English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For February 21/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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Bible Quotations For today
Whenever you pray, go into your room and shut the door and pray to your Father who is in secret; and your Father who sees in secret will reward you
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 06/05-15/:”‘Whenever you pray, do not be like the hypocrites; for they love to stand and pray in the synagogues and at the street corners, so that they may be seen by others. Truly I tell you, they have received their reward. But whenever you pray, go into your room and shut the door and pray to your Father who is in secret; and your Father who sees in secret will reward you. ‘When you are praying, do not heap up empty phrases as the Gentiles do; for they think that they will be heard because of their many words. Do not be like them, for your Father knows what you need before you ask him. ‘Pray then in this way: Our Father in heaven, hallowed be your name. Your kingdom come. Your will be done,on earth as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily bread. And forgive us our debts,as we also have forgiven our debtors. And do not bring us to the time of trial,but rescue us from the evil one. For if you forgive others their trespasses, your heavenly Father will also forgive you; but if you do not forgive others, neither will your Father forgive your trespasses.”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on February 20-21/2023
Ash Monday: Repentance Prayers & Forgiveness/Elias Bejjani/February 20/2023
Lent & The Cana Wedding Miracle/Marfaa Sunday/Elias Bejjani/February 19/2023
Lebanon shakes anew as 6.4-magnitude quake hits Turkey's Hatay
Ibrahim’s term may be extended by administrative or govt. decision
Parliament Bureau fails to discuss possibility of holding legislative session
Lebanese parliamentary delegation meets with Assad
Salameh says no one has talked to him about term extension
EU, SKeyes launch 18th edition of the Samir Kassir Award for Freedom of the Press
Mikati discusses cancer treatment with Abiad, President of “Organisation of European Cancer Institutes”
European Observatory for Integrity: Lebanese should hold Salameh accountable rather than renew his mandate
Mikati holds series of meetings at Grand Serail over educational, health and developmental affairs, discusses cancer treatment with Abiad,...
Nasrallah Snubs Bassil after MP Rejects his Candidate for Lebanese Presidency
Former Hizbullah Commander Burns Posters Of Iranian Supreme Leaders Khomeini, Khamenei, And Hizbullah Sec.-Gen. Nasrallah In TikTok Video, Says: 'You People Are Inhumane; These Are Your Dictators'
As Lebanon disintegrates, Nasrallah incites war/Baria Alamuddin/Arab News/February 20/2023
Lebanese economist Nadim Shehadi: Lebanon ‘is a hostage to the veto power’ of Hezbollah

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on February 20-21/2023
Fresh quake hits Turkiye-Syria border area two weeks after disaster
Plight of refugees induces shift of Saudi priorities towards Syria
Saudi Arabia wants to send medics to quake-hit Syria
IAEA Finds Uranium Enriched to 84% in Iran, Near Bomb-Grade, Reveal Diplomats
Iran’s Currency Falls to Record Low as Sanctions to Continue
Iran Rejects Israeli Claims on Oil Tanker Attack
UK Police Foil 15 Iranian Terrorist Plots
EU targets more Iran officials, organizations over crackdown
Israel promises not to approve additional West Bank outposts
Israel Tells US it Won’t Authorize New Settlements in Coming Months
Israel’s Netanyahu Advances Judicial Changes Despite Uproar
US President Biden Pledges Military Aid during Kyiv Visit
King Charles visits Ukrainian troops being trained by British forces
Russia sells weapons at Abu Dhabi arms fair amid Ukraine war
Kremlin: Russia's relations with Moldova are very tense
US Reaffirms Pledge to Deliver Jets to Türkiye

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on February 20-21/2023
Can America Prosper Without War?/Mark Hannah/The New York Times/February 20/2023
The Earthquake Factory/Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al-Awsat/February 20/2023
The Newswashing of ISIS Bride Shamima Begum/Uzay Bulut/Gatestone Institute./February 20, 2023

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on February 20-21/2023
Ash Monday: Repentance Prayers & Forgiveness
Elias Bejjani/February 20/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/72716/elias-bejjani-what-is-the-ash-monday/
Before Christianity, The Jews used to scatter ashes on their heads and bodies while weeping and wailing over their sins, in order to purify their bodies from sins, and to remind themselves that they came from dust and to dust they will return. The Jews used to practice this ritual before starting any fasting, in a bid to atone for their sins. Christians kept on performing this ritual, but the ashes used were taken from the olive branches burned on the Palm Sunday. These ashes were used the next year on the first lent Monday to wipe the foreheads of the repentant fasting believers, with a cross symbol so that they begin the lent forty period with true repentance befitting their Christian faith …”Remember that you are dust, and to dust you shall return (genesis03/19)”.
Ash Monday is the first day of Lent ,and It is a moveable feast, falling on a different date each year because it is dependent on the date of Easter. It derives its name from the practice of placing ashes on the foreheads of adherents as a sign of mourning and repentance to God. On The Ash Monday the priest ceremonially marks with wet ashes on the worshippers’ foreheads a visible cross while saying: “Remember that you are dust, and to dust you shall return (genesis03/19)”.
Worshippers are reminded of their sinfulness and mortality and thus, implicitly, of their need to repent in time.
Ash Monday (Greek: Καθαρά Δευτέρα), is also known as Clean and Pure Monday. The common term for this day, refers to the leaving behind of sinful attitudes and non-fasting foods.
Our Maronite Catholic Church is notable amongst the Eastern rites employing the use of ashes on this day.
(In the Western Catholic Churches this day falls on Wednesday and accordingly it is called the “Ash Wednesday”).
Ash Monday is a Christian holy day of prayer, fasting, contemplating of transgressions and repentance. It is a reminder that we should begin Lent with good intentions, and a desire to clean our spiritual house. It is a day of strict fasting including abstinence, not only from meat, but from eggs and dairy products as well. Liturgically, Ash Monday—and thus Lent itself—begins on the preceding (Sunday) night, at a special service called Forgiveness Vespers, which culminates with the Ceremony of Mutual Forgiveness, at which all present will bow down before one another and ask forgiveness. In this way, the faithful begin Lent with a clean conscience, with forgiveness, and with renewed Christian love. The entire first week of Great Lent is often referred to as “Clean Week”, and it is customary to go to Confession during this week, and to clean the house thoroughly. The Holy Bible stresses the conduct of humility and not bragging for not only during the fasting period, but every day and around the clock.
It is worth mentioning that Ashes were used in ancient times to express grief. When Tamar was raped by her half-brother, “she sprinkled ashes on her head, tore her robe, and with her face buried in her hands went away crying” (2 Samuel 13:19).
Examples of the Ash practices among Jews are found in several other books of the Bible, including Numbers 19:9, 19:17, Jonah 3:6, Book of Esther 4:1, and Hebrews 9:13.
Jesus is quoted as speaking of the Ash practice in Matthew 11:21 and Luke 10:13: “If the mighty works done in you had been done in Tyre and Sidon, they would have repented long ago in sackcloth and ashes.


Lent & The Cana Wedding Miracle/Marfaa Sunday
Elias Bejjani/February 19/2023
The lent period is a spiritual battle that we chose to fight our own selves and all its bodily and earthly instinctual pleasures in a bid to abstain from all acts and thoughts of sin.
Lent is ought to strengthen our hope and faith in a bid to fight Satan and to keep away from his ways of sin and despair. Praying and contemplation teaches us that Almighty God is there to guard us and to lead our steps during the entire Lenten period.
When we fast and pray, we find time for God, to understand that his words will not pass away.
Through fasting and praying we can enter into that intimate communion with Jesus so that no one shall take from us the faith and hope that does not disappoint.
Fasting is a battle of spiritual engagement through which we seek to imitate Jesus Christ who fought Satan’s temptations while fasting in the wilderness. He triumphed over Satan, and we faithfully endeavour during the Lent period to tame and defeat our earthly instincts and make our hearts, conscience and thinking pure, immaculate and pious.
We fast and trust that the Lord is our loving Shepherd.
“Psalm 23:04: Though I walk through the valley of the shadow of death, I will fear no evil: for you are with me; your rod and staff comfort me.”
Reading the Holy Bible and praying offers us God’s Word with particular abundance and empowers our souls and minds with His Word.
Mark 13:31: “Heaven and earth will pass away, but my words will never pass away”
By meditating and internalizing the Word Of God we learn precious and irreplaceable forms of prayer.
By attentively listening to God, who continues to speak to our hearts, we nourish the itinerary of faith initiated on the day of our Baptism.
Prayers and fasting allow us to gain a new concept of time and directs our steps towards horizons of hope and joy that have no limits.

Lebanon shakes anew as 6.4-magnitude quake hits Turkey's Hatay
Naharnet/February 20/2023
A 6.4-magnitude earthquake was recorded Monday in Turkey's southern province of Hatay, the hardest hit by a February 6 tremor which left more than 41,000 dead in the country, the disaster response agency AFAD said. The quake hit the town of Defne at 8:04 pm (1704 GMT) and was strongly felt in Antakya and Adana, 200 kilometers to the north. The quake was felt across Lebanon, prompting some residents to flee their homes, especially in Tripoli and Beirut. Lebanon's residents have been jittery since a devastating earthquake jolted southern Turkey and northern Syria on February 6 and was strongly felt in Lebanon where buildings shook for around 40 seconds.

Ibrahim’s term may be extended by administrative or govt. decision
Naharnet/February 20/2023
The term of General Security chief Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim might be extended through an administrative decision or a Cabinet resolution should parliament fail to hold a legislative session, a media report said on Monday. “Following the meeting that was held last evening between PM Najib Mikati and Maj. Gen. Ibrahim, informed sources said a plan was being prepared to extend Ibrahim’s term with an administrative decision that could be issued by the premier and the interior minister or by the interior minister alone, seeing as he has authority over the Directorate General of General Security,” al-Joumhouria newspaper reported. Ibrahim’s tenure might alternatively be extended in a Cabinet session that would be held before the end of this month and days before Ibrahim is sent to retirement on March 3.

Parliament Bureau fails to discuss possibility of holding legislative session

Naharnet/February 20/2023
A Parliament Bureau meeting that was supposed to discuss the possibility of holding a legislative session was on Monday postponed to a date that would be announced later, Deputy Speaker Elias Bou Saab said. "While stressing parliament's right to legislate as happened in the past, the capital control format that was issued by the Joint Committees must be accompanied by a comprehensive plan. Accordingly, it has been decided to postpone Parliament Bureau's meeting to a later date," Bou Saab added after meeting with Speaker Nabih Berri. The Bureau had held a first meeting last Monday without managing to agree on the session's agenda. Al-Akhbar newspaper meanwhile reported that the session in question was still being rejected by a “parliamentary majority that is withholding quorum” and a “Christian majority that is stripping it of conformity to the National Pact.” Quoting informed sources, the daily added that Berri had last week discussed the Free Patriotic Movement’s declared boycott with MP Alain Aoun, asking him whether the stance was related to the entire agenda or to a specific agenda item. “Aoun told Berri that the FPM is refusing participation because it does not see that there are extraordinary items that require holding a session that falls under the legislation of necessity label, and because the FPM believes that the priority is for the election of a new president, a point that enjoys Christian unanimity over it,” the sources added. Extending the term of General Security chief Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim is one of the most notable items on the proposed agenda. Ibrahim’s term expires on March 3.

Lebanese parliamentary delegation meets with Assad
Naharnet/February 20/2023
A Lebanese parliamentary delegation led by MP Ali Hassan Khalil has met in Damascus with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. In addition to Khalil, the delegation included the MPs Hagop Pakradounian, Tony Franjieh, Samer al-Tawm, Jihad al-Samad, Ghazi Zoaiter, Qassem Hashem, Ibrahim al-Moussawi. “Syria appreciates what Lebanon has shown at the official and popular levels in terms of the humanitarian response and the support for the Syrian government’s efforts in aiding those affected by the earthquake,” Assad told the delegation. “The relation between Lebanon and Syria is in the first place a relation of brotherhood between the peoples of the two countries, and this is the basis from which the official policies must stem in order to serve the common interests of the two peoples,” Assad added. The delegation’s members for their part said they were visiting Syria to “express the depth of the solidarity of the Lebanese with the Syrian people” and “the need to activate bilateral relations and and advance them in all fields.”A Lebanese ministerial delegation had also visited Syria and met with Assad in the wake of the devastating February 6 earthquake.

Salameh says no one has talked to him about term extension
Naharnet/February 20/2023
Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh has announced that he has decided to leave his post following the end of his term. “No one has talked to me about extending my term at the Banque du Liban, and with my exit from the central bank I will turn a page on a chapter of my life,” Salameh told the Al Qahera News TV. Separately, Salameh said there are financial “difficulties” in Lebanon, not a “collapse.” “This can be proven with numbers. The banking sector paid deposits worth around $35 billion over three years and this sector is still implementing the central bank’s circulars,” he added.
Noting that Lebanon’s current foreign currency reserves are $10 billion and that the gold reserves are estimated at around $17 billion, Salameh clarified that “the reserves today are $15 billion,” $10 billion of which can be used outside Lebanon while the rest are “local dollars.”
“The losses have reached $50 billion in the private and public sectors and the deposits will remain as long as the central bank has not gone bankrupt,” Salameh went on to say.

EU, SKeyes launch 18th edition of the Samir Kassir Award for Freedom of the Press
Naharnet/February 20/2023
The European Union and Samir Kassir Foundation launched today, February 20, the 18th edition of the Samir Kassir Award for Freedom of the Press. The award, which has been granted by the European Union since 2006, honors the Lebanese journalist and writer Samir Kassir, who was assassinated in 2005. The competition for the award has attracted since its creation more than 3,200 candidates from the Middle East, the Gulf and North Africa and 45 journalists have won the award so far.“In a region where the freedom of the press is limited and where information is often controlled by the state, access to trusted and quality journalism has never been more important. Journalism awards play a vital role in offering recognition to journalists,” said the Ambassador of the European Union to Lebanon Ralph Tarraf. “Unfortunately, freedom of the press is in a difficult position today, but this reinforces the idea that the media serves as a tool of resistance against repressive regimes. The press plays a major role in holding people accountable and putting an end to impunity. Professional journalism is the most important tool in speaking truth to power,” Samir Kassir Foundation President Gisèle Khoury stated. The Samir Kassir Award for Freedom of the Press is open to candidates from North Africa, the Middle East, and the Gulf. The deadline for sending in contributions is 1 April 2023. Three awards will be granted for the best:
- Opinion Article
- Investigative Article
- Audiovisual News Report
The contributions must be centered on one or more of the following topics: rule of law, human rights, good governance, fight against corruption, freedom of expression, democratic development, and citizen participation. The winner of each of the three categories will receive a prize of €10,000.
The jury will be composed of seven voting members from Arab and European media and one observer representing the European Union Delegation to Lebanon. The names of the winners will be communicated during the prize-awarding ceremony, which will take place on 1 June 2023 in Beirut, on the eve of the 18th anniversary of Samir Kassir’s assassination.The contest regulations, application forms, rules, and conditions are available on the Award’s website: www.samirkassiraward.org
Registration closes on 1 April 2023.
For more information: coordination@prixsamirkassir.org

Mikati discusses cancer treatment with Abiad, President of “Organisation of European Cancer Institutes”
NNA/February 20/2023
Caretaker Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, on Monday met with Caretaker Minister of Health, Dr. Firas Abiad, who visited him in the company of Thierry Philip, Chairman of the Executive Board at “Institut Curie” and President of the “Organisation of European Cancer Institutes”. Abiad reportedly briefed Mikati on Philip’s visit to cancer treatment centers in Lebanon, during which cancer-related programs carried out by Lebanon’s Ministry of Health were presented, in addition to the means to boosting areas of cooperation. The meeting with Mikati took stock of a number of plans and programs being carried out by the Ministry of Health in order to develop the “National Cancer Plan” in cooperation with Institut Curie and the Organisation of European Cancer Institutes. The meeting also discussed the ministry’s quality program for cancer treatment, as well as the cancer treatment program in Lebanon’s government hospitals.
For his part, Mikati lauded the role played by France supporting Lebanon’s health sector.

European Observatory for Integrity: Lebanese should hold Salameh accountable rather than renew his mandate
NNA/February 20/2023
The European Observatory for Integrity in Lebanon (OEIL) on Monday said in a statement "at a time when the European judiciary is investigating the financial crimes committed by Lebanese Central Bank Governor, Riad Salameh, documents appear to reveal a magical increase in the Lebanese state's public debt by USD 16 billion!” Consequently, the OEIL expressed in its statement utter astonishment at the “resounding silence of Lebanese officials letting this matter go unnoticed — as if nothing had happened.” “Salameh should be held accountable and be prosecuted immediately, rather have his mandate be renewed,” the statement added, wondering where “all the Lebanese judiciary, starting with the top of the pyramid, stood from all this.”

Mikati holds series of meetings at Grand Serail over educational, health and developmental affairs, discusses cancer treatment with Abiad,...
NNA/February, 20/2023
Caretaker Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, on Monday held a series of meetings at the Grand Serail, devoted to an array of educational, health and developmental affairs.
In this context, Premier Mikati met with Caretaker Minister of Education and Higher Education, Dr. Abbas Al-Halabi, who said on emerging that they discussed an array of educational affairs and the current educational situation in the country, in light of the ongoing strike in the public education sector.
Premier Mikati also presided over a meeting at the Grand Serail attended by Caretaker Minister of Interior and Municipalities, Judge Bassam Mawlawi, and Caretaker Minister of Public Works and Transport, Ali Hamieh, as well as MP Sajih Attieh, Secretary-General of the Higher Relief Commission, Major General Mohammad Khair, Dean of the Order of Engineers Syndicate in Tripoli and the North Bahaa Harb, Mayor of Tripoli Ahmed Qamar El-Din, and the UN Deputy Special Coordinator for Lebanon, Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator, Imran Riza.
On emerging, Caretaker Minister Hamieh said that the meeting discussed the issue of conducting surveys of buildings with cracks and weak structure as a result of the earthquake that struck Turkey and Syria on February 6, and the quakes that occurred in Lebanon.
Minister Hamieh also pointed out that the meeting decided to task the Minister of Interior to communicate with the municipalities and ask them to provide the Ministry with the list of buildings with cracks and weak structures, especially in Tripoli and Minieh.
Mikati later presided over a meeting devoted to Akkar district's demands, attended by Ministers Mawlawi and Hamieh, MPs Mohammad Suleiman and Sajih Attieh, Major General Khair, and MP Walid al-Baarini’s representative.
The Caretaker PM also met with Caretaker Minister of Health, Dr. Firas Abiad, who visited him in the company of Thierry Philip, Chairman of the Executive Board at “Institut Curie” and President of the “Organisation of European Cancer Institutes”.
Abiad reportedly briefed Mikati on Philip’s visit to cancer treatment centers in Lebanon, during which cancer-related programs carried out by Lebanon’s Ministry of Health were presented, in addition to the means to boosting areas of cooperation.
The meeting with Mikati took stock of a number of plans and programs being carried out by the Ministry of Health in order to develop the “National Cancer Plan” in cooperation with Institut Curie and the Organisation of European Cancer Institutes.
The meeting also discussed the ministry’s quality program for cancer treatment, as well as the cancer treatment program in Lebanon’s government hospitals. For his part, Mikati lauded the role played by France supporting Lebanon’s health sector. Among Premier Mikati’s itinerant visitors for today had been respectively Lebanon’s Ambassador to the Vatican, Farid Al-Khazen, Director General of Ogero, Imad Kreidieh, and a delegation from Dar Al Iftaa in Australia.

Nasrallah Snubs Bassil after MP Rejects his Candidate for Lebanese Presidency
Beirut - Mohamed Choucair/Asharq Al-Awsat/February, 20/2023
Head of Hezbollah Hassan Nasrallah has refused to hold a meeting with Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) chief MP Gebran Bassil over his rejection of the party’s candidate for the Lebanese presidency. Bassil has compiled a list of potential candidates that does not include the party’s favored pick, Marada Movement leader former MP Suleiman Franjieh. A leading source from the Shiite duo of Hezbollah and Amal revealed to Asharq Al-Awsat that Bassil was seeking to hold a meeting with Hezbollah. The MP contacted the party’s Liaison and Coordination Officer Wafiq Safa to arrange the meeting that would tackle Bassil’s list of candidates. Safa asked Bassil if he had included Franjieh’s name on the list, to which he replied that he had not. Bassil did not disclose the other names on the list. Safa then asked him why he chose to leave him off the list when Nasrallah had previously informed him that Franjieh had the highest chances of being elected president. Safa then frankly told Bassil that there was no need to hold a meeting with Nasrallah if he continued to maintain this stance, revealed the source. There is no possibility to mend the relations between Bassil and Hezbollah given that the MP had chosen a direct confrontation with Nasrallah, it explained. The source wondered if Bassil had chosen to wage such a confrontation in order to improve his image before regional and international forces. Perhaps they would lift the American sanctions imposes on him. It questioned why the MP appears eager to sever relations with Hezbollah. Has he been promised by the European right that they would approach Washington on his behalf to help remove the sanctions? At any rate, the party will not remain silent and will be forced to declare a position to clarify its stance from the dispute. Hezbollah now believes that Bassil has taken a position that is opposed to the party, added the source. Moreover, it said that Bassil was waging an open political battle against his rivals in the hope of gaining time that would increase his chances of joining the race for the presidency. He has also taken it upon himself to eliminate other candidates. Lebanon has been without a president since October when the term of Michel Aoun, Bassil’s father-in-law, ended. Several elections sessions have been held at parliament since but no single candidate has garnered enough votes to be declared the winner.

Former Hizbullah Commander Burns Posters Of Iranian Supreme Leaders Khomeini, Khamenei, And Hizbullah Sec.-Gen. Nasrallah In TikTok Video, Says: 'You People Are Inhumane; These Are Your Dictators'
MEMRI/February 20/2023
Source: The Internet - "Hajj Walaa Aytet on TikTok"
Hassan Muhsen a.k.a Hajj Walaa Aytet, a former Hizbullah commander, posted a TikTok video on his account showing himself burning a poster with the image of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the founder of the Islamic Republic, Khomeini. The video was posted on February 15, 2023. In the video, he recounts his grievances against Hizbullah, and says: "You people are inhumane. These are your dictators, these are your mujahideen." In another video he posted on his TikTok account, he is shown standing in front of a burnt poster of Hizbullah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah, saying that whenever such a poster is hung in his village it will be burnt.
Hassan Muhsen: “This a message to the mujahideen and to your Secretary -General [Nasrallah].
Hassan Muhsen: "Those who give you orders to attack people's homes will not have their posters in our midst. I am here in my village, in the area where I live. If you have any honor come here. I am waiting for you in my village.
"This is the dictator from whom you take orders, you and your mujahideen, at this (Hizbullah) party. When you set up ambushes in this village, and shoot me in the leg, and then put me in a cell in the Dahiya (suburb or Beirut), you will have to be held responsible.
"Twelve years of your law, with no result. You people are inhumane. Those are you dictators, these are your mujahideen, these are your rulings, these are your courts, this is your law.
"Whenever a poster of sayyed (Nasrallah) is placed here, it will be burned. He is a dictator. He gave you, Hizbullah, an order to attack me, and therefore, his poster must not be placed here. Whenever it is placed here, it will be burned.

بارعة علم الدين/عرب نيوز: مع تفكك لبنان يُحرّض حسن نصرالله على الحرب
20 شباط/2023
As Lebanon disintegrates, Nasrallah incites war
Baria Alamuddin/Arab News/February 20/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/116032/baria-alamuddin-arab-news-as-lebanon-disintegrates-nasrallah-incites-war-%d8%a8%d8%a7%d8%b1%d8%b9%d8%a9-%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%85-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%af%d9%8a%d9%86-%d8%b9%d8%b1%d8%a8-%d9%86%d9%8a%d9%88%d8%b2/

In recent days, a rash of angry demonstrations have torn across Lebanon’s urban centers, with banks the focus of particular outrage in this cash-starved country, after the lira lost 98 percent of its value.
So, as Hassan Nasrallah strode up to his rostrum, what themes did he choose to focus on in his address to the nation?
In fact, he treated us to a bizarre tribute to the Iranian people’s “massive participation” in nationwide rallies celebrating the Islamic Revolution’s anniversary. Disregarding the civil disorder in his own nation and continuing anti-regime protests across Iran, Nasrallah carped that the media had ignored these “millions-strong marches” in support of the Islamic Republic. He added that those who bet on the downfall of the ayatollahs’ regime would be disappointed. Indeed, in such a scenario, none would be more disappointed than Lebanese people themselves, who continue to be held hostage by the shameless puppets of this theocratic regime.
To our astonishment, an enraged Nasrallah revealed that all of Lebanon’s travails are the fault of the “Great Satan,” thundering: “I tell the American government that if they want to sow chaos in Lebanon, you will lose everything.”
And how will Hezbollah retaliate for these US “conspiracies against Lebanon?” Nasrallah warned America that, “If you push Lebanon into chaos, we are ready to use our arms against your protege, Israel … We are ready to resort to the option of war. Today, I say that whoever wants to push Lebanon into chaos or total collapse must expect from us the unimaginable.”
Lebanon has undergone one of the most severe economic implosions of any nation in modern history. Does Nasrallah seriously believe that it is in any shape for embroilment in a wholesale conflict with the amassed armies of America, Israel and the remainder of the Western world? Israel’s latest deadly airstrike against Damascus security apparatus targets appears like a retort to Nasrallah’s delusions, demonstrating how easily Hezbollah’s capabilities could be shattered.
What American conspiracies are we talking about? Did the US ambassador secretly incite Hezbollah and its allies to sabotage Lebanon’s political establishment and leave the country without a functioning government for years on end? Did the CIA trick Nasrallah into stockpiling enough explosives to blow up half the country in Hezbollah-controlled port warehouses? Did Joe Biden goad Iran and the “resistance” into exploiting Lebanese financial institutions for money laundering, in order to scare off the International Monetary Fund and have these banks targeted by sanctions? Please enlighten us, Mr. Nasrallah.
But Nasrallah’s real bete noire was how Israel is already reaping megabucks from gas exploitation, with no prospects of an imminent Lebanese cash windfall. “If there is intentional procrastination regarding the issue of oil and gas from Lebanese waters, will we allow Israel to continue extracting oil and gas from Karish?” Nasrallah declared. “I tell you never. This means if you want us to starve — we will kill you.” Yet it is Hezbollah’s aggressive brinkmanship and Lebanese dysfunction that have delayed progress toward exploiting Lebanese reserves.
Lebanese people reacted with abject horror at Nasrallah’s warmongering speech. Meanwhile, inept measures by the state risk exacerbating Lebanon’s financial chaos. The caretaker economy minister announced that businesses would be allowed to price their goods in dollars. Who can access dollars, other than Hezbollah employees?
Following the targeting of banks, Prime Minister Najib Mikati dismissively commented that those out burning tires and protesting did not look much like investors — a sign of how detached the ruling classes are from Lebanon’s current reality, where even the middle classes have been reduced to considering sending their children to orphanages for their own survival, while people die due to a lack of medication for preventable diseases.
Beirut’s devastated banking sector — once the region’s Switzerland-like financial hub — will take decades to recover from this implosion in its capabilities, reputation and workforce. Meanwhile, Hezbollah’s Al-Qard Al-Hasan banking network exploits this collapse to relentlessly expand its own branches, capitalizing on Hezbollah’s and Tehran’s capabilities, which run parallel to Lebanese state institutions.
Hezbollah propaganda outlets have been pedaling a pipe dream of salvation that the region is on the brink of a diplomatic breakthrough between Iran and the GCC states; including possible outreach by high-level Gulf officials to Damascus. Diplomats closely appraised of the behind-the-scenes negotiations told me this is pure fantasy. They note that negotiations have been led by hard-line Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps figures, who only want to talk about reopening embassies and facilitating two-way travel, while refusing outright to discuss the primary GCC concerns of IRGC entrenchment in Iraq, Yemen, Syria and Lebanon.
Hezbollah commanders — with their luxury SUVs, access to dollars and foreign goods — having grown fat on narcotics smuggling revenues, are insulated from economic ruination. But their opulent lifestyle in upmarket Beirut neighborhoods will abruptly end if war were really to reach Lebanon’s shores.
Nasrallah knows his conspiracy theories are dangerous nonsense. However, he apparently would rather see Lebanon entirely destroyed than make the necessary political compromises that could extricate Lebanon from its predicaments; particularly as Hezbollah’s relationship with its former Christian allies appears to be disintegrating due to wrangling over the presidency and other issues.
In 2006, Israel decimated Lebanon, reducing hundreds of thousands of homes to rubble and killing well over 1,000 citizens after Hezbollah rockets killed about 10 people. Doing the math, with Hezbollah’s massively upgraded missile arsenal courtesy of the IRGC, if for every 100 Israelis Hezbollah kills, retaliatory strikes kill 10,000 Lebanese; then, following such a conflagration, Nasrallah would have to crawl out of his bunker and relocate to Tehran because there will not be a country left. He does not care that his supporters in south Lebanon will again bear the brunt of Israel’s military fury.
Nobody anywhere should be lightly contemplating war, least of all disaster-afflicted Lebanon.
In 2006, post-conflict Lebanon benefited from massive international aid, including billions of dollars of reconstruction funding from Gulf allies. In 2023, Lebanon has no friends to rush to its aid. Hezbollah must also think twice about whether crisis-wracked Iran would be willing to fund its reconstruction and rearmament.
At a time when most Lebanese citizens are consumed by trying to ward off starvation for their families, such warmongering is grotesque. Faced with Nasrallah’s inhuman logic, Hezbollah supporters must conscientiously ponder whether they are willing to unthinkingly destroy themselves and their homeland in order to do Tehran’s bidding.
Nobody anywhere should be lightly contemplating war, least of all disaster-afflicted Lebanon, which, following the past three years, already looks like it has been to hell and back.
*Baria Alamuddin is an award-winning journalist and broadcaster in the Middle East and the UK. She is editor of the Media Services Syndicate and has interviewed numerous heads of state.

Lebanese economist Nadim Shehadi: Lebanon ‘is a hostage to the veto power’ of Hezbollah
Arab News/February 20/2023
Regards Lebanese crisis as part of a ‘broader regional problem, which needs to be treated as such’
Says shortcomings of the political class does not justify calls for the abolition of the entire system
DUBAI: Eighteen years ago this month, Rafik Hariri, a prominent politician and former prime minister of Lebanon, was assassinated by a suicide truck bomb in Beirut. Originally a philanthropist before his engagement in politics, Hariri, who had made his fortune in construction, donated millions of dollars to victims of war and conflict in Lebanon, and later played a major role in ending the civil war and rebuilding the capital city.
Hariri’s assassination marked the beginning of dramatic political change and movements calling for democracy in Lebanon. For years after his assassination, politicians and important figures opposed to the influence of both Syria and Hezbollah in the country were targeted.
Despite an international tribunal finding members of Hezbollah guilty of Hariri’s assassination after passionate calls for an investigation into his death, the Iran-backed militia group has only tightened its grip on Lebanon, keeping the country in a dire state.
“Hariri was killed 18 years ago and it took about 15 years to destroy the whole country after everything he tried to build,” Lebanese economist Nadim Shehadi said on “Frankly Speaking,” the Arab News current affairs talk show which engages with leading policymakers and business leaders.
“The Special Tribunal for Lebanon and the independent international investigation commission came to Lebanon, and it took them about 15 years to produce their result. And for the first time in the history of Lebanon, where we have had several assassinations, for the first time, we had a conviction,” Shehadi said.
But according to him, despite a conviction in Hariri’s case, Hezbollah’s influence over Lebanon means that the real perpetrators of the assassination will go unpunished, and the group will continue to hold the country hostage.
Lebanon’s various political and economic crises have only intensified in recent years, with inflation in the country rising to the highest in the world in 2021 and the value of the Lebanese lira plummeting drastically.
Last year witnessed a series of bank holdups by armed customers seeking to withdraw their frozen deposits. In a country whose capital was formerly referred to as the “Paris of the East,” two-thirds of the population now suffers from poverty, with regular electricity blackouts and shortages of basic necessities such as medicine and water increasingly commonplace.
The country’s chronic instability has deepened in recent years in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the 2020 Beirut port explosion which killed hundreds, left hundreds of thousands homeless, and damaged over half of the city while inflicting massive economic losses. Human Rights Watch and Amnesty International, the two international organizations which campaign against injustice and inequality, have called the investigation into the blast a “farce.”
Shehadi asserts that despite Lebanon’s historically “very healthy and functioning judiciary,” Hezbollah has interfered with the investigation.
This series of disasters have pushed many Lebanese to call for the removal of the entire political class, something that Shehadi views as a “ridiculous demand.”
Lebanese wait to fill their gas cylinders in the southern city of Sidon amidst a deepening economic crisis, on August 10, 2021. (AFP)
In his opinion, Lebanon’s political system is not “sectarianism,” as some observers term it, but rather “a political system based on a social contract between communities and which has maintained the country … even before the state was created.”
“We have a banking system which was the banking center of the region. We have political parties. These are pillars that distinguish Lebanon … and the revolution is asking almost for the dismantlement of all these pillars,” he told Katie Jensen, the host of “Frankly Speaking.”
While Shehadi acknowledges there are definitely issues with Lebanon’s political class, which he says was compromised by 15 years of occupation and political infiltration by the Syrian regime, “this doesn’t justify calling for the abolition of the whole system.”
Eight months after the country’s general elections, Lebanon still has not reached a consensus regarding its president or a functioning parliament.
Urgent political reforms are needed to unlock the $3 billion in emergency funds from the International Monetary Fund, but with Lebanon’s political system in tatters and its parliamentarians regularly staging walkouts, accessing these funds seems unlikely.
Shehadi said that while he is not opposed to a “fragmented” parliament with diverse political opinions, “what we have is not a fragmented parliament. What we have is a paralysis of all institutions that’s been building up for 15 years, 17 years almost.”
He added that Lebanon and its institutions are “a hostage to the veto power” of Hezbollah, which has gained footholds in Lebanon by means of assassinations and building of political alliances.
Shehadi compares Hezbollah’s gradual infiltration of state institutions in Lebanon to the behavior of drug cartels in power in narco-states in Latin America.
“They bribe politicians, the judiciary, the police, the army. Those who cannot be co-opted, if you like, are probably dead, and those who can be framed or blackmailed — that’s how criminal organizations gain power in a country,” he said.
The Lebanese parliament has held eleven electoral sessions to elect the president since Sept. 29 last year, with every session failing to elect a candidate.
In recent days, Joseph Aoun, commander of the Lebanese Armed Forces, has emerged as a potential contender. However, this would require a constitutional amendment, and consensus from the parliament, which is currently headed by Speaker Nabih Berri.
Though he calls Berri “a brilliant operator” who is familiar with the ins and outs of Lebanon’s tangled political web, Shehadi says Berri is “also a hostage himself.”
Berri is the leader of the Amal Movement, which engaged in a years-long war with Hezbollah in the 1980s which saw thousands killed.
“It ended with an agreement between them, sponsored by Iran and Syria, whereby they basically formed one block in parliament and one list, which means they have the monopoly of Shiite representation. They do not have a monopoly of Shiite support, but they have the monopoly of Shiite representation because of the way they manipulate lists in their areas,” Shehadi said.
During multiple electoral sessions stretching from September 2022 to January this year, many MPs left their ballot papers blank, with some in early sessions even casting their votes for “For Lebanon,” “Righteous dictator,” and “Nobody.”
Shehadi explained that major decisions and appointments within the Lebanese administration must be made by consensus, and with the signature of the president, speaker of the parliament, and prime minister. In the midst of the current political power vacuum, this means that the government in Lebanon has all but ceased to function. “We had that for 29 months, without a president, without a parliament, and without a functioning government … we had a caretaker government, until our politicians, if you like, compromised and accepted to elect the favorite candidate of Hezbollah. So, we are in the same position, and it’s a difficult position because the longer we resist, the more damage there is, and I think our economic collapse is mainly caused by paralysis,” Shehadi said.
“The priority now is to have a president and a functioning parliament and a functioning government so that state institutions do not collapse further.”Shehadi added that though there is no shortage of credible candidates, the parliament is “held hostage, and the whole system is held hostage because you need a certain majority to start the process of elections. You need a two-thirds plus one majority, which means that one-third of parliament can spoil the process.”
Even if this litany of political challenges were overcome and Lebanon managed to receive assistance from the IMF, Shehadi said that IMF funds would not be a solution to all of Lebanon’s financial problems. However, he stressed that “engagement with the IMF is crucial.”
“Following the IMF recommendations is very important, especially on fiscal and monetary policy. There’s a lot of opposition to some of the IMF reforms, which I understand,” he said, adding that many observers say that $3 billion in funds will do very little to alleviate the country’s $90 billion deficit.
“But I think, in my view, it’s more important to remain engaged. The country is being paralyzed and isolated from the West, from the Arab countries, and now will be isolated from international institutions too, like the IMF and the World Bank and the UN and all that. It’s very damaging to ignore the IMF route.”
Shehadi concurs with the World Bank’s assessment of the meltdown in Lebanon as one of the worst modern crises in recent history. But asked if he thinks there is a way out of the quagmire, he replied: “Yes, but I don’t see it only for Lebanon. The whole region is suffering from the same problem. The Lebanese case is similar to what is happening in Palestine, in Syria, in Iraq, in Yemen, and this could spread to other countries in the region who could be vulnerable.”
He continued: “It should be treated as a regional phenomenon, which is, basically, the role of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The IRGC, as a paramilitary, non-state actor, has taken over the Iranian state and society in the same way as Hezbollah is acting in Lebanon, in the same way as Iranian-sponsored militias are behaving in Iraq, and definitely in the same way as Hamas has paralyzed the whole of the peace process in Palestine.”
Under the circumstances, Shehadi said the multidimensional crisis in Lebanon is part of a “broader regional problem, which needs to be treated as such. Lebanon is the fault line or the weakest point. A lot of the region’s ills, or problems, surface in Lebanon first.”
Because of this, Shehadi added, international and regional engagement and cooperation are crucial components to solving Lebanon’s crisis, and that the international community must refrain from seeing Lebanon as a hopeless case.
“We are definitely hostages, but we still have a say in the country and we need international support to get out of the grip of (Hezbollah). And again, the grip is regional. So, our fate is similar to Iraq, similar to Palestine, similar to Syria, and similar to Yemen,” he said.
“I don’t think one can see it in a fragmented way. And it’s wrong to abandon a place just because it’s considered to be lost. Lebanon is not a lost case.”

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on February 20-21/2023
Fresh quake hits Turkiye-Syria border area two weeks after disaster
Reuters/February 20, 2023
Monday’s quake, this time with a magnitude of 6.3, was centered near the southern Turkish city of Antakya and was felt in Syria, Egypt and Lebanon
It struck at a depth of just two km, the EMSC said, potentially magnifying its impact at ground level
ANTAKYA: Another earthquake struck the border region of Turkiye and Syria on Monday, just two weeks after the area was devastated by a larger quake which killed more than 47,000 people and damaged or destroyed hundreds of thousands of homes. Monday’s quake, this time with a magnitude of 6.3, was centered near the southern Turkish city of Antakya and was felt in Syria, Egypt and Lebanon. It struck at a depth of just two km (1.2 miles), the European Mediterranean Seismological Center (EMSC) said, potentially magnifying its impact at ground level.
Muna Al Omar said she was in a tent in a park in central Antakya when the latest quake hit. “I thought the earth was going to split open under my feet,” she said, crying as she held her 7-year-old son in her arms.
Hours earlier, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on a visit to Turkiye that Washington would help “for as long as it takes” as rescue operations in the wake of the Feb. 6 earthquake and its aftershocks were winding down, and focus turned to toward urgent shelter and reconstruction work. The death toll from the quakes two weeks ago rose to 41,156 in Turkiye, the country’s Disaster and Emergency Management Authority AFAD said on Monday, and it was expected to climb further, with 385,000 apartments known to have been destroyed or seriously damaged and many people still missing.
President Tayyip Erdogan said construction work on nearly 200,000 apartments in 11 earthquake-hit provinces of Turkiye would begin next month. Total US humanitarian assistance to support the earthquake response in Turkiye and Syria has reached $185 million, the US State Department said. Among the survivors of the earthquakes are about 356,000 pregnant women who urgently need access to health services, the UN sexual and reproductive health agency (UNFPA) has said.
They include 226,000 women in Turkiye and 130,000 in Syria, about 38,800 of whom will deliver in the next month. Many of them were sheltering in camps or exposed to freezing temperatures and struggling to get food or clean water.
Syria aid. In Syria, already shattered by more than a decade of civil war, most deaths have been in the northwest, where the United Nations said 4,525 people were killed. The area is controlled by insurgents at war with forces loyal to President Bashar Assad, complicating aid efforts.
Syrian officials say 1,414 people were killed in areas under the control of Assad’s government. Medical charity Medecins Sans Frontieres (MSF) said a convoy of 14 of its trucks had entered northwestern Syria from Turkiye on Sunday to assist in rescue operations. The World Food Programme (WFP) has also been pressuring authorities in that region to stop blocking access for aid from Syrian government-controlled areas. As of Monday morning, 197 trucks loaded with UN humanitarian aid had entered northwest Syria through two border crossings, a spokesperson for the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs said. Thousands of Syrian refugees in Turkiye have returned to their homes in northwest Syria to get in touch with relatives affected by the devastation. At the Turkish Cilvegozu border crossing, hundreds of Syrians lined up starting early on Monday to cross. Mustafa Hannan, who dropped off his pregnant wife and 3-year-old son, said he saw about 350 people waiting. The 27-year-old car electrician said his family was leaving for a few months after their home in Antakya collapsed, taking up a pledge by authorities allowing them to spend up to six months in Syria without losing the chance to return to Turkiye. “I’m worried they won’t be allowed back,” he said. “We’ve already been separated from our nation. Are we going to be separated from our families now too? If I rebuild here but they can’t return, my life will be lost.”

Plight of refugees induces shift of Saudi priorities towards Syria
The Arab Weekly/February 20/2023
When combined with the UAE’s approach, the Saudi shift of priorities towards Syria will make a “political solution” close or even within reach, considering that “maximalist goals” are no longer the only option, analysts say.
The humanitarian crisis posed by the plight of the four million Syrian refugees currently struggling to survive in the areas affected by the recent earthquake, in addition to uncertainties surrounding the fate of more than a million other Syrian refugees who are about to return home from Turkey, has prompted Saudi Arabia to follow a new direction in its relationship with Damascus. Remarks made by Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud at a Munich security forum on Saturday signalled a shift from the early years of Syria's 12-year civil war when several Arab states including Saudi Arabia backed rebels and Islamic extremists who fought Bashar al-Assad. "You will see not only among the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) but in the Arab world there is a growing consensus that the status quo is not workable," he said.
The minister added that in the absence of a path towards "maximalist goals" for a political solution, another approach was "being formulated" to address the issue of Syrian refugees in neighbouring states and suffering of civilians, especially after the devastating earthquake that hit Syria and Turkey.
"So that's going to have to go through a dialogue with the government in Damascus at some point in a way that achieves at least the most important of the objectives especially as regards the humanitarian angle, the return of refugees, etcetra," he said.
Analysts point out that indications of a shift towards acceptance of the continued rule by Assad preceded the recent powerful earthquake in Syria and Turkey. The humanitarian disaster, however, provided an ideal impetus for the turning point.
Prince Faisal bin Farhan had meeting a few weeks ago with the UN special envoy for Syria, Geir Pedersen, to discuss the Syrian crisis and its repercussions. The Saudi-Egyptian Follow-up and Political Consultation Committee, which was held in Riyadh on January 12, also announced the two countries’ support for “a political solution in Syria in accordance with Resolution 2254 and the rejection of any threats of military operations affecting Syrian territories and terrorising the Syrian people.”
The committee indicated that the two parties agreed on “the necessity of supporting Syria’s independence and territorial integrity, combating terrorism, the return of refugees and displaced persons and backing the efforts of the UN envoy to advance the political process in Syria.”
Saudi Arabia’s permanent delegate to the Arab League, Ambassador Abdul Rahman bin Saeed, said late last year, “We hope to see Syria return to the Arab fold.” He added that when Arab and international decisions are implemented, “the kingdom and all Arab countries will be keen on the return of Syria and the Syrian people.”In conjunction with these developments, the Syrian foreign ministry said on January 16 that Damascus had no political objections to importing products manufactured in Saudi Arabia. The government’s economic committee recommended allowing the import of chemicals and petrochemicals from Saudi Arabia. Analysts said that Riyadh's abandonment of "maximalist goals" does not mean it is not interested anymore in a political solution. But such a solution is no longer viewed by Saudi Arabia as a priority compared to the humanitarian crisis posed by the situation of refugees in Syria’s northwest and in Turkey. The Syrian authorities have allowed the Saudi relief to reach areas outside government control in northwestern Syria. Saudi shipments were not impeded on the way to the quake-affected areas. What has changed, also, according to experts, is that Saudi Arabia no longer insists on Syria’s severance of ties with Iran and Hezbollah as a precondition for Syria's return to the Arab fold. Experts see two main reasons for this development. The first is that Iran has nothing to offer to Damascus that could compete with what Saudi Arabia and the UAE can give Syria. The second reason is that the UAE's pragmatic approach to resumption of relations with Syria, based on mutual interests rather than competition, has proven to be workable. Furthermore, Saudi Arabia considers that aiding the refugees helps de-escalate tensions, stabilise tragedy-stricken regions and deprives extremist organisations of fertile ground for recruitment.
Gulf states remain however attentive to Ankara’s designs in Syria and are wary of the possible consequences of an Erdogan defeat in next Turkish elections, as it could create a vacuum that other powers could try to fill. Experts expects changes in the near future. When combined with the UAE’s approach, the Saudi shift of priorities towards Syria will make a “political solution” close or even within reach, considering that “maximalist goals” are no longer the only option, analysts say.

Saudi Arabia wants to send medics to quake-hit Syria
Agence France Presse/February 20/2023
Saudi Arabia hopes to send medical volunteers to areas of Syria rocked by the recent earthquake that killed thousands in the war-torn country, an official told AFP on Monday. The kingdom severed ties with the regime of isolated Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in 2012.
But it has sent aid to both rebel-held and government-controlled parts of the country in the aftermath of the 7.8-magnitude tremor that struck southeastern Turkey and northern Syria on February 6, killing more than 44,000 people. On Monday, the King Salman Humanitarian Aid and Relief Center announced nearly $50 million in additional relief to both Syria and Turkey. The new pledges, unveiled at the start of a two-day humanitarian forum in the Saudi capital, include a project that could send Saudi medical volunteers to Syria for the first time, said Dr Abdullah al-Rabeeah, the center's supervisor general. "On the medical side, one of the projects we signed in the forum was related to actually the Syrian territories, because they are actually short of mobile clinics," Rabeeah said. "That's the first phase, and we hope that we'll see our Saudi volunteers on the ground."Riyadh has so far avoided direct contact with the Assad government, coordinating instead with the Syrian Red Crescent on aid going into government-controlled territory. Last week a Saudi plane carrying aid landed in Syria's second city Aleppo -- the first in more than a decade of war. Saudi Arabia has sent 14 flights to Turkey and Syria so far, and mobilized some $200 million through government allocations and fundraising for the relief effort, Rabeeah said. "We did not see from the fundraising process in Saudi Arabia... any differentiation between the two populations, whether they are Syrians or Turkish," he said. "We did not see the diplomatic or the political side affecting the humanitarian side."Saudi Arabia's foreign minister said on Saturday that a consensus was building in the Arab world, that a new approach to Syria requiring negotiations with Damascus would be needed to address humanitarian crises including the quake. "There is a consensus within the Arab world that the status quo is not working and that we need to find some other approach," Prince Faisal bin Farhan told the Munich Security Conference. "What that approach is, is still being formulated," he added. A policy change could also help resolve the Syrian refugee crisis in Jordan and Lebanon, he said. "That's going to have go through a dialogue with the government of Damascus at some point, in a way that achieves at least the most important of the objectives," including refugee returns, he said.

IAEA Finds Uranium Enriched to 84% in Iran, Near Bomb-Grade, Reveal Diplomats
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 20 February, 2023
The UN nuclear watchdog has found uranium enriched to 84% in Iran - very close to weapons grade - diplomats said on Monday, while the watchdog said that it was in talks with Tehran about recent findings there. Iran has been enriching uranium to up to 60% purity since April 2021. Three months ago, it started enriching to 60% at a second site, Fordow, which is dug into a mountain. Weapons grade is around 90%. Two diplomats told Reuters the International Atomic Energy Agency, which inspects Iran's nuclear facilities, had detected uranium enriched to 84%, confirming an initial report late on Sunday by Bloomberg News. "The issue is whether it was a blip in the reconfigured cascades or deliberate. The agency has asked Iran for an explanation," one of the diplomats told Reuters. Earlier this month, the IAEA criticized Iran for failing to inform it of a "substantial" change to the interconnections between the two cascades, or clusters, of centrifuges enriching uranium to up to 60% at Fordow. Several diplomats said the change meant Iran could quickly switch to a higher enrichment level. Those rearranged cascades are the ones the first diplomat was referring to. The United States in 2018 pulled out of the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and major powers that had lifted sanctions against Tehran in exchange for curbs on its nuclear activities. Iran responded to the reimposition of US sanctions by breaching those restrictions and going well beyond them, to the point that IAEA chief Rafael Grossi has said the deal is now an "empty shell".
Still no IAEA report
Prospects for reviving the deal are dim, diplomats say, with tensions between Iran and the West high over protests in Iran, the war in Ukraine, and Iran's continued nuclear advances eroding the time it would need to produce a nuclear bomb if it chose to. Iran denies having such intentions. "The IAEA is aware of recent media reports relating to uranium enrichment levels in Iran," the IAEA said on Twitter on Sunday. "The IAEA is discussing with Iran the results of recent Agency verification activities and will inform the IAEA Board of Governors as appropriate."The IAEA, which inspects Iran's nuclear facilities, flags significant developments in Iran's activities either in ad hoc reports to the 35-nation Board of Governors or regular quarterly ones issued before board meetings. Diplomats said on Monday that the IAEA so far had not issued any such report. The next quarterly Board of Governors meeting begins on Monday, March 6, and quarterly reports are usually issued in the week before a meeting. "So far, we have not made any attempt to enrich above 60%. The presence of particles above 60% enrichment does not mean production with an enrichment above 60%," the spokesperson for Iran's Atomic Energy Organization, Behrouz Kamalvandi, said on Monday, according to the official IRNA News agency.

Iran’s Currency Falls to Record Low as Sanctions to Continue

Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 20 February, 2023
Iran's troubled currency broke below the psychologically key level of 500,000 rial per US dollar on Monday, as market participants saw no end in sight to sanctions. The Iranian rial plummeted to a new record low of 501,300 against the US dollar, according to Bonbast.com which gathers live data from Iranian exchanges. Facing an inflation rate of about 50%, Iranians seeking safe havens for their savings have been buying dollars, other hard currencies or gold, suggesting further headwinds for the rial. The reimposition of US sanctions in 2018 by former President Donald J. Trump have harmed Iran's economy by limiting Tehran's oil exports and access to foreign currency. Since September, nuclear talks between Iran and world powers to curb Tehran's nuclear program in exchange for the lifting of sanctions have stalled, worsening economic expectations for Iran's future. Over the last six months, Iran's currency has slumped nearly 60% in value, according to Bonbast.com. Meanwhile, the central bank said it was opening a new foreign exchange center to ease access to foreign exchange and increase the volume of official transactions. "The rate set in this exchange will become the market's rate. It should be free from expectation factors that do not reflect our assessment of the country's financial situation," Mohammad Reza Farzin, the central bank governor, told state TV on Monday. Farzin was appointed in December as governor with the key job of controlling the value of foreign currencies, according to IRNA.

Iran Rejects Israeli Claims on Oil Tanker Attack
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 20 February, 2023
Iran denies Israel's accusation that Tehran targeted an Israeli oil tanker on Feb. 10, Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson Nasser Kanaani said on Monday. The captain of the Liberian-flagged Campo Square said on Saturday it had been lightly damaged by an airborne object on Feb. 10 while sailing through the Arabian Sea. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Sunday that Iran was responsible. Shipping databases linked the tanker to Zodiac Maritime, which is controlled by Israeli shipping magnate Eyal Ofer. "We strongly reject the Zionist regime's accusation against Iran regarding the attack on the Israeli tanker," Kanaani said during a weekly news conference. "We are very active in maintaining security and freedom of navigation in international waters and will continue to do so," he added.

UK Police Foil 15 Iranian Terrorist Plots

London - Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 20 February, 2023
Police and the security services have foiled 15 plots by Iran to either kidnap or kill British or UK-based individuals it considers "enemies of the regime," announced the head of the counter-terrorism policing at the Met, Matt Jukes. According to The Guardian, Jukes confirmed that Iran International TV has "reluctantly" closed its west London studios and moved the operation to its offices in Washington DC after receiving threats from hostile threats. Iran International, established in May 2017 in London and employs more than 100 media professionals and employees, announced that it had stopped operating from London and transferred all its 24-hour news bulletins to Washington. The channel said that despite the temporary suspension of the London office, the 24-hour broadcast would continue from Washington, asserting that it would remain committed to providing accurate and unbiased reports on developments in Iran and the world. Last Monday, London police announced in a statement that an Austrian citizen named Mogamed-Husejn Dovtaev, of Chechen origin, was charged with collecting information likely to be helpful to a person committing or preparing an act of terrorism. Dovtaev was arrested on Saturday, Feb. 11, on the site of Chiswick Business Park and appeared before the court on Feb. 14. He was remanded in custody to next appear at the Old Bailey on Mar. 03. Before his arrest, the police found Dovtaev looking into the security arrangements of the Iranian TV channel opposing Tehran's policy. After his arrest, he denied through an interpreter the charge against him. Dovtaev was in a hurry to target Iran International by collecting information for others to target the channel, according to The Times. The newspaper indicated that Dovtaev traveled from Vienna on Feb. 11 and went directly to the channel's headquarters upon his arrival at Gatwick Airport in London. On his arrival, he is alleged to have put on a face mask and donned a baseball cap before appearing to take images on his phone of security. When a patrol arrived, they found him at a Starbucks coffee shop in the compound where the Iranian channel is located and arrested him. The Director General of the Security Service (MI5), Ken McCallum, revealed last Thursday that Iran had made at least ten attempts to kidnap or even kill British nationals or individuals in the UK. McCallum said that targeting the Iranian channel was among the thwarted terrorist plots.

EU targets more Iran officials, organizations over crackdown
BRUSSELS (AP)/Mon, February 20, 2023
The European Union on Monday imposed sanctions on two organizations and 32 Iranians, including the culture and education ministers, intelligence officials and lawmakers, accused of links to Iran's security crackdown on protesters. The protests began after the Sept. 16 death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini following her arrest by the Islamic Republic’s morality police and have grown into one of the most serious challenges to Iran’s theocracy since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. At least 529 people have been killed in demonstrations, according to Human Rights Activists in Iran. Over 19,700 others have been detained by authorities amid a violent crackdown trying to suppress the dissent. Some people linked to the protests have been executed. The EU said it had imposed asset freezes and travel bans on the 32 officials and frozen the assets of the two organizations due to their involvement “in serious human rights violations in Iran.” The 27-nation bloc had already imposed four rounds of sanctions on Iranian officials and organizations — including other ministers, military officers and Iran’s morality police — for alleged rights abuses.

Israel promises not to approve additional West Bank outposts
JERUSALEM (AP)/Mon, February 20, 2023
Israel has told the Biden administration it will rein in the approval of new West Bank settlement outposts, the prime minister's office said Monday, a day after a potential diplomatic crisis was averted at the United Nations over Israeli-Palestinian tensions.
The office of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel would not greenlight any new wildcat settlements in the West Bank beyond nine such outposts built without authorization that it approved retroactively earlier this month. The statement, however, made no mention of the thousands of additional settlement homes in existing settlements officials say are to be soon approved. A contentious U.N. Security Council resolution pushed by the Palestinians and their supporters slated for Monday would have condemned Israel for settlement expansion and demanded a halt to future activity. According to multiple diplomats, the Biden administration managed to forestall the vote by convincing both Israel and the Palestinians to agree in principle to a six-month freeze in any unilateral action they might take. “Israel notified the U.S. that in the coming months it will not authorize new settlements beyond the nine that have already been approved,” Netanyahu's office said. Dozens of unauthorized outposts dot the occupied West Bank, in addition to scores of existing settlements. These outposts, which sometimes are little more than a handful of trailer homes but can also resemble small villages, are built without authorization but are often tolerated and even encouraged by Israeli governments. The international community considers all Israeli construction on occupied land to be illegitimate or illegal. The U.N. vote presented a headache for the Biden administration at a time when it is focusing its diplomatic efforts on Russia's war with Ukraine, which is coming up on one year this week. Biden made a surprise visit to Kyiv on Monday. It also highlighted the deep differences between Biden's administration, which supports Palestinian statehood and opposes settlements, and the Israeli government, which is made up of ultranationalists who oppose Palestinian independence and have pledged to ramp up settlement building. The pledge to hold off on approving outposts contradicts the government's guiding principles and Netanyahu could face a backlash from his far-right, pro-settler coalition partners. Construction in established settlements is expected to continue, as it has under successive Israeli governments. Netanyahu's office also said it would continue to demolish illegally built Palestinian homes in the 60% of the West Bank that is under full Israeli control. Palestinian residents in these areas say it is almost impossible to receive a building permit from Israeli authorities.
The United States, along with much of the international community, say the settlements are obstacles to peace by taking over land sought by the Palestinians for their state. Over 700,000 Jewish Israelis now live in the West Bank and east Jerusalem — territories captured in the 1967 Mideast war and claimed by the Palestinians..

Israel Tells US it Won’t Authorize New Settlements in Coming Months
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 20 February, 2023
Israel will not authorize new settlements in the occupied West Bank in the coming months, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office said on Monday, after behind-the-scenes talks to head off a planned UN Security Council vote on the contested issue. Netanyahu's religious-nationalist coalition on Feb. 12 granted retroactive authorization to nine settler outposts that had been erected without government approval, angering the Palestinians, who want the West Bank for a future state. The move also drew condemnation from Western powers and Arab countries, who deem all the settlements illegal. But the United Arab Emirates told the UN Security Council it would not call a vote on Monday on a draft resolution against the settlements. Citing "positive talks between the partners", UAE said the council would instead issue a unanimous statement.
A Security Council vote might have tested Washington's willingness to cast a veto on behalf of Israel after publicly warning its Middle East ally not to authorize new settlements. Israel has sponsored some 140 settlements in the West Bank, which it sees as a historical birthright and a security bulwark, while dismantling or turning a blind eye to dozens of outposts. "Israel informed the United States that, in the coming months, it will not authorize new settlements beyond the nine already approved," said the statement from Netanyahu's office.

Israel’s Netanyahu Advances Judicial Changes Despite Uproar
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 20 February, 2023
Israel’s government on Monday was pressing ahead with a contentious plan to overhaul the country’s legal system, despite an unprecedented uproar that has included mass protests, warnings from military and business leaders and calls for restraint by the United States. Thousands of demonstrators were expected to gather outside the parliament, or Knesset, for a second straight week to rally against the plan as lawmakers prepared to hold an initial vote. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his allies say the plan is meant to fix a system that has given the courts and government legal advisers too much say in how legislation is crafted and decisions are made. Critics say it will upend the country’s system of checks and balances and concentrate power in the hands of the prime minister. They also say that Netanyahu, who is on trial for a series of corruption charges, has a conflict of interest. The standoff has plunged Israel into one of its greatest domestic crises, sharpening a divide between Israelis over the character of their state and the values they believe should guide it, according to The Associated Press. Monday’s vote on part of the legislation is just the first of three readings required for parliamentary approval. While that process is expected to take months, the vote is a sign of the coalition’s determination to barrel ahead and seen by many as an act of bad faith. Last week, some 100,000 people demonstrated outside the Knesset as a committee granted initial approval to the plan. It was the largest protest in the city in years. On Monday, protesters launched a sit-down protest at the entrance of the homes of some coalition lawmakers and briefly halted traffic on Tel Aviv’s main highway. Ahead of the main demonstration in Jerusalem, hundreds were waving Israeli flags and protesting in Tel Aviv and the northern city of Haifa, holding signs reading “resistance is mandatory.”“We’re here to demonstrate for the democracy. Without democracy there’s no state of Israel. And we’re going to fight till the end,” said Marcos Fainstein, a protester in Tel Aviv.

US President Biden Pledges Military Aid during Kyiv Visit
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 20 February, 2023
US President Joe Biden announced new military aid for Ukraine during an unannounced visit to the Ukrainian capital on Monday, showing solidarity with Kyiv days before the first anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Air raid sirens blared across the Ukrainian capital as Biden visited Kyiv for talks with President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, but there were no reports of Russian missile or air strikes. Biden said Washington would stand with Ukraine as long as it takes. The United States has been by far the largest supplier of military assistance to help Ukraine repel better-equipped Russian invaders.
"Your visit is an extremely important sign of support for all Ukrainians," Zelenskiy said.Biden said Washington would provide Kyiv with a new military aid package worth $500 million that would be announced on Tuesday. He said it would include more ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems. In a speech, Biden commended Ukraine's courage during the war and noted that he had visited Kyiv six times when he had earlier served as vice president. "I knew I would be back," he said. The air raid sirens wailed while Zelenskiy and Biden were inside the St. Michael's Golden-Domed Cathedral on a square in central Kyiv where burnt-out Russian tanks have been placed. Ukraine is preparing for what it expects to be a major new Russian offensive that some military analysts say is already under way. Biden's trip fell on the day that Ukraine marks the deaths of more than 100 people - now known as the Heavenly Hundred - at anti-government protests that eventually toppled a Moscow-backed president in 2014.

King Charles visits Ukrainian troops being trained by British forces
The Telegraph/Mon, February 20, 2023
The King has visited Ukrainian military recruits undergoing training in Wiltshire. The monarch watched a short defensive training exercise and met some of the recruits training with British and international partner forces. The five-week mission delivers basic combat training to Ukrainians, who will then return to fight in their country. The King, accompanied by General Sir Patrick Sanders, the Chief of General Staff, also met other international military personnel who are helping the Army with the Ukrainian recruits. He met instructors from 1st Battalion Irish Guards, the UK’s Ranger Regiment, New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Lithuania, Norway, Denmark, the Netherlands, Sweden and Finland. British forces began training Ukrainian soldiers in the UK last June, four months after Russia invaded Ukraine. The programme has seen 10,000 Ukrainian troops brought to battle readiness in the past six months and aims to train a further 20,000 this year. The recruits, who have little or no military experience, are training in techniques such as the use of Javelin surface-to-air missiles and studying different types of Russian vehicles.

Russia sells weapons at Abu Dhabi arms fair amid Ukraine war
ABU DHABI, United Arab Emirates (AP)/Mon, February 20, 2023
Russia offered weapons for sale on Monday at a biennial arms fair in the United Arab Emirates, ranging from Kalashnikov assault rifles to missile systems — despite facing sanctions from the West over its war on Ukraine. The event, known as the International Defense Exhibition and Conference and held in the UAE capital of Abu Dhabi, underscores how the Gulf Arab federation has sought to embrace Moscow while balancing its ties to the West. As Russia's war on Ukraine approaches its first anniversary on Friday, Russian money continues to flood into Dubai's red-hot real estate market. Daily flights between the Emirates and Moscow continue as the war grinds on, providing a rare lifeline for both those fleeing conscription and the Russian elite. The U.S. Treasury has already expressed concerns about the amount of Russian cash flowing into the Arabian Peninsula country.
The arms fair typically sees the Emiratis host individuals that could be seen as problematic in the West. Former Sudanese strongman Omar al-Bashir came to the 2017 edition. Chechen regional leader Ramzan Kadyrov, himself now deeply involved in the Ukraine war, came in both 2019 and 2021.
This year's event drew Libya's Khalifa Hifter, the commander of the self-styled Libyan National Army who faces a U.S. lawsuit accusing him of orchestrating indiscriminate attacks on civilians and torturing and killing political opponents.
But while not directly acknowledged at this year's show, the tendrils of Russia's war on Ukraine could be seen everywhere at the fair Monday. To reach Russia's exhibition tent, those attending the fair had to leave Abu Dhabi's cavernous National Exhibition Center and cross along a skybridge to an outdoor area.
Russian officials delayed Associated Press journalists from going inside their tent as an event was going on, initially without explanation. About an hour later, AP journalists saw Denis Manturov, Russia's minister of trade and industry, come out of the tent.
Manturov is sanctioned by both the United States and the United Kingdom, with London describing him as being “responsible for overseeing the Russian weapons industry and responsible for equipping mobilized troops” in the war on Ukraine. Yet Manturov described the ongoing war as providing advertising for Russian weaponry. “Any military action is further accompanied by interest in those products, those weapons that are in demand in a given military conflict," he said, according to the Tass news agency. “Therefore, certainly, interest is now high in air defense systems — short-, medium-, and long-range ones.”
He added: “Each transaction is subject to close scrutiny from our Western colleagues — they are trying to create obstacles; we ensure the security of such deals so that they are as effective as possible and implemented privately.”
Emirati officials did not directly acknowledge Manturov's presence. The U.S. State Department did not respond to a request for comment about Russia's presence at the arms show in a country that hosts thousands of American troops. Manturov visited the Emirates as U.S. President Joe Biden was in Kyiv, Ukraine.Inside the Russian tent, a video screen proclaimed the power of Moscow's surface-to-air missile systems, like those now being used to strike cities in Ukraine. Salesmen showed off Kalashnikov assault rifles to Emirati troops. Other model missiles sat on display.
Just outside of the tent, Russian Helicopters displayed several of its civilian aircraft, flanked by attractive young women in silver flight caps. UAE leader Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan was not seen at the opening, which was attended by his brother, Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed Al Nahyan. However, one Russian magazine at the arms fair printed an English edition that carried photos of Sheikh Mohammed smiling and shaking Russian President Vladimir Putin's hand during an earlier visit to Moscow. In contrast, a giant armed drone by Baykar was parked next to the Russian tent. The Turkish drone company's Bayraktar drones have played such a key role in Kyiv campaign against Russia there's even a song in Ukrainian about the aircraft.
A short walk away, U.S. Army troops showed off a model of a Javelin anti-tank missile, allowing the curious to fire it in a computer simulation. U.S. Army 1st Sgt. Evan Williams of the 2-116th Cavalry Regiment said he and his soldiers had talked to Russian visitors at the fair and others curious about the weapon, which Ukraine has used to deadly effect against Russian armored vehicles. “You've seen people walk by and kind of do a double-take about it,” said Williams of Boise, Idaho. “They come talk to us, ask us questions about it.”The U.S. Army also had a Patriot missile battery on display at the fair. American forces used the battery in combat for the first time in decades in 2022 to help defend Abu Dhabi against an attack by Yemen's Iranian-backed Houthi rebels. Meanwhile, Israel as well had its first full contingent of weapons companies on display, for the first time since the UAE diplomatically recognized the country in 2020. Both Israel and the UAE's leadership have a deep suspicion about Iran's intentions, though the UAE has tried to deescalate with Tehran, which now enriches uranium closer than ever to weapons-grade levels. Israeli-Emirati ties have warmed even as Israel continues to build settlements on land the Palestinians want for their future state and as more Israeli-Palestinian violence spikes.
*Follow Jon Gambrell on Twitter at www.twitter.com/jongambrellAP.

Kremlin: Russia's relations with Moldova are very tense
Reuters/Mon, February 20, 2023
The Kremlin said on Monday that Russia's relations with Moldova were very tense and it accused Moldovan leaders of pursuing an anti-Russian agenda, one week after Chisinau said it had foiled a Russian coup attempt. Moldova's parliament last week approved a new pro-Western government after the previous administration resigned en masse following months of political and economic scandals. The new government, led by Prime Minister Dorin Recean, has vowed to pursue a pro-European path and also called for the demilitarisation of the Transdniestria region - a Moscow-backed separatist region which borders Ukraine. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Monday that Russia was acting "responsibly" with regard to peackeeping forces it has stationed in the breakaway region and warned Moldova against inflaming the situation further. "Our relations with Moldova are already very tense," Peskov told reporters. "The leadership always focuses on everything anti-Russian, they are slipping into anti-Russian hysteria."Moldova's President Maia Sandu - as well as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy - said earlier this month they had intelligence which suggested Russia was plotting a coup to "overthrow" the Moldovan authorities and sow chaos in the small former Soviet republic. Russia has denied those claims, but Moscow has bristled at the possibility of Moldova - which is sandwiched between Ukraine and NATO member Romania - joining the European Union

US Reaffirms Pledge to Deliver Jets to Türkiye
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 20 February, 2023
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Monday reaffirmed Washington's commitment to delivering F-16 jets to Türkiye despite Turkish insistence that their approval should not depend on Ankara lifting objections to Sweden joining NATO.
Türkiye wants modernized versions of F-16 fighter jets for its ageing air force, but US Congress must approve any sale. "The Biden administration strongly supports the package to both upgrade the existing F-16s and to provide new ones," Blinken told a press conference in Ankara.
But Blinken added he could not provide a "formal timeline" for approval and delivery. It was Blinken's first visit to Türkiye as secretary of state in a trip that was planned before a 7.8-magnitude earthquake on February 6, which has now killed nearly 45,000 people in Türkiye and Syria.
The top US diplomat is due to hold talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan later on Monday in Ankara. The United States, whose relations with Türkiye have been strained in recent years, has been looking for ways to persuade Erdogan to ratify NATO membership applications by Finland and Sweden. Finland and Sweden dropped decades of military non-alignment and applied to join the US-led defense alliance last year in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. But Türkiye has yet to ratify their applications and Ankara has opposed Sweden's refusal to extradite dozens of suspects that Türkiye links to outlawed Kurdish militants and a failed 2016 coup. On Monday, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu dismissed any attempt to apply conditions to the F-16 jets approval. "It would not be right to make Sweden and Finland's NATO membership a condition for the F-16s. They are two different issues," he said. "Our hands should not be tied."Blinken said the United States "strongly" supported Finland and Sweden's admission into NATO "as quickly as possible". "Finland and Sweden have already taken concrete steps" to address Türkiye’s concerns, he said. Türkiye has signaled it is ready to accept Finland into NATO, but Cavusoglu said Kurdish militants continued "all kinds of activities including recruitment, terrorist propaganda" in Sweden. Blinken arrived on Sunday at Incirlik air base in southern Türkiye, through which the United States has shipped aid after the earthquake. The United States has now contributed $185 million in assistance to Türkiye and Syria.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on February 20-21/2023
Can America Prosper Without War?
Mark Hannah/The New York Times/February 20/2023
Without a fresh vision for America’s role in the world, many people in Washington link today’s geopolitical challenges with those of yesteryear.
China is cast as the new Soviet Union, and its high-tech military advances threaten a potential Sputnik moment. The ominously named Committee on the Present Danger, which stoked public support for military spending during the Cold War, was revived with its sights set on China. In support of Ukraine, America’s stockpile of missiles and rockets dwindles, spurring calls for the United States to once again “become the arsenal of democracy” and “bolster the defenses of the free and open liberal order.” Vladimir Putin is viewed archetypally as a lethal combination of an old K.G.B. spy and a ruthless Soviet leader.
Evoking America’s titanic struggles against fascism and communism can be rhetorically useful. It conjures an era remembered for its economic dynamism, its unity of purpose, its spirit of patriotism.
Yet simplistic renderings of the past tend to romanticize the effects of war on American society. These gauzy memories are as dangerous as they are perverse. War becomes a solution to America’s economic and political problems rather than what it truly is: a key contributor.
The hawkish instincts of American leaders only exacerbate standoffs and risk worsening the country’s war addiction. Tensions with China over Taiwan and spy balloons continue to escalate. The war in Ukraine is stretching into its second year, with no end in sight. Yet given his awareness of the limitations of American military might, President Biden has only cautiously ratcheted up support for Ukraine and has been measured in his approach to China compared with his predecessor. He also cut America’s losses by ending the doomed nation-building campaign in Afghanistan.
That hasn’t muted Washington’s Greek chorus of foreign policy functionaries who cry out for a new Cold War with China, further escalation of what’s become a proxy war with Russia and a return to maximum pressure on Iran.
Behind a mind-set that invites the burden of policing a rules-based global order is a conventional assumption: War, though tragic, is a boon for economic vitality and patriotic vigor. This assumption is at best outmoded. The economy is no longer fueled by wartime industries in the same way. When wars are fought by a smaller corps of volunteers and financed by borrowing from financial institutions and foreign governments more than taxes and war bonds, a public spirit of common cause hasn’t materialized. In fact, America’s most recent military misadventures contributed to the steady accumulation of more than $30 trillion in debt — now being weaponized by partisans in Congress for political gain.
After Russia invaded Ukraine, Elliott Abrams, who led Middle East policy in the Bush administration and Iran and Venezuela policy in the Trump administration, insisted that the United States should seize the “new Cold War” opportunity to foster bipartisan consensus.
Bipartisanship sounds appealing. But unanimous war talk isn’t what America needs or what will help it thrive — and indeed, dissent is most valuable when the stakes are reaching geopolitical crisis levels. Unity is not uniformity, and principled opposition is what separates our bottom-up democracy from their top-down autocracies.
The mythologized connection between war and civic unity falls apart under scrutiny. In his Pulitzer Prize-winning book, “The End of the Myth,” Greg Grandin chronicled how, after the Civil War, northern and southern soldiers were sent together to the western frontier to pacify Native American tribes.
These military campaigns against Indigenous people were viewed in part as a way to reintegrate former Confederates into the U.S. Army and were cast as a “rehabilitation program” for the South. The Spanish-American War and World War I were also sold, to some extent, as a way to unite North and South. But none of these wars prevented the divisions that have endured from the Civil War and Jim Crow through to today’s debates about Confederate monuments and flags. Did the Second World War allow America to realize its full economic potential and escape the Great Depression? Did the Cold War struggle against a common communist threat produce a period of unity and technological progress? While there is some truth to this nostalgia, it overlooks uncomfortable realities. America’s entry into World War II was motivated primarily by vengeance, not a widespread desire to save the free world. The war helped industrialize the country but also left many Americans in a state of deprivation. Popular myths about Cold War social harmony conveniently leave out the traumas of racial segregation and red scares. And the civic unity felt by Americans after 9/11 did not survive the calamitous wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
The 1990s provide a vivid illustration of how prosperity and political compromise can flourish when we shed a false sense of national insecurity and the militant global posture which often accompanies it. American participation in major conflicts was limited, and the Clinton administration’s primary foreign policy goal was to promote trade.
Defense contractors might argue military spending creates commercial activity and jobs (conveniently distributed across key congressional districts). After decades of overly militarized foreign policy, Americans should be wary of using the defense budget to contribute to economic growth. Younger generations don’t see the need to trade peace for prosperity: A recent survey by my organization shows a majority of American adults under the age of 30 support a smaller defense budget.
At a moment when American democracy seems vulnerable and economic waters are rough, it’s understandable some might look for inspiration in the Pax Americana, however apocryphal. It’s also understandable that, without novel ways of understanding this new era of international politics, policymakers are liable to fall back on old ways. That is, they might slip back into the habit of minimizing the costs and exaggerating the benefits of armed conflict.
But the notion that a war footing can remedy democratic backsliding and economic stagnation is backward: Our democracy is threatened and our wealth is wasted because unwise wars have expended public trust and resources that might have been used productively at home rather than so destructively abroad.

The Earthquake Factory

Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al-Awsat/February 20/2023
We were watching the earthquake on screens. The scenes were heart-breaking. Villages were crushed as if they never existed. The buildings killed their occupants. Distress calls from under the rubble tried to beat time but were often beaten. Time was long and difficult for those who observed the rubble from the outside. It was deadly for those who were captured in its grip.
Deaths were soaring. Tens of thousands of families are wringing out their remaining tears. How hard it is for the children to be betrayed by their own home. How painful it is to see your sanctuary become your grave… your shelter become your dreadful enemy…
Buildings became scattered. Balconies and windows were no more. Houses formed a terrifying pile, crushing the flesh of those who thought were being protected.
The earthquake took centerstage during the conversation with the Iraqi politician. He was confident that the scenes would shake the conscience of the world, which would not be late in extending a helping hand. It’s not the time to express reservations or settle accounts. The horror of the catastrophe demands the utmost solidarity. He was right in his assessment, as countries near and far rushed to assume their humanitarian responsibilities.
He said that we were the people of a region that resides on a faultline, and that from time to time, nature committed such terrible crimes. As if this part of the world needed more cemeteries and more refugees! He noted that this monstrous earthquake was less terrifying than the earthquakes that struck the region due to seismic policies.
He asked me: Don’t you think that the number of victims, no matter how high, will be less than those killed by the earthquake that struck Lebanon, starting from 1975? I do not underestimate the horror of what is happening. Do you recall the earthquake caused by the Iraq-Iran war? It lasted eight years and produced a river of dead and injured and we are still paying those bills today.
The Iraqi politician started counting the upheavals: Did you forget that we are approaching the twentieth anniversary of the American invasion of Iraq? It is an earthquake with persisting aftershocks, not only in Iraq, but also in the maps that pay the price for the imbalance caused by the invasion of this part of the world.
Between these two upheavals, we find the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, which placed the region on the edge of a cliff. Moreover, we cannot forget the Israeli invasion of Beirut in 1982 and its occupation of an Arab capital.
The Iraqi politician said it was painful to see the Lebanese capital, which had resisted the Israeli military machine, to be later killed by its own sons or at least some of them.
This century has been full of earthquakes. The uprooting of Saddam Hussein’s regime, and less than a decade later, the overthrow of Moammar al-Gaddafi that turned into a violent tremor with ongoing aftershocks. The assassination of President Ali Abdullah Saleh put Yemen on the faultline. Luckily, Egypt succeeded in averting the great earthquake that threatened to destroy its identity and shed its blood.
The Palestinian areas in the West Bank and Gaza endure successive bloody cycles, and they will continue to do so unless the Israeli public opinion accepts that the earthquake will not come from the Palestinian state, but rather from the continued failure to establish it.
Somalia, meanwhile, slipped into chaos and has not regained stability.
Is it possible to make a comparison between the victims of the Turkish-Syrian earthquake and those of the wide-open Ukrainian disaster?
The politician said that natural earthquakes were impossible to prevent, but their horrors can be mitigated. He pointed to the need to commit to seismic building codes, which are applied by other countries, such as Japan. He emphasized the importance of promptly addressing the problem of slums and towns, where some buildings are collapsing even without earthquakes.
He talked about confronting the monster of corruption that exploits the funds allocated to the construction sector and gambles with people’s lives without fearing accountability.
If nature cannot be prevented from committing its crimes, let us at least try to thwart the earthquakes that the people of the region unleash on other people’s maps or on their own land. The politician believed that the residents of the region do not have the right to continue to swallow the poison in a world that is witnessing successive technological revolutions and is preparing to surrender its future to artificial intelligence.
He said the first step begins with the ethnic, religious and sectarian groups taking a firm decision to coexist and give up the illusion of imposing a uniform or a dominant color on the maps of others… He stressed the need to refrain from violating international borders under any pretext or slogans that hide imperial appetites lurking under the rubble… He highlighted the need for a firm decision to catch up with the progress in education and health, fight poverty, provide job opportunities, improve people’s lives, and combat drought, desertification and environmental degradation.
The speaker realized that I saw in him a dreamer in a region addicted to earthquakes and the art of not learning lessons.
He underlined the impossibility of forging ahead towards the future while corruption continued to hold sway and with false elections that are influenced by fanaticism, money, militias, explosives and drones.
The future can only be reached through the state, through a government that combines integrity, efficiency and institutions that are worthy of the name.
The Middle East remaining an earthquake factory is a severe punishment for its people. Add to that the injustice of nature. The cruelty of the earth is seasonal, but the harshness of the earthquake factory is continuous.
It is essential to get rid of the culture of darkness, vengeance, victory, oppression and the assassination of rights and roles. We must recognize the other, their right to be different and to choose their own path.
Only the values of justice, progress and dignity can help in shutting down the bomb factory, which was founded by a thorny history in a treacherous region of the world. But who will open all these windows to a new Middle East? Who will dry all these tears?

The Newswashing of ISIS Bride Shamima Begum
Uzay Bulut/Gatestone Institute./February 20, 2023
ISIS brides were complicit in ISIS's genocide and crimes against humanity. Never mind that hostages were hung upside down and then burned alive, or locked in cages then lowered into water to drown, or crucified for hours "like Jesus;" or that children were crucified or sold as sex slaves; or that countless others were tortured, raped or lined up to have their throats slit.
The Free Yezidi Foundation recently wrote of ISIS and Begum: "Not only terror death cult, but mass-rape genocidal organization. The decision to join was hers. Her actions contributed to unspeakable acts of brutality, which she would have continued had ISIS, Daesh not been militarily defeated."
"Ms. Begum, for example, claimed that she was only a housewife and did not participate in any heinous crimes or violation of human rights as an ISIS member. Some portrayed her as an innocent schoolgirl who was brainwashed, uninformed, and simply wanted to return home to Britain.... evidence now suggests that she was in fact a member of the ISIS 'morality police, a group of ISIS women which was an integral part of ISIS' terror and atrocity apparatus, and was armed with an automatic weapon on her patrols. The crimes allegedly committed by the morality police include major human rights offenses, including support to ISIS' slave trade of Yezidis." — Free Yezidi Foundation, September 19, 2019.
"'Why are the BBC giving Shamima Begum more airtime?': 'Sickened' viewers slam broadcaster for airing 90-minute documentary that 'parades ISIS bride as a celebrity' just weeks after it launched 10-part podcast 'retracing her steps'. — The Daily Mail, February 18, 2023.
"What we Yazidis expect from the international community is support and solidarity, not digging into our wounds. ISIS criminals must face justice for what they have done and practiced. We expect the West to hold ISIS accountable in court rather than putting them on the cover of their magazine. Such stories are particularly difficult for us as Yazidis because these ISIS women tortured and abused Yazidi women while they were in ISIS's captivity." — Activist for Yazidi rights who lives in Iraq, to Gatestone, February 2023.
The question is: Why are some big Western media corporations obviously siding with a genocidal terror group and not with its innocent victims?
"I think this is a slap in the face of all those who suffered in the hands of terrorism, not just ISIS but other death cults such as Boko Haram. This is a spit in the face of all those whose loved ones were murdered, and I do not mean only Yazidis, Assyrians or Nigerians, but all the innocent Westerners who perished to Islamic terrorism such as in France, the UK, the US and elsewhere. Media has utterly lost its moral values." — Juliana Taimoorazy, founding president, Iraqi Christian Relief Council, to Gatestone, February 2023.
Many in the Western media are portraying Shamima Begum, a former "ISIS bride," not only as a victim but as a celebrity. ISIS brides were complicit in ISIS's genocide and crimes against humanity. ISIS murdered thousands of people, and forcibly displaced hundreds of thousands, especially from non-Muslim communities, including Yazidis and Christians. Pictured: Yazidis in a camp for internally displaced persons (IDP) in the Sharya area of the autonomous Iraqi Kurdistan region, on January 17, 2023. (Photo by Safin Hamed/AFP via Getty Images)
While around 3,000 Yazidi children and women are still being held captive at the hands of the Islamic State (ISIS) terrorist organization, many in the Western media are portraying a former "ISIS bride" not only as a victim but as a celebrity.
The ISIS bride in question Shamima Begum, a British citizen who left the UK to join ISIS in Syria in 2015, and was later stripped of her British citizenship. Begum was chosen by The Times Magazine in the UK to lionize on February 4, both on its cover and in an eight-page feature. She is now part of a glamorized "newswashing" campaign to help get her British citizenship back.
The UK's Special Immigration Appeals Tribunal is scheduled to rule this week on Begum's appeal against being stripped of her citizenship.
ISIS brides were complicit in ISIS's genocide and crimes against humanity. Never mind that hostages were hung upside down and then burned alive, or locked in cages then lowered into water to drown, or crucified for hours "like Jesus;" or that children were crucified or sold as sex slaves; or that countless others were tortured, raped or lined up to have their throats slit. Never mind the beheadings of journalists such as James Foley or Steven Sotloff, or the Syrian scholar Khaled al-Asaad, 82, who was tortured for a month, then beheaded because he refused to turn over Palmyra's priceless antiquities to ISIS. The list goes on....
The Free Yezidi Foundation recently wrote of ISIS and Begum:
"Not only terror death cult, but mass-rape genocidal organization. The decision to join was hers. Her actions contributed to unspeakable acts of brutality, which she would have continued had ISIS, Daesh not been militarily defeated."
At its height, ISIS held about a third of Syria's territory and 40% of Iraq's. On June 29, 2014, ISIS leader Abu Bakr al Baghdadi announced the formation of a caliphate stretching from Aleppo in Syria to Diyala in Iraq. Wherever ISIS invaded, they brought unspeakable death and destruction, especially to non-Muslim communities, including Yazidis and Christians.
ISIS murdered thousands, and forcibly displaced hundreds of thousands. ISIS also systematically committed crimes such as forced conversions, hostage taking, rapes of children and women, sexual slavery, theft, destruction, smuggling, disappearances and recruitment of boys as child soldiers. Their methods of violence not only included beheadings and crucifixions, but also mutilations, dismemberment, stoning and forcing hostages to kneel on explosives. Countless people became refugees and remain displaced due to the ISIS genocide.
By December 2017, ISIS had lost 95% of its territory, including its two biggest centers: Mosul, Iraq's second-largest city, and the Syrian city of Raqqa, its nominal capital.
Since March 2019, when ISIS was ousted from the last of the territory it had seized and since the fall of their caliphate, many ISIS terrorists (some of whom are citizens of Western nations) have been trying to return to their home countries.
The European Network for Investigation and Prosecution of Genocide, Crimes Against Humanity and War Crimes (the "Genocide Network") noted in a 2020 report:
"ISIS, which has been classified as a terrorist organization, perpetrated horrific acts of violence in armed conflicts in Northern Iraq and Syria. The issue of investigating and prosecuting its members and foreign terrorist fighters returning to their countries of origin led most EU Member States to focus on preventing and punishing terrorism-related offenses. However, ISIS should not only be considered as a terrorist organization. ISIS has fulfilled criteria according to International Humanitarian Law as a party to a non-international armed conflict in Iraq and Syria acting as an organized non-state armed group. Therefore, its members and foreign terrorist fighters could be responsible for committing war crimes and other core international crimes." [Emphasis added.]
The BBC is another media outlet that seems to have an obsessive fascination for Begum, producing both a film and podcast series regarding the former ISIS member's so-called journey to Syria. The broadcaster announced on July 11, 2022:
"The BBC has today announced a landmark documentary for BBC Two and BBC iPlayer and a 10-part audio series for Radio 5 Live and BBC Sounds, on the story of Shamima Begum. The podcast comes from the team behind the multi award-winning I'm Not A Monster, the BBC's most awarded podcast series."
Instead of focusing on the genocidal crimes ISIS committed against its victims and interviewing the victims directly, the BBC's series and documentary largely deal with a glossy portrait of why and how Begum joined ISIS and her subsequent life there.
BBC viewers forthrightly responded, according to The Daily Mail on February 8:
"'Why are the BBC giving Shamima Begum more airtime?': 'Sickened' viewers slam broadcaster for airing 90-minute documentary that 'parades ISIS bride as a celebrity' just weeks after it launched 10-part podcast 'retracing her steps'.
"Viewers have vowed to cancel their television licenses as they slammed last night's 'sickening' 90-minute Shamima Begum documentary on the BBC."
The Free Yezidi Foundation reported in 2019:
"Female members of the Islamic State (IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh) have actively engaged in terrorist activity and gross human rights violations, and in many cases seek to manipulate lack of evidence, lack of independent verification, or other means to plead for sympathy in the court of law and the court of public opinion to avoid accountability. Most importantly, individuals who joined the terrorist and genocidal organization must not be allowed to reshape the narrative in an effort to downplay or avoid their own agency and responsibility for the horrors they have inflicted or facilitated.
"Female members of ISIS are often perceived as being passive, naïve, or even as victims. This is a dangerous and wildly inaccurate characterization. The Netherlands Ministry of the Interior publication, 'Jihadist women, a threat not to be underestimated,' states:
"'The role that these jihadist women play within the jihadist movement should not be underestimated. In many cases, jihadist women are at least as dedicated to jihadism as men. They pose a threat to the Netherlands by recruiting others, producing and disseminating propaganda, and raising funds. Moreover, they indoctrinate their children with jihadist ideology. Women form an essential part of the jihadist movement, both in the Netherlands and in the conflict area in Syria and Iraq.'
"The behavior and actions of female ISIS members has been a subject of legitimate legal and policy debate as well as morbid fascination. This has been seen in the cases of the United Kingdom's Shamima Begum, the American Hoda Mothana, and other such cases. When citizens of foreign countries joined ISIS and have either surrendered or fled from ISIS, serious debate over international law has arisen. The fact that the alleged crimes occurred abroad do present genuine challenges for security and justice officials in terms of the collection of evidence and the construction of solid, prosecutable cases. For the Yezidi community, it is important that the crimes committed by ISIS, including those allegedly committed by ISIS women, must not be forgotten...
"Ms. Begum, for example, claimed that she was only a housewife and did not participate in any heinous crimes or violation of human rights as an ISIS member. Some portrayed her as an innocent schoolgirl who was brainwashed, uninformed, and simply wanted to return home to Britain. Some human rights proponents, politicians, and other commentators challenged the comparison of Ms. Begum to ISIS fighters. However, evidence now suggests that she was in fact a member of the ISIS 'morality police, a group of ISIS women which was an integral part of ISIS' terror and atrocity apparatus, and was armed with an automatic weapon on her patrols. The crimes allegedly committed by the morality police include major human rights offenses, including support to ISIS' slave trade of Yezidis.
"Two essential points: first, reports from Yezidi survivors suggest that female members of ISIS were accepting of ISIS enslavement and abuse towards Yezidis; and second, ISIS women were more complicit in the commission of mass rape, human trafficking, crimes against humanity and genocide than they claim, and with greater agency."
On February 5, one day after The Times Magazine released its issue featuring Begum, news came out that two Yazidi children, aged two and four, were reportedly killed after a fire swept through a camp for "internally displaced persons" (IDP) in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. The reason Yazidis are still living in IDP camps is because Begum's organization, ISIS, largely destroyed the Yazidi homeland of Sinjar in Iraq.
When ISIS invaded Sinjar in 2014, they murdered or kidnapped around 10,000 Yazidis, according to the book The Last Yezidi Genocide by Amy L Beam. More than 83 Yazidi mass graves have since been discovered in Sinjar. Hundreds of thousands of Yazidis had to flee and become IDPs or refugees. Almost nine years later, much of Sinjar remains in rubble, making it difficult for Yazidis to return. As a result, approximately 180,000 Yazidis remain internally displaced, mostly spread across 15 IDP camps in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
According to the Free Yezidi Foundation, ISIS abducted, raped and enslaved 6,417 Yazidi women and children. Today, more than 2,693 Yazidis remain missing. In 2021, a UN team investigating ISIS atrocities in Iraq established "clear and convincing evidence" of genocide against the Yazidi people. Germany's lower house of parliament, the Bundestag, on January 19, 2023 recognized the 2014 massacre of Yazidis by ISIS in Iraq as a "genocide," and called for measures to assist the persecuted minority.
An activist for Yazidi rights who lives in Iraq shared his opinions with Gatestone on the condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation. He said he was in Sinjar during the ISIS invasion in 2014:
"What we Yazidis expect from the international community is support and solidarity, not digging into our wounds. ISIS criminals must face justice for what they have done and practiced. We expect the West to hold ISIS accountable in court rather than putting them on the cover of their magazine. Such stories are particularly difficult for us as Yazidis because these ISIS women tortured and abused Yazidi women while they were in ISIS's captivity."
ISIS also devastated Christian communities in Iraq and Syria. At a 2015 hearing before the Committee on Foreign Affairs of the US House of Representatives, Sister Diana Momeka, of the Dominican Sisters of Saint Catherine of Siena, in Mosul, Iraq, described ISIS's war on religious minorities:
"On June 10th, 2014, the so-called Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, or ISIS, invaded the Nineveh Plain which is where Qaraqosh is located. Starting with the city of Mosul, ISIS overran one city and town after another giving the Christians of the region three choices: Convert to Islam; pay a tribute, a jizya, to ISIS; leave their city, cities like Mosul, with nothing more than the clothes on their back. As this horror spread throughout the Nineveh Plain, by August 6, 2014, Nineveh was empty of Christians, and sadly, for the first time since the seventh century A.D., no church bells rang for mass in the Nineveh Plain.
"From June 2014 forward, more than 120,000 people found themselves displaced and homeless in the Kurdistan region of Iraq leaving behind their heritage and all they had worked for over the centuries. This uprooting, this theft of everything that the Christians owned, displaced them body and soul, stripping away their humanity and dignity."
The violence of ISIS was not limited to Iraq and Syria. ISIS expanded into a global network, which has carried out attacks beyond the borders of its now-destroyed caliphate. On November 13, 2015, for instance, 130 people were murdered and more than 300 injured in a series of coordinated attacks in Paris, France. And in June 2016, a terrorist who pledged allegiance to ISIS murdered 49 people at a gay nightclub in Orlando, Florida.
The question is: Why are some big Western media corporations obviously siding with a genocidal terror group and not with its innocent victims?
Other advocates for survivors of Islamist terrorism have also denounced the manner some Western media portray ISIS members. Juliana Taimoorazy, the founding president of the Iraqi Christian Relief Council, has been helping survivors of Islamist terrorism, including ISIS, since 2007. She told Gatestone:
"I think this is a slap in the face of all those who suffered in the hands of terrorism, not just ISIS but other death cults such as Boko Haram. This is a spit in the face of all those whose loved ones were murdered, and I do not mean only Yazidis, Assyrians or Nigerians, but all the innocent Westerners who perished to Islamic terrorism such as in France, the UK, the US and elsewhere. Media has utterly lost its moral values. What is sadder, to me is that we, as a society, have become desensitized to things that were once outrageous. We are beat to accept and not speak up or take serious action against what is unjust."
*Uzay Bulut, a Turkish journalist, is a Distinguished Senior Fellow at the Gatestone Institute. She is also a research fellow for the Philos Project.
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