English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For January 04/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2023/english.january04.23.htm
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Bible Quotations For today
Prophet, Anna, Blesses The Child Jesus In
The Temple
Luke 02/36-40/There was also a prophet, Anna, the daughter of Penuel, of the
tribe of Asher. She was very old; she had lived with her husband seven years
after her marriage, and then was a widow until she was eighty-four. She never
left the temple but worshiped night and day, fasting and praying. Coming up to
them at that very moment, she gave thanks to God and spoke about the child to
all who were looking forward to the redemption of Jerusalem. When Joseph and
Mary had done everything required by the Law of the Lord, they returned to
Galilee to their own town of Nazareth. And the child grew and became strong; he
was filled with wisdom, and the grace of God was on him.
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on January 03-04/2023
Hezbollah Ends Impasse with al-Rahi, Says No Differences in Positions
Berri asks al-Rahi about 'alternative' to 'prior agreement'
Report: FPM minister to file appeal against cabinet decrees
Unrest in Khalde as fugitive arrested by army
Daryan: Presidential void threatening both Muslims and Christians
In Nighttime Exercise, Hizbullah Fighters Simulate Breaching the Security Fence
Along Israel-Lebanon Border, Ambushing Israeli Forces
Berri sets session to discuss temporary controls on bank transfers, cash
withdrawals
Army chief broaches general situation with Caretaker Minister Salam, meets Armed
Forces Retirees Association delegation, WLCU’s Chakib Rammal
Berri calls joint committees to convene on Thursday to resume discussion of
capital controls
Berri broaches general developments with Egyptian Ambassador, Iraqi Chargé
d'Affaires
Geagea: Dialogue underway en route to reformist, sovereign solution to
presidential election
Constitutional Council convenes over appeal against state budget law
Sayyed Nasrallah Reassures Supporters, Warns Enemies after Health-related Rumors
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on January 03-04/2023
Report: Britain to proscribe Iran's Revolutionary Guard as terror group
Iran’s Judiciary Indicts Two French Nationals and Belgian for Espionage
Iranian chess player was warned not to return to Iran after competing without
hijab -source
Russia, shaken by Ukrainian strike, said mulling more drones
Putin’s Chef’ Admits His Mercenaries Hit Dead End in Ukrainian Stronghold
Drone advances in Ukraine could bring dawn of killer robots
Ukraine Latest: NATO Allies Seek Deal to Boost Defense Spending
Xi Jinping is 'preparing the Chinese people for war,' Trump-era National
Security Adviser says
Israeli Far-right Minister Visits Jerusalem Holy Site
Looming Catastrophe in North Syria After Suspension of Int’l Aid
Gaza-Based Terrorist Organizations Continue Efforts to Attack Israelis
Netanyahu Signals Israel Will Press Syria Strikes
Israel destroys homes of two Palestinians in occupied West Bank
Where are the Gulf Arab tourists? Israel's hopes fall short
Israeli ultranationalist minister visits Jerusalem holy site
Turkey condemns 'provocative act' by Israel's Ben-Gvir
Top Biden aide planning Israel trip as hard-right coalition takes power -source
Titles For The
Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on January 03-04/2023
The United Nations for Empowering Terrorists/Bassam Tawil/Gatestone
Institute./January 3, 2023
What Is Happening in Saudi Arabia?!/Salman Al-Dossary/Asharq Al-Awsat/January
03/2023
Turkiye’s pipeline politics in Central Asia/Nikola Mikovic/Arab News/January 03,
2023
Turkey’s pipeline politics in Central Asia/Nikola Mikovic/The Arab
Weekly/January 03/2023
January 03-04/2023
Hezbollah Ends Impasse with al-Rahi,
Says No Differences in Positions
Beirut - Nazeer Rida/January 03/2023
Hezbollah ended on Monday the impasse with Lebanon’s Maronite Patriarch Beshara
al-Rahi. Head of the party’s political council Sayyed Ibrahim Amin al-Sayyed
visited al-Rahi at Bkirki on the occasion of the holidays. The two parties
discussed political affairs, including the presidential vacuum. They did not,
however, tackle differences between them, namely al-Rahi's call for Lebanon to
remain neutral from regional affairs and for holding an international conference
over the country. No prominent member of Hezbollah had paid a visit to the seat
of the Maronite Patriarchate, Bkirki, in nearly two years. Contacts between
Hezbollah and Bkirki had, however, remained. Hezbollah had rejected al-Rahi's
call for Lebanon’s “active neutrality” and for holding the international
conference. The party is now keen on reviving ties with Bkirki because “a
president cannot be elected without dialogue and agreement.”
Lebanon has been without a president since November when Michel Aoun’s term
ended without parties agreeing on a successor. Several elections sessions have
been held at parliament, but no candidate has secured enough votes to be
declared the winner. Bkirki has been calling for the election of a president
through 86 votes of the 128-member legislature. Speaking after meeting al-Rahi
on Monday, Amin al-Sayyed said the patriarch had expressed his keenness on
electing a president as soon as possible. Parties are demanded to responsibly
address the issue because Lebanon is experiencing “difficult circumstances” and
the election of a president is a priority, he added. He stressed that channels
of communication between Bkirki and Hezbollah “are always open”, but
circumstances, such as the coronavirus pandemic and others, had thwarted a
meeting. Moreover, Amin al-Sayyed underscored that there were no differences
with al-Rahi, but the two sides “had exchanged views based on the keenness on
electing a new president” who can carry out his duties towards Lebanon. He added
that the election was a “necessity and a priority above all else.”Furthermore,
he called for “real” and “serious” dialogue between parliamentary blocs so that
an understanding can be reached over a president who enjoys consensus and enough
popular support. The new president should not be confrontational, he stated.
Amin al-Sayyed also backed parliament Speaker Nabih Berri’s call to hold
dialogue aimed at reaching an understanding over the new president who would be
tasked with helping Lebanon out of its crises.
Berri asks al-Rahi about 'alternative' to
'prior agreement'
Naharnet/January 03/2023
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri has hit back at remarks by Maronite Patriarch
Beshara al-Rahi. In his sermon on Sunday, al-Rahi had criticized Berri’s
proposals for the presidential file, rejecting his suggestion for securing a
“prior agreement” on the president’s identity prior to voting. Berri snapped
back, according to ad-Diyar newspaper, telling his visitors: “I don’t really
know what they want… What is the alternative? Whoever has a solution should give
it to us.”
Report: FPM minister to file appeal against
cabinet decrees
Naharnet/January 03/2023
Caretaker Social Affairs Minister Hector Hajjar of the Free Patriotic Movement
will file an appeal before the State Shoura Council against the decrees that
were issued in the latest caretaker cabinet session, al-Jadeed TV reported on
Tuesday. Speaking to al-Jadeed, the media adviser of caretaker PM Najib Mikati,
Fares Gemayel, stressed that “the decrees are constitutional and cannot be
appealed.”“This issue is out of the question and I don’t know why they have
nostalgia for wars and problems,” Gemayel added. FPM chief Jebran Bassil had
decried that “around 10 decrees issued by Cabinet were signed in a flagrant way
that eliminated the president’s positions.” “They did not only undermine the
presidential post, but also the republic, the Lebanese entity and everything
related to partnership and the National Pact,” Bassil added. Mikati and the FPM
have been engaged in a war of words over signatures related to governmental
decrees amid the ongoing presidential void. The FPM has repeatedly warned
against holding any caretaker cabinet session during presidential vacuum,
arguing that any decree issued would require the signatures of all ministers.
Unrest in Khalde as fugitive arrested by army
Naharnet/January 03/2023
Unrest erupted Tuesday in Khalde in connection with the arrest of a fugitive
from the area’s Arab tribesmen. “Moussa Zaher Ghosn was arrested by army
intelligence agents on Khalde’s seaside road and a clash broke out between the
army intelligence agents and the tribesmen,” al-Jadeed TV reported, adding that
Ghosn was wounded in the clash. The TV network added that the man was arrested
over a clash between the Ghosn and Nawfal families and an incident that involved
opening fire at shops in the Khalde area around a month ago. “The fugitive Ghosn
has been transferred to the army intelligence center in Beirut while the
Lebanese Army is working on opening the road,” al-Jadeed said.
Daryan: Presidential void threatening both Muslims and
Christians
Naharnet/January 03/2023
Grand Mufti Sheikh Abdul Latif Daryan on Tuesday called for “finalizing the
presidential election as soon as possible,” warning that “the country and
citizens can no longer bear this vacuum that is destroying all of the state’s
pillars.”Accordingly, he called for electing a president who would be “a
statesman who would embrace all citizens and be keen on their rights all.”“He
should be outside the regional axes and in good relation with the Arab brothers
and the friendly countries,” Daryan added. “Presidential vacuum is a rejected
and dangerous thing and it threatens Muslims and Christians in their country
that is built on the basis of the culture of citizenship and coexistence,” the
mufti warned. He also urged “all the loyals who are keen on their country
Lebanon” to “communicate, seek rapprochement, hold consultations and launch
constructive initiatives that unite rather than divide.”“The country needs the
efforts of all its sons to exit this dark tunnel,” Daryan went on to say.
In Nighttime Exercise, Hizbullah Fighters
Simulate Breaching the Security Fence Along Israel-Lebanon Border, Ambushing
Israeli Forces
MEMRI/January 03/2023
Source: The Internet - "Al-Manar TV Website"
On January 1, 2023, Hizbullah's public relations department released a video of
Hizbullah fighters performing a nighttime live-fire exercise in which they
simulated infiltrating Israeli territory and ambushing Israeli forces. The
fighters, equipped with night-vision goggles and high-quality combat gear,
approached a large concrete wall resembling the security fence between Israel
and Lebanon and shot a nearby security camera. They then detonated an explosive
device alongside the wall, entered the hole, and fired RPGs, machine guns, and
suppressed rifles and handguns at steel targets with a Star of David on them and
at dummies wearing Israel Defense Forces uniforms. The video ends with the
fighters standing on the beach and with a quote from the Quran in Arabic,
Hebrew, and English that reads: "And leave the sea in stillness, for they are
certainly an army bound to drown."
Berri sets session to discuss temporary
controls on bank transfers, cash withdrawals
NNA/January 03/2023
Speaker of the House, Nabih Berri, on Tuesday called the finance and budget,
administration and justice, national economy, trade, as well as industry and
planning parliamentary committees to a joint session at 10:30 a.m. on Thursday,
January 5, to follow up on studying the draft law of decree No. 9014 to set
exceptional and temporary controls on bank transfers and cash withdrawals.
Army chief broaches general situation with Caretaker
Minister Salam, meets Armed Forces Retirees Association delegation, WLCU’s
Chakib Rammal
NNA/January 03/2023
Lebanese Army Commander, General Joseph Aoun, on Tuesday received at his Yarzeh
office, Caretaker Trade and Economy Minister, Amin Salam, with whom he discussed
the current general situation in the country. Maj. Gen. Aoun also received a
delegation from the Armed Forces Retirees Association, headed by retired Major
General Nicolas Mezher. Discussions reportedly touched on affairs related to the
retired military personnel. The army commander also welcomed a delegation from
the World Lebanese Cultural Union (WLCU) headed by Dr. Chakib Rammal.
Berri calls joint committees to convene on Thursday to
resume discussion of capital controls
NNA/January 03/2023
House Speaker Nabih Berri has called the committees of finance, administration,
and economy to convene in a joint session at 10:30 am on Thursday, January 5, to
resume the discussion of the capital control bill.
Berri broaches general developments with Egyptian
Ambassador, Iraqi Chargé d'Affaires
NNA/January 03/2023
House Speaker, Nabih Berri, on Tuesday welcomed at his Ain al-Tineh residence
Egyptian Ambassador to Lebanon, Dr. Yasser Alawi, with whom he discussed the
general situation, the latest developments, as well as bilateral relations
between Lebanon and Egypt. Berri later received Caretaker Minister of Defense,
Maurice Sleem, with whom he broached the country’s general situation, especially
on the security level. Chargé d'Affaires of the Iraqi Embassy in Lebanon, Amin
Abdullah al-Nasrawi, also had an audience with Speaker Berri over the country’s
general conditions and bilateral relations between Lebanon and Iraq.
Geagea: Dialogue underway en route to reformist, sovereign
solution to presidential election
NNA/January 03/2023
"Lebanese Forces" party leader, Samir Geagea, on Tuesday confirmed that
"dialogue is underway to find a reformist and sovereign solution to the
presidential election among various parliamentary blocs that believe in real and
serious dialogue.”“This is the path en route to an actual dialogue that can lead
to the aspired outcome — not the usual dialogues that we have gotten used to,
and which have not yielded any results over the past 17 years,” the LF leader
added. Geagea's words came during his meeting with a delegation from the
northern Bekaa region.
Constitutional Council convenes over appeal against state
budget law
NNA/January 03/2023
The Constitutional Council is currently convening to look into the appeal filed
by the "MPs of Change" against the state budget law, our correspondent reported
on Tuesday.
Sayyed Nasrallah Reassures Supporters, Warns
Enemies after Health-related Rumors
Batoul Wehbe/Al manatTV/January 03/2023
Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah reassured supporters on
Tuesday that there was ‘no reason to worry’ about his health, offering apologies
for bothering them after a speech scheduled for Friday was cancelled.
Commemorating the third martyrdom anniversary of Haj Qassem Suleimani and Abu
Mahdi Al-Muhandis in a ceremony held in Beirut’s Dahiyeh Sayyed Shohada complex,
Sayyed Nasrallah gave a televised speech in which he tackled several local and
regional issues.
His eminence began the speech with a soft smile, raising supporters’ spirit. “I
was prepared as usual to deliver my speech on Friday. I apologize for having
worried you and I thank you for having inquired about my condition, as well as
offering sacrificial lamb for my speedy recovery. I would like to reassure you,
there is absolutely no reason to worry,” he said, pointing out that he has been
suffering from tracheitis for over 30 years. Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed
Hasan Nasrallah’s speech on local issues which was scheduled for Friday
(December 30, 2022) had been cancelled over health conditions, the party’s Media
Relation Office announced in a statement earlier in the day. Over the weekend,
Arab and Israeli media outlets circulated uncountable stories about Sayyed
Nasrallah’s health conditions, turning flu into cancer, stroke and heart attack.
Sayyed Nasrallah felicitated people on Christmas and New Year; expressing hope
that it will be the year of hope and relief for Lebanon and the region, as well.
Sayyed Nasrallah offered condolences to the families of the martyrs Hajj Qassem
Suleimani and Hajj Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis, and their companions.
Hezbollah’s S.G. then delved into Hajj Qassem’s traits and major characteristics
which he summarized into three.
“When Haj Qassem entered our fields, he had three major features. The first was
his personality, with what he enjoyed of great great sincerity and veracity, as
well as a high degree of piety and longing to meet Allah,” Sayyed Nasrallah
said. The second, he added, is that he was “a soldier of Wilayat al-Faqih, and
what Haj Qassem was doing in terms of basic orientations and strategies was
within the controls of the supreme leader, Imam Khamenei.”
“Hajj Qassem was able, through his brainpower, planning, constant presence, and
sincerity, to link the forces of the resistance axis, strengthen them and
provide them with material and intellectual support through meetings and direct
presence on the front lines,” his eminence pointed out.
Sayyed Nasrallah indicated that the American project seeks hegemony, domination,
and control of wealth and oil, adding that throughout two decades, Haj Qassem
faced two versions of the American schemes in the region.
“The first version of the American scheme in the region, which was confronted by
martyr Suleimani and other leaders, is the “New Middle East” project in Lebanon
and Palestine,” the Hezbollah leader indicated. He explained that 9/11
(September, 11 attacks) served as an impetus to the American plan to enter
Afghanistan and Iraq and get closer to Iran and Syria.
“In 2006, attempts began to unleash in order to strike the resistance in
Palestine and Lebanon, and the objective was to invade and impose multinational
forces at the airport, ports, and borders,” Sayyed Nasrallah said. “At that
time, Hajj Qassem Suleimani set foot in frontlines as a leader; Iran stood firm,
and Syria, too, leaving the enemy with dilemma in July war,” he added. “Had the
Zionists won the war on Lebanon, it would have expanded towards Syria, but that
did not happen thanks to martyr Suleimani.”
Sayyed Nasrallah lauded Shiite and Sunni resistance factions in Iraq who fought
the occupation forces with utmost sincerity; where exceptional operations
targeting the American occupation forces took place, imposing on occupation
forces to set a timetable for withdrawal. He said that when occupation forces
faltered, the operations increased until they forced them to leave.
“If we combine what the Iraqi resistance has done with the steadfastness of
Iran, Syria, along with the resistance in Lebanon and Palestine, we conclude
that the first version of the American scheme has ended and failed,” Sayyed
Nasrallah asserted.
The result of the first version of the American scheme, the Hezbollah leader
said, is that [Former US President Donald] Trump was forced to go secretly to
Iraq despite spending 7 thousand billion dollars on this scheme.
Turning to the second phase which began with the tenure of Former US president
Barak Obama, Sayyed Nasrallah said that when they (the US administration)
discovered that large-scale wars are doomed to failure, and that relying on
‘Israel’ in wars is a fiasco, wars took on an internal turn; with the eruption
of inner and sectarian strife after the emergence of Takfiris.
“This version was the version of destroying countries and peoples, so that
America will come out as the ‘savior’. In this arena, Suleimani and Al-Muhandis
were present in public because they were supposed to be in the field to fight
off this scheme,” Sayyed Nasrallah said, stating that before these two major and
historic failures, Trump decided to deal a decisive blow to the resistance axis
by assassinating both commanders (Suleimani and Al-Muhandis).
With a two million-man funeral held for martyr Suleimani, the largest in
history, and his emergence as an inspiration and symbol for Iranians, the scheme
had an adverse effect on America, Hezbollah’s secretary general said, adding
that after the martyrdom of Suleimani, the “deal of the century” fell through,
Lebanon established the rules of deterrence, and victory was achieved in the
issue of demarcating the maritime borders.
The third version of the American scheme took the shape of economic war, and
this needs more talk, his eminence said, promising an upcoming speech to tackle
it in details.
Commenting on the frequent attacks on Palestinians and the latest storming of
Al-Aqsa mosque, Sayyed Nasrallah said the new Zionist government, which gathers
madmen, is hastening its end by committing mistakes and stupidities. “We tried
Netanyahu for a long time and we do not fear him.”
“Attacking Al-Aqsa Mosque, Islamic and Christian holy sites in Palestine, and
Al-Quds will not only blow up the situation inside Palestine, but may ignite the
entire region,” he warned, pointing that one can be “optimistic about the new
Israeli government, because that might speed up the demise of the temporary
entity.”“We will not tolerate any change in the rules of engagement or any
violation of the de facto situation at the level of defending Lebanon. We are
facing a government in the Zionist entity that includes corrupt, insane, and
extremists, and all of them do not scare us because we have tried them before.”
Ben Gvir storms Al-Aqsa mosque
Turning to Lebanon, Sayyed Nasrallah said the resistance in Lebanon does not
need protection, “it wants a president who does not stab it in the back or
conspire against it, and this is our natural right. A president who would not
stab the resistance would mean a president who would not drag the country into a
civil war.”“Whoever awaits negotiations to take place between the US and Iran
over the nuclear program can wait for decades, and we would remain without a
president. This is an internal issue and Iran has not interfered in Lebanese
affairs for 40 years,” his eminence pointed.
Even if the Saudis and Iranians sat for talks, Sayyed Nasrallah assured that
Saudi Arabia’s priority is Yemen, not Lebanon. “We must hasten internal
dialogue, and we all must agree that time is pressing in light of the difficult
internal conditions, prices hike, and other crises. Whatever the ambiguities,
they can be addressed through direct dialogue.”On Hezbollah’s latest
disagreements with the Free Patriotic Movement over several internal issues,
Sayyed Nasrallah said: We are eager to deal with the disagreement with the Free
Patriotic Movement through communication and we’re keen on this relationship.
“Some of our allies and friends criticize us in public. We do not do that, we
rather prefer internal dialogue.”“I’ve always told Minister Gebran Bassil that
if you feel embarrassed by allying with us, then you are not obligated,” his
eminence said, stressing that “we do not leave the hand of an ally or friend
unless he does so.”
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on January 03-04/2023
Report: Britain to proscribe
Iran's Revolutionary Guard as terror group
Ynetnews/January 03/023
The move means it would become a criminal offence to belong to the group, attend
its meetings, and carry its logo in public; comes after seven people with links
to UK arrested by IRGC. Britain will officially declare Iran's Revolutionary
Guard, which has arrested seven people with links to the United Kingdom over
anti-government protests, as a terrorist group, the Telegraph reported on
Monday, citing sources. The move, which will be announced within weeks, is
supported by Britain's security minister, Tom Tugendhat, and Home Secretary
Suella Braverman, the report said. Proscribing Iran's Revolutionary Guard as a
terrorist group would mean that it would become a criminal offence to belong to
the group, attend its meetings, and carry its logo in public. The UK Home Office
did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the Telegraph report.
Iran's Revolutionary Guards last week arrested seven people with links to
Britain over anti-government protests that have rocked the country following the
death of Mahsa Amini, a 22-year-old Kurdish Iranian who was arrested for wearing
"inappropriate attire" under Iran's strict Islamic dress code for women.
Britain's Prime Minister Rishi Sunak on Wednesday urged Iran to stop detaining
dual nationals, saying the practice should not be used to obtain "diplomatic
leverage".
Iran’s Judiciary Indicts Two French Nationals
and Belgian for Espionage
Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 3 January, 2023
Iran has indicted two French nationals and a Belgian for espionage and working
against the country's national security, the judiciary spokesperson said on
Tuesday according to the semi-official Student News Network. Tehran has accused
foreign adversaries of fomenting unrest which erupted in Iran three months ago
after the death in detention of 22-year-old Kurdish Iranian woman Mahsa Amini,
who was arrested by morality police enforcing the country's mandatory dress code
laws. The protests mark one of the boldest challenges to the country's
leadership since its 1979 revolution and have drawn in Iranians from all walks
of life. The news network did not say where or when the three were indicted.
Iranian chess player was warned not to return
to Iran after competing without hijab -source
DUBAI/Reuters/January 3, 2023
An Iranian chess player arrived in Spain on Tuesday after receiving what a
source close to her said were warnings not to return to Iran for competing
without a hijab at an international tournament in Kazakhstan. Sara Khadem, born
in 1997, took part in last week's FIDE World Rapid and Blitz Chess Championships
in Almaty without the hijab - a headscarf mandatory under Iran's strict dress
codes. The source, who did not want to be named due to the sensitivity of the
matter, said Khadem subsequently received multiple phone calls in which
individuals warned her against returning home after the tournament, while others
said she should come back, promising to "solve her problem". The source also
said Khadem's relatives and parents, who are in Iran, had also received threats,
without giving further details. Iran's foreign ministry did not immediately
respond to a request for comment on the case. Khadem, who is also known as
Sarasadat Khademalsharieh, arrived in Spain on Tuesday, the source said. She has
not responded to Reuters request for comment. Newspapers including Le Figaro and
El Pais reported last week that Khadem would not be returning to Iran and moving
to Spain. The phone calls led to organisers deciding to provide security with
the cooperation of Kazakh police, resulting in four bodyguards being stationed
outside Khadem's hotel room, the source said. Iran has been swept by
demonstrations against the country's clerical leadership since mid-September,
when 22-year-old Iranian Kurdish woman Mahsa Amini died in the custody of
morality police who detained her for "inappropriate attire."Laws enforcing
mandatory hijab wearing have become a flashpoint during the unrest, with a
string of sportswomen competing overseas appearing without their headscarves in
public. Khadem is ranked 804 in the world, according to the International Chess
Federation website. The website for the Dec. 25-30 event listed her as a
participant in both the Rapid and Blitz competitions. The protests mark one of
the boldest challenges to Iran's leadership since its 1979 revolution and have
drawn in Iranians from all walks of life. Women have played a prominent role,
removing and in some cases burning headscarves, while protesters have taken
heart from what they have seen as shows of support from both female and male
Iranian athletes.
Russia, shaken by Ukrainian strike, said mulling more
drones
KYIV, Ukraine (AP)//January 3, 2023
Russia is preparing to step up its attacks on Ukraine using Iranian-made
exploding drones, according to Ukraine's president, as Moscow looks for ways to
keep up the pressure on Kyiv after a Ukrainian attack killed at least 63 Russian
soldiers in the latest battlefield setback for the Kremlin’s war strategy. “We
have information that Russia is planning a prolonged attack by Shaheds
(exploding drones),” President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in his nightly video
address late Monday. He said the goal is to break Ukraine’s resistance by
“exhausting our people, (our) air defense, our energy,” more than 10 months
after Russia invaded its neighbor. Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to
be exploring ways to regain momentum in his flawed war effort, which in recent
months has been frustrated by a Ukrainian counteroffensive backed by
Western-supplied weapons. That has brought sharp rebukes in some Russian circles
of the military’s performance. In the latest embarrassment for the Kremlin,
Ukrainian forces fired rockets at a facility in the eastern Donetsk region where
Russian soldiers were stationed, killing 63 of them, according to Russia's
Defense Ministry. Other, unconfirmed reports put the death toll much higher. It
was one of the deadliest attacks on the Kremlin’s forces since the war began
more than 10 months ago. In the attack, Ukrainian forces fired six rockets from
a HIMARS launch system and two of them were shot down, a Russian Defense
Ministry statement said. However, the Strategic Communications Directorate of
Ukraine’s Armed Forces claimed Sunday that around 400 mobilized Russian soldiers
were killed in a vocational school building in Makiivka and about 300 more were
wounded. That claim couldn't be independently verified. The Russian statement
said the strike occurred “in the area of Makiivka” and didn’t mention the
vocational school. Satellite photos analyzed by The Associated Press show the
apparent aftermath of the strike. An image from Dec. 20 showed the building
standing. An image from Jan. 2 showed the building reduced to rubble. Other days
had intense cloud cover, making seeing the site by standard satellite imagery
impossible. Vigils for soldiers killed in the strike took place in two Russian
cities Tuesday, the state RIA Novosti agency reported. In Samara, in
southwestern Russia, locals gathered for an Orthodox service in memory of the
dead. The service was followed by a minute’s silence, and flowers were laid at a
Soviet-era war memorial, RIA reported. Unconfirmed reports in Russian-language
media said that the victims were mobilized reservists from the region.
For the Russian military, the Iranian-made exploding drones are a cheap weapon
which also spreads fear among troops and civilians. The United States and its
allies have sparred with Iran over Tehran's role in allegedly supplying Moscow
with the drones.
The Institute for the Study of War said that Putin is looking to strengthen
support for his strategy among key voices in Russia.
“Russia’s air and missile campaign against Ukraine is likely not generating the
Kremlin’s desired information effects among Russia’s nationalists,” the think
tank said late Monday.
“Such profound military failures will continue to complicate Putin’s efforts to
appease the Russian pro-war community and retain the dominant narrative in the
domestic information space,” it added.
Zelenskyy warned that in the coming weeks, “the nights may be quite
restless.”Putin's additional reliance on drones might not help him achieve his
goals, however, as Ukraine claims a high success rate against the weapons.
During the first two days of the new year, which were marked by relentless
nighttime drone attacks on Ukrainian cities and energy infrastructure, the
country’s forces shot down more than 80 Iranian-made drones, Zelenskyy said.
Since September, Ukraine's armed forces have shot down almost 500 drones,
Ukrainian air force spokesman Yurii Ihnat claimed in a television interview
Tuesday, news website Ukrinform reported.
As well as hoping to wear down resistance to Russia’s invasion, the long-range
bombardments have targeted the power grid to leave civilians at the mercy of
biting winter weather as power outages ripple across the country. “Every downed
drone, every downed missile, every day with electricity for our people and
minimal shutdown schedules are exactly such victories,” Zelenskyy said. In the
latest fighting, a Russian missile strike overnight on the city of Druzhkivka in
the partially occupied eastern Donetsk region wounded two people, the deputy
head of Ukraine’s presidential office, Kyrylo Tymoshenko, reported Tuesday.
A reporter with French broadcaster TF1 was live on television screens when a
blast from one of the strikes erupted behind him in Druzhkivka. A German
reporter with Bild newspaper suffered a minor injury from shrapnel in the same
bombardment.
Officials said the attack ruined an ice hockey arena described as the largest
hockey and figure skating school in Ukraine. Overnight Russian shelling was also
reported in the northeastern Kharkiv region and the southeastern Dnipropetrovsk
region.
In the recently retaken areas of the southern Kherson region, Russian shelling
on Monday killed two people and wounded nine others, Kherson’s Ukrainian
governor, Yaroslav Yanushevich, said Tuesday. He said the Russian forces fired
at the city of Kherson 32 times on Monday.
*Jon Gambrell in Rome contributed to this report.
Putin’s Chef’ Admits His Mercenaries Hit Dead End in
Ukrainian Stronghold
Allison Quinn/The Daily Beast./Tue, January 3, 2023
Russia’s shadow army boss has tried to explain away his mercenary group’s
failure to take the Ukrainian stronghold of Bakhmut by claiming Ukraine has “500
lines of defense” there. Yevgeny Prigozhin made the claim in an interview with
RIA Novosti published Tuesday, telling the news agency that the Wagner Group
can’t seem to break through Ukrainian defenses around the city. Ukraine’s
military has fended off a Russian takeover there during months of brutal battles
against the notorious mercenaries. In the face of relentless Russian attacks,
the city has gained huge symbolic significance.
While pro-Kremlin pundits and Prigozhin himself have for weeks taunted
Ukrainians with threats that Bakhmut will soon fall to Russia, the Wagner boss
now appears to be acknowledging what Western experts and British intelligence
have already predicted: Russia is unlikely to achieve any major wins in the area
any time soon. “It’s a fortress in every home,” Prigozhin said in video
published by RIA Novosti. “The guys lock horns for every home, sometimes not
just for one day. Sometimes for weeks over one home. They take one home, they
take a second, a third,” Prigozhin said.
But they still can’t break through defenses. “To say [there are] 500 [lines of
defense] would probably not be a mistake. Every 10 meters there is a line of
defense,” Prigozhin said while meeting with his mercenaries. One of the men
under his command can be heard complaining in the footage that they don’t have
enough equipment or weapons to push further into Bakhmut. How 46 Toddlers Were
Disappeared by Putin in One Fell Swoop. The Wagner boss’ admission comes after
Western intelligence noted that the manpower behind Russian attacks in the area
had been thinning out. The British Ministry of Defense noted in its latest
assessment on Tuesday that while Russia has “increased the frequency” of attacks
around Bakhmut, “many of these operations were poorly supported.”
A Ukrainian soldier near Bakhmut also says it seems the Russian side is “running
out” of prison inmates to send to the frontline. In an interview with Radio New
Times, Yevgeny Oropai said Russian troops seem to be “out of breath” after
unsuccessfully attempting to storm Ukrainian positions around the New Year
holiday, leaving Wagner with “heavy losses.” But they’re also learning from
their own mistakes and not “mindlessly” carrying out so many offensives anymore,
he said. Both sides have suffered staggering losses in and around the city,
leading even some pro-Kremlin figures to question whether Russia’s offensive
there was worth the “senseless meat grinder” it had created for them. But the
city appeared to take on heightened significance for Moscow after a series of
crushing losses elsewhere saw Russians retreat from territories Putin had
proudly declared to be part of Russia. Bakhmut, seen in some ways as Russia’s
“last stand” after Ukraine took back Kharkiv and Kherson, was also part of the
Donbas region Putin had dubbed a priority after the Kremlin’s failure to take
Kyiv. Prigozhin, who for months has boasted that his guys are more ruthless and
able to do what ordinary Russians troops cannot, released a series of
attention-seeking propaganda videos said to be from Bakhmut in late December, in
which he ordered his mercenaries to fire off weapons and taunted Ukrainian
President Volodymyr Zelensky with invitations to meet on the front line. “Maybe
by the evening we’ll be able to meet,” he said. “I’m sitting, waiting for you
near Bakhmut.” Days later, however, Russian airborne troops were sent to the
area to prop up Wagner’s operations—a move widely seen as evidence that all was
not going according to plan for Russia’s tough-talking shadow army boss.
Drone advances in Ukraine could bring dawn of killer robots
FRANK BAJAK and HANNA ARHIROVA/KYIV, Ukraine (AP) /January 03/2023
Drone advances in Ukraine have accelerated a long-anticipated technology trend
that could soon bring the world's first fully autonomous fighting robots to the
battlefield, inaugurating a new age of warfare. The longer the war lasts, the
more likely it becomes that drones will be used to identify, select and attack
targets without help from humans, according to military analysts, combatants and
artificial intelligence researchers. That would mark a revolution in military
technology as profound as the introduction of the machine gun. Ukraine already
has semi-autonomous attack drones and counter-drone weapons endowed with AI.
Russia also claims to possess AI weaponry, though the claims are unproven. But
there are no confirmed instances of a nation putting into combat robots that
have killed entirely on their own. Experts say it may be only a matter of time
before either Russia or Ukraine, or both, deploy them.
“Many states are developing this technology,” said Zachary Kallenborn, a George
Mason University weapons innovation analyst. ”Clearly, it’s not all that
difficult.” The sense of inevitability extends to activists, who have tried for
years to ban killer drones but now believe they must settle for trying to
restrict the weapons’ offensive use. Ukraine's digital transformation minister,
Mykhailo Fedorov, agrees that fully autonomous killer drones are “a logical and
inevitable next step" in weapons development. He said Ukraine has been doing “a
lot of R&D in this direction.”“I think that the potential for this is great in
the next six months,” Fedorov told The Associated Press in a recent interview.
Ukrainian Lt. Col. Yaroslav Honchar, co-founder of the combat drone innovation
nonprofit Aerorozvidka, said in a recent interview near the front that human war
fighters simply cannot process information and make decisions as quickly as
machines. Ukrainian military leaders currently prohibit the use of fully
independent lethal weapons, although that could change, he said. “We have not
crossed this line yet – and I say ‘yet’ because I don’t know what will happen in
the future.” said Honchar, whose group has spearheaded drone innovation in
Ukraine, converting cheap commercial drones into lethal weapons. Russia could
obtain autonomous AI from Iran or elsewhere. The long-range Shahed-136 exploding
drones supplied by Iran have crippled Ukrainian power plants and terrorized
civilians but are not especially smart. Iran has other drones in its evolving
arsenal that it says feature AI.
Without a great deal of trouble, Ukraine could make its semi-autonomous
weaponized drones fully independent in order to better survive battlefield
jamming, their Western manufacturers say. Those drones include the U.S.-made
Switchblade 600 and the Polish Warmate, which both currently require a human to
choose targets over a live video feed. AI finishes the job. The drones,
technically known as “loitering munitions,” can hover for minutes over a target,
awaiting a clean shot. “The technology to achieve a fully autonomous mission
with Switchblade pretty much exists today,” said Wahid Nawabi, CEO of
AeroVironment, its maker. That will require a policy change — to remove the
human from the decision-making loop — that he estimates is three years away.
Drones can already recognize targets such as armored vehicles using cataloged
images. But there is disagreement over whether the technology is reliable enough
to ensure that the machines don't err and take the lives of noncombatants. The
AP asked the defense ministries of Ukraine and Russia if they have used
autonomous weapons offensively – and whether they would agree not to use them if
the other side similarly agreed. Neither responded.
If either side were to go on the attack with full AI, it might not even be a
first. An inconclusive U.N. report last year suggested that killer robots
debuted in Libya’s internecine conflict in 2020, when Turkish-made Kargu-2
drones in full-automatic mode killed an unspecified number of combatants. A
spokesman for STM, the manufacturer, said the report was based on “speculative,
unverified” information and “should not be taken seriously.” He told the AP the
Kargu-2 cannot attack a target until the operator tells it to do so. Fully
autonomous AI is already helping to defend Ukraine. Utah-based Fortem
Technologies has supplied the Ukrainian military with drone-hunting systems that
combine small radars and unmanned aerial vehicles, both powered by AI. The
radars are designed to identify enemy drones, which the UAVs then disable by
firing nets at them — all without human assistance. The number of AI-endowed
drones keeps growing. Israel has been exporting them for decades. Its
radar-killing Harpy can hover over anti-aircraft radar for up to nine hours
waiting for them to power up. Other examples include Beijing’s Blowfish-3
unmanned weaponized helicopter. Russia has been working on a nuclear-tipped
underwater AI drone called the Poseidon. The Dutch are currently testing a
ground robot with a .50-caliber machine gun.
Honchar believes Russia, whose attacks on Ukrainian civilians have shown little
regard for international law, would have used killer autonomous drones by now if
the Kremlin had them. “I don’t think they’d have any scruples,” agreed Adam
Bartosiewicz, vice president of WB Group, which makes the Warmate. AI is a
priority for Russia. President Vladimir Putin said in 2017 that whoever
dominates that technology will rule the world. In a Dec. 21 speech, he expressed
confidence in the Russian arms industry’s ability to embed AI in war machines,
stressing that “the most effective weapons systems are those that operate
quickly and practically in an automatic mode.” Russian officials already claim
their Lancet drone can operate with full autonomy. “It’s not going to be easy to
know if and when Russia crosses that line,” said Gregory C. Allen, former
director of strategy and policy at the Pentagon’s Joint Artificial Intelligence
Center.
Switching a drone from remote piloting to full autonomy might not be
perceptible. To date, drones able to work in both modes have performed better
when piloted by a human, Allen said. The technology is not especially
complicated, said University of California-Berkeley professor Stuart Russell, a
top AI researcher. In the mid-2010s, colleagues he polled agreed that graduate
students could, in a single term, produce an autonomous drone “capable of
finding and killing an individual, let’s say, inside a building,” he said.
An effort to lay international ground rules for military drones has so far been
fruitless. Nine years of informal United Nations talks in Geneva made little
headway, with major powers including the United States and Russia opposing a
ban. The last session, in December, ended with no new round scheduled.
Washington policymakers say they won’t agree to a ban because rivals developing
drones cannot be trusted to use them ethically. Toby Walsh, an Australian
academic who, like Russell, campaigns against killer robots, hopes to achieve a
consensus on some limits, including a ban on systems that use facial recognition
and other data to identify or attack individuals or categories of people.
“If we are not careful, they are going to proliferate much more easily than
nuclear weapons,” said Walsh, author of “Machines Behaving Badly.” “If you can
get a robot to kill one person, you can get it to kill a thousand.”Scientists
also worry about AI weapons being repurposed by terrorists. In one feared
scenario, the U.S. military spends hundreds of millions writing code to power
killer drones. Then it gets stolen and copied, effectively giving terrorists the
same weapon. The global public is concerned. An Ipsos survey done for Human
Rights Watch in 2019 found that 61% of adults across 26 countries oppose the use
of lethal autonomous weapons systems. To date, the Pentagon has neither clearly
defined “autonomous weapon” nor authorized a single such weapon for use by U.S.
troops, said Allen, the former Defense Department official. Any proposed system
must be approved by the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and two
undersecretaries. That's not stopping the weapons from being developed across
the U.S. Projects are underway at the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency,
military labs, academic institutions and in the private sector.
The Pentagon has emphasized using AI to augment human warriors. The Air Force is
studying ways to pair pilots with drone wingmen. A booster of the idea, former
Deputy Defense Secretary Robert O. Work, said in a report last month that it
“would be crazy not to go to an autonomous system” once AI-enabled systems
outperform humans — a threshold that he said was crossed in 2015, when computer
vision eclipsed that of humans. Humans have already been pushed out in some
defensive systems. Israel’s Iron Dome missile shield is authorized to open fire
automatically, although it is said to be monitored by a person who can intervene
if the system goes after the wrong target. Multiple countries, and every branch
of the U.S. military, are developing drones that can attack in deadly
synchronized swarms, according to Kallenborn, the George Mason researcher.
So will future wars become a fight to the last drone? That's what Putin
predicted in a 2017 televised chat with engineering students: “When one party’s
drones are destroyed by drones of another, it will have no other choice but to
surrender.”
**Frank Bajak reported from Boston. Associated Press journalists Tara Copp in
Washington, Garance Burke in San Francisco and Suzan Fraser in Turkey
contributed to this report.
Ukraine Latest: NATO Allies Seek Deal to Boost Defense
Spending
Bloomberg/January 3, 2023
NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said allies are pushing to strengthen
the alliance’s target of spending 2% of output on defense, with the aim of
reaching an agreement by July. Ukraine warned that Russia may launch more
attacks over the Orthodox Christmas holiday later this week even as Kyiv
continued to down Iran-made Shahed drones being sent into the country, the
country’s air defense command said on Monday. Germany, meanwhile, is open to
using billions of euros in frozen Russian assets to help Ukraine rebuild as long
as legal issues can be resolved and allies follow suit, according to people
familiar with the discussions. Ukraine’s air defense systems intercepted every
drone from two consecutive nights of Russian strikes since Dec. 31, according to
the Institute for the Study of War. Russian forces continued to carry out
unsuccessful attempts to improve their tactical positions northwest of Svatove
after a tactical pause, the ISW said. Russian forces, trying to take full
control of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, are concentrating efforts on
offensive operations in the Bakhmut region in Donbas, Ukraine’s general staff
reports. Russian crude shipments slid to the lowest for 2022 in the final four
weeks of the year as sanctions crimped Moscow’s exports. Cargoes bound for
China, India and Turkey, which have become a lifeline for Russian supplies
displaced from Europe, saw a third straight drop. The country’s overall seaborne
flows fell by 117,000 barrels a day to 2.615 million barrels on a four-week
average basis.
Germany is open to using billions of euros in frozen Russian assets to help
Ukraine rebuild as long as legal issues can be resolved and allies follow suit.
Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s government supports Ukraine’s demand for war
reparations but hasn’t yet taken an official position on seizing assets from the
Russian state. The issue is complex and some parts of the ruling coalition are
more ardent than others, according to people familiar with the discussions. Some
North Atlantic Treaty Organization members want the alliance to sharpen its
target of spending 2% of output on defense by making the guideline a minimum,
according to Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. In 2014, NATO agreed that
members whose military spending was below 2% would “aim to move toward” the goal
within a decade, yet more than half remain well below. “We will meet, we will
have ministerial meetings, we will have talks in capitals,” Stoltenberg said in
an interview with German news agency DPA, adding that the aim is to seal
agreement no later than the next NATO summit in Vilnius in July. Moscow plans a
protracted drone attack on Ukraine to “exhaust” the country’s energy
infrastructure, air defenses and people, according to President Volodymyr
Zelenskiy. Ukraine’s anti-missile forces have intercepted more than 80 Iran-made
drones launched by Russia against the power grid and civilian infrastructure
since the beginning of the year, and many more are yet to come, Zelenskiy said
in his nightly address to the nation on Monday. “Over coming weeks, nights may
be pretty troubled,” he said. “We have information that Russia plans a
protracted attack by Shahed drones.” The attack is meant to reassure the Russian
people as its troops suffer painful battlefield losses, according to Ukraine’s
leader.
Xi Jinping is 'preparing the Chinese people for war,'
Trump-era National Security Adviser says
Matthew Loh/Business Insider/January 3, 2023
Retired Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster warned that Xi Jinping is preparing China for
war.
McMaster said Xi has been increasingly signaling aggression in his speeches
about Taiwan.
He urged the US to bolster its military presence, to deter China from making a
move against Taiwan.
Herbert Raymond McMaster, a former National Security Adviser, said on Monday he
believes Chinese President Xi Jinping is "preparing the Chinese people for
war."Speaking on CBS' "Face The Nation," hosted by Margaret Brennan, McMaster
said the US should take care "not to fall into the same traps we did with
Vladimir Putin" when it comes to the threat of conflict with China over Taiwan.
He and several pundits, including Michèle Flournoy, the former Under Secretary
of Defense for Policy, were on the show discussing US foreign policy on various
fronts, such as dealing with Iran, the war in Ukraine, and China. McMaster, a
retired lieutenant general who served as National Security Adviser in 2017 and
2018 under former President Donald Trump, said the US should take potential
threats from Xi seriously, adding that the leader "means what he says." "I think
we have to be careful not to mirror image, not to fall into the same traps we
did with Vladimir Putin, of confirmation bias and optimism bias," said McMaster.
He added that Xi has been posturing aggressively in recent speeches, telling
Chinese people that it would take sacrifices to restore China to national
greatness.
McMaster said Xi has "made quite clear" through his recent statements that he is
preparing to move against Taiwan and toward "subsuming" the island. "China has
become increasingly aggressive, not only from an economic and financial
perspective and a wolf warrior diplomacy perspective, but physically, with its
military," he added. McMaster urged the US to increase its military presence in
the Asia Pacific region. "We talk a lot about relying on our allies and that
maybe if we take a step back, the allies will do more," said McMaster. "I think
actually the opposite is the case. If Americans just do a little bit more, many
of our allies will follow suit and bolster their defensive capabilities and
capacity as well." Xi said in October that China is "striving for the prospect
of peaceful reunification with Taiwan," but also repeatedly signaled aggression
toward the democratic island while he consolidated his power last fall.
He opened China's 20th Communist Party Congress by saying his government would
"never promise to give up the use of force" to seize Taiwan. In November, Xi
urged the Chinese military to be ready for potential war and outlined a vision
for the People's Liberation Army to become a world-class force by 2027. The
Chinese president also denounced "foreign interference" with Taiwan — a veiled
threat against the US that came after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's August visit
to Taipei. Beijing, bristling at the visit, responded by announcing a slew of
renewed military drills near the island. On the part of the US, President Joe
Biden angered Beijing in October when he broke from long-term US policy by
saying that Washington would defend Taiwan if it was attacked by China. The
White House later clarified that the president's comments hadn't signaled a
change in foreign policy and that the US still opposed "any unilateral changes
to the status quo." Biden's rhetoric then shifted as he met Xi in November for
the G20 summit, when the president emphasized cooperation between their nations
and peace in the Taiwan Strait. McMaster did not immediately respond to
Insider's request for comment via email.
Israeli Far-right Minister Visits Jerusalem
Holy Site
Asharq Al-Awsat/January 03/2023
An ultranationaThis picture taken from the Mount of Olives shows from shows
Jerusalem's Old City with the Dome of the Rock in the al-Aqsa mosque compound,
on January 2, 2023. (Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI / AFP)list Israeli Cabinet minister
visited Tuesday a flashpoint Jerusalem holy site for the first time since taking
office in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's new far-right government last
week. The visit is seen by Palestinians as a provocation. Earlier in the day,
Palestinian officials said a 15-year-old boy was killed by Israeli army fire
near the occupied West Bank city of Bethlehem. The Israeli military said its
forces had shot a person involved in violent confrontations with soldiers. In
Jerusalem, Itamar Ben-Gvir entered the site known to Jews as the Temple Mount
and to Muslims as the Noble Sanctuary flanked by a large contingent of police
officers. Ben-Gvir has long called for greater Jewish access to the holy site,
which is viewed by Palestinians as provocative and as a potential precursor to
Israel taking complete control over the compound. The site has been the scene of
frequent clashes between Palestinian protesters and Israeli security forces,
most recently in April last year.
Palestinian Leaders Denounce Ben-Gvir's Visit
to Aqsa Mosque
Ramallah - Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 3 January, 2023
The Palestinian leaders and factions condemned on Tuesday the visit of Israel’s
extreme-right firebrand Itamar Ben-Gvir to Jerusalem’s Al-Aqsa mosque.
Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammad Shtayyeh cast the visit as a bid to turn a
major mosque there "into a Jewish temple". Addressing his cabinet, Shtayyeh also
called on Palestinians to "confront the raids into Al Aqsa mosque" after Israeli
National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir toured the periphery of the mosque
compound. Ben-Gvir did not approach the mosque. Palestinian president spokesman
Nabil Abu Rudaina said in a statement that the visit constitutes a “challenge”
to the Palestinian people, and to the Arab and International communities,
Palestinian news agency Wafa said. He rejected Israel’s continued “provocations”
against Islamic and Christian religious sites, denouncing Israel's attempts to
change the historic and legal face of al-Aqsa which he said “will turn to no
avail.”The Palestinian foreign ministry condemned Ben-Gvir's visit as an
"unprecedented provocation and a serious threat to the arena of conflict".
Moreover, Jordan condemned in "severest" terms the visit by Ben-Gvir. Ben-Gvir
visited Jerusalem's Al-Aqsa mosque compound Tuesday for the first time since
becoming a minister, enraging Palestinians who see the move as a provocation.
Ben-Gvir's visit comes days after he took office as national security minister,
a position which gives him powers over the police. Ben-Gvir has lobbied to
overhaul management of the site to allow Jewish prayer there, a move opposed by
mainstream rabbinical authorities. Waqf guards told AFP that Ben-Gvir was
accompanied by units of the Israeli security forces, while a drone hovered above
the holy site. After he left the site on Tuesday morning, visitors arrived at
the plaza and the situation remained quiet.
Looming Catastrophe in North Syria After
Suspension of Int’l Aid
Idlib - Firas Karam/Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 3 January, 2023
Local humanitarian organizations in northwest Syria warned Monday of
“catastrophic consequences” resulting from the closure of Bab al-Hawa crossing
on the border with Türkiye, which allows access for medical assistance to
millions of citizens, including 2.5 million displaced persons.
The Syria Response Team, an organization concerned with monitoring the
humanitarian situation in NW Syria, warned in a statement that some 2.2 million
people will be affected from the closure of the humanitarian lifeline that
secures food provided by the World Food Program.
Other organizations and around 2.65 million people will be deprived of clean or
drinking water, it added. The Syria Response Team said this catastrophe looms as
the mandate of UN Resolution 2642 approaches an end while international agencies
insist to legitimize the entry of humanitarian aid through crossings of the
Syrian regime. Last month, local and international humanitarian organizations
have called on the UN Security Council to renew and extend the Syria
cross-border resolution 2642 for at least 12 months to allow humanitarian aid
into northwest Syria through the Bab al-Hawa crossing.
The resolution will be put to a vote on January 10. The Syria Response Team
warned Monday that the closure of Bab al-Hawa crossing will interrupt bread
support in more than 725 camps, and deprive more than a million people from
obtaining bread on a daily basis.
At the medical level, the Team said that “stopping the entry of aid across the
borders will reduce the number of hospitals and effective medical facilities to
less than half in the first stage, and more than 80 percent will be closed in
the second stage.”
It noted that starting 2023, eight medical facilities have already seen reduced
or no aid while less than 20 percent of facilities in the camp are receiving
medical support. Also, humanitarian organizations are unable to provide support
to repair damages within the camps, the Team said, noting also the increase in
the birth rate, and the arrival of new displaced people. Meanwhile, medical
authorities in NW Syria spoke of a new crisis with the interruption of support
for dozens of hospitals and medical facilities, and the near depletion of
operational materials in a number of other hospitals that provide multiple
medical services to more than two million civilians, most of whom are displaced
people residing in camps. The medical authorities said a number of hospitals
already stopped providing medical services to civilians suffering from heart,
respiratory and orthopedic diseases starting the first day of 2023. They named
the Atma Charitable Hospital, HIH Hospital for Children, Armanaz Hospital, and
Al-Quds Hospital north of Idlib. Ahmed al-Hassan, director of Syria's Al Khair
camp, which houses about 800 displaced families north of Idlib, said “a horrible
catastrophe may affect millions of people residing in the area, unless the
mechanism for entering international humanitarian aid is renewed as soon as
possible.”He also spoke about a possible famine among the displaced, and the
spread of epidemics and diseases. More than 2.5 million displaced people from
different regions of Syria are unemployed and have no source of income to
survive, al-Hassan said. He stressed that most of the displaced families in the
camps depend on the monthly baskets provided by international partner
organizations of the UN and WPF.
Gaza-Based Terrorist Organizations Continue Efforts to
Attack Israelis
FDD/January 03/2023
Latest Developments
The Shin Bet stated on Monday that it prevented a “significant terror attack”
earlier in December. The Shin Bet, also known as the Israeli Security Agency
(ISA) and Shabak, reported that Israeli forces arrested four Palestinians in the
West Bank, confiscating an explosive device disguised as a fire extinguisher
that the terrorists planned to detonate in an unspecified Israeli city.
According to ISA, the group was taking orders from two Gaza-based terror
organizations working together — the Popular Resistance Committees (PRC) and the
al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades.
Expert Analysis
“The Palestinian Authority has been on life support for many years. Its failure
to collect taxes, violent crackdowns against political activists, and widespread
corruption have been growing. In this vacuum, Palestinian terrorist
organizations have enjoyed greater freedom of action.” — Joe Truzman, Research
Analyst at FDD’s Long War Journal
The Popular Resistance Committees and the Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades
The PRC, founded in 2000 as an offshoot of Fatah, is the third-largest
Palestinian terrorist organization in the Gaza Strip. The PRC has claimed credit
for more than a hundred attacks against Israelis and Americans. For example, on
October 16, 2003, the PRC planted a roadside bomb that struck a U.S. diplomatic
vehicle in Beit Lahiya, Gaza, killing three Americans and injuring one. Despite
the numerous attacks claimed by the group, the latest plot is the first time the
PRC has activated a cell in the West Bank.
Like the PRC, the Fatah-affiliated al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades, established in
2000, is active in Gaza and the West Bank. It represents one of the largest
terrorist organizations in the West Bank, and has significantly contributed to
the uptick in violence in the territory since last May. Since its inception, it
has claimed dozens of attacks, including suicide bombings against Israeli
civilians. Washington designated the group as a Foreign Terrorist Organization
in 2002.
A Growing Threat from Gaza
The foiled attack is not the first time this year that the Shin Bet has busted a
terror cell in the West Bank taking orders from Gaza. In October, the agency
arrested a Hamas cell in the West Bank — directed and funded by a Hamas militant
in Gaza — that was reportedly planning to commit shooting attacks against
Israeli soldiers and civilians. A month earlier, the Shin Bet arrested a Hamas
terror cell directed from Gaza that shot at an Israeli vehicle in the northern
West Bank.
A Concerted Effort by Terrorist Groups
The uptick in violence that has occurred over the last year and a half is a
concerted effort by Palestinian terrorist groups to destabilize the West Bank
and undermine the Palestinian Authority. These developments warrant close
attention, as the operation of key Gaza-based militant groups in the West Bank
is a relatively new phenomenon, suggesting that opponents of the Palestinian
Authority feel newly emboldened to advance their drive for power.
Netanyahu Signals Israel Will Press Syria Strikes
FDD/January 03/2023
Latest Developments
Syria said Israel attacked Damascus International Airport today, briefly putting
the site out of service. According to preliminary media reports, the target was
a position run by the Quds Force, the foreign operations arm of Iran’s Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps. The Syrian military said a second predawn Israeli
strike killed at least two of its personnel south of Damascus. Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has repeatedly promised to push back against
Tehran’s regional belligerence and nuclear advances.
Expert Analysis
“Almost a decade has passed since Israel began its ‘campaign between wars’ in
Syria, whose pace of airstrikes — according to IDF chief of staff Lt.-Gen. Aviv
Kohavi — has increased from once in every four months at the outset to once per
week today. Syrian airports have increasingly been targeted — a reflection of
their increasing use by Iran for unloading advanced weaponry destined for terror
groups on Israel’s border and Hezbollah in Lebanon. That Damascus International
Airport appears to have resumed some operations within eight hours of Monday’s
strike is a testament to Israeli precision in carrying out the strike.” — Mark
Dubowitz, FDD Chief Executive
“Despite Russia’s Ukraine invasion, in Syria, at least, the rules between
Jerusalem and Moscow seem to be holding: Israel carries out strikes against
Iranian targets without encountering Russian resistance, presumably with some
advance warning to avoid unplanned clashes or casualties. This serves Israeli
interests and can be expected to weigh on Netanyahu’s mind against considering
any dramatic Israeli policy shift in the Ukraine crisis.” — David Adesnik, FDD
Senior Fellow and Director of Research
The ‘Campaign Between Wars’
The Israeli operations — which Israel did not immediately confirm or comment on
— appeared to be the first in its so-called “campaign between wars” since
Netanyahu returned to power last week. Tehran has exploited the decade-long
civil war in Syria to entrench itself militarily in the country and to deliver
large quantities of advanced weaponry to the Hezbollah terrorist group in
Lebanon. In October 2022, Israeli military officials asserted that Israel had
destroyed 90 percent of Iranian military infrastructure in Syria over the course
of recent years.
The Russia-Syria Nexus
The Israeli operations follow a December 22 phone call between Netanyahu and
Russian President Vladimir Putin in which the Israeli leader, according to a
statement from his office, said he was “determined to prevent Iran from
obtaining nuclear weapons and to halt its attempts to establish a military base
on [Israel’s] northern border.” As Damascus’ big-power ally during the Syrian
civil war, the Russians maintain air defenses in the Arab country as well as a
military deconfliction mechanism with Israel.
Israel destroys homes of two Palestinians in occupied West
Bank
euronews/January 03/2023
Israel destroyed the homes of two Palestinians in the occupied West Bank as part
of its controversial practice of demolishing the homes of Palestinian accused of
deadly attacks.
Where are the Gulf Arab tourists? Israel's hopes fall short
ISABEL DEBRE/JERUSALEM (AP)/Tue, January 3, 2023
When Israel struck an agreement with the United Arab Emirates to open diplomatic
ties in 2020, it brought an electrifying sense of achievement to a country long
ostracized in the Middle East. Officials insisted that Israel’s new ties with
the UAE, and soon after with Bahrain, would go beyond governments and become
society-wide pacts, stoking mass tourism and friendly exchanges between people
long at odds. But over two years since the breakthrough accords, the expected
flood of Gulf Arab tourists to Israel has been little more than a trickle.
Although more than half a million Israelis have flocked to oil-rich Abu Dhabi
and skyscraper-studded Dubai, just 1,600 Emirati citizens have visited Israel
since it lifted coronavirus travel restrictions last year, the Israeli Tourism
Ministry told The Associated Press. The ministry does not know how many
Bahrainis have visited Israel because, it said, “the numbers are too small.”
“It’s still a very weird and sensitive situation,” said Morsi Hija, head of the
forum for Arabic-speaking tour guides in Israel. “The Emiratis feel like they’ve
done something wrong in coming here.” The lack of Emirati and Bahraini tourists
reflects Israel’s long-standing image problem in the Arab world and reveals the
limits of the Abraham Accords, experts say. Even as bilateral trade between
Israel and the UAE has exploded from $11.2 million in 2019 to $1.2 billion last
year, the popularity of the agreements in the UAE and Bahrain has plummeted
since the deals were signed, according to a survey by the Washington Institute
for Near East Policy, an American think tank.
In the UAE, support fell to 25% from 47% in the last two years. In Bahrain, just
20% of the population supports the deal, down from 45% in 2020. In that time,
Israel and Gaza militants fought a devastating war and violence in the occupied
West Bank surged to its highest levels in years.
Israeli officials say Gulf Arab tourism to Israel is a missing piece that would
move the agreements beyond security and diplomatic ties. Tourist visits from
Egypt and Jordan, the first two countries to reach peace with Israel, also are
virtually nonexistent. “We need to encourage (Emiratis) to come for the first
time. It's an important mission,” Amir Hayek, Israeli ambassador to the UAE,
told the AP. “We need to promote tourism so people will know each other and
understand each other.” Israeli tourism officials flew to the UAE last month in
a marketing push to spread the word that Israel is a safe and attractive
destination. The ministry said it's now pitching Tel Aviv — Israel’s commercial
and entertainment hub — as a big draw for Emiratis. Tour agents say that so far,
betting on Jerusalem has backfired. The turmoil of the contested city has turned
off Emiratis and Bahrainis, some of whom have faced backlash from Palestinians
who see normalization as a betrayal of their cause. The Palestinian struggle for
independence from Israel enjoys broad support across the Arab world.
“There's still a lot of hesitation coming from the Arab world,” said Dan
Feferman, director of Sharaka, a group that promotes people-to-people exchanges
between Israel and the Arab world. “They expect (Israel) to be a conflict zone,
they expect to be discriminated against.” After leading two trips of Bahrainis
and Emiratis to Israel, Sharaka struggled to find more Gulf Arab citizens
interested in visiting, he said. When a group of Emirati and Bahraini social
media influencers in 2020 visited the Al Aqsa Mosque compound, the third-holiest
site in Islam, they were spat on and pelted with shoes in Jerusalem's Old City,
said Hija, their tour guide. When another group of Emirati officials visited the
flashpoint site accompanied by Israeli police, they drew the ire of the grand
mufti of Jerusalem, Sheikh Muhammad Ahmad Hussein, who issued a religious edict
against Emiratis visiting the mosque under Israeli supervision.
Most Emiratis and Bahrainis who have visited Israel say they forgo their
national dress and headscarves in order not to attract attention. The Islamic
Waqf, which administers the mosque, declined to answer questions about the
number of Emirati and Bahraini visitors and their treatment at the compound.
Palestinian rage against Emiratis is not confined to the sacred esplanade.
Emirati citizens visiting and studying in Israel say they face frequent death
threats and online attacks. “Not everyone can handle the pressure,” said
Sumaiiah Almehiri, a 31-year-old Emirati from Dubai studying to be a nurse at
the University of Haifa. “I didn't give into the threats, but fear is preventing
a lot of Emiratis from going.” The fear of anti-Arab racism in Israel can also
drive Gulf Arabs away. Israeli police mistakenly arrested two Emirati tourists
in Tel Aviv last summer while hunting for a criminal who carried out a drive-by
shooting. Some Emiratis have complained on social media about drawing unwanted
scrutiny from security officials at Israel's Ben-Gurion Airport.
“If you bring them here and don’t treat them in a sensitive way, they’ll never
come back and tell all their friends to stay away,” Hija said. Benjamin
Netanyahu, who returned for a sixth term as prime minister last week, has
pledged to strengthen agreements with Bahrain, Morocco, the UAE and Sudan.
Formal ties with Sudan remain elusive in the wake of a military coup and in the
absence of a parliament to ratify its U.S.-brokered normalization deal with
Israel. As a chief architect of the accords, Netanyahu also hopes to expand the
circle of countries and reach a similar deal with Saudi Arabia.
Yet experts fear his new government — the most ultranationalist and religiously
conservative in Israel’s history — could further deter Gulf Arab tourists and
even jeopardize the agreements. His government has vowed to expand West Bank
settlements and pledged to annex the entire territory, a step that was put on
hold as a condition of the initial agreement with the UAE. “We have a reason to
be worried about any deterioration in relations,” said Moran Zaga, an expert in
Gulf Arab states at the University of Haifa in Israel. So far, Gulf Arab
governments have offered no reason for concern.
The Emirati ambassador was photographed warmly embracing Itamar Ben-Gvir, one of
the coalition's most radical members, at a national day celebration last month.
And over the weekend, the UAE's leader, Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan,
called Netanyahu to congratulate him and invite him to visit. It's a different
story among those who are not in the officialdom. “I hope that Netanyahu and
those with him will not set foot on the land of the Emirates,” Abdulkhaleq
Abdulla, a prominent Emirati political scientist, wrote on Twitter. “I think it
is appropriate to freeze the Abraham Accords temporarily."
Israeli ultranationalist minister visits Jerusalem holy
site
ILAN BEN ZION/JERUSALEM (AP)/Tue, January 3, 2023
An ultranationalist Israeli Cabinet minister visited Tuesday a flashpoint
Jerusalem holy site for the first time since taking office in Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu's new far-right government last week. The visit is seen by
Palestinians as a provocation and drew fierce condemnation from across the
Muslim world and rebuke from Israeli allies. Earlier in the day, Palestinian
officials said a 15-year-old boy was killed by Israeli army fire near the
occupied West Bank city of Bethlehem. The Israeli military said its forces had
shot a person involved in violent confrontations with soldiers. In Jerusalem,
National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir entered the site known to Jews as the
Temple Mount and to Muslims as the Noble Sanctuary flanked by a large contingent
of police officers. Ben-Gvir has long called for greater Jewish access to the
holy site, which is viewed by Palestinians as provocative and as a potential
precursor to Israel taking complete control over the compound. Most rabbis
forbid Jews from praying on the site, but there has been a growing movement in
recent years of Jews who support worship there. The site has been the scene of
frequent clashes between Palestinian protesters and Israeli security forces,
most recently in April last year. The U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem said that
Ambassador Thomas Nides "has been very clear in conversations with the Israeli
government on the issue of preserving the status quo in Jerusalem’s holy sites.
Actions that prevent that are unacceptable.”
The United Arab Emirates, which diplomatically recognized Israel in 2020,
“strongly condemned the storming of Al-Aqsa Mosque courtyard by an Israeli
minister under the protection of Israeli forces.”
A Foreign Ministry statement urged Israel to “halt serious and provocative
violations taking place there.” The ministry also “called upon Israeli
authorities to assume responsibility for reducing escalation and instability in
the region.”Bahrain, which also recognized Israel at the same time, did not
immediately acknowledge the incident. A separate statement from Saudi Arabia’s
Foreign Ministry also condemned the Israeli minister's action, as did statements
from Kuwait and Qatar, all of which don’t diplomatically recognize Israel over
its occupation of lands sought by Palestinians for a future state.
Turkey, which has recently been working toward normalizing its strained ties
with Israel, condemned what it said was “the provocative action” by the Israeli
national security minister.
“We call on Israel to act responsibly to prevent such provocations that would
violate the status and sanctity of religious sites in Jerusalem and cause an
escalation in the region,” the Turkish Foreign Ministry said.
The Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, which acts as custodian of the contested
shrine, condemned Ben-Gvir's visit “in the strongest terms." Egypt warned
against “negative repercussions of such measures on security and stability in
the occupied territories and the region, and on the future of the peace
process.”
Ben-Gvir's stated intention of visiting the site earlier this week drew threats
from the Islamic militant group Hamas. He wrote on Twitter after his visit that
the site “is open to all and if Hamas thinks that if it threatens me it will
deter me, they should understand that times have changed." Hamas spokesman Hazem
Qassem said that Ben-Gvir entering the site on Tuesday was "a continuation of
the Zionist’s occupation aggression on our sacred places and war on our Arab
identity.”“Our Palestinian people will continue defending their holy places and
Al-Aqsa mosque," he said.
Ofir Gendelman, who has long served as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s
Arabic-language spokesman, released a video showing that the “situation is
completely calm” at the holy site following Ben-Gvir’s departure. The hilltop
shrine is the third-holiest site in Islam and an emotional symbol for the
Palestinians. It sits on a sprawling esplanade that also is the holiest site for
Jews, who call it to the Temple Mount because it was the location of two Jewish
temples in antiquity.
Israel captured the historic Old City of Jerusalem, with its holy sites to three
monotheistic faiths, along with the rest of east Jerusalem, the West Bank and
the Gaza Strip in the 1967 Mideast war. The Palestinians seek those territories
for a future independent state, with east Jerusalem as capital. Israel annexed
east Jerusalem in a move unrecognized by most of the international community and
considers the city its undivided, eternal capital. The competing claims to the
site lie at the heart of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and have sparked
numerous rounds of violence in the past. Ben-Gvir is head of the
ultranationalist religious Jewish Power faction and has a history of
inflammatory remarks and actions against Palestinians.
A day earlier, opposition leader Yair Lapid, who until last week was Israel's
prime minister, spoke out against Ben-Gvir’s intended visit, saying it would
“lead to violence that will endanger human lives and cost human lives." His
visit came following months of mounting tensions between Israelis and
Palestinians. On Monday, the Israeli rights group B’Tselem said 2022 was the
deadliest year for Palestinians since 2004, a period of intense violence that
came during a Palestinian uprising. It said nearly 150 Palestinians were killed
by Israeli fire in the West Bank and east Jerusalem. The Israeli military has
been conducting near-daily raids into Palestinian cities and towns since a spate
of Palestinian attacks against Israelis killed 19 last spring. A fresh wave of
attacks killed at least another nine Israelis in the fall. In Tuesday's shooting
incident, the Palestinian Health Ministry said Adam Ayyad, 15, died of a bullet
wound to the chest. The Israeli military said Border Police officers came under
attack in the Dheisha refugee camp next to Bethlehem. It said troops shot at
people throwing firebombs and confirmed that a person was shot.
The Israeli army says most of the Palestinians killed have been militants. But
stone-throwing youths protesting the incursions and others not involved in
confrontations have also been killed.
*Associated Press writers Jon Gambrell in Rome and Suzan Fraser in Ankara,
Turkey, contributed to this report.
Turkey condemns 'provocative act' by Israel's Ben-Gvir
ANKARA (Reuters)/Tue, January 3, 2023
- Turkey condemned on Tuesday a "provocative act" by Israel's new far-right
national security minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, referring to his visit to Al-Aqsa
mosque compound in Jerusalem. Ankara's statement came amid efforts by Turkey and
Israel to normalise ties, after a four-year deterioration in relations, and
mutual appointment of ambassadors. "We are concerned by the provocative act of
Israeli Minister of National Security Itamar Ben-Gvir towards Al-Aqsa Mosque
under the protection of Israeli police and we condemn it," the Turkish foreign
ministry said in a statement. "We call on Israel to act responsibly to prevent
such provocations that will violate the status and sanctity of holy places in
Jerusalem and escalate tension in the region," it said. After Benjamin Netanyahu
won an election in November and began forming one of the most right-wing
coalitions in Israel's history, he and President Tayyip Erdogan agreed to "work
together to create a new era in relations" on a basis of respect for mutual
interests. Turkish officials, including Erdogan repeatedly said Ankara's warming
relations with Israel would not diminish Turkey's support for the Palestinian
cause.
(Reporting by Huseyin Hayatsever; Editing by Alex Richardson)
Top Biden aide planning Israel trip as hard-right coalition
takes power -source
Jeff Mason/WASHINGTON (Reuters)/January 03/2023
U.S. President Joe Biden's national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, is planning
a trip to Israel this month after the formation of a new government topped by
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, a White House official said on Monday.
The meetings in Israel will come as Netanyahu's new alliance with
ultra-nationalists has worried White House officials about the prospects for
worsening Israel's relations with Palestinians. On Monday, Israeli forces killed
two Palestinian militants during clashes near the occupied West Bank city of
Jenin, Palestinian sources said.Biden is also working to find common ground with
the new Israeli government on an approach to stalled Iranian nuclear talks and
has been re-evaluating Washington's alliance with Saudi Arabia.
Biden said on Thursday that he looked forward to working with Netanyahu, who he
called "my friend for decades," and committed "to support the two state solution
and to oppose policies that endanger its viability or contradict our mutual
interests and values."
Dates for Sullivan's meetings have not been set yet, said the administration
official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.
(Editing by Jonathan Oatis)
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on January 03-04/2023
The United Nations for Empowering Terrorists
Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute./January 3, 2023
Hammouri's affiliation with the PFLP and his involvement in planning terror
attacks against Israelis, does not, however, seem to concern the UN Human Rights
Office. Instead of condemning the convicted terrorist, the UN Human Rights
Office chose to condemn Israel for daring to take measures to protect its
citizens against terrorism.
This is also the same UN whose representatives have failed to condemn Hamas for
building tunnels beneath schools run by its United Nations Relief and Work
Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA) in the Gaza Strip.
Take note: here is a senior UN official sitting with representatives of a terror
group whose charter calls for the elimination of Israel and who is expressing
"concern" over the rise of right-wing parties in Israel.
The UN official appears unaware that many Israelis voted for right-wing parties
because of the increased terror attacks by Hamas and other terrorist groups.
It is ironic that a UN official, whose title is "Special Coordinator of the
Middle East Peace Process", sits with a Palestinian group that is entirely
dedicated to sabotaging peace.
As Article 13 of the Hamas charter states: "There is no solution for the
Palestinian question except through jihad. Initiatives, proposals and
international conferences are all a waste of time and vain endeavors."
This is hardly how to "prevent and remove threats to peace," as the UN claims in
its charter. In fact, the actions of the UN clearly demonstrate that the
organization is actually cozying up to terrorists while denouncing those who
combat terrorism.
In its defense of, and engagement with, terrorists, the UN is boosting the
ability of Hamas and the PFLP to continue their slaughter and genocide.
The United Nations agency UNRWA on December 1, 2022 revealed that it found a
terror tunnel under one of its schools in the Gaza Strip. Yet, instead of coming
out strongly and unambiguously against Hamas for building a terror tunnel under
a school, the UN dispatched one of its top officials to meet with leaders of
Hamas. Notably, this is the same UNRWA that never misses an opportunity to
condemn Israel. Pictured: A school run by UNRWA in Gaza City, photographed on
December 1, 2022. (Photo by Mohammed Abed/AFP via Getty Images)
According to the United Nations, the deportation of a convicted
Palestinian-French terrorist from Israel constitutes a "war crime."
This is the same UN whose officials hold meetings on a regular basis with
leaders of Hamas, the Palestinian Islamist group designated as a terrorist
organization by the US, Canada, the European Union, Japan, Australia, Israel and
the United Kingdom.
This is also the same UN whose representatives have failed to condemn Hamas for
building tunnels beneath schools run by the United Nations Relief and Work
Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA) in the Gaza Strip.
On December 19, the UN Human Rights Office issued a statement condemning
Israel's deportation of Palestinian-French "human rights defender" Salah
Hammouri to France. "Deporting a protected person from occupied territory is a
grave breach of the Fourth Geneva Convention, constituting a war crime,"
according to the statement.
The "human rights defender, " about whom the UN is so worried, was arrested in
2005 and accused of plotting to murder Rabbi Ovadia Yosef, founder of the
ultra-Orthodox Shas Party and former Sephardic Chief Rabbi of Israel.
Hammouri, who was accused of membership in the Popular Front for the Liberation
of Palestine (PFLP) terror group, was sentenced to seven years in prison, but
was released in a prisoner exchange agreement between Israel and Hamas in
December 2011.
The PFLP, the second-largest group in the Palestine Liberation Organization
(PLO) after Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas's Fatah faction, is
also designated as a terrorist organization by the US, Japan, Canada, Australia,
Israel and the European Union.
Hammouri worked for the Palestinian "human rights group" Addameer, which "offers
free legal aid" to Palestinian prisoners held by Israel for their involvement in
terrorism.
Addameer is an affiliate of the PFLP and several of its employees have links to
that terror group. On October 22, 2021, Israeli authorities declared Addameer a
terrorist organization because it is part of "a network of organizations" that
operates "on behalf of the PFLP."
Israel's Interior Ministry said Hammouri had "organized, inspired and planned to
commit terror attacks against citizens and well-known Israelis."
Hammouri's affiliation with the PFLP and his involvement in planning attacks
against Israelis, does not, however, seem to concern the UN Human Rights Office.
Instead of condemning the convicted terrorist, the UN Human Rights Office chose
to condemn Israel for daring to take measures to protect its citizens against
terrorism. The UN Human Rights Office apparently believes it is perfectly all
right for a Palestinian terror group to plan the murder of Israeli civilians.
It seems the UN also has not heard of the PFLP's involvement in suicide
bombings, shootings, and assassinations against Israelis over the past few
decades. The PFLP, which was the first Palestinian organization to hijack
airplanes in the 1960s and 1970s, was responsible for the assassination of
Israeli Minister of Tourism Rehavam Ze'evi in 2001.
Rather than taking a tough approach against Palestinian terror organizations,
senior UN officials are meeting with Hamas, the Iran-sponsored Islamist group
that seized control of the Gaza Strip in a violent and bloody coup in 2007.
Hours after the deportation of Hammouri to France, UN Special Coordinator for
the Middle East Peace Process Tor Wennesland met with a Hamas delegation headed
by Khalil al-Hayya, the group's deputy chief, in the Gaza Strip.
At the meeting, the Hamas officials "reiterated that the Palestinian people and
parties have the right to resist the Israeli occupation."
Hamas, in short, told the UN official that the Palestinians are entitled to
continue their campaign to murder Jews. When Hamas talks about the "resistance,"
it is referring to suicide bombings, shootings, stabbings, car-rammings and
rocket attacks.
Hamas does not endorse any form of peaceful "resistance" against Israel. As its
charter states, Hamas believes only in one form of resistance: jihad (holy war).
According to Article 15 of the charter:
"In face of the Jews' usurpation of Palestine, it is compulsory that the banner
of jihad be raised. It is necessary to instill the spirit of jihad in the heart
of the nation so that they would confront the enemies and join the ranks of the
fighters."
The UN official informed the Hamas officials that the international community is
concerned about the results of the latest Israeli elections and the rise of
"extremist right-wing parties to power."
Take note: here is a senior UN official sitting with representatives of a terror
group whose charter calls for the elimination of Israel and who is expressing
"concern" over the rise of right-wing parties in Israel.
The UN official is not worried about the rise of Hamas to power in the Gaza
Strip and the terror organization turning the area into a launching pad for
rocket attacks against Israel. He is not worried about Hamas diverting billions
of dollars donated by the international community to construct terror tunnels
from which to attack Israel. He is not worried about Hamas's daily calls to
increase the amount of Jewish blood spilled by Palestinian knives.
The UN official appears unaware that many Israelis voted for right-wing parties
because of the increased terror attacks by Hamas and other terrorist groups.
It is ironic that a UN official, whose title is "Special Coordinator of the
Middle East Peace Process", sits with a Palestinian group that is entirely
dedicated to sabotaging peace.
As Article 13 of the Hamas charter states:
"Initiatives, and so-called peaceful solutions and international conferences,
are in contradiction to the principles of the Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas).
There is no solution for the Palestinian question except through jihad.
Initiatives, proposals and international conferences are all a waste of time and
vain endeavors."What will happen next? Will the UN send one of its "peace
envoys" to meet with leaders of the Islamic State (ISIS) or Al-Qaeda terror
groups?
The meeting between the UN official and the Hamas representatives came three
weeks after another UN agency, UNRWA, revealed that it found a terror tunnel
under one of its schools in the Gaza Strip. Yet, instead of openly and directly
calling out Hamas for endangering the lives of schoolchildren and UN staff, the
agency published a bizarre statement that failed to mention the terror group by
name as being responsible for the tunnel. The statement, in addition, failed to
use the word tunnel. Instead, it described the tunnel as "man-made cavity."
Notably, this is the same UNRWA that never misses an opportunity to condemn
Israel.
In its charter, the UN declares that one of its purposes is "to maintain
international peace and security and to take effective collective measures for
the prevention and removal of threats to peace." The recent actions of the UN,
however, show that instead of boycotting and condemning terrorists, the
organization is more concerned about the rights of terrorists who plan to murder
Israeli civilians than achieving peace and security. Instead of coming out
strongly and unambiguously against Hamas for building a terror tunnel under a
school, the UN is dispatching one of its top officials to meet with leaders of
Hamas.
The UN appears to be doing its utmost to run cover for the terror group by
failing to hold it directly responsible. This is hardly how to "prevent and
remove threats to peace," as the UN claims in its charter. In fact, the actions
of the UN clearly demonstrate that the organization is actually cozying up to
terrorists while denouncing those who combat terrorism. In its defense of, and
engagement with, terrorists, the UN is boosting the ability of Hamas and the
PFLP to continue their slaughter and genocide.
*Bassam Tawil is a Muslim Arab based in the Middle East.
© 2023 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
What Is Happening in Saudi Arabia?!
Salman Al-Dossary/Asharq Al-Awsat/January 03/2023
I shall introduce my article by quoting this sentence from the Western media. It
paves the way for much of what I would like to say. “As the world plunges into
crisis, Saudi Arabia seems set to become a modern superpower.”As some had been
betting on the imminent downfall of the Kingdom and its standing as a major
regional power becoming a thing of the past, Saudi Arabia was busy renewing
itself. It is making itself anew, launching a process of reinvigoration and
renewal that has already left its mark on every domain. This time, oil is not
the sole source of income, as the Kingdom is rediscovering sources of strength -
its religious standing and stature, mineral wealth, human capital, and
geographical position - that had not been tapped into. What has happened in a
mere few years is remarkable. Its progress has gone against all the skeptics’
dreams.
Until recently, talk of Saudi Vision 2030 seemed fantastical; that’s how the
skeptics had seen it in any case. However, the Kingdom’s actions have spoken
loudly. The evidence began accumulating swiftly. At an increasingly rapid pace,
we saw project after project and success after success.
Until 2015, Riyadh’s standing as a political and economic power stemmed from a
robust religious legacy due to its housing of the Two Holy Mosques and the honor
of managing them and serving the visitors - those performing Hijra and Umrah -
who flock to them. However, it did not concern itself with capitalizing on the
potential that other fields presented, which hindered its ability to branch out.
The modern Saudi methodology was based on benefiting from all sources,
diversifying sources of income, building innovative strong arms, in addition to
maximizing the impact of the returns of all possible resources.
In the past, everyone spoke of the “American dream.” The successes of Singapore
and South Korea were celebrated next. In every field, one finds a pioneering
country that is taken as a reference... Our success has led many around the
world to refer to the Kingdom as a modern developmental state, setting the
standard regionally in an array of domains and leading the world in a number of
fields. The West was betting - and it still is - on democracy being a necessary
prerequisite for any serious achievements, and it now has found out that
monarchies have their own recipe.
The amazing thing about Saudi Arabia’s progress is how quickly it is being made.
Decades worth of work has been completed in a matter of years. This rate of
progress required strong will from the state, sound planning, exceptional
components, solid human capital, and strong willingness on the part of society
to go along with these major transformations and changes.
All of that had been available, waiting for someone to tie everything together.
And so, we saw what no one had been expecting to unfold. The dream of the
Saudis, which others do not share - and some even worked to prevent - was
achieved. I will make do with these remarks.
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and his development project arrived, finding
enthusiastic support awaiting them. Everyone - without exception - played their
part in his ambitious project and turning his vision into reality. Everyone
found something in themselves in this process for change, per their expertise,
concerns, desires, and needs.
I do not deny, nor would any reasonable person, that this immense project faces
serious challenges. However, the speed and flexibility with which these hurdles
have been overcome are remarkable. It is not unusual to hear of projects or
initiatives being canceled, developed, or merged, or the particular
circumstances that come with each of them being responded to in a manner that
reflects positively on the fundamental objectives of overarching structure.
The declaration of war on extremism was perhaps the most consequential step, as
it has laid the groundwork for everything else. Early on, Saudi Arabia led a
domestic project to combat extremism... militarily, intellectually, in the
media, and financially. To this end, the Kingdom has supported state bodies and
established alliances and centers, thereby foiling the project of the extremists
and sowing the seeds of development.
The way I see it, if another country had tried to curb extremism under similar
circumstances, we would have found what we could call catastrophes…. Calamities
would have emerged as a natural outcome of the comprehensive changes to
collective thinking, but this did not happen in Saudi Arabia. The project to
“destroy them now… immediately” went precisely according to plan. The best
possible outcome was achieved with the least possible amount of damage incurred.
However, where are the just assessments?
Despite everything that has been achieved, it is merely the first seed of an
immense Saudi tree. We will see massive projects that had not been achieved
anywhere else in the world, economic cities being constructed, investments being
drawn, entrepreneurs being supported, leading innovations being made in new
fields, and many other things… All of this is part of a process through which
real progress is being made. The outline of some of this progress is already
apparent, while other aspects require more time.
A long period of stagnation had weighed down on the desire to respond at the
beginning, but successive achievements have taken the genie out of the bottle.
An unprecedented developmental renaissance awaits us. The impact of this process
will go beyond our geographical borders, encompassing all the countries that
endeavor to join us and become our partners in this development project. Indeed,
the region has long been awaiting such a project after decades of suffering from
conflicts and crises.
Turkiye’s pipeline politics in Central Asia
Nikola Mikovic/Arab News/January 03, 2023
Central Asia and the South Caucasus have long been within Russia’s geopolitical
orbit. But as the Kremlin’s war in Ukraine stumbles on, Turkiye is looking to
take advantage by increasing its influence in these strategically important
regions.It is no secret Ankara views Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan,
Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan as countries that belong to the Turkic world — an
idea that former Turkish President Abdullah Gul once formulated as “One nation,
six states.” Yet cultural ties are not what drives his successor, Recep Tayyip
Erdogan, now. Today, it is all about energy.
Turkiye’s ties to Turkmenistan are particularly important. Despite not being a
member of the Organization of Turkic States — an influential regional grouping
of Turkic-speaking countries — Turkmenistan plays a key role in Ankara’s Central
Asia strategy. As Erdogan put it bluntly last month, “I hope that Turkmen gas
will soon begin to flow to Turkiye through the Caspian Sea.”
Turkmenistan ranks fourth globally for natural gas reserves after Russia, Iran
and Qatar. Although China is the main buyer of Turkmen gas at the moment, Ankara
aims to start purchasing energy from the former Soviet republic to help turn
Turkiye into a regional gas hub.
Here is how that would work: By investing in the political and economic
conditions needed to import large volumes of natural gas from Russia,
Azerbaijan, Iran and Turkmenistan, Turkiye could redirect energy to Europe and
become an intermediary in gas sales.
While the Kremlin supports this idea in principle — especially given that it can
no longer supply Europe with natural gas via the Nord Stream pipelines —
Turkiye’s energy strategy has drawn some Russian opposition. Most notable is
Sen. Alexander Bashkin, who wrote recently that Moscow would not allow
construction of the Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline from Turkmenistan to Azerbaijan,
an essential part of any future linkage to Turkiye. Bashkin blamed environmental
concerns for his stance, but the geopolitical subtext was clear.
Still, even if the Kremlin shared Bashkin’s view, it is unlikely that Moscow has
the means to push Turkiye off course. Bogged down in Ukraine, Russia is unable
to dictate to other countries, especially not to Turkiye.
Hypothetically, Moscow could offer its own gas pipelines to Turkmenistan,
Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan for exporting gas to Europe. But given Russia’s
isolation in the global arena, it is doubtful that the former Soviet Central
Asian republics would be willing to do business with the Kremlin.
Thus, Ankara will almost certainly continue expanding its energy ties with
Turkmenistan without fear of Russian retaliation.
Turkiye is already purchasing energy elsewhere in the region; Ankara is among
the main buyers of Azerbaijan’s natural gas. But because Azerbaijan’s resources
are limited, Ankara still sees Turkmenistan as the lynchpin in its geoeconomic
strategy.
Because Azerbaijan’s resources are limited, Ankara still sees Turkmenistan as
the lynchpin in its geoeconomic strategy.
While energy and economic interests are driving Turkiye’s strategy in the
post-Soviet space, Erdogan will undoubtedly continue emphasizing the importance
of pan-Turkism, given that most Turkic nations share historical, ethnic and
cultural ties with Turkiye. Pan-Turkism helps Turkiye further its ambitious
goals in the Eurasian heartland — namely, to compete with Russia and China in
the countries surrounding the Caspian Sea.
Turkiye was the first country in the world to recognize the independence of the
former Soviet Central Asian republics in the 1990s. Ever since, it has
maintained close ties to the region, engaging in economic and educational
projects and enhancing its military cooperation.
Turkiye is also making inroads in Kyrgyzstan, opening mosques and schools and
strengthening its energy collaboration. While Kyrgyzstan remains Russia’s ally
in the Collective Security Treaty Organization and is a member of the
Russian-led Eurasian Union, the Kremlin is struggling to preserve its cultural
influence in the country. In neighboring Kazakhstan —
another Russian ally — Turkiye has plans to invest about $2 billion, mostly in
light industry. Ankara’s economic presence in the oil-rich Central Asian nation
is modest; trade between Ankara and Astana was just over $5.3 billion in 2021,
while the trade turnover between Kazakhstan and Russia topped $11.6 billion
during the first six months of 2022.
More recently, however, Kazakhstan has shown signs of distancing itself from
Russia as it looks to diversify its foreign policy. To take advantage, Ankara
should move to become a transit point for Kazakh oil and rare earth metals bound
for the EU, as well as create an energy corridor connecting Turkiye and Central
Asia. Turkiye’s timing could be perfect. Kazakhstan is
expected to approve a draft agreement on a transport corridor that would connect
China with the EU through Kazakhstan and Turkiye. The Trans-Caspian
International Transport Route, better known as the Middle Corridor, would bypass
Russia and position Turkiye as an important transit country. It will take time
to build all these corridors and pipelines. As Turkiye waits for its energy
strategy to materialize, expect its leaders to use every tool at their disposal
to achieve the economic and energy goals they covet in Central Asia.
• Nikola Mikovic is a political analyst in Serbia. His work focuses mostly on
the foreign policies of Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine, with special attention on
energy and “pipeline politics.” ©Syndication Bureau
Turkey’s pipeline politics in Central Asia
Nikola Mikovic/The Arab Weekly/January 03/2023
As the Kremlin’s war in Ukraine stumbles on, Turkey is looking to take advantage
by increasing its influence in the strategically important regions.
Tuesday 03/01/2023
Turkmenistan's Chairman of the People's Council Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedow, Uzbek
President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, Turkey's
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orban and Kyrgyz
President Sadyr Japarov, from left, arrive to the Organisation of Turkic States
summit in Samarkand, Uzbekistan, November 11, 2022. (AP)
Turkmenistan's Chairman of the People's Council Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedow, Uzbek
President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, Turkey's
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orban and Kyrgyz
President Sadyr Ja
Central Asia and the South Caucasus have long been within Russia’s geopolitical
orbit. But as the Kremlin’s war in Ukraine stumbles on, Turkey is looking to
take advantage by increasing its influence in the strategically important
regions.
It’s no secret Ankara views Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan,
and Uzbekistan as countries that belong to the Turkic world – an idea that
former Turkish President Abdullah Gul once formulated as “One nation, six
states.” Yet cultural ties are not what drives his successor, Recep Tayyip
Erdogan, now. Today, it’s all about energy.
Turkey’s ties to Turkmenistan are particularly important. Despite not being a
member of the Organisation of Turkic States – an influential regional grouping
of Turkic-speaking countries – Turkmenistan plays a key role in Ankara’s Central
Asia strategy. As Erdogan put it bluntly last month, “I hope that Turkmen gas
will soon begin to flow to Turkey through the Caspian Sea.”
Despite being one of the world’s most isolated regimes, Turkmenistan ranks
fourth globally for natural gas reserves after Russia, Iran, and Qatar. Although
China is the main buyer of Turkmen gas at the moment, Ankara aims to start
purchasing energy from the former Soviet republic to help turn Turkey into a
regional gas hub.
Here’s how that would work: By investing in the political and economic
conditions needed to import large volumes of natural gas from Russia,
Azerbaijan, Iran, and Turkmenistan, Turkey could redirect energy to Europe and
become an intermediary in gas sales.
While the Kremlin supports this idea in principle – especially given that it can
no longer supply Europe with natural gas via the Nord Stream pipelines –
Turkey’s energy strategy has drawn some Russian opposition. Most notable is
Senator Alexander Bashkin, who wrote recently that Moscow would not allow
construction of the Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline from Turkmenistan to Azerbaijan,
an essential part of any future linkage to Turkey. Bashkin blamed environmental
concerns for his stance, but the geopolitical subtext was clear.
Still, even if the Kremlin shared Bashkin’s view, it’s unlikely that Moscow has
the means to push Turkey off course. Bogged down in Ukraine, Russia is unable to
dictate to other countries, and especially not to Turkey.
Hypothetically, Moscow could offer its own gas pipelines to Turkmenistan,
Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan for exporting gas to Europe. But given Russia’s
isolation in the global arena, and the fact that President Vladimir Putin has
turned his country into a pariah-state, it’s doubtful that the former Soviet
Central Asian republics would be willing to do business with the Kremlin.
Thus, Ankara will almost certainly continue expanding energy ties with
Turkmenistan, without fear of Russian retaliation.
Turkey is already purchasing energy elsewhere in the region; Ankara is among the
main buyers of Azerbaijan’s natural gas. But because Azerbaijan’s resources are
limited, Ankara still sees Turkmenistan as the linchpin in its geo-economic
strategy.
While energy and economic interests are driving Turkey’s strategy in the
post-Soviet space, Erdogan will undoubtedly continue emphasising the importance
of pan-Turkism, given that most Turkic nations share historical, ethnic, and
cultural ties with Turkey. Pan-Turkism helps Turkey further its ambitious goals
in the Eurasian heartland – namely, to compete with Russia and China in the
countries surrounding the Caspian Sea. Turkey was the first country in the world
to recognise the independence of the former Soviet Central Asian republics in
the 1990s. Ever since, Turkey has maintained close ties to the region, engaging
in economic and educational projects, and enhancing its military cooperation.
Turkey is also making inroads in Kyrgyzstan, opening mosques and schools and
strengthening its energy collaboration. While Kyrgyzstan remains Russia’s ally
in the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), and is a member of the
Russian-led Eurasian Union (EAEU), the Kremlin is struggling to preserve its
cultural influence in the country.
In neighbouring Kazakhstan – another Russian ally in the CSTO and the EAEU –
Turkey has plans to invest around $2 billion, mostly in light industry. Ankara’s
economic presence in the oil-rich Central Asian nation is modest; trade between
Ankara and Astana was just over $5.3 billion in 2021, while the trade turnover
between Kazakhstan and Russia topped $11.6 billion during the first six months
of 2022.
More recently, however, Kazakhstan has shown signs of distancing itself from
Russia as it looks to diversify its foreign policy. To take advantage, Ankara
should move to become a transit point for Kazakh oil and rare earth metals bound
for the European Union, and to create an energy corridor connecting Turkey and
Central Asia. Turkey’s timing could be perfect. Kazakhstan is expected to
approve a draft agreement on a transport corridor that would connect China with
the EU through Kazakhstan and Turkey. The Trans-Caspian International Transport
Route, better known as the Middle Corridor, would bypass Russia and position
Turkey as an important transit country.
It will take time to build all these corridors and pipelines. As Turkey waits
for its energy strategy to materialise, expect its leaders to use every tool at
their disposal to achieve the economic and energy goals they covet in Central
Asia.