demand
is nothing but the implementation of the constitution, which stipulates keeping
the election sessions open,” al-Sadiq told Asharq Al-Awsat. “The tense political
situation in Lebanon needs a different initiative, and what we are working on
today is to communicate with the blocs to secure the broadest participation,” he
added.
Parliament sit-in underway as more MPs support
the protest
Agence France Presse/January 20/2023
A sit-in inside the parliament building was still underway Friday, with more
legislators joining the two independent lawmakers who had announced they won't
leave until Speaker Nabih Berri holds an open-ended session to elect a new
president. MPs Melhem Khalaf and Najat Saliba of the Change parliamentary bloc
had begun on Thursday the open-ended sit-in inside parliament to press for an
end to the presidential deadlock. The authorities locked the doors and cut off
power but after nightfall, the sit-in was still underway. "We slept here, and we
hope that today will bring new hope to Lebanon," said Saliba in a video posted
on social media on Friday. Change MPs Firas Hamdan, Cynthia Zarazir, Elias Jrade,
Paula Yacoubian, Halima Kaakour, and Waddah al-Sadek and Kataeb MPs Sami Gmayyel
and Elias Hankash visited Khalaf and Saliba in the evening, while journalists
were not authorized to enter the building. Members of the group posted videos
showing them sitting in the dark against the light of their mobile phones, as
Lebanon suffers from chronic electricity cuts of up to 23 hours a day. The
cash-strapped country for over two years has struggled with rampant power cuts.
Today, households only receive about an hour of state electricity per day, with
millions now relying on expensive private generator suppliers. Khalaf on
Thursday affirmed that he can easily stay in parliament even if authorities cut
power off. "All Lebanese have no electricity," he said. Parliament had convened
Thursday for an 11th bid to elect a new president, but failed again to come up
with a candidate. "We will not leave," Khalaf told reporters. But it could be a
very long wait. The 2016 election of former president Michel Aoun followed a
more than two-year vacancy at the presidential palace, as lawmakers made 45
failed attempts to elect a new head of state.
Reformist MPs begin sit-in at Lebanese
parliament in protest against political deadlock
Najia Houssari/Arab News/January 20/2023
BEIRUT: Reformist MPs began a sit-in at the Lebanese parliament on Thursday
after it failed, for the 11th time, to elect a new president. They vowed to
remain until the political deadlock, which began at the end of October when
former President Michel Aoun’s term ended, is broken. “This is not a symbolic
move; it aims to press for the election of a president,” MP Melhem Khalaf told
Arab News. “We will not back down and we hope that our move leads to a way to
implement the constitution. This is a national responsibility and not the
individuals’ responsibility. “Some independent MPs joined us and we will stay in
the parliament, despite being informed that the electricity generator will be
turned off. “It is necessary to find a way to implement the constitution. What
do we tell people while the Lebanese pound reached 50,000 against the dollar on
the black market today? I am ashamed of being a parliament member while people
are asking for flour, milk, bread and electricity.”
Khalaf said that all MPs bear the responsibility for the disruption to the
country and it is their duty to resolve it. Sami Gemayel, head of the Kataeb
Party, was also among the protesters.
Najat Saliba, another MP participating in the sit-in, said: “We will not leave.
We will sleep inside the parliament even in the case of a blackout. In fact,
most people are experiencing a shutdown of electricity in the first place.”
The MPs were told that all entrances to the parliament would be closed and
electricity turned off at 2:30 p.m. local time. After discussions with Deputy
Speaker Elias Bou Saab, and with the parliament’s security service, the MPs were
provided with ways to enter and exit the building and provide for their needs.
Officials said 110 MPs, out of 128 total, attended Thursday’s parliamentary
session, which was the first of the year. In the vote for a new president, 37
members returned blank ballots. MP Michel Moawad, founder and president of the
Independence Movement party, received the most votes, with 34 and 14 voted for
“New Lebanon.”
Issam Khalife received seven votes, former minister Ziad Baroud received two,
and former MP Edward Honein and activist Miled Bou Malhab each received one
vote. Speaker Nabih Berri banned Bou Malhab from the parliament after the latter
began chanting when his name was mentioned.
Fifteen votes were discarded as spoiled. They included ballots on which slogans
had been written in support of the families of the victims of the explosion at
Beirut Port on Aug. 4, 2020, and others on which phrases such as “Agreement,”
“Dialogue for Lebanon” and “Presidential Priorities” were written. One invalid
vote included the name “Bernie Sanders,” the former Democratic Party candidate
for US president. According to one political analyst, MPs for the Free Patriotic
Movement, who in previous votes had conformed with their Hezbollah allies by
returning blank ballots, this time decided to write “Presidential Priorities” on
their voting papers.
“After the alliance between the two parties was shaken, the FPM decided to
differ from Hezbollah with this phrase,” the analyst said. The voting session
ended when Berri announced an adjournment before a second round of voting could
take place.
Some reformist MPs, holding up photos of the victims of the Beirut explosion,
preempted the decision to adjourn and demanded additional sessions be held. At
the start of the session, MP Hadi Abu Al-Hosn, a member of the Democratic
Gathering bloc, noted that his group might boycott future sessions if the
political deadlock persisted.
“We might have to suspend our participation in the coming sessions and we call
on everyone, all forces, to deliberate in order to reach a solution,” he said.
Relatives of the victims of the Beirut explosion held a rally near the
parliament demanding the resumption of the investigation into the blast, which
ground to a halt more than a year ago as a result of lawsuits filed by current
and former MPs against investigating judge Tarek Bitar, leading to his removal
from the case. Democratic Gathering and Lebanese Forces MPs joined the
protesters.
After the session, presidential candidate Mouawad said: “We will not settle; we
are fighting against subjugation. There are many suggested choices. We might win
or lose in the presidential battle but we will not yield and we will not
compromise.”
Lebanese Forces MP George Adwan said: “We cannot continue without knowing the
offenders (responsible for the explosion). We are ready to stand with the
victims’ families and we support Judge Bitar to find the truth.”He added that a
new president must rebuild the Lebanese state and represent the views of all
Lebanese people.
Families of people arrested in connection with the investigation into the Beirut
blast case also staged a protest near the Justice Palace on Thursday. They were
joined by a number of FPM MPs. A caretaker government has been in place since
Aoun’s term ended almost three months ago, stalling a host of economic reforms
designed to prevent wasteful spending and combat rampant corruption. Lebanese
authorities in April last year reached a tentative agreement with the
International Monetary Fund for a recovery plan, conditional on a host of
economic reforms and anti-corruption measures. The organization has been
critical of the sluggish efforts to meet those demands.
Lebanon Says It Will Pay UN Dues after Losing
Voting Rights
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 20 January, 2023
Lebanon will pay arrears to the United Nations to regain its rights at the world
body, its foreign ministry said on Friday, after the country, which is in deep
financial crisis, lost UN voting rights for the second time in three years due
to unpaid contributions.
UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, in a Jan. 17 letter, listed Lebanon along
with Dominica, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, South Sudan and Venezuela as countries
that had currently lost their UN General Assembly vote. Lebanon’s foreign
ministry said payment of the UN dues would take place "directly, in a way that
preserves Lebanon’s rights at the United Nations". A ministry statement did not
comment on the reasons for the delay. Guterres said in his letter that Lebanon
needs to pay a minimum of some $1.8 million to regain its vote. Under UN rules,
a country can lose its General Assembly vote if is in arrears by any amount that
equals or exceeds the contributions due for the previous two years, unless it
shows evidence of an inability to pay that is beyond its control. Lebanon has
been in deep crisis since 2019 when its financial system collapsed as a result
of decades of profligate spending, mismanagement and corruption by ruling
elites. The state, which defaulted on its foreign currency in 2020, has been
largely paralyzed since, with spending slashed across the board, with foreign
aid from the United States and Qatar helping to pay soldiers' salaries.
The crisis, which the United Nations says has left eight in 10 Lebanese poor,
has been left to fester, leading the World Bank to describe it as a “deliberate
depression” orchestrated by ruling factions.
European Prosecutors Hear Lebanese Bankers in Central Bank
Commission Probe
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 20 January, 2023
Lebanese bankers told European prosecutors they believed that commissions now at
the center of a graft probe had been paid to the central bank, four sources
said, while investigators suspect the cash illegally ended up with the
governor's brother. Prosecutors from Germany, France and Luxembourg have been in
Beirut as part of the money laundering investigation. They suspect central bank
governor Riad Salameh and his brother Raja illegally took more than $300 million
from the central bank between 2002 and 2015 and invested some of the funds in
Europe. The two men deny diverting or laundering public funds, saying the $300
million was earned legally. The governor, who has held the post for three
decades, says he is being made a scapegoat for Lebanon's financial crisis that
erupted in 2019. European prosecutors have been hearing testimonies from
Lebanese bankers and officials over the past week for the first time in the
investigation that has focused on who received the commissions, the four people
familiar with the matter told Reuters. The European prosecutors, who have yet to
file any formal charges, suspect the central bank collected the commissions as a
fee from bond buyers and then transferred the funds to Forry Associates, owned
by the governor's brother, the sources said. The bankers and officials told the
visiting European prosecutors that they were not aware that the funds had gone
to Forry Associates, the four sources said. The office of Lebanon's chief
prosecutor in a statement said on Friday the visiting Europeans had wrapped up
their trip and cooperation would continue. Reuters reported last year,
after viewing documents, that the central bank had not made clear to private
banks that commissions it charged went to Forry Associates. Pierre-Olivier Sur,
a French lawyer for Riad Salameh, dismissed the accusations. He said commissions
collected by Forry were "the price paid for intermediation work provided to
bring together buyers and issuers of bonds". He said those paying commissions
for buying bonds might not have known the beneficiary was Forry, which he said
had a contract authorized by the central bank's management and supervising
bodies. A person close to Raja Salameh said the governor's brother denied
any misappropriation of public funds. The four sources said former central bank
officials and private bankers had told the European prosecutors they first heard
of Forry Associates when the investigation began and the name appeared in the
media. They told them that they had no reason to believe commissions paid on
government securities went to anyone but the central bank, the sources said. A
separate but related Lebanese probe charged Riad Salameh with illicit enrichment
in March, which he has denied. The governor retains the support of some of
Lebanon's most powerful politicians, including Nabih Berri, the parliament
speaker who has held that top post for decades.
Beirut Port Investigator Refuses to Apprise
File to French Judicial Delegation
Beirut - Youssef Diab/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 20 January, 2023
A visiting French judicial delegation brought the 2020 Beirut port explosion
file back to the forefront, through intensive meetings with concerned Lebanese
judicial officials. The French judges inquired about the suspension of Lebanon's
investigation into the explosion, which has also obstructed the independent
French probe into the killing of three French citizens in the port explosion.
The probe into the August 4, 2020 explosion has been pending since the end of
2021 due to lawsuits filed successively by defendants, including current MPs and
former ministers, against the judicial investigator, Judge Tarek Bitar, who
supervises the investigations. Headed by Judge Nicolas Aubertin, the French
mission first met with the assistant prosecutor general, Judge Sabouh Sleiman as
he represents the Court of Cassation in this file. The delegation then held a
four-hour meeting with Bitar, which saw a long debate about the reasons behind
the obstruction of the investigations, informed sources told Asharq Al-Awsat.
They added that Bitar refused to inform the French judges of the content of the
investigation or provide them with any document, given that he was removed from
the case due to the response claims filed against him. But the judicial
investigator promised the French delegation to provide them with assistance
after the resumption of the probe.. In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Bitar
stressed that the investigation “will continue and will not surrender to the
will of obstructers.”“I hope that the judiciary will find legal solutions that
will allow the resumption of the investigations in a normal and regular manner…”
he said. The families of the port explosion victims held a sit-in on Thursday in
front of the Palace of Justice building in Beirut, protesting the probe halt and
calling on France to help form an international fact-finding committee. They
requested a meeting with the French judicial mission to discuss their suffering
and the political authorities’ persistence in sabotaging the Lebanese inquiry.
The financial investigation file
Meanwhile, the European prosecutors who arrived this week in Beirut, continued
their investigations in Beirut into the financial corruption probe, and listened
to the testimony of witnesses Raed Charafeddine, a former first deputy governor
of the Banque du Liban, and Naaman Nadour, a BDL head of department. The
attorneys general at the Court of Cassation, Mirna Kallas and Imad Kabalan, also
took part in the session. A judicial source told Asharq Al-Awsat that questions
revolved around the financial situation and banking operations, most of which
are directed at a company owned by Raja Salameh, brother of Riad Salameh.
Lebanese bankers and officials questioned by
European delegation in financial probe
Najia Houssari/Arab News/January 20, 2023
BEIRUT: A European legal team on Friday wrapped up the first round of
questioning of Lebanese bankers and current and former Central Bank officials in
Beirut. The questioning is part of a probe into money laundering linked to
Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh. The delegation will quiz Salameh, in
addition to some of his relatives, in the second round of the investigation,
said State Prosecutor Judge Ghassan Oueidat. The European team — with
representatives from France, Germany, and Luxembourg — has questioned 12 bankers
as witnesses at Beirut’s Justice Palace.
It completed the first round of its probe into cases related to corruption,
forgery, use of forged documents, embezzlement, money laundering and transfer of
funds to banks abroad. The team leaves Beirut on Saturday and will return at a
later date, said Oueidat. He added that the delegation previously provided the
relevant judicial authorities with a list containing 30 names requested for
investigation, among which 18 are yet to be questioned. He said: “When the
delegation sets a date for its second visit, it will provide us with the names
that should be informed of the interrogation dates.”On Friday the delegation
questioned Raya Al-Hassan, a former minister and the chairperson of the board of
directors of Bankmed, and Ramzi Akkawi, an employee in a private audit firm. It
had previously quizzed Walid Makfour, an employee in an audit firm; Nabih Asaaf,
a member of the Banking Control Commission; Pierre Kanaan, head of the Legal
Affairs Department at the Central Bank; and Samir Hanna, chairman of the board
of directors of Bank Audi. Oueidat praised the way affairs had been handled by
the European and Lebanese judiciaries, and respected the fact that the witnesses
were quizzed by Lebanese judges. He said: “They did a good job and they don’t
need our help. We provided professional judicial assistance.”Oueidat said the
investigation was underway to find out whether Salameh had received $330 million
through his brother’s company, Forry Associates. He added: “What we know is that
Lebanon’s Eurobonds debt amounts to $90 billion. “If the commission results from
the underwritten amount as said, then it’s a considerably significant commission
compared with the underwritten amount. “In other terms, there is a commission,
but it is not that big.”Arab News has learned from a judicial source that there
are fears that the European delegation might take hold of the seized funds and
not return them to Lebanon.
Lebanon Central Bank Sets New Rate for
Withdrawals from Dollar Deposits
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 20 January, 2023
Lebanon's central bank said on Thursday it had set a new rate of 15,000 Lebanese
pounds to the US dollar for withdrawals from bank deposits denominated in
dollars, but which can now can be accessed largely in the local currency.
The rate was previously set at 8,000 pounds under central bank Circular 151,
which implied a "haircut" or loss of more than 80% at the current market rate of
around 50,000 pounds per dollar. The new rate represents a haircut of around
70%. The central bank also set a withdrawal ceiling of $1,600 per month
equivalent in Lebanese pounds for account-holders, who have been unable to
freely access their savings since the collapse of the financial sector in 2019.
The central bank had maintained a pegged rate of 1,500 pounds per dollar until
the summer of 2019, when it unofficially allowed the currency to become
untethered after accumulating tens of billions of dollars in losses. The pound
has since lost more than 95% of its value, throwing the majority of Lebanon's
population into poverty and leading to shortages of basic goods such as
medicines in the formerly middle-income country. The central bank officially
maintains a rate of 1,500 but almost all goods trade at the market rate. It has
said the official rate will be changed to 15,000 Lebanese pounds per dollar in
February.
Bankers make 'confessions' to European
investigators as 'wildcard witness' emerges
Naharnet/January 20/2023
Lebanese bankers are giving testimonies that have started nearing the extent of
“confessions” in the investigations that are being carried out in Lebanon by
three European delegations as part of a probe into Riad Salameh’s wealth, a
media report said. “The Lebanese investigation, from which the Europeans want
documents for their own investigation, included preliminary information and
significant inquiries about transfers made from Raja Salameh’s accounts to his
brother Riad and close associates,” the Nidaa al-Watan newspaper reported on
Friday. “The investigations have determined that $70 million were transferred
from a bank owned by a defaulting political family,” the daily added. “The
interrogation of Al-Mawarid Bank CEO Marwan Kheireddine tackled those transfers
as well as accounts for Raja Salameh whose deposits swelled from $15 million to
$150 million between 1993 and 2019 before being withdrawn on the eve of the
crisis,” Nidaa al-Watan said. One of the witnesses, the president of a
well-known brokerage company, meanwhile “left for Luxembourg to be interrogated
by investigators there and it is possible that he might turn into a protected
‘wildcard witness’ in return for valuable confessions related to Raja and Riad
Salameh that might be in his possession,” the newspaper added. Informed sources
meanwhile said that the Lebanese judiciary is relatively cooperating with the
European investigators, after reports said that “sanctions might be imposed on
any judge who does not cooperate, in line with the U.N. anti-corruption treaty
that Lebanon signed in 2008.”
Hezbollah delegation holds second meeting with
Jumblat
Naharnet/January 20/2023
A Hezbollah delegation comprising secretary-general’s aide Hussein Khalil and
Coordination and Liaison Officer Wafiq Safa held talks overnight in Clemenceau
with Progressive Socialist Party chief Walid Jumblat, in the second such meeting
between the two parties in several weeks. Nidaa al-Watan newspaper said the
conferees “continued the discussions over the questions and concerns that
Jumblat had raised with the delegation during the first Clemenceau meeting that
was held on the eve of sea demarcation with Israel.”
Highly informed sources meanwhile told the daily that Hezbollah is seeking “calm
and purposeful dialogue” with Jumblat to “explore rapprochement possibilities
and strengthen the points of agreement between the two sides over the impending
critical junctures, topped by the presidential election.” Jumblat for his part
is “showing openness as to engaging in consultations with everyone in a bid to
break the state of deadlock that is destructive for Lebanon and all Lebanese,”
the sources added. The PSP’s al-Anbaa newspaper meanwhile said the two parties
discussed “the available means to exit the presidential election impasse,”
adding that Jumblat emphasized that the country “can no longer further waste of
time as to the election of a president amid the explosive factors that are
undermining all of life’s social and economic requirements.”
Japan supports Lebanese Hospital Geitaoui University
Medical Center with medical equipment
Arab News/January 20, 2023
BEIRUT: Japan, through the Grant Assistance for Grassroots Human Security
Program (GGP), will provide the Lebanese Hospital Geitaoui University Medical
Center, with specialized medical equipment. On Friday, Ambassador Magoshi
Masayuki signed a grant contract with Sister Hadia Abi Chebli, Director of the
Lebanese Hospital Geitaoui University Medical Center. The hospital, located in
Ashrafieh, and which was badly damaged by the Beirut port explosion in 2020,
plays a pivotal role in the Lebanese health care sector. Considering the
significant number of patients who rely on this hospital, as well as the
increasing demand for efficient and sustainable medical services, Japan has
decided to support the hospital through the provision of an advanced ultrasound
machine that can carry out more accurate examinations for various diseases. This
assistance will help more than 2,000 patients annually access essential medical
services at affordable rates. At the signing ceremony, Ambassador Magoshi said
that Japan will spare no effort to help Lebanon, and stressed the importance of
this project. As for Sister Abi Chebli, she explained how the hospital was
affected by the latest economic and security developments in the country and
thanked Japan for allowing the hospital to keep its historical and humanitarian
role.
American Mideast Coalition
for Democracy: Open Letter to UNSG Re: UN Rep. Publicly Thanking Hezbollah
Official for “Tour d’Horizon” in Lebanon
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/115107/%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%b3-%d8%a8%d8%ac%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%8a-%d8%ba%d8%a8%d8%a7%d8%a1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d9%86%d8%b3%d9%82%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ae%d8%a7%d8%b5%d8%a9-%d9%84%d9%84%d8%a3%d9%85%d9%85/
His Excellency UN Secretary-General António
Guterres
Office of the Secretary General – UN Secretariat Building
United Nations Plaza
New York, NY 10017
January 17, 2023
Your Excellency Secretary-General Guterres:
We at the World Council for the Cedars Revolution are writing to express our
shock and dismay at learning the United Nations Special Coordinator for Lebanon,
Joanna Wronecka, publicly thanked Hezbollah official Ammar Moussawi for meeting
with her. Apparently, Moussawi provided the UN Special Coordinator with a “tour
d’horizon” which included “the election of a new President, the functioning of
state institutions and the impact of regional and international developments on
the country.”
We wish to remind the Secretary General that just one month ago, Hezbollah
ambushed a UN peacekeeping patrol resulting in the death of Irish peacekeeper,
Sean Rooney. We would also like to remind the secretary that Hezbollah has been
actively obstructing the investigation into the Beirut Port explosion because
the terror organization is directly implicated in the blast.
UNSCR 1559 calling for the disbanding and disarming of all militias in Lebanon
was passed in 2004. UNSCR 1701 which re-iterated that call was passed in 2006,
yet in all the years since, Hezbollah has refused to comply, and, following the
lead of Hamas, is presenting itself as an authentic Lebanese political party
rather than the Iranian proxy it is.
We cannot understand how a UN representative could possibly meet with the
leadership of Iran’s terrorist proxy at the same time massive demonstrations
have broken out all over Iran and all over the world in opposition to the
Islamic Republic – a regime whose illegitimacy grows more apparent by the day.
The World Council for the Cedars Revolution calls for the UN Secretary General
to reprimand Ms. Wronecka and to denounce this meeting as a mistake.
Yours Sincerely,
Tom Harb, WCCR Secretary General and John Hajjar, WCCR National Director
https://americanmideast.com/2023/01/17/open-letter-to-unsg-re-un-rep-publicly-thanking-hezbollah-official-for-tour-dhorizon-in-lebanon/?fbclid=IwAR1q-KeO-ytR8fyxYcNRSZyijDQRx8L8OBmflYLEVL12rjULOH9N5SRliZM
This World Is Gone Mad’: UN
Envoy Draws Fire Over Tweet Thanking Hezbollah Terrorist for a Briefing
Patrick Gooenough/cnsnews/January 18/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/115107/%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%b3-%d8%a8%d8%ac%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%8a-%d8%ba%d8%a8%d8%a7%d8%a1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d9%86%d8%b3%d9%82%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ae%d8%a7%d8%b5%d8%a9-%d9%84%d9%84%d8%a3%d9%85%d9%85/
Polish diplomat Joanna Wronecka has been U.N. secretary-general Antonio
Guterres’s “special coordinator for Lebanon” since 2021. (Photo: UN / Loey
Felipe)
The U.N.’s top envoy in Lebanon has attracted a firestorm on Twitter after
posting a tweet thanking a senior official in the Shi’ite terrorist group
Hezbollah for a discussion “on issues of priority for Lebanon.”
Joanna Wronecka, a Polish diplomat appointed by U.N. Secretary-General Antonio
Guterres in 2021 as his “special coordinator for Lebanon,” posted the message
after meeting with Ammar Al-Moussawi, Hezbollah’s top “foreign relations”
official.
“I thank Mr. Ammar Moussawi of Hizbullah for a tour d’horizon on issues of
priority for Lebanon, including the election of a new President, the functioning
of state institutions and the impact of regional and international developments
on the country,” she tweeted.
Hezbollah operates both as a terrorist militia and a political faction, but its
very existence as an armed militia violates two key U.N. Security Council
resolutions.
Established as a proxy of the Iranian regime after the 1979 Islamic revolution,
it has been a U.S. government-designated “foreign terrorist organization” since
1997.
Hezbollah has engaged in deadly terrorism over decades against primarily U.S.
and Israeli interests, killing hundreds of civilians and military personnel in
attacks in Beirut, Saudi Arabia, Argentina, Bulgaria, and elsewhere.
The group’s abduction (and subsequent killing) of two Israeli soldiers in a
cross-border raid in 2006 sparked a bloody month-long war.
Hezbollah members or “supporters” have been implicated in murders inside
Lebanon, including the car bombing assassination of former prime minister Rafik
Hariri – blamed by a U.N.-backed tribunal on fighters from the terrorist group –
and, just last month, the killing of an Irish U.N. peacekeeper whose UNIFIL
convoy was ambushed in a Hezbollah stronghold.
Against that background, Wronecka’s tweet prompted hundreds of strong responses,
ranging from incredulity to anger, from Israelis, Lebanese and Americans, among
others.
“Is this real...??” asked Joshua Zarka, deputy director general and head of
strategic affairs in Israel’s foreign ministry. “An official Senior UN
Representative thanks the terrorist organization responsible for the murder of a
UN peace keeper for ‘a tour d’horizon’!!! Have the world gone completely mad?!”
“Either the UN is a joke or Ms. Wronecka is,” tweeted Lebanese-born Foundation
for Defense of Democracies research fellow Hussein Abdul-Hussain.
“Excuse me??” tweeted Joy Lahoud, a Lebanese lawyer and activist. “The UN is now
thanking a terror group who just assassinated a UNIFIL young soldier last
month!! How is a branch of IRGC now lecturing the international community on the
issues of priority for Lebanon?? This world is gone mad.”
Other Lebanese Twitter users drew Wronecka’s attention to Hezbollah’s role in
the Hariri killing, corruption, weapons smuggling, narcoterrorism, the
devastating explosion at Beirut port in 2020, the assassination of opposition
politicians and journalists, Lebanon’s endemic political paralysis, regional
destabilization, and more.
Many also wondered if Guterres’ special envoy had raised with the Hezbollah
official two U.N. Security Council resolutions that his organization has been
flagrantly violating for almost two decades.
Resolution 1559 of 2004 calls for “the disbanding and disarmament of all
Lebanese and non-Lebanese militias,” and resolution 1701 of 2006 calls for “the
disarmament of all armed groups in Lebanon, so that … there will be no weapons
or authority in Lebanon other than that of the Lebanese state.”
Just two months ago, Wronecka briefed the Security Council on the status of
implementation of resolution 1701.
https://cnsnews.com/article/international/patrick-goodenough/world-gone-mad-un-envoy-draws-fire-over-tweet-thanking?fbclid=IwAR2JDUliQ8fTwZ5Us7_LvSWMO5BD2mM1pF1ZBa944yj3A7U1RjtIhTF4nzw
Anger In Lebanon At UN Special Coordinator Who Met With Hizbullah Official And
Thanked Him
MEMRI/January 20, 2023
Lebanon | Special Dispatch No. 10431
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/115107/%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%b3-%d8%a8%d8%ac%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%8a-%d8%ba%d8%a8%d8%a7%d8%a1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d9%86%d8%b3%d9%82%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ae%d8%a7%d8%b5%d8%a9-%d9%84%d9%84%d8%a3%d9%85%d9%85/
On January 16, 2023 Joanna Wronecka, the UN Special Coordinator for Lebanon,
posted a tweet in English and Arabic on her personal account in which she
thanked 'Ammar Al-Moussawi, the head of Hizbullah's Foreign Relations Unit, for
meeting with her to discuss various issues. The tweet said: " I thank Mr. Ammar
Moussawi of Hizbullah for a tour d’horizon on issues of priority for #Lebanon,
including the election of a new President, the functioning of state institutions
and the impact of regional and international developments on the country."[1]
UN Special Coordinator Joanna Wronecka and Hizbullah Foreign Relations Chief 'Ammar
Moussawi (images: twitter.com/JWronecka, plenglish.com)
The tweet evoked angry responses from many Lebanese, officials, journalists and
citizens, who lambasted Wronecka for meeting with the Hizbullah official and
thanking him. Many of those who responded wondered why a UN representative was
meeting with the representative of a terrorist organization and even thanking
him instead of demanding clarifications from him, about Hizbullah's refusal to
comply with the UN resolutions that call for its disarmament or about the
killing of a UNIFIL soldier by Hizbullah supporters on December 14, 2022. Some
stated that she should be ashamed of herself and wondered if she meant to meet
with other terror organizations, such as ISIS and Al-Qaeda. Others wondered if
she had written the tweet as a tasteless joke or if her Twitter account had been
hacked.
This report presents some of the angry responses to Wronecka's tweet by Lebanese
politicians, journalists and citizens.
Lebanese Journalist: The UN Is Thanking A Terror Militia; "Replace This Moron"
Shi'ite Lebanese journalist Nadim Koteich, known for his opposition to Hizbullah,
shared Wronecka's tweet and commented: "This is a tweet by the UN Special
Coordinator for Lebanon about a Hizbullah official, [posted] only days after a
member of the international [UNIFIL] forces was killed by a member of this
militia. The UN is sponsoring and expressing gratitude to a terror militia."
Tagging the UN, its Secretary-General António Guterres and Wronecka herself,
Koteich added in English, "Replace this moron."[2]
Later the same day he tagged Wronecka on another tweet, in English: "Wronecka is
a moron wrapped in an idiot. Ammar [Moussawi] took her for a ride and now she is
carrying water for his militia. [That's] exactly what Ammar’s job is… [to] charm
idiots like her." [3]
Nadim Koteich's tweet
Lebanese Forces Party Official: The UN Accepts Hizbullah's Military Presence
South Of The Litani
Former minister Richard Kouyoumjian, head of the foreign relations unit at the
Lebanese Forces party, headed by Samir Geagea, likewise criticized Wronecka's
tweet, saying in an interview with the Saudi Al-Hadath channel: "This tweet
indicates that the UN accepts the situation in South Lebanon as it is. Everyone
knows that [UN] Resolution 1701 stipulates that the area between the Litani and
the international border [with Israel] must be under the full control of the
Lebanese armed forces in cooperation with the UN forces [i.e., UNIFIL]. Sadly,
everyone knows this [but] everyone wishes to close their eyes to the reality,
which is that Hizbullah is [present in that area] with all its gear, weapons and
missiles, both on the ground and beneath it… and the UNIFIL forces are hostages
of Hizbullah.
"Sadly, [Wronecka's] tweet came after the death, or should I say murder, of the
Irish [UNIFIL] soldier who was shot by Hizbullah loyalists or [perhaps] even by
Hizbullah operatives. Hizbullah sets red lines for the UNIFIL forces and
dictates their [patrol] routes, [saying]: 'You can be here' and 'you cannot be
there.' [Hizbullah] is now the decision-maker in that region. [By killing the
soldier, Hizbullah] meant to convey a pointed message to the UN forces…"[4]
Former MP: We Demand Clarifications About Wronecka's Tweet Praising The
Hizbullah Official
Former MP Fares Sou'aid tweeted in a similar vein: " The praise lavished by the
UN coordinator upon 'Ammar Al-Mousawi does not bode well. We demand
clarifications."[5]
Lebanese Twitter Users To UN Coordinator Wronecka: Shame On You! Are You Also
Going To Meet With ISIS And Al-Qaeda?
Wronecka's tweet also drew fire from many Lebanese Twitter users, who called it
a disgrace.
User Maryam Salloum tweeted: "Are you serious[?]! Shame,"[6] and user Silas
wrote: "Shame on you!"[7]
Attorney and human rights activist Regina Kantara of Tripoli wrote: "Did you ask
him [Moussawi] when they will accept the implementation of UN Resolution
1559???"[8] and user Josian Rizk asked Wronecka: "Did [someone] hack ur twitter
account? What’s this silly joke[?]!"[9]
User Enlil also addressed Wronecka, tweeting: "You are supposed to be helping
Lebanon not meeting with terrorist organization…"[10], and Elie Al-Hayek wrote:
" Are you a representative of the UN? Did you ask him about the young Irish UN
soldier’s assassins[?]! What a shame…"[11]
Attorney Joy Lahoud chipped in with the message: "Actually why don’t you meet
with ISIS and Al-Qaeda as well and go through a tour d’horizon with them on how
states should function and presidents [should] be elected? Did Mr Mousawi also
tell you how their favorite sport is to blow up their Lebanese opposants to
pieces?"[12] Alluding to Wronecka's words of thanks to Mousawi for "a tour
d'horizon on issues of priority for Lebanon," user Daniela Zakher tweeted: "They
already took us on this tour and showed us Hell [on] its horizon. Lebanon is a
hostage and [UN resolutions] 1559, 1680, 1701 are a joke to them!"[13]
[1] Twitter.com/jwronecka, January 16, 2023.
[2] Twitter.com/NadimKoteich, January 17, 2023.
[3]Twitter.com/NadimKoteich, January 17, 2023.
[4] Twitter.com/AlHadath; Twitter.com/RKouyoumjian, January 19, 2023.
[5] Twitter.com/FaresSouaid, December 17, 2023.
[6] Twitter.com/Marhabahola, January 16, 2023.
[7] Twitter.com/Silas85051857, January 16, 2023.
[8] Twitter.com/KantaraRegina, January 16, 2023.
[9] Twitter.com/RizkJosian, January 16, 2023.
[10] Twitter.com/EnlilNassar1, January 16, 2023.
[11] Twitter.com/ElieElHayek4/status/1615067240340258818, January 16, 2023.
[12] Twitter.com/joylahoud, January 16, 2023.
[13] Twitter.com/Dandoun17, January 16, 2023.
https://www.memri.org/reports/anger-lebanon-un-special-coordinator-who-met-hizbullah-official-and-thanked-him
Ibrahim Murad, President Of Lebanon's Syriac
Union Party: If Hizbullah Wants To Turn Us Into Dhimmis, We Must Fight It
Militarily; Traitors And Collaborators Should Be Hung From Electric Poles;
Political Methods Will Get Us Nowhere; Revolution Requires Blood
MEMRI/January 20/2023
Source: The Internet - "Lebanon On YouTube Channel"
https://www.memri.org/tv/lebanese-politician-murad-armed-resistance-violent-hizbullah-ready-to-fight-hang-collaborators
In an interview that was posted to the Lebanon On YouTube channel on January 10,
2023, Lebanese politician Ibrahim Murad, the President of the Universal Syriac
Union Party, called for armed resistance against Hizbullah. He said that
political methods will achieve nothing and that Hizbullah needs to be besieged
in its own areas. Murad also said that the only solution to the situation in
Lebanon would involve global powers coming in and implementing the U.N.
resolutions, but that if this does not happen, the Lebanese people are "destined
to emigrate or live under a dictatorship." He elaborated that the global powers
would only intervene if Lebanon had "a real opposition," and that such a revolt
would require the shedding of blood. In addition, he said that he is personally
ready to take up arms if his honor is violated or if he is turned into a dhimmi
because he is Christian. Moreover, he said that "traitors and collaborators, and
the people who starved us, impoverished us, and killed our children and our
relatives in the hospitals" should be hanged from electric poles or dragged
behind cars. On January 16, 2023, Murad was taken in for questioning by
Lebanon's authorities for his remarks.
Ibrahim Murad: "I say it like it is. I don't like to cut corners. For 100 years,
we Christians have been paying the price for the sake of the coexistence lie.
Everybody is conspiring against us, our rights, our existence, and our
interests. All the while, we are lost, and do not think what will become of us
in 20-30 years. This land, which we irrigated with the blood of thousands of
martyrs... We do not think what will become of us in 15-20 years, in light of
this regime and this [Iranian] occupation, which everybody refuses to fight
militarily.
"With Iran's support, money, and weapons, Hizbullah is stronger than all the
Lebanese. If there is any strategic planning and if there are any patriotic
people, and if we want real coexistence, we should lay siege to this terroristic
militia in its own areas. We should go there and confront it.
"I called for armed resistance, because I do not think we can get anywhere with
Hizbullah using political means. If you do not confront it militarily, it will
devour you.
"What are we waiting for? Why aren't we confronting [Hizbullah]? It is just like
the Syrian occupation, the Palestinian occupation, or the Israeli occupation in
south Lebanon. How do you want to confront it? There are two options. Either you
pressure the countries that call the shots to come here and implement the U.N.
resolutions — especially Resolution 1559, under Chapter VII — and if these
countries refuse to do so, like some politicians say, you must take the
initiative, launch armed resistance, confront [Hizbullah] and besiege it in its
own areas. You should liberate the Lebanese from this captivity. Otherwise, we
will be destined to emigrate or live under a dictatorial rule.
"We have sacrificed tens of thousands of martyrs to protect this country, so it
would be a country for everybody seeking freedom and life of justice. We will
not accept [the current situation]. We will not accept it. I fought, was
wounded, was persecuted, and displaced during the Syrian occupation, and I am
ready to bear arms and fight, if my honor is violated, or of they want to turn
me into a dhimmi.
"The West will not intervene if we do not have a real opposition here. Real
opposition and revolution require blood. We should grab all the traitors and
collaborators, and the people who starved us, impoverished us, and killed our
children and our relatives in the hospitals...
"We should drag them tied with cables to cars. We should hang them from electric
poles. You should be determined to fight — both militarily and by other means."
Crimes Without Punishment… In Lebanon’s Autumn
Hanna Saleh/Asharq Al-Awsat/January, 20/2023
As the collapse in Lebanon expands, it is becoming increasingly apparent that so
long as the August 4 clique is in power, there is no floor for how low the Lira
could fall. With it, citizens’ ability to survive plummets too. A frightening
number of patients are unable to access the medicine and treatment they need.
Students are being forced out of school. Youths and skilled workers are leaving
in droves, and begging has become generalized! It seems that Lebanon’s
spoil-sharing regime is faced with a surreal scene: two judiciaries are in
conflict; one is from outside the country and seeks to bring those guilty of
financial crimes to justice, and the other is domestic and is trying to hinder
the families of the victims of the blast from achieving justice.
The first thing the banking cartel did was tame the judiciary, which exempted
itself from prosecuting those who had committed financial crimes: from
embezzlement of public money to robbing the deposits of one and a half million
citizens. Then, this cartel, the most prominent partner in the heist of the era,
launched a relentless propaganda campaign to whitewash the image of the banks.
This campaign told those whose deposits had been stolen: “the bank is with you,”
“the banks are behind the economic growth and development.” They openly bribe
television broadcasters and anchors whose rhetoric exposes their funders… Worse
still is that deputies are drafting laws to grant themselves immunity and ensure
impunity.
The scenes from the courtroom were a farce. Bankers, protected by political,
judicial and security officials, gambled with over $120 billion in bank
deposits. They are being investigated by three European judicial delegations,
who are looking into suspicions of money laundering and corruption that had
taken place in Europe, with over $330 million allegedly embezzled from the
Central Bank. The suspects include Riad Salameh, the Governor of the Central
Bank, his brother Raja, and others. These suspicions have led to the freezing of
large sums of money and real estate assets. The real face of the bankers was
shown. It met the description of the World Bank, which asserted that they were
part of the “elite” that had been behind the largest Ponzi scheme ever. It began
in 1993, destroying a prestigious banking sector and accelerating the total
collapse that sparked the “October 17” 2019 revolution!
In parallel, Lebanon witnessed an explosive development. Thirty months after the
port blast that turned a third of the capital into rubble, killed 236 people,
and injured 7 thousand (many of whom will never fully recover), the authorities
decided to finish off the crime committed on August 4 by going after the
victims’ families. It summoned them to court and launched investigations into
anyone who opposed the attempts to bring down the investigation. Entering the
Palace of Justice and demanding that justice be ensured for the Lebanese put a
target on their back.
The Lebanese were waiting for those accused of the felony of “possible intent to
murder” in relation to the port blast. Instead, some were elected parliamentary
deputies! The “impunity law” allowed two of the men accused, Ali Hassan Khalil
and Ghazi Zaiter, to hold positions in the Administration and Justice Committee
in parliament.
The calls for investigating 12 of the victims’ families sent a message that
people have read carefully. The victims, the port, and the capital will be
killed a second time. The actions of the security and judicial apparatuses
sparked massy fury. The indifference towards the crime of the era exposed the
officials, who approached the calamity like it had taken place in another
country- like another nation had been mass-exterminated! Meanwhile, the trauma
of the moment that terrible explosion went off became ingrained in the minds of
hundreds of thousands of Lebanese! They had been waiting for the resumption of
the investigation that had been suspended since December 23 (December) 2021,
months after the Hezbollah official Wafiq Safa stormed the Palace of Justice and
threatened to “remove” Judicial Investigator Bitar. Then came the shock: the
defendants are free and enjoying themselves, and the arrest of the murdered is
what is now required!
Is it not dumbfounding that grave crimes have been committed with no
accountability or punishment to speak of? Is the same not true of the
investigations into the murders related to the port blast? What about the
economic collapse that has sent the citizens of the country to hell, as
promised? None of the accused stand behind bars despite the plunder that killed
the future and the port blast that destroyed a third of the capital.
The crimes that altered the lives of the Lebanese will not be punished so long
as the sectarian-based-quota spoil-sharing system that creates corruption and
dependence remains. Only genuine change could allow the country’s institutions
to get back on their feet and prevent Lebanon from prematurely withering away.It
is now the autumn of the coup against the constitution and the country’s
subordination to the beneficiaries of its crises. They ruled arbitrarily,
imposed sectarian quotas for ministries and institutions, hindered the
independence of the judiciary, and disrupted the mechanisms of the political
system.
Among all the revolutions of the past decade, only the October Revolution did
not propose changing the constitution. Instead, it demanded that the
constitution be implemented because its implementation would liberate the state
whose decisions have been hijacked by Hezbollah. More than that, their proposals
are in line with respecting the rest of the Taif Agreement, which includes
unimplemented steps that pave the way for the establishment of the modern
natural state to the farmlike state we have not!
We still have a long way to go on this journey, but the proposals for change
that have been put forward by the October forces are significant because the
political class intends to rehabilitate the spoil-sharing regime and
redistribute its shares. The post-Taif experience, the shameful presidential
settlement, and the actions that have been taken since the revolution erupted
three years ago all present indication after indication that the “opposition” in
this regime is “loyal” to it. The entire August 4 clique is united in its
opposition to renewal and openness.
They are all keen on maintaining “immunities” and “impunities.” Their priority
is safeguarding their narrow interests and gains at the expense of the interests
of the country and the rights of its people. For all these reasons, changing
things from within is impossible, and any form of participation leads to
catastrophic consequences. They are all partners in the most dangerous project
for Lebanon: the religious state Hezbollah is working to achieve! It will never
succeed, but it is a dangerous form of blackmail that threatens sectarian strife
and leaves the country open to all sorts of interferences!
Only change can save the country, but matters will not be resolved easily.
Liberating the hijacked state is more important than the pressing question of
who is elected president. Otherwise, the presidency loses its stature.
The despotic ruling class was not able to extinguish the flame of the October
revolution. It remains because of the protection of Hezbollah, and it will not
leave the arena to factions capable of taking measures to contain the collapse
and ensure accountability for those who have brought the country to its knees.
What is needed is an alternative financial structure that replaces that which
has humiliated and divided us!
This is the ultimate building block. We need to crystalize the organizational
and structural conditions needed during this period. Many have rallied around
the slogan of a “historical bloc” that cuts across regions and sects as the
revolution had done. This bloc can lift the country and achieve the revolution’s
goals, as well as bring about a political alternative that leads us into the
transition phase, which may be long or short, depending on the state of affairs
in the country!
EU ambassador to Lebanon says it's 'high time'
to address challenges
Naharnet/January 20/2023
Ambassador of the European Union to Lebanon Ralph Tarraf has said, during a
reception at the EU residence in Beirut, that the EU has the tools to support
Lebanon, should its decision makers decide to make the required reforms. "This
place and this flag are the symbol of a unique model in today’s world. A model
that grew from an economic union between six countries to a strong partnership
between 27 states, spanning many areas, from personal freedoms, justice and
security to climate and health. "While our union has grown geographically over
the years, it is its founding principles that make it stand out. The European
Union was built to pacify the European continent and help raise the living
standards in Europe after two world wars. It allowed European countries to
harmonize their political systems, modernize their public administrations,
empower their judiciary and strengthen their economy. It has contributed to
building strong state institutions that are as effective as they are accountable
to their citizens. And most importantly, it has done so with a fundamental
respect for human rights, democracy and the rule of law.
"This is who we are – and this is exactly what we can offer to Lebanon," Tarraf
said. "We have the tools at our disposal to support Lebanon should its decision
makers decide to transform its public sector, into one where public
administration is governed with more transparency and accountability, where the
judiciary is independent and empowered, and where there is a clear separation of
powers that doesn’t paralyze the country at every opportunity," the EU
Ambassador went on to say. Tarraf added that "in this mind-set, we have
supported Lebanon in reforming its governance system. We have helped establish
the National Anti-Corruption Commission. We have contributed to the law on
public procurement and have built the capacities of the Public Procurement
Authority. We have helped the Government draft its Counter Terrorism Strategy.
And we are currently following closely the drafting of the law on the
independence of the judiciary."
"But our support can only match the ambitions of Lebanese decision makers," he
said. He explained that in 2018 at the CEDRE conference, the European Union and
other organisations promised long-term investments to help modernize the
country’s infrastructure. "This support was conditional on reforms. Five years
later, and three years since Lebanon defaulted on its debt, we are still waiting
for the reforms necessary to modernize state institutions and improve the
governance in Lebanon." The EU Ambassador stressed that "today, without a
President, a fully empowered Government and a legislating Parliament in place,
Lebanon’s decision-making capacity is paralyzed and economic losses are
accumulating.""It is high time to address these challenges. It is high time to
bring the economy back on a path of recovery," Tarraf said.
What happened to the Switzerland of the Middle East?
Associated Press/Agence France Presse/January 20/2023
Since an unprecedented financial crisis hit Lebanon in late 2019, the currency
has lost more than 95 percent of its value and much of the population has been
plunged into poverty. Factional deadlock has left the country largely leaderless
in the face of the political and economic turmoil, with a vacant presidency, a
central bank chief under European investigation and a government with only
caretaker powers. On Thursday, on the black market, the Lebanese pound fell
below the psychologically important threshold of 50,000 to the greenback,
dealers said. The main official exchange rate still pegs the pound at 1,507 to
the dollar. Parliament convened Thursday for an 11th bid to elect a new
president, but failed again. A new study published by the U.N. World Food
Program this week found that 1.29 million Lebanese citizens and 700,000 refugees
from the conflict in neighboring Syria were food insecure in the last four
months of 2022. It is a huge fall for a country that once boasted the monicker
"Switzerland of the Middle East" for its role as a regional financial center.
The worsening political paralysis has Lebanon not only without a president but
also with only a caretaker government, stalling a host of economic reforms aimed
at stopping wasteful spending and combating rampant corruption. A senior
financial adviser, Michel Kozah, said the Lebanese pound’s worsening
deterioration is due to the absence of appropriate measures to stabilize the
currency early on in the crisis, including formal capital controls, and a plan
approved by the International Monetary Fund. Instead, he said, there have been
short-term policies and circulars from the government and central bank that he
describes as a “shot of morphine.”“We gave promises to the IMF but did nothing,”
Kozah explained. “If you were anywhere else in the world, you wouldn’t get to
where you are today because the authorities would have taken measures from day
one.”Lebanese authorities in April 2022 reached a tentative agreement with the
IMF for a recovery plan conditional on a host of economic reforms and
anti-corruption measures. However, the international organization has been
critical of Lebanon's sluggish efforts to meet these demands. Meanwhile,
Lebanon’s cash-strapped banks continue to impose strict limits on withdrawals of
foreign currency, imposed in October 2019, tying up the savings of millions of
people. As the economy continues to tank without any reforms, some depositors
have resorted to storming bank branches and taking their trapped savings by
force.
Western and Arab officials to meet on Lebanon
in early February
Naharnet/January 20/2023
France’s Presidency and Foreign Ministry are preparing for a meeting on Lebanon
between foreign ministry advisers and directors from the U.S., France, Saudi
Arabia, Qatar and Egypt, a media report said. “French President Emmanuel Macron
will not let the situations collapse without acting, that’s why the next stage
of the meetings will also bring together countries that care for the Lebanese
file, including European countries and Jordan,” a senior French source told
Annahar newspaper in remarks published Friday. “The first meeting will be held
in early February and will later be upgraded to a ministerial level in order to
up the pressure,” the source added. The source also said that the meetings would
not only focus on the need to elect a new Lebanese president but would also put
on the table all the developments and anything that can be done to exert
pressure.
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on January 20-21/2023
US Says Iran is the World's Leading Sponsor of Terrorism
Washington – Ali Barada/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 20 January, 2023
US State Department spokesman Ned Price described Iran as "the world's leading
sponsor of terrorism."During a press briefing in Washington, Price commented on
the European Parliament's resolution to declare the Iranian Revolutionary Guard
Corps (IRGC) a foreign terrorist organization. He confirmed that this is a
recognition by European partners that "Iran is the world's leading sponsor of
terrorism. There is no more nefarious exporter of international terrorism than
Iran."He pointed out that "there is no disagreement between the United States
and our European allies on this. We're also clear-eyed about the need to
cooperate to counter the threats posed by the IRGC over the past – well,
certainly in recent years." Referring to the suppression of widespread protests
in Iran during the past months, Price noted that Europe, the United States,
countries around the world, and regions around the world "have seen all too
vivid demonstrations of the lethality of the IRGC, of its repugnant willingness
to take innocent lives in its operations.""We're committed to continuing to work
with the EU and with other allies and partners on this very challenge."
He stressed that the United States condemned any threat to US citizens, noting
that "we take such real threats seriously, and we're prepared to respond and
respond decisively if appropriate."
However, Price did not comment on reports of a meeting between the US special
envoy to Iran, Robert Malley, and Iran's permanent representative to the UN,
Saeid Iravani. The opposition "Iran International" website reported that Malley
met with Iravani in New York at least three times during the last two months.
"We have the means to deliver specific and firm messages to Iran when it is in
America's interest to do so," he said, adding that "we're not going to get into
details about how we deliver these messages, except to say that we do so in
close coordination with allies and partners." Price said that the US has
consistently conveyed three messages: stop killing peaceful protesters, stop
selling weapons to Russia to kill Ukrainians, and release the US citizens that
were wrongfully detained. Furthermore, the Iranian representative denied the
report, asserting that Iranian officials had not held any "discussions" with US
officials. Meanwhile, Senior Advisor at the Foundation for Defense of
Democracies Richard Goldberg said that the US Congress should thoroughly
investigate reports regarding a meeting between Malley and the Iranian
ambassador. Goldberg stated that anyone involved in this should be asked to
testify, adding that all Americans should condemn this "betrayal of the Iranian
people."
Dublin Says ‘Doing All It Can’ to Free French-Irish Citizen
Held in Iran
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 20 January, 2023
Ireland's foreign minister said Thursday the government was doing all it can to
secure the release of a French-Irish citizen held in Iran after his family urged
Dublin to intensify talks due to concerns for his health following a hunger
strike. Micheal Martin told a news conference in Dublin that "we're going to do
everything we possibly can" to help release Bernard Phelan, a Paris-based travel
consultant aged 64. "I think we have been very active in respect of Bernard's
situation," he told reporters, according to AFP. "We've sought his release on
humanitarian grounds from the Iranian government and we're waiting a response
from the Minister for Foreign Affairs in Iran. "We've been engaged with the
ambassador here as well."One of seven French nationals held by Iran, Phelan was
arrested in October while travelling through the country in the wake of recent
anti-regime protests. Martin's comments followed a plea from Phelan's sister
Caroline Masse-Phelan for Dublin to step up its negotiations with Tehran.
"Escalate negotiations with the Iranian authorities to get Bernard out of there.
His health condition is extremely bad following his hunger and thirst strike,"
Masse-Phelan said on RTE radio.
"His health is extremely at risk. And we still do fear for his life. So
escalate, escalate, escalate," she said, explaining her brother suffers from a
heart condition and chronic bone illness. A diplomatic source said Iranian
authorities had so far refused to release Phelan on medical grounds despite
repeated requests from French and Irish authorities.
Stringent US Moves against Money Flows from Iraq to Iran
Washington - Ali Barada/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 20 January, 2023
The decline in the value of Iraq’s national currency and the rise in the prices
of foodstuffs and imported goods can be traced back to remarkable change in the
policy adopted by the US Treasury and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Both
bodies have had a policy shift to curb money laundering and the illegal
appropriation of dollars by Iraqi commercial banks for the benefit of Iran and
other countries subject to sanctions in the Middle East. The New York Fed began
enforcing tighter controls on international dollar transactions by commercial
Iraqi banks in November in a move to curtail money laundering and the illegal
siphoning of dollars to Iran and other heavily sanctioned Middle East countries,
US and Iraqi officials said according to the Wall Street Journal.
Iraqi banks had operated under less stringent rules since shortly after the 2003
US invasion. It is time for Iraq’s banking system to comply with global
money-transfer practices, the officials added.
Since the procedures went into effect, 80% or more of Iraq’s daily dollar wire
transfers, which previously totaled over $250 million some days, have been
blocked because of insufficient information about the funds’ destinations or
other errors, according to US and Iraqi officials and official Iraqi government
data. Under the new procedures, Iraqi banks must submit dollar transfers on a
new online platform with the central bank, which are then reviewed by the Fed.
The system is aimed at curtailing use of Iraq’s banking system to smuggle
dollars to Tehran, Damascus and money laundering havens across the Middle East,
US officials said. Another US official said the measures would limit “the
ability of malign actors to use the Iraqi banking system.”US officials have
pressed Iraq for years to strengthen its banking controls. In 2015, the Federal
Reserve and Treasury Department temporarily shut off the flow of billions of
dollars to Iraq’s central bank over concerns that the currency was ending up at
Iranian banks and possibly being funneled to ISIS militants, officials said at
the time.
Russia's Putin holds second phone call in just
over a week with Iranian president
Reuters/Friday, 20 January, 2023
Russian President Vladimir Putin held a telephone call with his Iranian
counterpart Ebrahim Raisi on Thursday, the Kremlin said, their second
conversation in nine days. In a brief readout of the call, it said the two
presidents discussed the situation in Syria - where both have backed President
Bashar al-Assad in a long-running civil war - and cooperation in transport and
energy. The statement made no reference to the war in Ukraine. Iran has taken on
greater importance as a partner for Russia since Putin's invasion of Ukraine
last February triggered waves of Western sanctions against Moscow. Tehran has
acknowledged supplying Russia with military drones, though it says they were
sent before the war started. The United States said last week that Iran could be
contributing to war crimes in Ukraine by providing drones to Russia.
Top US general says Ukraine war has become an
'absolute catastrophe' for Russia, estimating it's suffered 'significantly well
over' 100,000 casualties
John Haltiwanger/Business Insider/January 20, 2023
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley on Friday said that
Russia has "really suffered a lot" in Ukraine and urged Russian President
Vladimir Putin to end the war. "The Russian casualties — last time I reported
out on it publicly, I said it was well over 100,000. I would say it's
significantly well over 100,000 now," Milley said at a news conference alongside
Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin in Germany, providing a slight update on a figure
the top US general offered in November. Milley said that the "tremendous amount
of casualties" suffered by Russia included "regular military, and also their
mercenaries in the Wagner Group and other type forces that are fighting with the
Russians.""Putin could end this war today," Milley said, "It's turning into an
absolute catastrophe for Russia." "Ukraine has also suffered tremendously,"
Milley added. "You know that there's a significant amount of innocent civilians
that have been killed in a result of the Russian actions. The Russians are
hitting civilian infrastructure. There's a significant amount of economic
damage, a significant amount of damage to the energy infrastructure, and the
Ukrainian military has suffered a significant amount of casualties themselves."
"This is a very, very bloody war, and there's significant casualties on both
sides," Milley said, going on to say that "sooner or later" negotiations will
have to occur to bring the conflict to a conclusion. Russia has shown no signs
of taking steps to end the war, despite facing repeated, major setbacks. Ukraine
has also warned that Russia appears to be preparing for another offensive, as
Kyiv urges the West to provide more weapons — particularly tanks — possibly for
its own offensive push.
But NATO countries are at an impasse on the issue of sending main battle tanks,
the German-made Leopard in particular, to Ukraine, and Western defense chiefs
failed to come to an agreement on the matter as they met at Ramstein Air Base in
Germany on Friday.
The discussion has largely centered around whether Germany is willing to send
Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine or at the very least allow other European countries
who have the German-made tank in their inventories to provide them to Ukrainian
forces. Germany would need to grant permission for the Leopard tanks to be
exported by other countries, and so far, that hasn't happened. Meanwhile, the
Biden administration is facing questions on whether it will send M1 Abrams tanks
to Ukraine. There have been signs from Germany that it won't provide Leopard
tanks unless the US sends M1s, but the Pentagon has pushed back on that while
arguing that it does not make sense to send the Abrams to Ukraine because the
cost is too high and the training and maintenance is too complicated. Austin on
Friday challenged the assertion that decisions on the Abrams and Leopards are
tied together. In an update on the situation though, he said he had no
announcements to make regarding whether the US might change its stance on the M1
and noted that Germany, which he called a "reliable ally," has "not made a
decision on Leopards."
Ukraine war: 'This is such a stupid tank':
Commander's plea for Western upgrades
Sky NewsFri, January 20, 2023
A Soviet-era T-72 rumbles through woodland belching thick black smoke as it
fishtails over the frozen mud near the battered Ukrainian city of Bakhmut. The
tank is old - a relic from a time gone by - but it is nonetheless all the crew
of the 24th mechanised brigade have to defend themselves against Russian
aggression. With the whoosh of rockets and thump of artillery reverberating
through the copse, the crew explains what they are up against and what they need
to end this fight. Zelenskyy says 'one European capital' holding up delivery of
crucial tanks - war latest "Tanks were created for supporting infantry, not for
defence but for attacking, so for example to liberate our territories we
definitely need tanks because it's like a fiery fist and a force to advance,"
Roman, the company commander, says. "This one is such a stupid tank - just a
simple rocket launcher made a long, long time ago could be a really serious
threat to it, but modern tanks are equipped better and they're safer from such
types of weapon."At the beginning of the war, military planners debated whether
the time of the tank was over. But this is a ground war with a line of contact
extending for hundreds of miles. Wherever you look along the front, you can see
smoke on the bruised horizon from artillery strikes and the flash from the
muzzles of big guns.We were taken to another position on the frontline where
rusty old tanks - mainly donated by Eastern European countries - lurk in the
trees. They are still lethal when locked and loaded but in the face of a
sustained Russian assault they are simply no match. Ukraine conflict has turned
into an attritional fight. Ukraine fears Western fatigue and an everlasting
stalemate will sound the death knell for the country. It has had tactical
successes, such as the liberation of Kherson and the Kharkiv regions, but
without even greater Western support maintaining operational tempo and
initiative will be difficult.
Russian forces are well dug in.
The conflict has turned into an attritional fight across trenches. And as tanks
helped break the deadlock of the western front in the First World War, military
planners in Kyiv are hoping to do the same in this conflict more than a century
later. They need protection and manoeuvrability to push their infantry forwards
- something only modern western tanks, they argue, can provide. All the
indications are that Moscow is in for the long fight and is planning a major
offensive with hundreds of thousands of men in the spring. But this is about
much more than simply holding position. Vladimir Putin claims a Russian victory
is inevitable but Ukraine says with the right equipment it can do far more than
hold Moscow back - it can keep pushing forward and win this war. What they don't
understand here is the slowness to commit by some Western countries. For every
day lost, they argue, there's a heavy price paid with Ukrainian blood.
Russia's relationship with U.S. at its 'lowest
historical point,' Kremlin says
Yahoo News/Niamh Cavanagh/January 20, 2023
LONDON — The Kremlin said Friday that Russia’s relationship with the U.S. is at
an all-time low.
Speaking to reporters, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that despite timid
hopes from the Geneva summit in 2021, bilateral relations were “at their lowest
historical point.” He added, “There is no hope for improvement in the
foreseeable future.”The comments follow months of what has come to be a total
breakdown in relations between the two powers. Relations went from bad to worse
when after conducting several military drills along Ukraine’s border, Russia's
forces launched what it called a “special military operation” on Feb. 24, 2022.
The invasion was met with immediate and harsh sanctions from the U.S. as well as
Ukraine’s Western allies. All hopes for any progress in relations were slashed
when the Biden administration threw its full support behind Russia’s neighboring
countries Finland and Sweden in joining NATO. President Biden. President Biden
departs Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport on Sunday. This,
according to reports, meant the U.S. would be going against its agreement with
Russia in 1991 that NATO would not expand past East Germany. This part of the
agreement has been hotly contested, as there had been no legal binding between
the two nations that would prohibit countries in Eastern Europe from joining the
military alliance. Over the past 11 months, the Biden administration has made
several announcements that the U.S. would be providing Ukraine with billions of
dollars in military aid and assistance. With Russia’s recent onslaught of
airstrikes on Ukraine, the U.S. and other allies have announced plans to provide
the beleaguered nation’s military with more weapons. On Friday, Peskov told
reporters that the wave of assistance from the West would be met with
consequences. “We see a growing indirect and sometimes direct involvement of
NATO countries in this conflict,” he said. “We see a devotion to the dramatic
delusion that Ukraine can succeed on the battlefield. This is a dramatic
delusion of the Western community that will more than once be cause for regret,
we are sure of that.” His remarks came as Western defense ministers gathered at
an air base in Germany to discuss supplying further military assistance to
Ukraine.
Israel Asks Pope Francis, Red Cross to Help Release Four
Citizens in Gaza
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 20 January, 2023
Israel appealed to Pope Francis, the head of the International Committee of the
Red Cross, and the UN Secretary-General on Wednesday to help it recover four
citizens held in the Gaza Strip for more than seven years. Reuters reported that
Israeli Foreign Minister Eli Cohen sent letters of appeal after Gaza's ruling
Palestinian group Hamas released a video of captive Avera Mengistu, who walked
into the enclave and whose family says he has a mental illness.
Another Israeli civilian is being held in Gaza after entering under similar
circumstances in 2015, as are two Israeli soldiers who went missing during a war
with Hamas in 2014 and were declared dead by the army.
Cohen described Mengistu's plight as "a gross violation of international
humanitarian law, with no information on his health condition nor means of
communication with family nor Red Cross visits," the Foreign Ministry said.
Hamas's release of the video on Monday appeared to be an effort to pressure
Israel into a prisoner swap. Israel has said it explored indirect talks with
Hamas on recovering the four without specifying what it might give in return.
Meanwhile, the Israeli Broadcasting Authority (Kan) said that the Hamas movement
is intensifying its efforts to kidnap Israeli soldiers on the borders of the
Gaza Strip, to promote an exchange deal with Israel. Kan said Hamas is trying to
step up kidnapping attempts after it realized the Israeli prisoners it has were
not a powerful bargaining chip to implement an exchange similar to the 2011
Shalit deal. The channel accused Hamas politburo chief, Ismail Haniyeh, and his
deputy, Saleh al-Arouri, who live abroad, of pushing the al-Qassam Brigades to
kidnap soldiers. According to what it reported, Hamas intended to surprise the
army and carry out the kidnapping during the calm period, not during security
tension or escalation. The Israeli report came one day after Hamas warned Israel
that the window to negotiate a prisoner deal is closing, and another way will be
found.
World Court Says It Has Received UN Request for Opinion on
Israel Occupation
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 20 January, 2023
The International Court of Justice on Friday confirmed it had officially
received a request from the United Nations General Assembly to give an advisory
opinion on the legal consequences of Israel's occupation of the Palestinian
territories. The ICJ is expected to draw up a list of states and organizations
that will be able to file written statements, but the press release gave no
further information about a timeline for that process. In previous advisory
opinions the court also scheduled hearings but it is likely to take at least
several months before they can be scheduled. The Hague-based ICJ, also known as
the World Court, is the top UN court dealing with disputes between states. Its
rulings are binding, though the ICJ has no power to enforce them. In a move
condemned by Israel and welcomed by Palestinians, the General Assembly asked the
ICJ last month to give an advisory opinion on the legal consequences of Israel's
"occupation, settlement and annexation ... including measures aimed at altering
the demographic composition, character and status of the Holy City of Jerusalem,
and from its adoption of related discriminatory legislation and measures." The
UN resolution also asks the ICJ to advise on how those policies and practices
"affect the legal status of the occupation" and what legal consequences arise
for all countries and the United Nations from this status. Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has called the request for a World Court opinion a
"despicable decision". The ICJ last weighed in on the conflict between Israel
and the Palestinians in 2004, when it ruled that an Israeli separation barrier
was illegal. In the same ruling the ICJ judges said that Israeli settlements in
occupied Palestinian territory "have been established in breach of international
law". Israel rejected that ruling, accusing the court of being politically
motivated.
Saudi rules out Israel normalization without
two-state solution
Agence France Presse/January 20/2023
Saudi Arabia will not normalize ties with Israel in the absence of a two-state
solution with the Palestinians, the kingdom's top diplomat has said, according
to a tweet by the foreign ministry on Friday.The comments by Prince Faisal bin
Farhan Al Saud on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos came as
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed normalization with Saudi
Arabia in talks with White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan in
Jerusalem on Thursday. "True normalization and true stability will only come
through... giving the Palestinians a state," Prince Faisal told Bloomberg at the
summit. Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter, is a close partner of
the United States but it has repeatedly refused to normalize ties with U.S.-ally
Israel due to its occupation of Palestinian territories. The U.S.-brokered
Abraham Accords in 2020 saw the kingdom's neighbors -- the United Arab Emirates
and Bahrain -- establish full diplomatic ties with Israel. Netanyahu has
repeatedly expressed his desire to see Saudi Arabia join the list. In their
talks on Thursday, Netanyahu and Sullivan discussed "measures to deepen the
Abraham Accords... with an emphasis on a breakthrough with Saudi," the Israeli
leader's office said. The West Bank and the Gaza Strip plus Israeli-annexed east
Jerusalem were long touted as the basis of a Palestinian state in a "two-state"
solution to the long-running conflict. But that goal has become ever more
distant, with the occupied West Bank fragmented by Jewish settlements. Netanyahu
plans to pursue a policy of increased settlement expansion in the West Bank,
with ultra-Orthodox Jewish parties in his coalition advocating the annexation of
some of the territory.
Defense leaders meet amid dissent over tanks for Ukraine
Associated Press/January 20/2023
Defense leaders gathered at Ramstein Air Base in Germany heard an impassioned
plea for more aid Friday from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky as they
struggled to resolve ongoing dissent over who will provide battle tanks and
other military aid to his embattled country. "This is a crucial moment. Russia
is regrouping, recruiting and trying to re-equip," U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd
Austin warned as the meeting opened. Zelensky, speaking live via video link,
told the gathering that "terror does not allow for discussion." He said "the war
started by Russia does not allow delays."
Calling it a decisive moment for Ukraine and a "decisive decade for the world,"
Austin said the group's presence in Germany signaled their unity and commitment
to continue supporting Ukraine. "We need to keep up our momentum and our
resolve. We need to dig even deeper," Austin told the gathering of as many as 50
defense leaders who were attending in person and by video. Austin and U.S. Army
Gen. Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, were expected to
discuss the latest massive package of aid the U.S. is sending, which totals $2.5
billion and includes Stryker armored vehicles for the first time.
But broader hesitation over sending tanks to Ukraine has roiled the coalition.
Germany faces mounting pressure to supply Leopard 2 tanks to Kyiv, or at least
clear the way for other countries, such as Poland, to deliver the German-made
Leopards from their own stocks.
The U.S. has also declined, at least so far, to provide M1 Abrams tanks, citing
the extensive and complex maintenance and logistical challenges with the
high-tech vehicle. The U.S. believes it would be more productive to send
Leopards since many allies have them and Ukrainian troops would only have to get
trained on that one, versus needing far more training on the more difficult
Abrams.
The United Kingdom announced last week that it would send Challenger 2 tanks,
describing it as a natural progression of military aid to Ukraine. At a Pentagon
briefing Thursday, spokeswoman Sabrina Singh said the Leopard and Challenger
aren't comparable to the Abrams tanks because the Abrams is much harder to
maintain and wouldn't be a good fit. "It's more of a sustainment issue. I mean,
this is a tank that requires jet fuel, whereas the Leopard and the Challenger,
it's a different engine." The Leopard and Challenger are "a little bit easier to
maintain," Singh said. "They can maneuver across large portions of territory
before they need to refuel. The maintenance and the high cost that it would take
to maintain an Abrams — it just doesn't make sense to provide that to the
Ukrainians at this moment."The package of aid being sent by the U.S. includes
eight Avenger air defense systems, 350 Humvees, 53 Mine Resistant Ambush
Protected (MRAP) vehicles, more than 100,000 rounds of artillery ammunition and
rockets, and missiles for the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System. It was
announced Thursday by the Pentagon. Germany's new defense minister, Boris
Pistorius, who took office just an hour before he met with Austin on Thursday,
is among those attending the Ramstein meeting. Referring to the tanks, he told
ARD television he was "pretty sure we will get a decision on this in the coming
days, but I can't yet tell you today how it will look."
During brief comments before the meeting began, Austin said, "we'll renew our
united commitment to support Ukraine's self-defense for the long haul," but
didn't mention any specific new equipment. Nearly 11 months into the Russian
invasion, Zelensky has expressed frustration about not obtaining enough weaponry
from the Western allies. Speaking by video link on the sidelines of the World
Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland, on Wednesday, the
Ukrainian leader offered a veiled critique of major supporters such as Germany
and the U.S. that have hesitated about sending tanks.
Bemoaning a "lack of specific weaponry," Zelensky said, through an interpreter,
"There are times where we shouldn't hesitate or we shouldn't compare when
someone says, 'I will give tanks if someone else will also share his tanks.'"
German officials have conveyed their hesitancy to allow allies to give Leopards
unless the U.S. also sends Ukraine the Abrams, according to a U.S. official who
wasn't authorized to comment and spoke on condition of anonymity. But there have
been no signs the U.S. is shifting its decision to not send Abrams. The issue is
expected to be a key topic at Friday's meeting. Milley told reporters traveling
with him this week that complex new U.S. training of Ukrainian troops, combined
with an array of new weapons, artillery, armored vehicles heading to Ukraine,
will be key to helping the country's forces take back territory that has been
captured by Russia in the nearly 11-month-old war. The goal, he said, is to
deliver needed weapons and equipment to Ukraine so the newly trained forces will
be able to use it "sometime before the spring rains show up. That would be
ideal."Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl also said this week that
a new phase of the war is shaping up as Russia gets more deeply entrenched, and
that Ukraine will need mechanized infantry to break through those lines. The
influx of new weapons, tanks and armored carriers comes as Ukraine faces intense
combat in the country's east around the city of Bakhmut and the nearby salt
mining town of Soledar. The battles are expected to intensify in the spring.
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on January 20-21/2023
Turkey: Putin's Open Door for Harming Western Interests
Burak Bekdil/Gatestone Institute/January 20/2023
For Putin, Erdoğan's friendship is growing ever more important -- and vice
versa.
Turkey has refused to join Western sanctions against Russia over Ukraine,
thereby throwing a lifeline to Putin. Turkish skies remain open to Russian
airlines and its doors open to hundreds of thousands of Russians and their
money. Turkish exports to Russia are surging. In July alone, exports to Russia
shot up by a dizzying 75% year-on-year.
Russian cash helped plug the growing hole in Turkey's foreign currency reserves
-- at a time when Erdoğan needs foreign money for the country's ailing economy
before the presidential and parliamentary elections this June.
In March, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu said that Russian oligarchs
were welcome in Turkey. In October, the Financial Times reported that between
January and August 2021, a record $28 billion from unclear origins had flowed
into Turkey.
"Putin's goal remains anchoring Erdoğan more and more to Russia through a vast
mesh of mutually beneficial operations in the fields of defense, energy, trade,
and finance... By doing this, Putin is comforting an embattled incumbent
president and is openly bolstering Erdoğan's position in the upcoming
elections.... [T]he world is witnessing the Russian president using Turkey for
his own benefits." — Marc Pierini, senior fellow at Carnegie Europe and a former
EU Ambassador to Ankara, August 30, 2022.
The Erdoğan-Putin bond has two main pillars. One is pragmatism: They both
strategically, politically and economically benefit. The other is ideological:
They both hate the West.
Turkey has refused to join Western sanctions against Russia over Ukraine,
thereby throwing a lifeline to Putin. Turkish skies remain open to Russian
airlines and its doors open to hundreds of thousands of Russians and their
money. Pictured: Erdoğan meets with Russian President Vladimir Putin in
Samarkand, Uzbekistan on September 16, 2022.
Turkish Islamists, especially neo-Ottomans, have historically hated Russia --
both Czarist and Soviet. Similarly, Russians and Soviets have never been great
fans of the Turks -- both Ottoman and republican. Today, however, Turkish
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, with a big foot in NATO, is exhibiting a
pro-Russian tilt never seen before, and at a time when Russian President
Vladimir Putin is seen as an existential threat to Western interests. What is
the secret behind this sudden marriage?
For Putin, Erdoğan's friendship is growing ever more important -- and vice
versa.
Turkey has refused to join Western sanctions against Russia over Ukraine,
thereby throwing a lifeline to Putin. Turkish skies remain open to Russian
airlines and its doors open to hundreds of thousands of Russians and their
money. Turkish exports to Russia are surging. In July alone, exports to Russia
shot up by a dizzying 75% year-on-year.
Russia's state-run Rosatom, which is building Turkey's first nuclear power
plant, has sent about $5 billion to its Turkish subsidiary, the first in a
series of such transfers. Russian cash helped plug the growing hole in Turkey's
foreign currency reserves -- at a time when Erdoğan needs foreign money for the
country's ailing economy before the presidential and parliamentary elections
this June.
Some analysts see the Rosatom-Akkuyu-dollar bonds triangle as a Turkish-Russian
scheme to open a parking space for Russian funds in Turkey. They think, for
example, the increase in the Turkish central bank's foreign currency and gold
reserves — $108 billion on August 4, up from $98.9 billion on July 26 -- had to
do with Russian money flowing to Turkey.
Bloomberg reported that "mystery capital flows" into Turkey had reached "new
highs allowing policymakers to boost foreign reserves despite a growing trade
deficit and weak demand for lira assets." Bloomberg's source remains unclear.
In March, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu said that Russian oligarchs
were welcome in Turkey. In October, the Financial Times reported that between
January and August 2021, a record $28 billion from unclear origins had flowed
into Turkey. Turkish investigative journalist Aytuğ Özçolak listed a few of the
Russian oligarchs who have business interests, investment and funds in Turkey as
Leonid Mikhelson, Vagit Alekperov, Vladimir Lisin, Vladimir Potanin, Alexey
Mordashov and Mikhail Fridman.
According to Marc Pierini, a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe and a former EU
Ambassador to Ankara, the number of Russian expatriates in Turkey, as well as
their real estate investments and financial transfers to Turkish banks, have
grown substantially. Moreover, Pierini wrote, there is a suspicion that Russia
is trying to circumvent some of the effects of Western sanctions via Turkey, in
particular through the acquisition of stakes in Turkish oil businesses, as joint
companies help to blur oil trade.
Pierini further noted:
"The Kremlin's policy is highly pragmatic: knowing that Turkey's partners in
NATO are keen to keep it in the North Atlantic Alliance and Ankara has every
interest in staying within NATO, Putin's goal remains anchoring Erdoğan more and
more to Russia through a vast mesh of mutually beneficial operations in the
fields of defense, energy, trade, and finance.
"By doing this, Putin is comforting an embattled incumbent president and is
openly bolstering Erdoğan's position in the upcoming elections. More than the
Turkish president abandoning his traditional Western partners, the world is
witnessing the Russian president using Turkey for his own benefits."
Jokes in Ankara's political grapevine describe Putin as "head of the Erdoğan
Party's Moscow provincial branch." Whichever indicator one looks at, Putin wants
Erdoğan to stay in power. He would rather not gamble with someone else as
Turkey's new leader. After all, Erdoğan's potential rivals pledge to reinstate
Turkey's strong bonds with Western countries.
The Erdoğan-Putin bond has two main pillars. One is pragmatism: They both
strategically, politically and economically benefit. The other is ideological:
They both hate the West.
**Burak Bekdil, one of Turkey's leading journalists, was recently fired from the
country's most noted newspaper after 29 years, for writing in Gatestone what is
taking place in Turkey. He is a Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
© 2023 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Ukraine: Waiting for the Stinger Moment
Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/January, 20/2023
When Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine almost a
year ago many analysts expected a quick catharsis in line with the prevailing
view of war as a short hymn to military power.
That view had taken shape over many decades as memories of wars in ancient times
through the 18th century faded. The 200-year long Roman-Persian war was far away
as were the 100-year religious war and the 30-year war in Europe. Wars became
shorter and shorter. The Napoleonic wars, staring with the French Revolution
lasted 23 years.
The American war of secession lasted four years. The four-year long war became a
pattern repeated in both world wars. The US-Philippines war lasted three years
as did the Korean War. The US-Spain war lasted eight months while the US-Mexico
War took two years.
As always there was one exception to the new rule: the Vietnam War that lasted
almost 10 years.
However, we also had the Six Day war between Israel and its Arab neighbors and
the US capture of Grenada in four days. The war between Argentine and Great
Britain over the Falkland Islands lasted 70 days.
The image of war as a short sharp clash was shaken by the Soviet war in
Afghanistan that lasted almost 10 years and the Iran-Iraq war that lasted eight
years.
However, when Putin’s invasion of Ukraine came most analysts still saw war as a
short hymn to victory not a long symphony of death in four movements.
Heading for its second year, the Ukraine war seems set to become a long symphony
of death rather than short hymn to victory.
Why has Ukraine become the scene of a costly positional warfare that may last
forever, if such a thing as forever exists? One reason is that it was not
launched as a means of altering the status quo but as an attempt at totally
effacing the very context in which the status quo had taken shape. Putin wanted
to Russify Ukraine which, despite a long history of sharing the experience of
Russian-ness was on a new trajectory towards a distinct Ukrainian identity.
Thus they felt that rising defeat on the battleground is less than surrendering
to superior force on the way to extinction as a nation-state.
No war is won or lost until one side admits defeat or one side totally destroys
the other side. Hitler could not admit defeat, a possibility that was urged
on him even until 1944, because that would have meant the end of his Reich.
In the Six Day war, Egyptian leader Gamal Abdul-Nasser could admit defeat
because that did not pose an existential threat to Egypt or his dream of one day
crossing the Suez Canal in the opposite direction.
The symphonic war in Ukraine started with a short and sharp overture that saw
Putin’s troops reaching part of the Ukrainian shores of the Dnieper River and
advancing to Donbass. That was followed by Ukraine’s success in stopping the
Russian advance just weeks after the invasion.
By April what had started as a war of movement had morphed into a war of
position. Since then Ukrainian success in recapturing chunks of territory has
created the illusion of movement. However, reality on the ground depicts a
stalemate in military terms.
That stalemate has not prevented, or may even have caused, socio-political
changes not only in Russian held chunks of the Donbass but also in the Crimean
Peninsula that Russia annexed in 2014.
In Lugansk, Moscow has lost the control it had until a few months ago.The
annexed Ukrainian territory is now divided among several contenders for control.
Local pro-Russian militia still dominates in one portion of the territory while
Wagner mercenaries have set up their own fiefdom. Chechen “volunteers” and
Syrian “contract” fighters are present in another chunk of Lugansk. In Crimea,
Putin has created mixed armed units of Tatars and ethnic Russians as auxiliaries
for his army in the face of manpower shortage.
In Donetsk, Russia is increasingly worried about local pro-Russian groups
switching sides. This is why the pace, at which inhabitants of Donetsk are
transferred to Russia, ostensibly for humanitarian reasons, has accelerated in
recent weeks.
In both Donetsk and Lugansk, the absence of effective authority has allowed
criminal gangs, including black-marketers and human traffickers, to set
operational bases.
The deadly stalemate, the symphony of death, is prolonged both by Putin’s
failure to realize that his aim of de-Ukrianizing Ukraine has entrapped him in a
long war of position that he can only pursue by incessant and ultimately
counter-productive attacks, short of total war, on civilian targets, that could
only reinforce Ukrainian defiance. The appointment of General Valery Gerasimov,
Russia’s top military as commander in the Ukraine war, shows that Putin isn’t
ready to change his trajectory.
However, the US and its European allies are also helping prolong this war.
Anti-West analysts claim that this is because the US and the European Union wish
to prolong the war to bleed Russia while creating a new status quo in Europe
with expanding NATO.
I don’t share that view. But I think that the Biden administration as its
principal European allies, Germany and France, lack the vision, or the courage,
to provide Ukraine with the hardware needed to threaten Russia’s sense of
immunity. Writing fat checks, offering a limited range of recycled weapons, and
diplomatic gesticulations such as setting up a tribunal against Putin and his
associates, won’t shorten this symphony of death.
Things are not going well for Russia. Putin has failed to create a network of
dependable allies while Russia’s industry is under pressure to supply the
material needs of this costly war. The only way to shorten this deadly symphony
is to raise its rhythm and tempo towards a crescendo that could come if and when
Putin feels he has lost control of the war.
The war in Afghanistan was shortened when President Ronald Reagan’s
administration supplied the anti-Soviet insurgency with Stinger missiles that
ended the Red Army’s control of skies with helicopter gunships and troop
carriers.
The decision by Britain and France to supply Ukraine with two or three dozens of
motorized vehicles and tanks, with a nod from Washington, shows that Western
powers are still locked into the stalemate that Putin hopes to maintain on the
ground. The Stinger moment that could shorten this war has not yet arrived.
رويترز: الحرس الثوري الإيراني يتحول من
العمليات العسكرية إلى إمبراطورية أعمال كبيرة
Iran's Revolutionary Guards: from military operations to business empire
Reuters/January 20/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/115115/reuters-irans-revolutionary-guards-from-military-operations-to-business-empire-%d8%b1%d9%88%d9%8a%d8%aa%d8%b1%d8%b2-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b1%d8%b3-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ab%d9%88%d8%b1%d9%8a-%d8%a7/
Iran's armed forces general staff, which coordinates activities
between its conventional army and the Revolutionary Guard Corps, warned the
European Union on Thursday not to list the elite force as a terrorist entity,
state media reported.
On Wednesday, the European Parliament called for the EU to list the
Revolutionary Guards as a terrorist organisation, blaming it for the repression
of domestic protesters and the supply of drones to Russia's military engaged in
Ukraine.
Following are some questions and answers about the powerful Islamic
Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), Iran's dominant military force, with its own
army, navy, air force and intelligence wing:
It was set up shortly after the 1979 Islamic Revolution to protect the Shi’ite
clerical ruling system and provide a counterweight to the regular armed forces.
It answers to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The IRGC has an estimated
125,000-strong military with army, navy and air units. It also commands the
Basij religious militia, a volunteer paramilitary force loyal to the clerical
establishment which is often used to crack down on anti-government protests.
Basijis mounted “human wave” attacks against Iraqi troops during the 1980s war.
In peacetime, they enforce Iran’s Islamic social codes. Analysts say Basij
volunteers may number in the millions, with 1 million active members.
The Quds Force is the foreign espionage and paramilitary arm of the IRGC that
heavily influences its allied militia across the Middle East, from Lebanon to
Iraq and Yemen to Syria. Its members have fought in support of President Bashar
al-Assad in Syria’s civil war and have backed Iraqi security forces in their
battle against Islamic State militants in recent years.
Its top commander, Major-General Qassem Soleimani, was killed by the United
States in a drone attack in Iraq in 2020. His death raised fears of a major
conflict. The killing of all American leaders would not be enough to avenge the
assassination of Soleimani, a senior Iranian Guards commander said later.
The IRGC, branded a terrorist group and sanctioned by the United States, has
sought for years to shape the Middle East in favour of Tehran. For instance, it
founded Lebanon's Hezbollah in 1982 to export Iran's Islamic Revolution and
fight Israeli forces that invaded Lebanon that same year.
Hezbollah is now a major military force which has played a role in regional
conflicts.
WHAT ARE THE IRGC’S MILITARY CAPABILITIES?
The IRGC oversees Iran’s ballistic missile programme, regarded by experts as the
largest in the Middle East.
The Guards have used the missiles to hit Sunni Muslim militants in Syria and
Iranian Kurdish opposition groups in northern Iraq. The United States, European
powers and Saudi Arabia blamed Iran for a 2019 missile and drone attack that
crippled the world's biggest oil processing facility in Saudi Arabia. Iran
denied any involvement in the assault.
Former U.S. President Donald Trump pointed to Iran’s missile programme as one of
the points not addressed in its 2015 nuclear deal with world powers and which he
cited as a reason for pulling out in 2018.
The Guards have extensive conventional combat hardware and capabilities which
were showcased in their involvement in the conflicts in Syria and Iraq.
WHAT IS THE IRGC’S POSITION IN IRAN'S POLITICAL SYSTEM?
Former Revolutionary Guards officers occupy key positions in Iran's
establishment, from the government to parliament. Most of President Ebrahim
Raisi's cabinet are former IRGC officers.
The IRGC’s mandate to protect revolutionary values has prompted it to speak out
when it felt the system was threatened.
WHAT ABOUT BUSINESS INTERESTS?
After the 1980s Iraq war, the IRGC became heavily involved in Iran’s
reconstruction and has expanded its economic interests to include a vast network
of businesses, ranging from oil and gas projects to construction and
telecommunication. Its business interests are worth billions of dollars.
Pictures Enclosed/Chief Major General Hossein Salami, commander of the Islamic
Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC)
Iran’s aerial threat on the rise as a result of Russia’s use of its suicide
drones in Ukraine war
Luke Coffey/Arab News/January 21, 2023
US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan recently placed Iran under the
spotlight for its so-called suicide drones, which are being used against
civilian targets in Ukraine. The Shahed 136 (known as the Geran-2 by Russia) are
packed with explosives and flown into a target instead of returning to base.
Speaking to reporters, Sullivan this month said that Tehran had chosen “to go
down a road where their weapons are being used to kill civilians in Ukraine …
which from our point of view, puts Iran in a place where it could potentially be
contributing to widespread war crimes.”
This is the most serious charge to date by a US official regarding the use of
Iranian drones in Ukraine. Days before Sullivan’s statement, Washington
announced a new round of sanctions against Iran over the issue of the use of its
drones by Russia. According to a press release from the Department of the
Treasury, “six executives and board members of US-designated Qods Aviation
Industries” and the director of Iran’s Aerospace Industries Organization were
sanctioned. Last month, the EU sanctioned four Iranian officials and four
entities connected to Iran’s drone program. Meanwhile, the UK recently announced
sanctions against three senior officials and one company over the Iranian drones
used in Ukraine.
Of course, the Iranians deny providing any drones to Russia for use in Ukraine
since the war started last February. Tehran claims that the drones being used
now were purchased by Russia years ago. However, this is unlikely to be the
case.
Experts are now combing through the remains and debris of Iranian drones that
have been found in Ukraine. Iranian drones that have been shot down, as well as
fragments of the Shaheds that made it to their targets and exploded, are
providing an intelligence boom for Western analysts. One of the most shocking
discoveries was the amount of American and European-manufactured parts found in
these drones, despite years of sanctions against Iran. This is starting to raise
eyebrows in Western capitals, with politicians demanding action on closing
loopholes that allow Western-manufactured items to find their way to Iran for
use in weapons.
Iran benefits greatly from providing Russia with drones. In the lead-up to the
war, Russia built up large currency and gold reserves. Meanwhile, Iran has been
cash-starved due to years of economic sanctions. Simply put, Moscow has the cash
that Tehran needs. Meanwhile, Iran has the drones that Russia needs. However,
Iran is benefiting more from its deals with Russia than just financially. It is
also procuring dozens of Russian-made Su-35 aircraft. This acquisition will give
Iran a boost to its aerial capability that should be a major concern for
policymakers in the Gulf.
Dealing with the Iranian drone threat is no easy task. For years, Iran has been
wreaking havoc with its drones across much of the Middle East. Now, Eastern
Europe is under threat too. However, there are five things that can be done to
start pushing back.
As more drones are used in places like Ukraine, Tehran will be able to modify
and perfect its drone program
The first is for the US to end the nuclear talks in Vienna, formally and
officially. It is inconceivable that Iran can be trusted right now. Secondly, as
Western policymakers learn more about Iran’s drone program and exports, new
sanctions against Iranian officials and entities need to be introduced. Also,
loopholes allowing Western equipment to end up in Iranian drones need to be
closed.
Thirdly, pressure needs to be placed on regional countries to make transporting
Iranian drones to Russia more difficult. No country that is a partner of the US
should facilitate the transport or overflight passage of Iranian drones.
Fourthly, the US should be working with Gulf partners to boost air defense in
the region and with European allies to increase air defense in Ukraine.
Finally, there needs to be more coordination and engagement behind the scenes
between the US, Israel, Ukraine and the Gulf states regarding the Iranian drone
threat. There is likely no other country on the planet that has more direct
experience with countering Iranian drones than Ukraine. It would be in the
interest of Gulf and Israeli policymakers to learn from Kyiv. However, this
might mean more support for Ukraine behind the scenes.
The Iranian drone threat, whether in the Middle East or in Ukraine, is not going
away. Not only are Western analysts learning from the use of Iranian drones in
Ukraine, but so are the Iranians. As more drones are used in places like
Ukraine, Tehran will be able to modify and perfect its drone program, making
them more capable on the battlefield. The combat testing of Iranian drones in
Ukraine should be a concern for those in the Gulf.
Regrettably, it is unlikely that Iran’s export of terror to Ukraine will be
limited to just drones. The big fear for Ukrainian policymakers is the
introduction of Iranian ballistic missiles, like the Fateh-110, into the
conflict. As Russian ballistic missile stockpiles continue to run low, it is
expected that these missiles will be used by Moscow sometime this year.
From the Baltic Sea to the Arabian Sea — and every place in between — 2023 is
the year to start getting serious about air defense and the Iranian threat.
• Luke Coffey is a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute.
Twitter: @LukeDCoffey
Afghanistan: Changing the Taliban’s mentality toward women will not be easy
Maha Akeel/Arab News/January 21, 2023
Bringing attention back to Afghanistan, the Taliban shocked the world last month
with the absurd order to local and foreign aid organizations to stop employing
female staff because some women had not adhered to the strict dress code. This
demand resulted in many of these organizations suspending their operations. Last
week, the Taliban assured female health staff and those working in office
support roles that they were allowed to resume work. A spokesperson for the
Afghan Ministry of Public Health told Reuters that there was a misunderstanding
of the orders and that health-related activities were not stopped.
There was a cautious sigh of relief at this change, but it does not alter the
daily reality that women in Afghanistan are subjected to old and new
restrictions and violations based on unfounded interpretations of religious
texts and principles. The most obvious of these is denying girls the right to
education, which is clearly and unequivocally guaranteed in Islam.
The Taliban has a certain view of females and their role in society that is
misogynistic, derived from years of limited and uninformed religious teachings,
an underdeveloped education system and inadequate social cohesion that emerged
from decades of civil war, corrupt government and militarization. We cannot
expect their sexist attitude to change overnight or by simple promises and words
of assurance. A change in perception, attitude and mentality needs to take place
throughout their ranks, especially among the leadership.
Similar is happening in Yemen with how the Houthis are treating women. After
decades of progressive women’s rights and empowerment in Yemen, the Houthis are
imposing a strict dress code, travel restrictions, gender segregation and
limited employment.
Extremist groups tend to frame their rights violations and abuses of women in
religious terms, when it is mostly an ideology. There is almost an agreed
formula for curtailing women’s public appearances, movement, growth and
independence. This is a formula that leads to poverty, hunger and regression.
Due to their own limited capacity and inability to address real political,
economic and social development challenges, they instead focus on women. It is
not the religion that dictates this kind of demeaning attitude and treatment of
women, but the mentality, interpretations and views of those leading the group.
The Taliban’s limited capacity to judge and comprehend the dire consequences of
their decisions on social and economic development is illustrated by the ban on
girls’ education and women’s employment and public role. For a country that is
heavily dependent on international organizations for survival and humanitarian
support, such decisions raise the alarm about worsening humanitarian conditions
in Afghanistan and question the credibility and leadership of the Taliban.
We cannot expect their sexist attitude to change overnight or by simple promises
and words of assurance
The Organization of Islamic Cooperation, representing the voice of the Muslim
world, held an extraordinary meeting last week in reaction to the decisions by
the de facto Afghan authorities to close schools and universities for girls and
women and suspend women’s work in national and international nongovernmental
organizations, which the OIC considered a violation of the purposes of Islamic
law and the Prophet’s message.
Considering the deteriorating humanitarian, social, economic and human rights
conditions in Afghanistan — and stressing the significant role of women in
social and economic development and peace and security, while confirming the
right of women and girls to access all levels of education in accordance with
Islamic Shariah — the OIC expressed its disappointment over these latest
decisions. It urged the de facto Afghan authorities to adhere to the principles
of the UN and OIC charters, to abide by their international obligations on human
rights, and to reopen schools and universities for girls and women and allow
them to exercise their right to contribute to the social and economic
development of Afghan society.
The OIC meeting decided to dispatch a delegation to assess the need for
technical and developmental assistance, particularly for small-scale
income-generating activities, and to dispatch the OIC secretary-general’s
special envoy for Afghanistan to deliver the message on supporting the country
and on reconsidering the recent decisions on women’s work and girls’ education.
The OIC last year sent all-male delegations to Afghanistan and received
assurances from the de facto authorities that they would allow girls to go to
school. The International Islamic Fiqh Academy also led a delegation of Muslim
scholars, including one woman, and met with Afghan officials and a group of
female Afghan scholars. Shortly after these visits, the Taliban reneged on their
promise.
The Taliban leaders must hear and see clear, constant messages about the real
situation and the consequences of their shortsighted decisions. They need to
understand why they need to change their attitude and to have confidence and
trust in the messenger. Not all Taliban officials and followers are of the same
mindset and worldview. They have moved ahead with some bilateral, regional and
multilateral cooperation on economic, security and humanitarian projects,
despite not being internationally recognized. However, they have expressed
rejection and resistance to foreign intervention in their internal affairs,
especially when it comes to women.
Women’s rights should not be a bargaining tool or optional. Ensuring women’s
rights and security according to Islamic laws and principles should be an
integral part of humanitarian, economic and political assistance.
• Maha Akeel is a Saudi writer based in Jeddah.
Twitter: @MahaAkeel1