English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For January 20/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
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Bible Quotations For today
The harvest is plentiful, but the labourers are few; therefore ask the Lord of the harvest to send out labourers into his harvest
Matthew 09/36-38: “When he saw the crowds, he had compassion for them, because they were harassed and helpless, like sheep without a shepherd. Then he said to his disciples, ‘The harvest is plentiful, but the labourers are few; therefore ask the Lord of the harvest to send out labourers into his harvest”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on January 19-20/2023
Lebanon fails to elect new president at 11th attempt
MPs support blast victims' families as they fail again to elect a president
Parliament winds up president election session, no new state head chosen
Berri broaches bilateral relations, general situation with French Ambassador
Families of Beirut port victims rally near parliament
Khalaf, Saliba begin open-ended sit-in in parliament over presidential crisis
Bitar stresses he won't give up, urges 'drastic solution' from judiciary
Belgian parliament urges EU to sanction Lebanese politicians
Blast victims' relatives rally near parliament ahead of presidential election session
Lebanese Army forbids Israeli bulldozer from crossing Blue Line
Lebanese to get extra four hours of daily electricity in $116m move
Workers hopeless as Lebanese pound plummets to 50,000 to the dollar
Lebanese pound hits all-time low as deadlock persists
Jumblatt meets Hezbollah delegation
SchoolTec exhibition kicks off at Mövenpick
Lebanon pleads with UK for financial help to battle poverty and refugee crisis
Sayyed Nasrallah: We Want a President Who Does Not Flutter with One US Blow!

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on January 19-20/2023
Netanyahu discusses Saudi peace with US security advisor
Netanyahu says he discussed Saudi Arabia with White House's Sullivan
Top Israeli legal official tells Netanyahu to fire key ally
Israel and Palestinians clash at UN meeting as tensions rise
Israeli military kills Palestinian teacher, militant in raid
EU assembly wants Iran's Revolutionary Guard on terror list
Iran: We can threaten Suez, Hormuz, the strategic waterways of region
Zelensky ramps up pressure on Western allies to send tanks
New Zealand's Ardern, an icon to many, to step down
U.S. and Israel discuss Ukraine -White House
No need for German, U.S. tanks to be sent to Ukraine simultaneously -defence minister
An oil tanker and bulk carrier sail near the crude oil terminal Kozmino in Nakhodka Bay
Poland reviews security after divers found near key port
Kadyrov, Prigozhin slam prohibition on Russian soldiers' beards
Spanish, French leaders meet to sign friendship treaty

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on January 19-20/2023
A Prosecutor Was Murdered for Investigating Iran and Argentinian Corruption/Toby Dershowitz/The Algemeiner/January 19/2023
Forty Percent of Saudis and Emiratis Still Accept Israeli Contacts, Even Under Netanyahu/David Pollock/The Washington Institute/January 19/2023
What Do Iran’s Protests Mean for Iraq and the Kurdistan Region?/Zubir R. Ahmed, Nawzad Shukri/The Washington Institute/January 19/2023
Militia Spokesmen Reflect on Sudani Inviting U.S. Forces to Remain/Ameer al-Kaabi, Michael Knights, Hamdi Malik/January 19/2023
Palestinians Beat and Pepper Spray Elderly Christian, Stone Coptic Church in Jaffa/Raymond Ibrahim/January 19/2023

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on January 19-20/2023
Lebanon fails to elect new president at 11th attempt
Jamie Prentis/The National/January 19/2023
MP Michel Moawad beaten by blank votes as political vacuum persists.
The Lebanese Parliament failed to elect a new president for the 11th time on Thursday, prolonging a government vacuum that comes amid one of the worst economic crises of modern times. MP Michel Moawad received the most votes with 34, but — as has happened many times in recent sessions — was beaten by 37 blank votes. Another 14 were for “New Lebanon”, while 15 were declared invalid, including one for US Senator Bernie Sanders. There were a handful of valid votes for other names. A two -thirds majority is required in the first round to win the race to be president in the 128-seat parliament. Subsequent rounds in the same session need only an absolute majority — or 65 votes. On Thursday, 111 MPs were present. Mr Moawad has consistently been able to garner the support of a core bloc of MPs including those from Lebanon’s biggest party, the Lebanese Forces. But he is nowhere near the vote threshold needed. His father, Rene, served as head of state for 17 days before his assassination in 1989. Two "Change MPs", the movement closely linked to the 2019 nationwide protests that led to the collapse of the-then government, announced they would stay in parliament until a president was elected. One of them, lawyer Melhem Khalaf, called for successive sessions "without interruption" until a president was elected. He said Lebanon did not "have the time nor the luxury to wait for the maturation of any settlement". Mr Khalaf described the "display of repeating the sessions" without any result as "absurd and reprehensible". In Lebanon’s confessional power-sharing system, the presidency is reserved for a Maronite Christian, the Prime Minister for a Sunni Muslim and the Speaker of Parliament for a Shiite Muslim. Former army general Michel Aoun stepped down as president at the end of October, while Prime Minister Najib Mikati’s government is in caretaker status and thus severely stripped of power. Mr Aoun and Mr Mikati were at loggerheads for months over the make-up of Lebanon's cabinet and failed to reach an agreement before the former's term ended. The power vacuum is increasing fears of further political paralysis and that reforms needed to secure a bailout from the International Monetary Fund will not be implemented. Lebanon's economic collapse has been described by the World Bank as one of the worst in modern history, with much of the population pushed into poverty. The financial crisis is being blamed on decades of mismanagement and corruption by Lebanon’s elite. The local currency has lost more than 95 per cent of its value, inflation is rampant and there are widespread shortages of electricity, clean water, medicine and other basic essentials.

MPs support blast victims' families as they fail again to elect a president
Naharnet/January 19/2023
Parliament convened Thursday for the 11th time to elect a president, as activists and relatives of the Beirut port blast victims rallied in front of the parliament to protest the stalled probe into the blast.
Lawmaker Michel Mouawad won the support of 34 lawmakers while thirty-seven MPs cast blank votes. Seven MPs voted for prominent historian and academic Issam khalifeh, two for former Minister Ziad Baroud, and 29 ballots were spoiled. Some of the MPs joined the rally before entering parliament, with some of them holding pictures of the victims. MP Qassem Hashem of the development and liberation bloc strongly reacted to the scene. "Stop exploiting the blood of the martyrs," he said, adding that "this is a national cause." At the beginning of the session, Democratic Gathering bloc MP Hadi Abou el-Hosn said that his bloc might be forced to suspend its participation in the upcoming session if the presidential deadlock persists. He also voiced support for the families of the victims. So did Kataeb MP Sami Gemayel and MP and presidential candidate Michel Mouawad. MP Melhem Khalaf said that he and Change MP Najat Aoun will not leave Parliament until the announcement of open consultations and sessions for electing a president. "I am ashamed of being a parliament member," Khalaf said, as he decried the terrible situation in the country. he said that people are constantly asking him for flour, bread, milk, electricity and water. "I am ashamed of being a member of a parliament that is unable to elect a president," he added.

Parliament winds up president election session, no new state head chosen
NNA/January 19/2023
he 11th parliament session to elect a president of the republic ended on Thursday but no head of state was chosen.
Results came as follows:
Michel Mouawad: 34 votes
Issam Khalife: 7 votes
Edward Honein: One vote
Ziad Baroud: 2 votes
Annulled votes: 29

Berri broaches bilateral relations, general situation with French Ambassador
NNA/January 19/2023 
House Speaker, Nabih Berri, on Thursday received at the second presidency in Ain El-Tineh, French Ambassador to Lebanon, Anne Grillo, with whom he discussed the current general situation and the bilateral relations between the two countries.

Families of Beirut port victims rally near parliament
NNA/January 19/2023
A crowd of activists and families of the Beirut port blast victims have rallied near the parliament ahead of the 11th session to elect a president of the republic, with a number of lawmakers having joined them, our correspondent reported on Thursday.

Khalaf, Saliba begin open-ended sit-in in parliament over presidential crisis
Naharnet/January 19/2023
MP Melhem Khalaf and Najat Saliba of the Change parliamentary bloc on Thursday began an open-ended sit-in inside parliament to press for an end to the presidential deadlock. In a statement, Khalaf said he will not leave parliament until MPs hold successive and open-ended sessions to elect a new president. “This is not a symbolic move; we are implementing the constitution,” Khalaf said at a joint press conference with Saliba. “Article 75 obliges parliament to convene in a continuous manner,” he added. MP Firas Hamdan, also of the Change bloc, later announced that he will join Khalaf and Saliba in their sit-in and that the three lawmakers will not leave parliament until a president is elected. Khalaf and Saliba “are equipped to stay until the next session, despite all the practices that might happen, such as the closure of bathrooms and the shutdown of electricity,” MP Paula Yacoubian said. “We have discussed this with (Deputy Speaker) Elias Bou Saab,” she added. Kataeb Party chief MP Sami Gemayel for his part said: “Melhem Khalaf and Najat Saliba’s move was not coordinated with us and we will study the possibility of joining them in parliament.”

Bitar stresses he won't give up, urges 'drastic solution' from judiciary
Naharnet/January 19/2023
Beirut port blast investigator Judge Tarek Bitar has stressed that he “will not give up the port file under any pressure.”“I will not step down from this case,” Bitar added, in remarks to the al-Modon news portal. Asked about the French judicial delegation’s request to look into the investigations file, Bitar emphasized that he will not hand over “any paper” from his file before the resumption of the Lebanese investigation. “I’m ready to cooperate with the French judiciary to achieve justice,” he added. And in remarks to Asharq al-Awsat newspaper, Bitar underscored that “the investigation will continue and will not come to an end.” “I will not surrender to obstruction,” he added. “I hope the judiciary will reach legal exits that would re-launch the investigation course in an ordinary and regular manner,” Bitar went on to say, calling for “a drastic and not a temporary solution.”The Aug. 4, 2020 explosion killed more than 230 people, injured 6,000 and devastated entire neighborhoods of the capital after hundreds of tons of highly explosive ammonium nitrate, a chemical used in fertilizers, detonated in a port warehouse. It later emerged the chemical was shipped to Lebanon in 2013 and stored improperly at the warehouse. A handful of senior political and security officials knew of its presence and the threat it imposed on the city but failed to take action to remove it. Bitar's investigation into the disaster has been frozen since December 2021 after politicians he had charged in the case filed legal challenges to the probe. No one has been tried or convicted over the blast.

Belgian parliament urges EU to sanction Lebanese politicians
Naharnet/January 19/2023
The Belgian Parliament has voted unanimously in favor of a resolution calling on the European Union to impose sanctions on Lebanese politicians. The bill had been submitted by Malik Ben Achour, a member of Belgium’s socialist party who introduced the bill more than two years ago. “It’s the first time that a parliament in Europe adopts a resolution on Lebanon calling on the EU to implement its sanctions framework,” Ben Achour told English-language Emirati newspaper The National. “This is a strong signal of support to all those who want to fight for the rule of law in Lebanon and the independence of the judiciary,” he added. Ben Achour had visited Beirut in late September with other European officials to meet Lebanese activists, lawyers and judges. Adopted in July 2021, the EU’s framework for sanctions on Lebanon is designed to target those who are guilty of serious financial misconduct or obstruct the implementation of reform plans. It remains unused as the EU focuses on the war in Ukraine and rarely discusses Lebanon.According to The National, the wide-ranging resolution adopted on Wednesday also asked the judiciary of Belgium and neighboring countries to deepen investigations into the wealth of Lebanese officials in Europe.

Blast victims' relatives rally near parliament ahead of presidential election session
Associated Press/January 19/2023
Activists and relatives of the Beirut port blast victims rallied Thursday in front of the parliament ahead of another presidential election session. They are protesting years of what they say is political interference in the probe. The Aug. 4, 2020 explosion killed more than 215 people, injured 6,000 and devastated entire neighborhoods of the Lebanese capital after hundreds of tons of highly explosive ammonium nitrate, a chemical used in fertilizers, detonated in a port warehouse. It later emerged the chemical was shipped to Lebanon in 2013 and stored improperly at the warehouse. A handful of senior political and security officials knew of its presence and the threat it imposed on the city but failed to take action to remove it. Judge Tarek Bitar’s investigation into the disaster has been frozen since December 2021 after politicians he had charged in the case filed legal challenges to the probe. No one has been tried or convicted over the blast. Some MPs, including MP Razi al-Hajj, MP and presidential candidate Michel Mouawad, and change MPs Firas Hamdan and Halima Kaakour joined the rally. So did Kataeb MP Sami Gemayel. Kaakour called for the independence of the Judiciary and for "radical solutions".William Noun, who lost his brother firefighter Joe in the blast, said that some MPs will support the families' cause in today's session. "We are here today to see which MPs are with us and which ones are against us," Noun said.

Lebanese Army forbids Israeli bulldozer from crossing Blue Line
Naharnet/January 19/2023
The Lebanese Army on Thursday prohibited an Israeli bulldozer from breaching the U.N.-demarcated Blue Line on the border with Lebanon, al-Manar TV said. The army had on Wednesday also stopped the work of an Israeli bulldozer by force after it tried to cross the Blue Line. Lebanese and Israeli troops had earlier gone on alert on both sides of the border.

Lebanese to get extra four hours of daily electricity in $116m move
Nada Homsi/The National/January 19/2023
Cabinet grants financing for emergency power plan, with the other half requested pending approval.
Lebanon’s caretaker cabinet on Wednesday approved a $116 million treasury advance to pay for production and maintenance of the state's collapsing energy sector — a boon for residents relying on costly generator subscriptions in the absence of state electricity. The advance is part of an emergency workaround proposed by the country's caretaker energy minister to jump-start the electricity sector, which has provided near-negligible amounts of electricity since Lebanon's economic downfall three years ago. It will cover $62 million for 66,000 tonnes of diesel fuel and $54 million for the maintenance of power plants. But the release of a further $184 million will be contingent on the formation of a ministerial committee to which Lebanon’s state energy company, Electricity Du Liban, must report periodically. Minister of Energy and Water Walid Fayad, who boycotted the session for "constitutional reasons" although the plan approved was his own initiative, called the green light on the treasury advance "a half victory.""This is just a morphine dose," he added. "It's supposed to be a holistic plan."His proposal to obtain a $300 million Treasury advance was a scaled-down version of the emergency electricity plan proposed in November, which had called for double that amount to cover Lebanon's state electricity needs for five months, providing six to eight hours of electricity per day. The revenue generated during tariff collection would help the Energy Ministry return the advance to the central bank, creating a rolling line of credit. The approval of even half the requested advance is “more positive than it is negative,” Dr Fayad told The National.
Lebanon's state-provided electricity sector is in a shambles amid financing troubles and political deadlock, which has prevented Dr Fayad’s previous electricity plan from taking effect. The unsuccessful November plan sought Central Bank financing to cover the price of costly fuel imports to power energy plants. But it reached a stalemate after rival political parties’ disagreed on whether a caretaker government could convene to approve the loan, in the absence of a president. Wednesday's session was boycotted by the Free Patriotic Movement and its allies, including Dr Fayad, on the premise that a resigned government cannot convene constitutionally in the absence of an elected head of state.Following the end of president Michel Aoun's term in October, Lebanon was left without a president and only a caretaker cabinet with limited powers. But with the deeply divided parliament unable to agree on a candidate, the presidential vacuum appears set to continue, foreshadowing further state paralysis — and leaving Lebanon’s residents deprived of basic goods and services while its politicians contend for control.
“Again and again we see how people suffer as a result of this political bickering,” said Dr Sami Atallah, founding director of Lebanon-based think tank The Policy Initiative. Dr Atallah blamed Lebanon’s sectarian power-sharing system for hampering the development of the struggling nation, which has been embroiled in a steep economic crisis since 2019. The financial crash, referred to as a "deliberate depression" by the World Bank, is widely blamed on the corruption and negligence of Lebanon’s political class. Dr Fayad said he proposed the plan as a workaround to attending cabinet sessions, which he deems unlawful, by drafting four decrees for the Treasury advance, which ministers could countersign without a full cabinet being required. He said $300 million was the minimum amount needed to kick-start the process and create a rolling credit line.
"I had sent them a very clear timetable," an audibly frustrated Dr Fayad told The National. However the funding to power plants was secured, Lebanon’s residents will welcome the addition of a few hours of state electricity per day. They have been dependent on expensive shared generator networks since the end of the country’s 1975-1990 civil war, when the national power infrastructure was devastated.
Where once they switched on for a few hours a day to fill gaps in state electricity provision, generators are now a primary source of power for most households due the rarity of state electricity since Lebanon’s economic crisis began. But generators are expensive and can only provide limited power. Those who can afford generator subscriptions have become accustomed to switching off the water heater to do laundry, or turning off the fridge to turn on the air conditioning. Mervat Amand, a 55-year-old homemaker in Choueifat, said her household had been forced to adapt in the absence of state electricity. During the winter months, they boil water on the stove to take warm showers, her son showers in his gym when he can and they gather around a kerosene heater instead of turning on their wall-mounted heater, she said. “We even changed the kind of washing machine we use. Now we have one that uses less water and less electricity,” she told The National. Ms Amand said she doubted that additional state electricity would manifest tangibly."They've promised all that before," she said. Dr Fayad told The National it was uncertain how much electricity would be generated with just half of the requested treasury advance. "Maybe around four to five hours,” he predicted, warning that if a committee to unlock the remaining funds was not created quickly, the fuel would “not last longer than a month.”

Workers hopeless as Lebanese pound plummets to 50,000 to the dollar
Nada Maucourant Atallah/The National/January 19/2023
Currency has lost 97% of its value since the start of the 2019 economic crisis
Lebanon's pound plummeted to an all-time low on Thursday, trading at 50,000 against the dollar. Once pegged at 1,500 against the US currency, it has now lost 97 per cent of its value after economic collapse in 2019 caused by decades of corruption and financial mismanagement. Hussein, 50, a father of five who works as a technician, said the collapse was “affecting us on every level” including education, health and grocery bills. He earns around 10 million pounds per month, the equivalent of $200 at the new rate. With the pound crashing on the parallel market, his salary was slashed by almost seven times. The depreciation of the currency is fuelling one of the highest inflation rates in the world, surging to 189 per cent in the first 11 months of 2022 from the same period a year earlier. “Before the crisis, two million Lebanese pounds was more than enough to meet the needs of a family,” Hussein said. "It is impossible now. I do not see the situation improving any time soon.”Mariam, 34, a pharmacist who earns her salary in cash, had to drastically adjust her way of living since the crisis. “I cannot afford to pay for anything more than essential products,” she said. She has little hope of the situation improving. “There is no coming back to normal if no political reforms are undertaken,” she said.
Deadlock
Beirut signed a staff-level agreement with the International Monetary Fund in April in a bid to unlock billions of dollars in loans to lift the cash-strapped country out of its financial woes. But the entrenched elite, which the World Bank says deliberately orchestrated the depression, has made little progress in introducing sweeping reforms the IMF requested to address the crisis. The country is also dealing with an unprecedented leadership crisis. It has been without a president since October and has a caretaker cabinet with limited powers. The political deadlock has prevented Prime Minister-designate Najib Mikati from forming a government since a general election in May.

Lebanese pound hits all-time low as deadlock persists
Associated Press/January 19/2023
The value of the Lebanese pound hit an all-time low Thursday, trading at 50,000 to the U.S. dollar, as the country's deeply-divided parliament failed to elect a president for an 11th time. The cash-strapped country's national currency, once valued at 1,500 to the dollar, has been tanking since late 2019 and has since lost over 90% of its value. The financial crisis has plunged three-quarters of the population into poverty, with millions struggling to cope with some of the world's sharpest inflation. Experts blame the country's entrenched ruling elites for decades of corruption and financial mismanagement. The Lebanese pound's plunge comes days after a European judicial delegation from France, Germany, and Luxembourg landed in Beirut to interrogate embattled Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh and a dozen affiliates in a European money laundering investigation of some $330 million. They so far have questioned banking officials and former central bank officials. Switzerland and Liechtenstein have also opened probes against Salameh for money laundering allegations. Lebanon's deeply-divided parliament is meanwhile in flux. It has continuously failed to agree on a new head of state since President Michel Aoun's six-year term ended on Oct. 30. All but 18 of the Parliament's 128 legislators showed up Thursday, with most — 71 lawmakers — voting either for parliamentarian Michel Moawad, an outspoken critic of Hezbollah, or casting blank ballots. The worsening political paralysis has left the country without a president and only a caretaker government, stalling a host of economic reforms aimed at stopping wasteful spending and combating rampant corruption. Lebanese authorities in April 2022 reached a tentative agreement with the International Monetary Fund for a recovery plan conditional on a host of economic reforms and anti-corruption measures. However, the international organization has been vocally critical of Lebanon's sluggish efforts to meet these demands. Meanwhile, Lebanon's cash-strapped banks continue to impose strict limits on withdrawals of foreign currency since October 2019, tying up the savings of millions of people. As the economy continues to tank without any reforms, some depositors have resorted to storming bank branches and take their trapped savings by force.

Jumblatt meets Hezbollah delegation
NNA/January 19/2023
Progressive Socialist Party leader, Walid Jumblatt, is currently meeting at his Clemenceau residence, with a delegation of Hezbollah.

SchoolTec exhibition kicks off at Mövenpick
Naharnet/January 19/2023
Established in 2013, EDUCITY, the leading fair organizer, has launched SchoolTec, the first national exhibition for Educational Supplies and Solutions, which is taking place for the first time in Lebanon. The opening ceremony took place on Wednesday January 18, 2023 in the presence of hundreds of educators. And the fair will continue on Thursday January 19, and on Friday January 20 from 3:00 until 9:00 p.m. in Mövenpick Hotel Beirut – Lebanon. SchoolTec presents a real opportunity for any educator, professor, teacher, principal, counselor, academic supervisor, parent or for those who are just intrigued to learn more about the education technologies, to join the show for three days. More than one and a half million Lebanese students are studying in the different educational establishments in the academic year 2021-2022. This is your ideal place to connect with stakeholders, to drive innovation in edtech, to foster collaboration and to discuss the future of education in Lebanon. At SchoolTec, you will be able to uncover the latest developments in educational technologies, pedagogy, best practice, and to inspire teachers & learners for the future.It’s a totally free to attend exhibition & conference. In order to book and guarantee your seat in the conference, you are required to pre-register ONLINE, free of charge, via the link:https://ihjoz.com/events/6885 or just pass by and register at the entrance free-of-charge.

Lebanon pleads with UK for financial help to battle poverty and refugee crisis
Nicky Harley/The National/January 19/2023
Aid watchdog warns UK ‘no longer has ability’ to respond to human rights work due to budget cuts.
Lebanon has appealed to the UK to help with its growing poverty and refugee crises as its ambassador revealed that 80 per cent of the population are in need of assistance. Rami Mortada, the Lebanese ambassador to Britain, made a plea to the international development committee for help. Mr Mortada said Lebanon was now at "breaking point" because of the number of refugees it accepted and from its own economic problems. But the UK's aid watchdog, the Independent Commission for Aid Impact, published a report on Wednesday warning that the UK "no longer" had the ability to respond to human rights work as it once did, after its budget was slashed by a third. On Tuesday, Mr Mortada told the committee that Lebanon was in "dire need" of assistance. "Originally, the refugee population was considered vulnerable," he said. "Now nearly 80 per cent of the host country is vulnerable and in desperate need of assistance.
"We have a population of four million and we are hosting 1.5 million Syrian refugees and 200,000 Palestinian refugees. "Around half the population of Lebanon are refugees, which is a considerable burden in financial and economic terms. "It is now over 10 years into the Syria crisis and you can imagine the tensions that arise and the political uncertainties as to the future of their presence. "Now, 80 per cent of the Lebanese population are below the poverty line, 34 per cent under the extreme poverty line. "Prior to 2019 the target group for assistance was the refugees. Now, today priorities should be recalibrated. "The 2019 economic meltdown should be taken into account in redesigning the support scheme."
Mr Mortada said with Lebanon's economy being in "freefall" since 2019, the nation was in desperate need of help and the global community must find a sustainable solution to deal with the refugee crisis. "We need help to assist the national economy for it to be able continue assisting the refugees," he said. "The country is at breaking point."He said Lebanon had been forced to close its schools due to teachers striking over low pay and it was in "desperate" need of assistance to reopen them. Mr Mortada said that initially, schools for Lebanese children were closed while schools for refugees, which were funded by international aid money, had remained open. The animosity it caused, he said, led to the Education Minister closing all schools. "It is painful what you are telling us," the committee's chairwoman Sarah Champion said. Her colleague Pauline Latham warned that the issue would "create huge problems for the future".But Mr Mortada's appeal came before the ICAI's report was published. It warned that budget cuts and a rapid turnover of foreign ministers would have a major effect on the UK's global human rights work in the future. It says the UK’s democracy and human rights work has delivered useful results but has been significantly affected by the cuts and the lack of a strategic framework. According to the report, the expenditure in this area was reduced by 33 per cent in 2020, and the rapid turnover of UK government ministers has resulted in the "lack of a clear strategy".
ICAI warns that, from 2020 on, the UK no longer has the ability to respond to new challenges and deliver on the UK government’s high policy ambitions in this area. It also says that, after another change in foreign secretary in September 2022, when James Cleverly was appointed, and discussions of a revision of the Integrated Review — the UK's national security and international policy — there is "more uncertainty" ahead. “Promoting democracy and human rights around the world is an important objective for UK aid, particularly considering the widespread reversal of democratic trends in recent years,” said ICAI Commissioner Tamsyn Barton said.
“We found that the UK’s work has produced useful results, including helping at-risk groups such as women and people with disabilities to advocate for their rights, combat discrimination, participate in politics and access basic services, as well as helping to create more effective political and civil society organisations. “However, since 2020, the UK has been less responsive to emerging democracy and human rights challenges, due to the aid budget reductions and the loss of technical expertise within the FCDO [Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office]. "In principle, the merged FCDO should be better placed to deploy its development and diplomatic tools together, but this potential has not yet been realised in practice.”The ICAI has made recommendations including that the FCDO should publish its approach to democracy and human rights and ensure it has enough expertise to design and monitor its democracy and human rights interventions. It should consider whether it can learn from other countries and take more risks to support people and organisations facing the most serious threats from repression, and ensure better co-ordination.

Sayyed Nasrallah: We Want a President Who Does Not Flutter with One US Blow!
Batoul Wehbe/Al-Manar English Website/January 19/2023
Sayyed NasrallahHezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah in a speech delivered on Thursday, January 19, 2023.
Confident and relaxed he seemed with intermittent jokes levelled sporadically, indulging audience and attendees at once. Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah delivered a speech today (January 19, 2023), his third since the beginning of the new year. Marking 30th years on the establishment of the Consultative Center for Studies and Documentation, which had the lion’s share in his speech, Sayyed Nasrallah tackled several local and regional issues. His eminence began his speech by extending sincerest gratitude to “my esteemed brothers who have shouldered the responsibility of overseeing this center, as well as to all the brothers and sisters who have dedicated themselves to this center’s operation over the course of three decades,” believing that achievements were the result of ‘blessed collective efforts.’“Hezbollah has been concerned with the livelihood of its people for the past 30 years, despite its significant involvement in resistance and the various challenges that existed at the time. Hezbollah has, from its inception, and continues to maintain a steadfast commitment to basing its operations on a foundation of scientific and technical expertise,” Hezbollah’s leader said.
“The Consultative Center has consistently served as the go-to resource for guidance and direction for our leadership, units, and diverse departments within Hezbollah. We have made it clear to our brothers that it is their duty to accurately represent our organization to the outside world, regardless of any challenges or unfavourable circumstances that may arise, rather than presenting a skewed or idealized version that may be more palatable,” he added. Additionally, Sayyed Nasrallah said, the objective of this center is to provide insightful and constructive recommendations, perspectives, and alternatives that are grounded in the vast wealth of human and humanitarian experiences that have come before us. “It is essential that we tap into the wealth of knowledge and expertise that exists within our community, by leveraging the intellectual and specialized capabilities of all individuals within it, in order to achieve our goals.”
He went on to say that Hezbollah in its efforts to find solutions for development, advancement and problem-solving, always strives to explore the full range of possibilities within the resources and capabilities that are readily available to it.
“The Consultative Center for Studies and Documentation serves as the vital link between us and the diverse pool of intellectual and visionary resources that we rely on to guide our actions. From the outset, our aim for this center was to establish it as an intellectually rigorous, analytical, evaluative, and visionary entity that is deeply engaged and attuned to the realities of the current situation on the ground,” Sayyed Nasrallah indicated. “As the leadership of Hezbollah evaluated the name of the center that was to be established as a public and inclusive entity, catering to all segments of society, We selected a more general name in order to ease work and communication. The outputs produced by the center were always heavily invested in and utilized by Hezbollah, its institutions, and its affiliated organizations.”“Who stands behind the Loyalty to Resistance parliamentary bloc in many studies, discussions, and observations?” Sayyed Nasrallah wondered, then he answered: It’s the Consultative Center.
Economic Crisis in Lebanon Deepening
Turning to the Lebanese set of crises, Sayyed Nasrallah said: No one argues that the economic situation is perplexing in Lebanon, this matter is not exceptional for Lebanon. Rather, there are many countries threatened with collapse. “It is not permissible for us to despair, although there are attempts to spread hopelessness in the country, this is a perilous matter. It is not permissible to remain in a state of confusion, as was the case in the past years, and somewhere the competent authority must take the initiative to develop a vision to address the economic situation. On this basis, plans and programs can be drawn up based on a complete and elaborate vision.”“Corruption was rooted deep in the state long time ago, if each sect presented its best thoughts and expertise to assume administrative responsibilities in the state, we would not have reached this stage. One of the most important causes of the crisis is the misconception of the economic vision in the 1990s and some corrupt and deceitful economic policies. Our positions on them were clear in Parliament, the first of which was the debt policy,” Hezbollah’s S.G. affirmed. A more serious matter, Sayyed Nasrallah warned, was disrupting the production and making quick profits. “Thus, our economy has turned into a fragile one,” he said.“Also, among the reasons are sectarian quotas, absence of sustainable development, repercussions of internal wars, reconstruction, and displacement file,” he added.
Lebanon under US Siege
Concerning the US blockade against Lebanon, Sayyed Nasrallah said: It is unfortunate that some people suggest that the blockade on Lebanon is not in place, as it is not only implemented by placing a battleship off the Lebanese coast, but also through the actions and attitudes of the American administration towards the Lebanese authority. The blockade is implemented through a variety of means, including preventing external assistance, grants, and loans from reaching Lebanon, as well as blocking the Lebanese government from accepting donations and investments, and from addressing the issue of Syrian refugees.
“Returning to the vision that has been adopted by misguided policies, particularly that the region is moving towards resolving the conflict with the Zionist entity, that led us to the status co nowadays.”Sayyed Nasrallah also delved into the fact that the economic situation is being employed as means to normalize ties with the Zionist entity. In this regard, Sayyed Nasrallah warned that whoever wants to put in place new economic policies must not build a vision at the expense of a settlement in the region, assuring that there is no two-state solution, especially in light of the new corrupt and terrorist government in ‘Israel’. “There is no settlement with Syria, too. What happened in Syria is one of the attempts to come up with a political regime that gives the Golan Heights to the Zionist entity.” He also insisted on working on an economy plan that provides food security and does not rely on foreign aid and assistance.
“The situation in the region is heading towards more tension: No settlements, no peace, and all of this will be reflected in our region,” Sayyed Nasrallah said. “One of the means for strength is the issue of oil and gas, as it is a huge wealth in the sea of Lebanon,” His eminence said, assuring that today, the European decision is decisive to dispense with Russian gas, as its priority is the Mediterranean wealth, because costs are lower. Therefore, he said, we have to search for companies to benefit from our national wealth. “We definitely have oil in our land, and our facts say that politics have forced it to stop, and the same is true in Palestine and Syria, as there is exploration and extraction of oil near our borders.”
Abounding Strengths in Lebanon
Other than security with Sayyed Nasrallah enumerated as a strength to the country, he said that expatriates are also one of its main strengths, calling them “the most important financial source for the livelihood of the Lebanese.”“There are great hopes and points of strength. Lebanese are able to rise, they need the will, the right plan, and seriousness in action. Expatriates are exposed today to danger, harassment, and aggression by the USA through putting merchants and rich personalities on sanctions lists on unjust charges. This needs a follow-up by the state, which unfortunately ‘does nothing’,” he said.
Ending up the part of economic blockade, Sayyed Nasrallah once again called on Lebanon to ‘look to the East’: “We must have the courage and willingness to sacrifice in the face of sanctions and in accepting donations, and we must have the audacity to say to the Chinese, “Go ahead.” Why are countries in the world allowed to invest with China while Lebanon is forbidden from doing so?”
Referring to the refugees file, Sayyed Nasrallah said: “We need courage in dealing with the Syrian displaced file, and stop the racism accusations. This is a crisis from which all the Lebanese suffer, and we can find a decent solution for them.”Many people speculate that if Lebanon says it is outside the conflict with “Israel”, then everything will be resolved, his eminence noted. “I invite you to observe the situation in Egypt, the first country that made peace with the Israeli enemy,” he said, referring to the economic crisis that Egypt is suffering from despite its normalization of ties with the Zionist entity.
“Egypt has the best relations with the US and Saudi Arabia, and it is with the International Monetary Fund. What situation is Egypt in?” Sayyed Nasrallah wondered. It’s worth noting that Egypt’s external debt is expected to bypass $200 billion by early next year, an almost 400 percent increase since 2016.
In a report issued yesterday, the Financial Times said that last year, Cairo was forced to go to the IMF for the fourth time in six years. Even before that $3bn loan was secured in October, Egypt was the fund’s second biggest debtor after Argentina.
Strong, Independent President
In this context, Hezbollah’s secretary general warned that the next six years are crucial for Lebanon. “If we continue in the same way, the country is on the verge of collapse.”To this level, Sayyed Nasrallah sarcastically said “We want a president who, if the Americans blow on him, wouldn’t flutter from the Baabda Palace to the Mediterranean,” hinting at a strong president who’s able to withstand US pressure. “We want a brave president who is ready for sacrifice and who is not concerned with the American threats,” he said in other words, pledging patience among people as though Lebanon needs a president with a certain calibre. Since President Michel Aoun left the Baabda Palace in October 30, 11 parliamentary sessions have been held to elect a new president, but none bore fruit due to lack of consensus.

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on January 19-20/2023
Netanyahu discusses Saudi peace with US security advisor
Associated Press/January 19/2023
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed normalizing ties with Saudi Arabia in talks with visiting White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan on Thursday, his office said.
Netanyahu, who returned to office last month with the formation of a new government, was at the helm in 2020 when Israel established ties with the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco as part of the Abraham Accords. The Israeli premier has repeatedly expressed his desire to see Saudi Arabia, the birthplace of Islam, join the list. In their talks, Netanyahu and Sullivan discussed "measures to deepen the Abraham Accords and expand the cycle of peace, with an emphasis on a breakthrough with Saudi," the Israeli leader's office said in a statement. They also discussed joint efforts to curb Iran's nuclear program and its regional activities, with Netanyahu thanking his American guest for President Joe Biden's commitment to prevent Tehran from obtaining nuclear arms, the statement said. "You come at a special time because we have acute challenges to our security and vast opportunities for peace," Netanyahu said in televised remarks relayed by his office. "I am convinced that by working together we can both meet the challenges and realize the opportunities," he said. "That's something that bolsters our extraordinary alliance but also can change the region and change history."Sullivan stressed that "America's commitment to Israel is iron-clad and it's a commitment that's rooted in shared history shared interests and shared values.""We have to talk about both the challenges but also the real opportunities that our two countries have to work towards a better future," he added. Sullivan's visit, the first of a senior US official since Netanyahu's new government was sworn in, also saw him meet President Isaac Herzog on Wednesday for talks about "ways to deepen the strategic cooperation," Herzog's office said. Before speaking with Netanyahu on Thursday, Sullivan had met with head of Israel's Mossad spy agency David Barnea and Israeli national security advisor Tzachi Hanegbi. Hanegbi and Sullivan also held a video call with their Emirati and Bahraini counterparts, with the four "committing to enhancing the Abraham Accords," Netanyahu's office said.

Netanyahu says he discussed Saudi Arabia with White House's Sullivan
JERUSALEM (Reuters)/January 19, 2023
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, hosting his first senior member of U.S. President Joe Biden's administration on Thursday, said they had discussed prospects for a diplomatic breakthrough between Israel and Saudi Arabia. Visiting White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan also heard from the Palestinians that their hopes of achieving statehood - long a Riyadh condition for normalising relations with Israel - were being endangered by Israeli actions. Netanyahu, who regained the top office last month for a sixth term, has pledged to forge Saudi ties that would round out normalisation pacts he signed with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain in 2020 dubbed the "Abraham Accords". A statement from Netanyahu's office said he and Sullivan discussed Iran as well as "the next steps to deepen the Abraham Accords and expand the circle of peace, with an emphasis on a breakthrough with Saudi Arabia". Their discussions were followed by a virtual meeting among Sullivan and his Israeli, Emirati and Bahraini counterparts. They discussed cooperation in areas such as emerging technology, regional security and commerce, according to a joint statement. Israel and Gulf allies share fears over Iran, but Netanyahu's return at the head of a religious-nationalist coalition government has stoked concern of an escalation in the decades-old conflict with the Palestinians. The Israeli-occupied West Bank, among areas where Palestinians seek statehood, has seen a surge in violence since Israel stepped up raids last year in response to a spate of lethal street attacks in its cities. Hosting Sullivan in the West Bank hub city of Ramallah, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas urged U.S. intervention. "The dangerous situation due to the Israeli escalation ... threatens security and stability and destroys the two-state solution," Hussein Al-Sheikh of the umbrella Palestine Liberation Organisation on Twitter quoted Abbas as saying. On Wednesday, Saudi Arabia's foreign minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud urged Israel's new government to engage seriously on resolving the conflict. Sullivan was to stress the U.S. commitment to a two-state solution in the Israel-Palestinian dispute during his visit, White House national security spokesman John Kirby said. U.S.-brokered peace talks aimed at establishing a Palestinian state collapsed in 2014. Among stumbling blocks is Gaza, another Palestinian territory, which is under the control of Hamas Islamists who spurn permanent coexistence with Israel. Netanyahu's new government includes partners who oppose Palestinian statehood and want Israel's West Bank settlements expanded.

Top Israeli legal official tells Netanyahu to fire key ally
Associated Press/January 19/2023
Israel's attorney general has told Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu he must fire a key Cabinet ally, in a letter made public Thursday, following a Supreme Court ruling that disqualified him from serving as a government minister. The letter, sent shortly after Wednesday's court decision, compounds the pressure on Netanyahu to remove Aryeh Deri from the Cabinet and potentially destabilize his coalition government. The letter by Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara is also likely to exacerbate a dispute over the power of the judicial system and the government's bid to overhaul it. Israel's Supreme Court ruled that Deri, a longtime Netanyahu ally who leads the government's third-largest party, cannot serve as a Cabinet minister because of a tax fraud conviction. The court said Netanyahu must fire him. Deri currently serves as Interior and Health Minister. "You must act according to the ruling and remove him from his position in the government," Baharav-Miara told Netanyahu in her letter. It wasn't immediately clear whether Netanyahu would abide by the court ruling. But as the dust settled a bit Thursday, commentators said they expected Netanyahu to fire Deri and for the new government to somehow survive his absence.
But the court's ruling only deepened the rift over Israel's justice system. Netanyahu's ultranationalist and ultra-Orthodox government — the most right-wing in Israeli history -- has made overhauling the country's judiciary a centerpiece of its agenda. It says a power imbalance has given judges and government legal advisers too much sway over lawmaking and governance. The government wants to weaken the Supreme Court, making it difficult for it to overturn laws it deems unconstitutional. If it somehow does manage to overturn laws, parliament could overrule the court's decision with 61 votes of the country's 120-seat parliament. It has also proposed giving the government more control over how judges are chosen as well as limiting the independence of government legal advisers and allowing lawmakers to ignore their counsel. Critics say the plans will upend Israel's system of checks and balances, granting the government overwhelming power and stripping it of all judicial oversight. Fierce criticism against the plan has emerged from top legal officials, former lawmakers and government ministers as well as the country's booming tech sector. Tens of thousands of Israelis protested the plan last week, and another protest is expected on Saturday.

Israel and Palestinians clash at UN meeting as tensions rise
Associated Press/January 19/2023
Israel's U.N. ambassador has accused the Palestinians of stabbing a knife into any chance for reconciliation by seeking an advisory opinion from the U.N.'s highest court on Israel's decades-old occupation — and the Palestinian U.N. envoy accused Israel's new government of seeking to crush its people.
The always contentious monthly U.N. Security Council meeting on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict was even more vitriolic and threatening this week, and U.N. Mideast envoy Tor Wennesland warned that "a dangerous cycle of violence persists on the ground, amidst increased political tension and a stalled peace process.""Israelis and Palestinians remain on a collision course amid escalating political and inflammatory rhetoric as well as heightened violence in the West Bank -- both with potentially grave consequences," he said. "Absent a concerted and collective effort by all, with strong support from the international community, spoilers and extremists will continue to pour more fuel on the fire and we will move still further from a peaceful resolution of the conflict."Underlying the ongoing violence is the Palestinians' decades-long quest for an independent state in the West Bank, Gaza and East Jerusalem, territories seized by Israel in the 1967 war. Israel considers the West Bank to be disputed territory and has built dozens of settlements that are now home to roughly 500,000 Jewish settlers.
In the latest confrontation, the Palestinians and their supporters won U.N. General Assembly approval on Dec. 30 of a resolution asking the International Court of Justice or ICJ to intervene in one of the world's longest-running and thorniest disputes and render an advisory opinion on the legality of Israeli policies in the West Bank and East Jerusalem.While the court's rulings are not binding, they do influence international opinion. Israel's new hardline government responded on Jan. 6 by approving steps to penalize the Palestinians in retaliation. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said they were aimed at what he called "an extreme anti-Israel" step at the United Nations.The measures include withholding $39 million from the cash-strapped Palestinian Authority and transferring the funds instead to a compensation program for the families of Israeli victims of Palestinian militant attacks, deducting an amount equal to the sum the authority paid last year to families of Palestinian prisoners and those killed in the conflict including militants implicated in attacks against Israelis, and ending VIP travel privileges for leading Palestinians. The Palestinians responded by getting more than 90 countries to sign a statement expressing "deep concern" at penalizing the Palestinians for going to the court, and urging Israel to reverse the punitive measures. Israel's Foreign Minister Eli Cohen rejected the statement. At Wednesday's Security Council meeting, Israel's U.N. Ambassador Gilad Erdan accused the Palestinians of drafting "a poisonous and destructive resolution" referring Israel to the ICJ "with the sole purpose of destroying Israel as the Jewish state." He claimed this has been a Palestinian goal since before Israel's founding in 1948, and said one weapon they use "is the manipulation and abuse of international bodies" to force Israel to agree to their demands, which he called "multilateral terror."
Erdan pointed to anti-Israel activities spurred by the Palestinians at the Geneva-based U.N. Human Rights Council and the International Criminal Court, and said that with the adoption of the General Assembly resolution on the ICJ, "the Palestinians stabbed a knife in the heart of any chances for dialogue or reconciliation."He also accused the Palestinians and the U.N. of exaggerating Palestinian casualties and under-reporting and discriminating against Israeli victims. While 2022 "may have been the deadliest year for Palestinian terrorists," he said, "it was also the year with the most terror attacks committed against Israelis in a decade."Riyad Mansour, the Palestinian U.N. ambassador, told the council the new Netanyahu-led government has said openly its program is to increase settlements, "annexation, systemic discrimination and oppression.""It does not recognize our rights anywhere, and proclaims a right for its settlers everywhere," Mansour said. The international community overwhelmingly considers settlements to be illegal. Israel's annexation of east Jerusalem, home to the city's most sensitive holy sites, also is not internationally recognized. Mansour said "peace is still possible," but only if the Security Council and the international community "stand up to the supremacists" and take action to end Israel's occupation, ensure accountability for its annexation of Jerusalem, recognize the state of Palestine, and reject Israeli settlers in occupied territory. "We face the absurd situation where impunity is enjoyed by those who violate the law and collective punishment is endured by those entitled to its protection," Mansour told the council.

Israeli military kills Palestinian teacher, militant in raid
Agence France Presse/January 19/2023
Two Palestinians were killed by gunfire early Thursday during an Israeli army raid in the flashpoint West Bank city of Jenin, the Palestinian health ministry said. The ministry said Jawad Farid Bawaqna, 62, was killed by a bullet to the chest, while Adham Mohammed Bassem Jabareen, 28, was hit in the upper abdomen by Israeli fire. The Israeli army said that during "counterterrorism activity in the Jenin (refugee) camp, armed Palestinian gunmen fired heavily at the security forces, who responded with live fire. Hits were identified". "Explosive devices were also hurled at the forces. The soldiers apprehended one wanted individual suspected of involvement in terrorist activity and confiscated an M16 rifle, rifle parts, military equipment, explosive materials and ammunition," the army added. A soldier was "lightly injured during the operation and evacuated to a hospital for further medical treatment," it said.The Islamic Jihad militant group identified Jabareen as a member. Bawaqna was a sports teacher and youth leader in Jenin refugee camp, the province's deputy governor said. The deaths raise the number of Palestinians killed in the occupied West Bank this month to 17, including civilians and militants, according to an AFP tally. The majority were killed by Israeli forces. A surge in violence in 2022 made it the deadliest year in the West Bank since United Nations records began in 2005. At least 26 Israelis and 200 Palestinians were killed across Israel and the Palestinian territories last year, according to AFP figures. The majority of deaths were in the West Bank, although the toll also includes 49 Palestinians killed in a three-day conflict in Gaza.

EU assembly wants Iran's Revolutionary Guard on terror list
Associated Press/January 19/2023
The European Parliament on Thursday called for Iran's Revolutionary Guard to be put on the European Union's terrorist list and insisted that sanctions targeting Tehran had to be expanded after the violent suppression of protests. In a nonbinding resolution, the legislature mustered a large majority to call on the EU's 27 member states for such punitive action to counter what it sees as a swift backsliding of human rights in Iran. Beyond the call to put the organization on its terrorist blacklist, the European Parliament also wants the EU to ban any economic or financial activity that can linked to the Revolutionary Guard Corps. The United States has already designated the corps as a "foreign terrorist organization," and subjected it to unprecedented sanctions. The European Parliament action came before Monday's meeting of EU foreign ministers where more sanctions against Tehran are expected to be approved. Thursday's resolution came after four months of anti-government protests in Iran sparked by the death of Mahsa Amini, a 22-year-old woman who was being held by the morality police for allegedly violating the country's strict Islamic dress code. The protests quickly escalated into calls for the overthrow of the theocracy and mark one of the biggest challenges it has faced in more than four decades. Iran has blamed the unrest on the U.S. and other foreign powers, without providing evidence. The protesters say they are fed up with social and political repression, corruption and an economy weighed down by Western sanctions and mismanagement. The EU steadfastly condemned the violence used during the demonstrations.

Iran: We can threaten Suez, Hormuz, the strategic waterways of region
Seth J. Frantzman/Jerusalem Post/January 19/2023
The third article in several days by Iranian pro-IRGC media boasts about drone and missile threats to Israel and support for Hezbollah and Palestinian armed groups
Iran’s pro-regime media on Wednesday said that the country’s missiles and drones now have the “strategic straits” of the region in their crosshairs. The article in Iran’s Tasnim, which reflects the IRGC’s way of thinking about the region, says that Iran can now threaten Bab el-Mandeb off Yemen, the Straits of Hormuz between Iran and the Gulf and even the Suez Canal. The threat to the Mandeb and Hormuz area was well known in the past, but Iran now appears to have added Suez to its list of strategic choke-points for world trade that it says it could threaten.
The Iranian article comes in the wake of several others that have spelled out a new doctrine for warfare in the region which reflects an offensive stance designed to deal with perceived threats. Iran, in this new article spelling out the triple threat to the region’s waterways, is also upping its rhetoric about drones from Lebanon. The article is based in part on a speech by IRGC Commander Hossein Salami. He said that the Islamic Republic has drones that can even use “artificial intelligence” that can “affect the many strategic passages of the world.”
Iranian military goals and alliances
Salami says that the power of Iran’s drones are increasing and that Iran is accelerating its production of the systems. The article says that this has caused the US to “lose its air superiority.”The article notes that drones threaten the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Yemen and Israel. It says that in any future or current confrontation with Hezbollah or Palestinian groups, these groups will not have the means to threaten Israel’s “sensitive and vital resources.” This appears to hint at Iran seeking to supply these groups with better weapons. For years, Tehran has moved weapons to Hezbollah via Syria, including PGMs and other munitions. The article says Iran equips these “resistance” groups with ballistic and cruise missiles and “anti-ship missiles.” The Iranian regime now appears to be spelling out an even greater strategic threat by saying that having equipped Hezbollah, the Palestinians, Houthis and others with weapons, it can threaten major waterways in the region. The article openly notes that a large volume of the world’s trade passes via these waterways and blocking them can affect world energy supplies. “Now these important sea crossings are within the range of integrated missile and drone networks,” Tasnim notes. The article references the recent Zulfikar drills. This is the third article in two days to highlight this issue. It says the IRGC “practiced an attack on Israel’s weapons of mass destruction production center in Dimona” during an exercise last year “using a combination of ballistic missiles and suicide drones.” This is a reference to an Iranian regime drill and video from December 2021. “Now it seems that with these actions, Iran, in addition to being able to expand its power and influence in the important region of West Asia, can also affect the most important waterways of the world with its actions,” the article says. It references previous threats to a Saudi ship off of Yemen and also Iranian support for the Houthis and Hezbollah. As with another article Iranian media published this week, this one says Iran could strike at the straits of Mandeb, Hormuz or Suez if there is a threat to its “national interests.”

Zelensky ramps up pressure on Western allies to send tanks
Associated Press/January 19/2023
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky bared frustration Thursday on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum's annual gathering in Davos about not obtaining enough tanks from some Western countries to help his country defend itself from Russia. Speaking by video link at a breakfast with U.S. Sen. Chris Coons, Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte and former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, Zelensky offered a veiled critique of countries like Germany, Poland and the United States — crucial supporters of Ukraine — that have nonetheless hesitated about sending tanks.Zelensky bemoaned a "lack of specific weaponry" and said that to win the war, "we cannot just do it with motivation and morale.""And I would like to thank again for the assistance from our partners," he said at the Victor Pinchuk Foundation breakfast through an interpreter. "But at the same time, there are times where we shouldn't hesitate or we shouldn't compare when someone says, 'I will give tanks if someone else will also share his tanks.'"Zelensky also said air defense was "our weakness" in light of targeted Russian strikes, including use of Iranian-made drones, and reiterated his call for supplies of long-range artillery to fire at Russian forces in Ukrainian territory — not fire into Russia itself. For months, Ukraine has sought to be supplied with heavier tanks, including the U.S. Abrams and the German-made Leopard 2 tanks, but Western leaders have been treading carefully.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, facing increasing pressure to send battle tanks, dodged a question about the topic Wednesday, instead reiterating that Germany was one of the top suppliers of military equipment to Ukraine, providing air-defense systems and armored personnel carriers. "We will continue to support Ukraine — for as long as necessary," Scholz said after a speech at Davos. The United Kingdom announced last week that it will send Challenger 2 tanks to Ukraine, while Poland and the Czech Republic have provided Soviet-era T-72 tanks to Ukrainian forces. German officials have conveyed their hesitance to allow allies to give German-made Leopards unless the U.S. also sends Ukraine the Abrams, according to a U.S. official who was not authorized to comment and spoke on the condition of anonymity. Poland has expressed readiness to provide a company of Leopard tanks, but has said it would only do so as part of a larger international coalition of tank aid to Kyiv. "Get them the tanks, get Volodymyr Zelensky whatever he needs," said former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who attended the breakfast.Zelensky used a speech to the political leaders and corporate executives assembled in the Swiss ski resort of Davos to urge his allies not to hesitate. "The supplying of Ukraine with air defense systems must outpace Russia's vast missile attacks. The supplies of Western tanks must outpace another invasion of Russian tanks," he said by video. The Ukrainian delegation to Davos, including Zelensky's wife, Olena Zelenska, has been pushing for more aid. It's never clear how much concrete action actually emerges from a gathering where leaders and businesspeople discuss the world's problems from climate change to a slowing economy as well as deal-making on the sidelines. NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said Ukraine's Western backers this week will discuss ways to supply heavier and more advanced weapons. "The main message there will be: more support, more advanced support, heavier weapons and more modern weapons," Stoltenberg said of a gathering in Germany of top defense officials, including U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, who work to coordinate military contributions to Ukraine. "This is a fight for our values, this is a fight for democracy — and we just have to prove that democracy wins over tyranny and oppression," the NATO leader added.

New Zealand's Ardern, an icon to many, to step down
Associated Press/January 19/2023
New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Arden, who was one of the first members of her generation elected as a national leader and became a global icon of the left, said Thursday she was leaving office after five and a half years. Ardern was praised around the world for her handling of the nation's worst-ever mass shooting and the early stages of the coronavirus pandemic. But she was facing mounting political pressures at home and a level of vitriol from some that hadn't been experienced by previous New Zealand leaders. Still, her announcement came as a shock throughout the nation of 5 million people. Fighting back tears, Ardern told reporters in Napier that Feb. 7 would be her last day as prime minister."I know what this job takes, and I know that I no longer have enough in the tank to do it justice. It is that simple," she said. Ardern became an inspiration to women around the world after first winning the top job in 2017 at the relatively young age of 37. She seemed to herald a new generation of leadership — she was on the verge of being a millennial, had spun some records as a part-time DJ, and wasn't married like most politicians. She notched up center-left victories while right-wing populism was on the rise globally: she pushed through a bill targeting net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, oversaw a ban on assault weapons, and largely kept the coronavirus out of New Zealand for 18 months. Her approach to the pandemic earned the ire of U.S. President Donald Trump, and she ended up refuting wildly exaggerated claims from Trump about the spread of COVID-19 after he said there was a massive outbreak and "It's over for New Zealand. Everything's gone.""Was angry the word?" Ardern said about Trump's comments in an interview with The Associated Press at the time. In 2018, Ardern became just the second world leader to give birth while holding office. Later that year, she brought her infant daughter to the floor of the U.N. General Assembly in New York. In March 2019, Ardern faced one of the darkest days in New Zealand's history when a white supremacist gunman stormed two mosques in Christchurch and slaughtered 51 worshippers during Friday prayers. Ardern was widely praised for her empathy with survivors and New Zealand's wider Muslim community in the aftermath.
After the mosque shootings, Ardern moved within weeks to pass new laws banning the deadliest types of semi-automatic weapons. A subsequent buyback scheme run by police saw more than 50,000 guns, including many AR-15-style rifles, destroyed.
Less than nine months after the shooting, she faced another tragedy when 22 tourists and guides were killed when the White Island volcano erupted. Ardern was lauded globally for her country's initial handling of the coronavirus pandemic after New Zealand managed to stop the virus at its borders for months. But she was forced to abandon that zero-tolerance strategy as more contagious variants spread and vaccines became widely available.Ardern faced growing anger at home from those who opposed coronavirus mandates and rules. A protest against vaccine mandates that began on Parliament's grounds last year lasted for more than three weeks and ended with protesters hurling rocks at police and setting fires to tents and mattresses as they were forced to leave. This year, Ardern was forced to cancel an annual barbecue she hosts due to security fears. Ardern last month announced a wide-ranging Royal Commission of Inquiry would look into whether the government made the right decisions in battling COVID-19 and how it could better prepare for future pandemics. A report is due next year.
Many observers said that sexist attitudes played a role in the anger directed at Ardern. "Her treatment, the pile on, in the last few months has been disgraceful and embarrassing," wrote actor Sam Neill on Twitter. "All the bullies, the misogynists, the aggrieved. She deserved so much better. A great leader."
But Ardern and her government also faced criticism that it had been big on ideas but lacking on execution. Supporters worried it hadn't made promised gains on increasing housing supply and reducing child poverty, while opponents said it was not focusing enough on crime and the struggling economy. Ardern described climate change as the great challenge for her generation. But her polices faced skepticism and opposition, including from farmers who protested plans to tax cow burps and other greenhouse gas emissions.
Ardern had been facing tough reelection prospects. Her center-left Labour Party won reelection in 2020 with a landslide of historic proportions, but recent polls have put her party behind its conservative rivals. Ardern said the role required having a reserve to face the unexpected. "But I am not leaving because it was hard. Had that been the case I probably would have departed two months into the job," she said. "I am leaving because with such a privileged role comes responsibility. The responsibility to know when you are the right person to lead, and also, when you are not."
She said her time in office had been challenging but fulfilling.
"I am entering now my sixth year in office, and for each of those years, I have given my absolute all," she said. Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said Ardern "has shown the world how to lead with intellect and strength." "She has demonstrated that empathy and insight are powerful leadership qualities," Albanese tweeted. "Jacinda has been a fierce advocate for New Zealand, an inspiration to so many and a great friend to me," he added. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau thanked Ardern on Twitter for her friendship and "empathic, compassionate, strong, and steady leadership."Ardern charted an independent course for New Zealand. She tried to take a more diplomatic approach to China than neighboring Australia, which had ended up feuding with Beijing. In an interview with the AP last month, she said that building relationships with small Pacific nations shouldn't become a game of one-upmanship with China. Ardern on Thursday also announced that New Zealand's 2023 general elections would be held on Oct. 14, and that she would remain a lawmaker until then. It's unclear who will take over as prime minister until the election. Deputy Prime Minister Grant Robertson announced that he won't contest the leadership of the Labour Party, throwing the competition open. Labour Party lawmakers will vote for a new leader on Sunday. If no candidate gets at least two-thirds support from the caucus, then the leadership contest will go to the wider party membership. Ardern has recommended the party chose her replacement by the time she finishes in the role on Feb. 7.
New Zealand Opposition Leader Christopher Luxon said Ardern had been a strong ambassador for the country on the world stage. He said that for his party "nothing changes" and it remains intent on winning the election to "deliver a government that can get things done for the New Zealand people."Ardern said she hadn't had too much time to reflect on her tenure in the role, although noted it had been marked with crises. "It's one thing to lead your country in peace times, it's another to lead them through crisis. There's a greater weight of responsibility, a greater vulnerability amongst the people, and so in many ways, I think that will be what sticks with me," she said. "I had the privilege of being alongside New Zealand during crisis, and they placed their faith in me."Aya Al-Umari, whose brother Hussein was killed in the Christchurch mosque attacks, tweeted her "deepest gratitude" to Ardern, saying her compassion and leadership during that darkest day "shone a light in our grief journey.""I have a mixture of feelings, shocked, sad but really happy for her," Al-Umari wrote. Ardern said she didn't have any immediate plans after leaving office, other than family commitments with her daughter, Neve, and her fiancé Clarke Gayford, after an outbreak of the virus thwarted their earlier wedding plans. "And so to Neve, Mum is looking forward to being there when you start school this year," Ardern said. "And to Clarke, let's finally get married."

U.S. and Israel discuss Ukraine -White House
WASHINGTON (Reuters)/Thu, January 19, 2023
White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan discussed the war in Ukraine with Israel leaders during a trip to Israel and the West Bank, the White House said on Thursday. In meetings with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, President Isaac Herzog and other senior officials, Sullivan discussed U.S. support for Israel's security and continued threats posed by Iran, according to National Security Council spokesperson Adrienne Watson. "They also discussed Ukraine, as well as the burgeoning defense partnership between Russia and Iran and its implications for security in the Middle East region," she said in a statement. While Israel has condemned the Russian invasion of Ukraine, it has limited its assistance to Kyiv to humanitarian aid and protective gear. Netanyahu has spoken about reviewing Israeli policy on the Ukraine-Russia war, but has stopped short of pledging any direct supply of arms to Kyiv, despite repeated pleas by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy for Israel to join the fight against Russia and provide air defense systems. Statements issued by Netanyahu and other Israeli officials who met Sullivan did not mention Ukraine as being among issues discussed. But one of the officials, Foreign Minister Eli Cohen, also spoke with his Ukrainian counterpart on Thursday, Cohen's office said in a statement after the minister's meeting with Sullivan. In the phone conversation, the statement said, Cohen "promised that Israel would continue supporting the Ukrainian people with humanitarian aid, in building and rehabilitating in the realms of water, energy and medical equipment, and with continued training for hundreds of emergency-management and trauma-care professionals."Cohen encouraged his Ukrainian counterpart to support the designation of Iran's Revolutionary Guards as a terrorist group, the statement said. The United States respects the considerations other nations have on the matter of Ukraine, White House national security spokesman John Kirby said on Wednesday when asked whether Sullivan would push Israel to provide weapons to Ukraine."We're not twisting arms," Kirby told reporters. "But we are certainly talking directly with our allies and partners around the world to see what they could provide and what might be available to them or what they might be able to make available to Ukraine."

No need for German, U.S. tanks to be sent to Ukraine simultaneously -defence minister
BERLIN (Reuters)Thu, January 19, 2023
Germany's new Defence Minister Boris Pistorius said he did not know of any requirement that Ukraine receive U.S. and German tanks simultaneously, before a meeting on Friday at which future supplies to Kyiv will be discussed. Chancellor Olaf Scholz's government has not so far authorised the export of German-made Leopard tanks to help Ukraine in its fight against Russia, with sources saying Berlin would move if Washington agreed to send its Abrams tanks. "I'm not aware of any such stipulation," Pistorius told ARD television when asked if that meant Abrams and Leopards had to be delivered at the same time, a position that leaves open the possibility of an agreement on Friday. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization and defence leaders from roughly 50 countries will confer at Ramstein Air Base, the latest in a series of meetings since Russia invaded Ukraine nearly 11 months ago. Scholz has been criticised by allies for his stance on sending modern battle tanks that Ukraine says it needs if it is fully to take the fight to Russians on its territory. An ARD opinion poll showed, however, that Germans were split on the matter, with 46% in favour and 43% opposed. The split was especially acute within his own Social Democrats, 49% of whose backers said Germany should deliver. Younger people were also more reluctant to send tanks than older respondents in the survey. A German government source earlier said that Berlin had not so far received any requests for a licence to re-export Leopard tanks. Poland and Finland have already said they will send Leopard tanks to Ukraine if Germany gives approval for export. Berlin has veto power over any decision to export its Leopard tanks, fielded by NATO-allied armies across Europe and seen by defence experts as the most suitable for Ukraine.

An oil tanker and bulk carrier sail near the crude oil terminal Kozmino in Nakhodka Bay
(Reuters)/Thu, January 19, 2023
Ukraine's foreign minister said on Thursday it was time to review the $60 per barrel price cap imposed on Russian seaborne oil, on the grounds that the current market price for Russia's Urals oil blend was below that level. The Group of Seven countries, Australia and the European Union will extend sanctions on Russia for its war in Ukraine by putting a price cap on its oil products, such as gasoline and diesel, on Feb. 5. The coalition placed a $60 per barrel limit on sea-borne Russian crude oil sales late last year. Russian Urals grade crude for delivery to Europe was quoted at about $57.26 on Thursday, maintaining a recent steep discount to benchmark Brent crude, which was trading at $86.41. The price though has been as low as around $50 per barrel this month. Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said in a tweet: "Ukraine is confident it's time to review the oil price cap given the current market price on Urals is lower than $50 USD per barrel. "This decision should ensure a drastic reduction in Russia's income to finance the war, mass atrocities, and destabilization in Europe and elsewhere."Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said last week that oil producers had not had difficulties in securing export deals despite the Western sanctions and price cap.

Poland reviews security after divers found near key port
WARSAW, Poland (AP) /Thu, January 19, 2023
Poland's prime minister said Thursday that the country was reviewing the supervision of its gas and oil installations and other strategic locations after a weekend incident in which three foreign divers had to be rescued from near a key oil port where they had no authorization to be. Premier Mateusz Morawiecki also said he had requested the secret security services to produce a detailed report on the incident. Police in northern Poland are facing questions over why they released the three divers rescued from near the Gdansk oil port without conducting a detailed interrogation of them. Security experts say the presence of the divers in the sensitive area of the Gulf of Gdansk last weekend raised concerns, given the high tensions with Russia over its energy deliveries. The divers had Spanish identity documents. According to Polish media, the divers were rescued early Sunday after they sent a distress message when their unregistered small boat malfunctioned in stormy weather. They were equipped with professional diving gear and said they were looking for amber, but none was found in the boat. They had no permission to dive in the gulf. Despite a high level of security introduced across Poland because of the country's support for neighboring Ukraine amid Russia's invasion, police released the men. That has raised questions, more so because the phone numbers they gave turned out to be inactive. Morawiecki, asked about the matter, said he had commissioned Poland's secret services to take a close look into it. “Of course, it may be that they are dangerous people, but it may turn out that these are not dangerous people and what they have declared is true,” Morawiecki told reporters. He stressed that Poland had increased its level of supervision of strategic infrastructure following Russia's invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, but is also reviewing security protocols again. “It is obvious that amid the war in Ukraine, when the risk of sabotage by Russia increased immeasurably, it was necessary to strengthen the supervision of critical infrastructure. We are also reviewing this supervision,” Morawiecki said. In raising their concerns, experts are pointing to the underwater explosions last summer that damaged the Nord Stream pipelines that run on the Baltic Sea bed and were to carry Russian gas to Germany. Swedish and Danish authorities have said the leaks were sabotage. Some media in Poland were suggesting the three divers might have been involved in a smuggling ring and could have been searching for contraband.

Kadyrov, Prigozhin slam prohibition on Russian soldiers' beards
(Reuters)/Thu, January 19, 2023
Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov on Thursday criticised a prohibition on Russian soldiers wearing beards, joining Wagner mercenary chief Yevgeny Prigozhin in the two men's latest outburst against the Russian military leadership. In an interview with the RBC news site on Wednesday, Viktor Sobolev, a retired lieutenant general and member of Russia's parliament, defended the ban on beards, personal smartphones and tablets as an "elementary part of military discipline".Writing on Telegram, the bearded Kadyrov, who has talked up the role of his troops in Russia's war in Ukraine, wrote: "Apparently, Lieutenant General Viktor Sobolev has a lot of free time ... since he has nothing to do but rereading the military code of conduct".Kadyrov called Sobolev's comments "a clear provocation", saying that his mostly Muslim soldiers wore beards as part of their religious duty. Wagner boss Prigozhin, whose rift with the defence establishment has become more public in the past week, called Sobolev's comments "absurd" and "archaisms from the 1960s". Kadyrov and Prigozhin, whose forces in Ukraine operate largely autonomously of the high command, have become more outspoken in their criticism of the Russian military leadership since Moscow's armies suffered a string of cascading defeats in the autumn. The two men have formed a tacit alliance, amplifying each other's criticism of the military top brass and calling for more vigorous prosecution of the war.

Spanish, French leaders meet to sign friendship treaty
Associated Press/January 19/2023
French President Emmanuel Macron is set to meet Thursday with Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez in Barcelona to strengthen relations between the European neighbors by signing a friendship treaty. The one-day summit in Barcelona comes amid a day of widespread strikes and protests on the other side of the Pyrenees against Macron's bid to increase the minimum retirement age from 62 to 64. Sánchez and Macron are to sign a Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation between their countries. Both governments consider this a diplomatic bond of the highest order. Spain only has a similar treaty with Portugal; France has them with Germany and Italy. The leaders are seeking stronger positions inside the European Union. Macron is profiling himself as the continent's leading politician to fill the void of former German Chancellor Angela Merkel, while Sánchez wants Spain to have a more influential role in Brussels following the exit of Britain from the bloc. After years of cordial but sometimes distant relations between France and Spain, the two have grown closer recently. Spain, France and Portugal have agreed on a major undersea pipeline to transport hydrogen from the Iberian Peninsula to France and eventually the rest of Europe. The pipeline, dubbed H2Med, will run from Barcelona to Marseille. The meeting is being held in Catalonia's National Art Museum, housed in a former palace perched atop the Montjuic hill that overlooks Barcelona. Catalan separatists are rallying outside to try to energize their flagging movement to carve a new state out of this corner of northeast Spain that borders France.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on January 19-20/2023
A Prosecutor Was Murdered for Investigating Iran and Argentinian Corruption
Toby Dershowitz/The Algemeiner/January 19/2023
Senior Vice President for Government Relations and Strategy
Argentina has “serious corruption problems,” according to Transparency International’s Corruption Perception Index. Will this regrettable condition continue to conceal the truth behind the identity of those who murdered Alberto Nisman eight years ago this week?
Formally, Argentina is still looking into the suspicious death of special prosecutor Alberto Nisman, who investigated the country’s deadliest terrorist attack ever — the 1994 bombing of the AMIA Jewish community center in Buenos Aires, which took 85 lives and injured hundreds more. Sordid politics and some members of the country’s judiciary might still prevent a formal determination of what the nation’s Gendarmerie police concluded in 2018 and the Federal Court of Buenos Aires affirmed: that Nisman’s murder was due to his AMIA investigation, and that it was a “direct consequence” of his accusation that then-President Cristina Kirchner sought to absolve Iran of its role in the bombing in return for economic benefits for her country.
Nisman was found dead with a bullet in his head on January 18, 2015, hours before he was to present his findings that Kirchner and a dozen of her associates sought to cover up Iran’s role in the AMIA bombing. Debunking Kirchner’s allegation that Nisman had committed suicide, there was no gun powder residue on his hands.
To date, only Diego Lagomarsino, Nisman’s computer consultant, has been implicated as an accessory to murder in Nisman’s death. While Nisman himself owned a gun for protection, Lagomarsino claimed that Nisman had asked to borrow his gun. Was that part of Kirchner’s debunked suicide story, which she promptly announced after he was found dead and before any investigation had been conducted?
Nisman was well aware of the threats he faced while undertaking the dual investigations into the bombing and the alleged attempt to whitewash Iran’s role. He made public and filed formal complaints about some of the threats to his life and to his family. The threats were ugly. But he was determined to present what he learned from 40,000 wiretaps, legally obtained, which led him to present a 300-page complaint with Federal Judge Ariel Lijo on the Wednesday before he was found dead and about which he had planned to brief the Congress the next Monday.
Nisman had shared the essence of his findings with reporters and others when he filed the complaint. Kirchner must have known he had presented his initial findings to Judge Lijo. It was no secret.
Days after Nisman was found dead, Kirchner disbanded the Secretariat of Intelligence, known as the SIDE, which she believed had cooperated with Nisman in his investigation against her. A new intelligence agency, the Federal Intelligence Agency (AFI) was set up, headed by her ally Juan Martin Mena, who today is vice minister of justice.
Even after his death, when opponents of Nisman wanted to dissuade prosecutors and judges from looking too deeply into those crimes, they would often engage in not-so-subtle threats: one of Nisman’s opponnents, for example, posted an image of the person being threatened next to a picture of Nisman and asked if he wanted to face the same fate that had befallen Nisman. “Meet the next Nisman.”
In another example, the daughter of a prosecutor looking into allegations of Kirchner money-laundering, announced that neither her father nor any family members had any intention of committing suicide, signaling that if any of them were found dead, it would not be by their own hands.
In 2016, activist Fernando Esteche — one of those implicated along with Kirchner in the attempted cover up of Iran’s involvement in the AMIA bombing — proclaimed that any judge seeking to imprison Kirchner “could be found dead.”
In December 2016, Eduardo Taiano received threats in connection with his role as head prosecutor investigating Nisman’s death. The messages threatened “to do the same thing to him and his son Federico that was done to Nisman.”
In 2022, an Argentine court found Kirchner guilty of fraud during her tenure as president, for directing millions of dollars in taxpayer money to a family friend. A panel of judges sentenced her to six years in prison and banned her from ever holding public office. The prosecutor in the case, Diego Luciani, called the case “one of the most extraordinary corruption schemes” in Argentine history. Kirchner has temporary immunity and will be able to remain free due to her current role as a vice president, and can appeal the verdict.
Argentina’s President Alberto Fernandez shocked the country when he smugly sent a thinly veiled threat to Luciani as that case was proceeding. “Nisman committed suicide; I hope that the prosecutor Luciani does not do something similar.” Fernandez knows well that Nisman did not commit suicide. He had himself said before becoming president that even Kirchner knew Nisman had not killed himself. His point to Luciani was crystal clear. What was done to Nisman could be done to him.
There are national security implications for Argentina and for the world in the attempts to cover up Nisman’s murder. It was Nisman’s granular reports that provided a roadmap for law enforcement on how the Islamic Republic of Iran had penetrated, recruited, radicalized, financed, and executed terrorism in the Western Hemisphere.
His investigation exposed how Iran had created terrorist networks and sleeper cells — to be deployed at the time of its choice — throughout Latin America, including in Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile, Colombia, Guyana, Trinidad and Tobago, and Suriname. The network also extended to parts of Europe, including Germany. His reports showed how Iran uses its embassy pouches, diplomatic cover, illicit financing, front companies, and other mechanisms operated out of the line of sight to carry out terrorist activities.
Iranian officials plotted the AMIA bombing in Mashad, Iran, on August 14, 1993. Many of them plotted terrorist attacks both before and after the AMIA bombing. Argentina maintains warrants for their arrest. Some of them have Interpol red notices, which seek the arrest of wanted individuals. Two of the Iranian officials implicated in planning the AMIA bombing serve in President Ibrahim Raisi’s cabinet today.
In a surreal twist, a Boeing 747 cargo plane, sanctioned by the US Department of the Treasury for ferrying weapons from Iran to Syria, is sitting on a Buenos Aires tarmac. The Iranian-owned plane was sold to Venezuela’s flagship carrier, Conviasa Airlines. It landed in Buenos Aires on June 6, 2022. Rather than carrying a small crew of four or five needed to offload automotive parts, 19 “crew members” were on the plane, including Gholamreza Ghassemi, a pilot from the Islamic Republic Revolutionary Guards’ Quds Force. He was one of for Iranians on the plane. All the “crew members” were eventually released.
While the cargo plane’s exact mission has yet to be determined, one thing is clear. Iran and its proxies are not done with seeking to carry out nefarious, dangerous activities in our own backyard.
While Nisman is no longer physically with us, the lessons of his investigation, his murder, and its coverup remain. We ignore them at our peril.
*Toby Dershowitz is senior vice president for government relations and strategy at the non-partisan Foundation for Defense of Democracies. Follow her on Twitter @tobydersh

Forty Percent of Saudis and Emiratis Still Accept Israeli Contacts, Even Under Netanyahu
David Pollock/The Washington Institute/January 19/2023
Approval for contacts with Israelis remained steady through 2022, even as hesitancy on Abraham Accords continued.
Two rare, reliable new public opinion polls commissioned by the Washington Institute of citizens in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates in late November 2022—when it was clear that Benjamin Netanyahu would once again become Israel’s prime minister—show popular acceptance of allowing contacts with Israelis is holding steady at just over 40 percent in both states. These results are all the more surprising, as around 90 percent of those two publics also say that Netanyahu’s election would have negative regional effects.
In fact, that level of Saudi and Emirati popular acceptance for contacts with Israelis has remained stable since a comparable survey in November 2020, soon after the Abraham Accords were announced. A positive view of contacts roughly doubled compared to findings from another survey conducted shortly before the Accords were made public. Subsequently, the Temple Mount tensions and May 2021 war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza had no apparent effect on this higher level of public support according to polls taken just a few weeks later. It now appears that Netanyahu’s return to power, highly unpopular as that is among these Gulf Arab publics, does not alter this pattern. In addition, findings from a parallel survey conducted in Bahrain in July 2022 are remarkably similar, with 37% of Bahrainis also voicing acceptance of allowing Israeli contacts. Even in Qatar, which has not joined the Abraham Accords, the most recent available data (November 2021) reveal an almost identical level of popular acceptance of Israeli contacts among its citizens.
The logical conclusion is that this aspect of normalization with Israel has itself become relatively “normalized” among most Arab Gulf publics—even as a slim majority in each country remains privately at least “somewhat” opposed to it. The figures are similar and steady over the past three years, regardless of formal inclusion or exclusion from the Abraham Accords, political changes in Israel, or tensions on the ground in the Palestinian arena.
More than Half of Palestinian Public Has Also Been Open to Some Israeli Contacts
Also noteworthy in this connection is that among the Palestinians themselves, the most recent available hard survey data (June 2022) show an even higher proportion—at least 60% of each subgroup—approving certain contacts with Israelis. In this case, a West Bank/Gaza/East Jerusalem poll conducted by a local independent Palestinian pollster asked about encouraging “direct personal contacts and dialogue with Israelis, in order to help the Israeli peace camp advocate a just solution.” At the time, a surprising 48% of East Jerusalem Palestinians also expressed a positive view of the Abraham Accords themselves, though only around half as many Gazans or West Bankers agreed with that assessment.
Views on Contact with Israelis Differ from Views on Full Diplomatic Normalization
This distinction in the Arab popular consciousness between contacts with Israelis and formal peace agreements with Israel is a significant characteristic of public opinion in the Gulf as well. In Saudi Arabia and the UAE, for instance, the most recent survey shows that only around 20% of each public says the Abraham Accords will have “a positive effect on the region.” When those Accords were first announced, by contrast, an initial burst of optimism yielded corresponding figures of around 40% positive views among both those publics.
Majority of Lebanese Endorse Maritime Deal with Israel—But Not Personal Contacts
A different distinction emerges, surprisingly, in Lebanon, where the November 2022 survey series asked both about contacts with Israelis and about Lebanon’s own new maritime boundary accord with the neighboring Jewish state. The overwhelming majority of Lebanese—whether Shia, Sunnis, Christians, or Druze—say they reject contacts with Israelis, which are outlawed and indeed prosecuted by their government. Yet the majority overall (61%) also voiced a favorable view of the maritime deal with Israel. That proportion of support for the deal is much higher than in any of the other three Arab countries polled in this November 2022 wave.
Just Ten Percent in Egypt or Jordan Approve Israeli Contacts, Despite Decades of Formal Peace
In these latest polls, Egypt also stands out strongly from its Gulf Arab cousins in terms of popular rejection of contacts with Israelis. Even after 45 years of official peace with Israel, a mere 10% of Egyptians today say that “people who want to have business or sports contacts with Israelis should be allowed to do so.” That percentage has barely budged since the question was first posed in July 2020, whatever the state of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process or any other discernible variable. This attitude is most likely both cause and consequence of Egyptian government policy during most of those long decades. That policy can best be described as follows: secret security cooperation with Israel—alongside ferociously negative, state-guided media coverage and commentary on almost everything Israeli, plus intense harassment of most Egyptians, excepting for a few government-approved economic managers, who engage personally with any Israelis. In this respect, Jordan follows closely in Egypt’s footsteps. Jordan signed a peace treaty with Israel in 1994, and the two countries have worked closely together ever since on border security and even on certain Temple Mount issues, and lately also on energy and water projects. Nevertheless, the percentage of Jordanian citizens in every recent survey who say they accept contacts with Israelis also hovers consistently at the strikingly low level of approximately ten percent. Jordanian officials sometimes privately acknowledge that this dichotomy presents a problem, although there is little evidence that they intend to correct it.
Methodological Note
This analysis is based on face-to-face surveys conducted among representative samples of around 1,000 citizens in each country, selected according to standard geographical probability procedures. In the 2022 West Bank/Gaza/East Jerusalem poll, the sample size was 1,315 Palestinian adults (age 18+) residing in the three territories. The surveys were conducted by highly experienced, technically qualified, and entirely apolitical regional commercial survey research companies. Strict quality controls, health safety protocols, and assurances of confidentiality are provided throughout the fieldwork.
The author has personally organized and supervised the conduct of these surveys, without ever in any way interfering in the sampling, interviewing, or other aspects of the research. The statistical margin of error for samples of this size and nature is approximately 3 percentage points. Additional details, including full questionnaires, results, demographic distributions, and other pertinent information, are readily available on our interactive polling data platform.

What Do Iran’s Protests Mean for Iraq and the Kurdistan Region?
Zubir R. Ahmed, Nawzad Shukri/The Washington Institute/January 19/2023
Introduction
Anti-regime protests are nothing new in the Islamic Republic. While the most recent protests are the most serious of repeated movements since 2009, what has made the regime indifferent to popular demands in the past is the power structure it has built—ruled by a benefiting minority with the support of the military and paramilitary forces, state employees, and the families of martyrs of the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s.
Nonetheless, the clerical regime has its weaknesses. As others have argued, the regime has not succeeded in remedying the political, social, and economic problems that originally led to the Islamic Revolution of 1979. Iran, which has long sought to export its ideology, is now losing this international power. As such, any changes inside Iran will directly affect regional dynamics. As a regional middle power, Iran still has enormous influence in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, and any domestic political instability will have external repercussions in these countries—especially in the case of Iraq. Ultimately, further instability can push Iran to either step away from or reinvest in its sizable influence in Iraq. Either outcome will have a major impact on the future trajectory of Iraqi politics.
On the one hand, greater instability in Iran may undermine Iran’s position and impact in Iraq, directly influencing the shape of the post-2003, Shia-centric government. Since 2005, Tehran has possessed a huge amount of influence over Iraq’s political elite and military forces, most recently through the Hashd al-Shaabi, or Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF)—paramilitary movements that claim to have 160,000 members beyond the control of the Iraqi Prime Minister. Growing Iranian weakness greatly reduces Iran’s clout over Iraqi Shia hardliners, making it difficult for Tehran to maintain its sway in the wider region.
In religious terms, Iran’s decline may lead the marja—leading Shia clerics with political and theological influence—of the Iraqi city of Najaf to become stronger than those from Iran’s Qom. Competition between these two sources of Shia authority would only increase after the death of the current leading marja, Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani in Najaf.
Following the eruption of the October Protests in Iraq in 2019, the divide between Qom and Najaf became much more entrenched. Since the Iranian Revolution, the Qom marja have been a main pillar of the regime, wielding a political form of wilayat al-faqih. As a result, the marja have long been distrusted by Iranians. Now, many protesters see “all Shia clerics—not just key regime supporters, but also silent critics and neutral authorities—as the foundation of the regime’s legitimacy, facilitating its initial emergence and justifying its principles, policies, and decisions ever since.”
In Khomein, the birthplace of Ayatollah Khomeini, protestors recently attacked and torched Khomeini’s family house, which was turned into a museum. The unprecedented act of defiance was widely supported on Persian social media. Likewise, videos show angry demonstrators setting fire to a seminary in Qom, as young people have targeted clerics in the street, flipping their turbans off their heads.
While the Najaf marja supported the peaceful protestors and their demands for reform, an end to corruption, the protection of Iraq’s sovereignty, and government control of Shia armed groups, Iran—and in extension, the Qom marja—rejected the protests. More specifically, Iran strongly opposed the incorporation of Shia militia groups into Iraqi forces, and responded by expanding its influence over allies in Iraq. If Qom experiences a decline in influence, it will undoubtedly increase in Najaf.
Beyond religious affairs, a diminished Iranian influence in Iraq would have a significant political impact, perhaps giving Kurdish and Sunni politicians a more active role in Iraqi affairs. Already, Kurds and Sunnis have played an important part in the competition between the Sadrist Movement and the Coordination Framework. A lack of Iranian interference would only enhance their involvement in political processes and decision making.
On the other hand, instability in Iran could also push the Iranian regime to pursue a more aggressive policy in Iraq. Iranian authorities have repeatedly attempted to export their internal problems to other countries, and this time is no different. Along with several direct strikes in the Kurdish Region of Iraq, Iranian General Esmail Ghaani, the head of Iran’s elite Quds Force, has even threatened an unprecedented ground military operation against Iraq if Baghdad does not disarm Iranian Kurdish opposition groups on Iraqi soil.
With allies in Iraq’s parliament, a favored candidate as Iraq’s President, and close ties with Iraq’s Federal Supreme Court, Iran could potentially push Baghdad to make moves against the United States, reviving old efforts to remove the U.S. advisory mission in Iraq and significantly undermining Iraq’s nascent democratic institutions. Such efforts would align with Iran’s repeated accusations that the United States is supporting the current demonstrations and violating Iran’s sovereignty. Frustrated with U.S. responses to Iran’s unrest—namely, sanctioning Iran’s morality police and allowing companies to provide internet access despite the the government’s internet blackout—Iran may order its Shia militia proxies to target U.S. interests and military bases in Iraq, making Iraq a battleground for another phase of the Iran-U.S. conflict.
At the very least, Iran’s desire to reassert dominance in Iraq in the face of its own internal instability will likely result in the reversal of all of former Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi’s policy decisions—decisions that largely rejected Iran in order to rebalance Iraq’s regional relations. Already, Iraq’s new Prime Minister, Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, has made significant changes and has abolished all decisions made by the Kadhimi caretaker government since October 2021. Such decisions pursued active openness to the Arab world, enhanced Iraq’s stability via economic, energy, security, and investment agreements, and fortified Iraq’s sovereignty.
The Kurdistan Region: A New Base for Iran’s Protest Movement?
In the KRI, Iran’s ongoing unrest has only further unraveled Iranian-KRI relations, which have been in a state of deterioration since Kurdistan’s independence referendum in 2017. Since 2017, and especially after the assassination of Qasem Soleimani in 2020, Iran has been fearful that the KRI would become a platform for the United States to monitor Iraq, Iran and Syria. As a result, Iran has essentially turned the KRI into a battlefield, attacking opposition groups but also sending a message to the United States and its allies.
After demonstrations broke out across Iran, these attacks on the KRI have intensified as Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps bombarded the Iraqi bases of Kurdish-Iranian opposition groups, killing women and children in the process. Over 10,500 Iranian Kurds are registered as refugees in the KRI by the UN but many more likely live there unregistered. Iran blames Iranian Kurds for instigating and sustaining the protests, and military officials have stated that 100 people have been arrested in Iran so far with “connections” to this Kurdish opposition. Iran’s attacks on the KRI will undoubtedly continue, with the possibility that Iran could even use these protests as an excuse to occupy areas of the KRI and establish military bases, as Turkey has done in the Kurdistan Region and in northern Syria in recent years.
Finally, Iran could use Iraqi Shia militias as another card against the KRI, or could ask the Iraqi government to protect the KRI-Iran border with Iraqi forces rather than the KRI forces. The new government in Baghdad could potentially be pushed towards escalation against Kurdistan, and specifically against the Kurdistan Democratic Party—one of Kurdistan’s leading parties which does not enjoy as warm relations with Tehran as the rival Patriotic Union of Kurdistan does. Such maneuvering will prove disastrous for the KRI and Iraq.
From Exporting Revolution to Exporting Problems
Since 2003, Iran has viewed Iraq as a strategic battleground and manifestation of influence against its rivals. In time, however, Iraq has transformed slowly from being Iran’s domain of influence to instead being a dumping ground for Iran’s problems.
The current protests in Iran have brought this changing dynamic to the forefront, as Iran continually attempts to blame its internal “unrest and insecurity” on “counter-revolutionaries from across the northwestern borders,” i.e. the KRI. The nature of this blame game, however, points to an important truth about Iran’s preferred patron-client relationships with external entities, whether in Iraq, Syria, or Lebanon. Whether real or fabricated as a distraction, Iran views its proxies and “allies” as potential sources of threat to the regime. Indeed, Iran sees risk as increasingly inherent in its clientelist relationships, and recent developments only serve to reinforce this mindset. In Iraq, for example, intra-Shia feuding between the Sadrist movement and the Iran-allied Coordination Framework led to strong public anti-Iranian demonstrations, an unwelcome sight for officials in Tehran.
The same can be said for the more than twenty Iranian proxy groups in Syria, which have received around $15 billion from Iran for recruitment, training, and equipment. Although Iran provides these groups with funds, monthly salaries, and even the rights of citizenship and residence in Iran, the increasingly dependent nature of the relationship—in which the proxy groups are practically bound to Iran’s service—has made the groups more unpredictable, less reliable.
As Iran grows wary of its own allies and proxies and continues its distraction campaign on KRI soil, Sudani’s government in Baghdad is put in a difficult predicament. Although it is unclear how serious the threat of a ground military operation in the KRI really is, tensions between Iran and Iraq and Iraq and the Kurdistan Region are only growing, compounded by the potential religious, economic, and political repercussions that Iranian instability would cause in Iraq. Furthermore, Iran has now woven the United States into the narrative, accusing them of violating their sovereignty and endangering regional stability and thus conveniently pitting Iran against the U.S. presence in the KRI and Iraq. As a result, it seems as though the Kurdistan Region will once again become an arena of Iran’s conflict with the United States.

Militia Spokesmen Reflect on Sudani Inviting U.S. Forces to Remain
Ameer al-Kaabi, Michael Knights, Hamdi Malik/January 19/2023
Asaib Ahl al-Haq is signaling pragmatism, while Kataib Hezbollah is contorting its arguments to allow it to play along, albeit without explicitly accepting a U.S. military presence. On January 13, Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani told the German broadcaster DW that “the general orientation of the government, [which] is supported by the political forces, [is to] determine the missions, the numbers, and places [of U.S. troops in Iraq] and for a specific period of time.” He reiterated this position in an interview with the Wall Street Journal. When mentioning “political forces,” Sudani was referring to the Coordination Framework (CF), the Iran-backed political coalition that includes the powerful muqawama (resistance) militia Asaib Ahl al-Haq (AAH) as a top member. Indeed, on November 20, AAH leader Qais al-Khazali demonstrated his political seniority by publicly referring to Sudani as the "general manager" of the government.
Open imageiconUbudi at American Uni
Figure 1: Minister of Higher Education Naim al-Aboudi giving a speech at the American University of Iraq, Baghdad , January 10, 2023. Sudani’s January 13 comments appear to have the CF's backing, perhaps reflecting the fact that AAH has been the framework's most vocal adherent of establishing pragmatic relations with the United States. Notably, Khazali sought to lobby Washington via Iraqi politicians multiple times beginning in 2018—though not since he was listed as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist under U.S. Executive Order 13224, effective January 3, 2020.
Elsewhere, AAH member and current minister of higher education Naim al-Aboudi attended a conference on development and e-system engineering at the American University of Iraq-Baghdad on January 10. There, he delivered a speech and was taken on a tour around campus (Figure 1). A former parliamentarian, Aboudi obtained his PhD in Arabic language studies from the Islamic University of Lebanon, an institution that his own ministry does not legally recognize.
Open imageiconAli Turki al-Akhbar 2
Figure 2: Ali Turki’s quote in al-Akhbar daily, January 10, 2023.
The same day as Aboudi's campus visit, parliamentarian and veteran AAH fighter Ali Turki told the Lebanese daily al-Akhbar, ‘’There is no problem to sit [negotiating] with the U.S. to exchange interests...The U.S. forces are in Iraq today to train Iraqi security forces…We are trying to make the relationship with the United States based on partnership and interests’’ (Figure 2). In the same interview, Turki characterized today’s Iraqi government as a "muqawama government." Although AAH was the first U.S.-designated terrorist movement to fully engage with Iraq's parliamentary politics, there is one other such organization in the CF: Kataib Hezbollah (KH), which is represented by Harakat Hoquq's six seats. On January 13, Hoquq secretary-general Said al-Saray told the Iraqi website Shafaq News, "The failure of Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani to implement the decision to expel the American forces...will push us to take political positions. Therefore, this decision must be implemented in accordance with the legal and diplomatic frameworks." Saray was referring to parliament's January 2020 resolution calling on the government to expel foreign troops.
Open imageiconAli Fadlallah
Figure 3: Ali Fadlallah on al-Nujaba TV talking about the Iraqi government's relation with the United States," January 16, 2023. These contradictory positions could be part of the muqawama's emerging division of labor for dealing with the U.S. presence in Iraq. Former Hoquq spokesman Ali Fadlallah appears to have been used to express KH’s views on the tricky issue of being inside a political coalition that is signaling U.S. forces can stay in Iraq, at least for now. On January 16, he explained the issue while discussing U.S.-Iraqi relations on al-Nujaba TV (the media wing of the muqawama group Harakat al-Nujaba): “I see a great maturity in [the way] leaders of the CF and muqawama [behave], and it seems there is coordination on the vision [regarding the United States]. The axis [of resistance] pushes to expel the U.S. forces, and the Iraqi government tries to negotiate [with the Americans]. But when the negotiations happen under huge pressure, you can weaken the other side...and achieve more benefits in the current period...The muqawama axis is not out of line with the CF’s vision. It seems there is [a policy] of carrot and stick [in dealing] with the American side” (Figure 3). Whether this is the actual muqawama objective—near-term U.S. withdrawal—or merely a fig leaf to excuse KH’s discomfort with the CF position may become clearer in time.

Palestinians Beat and Pepper Spray Elderly Christian, Stone Coptic Church in Jaffa
Raymond Ibrahim/January 19/2023
Fr. Michael, discussing the assault
Though unreported in Western languages, another instance of hostility for Christians and their churches in the Holy Land recently occurred.
On Christmas Eve, Dec. 24, 2022, a group of Palestinian “youth” assaulted a Coptic Christian church in Jaffa. After hurling stones and empty glass bottles at St. Anthony’s Church, they stormed it and savagely beat Fr. Michael Mansour, its priest.
While loudly cursing Christianity and personally insulting him, they pepper sprayed the elderly clergyman. The same Palestinian “youth” proceeded to curse and hurl stones at a Latin church in the same vicinity. Discussing this incident in a later interview, Fr. Michael, who has lived and been serving his Coptic flock in Jaffa for some four decades, said that he had felt “dizzy and short of breath” after being pepper sprayed, and had collapsed, but thankfully recovered. He prayed for peace and calm to be restored, and asked that God may shed his grace on his assailants. During the assault, no property was stolen from the church or Fr. Michael’s adjoining home, suggesting it was a hate crime. In a statement, Fr. Constantine Nassar, the head of the Orthodox community of Jaffa, said, “We strongly condemn this barbaric and tribalistic act and call on the responsible authorities to arrest and bring the perpetrators to trial as soon as possible, thereby making an example of them to others.”An “example” is certainly needed. Although the few Arabic language sources reporting on this incident portray it as an aberrant act that does not represent Muslim/Christian relations in the Holy Land, the persecution of that region’s Christians and their holy places has, in fact, been growing (as documented in this article).
As of this writing, no English language media have reported on this incident.