English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For April 29/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
Lord, to whom can we go? You have the words of eternal life. We
have come to believe and know that you are the Holy One of God
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint
John 06/60-71/:”When many of his disciples heard it, they said, ‘This teaching
is difficult; who can accept it?’But Jesus, being aware that his disciples were
complaining about it, said to them, ‘Does this offend you? Then what if you were
to see the Son of Man ascending to where he was before? It is the spirit that
gives life; the flesh is useless. The words that I have spoken to you are spirit
and life. But among you there are some who do not believe.’ For Jesus knew from
the first who were the ones that did not believe, and who was the one that would
betray him. And he said, ‘For this reason I have told you that no one can come
to me unless it is granted by the Father.’Because of this many of his disciples
turned back and no longer went about with him. So Jesus asked the twelve, ‘Do
you also wish to go away?’Simon Peter answered him, ‘Lord, to whom can we go?
You have the words of eternal life. We have come to believe and know that you
are the Holy One of God.’ Jesus answered them, ‘Did I not choose you, the
twelve? Yet one of you is a devil.’He was speaking of Judas son of Simon
Iscariot, for he, though one of the twelve, was going to betray him.”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on April 28-29/2023
Franjieh's chances: Good signs from France, KSA, despite 'local tension'
Iranian-Saudi dialogue has positive effects on the region, Lebanon: Abdollahian
Iran affirms support for Lebanon during Foreign Minister's visit
Iran FM visit not expected to lead to presidential breakthrough
Abdollahian 'dismayed' by embassy meeting boycott, says Iran has no candidate
Nasrallah meets Abdollahian
Abdollahian: Iran has not and will not interfere in Lebanese presidential
election
Iran affirms support for Lebanon during Foreign Minister's visit
Iranian-Saudi dialogue has positive effects on the region, Lebanon: Abdollahian
In Lebanon, Iran FM visits Israel border, extolls Hezbollah
Iran Supports Any Agreement Between Lebanese Parties to Elect New President
Syrian Social Nationalist Party in Lebanon Expels Hardan
EU team questions Salameh's aide for second day
Producing millions of bottles yearly, Lebanese wine becomes Lebanon's ambassador
around the world
Fueling corruption: How gas stations profit by manipulating exchange rates
Amnesty International urges Lebanon to halt forced deportation of Syrian
refugees
Opposition, Change MPs appeal against municipalities' term extension law
Bou Saab holds 'necessary and important' meeting with Raad
Berri meets Special Envoy of Chinese Government on Middle East Issue, broaches
situation with Egyptian Ambassador, discusses security situation with...
Aoun, Bassil visit Jezzine on Sunday
Syrians in Lebanon Fear Deportation
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on April 28-29/2023
Heavy battles in Sudan despite latest truce
Iran Arrests Participants of a Conference Calling for Referendum
US Sanctions Russia, Iran Entities for Detaining Americans
Russia's Putin signs decree introducing life sentences for treason
Russia's economy is facing a record worker shortage amid losses in Ukraine and
mass exodus
After a year of heavy losses, Ukraine's military is juggling a 'very uneven'
force as it prepares for major fighting, expert says
Russia says US-South Korea nuclear deal could destabilise region
Putin will be arrested if he visits, says South African opposition leader
Russia paves way for deportations from annexed Ukrainian regions
Iranian president to visit Syria next week - senior source
Russia's Iranian-made drones are powered by German technology stolen 17 years
ago, experts say
UN experts defend Crimean Tatars under Russian occupation
Israeli forces say militant held in raid in West Bank city of Jenin
Palestinians: Israeli forces shoot, kill teen in West Bank
OIC Displeased with Europe’s Congratulatory Message Marking Israel’s
‘Independence'
Armenia and Azerbaijan to hold peace settlement talks soon - TASS
Syrian Pound Sets New Low, Gov. Unable to Find Solution
China is pushing ahead with a planned military base in the UAE in a clear snub
to the US, leaked papers say
Tarek Fatah, Rest in Peace
Pope Francis arrives in Hungary for three-day visit
Titles For
The Latest
English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on April 28-29/2023
Question: “What is a Christian worldview?”/GotQuestions.org?/April 28/2023
Christians: The Victims That Must Never Be Named/Raymond Ibrahim/April 28/2023
How the West Is Helping Train China's Military/Robert Williams/Gatestone
Institute./April 28, 2023
Iran and Its Culture War/Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/April 28/2023
If the Sudanese Had the Means to Escape/Elias Harfoush/Asharq Al-Awsat/April
28/2023
Now is not the time for the world to abandon Khartoum/Hervé de Charette/Arab
News/April 28/2023
Local solutions should come first in Syria/Dr. Dania Koleilat Khatib/Arab
News/April 28/2023
Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on April 28-29/2023
Franjieh's chances: Good signs from France, KSA, despite 'local tension'
Naharnet/Fri, April 28, 2023
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri said he is not expecting the worst, and that his
words were misinterpreted when he said he only sees negativity. "I am neither
pessimistic nor optimistic," Berri told al-Liwaa, in remarks published Friday.
He added that the foreign indications are positive concerning the election of
Marada leader Suleiman Franjieh. "But the domestic ambiance is tensed and not
promising," Berri said. "And this is why we are counting on the foreign drive,"
he went on to say. He accused "those who have refused dialogue" and who are
"threatening of not securing quorum" for the presidential vote of driving the
country to where it is now. The Free Patriotic Movement and the Lebanese Forces
had refused Berri's call for a "national dialogue" and the LF, Kataeb, and
Tajaddod blocs said they wouldn't attend a session that would elect the Shiite
Duo's candidate. The Speaker said he is waiting for practical and tangible steps
that would put the positive atmosphere into practice, adding that he still has
hope that the FPM would accept Franjieh, and that he and Progressive Socialist
Party leader Walid Jumblat have no disagreements.
Iranian-Saudi dialogue has positive effects on the
region, Lebanon: Abdollahian
LBCI/Fri, April 28, 2023
Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian stated on Friday, at the end
of his visit to Lebanon, that it is natural for the dialogue between Iran and
Saudi Arabia to have positive effects on the region and Lebanon.
He also stressed that the influential Lebanese political forces have the ability
and necessary competence to complete the political process and choose a
president for the republic.
Iran affirms support for Lebanon during Foreign
Minister's visit
LBCI/Fri, April 28, 2023
Iranian Foreign Minister Hussein Amir-Abdollahian's second visit to Lebanon in
three months has caught the attention of many. During this trip, Abdollahian met
with a group of Lebanese MPs at the Iranian Embassy to hear their opinions and
comments. However, his main meeting was, of course, with the leader of
Hezbollah. In this context, sources told LBCI that Abdollahian's meeting with
Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah touched upon three key points.
First, Abdollahian tackled with Nasrallah the Saudi-Iranian agreement,
particularly regarding Iran's repositioning in Syria and how this will impact
Lebanon positively, according to the Iranian side. Second, they discussed the
upcoming quadrilateral agreement involving Iran, Syria, Russia, and Turkey, and
its implications for Syria's relationship with its surroundings, particularly
Turkey, and Iran's stance on the matter. Lastly, the discussion turned to the
Lebanese presidential election and the need to elect a president as soon as
possible. The Iranian minister reiterated his country's position that the
presidential vacuum harms everyone, but this time, the Iranian side emphasized
the need to choose the appropriate timing for the election to activate and
strengthen the process. According to the Iranian Foreign Minister, it should be
next month. During his first visit after the Saudi-Iranian agreement, the
Iranian Foreign Minister tried to say that Iran had become a competitor and even
a fundamental partner in the Lebanese arena, just like Saudi Arabia, the United
States, France, and others. However, the goal is not to interfere in Lebanon's
internal affairs but to affirm that Iran stands by Lebanon and is ready to
assist in any matter.
Iran FM visit not expected to lead to presidential
breakthrough
Naharnet/Fri, April 28, 2023
Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian’s visit to Lebanon is not
expected to lead to “any positive development that might persuade Hezbollah to
give up (Suleiman) Franjieh’s nomination” in the next two months, political
sources informed on the visit said. Following their recent reconciliation
agreement, Iran and Saudi Arabia will seek to “end the Yemeni war, lay out the
basic foundations for resolving the Iraqi file and restore the Arab-Syrian
relations,” the sources told the al-Anbaa news portal of the Progressive
Socialist Party. “Lebanon’s turn will come in the last phase of the agreement,”
the sources added.
Abdollahian 'dismayed' by embassy meeting boycott, says Iran has no candidate
Naharnet/Fri, April 28, 2023
Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein-Amir Abdollahian was dismayed Thursday by the
Lebanese opposition’s boycott of a meeting that he called for at the Iranian
embassy in Beirut, media reports said.
The embassy had invited all parliamentary blocs to the meeting except for the
Lebanese Forces, MP Michel Mouawad and nine members of the Change bloc. Iran
blames the LF for the abduction of four Iranian diplomats at a checkpoint in
Lebanon during the 1982 Israeli invasion of the country. Mouawad was meanwhile
excluded from the invitations seeing as he is a presidential candidate, Asharq
al-Awsat newspaper reported. As for the Change bloc, the embassy had only
invited the MPs Melhem Khalaf, Yassine Yassine and Elias Jradi. The three of
them did not show up. “The embassy excluded their colleagues whom Hezbollah
labels as hawks who are opposed to Iran’s policies and role in Lebanon,” the
daily said. The Kataeb Party, the National Liberal Party and a number of
independent MPs had declared their boycott of the meeting. Only 16 out of 25
invited MPs meanwhile attended the meeting, the vast majority of them from the
Hezbollah-led camp. MP Bilal Abdallah of the Democratic Gathering was among
those who attended the meeting. According to Asharq al-Awsat, Abdallah called
for “benefitting from the positive atmosphere created by the Saudi-Iranian
agreement in order to elect a president.” He also refused “using Lebanon in the
regional conflicts or turning it into a platform for harming any country,
especially the Gulf countries.”“It’s about time for a defense strategy to be
devised,” Abdallah said during the meeting, calling on Abdollahian to “mediate
with Syria to repatriate the refugees, because their presence in Lebanon has
become costly at the financial and security levels.”Abdollahian for his part
talked about the Iranian-Saudi agreement and its impact on regional stability,
stressing that his country “wants Lebanon to reach the safety shore” and
lamenting that the Ceasar Act is preventing it from offering aid.As for the
presidential file, the sources told the daily that the Iranian FM “did not at
all mention the name of (Marada Movement chief Suleiman) Franjieh.”He instead
emphasized that his country “does not have a candidate” and that it would
support “what the Lebanese would agree on,” the sources added.
Nasrallah meets Abdollahian
Naharnet/Fri, April 28, 2023
Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah met Friday with Iranian Foreign
Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian to discuss the latest developments in the
region. The talks stressed on the Iranian-Saudi agreement and its repercussions
on the region, as well as the latest developments in Lebanon and Palestine, the
National News Agency said. Abdollahian had arrived Wednesday in Lebanon and met
Thursday with caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati, Parliament Speaker Nabih
Berri and representative of several parliamentary blocs.
Abdollahian: Iran has not and will not interfere in
Lebanese presidential election
LBCI/Fri, April 28, 2023
Iran's foreign minister, Hossein Amir Abdollahian, has revealed that an official
invitation has been extended to the Saudi foreign minister to visit Tehran.
Regarding Lebanon, he emphasized that Iran has not and will not interfere in the
Lebanese people's election of their president, and when they agree on any
person, Tehran will extend all its support. He also stated that the Lebanese
political forces have the necessary competence to choose a president for the
republic. "We support the election of a new president as well as the harmony and
consensus among the Lebanese, and we encourage the completion of the political
process through the recommendations that we give fraternally to our friends in
Lebanon. What we heard and saw during our meetings suggests optimism," he said
during a press conference. He added that the official meetings he held with
Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati and Speaker Nabih Berri, and Foreign
Minister Abdallah Bou Habib, focused on the prospects of bilateral relations
between the two countries and political developments regionally and
internationally. “Iran is keen on consensus and convergence between political
forces to elect a president for the republic,” he stressed. In response to a
question, he said that “it is natural that dialogue between Iran and Saudi
Arabia has positive effects on the region and Lebanon.”“We believe that
influential Lebanese political forces have the ability and necessary competence
to complete the political process and choose a president for the republic." "In
the past months, I heard a question from high-level officials in Lebanon asking
when Iranian-Saudi relations will return to their course to solve some issues in
Lebanon. Yesterday, I said that the Iranian-Saudi agreement has been reached,
but Lebanon has not yet elected a president for the republic," the Iranian envoy
added. Regarding the electricity dossier, Abdollahian pointed out that "the
negotiations we are conducting regarding bilateral cooperation between Iran and
Lebanon in the fields of gas, oil, and electricity are inclined to
development.”“The main problem facing Iranian-Lebanese cooperation in the
electricity sector is US pressures and the fear of those concerned about
sanctions," he stressed. "US sanctions are a failed policy, and under these
unjust sanctions, the Islamic Republic of Iran exports a lot of electricity,
especially to Iraq," he concluded by saying.
Iran affirms support for Lebanon during Foreign
Minister's visit
LBCI/Fri, April 28, 2023
Iranian Foreign Minister Hussein Amir-Abdollahian's second visit to Lebanon in
three months has caught the attention of many. During this trip, Abdollahian met
with a group of Lebanese MPs at the Iranian Embassy to hear their opinions and
comments. However, his main meeting was, of course, with the leader of
Hezbollah. In this context, sources told LBCI that Abdollahian's meeting with
Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah touched upon three key points.
First, Abdollahian tackled with Nasrallah the Saudi-Iranian agreement,
particularly regarding Iran's repositioning in Syria and how this will impact
Lebanon positively, according to the Iranian side. Second, they discussed the
upcoming quadrilateral agreement involving Iran, Syria, Russia, and Turkey, and
its implications for Syria's relationship with its surroundings, particularly
Turkey, and Iran's stance on the matter. Lastly, the discussion turned to the
Lebanese presidential election and the need to elect a president as soon as
possible. The Iranian minister reiterated his country's position that the
presidential vacuum harms everyone, but this time, the Iranian side emphasized
the need to choose the appropriate timing for the election to activate and
strengthen the process. According to the Iranian Foreign Minister, it should be
next month. During his first visit after the Saudi-Iranian agreement, the
Iranian Foreign Minister tried to say that Iran had become a competitor and even
a fundamental partner in the Lebanese arena, just like Saudi Arabia, the United
States, France, and others. However, the goal is not to interfere in Lebanon's
internal affairs but to affirm that Iran stands by Lebanon and is ready to
assist in any matter.
Iranian-Saudi dialogue has positive effects on the
region, Lebanon: Abdollahian
LBCI/Fri, April 28, 2023
Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian stated on Friday, at the end
of his visit to Lebanon, that it is natural for the dialogue between Iran and
Saudi Arabia to have positive effects on the region and Lebanon. He also
stressed that the influential Lebanese political forces have the ability and
necessary competence to complete the political process and choose a president
for the republic.
In Lebanon, Iran FM visits Israel border, extolls Hezbollah
BEIRUT (AP)/Fri, April 28, 2023
Iran’s top diplomat visited Lebanon’s border with Israel on Friday where he
expressed support for the Lebanese militant Hezbollah group in its struggle
against their common enemy: Israel. Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian
began his visit to Lebanon since Wednesday, meeting top officials and expressing
Tehran’s readiness to help build power stations in an effort to try to end the
Mediterranean country’s prevailing electricity crisis. Lebanon is in the throes
of the worst economic crisis in its modern history, rooted in decades of
corruption and mismanagement by the small nation’s ruling class. The crisis
erupted in October 2019 and has plunged three quarters of Lebanon’s 6 million
people, including 1 million Syrian refugees, into poverty. Amirabdollahian visit
to the border village of Maroun al-Ras came three weeks after Israel launched
rare strikes into southern Lebanon, hours after militants fired nearly three
dozen rockets from there at Israel, wounding two people and causing some
property damage. The Israeli military said at the time that it targeted
installations of the Palestinian militant Hamas group in southern Lebanon. Iran
is a main Hezbollah backer and has supplied the militant group over the past
decades with weapons and funds. “We are here today ... to declare again with a
loud voice that we support the resistance in Lebanon against the Zionist
entity,” Amirabdollahian told a gathering that included several Hezbollah
legislators. The Iranian diplomat's visit to Lebanon is the first since Iran and
Saudi Arabia reached an agreement in China last month to re-establish diplomatic
relations and reopen embassies after seven years of tensions. In neighboring
Syria, a pro-government newspaper reported that Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi
will begin a two-day visit to Damascus next Wednesday, the first by an Iranian
president to the Syrian capital since 2010. Iran has also been a main backer of
Syrian President Bashar Assad since the uprising that turned into war began in
Syria in March 2011, killing nearly half a million people. Tehran has sent
Iran-backed fighters from around the Middle East to fight alongside Assad’s
forces, helping tip the balance of power in his favor. The pro-government Al-Watan
said Raisi would meet with Assad to boost “strategic cooperation” between the
two allies. Several agreements and memorandums of understanding would also be
signed during the visit. Some oil-rich Arab countries, including Saudi Arabia,
have been slowly reconciling with Assad after supporting opposition fighters for
years.
Iran Supports Any Agreement Between Lebanese
Parties to Elect New President
Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 28 April, 2023
Iran’s Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian said on Thursday that his
country supports any agreement between Lebanese parties to elect a new
president. He made his remarks during a joint press conference with his Lebanese
counterpart Abdallah Bou Habib in Beirut where he is on an official visit until
Friday. Abdollahian also met with parliament Speaker Nabih Berri and caretaker
Prime Minister Najib Mikati. Discussions tackled the current situation in
Lebanon and the region, bilateral Lebanese-Iranian relations, and the recent
agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia to restore diplomatic ties.
Sources familiar with Abdollahian’s meetings told Asharq Al-Awsat that the FM
did not propose a specific initiative related to Lebanon’s presidential impasse.
The sources stressed that Iran’s position on the elections has not changed and
continues to align with those of its allies in Lebanon.
They denied reports that his visit aims to urge his allies to back down from
supporting the candidacy of head of the Marada Movement Suleiman Franjieh.
The sources said the FM’s meetings largely focused on the Saudi-Iranian
agreement and its impact on the region and Lebanon, in addition to Iran’s
readiness to support Lebanon in the electricity and energy sector.
After his meeting with Bou Habib, Abdollahian said: “Iran encourages all
Lebanese parties to hold the presidential elections as soon as possible.”
He added that Tehran backs supports any agreement between local parties to elect
a new president and called on other countries to respect Lebanon’s choice
without interfering in its internal affairs. For his part, Bou Habib said his
guest briefed him on the details of the Saudi-Iranian agreement and hoped the
deal will relect positively on Lebanon. “I am optimistic; every agreement
between neighboring countries is good for Lebanon,” he said.
Syrian Social Nationalist Party in Lebanon Expels Hardan
Asaad Hardan (Central News Agency)/Friday, 28 April, 2023
Head of the Syrian Social Nationalist Party (SSNP) in Lebanon, Rabih Banat,
issued a decision on Thursday expelling his predecessor, former MP Asaad Hardan,
from the party. In 2021, disputes broke out between SSNP rival branches over the
legitimacy of the party’s internal elections, which at the time led to the
victory of Banat. Hardan rejected the results, and the party became divided
between the known “Hardan wing” and the “Banat wing.”While the SSNP had
previously dismissed Hardan, the party announced Thursday an irreversible
decision to expel him. It also stripped Hardan of the status of Secretariat.
This came after supporters of the two rival SSNP branches engaged in armed
clashes over the weekend in the areas of Beit Shabab and Beit Mery. Reports said
the clashes erupted after Hardan's supporters stormed into the party’s offices
affiliated with Banat in Beit Shabab (Northern Metn). The army intervened and
worked to calm the situation. On Saturday, the SSNP said that “a party office
under renovation has been the subject of two ransacking and invasion attempts by
armed groups affiliated with a personality whose hands are stained with the
blood of the innocent and the money of the State Treasury.”The “Hardan wing”
responded to the Banat wing statement, describing it as “a childish
justification for criminal acts punishable by law.” It also said that the
decision has absolutely no value and is linked to the 2007 US economic sanctions
imposed on Hardan. In return, the Banat wing said it took the decision to expel
Hardan from the party after the former MP rebelled against the SSNP and
repeatedly committed constitutional and administrative violations.
EU team questions Salameh's aide for second
day
Associated Press/Friday, 28 April, 2023
A European judicial team pressed on with its corruption probe of Lebanon's
embattled Central Bank governor on Friday, questioning for a second day one of
his aides, Marianne Hoayek, and summoning his brother for another hearing next
week. The delegation from France, Germany, and Luxembourg is on its third visit
to Lebanon to interrogate suspects and witnesses in an ongoing investigation of
Gov. Riad Salameh and associates over several financial crimes and the
laundering of some $330 million. Salameh's associate, Marianne Hoayek, was
questioned for several hours on Friday and Thursday. The European team also
summoned Raja Salameh, the governor's brother, for questioning next Wednesday
after he did not show up at a session earlier this week, citing illness. Next
week, the team will question Lebanon's caretaker Finance Minister Youssef Khalil,
who was a close associated for Salameh for years. The three European governments
in March 2022 froze more than $130 million in assets linked to the
investigation. Last month, the European delegation questioned Riad Salameh about
the Central Bank's assets and investments outside Lebanon, a Paris apartment
owned by Salameh, and Forry Associates Ltd, a brokerage firm owned by his
brother. Raja Salameh is to appear before French prosecutors in mid-May.
Separately, France has questioned the chairman of Lebanon's AM Bank, Marwan
Kheireddine, on several charges, including money laundering. Reports in Lebanon
say the governor and his associates had used commercial banks to siphon off
public money. The 72-year-old governor has repeatedly denied all allegations
against him, insisting that his wealth comes from his previous job as an
investment banker for Merrill Lynch, inherited properties, and through
investments. Riad Salameh is also being investigated by Lebanese authorities. In
late February, Beirut's public prosecutor, Raja Hamoush, charged Salameh, his
brother and Hoayek with corruption, including embezzling public funds, forgery,
illicit enrichment, money-laundering and violation of tax laws.
Salameh — who has held his post for almost 30 years — was once hailed as the
guardian of Lebanon's financial stability. However, since Lebanon's economic
crisis erupted in 2019, many have criticized the governor, saying he
precipitated the meltdown. The crisis has plunged three-quarters of the
Mediterranean country's population of 6 million into poverty.
Producing millions of bottles yearly, Lebanese wine becomes Lebanon's ambassador
around the world
LBCI/Friday, 28 April, 2023
Lebanon produces more than 14 million bottles of wine annually. Because of its
high quality and specifications, Lebanese wine is destined to be Lebanon's
ambassador to the world. More than 9 million bottles of our annual production
are exported abroad to more than 40 countries, including European countries,
America, Brazil, and Australia, and soon it will enter the Chinese market.
And not only outside, but the wine market inside is also witnessing a commercial
tourism revival through wine tourism in all seasons. However, this sector,
although promising in terms of its high production and export rates abroad,
suffers from many challenges, including the prevention of fraud, the issuance of
specifications, and the absence of legislation on geographical designations. To
this end, a memorandum of understanding was signed between the National
Institute of Vine and Wine and the Lebanese Standards Institution. This step
took place within the activities of the Horeca exhibition, the largest forum
specialized in the field of hospitality, food, and beverages in Lebanon, during
which special spaces were allocated for Lebanese wine producers, in which they
displayed their finest products.
Fueling corruption: How gas stations profit by manipulating
exchange rates
LBCI/Friday, 28 April, 2023
If a gas station calculated 20 dollars based on an exchange rate of 95,000
Lebanese lira rather than 97,500, the station is therefore making an extra
profit of 44,000 Lebanese lira more than the government's price. The Ministry of
Energy determines the price of 20 liters in Lebanese lira and sets the exchange
rate. Therefore, gas stations are required to abide by this price to price the
tank in dollars. However, it is clear that some gas stations are not complying
with the price. Sources from gas station owners confirm that manipulation of the
exchange rate is often done by employees. At the end of the day, the station
owner collects the revenues from employers according to the liters meter on the
machine and the exchange rate set by the application. The Ministry of Energy has
confirmed that this practice is illegal and encouraged any citizen who observes
pricing violations to file a complaint with the Ministry of Economy through the
Consumer Protection Lebanon application or the hotline at 1739. In any case, it
is best to avoid all of this hassle and any manipulation of the exchange rate by
sticking to paying in Lebanese liras.
Amnesty International urges Lebanon to halt
forced deportation of Syrian refugees
LBCI/Friday, 28 April, 2023
Amnesty International has called on Lebanese authorities to immediately stop
forcibly deporting Syrian refugees back to Syria, citing the danger of torture
and persecution at the hands of the Syrian government upon their return. The
organization, founded 62 years ago in the UK, considers Lebanon's actions
towards displaced Syrians inhumane. However, the organization overlooked the
fact that Denmark, an important European country, announced about a month ago
that the governorates of Damascus, Rif Damascus, Latakia, and Tartous are safe
areas for Syrians to return to. The Danish Ministry of Immigration clarified to
LBCI that these areas are safe according to the Danish Immigration Authority's
classification, implying that they do not forcibly return Syrian refugees.
However, Copenhagen has stated that it has refused to extend residence and
asylum permits for around 160 Syrians since 2019 as part of its policy of
non-normalization. Thus, under the announcement of safe areas, Denmark
automatically says that every Syrian refugee from one of these areas must
return, meaning their residence permit will not be renewed. What Europeans find
acceptable for Denmark does not apply to Lebanon, and Denmark is allowed to
return thousands of refugees, and it is not inhumane. As for Lebanon, the
displaced make up half of its population, and it is prohibited from returning
any refugees.
Opposition, Change MPs appeal against municipalities' term extension law
Naharnet/Friday, 28 April, 2023
Kataeb, Tajaddod, and Change MPs filed Friday an appeal before the
Constitutional Council against the recent law that extended the municipalities'
term, a day after a delegation from the Lebanese Forces bloc appealed against
the law. Earlier this month, Parliament voted to extend the terms of local
officials, paving the way to postpone municipal elections for up to a year for a
second time. Lebanon’s municipal elections were originally slated for May last
year but were postponed for a year because they coincided with parliamentary
elections, which brought in a dozen reformist lawmakers running on
anti-establishment platforms. Opposition and reformist groups would likely
continue this momentum and win additional seats if local elections were held, as
living conditions across the country continue to deteriorate. They have called
for municipal elections to take place as planned in May, and most have boycotted
parliament’s session.
Bou Saab holds 'necessary and important' meeting with Raad
Naharnet/Friday, 28 April, 2023
Deputy Speaker Elias Bou Saab on Friday held a meeting with MP Mohammed Raad --
the head of Hezbollah’s Loyalty to Resistance parliamentary bloc. “The meeting
was necessary and important and aimed to evaluate the stage that we are going
through and to seek to find exits and common denominators among the
parliamentary blocs,” Bou Saab said after the talks. “The discussion’s main
topic was communication,” he added. “I sensed full openness toward any effort
that can take place with any of the parties,” Bou Saab went on to say.
Berri meets Special Envoy of Chinese
Government on Middle East Issue, broaches situation with Egyptian Ambassador,
discusses security situation with...
NNA/Friday, 28 April, 2023
House Speaker, Nabih Berri, on Friday received at the Second Presidency in Ain
Al-Tineh, Egyptian Ambassador to Lebanon, Dr. Yasser Alawi, with whom he
discussed the general situation, the latest political developments and the
bilateral relations between Lebanon and Egypt.
Speaker Berri also welcomed in Ain Al-Tineh the Special Envoy of the Chinese
Government on the Middle East Issue, Zhai Jun, who visited him with an
accompanying delegation, in the presence of Chinese Ambassador to Lebanon, Qian
Minjian. Discussions reportedly touched on the latest developments in Lebanon
and the region, and the bilateral relations between the Lebanese Republic and
the People's Republic of China. Berri then met with Caretaker Minister of
Interior and Municipalities, Judge Bassam Mawlawi, with whom he discussed the
security situation in the country.
On emerging, Minister Mawlawi said that he dwelt with the Speaker on an array of
matters, especially those related to the security and safety of the country and
the Lebanese, as well as the implementation of the law.
Aoun, Bassil visit Jezzine on Sunday
NNA/Friday, 28 April, 2023
Former President General Michel Aoun and the head of the Free Patriotic
Movement, MP Gebran Bassil, will pay a visit to Jezzine district on Sunday,
April 30, 2023. The visit will include:
. Participation in the mass at Saint Maroun Church in Jezzine at 10:30 am. . A
public rally at the "Khalil and Linda Slim Sports and Cultural Complex" in
Jezzine at 12:00 noon.
Syrians in Lebanon Fear Deportation
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 28 April, 2023
Samer and his family thought they had found safety in Lebanon after fleeing
Syria's war nearly a decade ago, but amid growing anti-refugee sentiment, Beirut
handed his brother to the Syrian army.
Syrians poured into Lebanon after civil war broke out in 2011, with Damascus's
brutal suppression of peaceful protests. With the regime now back in control of
most of the country, calls have intensified in crisis-hit Lebanon for Syrians to
go home, said AFP. Samer said Lebanon's army intelligence raided his brother's
apartment in a Beirut suburb last week, detaining him, his wife and children and
deporting them to Syria. Like others AFP spoke to, Samer preferred to use an
alias, citing security concerns. Syrian authorities released the wife and
children but arrested his brother, who together with Samer had taken part in
anti-government protests more than a decade ago.
He has not heard from him since.
"Our biggest fear is for him to disappear (in regime prisons), never to be heard
from again," said Samer, 26.
"We fear we will meet the same fate: deported to Syria, where we could be
arrested or disappeared."
Authorities say Lebanon currently hosts around two million Syrians, while more
than 800,000 are registered with the United Nations -- the highest number of
refugees per capita in the world.
Lebanon has long pushed for Syrians to return home, and has made several
repatriation efforts for Syrians that authorities describe as voluntary.
In recent weeks the army has intensified a crackdown on undocumented Syrians,
with some 450 arrested and at least 66 deported, a humanitarian source told AFP.
'Want a solution'
Lebanon has seen anti-Syrian sentiment soar recently as some officials seek to
blame refugees for the country's woes.
Lebanon has been in the throes of a devastating economic crisis since 2019 that
has plunged most of the population into poverty. The local currency has tanked,
while the World Bank has blamed authorities for misusing and misspending
people's deposits.
Social Affairs Minister Hector Hajjar recently claimed there were "dangerous
demographic changes" under way, warning: "We will become refugees in our own
country."
Some municipalities over the years have imposed restrictions on Syrians'
movement, while recent social media posts have painted refugees as criminals
hungry for United Nations aid.
"They say we receive UN aid in dollars, but it is not true," Samer said, adding
he and his family had experienced years of poverty and intimidation.
"We are tired and we want a solution. We don't need money or anything from
Lebanon."
The UN refugee agency (UNHCR) told AFP it can only disburse assistance to
roughly 43 percent of refugees, paid out in local currency.
"The maximum a vulnerable family of five or more members receives for both cash
and food assistance is 8,000,000 Lebanese pounds per month," UNHCR said --
roughly $80.
The agency said authorities had been cracking down on Syrian communities, with
at least 13 raids in April alone.
Some of those arrested or expelled were refugees registered with UNHCR, it said,
while another humanitarian source said in some cases minors had been separated
from their parents.
'I'd rather die' Amnesty International this week urged Lebanon to "immediately
stop deportations", describing them as forced and saying refugees risked
"torture or persecution" upon return.
The clampdown has left impoverished Syrians distraught, with many now too scared
to go out.
Abu Salim, 32, told AFP he had been sleeping at a warehouse where he works with
20 other people "because we're afraid of getting arrested".
He said he had spent six years in Syrian jails and his worst fear was
deportation.
"If I go back to prison, I will never get out," he said.
Ammar, an army deserter, told AFP he had been holed up at home, his eyes glued
to the anti-Syrian vitriol spewed on social media.
"Why all this hate? What did we do to deserve this? We only fled to escape
death," the 31-year-old said.
In Lebanon since 2014, he said he feared not only for his own life but for his
wife and two-month-old child.
"I live in fear that the army will break into my house and deport me," he said,
adding that soon he will have to venture out "to work and buy baby milk".
Desperate Lebanese, Syrians and Palestinians have been attempting to leave
Lebanon for Europe on rickety boats, with some migration bids ending in tragedy.
The government has accused Syrians of entering Lebanon just to take the perilous
sea journeys. Ammar said he would take a boat if he had to.
"In Syria there is no longer any hope," Ammar said. "I'd rather die at sea than
return."
Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports
And News published
on April 28-29/2023
Heavy battles in Sudan despite
latest truce
Associated Press/Friday, 28 April, 2023
Fighting raged in Sudan on Friday, despite rival forces agreeing to extend a
truce aimed to stem nearly two weeks of warfare that has killed hundreds and
caused widespread destruction. In the capital Khartoum, where foreign nations
are scrambling to organize mass evacuations of their citizens, Turkey's defense
ministry said a military transport aircraft came under fire. Witnesses reported
mass looting as gunmen fired rockets in bitter urban battles in the western
Darfur region. There have been multiple truce efforts since fighting broke out
on April 15 between Sudan's army led by General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the
paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) commanded by his former deputy and
fellow coup leader Mohamed Hamdan Daglo. All have failed. On Thursday, the two
sides agreed to extend a repeatedly broken ceasefire for three more days. The
United States, Saudi Arabia as well as the African Union, the United Nations and
others welcomed the rival generals' "readiness to engage in dialogue" in a bid
to create a "more durable cessation of hostilities and ensuring unimpeded
humanitarian access". Since a power struggle between Burhan and Daglo erupted
into violence, fighter jets have pounded RSF positions with air strikes in
densely packed districts of Khartoum, as fighters on the ground exchanged
volleys of artillery and heavy machine gun fire. In some parts of the city of
some five million people, trenches have been dug as gunmen battle each other
street by street. At least 512 people have been killed and 4,193 wounded in the
fighting, according to health ministry figures, although the real death toll is
likely much higher.
'Foolish war'
Fighting has also spread across Sudan, especially in Darfur, where witnesses
reported intense conflict. The Darfur Bar Association, a civil society group,
said fighters were "launching rockets at houses" in El Geneina, state capital of
West Darfur, as well reporting firing from "rifles, machine guns and
anti-aircraft weapons". Fighting has spread "nearly all over the city" and
fighters have "looted camps for the displaced and the university hospital" as
well as setting fire to "markets, public buildings, aid warehouses and banks",
the Bar Association added. It urged Burhan and Daglo to "immediately stop this
foolish war that is being waged on the backs of civilians across Sudan". The
doctors' union said "dozens" have been killed or wounded in El Geneina, where
the UN has said it has reports of the "distribution of weapons among local
communities". In El Fasher, state capital of North Darfur, medics are struggling
to cope with the influx of wounded people. "The situation is very, very
difficult here," said Mohamed Gibreel, project coordinator for Doctors Without
Borders (MSF) in El Fasher, adding that the hospital there had received 410
wounded patients. "There is no water, there is also no electricity," Gibreel
said in a video posted by MSF on Friday, which showed patients on the corridor
of the crowded hospital. "It has impacted all life-saving services."
Mass exodus
The World Food Program has said the violence could plunge millions more into
hunger in a country where 15 million people -- one-third of the population --
need aid to stave off famine. At least five aid workers have been killed and
swathes of aid operations suspended -- putting the lives of 50,000 acutely
malnourished children "at real risk", the UN has warned. Darfur is still reeling
from the devastating war that raged in the 2000s when then hardline president
Omar al-Bashir crushed ethnic-minority rebels by creating the Janjaweed militia
to carry out atrocities, a force that later formed the basis of Daglo's RSF.
That conflict left at least 300,000 people killed and close to 2.5 million
displaced, according to UN figures, and saw Bashir charged with war crimes,
crimes against humanity and genocide by the International Criminal Court. Burhan
and Daglo -- commonly known as Hemeti -- seized power in a 2021 coup that
derailed Sudan's transition to democracy, established after Bashir was ousted
following mass protests in 2019. But the two generals later fell out, most
recently over the planned integration of the RSF into the regular army.
Residents of Khartoum have meanwhile been shuttered at home, running dangerously
low on food, cash and fuel needed to get out, with only intermittent power and
internet. Tens of thousands have already fled to neighboring countries including
Chad, Egypt, Ethiopia and South Sudan. The U.N. warns the fighting could result
in up to 270,000 people fleeing.
Iran Arrests Participants of a Conference
Calling for Referendum
London – Tehran – Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 28 April, 2023
The Iranian security services continue to arrest activists who participated in a
conference last weekend, which discussed the chances of a referendum for a
peaceful political transition to a secular regime. Activists reported on Twitter
that the security services arrested civil and political activist Abdollah Momeni
in his home days after he participated in the "How to Save Iran" conference.
Momeni's arrest came after another conference participant held over the
Clubhouse application, Alireza Beheshti Shirazi, was apprehended. Shirazi was an
advisor to Mir Hossein Mousavi, who is under house arrest. The authorities
arrested veteran journalist Keyvan Samimi, 74, who was announced among the
conference participants. Samimi appeared in a video recording, calling for
forming a National Salvation Front. Agence France-Presse (AFP) quoted the
state-affiliated Jam-e Jam website saying that Shirazi was arrested as part of
the judicial campaign against anti-revolutionary elements. The authorities
accused Mousavi's advisors of instigating the statement which called for ending
Iran. The website referred to a text published in early February, in which
Mousavi called for "radical changes in Iran" by organizing a referendum on the
constitution. He described the paradoxical structure and unsustainable basic
system as the major crisis in the country. Jam-e Jam indicated that the three
men participated in a virtual conference calling to overthrow the regime and
draft a new constitution, reported by the AFP. Mizan agency quoted an informed
security official that Mousavi is under the control of the opposition
Mojahedin-e-Khalq Organization. The security official said that Mousavi's latest
statement was a "direct copy" of the rhetoric of the Organization. He accused
Ardeshir Amir Arjomand, a Paris-based political activist who runs the Kalima
website and Mousavi's adviser, of being directly involved. Arjomand was one of
the founders of the "How to Save Iran" conference, which included a group of
reformist activists calling for a peaceful and gradual transition to a secular
regime. Dozens of political and civil society activists at home and abroad
participated in the conference, which discussed transitioning from religious
rule to a secular democratic political system. Mousavi was Iran's prime minister
between 1981 and 1989 and ran for the presidential elections in 2009. Along with
former Shura Council President Mahdi Karroubi, Mousavi protested the re-election
of outgoing President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, denouncing widespread fraud.
The former premier was not the only one who issued a controversial statement
after the anniversary of the 1979 revolution last February.
Former President Mohammad Khatami tried to distance himself from this discourse,
noting that reform was possible and urging a return to the constitution. Earlier
this week, Khatami reiterated his opposition to demands to overthrow the
political system. The former president, Hassan Rouhani, was also among the
advocates of a referendum on "diplomacy," "domestic politics," and "the
economy." The top Sunni cleric in Iran, Abdolhamid Ismailzahi, repeatedly called
for a referendum to choose the governing method that enjoys the support of the
majority of the people. The Imam of Zahedan's Friday prayer stressed that the
referendum is the way out of the current problems in the country. On April 18,
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei rejected opposition to calls for a referendum on
state policy, saying the various issues of the country cannot be put to a
referendum because each referendum preoccupies the entire country for six
months. In statements published on his official website, Khamenei added, "Where
in the world do they hold referendums for all issues?" During the Eid sermon,
Khamenei called for focusing on resolving issues and refraining from "marginal
issues," warning that the enemies want to divide the nation. Khamenei accused
the enemies of aiming for conflict between Iranians because of different beliefs
and sects, asserting the need to maintain unity to overcome challenges. "The
enemy is against the unity of the Iranian people," he said, adding that the
different sects and beliefs can coexist and work together in the country.
US Sanctions Russia, Iran Entities for Detaining
Americans
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 28 April, 2023
The Biden administration on Thursday sanctioned Russia's Federal Security
Service and Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps intelligence organization, accusing
them of wrongfully detaining Americans. It's the first rollout of new sanctions
authorizations established last year by President Joe Biden for use against
those holding Americans unjustly captive. Still, the sanctions are largely
symbolic, since both organizations already are under sweeping sanctions for an
array of malevolent behavior — from election interference and Russia's invasion
of Ukraine to support for terrorist activity.
Biden said the safe return of Americans held hostage or wrongfully detained
abroad has been a priority since the first day of his presidency. “Today, and
every day, our message to Russia, Iran, and the world is holding hostage or
wrongfully detaining Americans is unacceptable. Release them immediately,” he
said in a written statement. Senior administration officials declined to specify
which detentions specifically underpinned the sanctions, saying they were a
response to a pattern of actions by the two countries in unjustly holding
Americans both currently and in the past. A US Treasury news release stated that
Iranian authorities frequently hold and interrogate detainees in Evin Prison in
Tehran and have a “direct role in the repression of protests and arrest of
dissidents, including dual nationals.” Senior administration officials noted
that Thursday's actions were in the works well before the arrest last month of
Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich in Russia, whose imprisonment was
swiftly deemed unjust by the US government. He joins American Paul Whelan with
that designation in Russia. In addition to targeting the two organizations, the
administration is also adding additional sanctions on four IRGC leaders it
alleges are involved in hostage taking efforts. Brian E. Nelson, Treasury’s
under secretary for terrorism and financial intelligence, said the US is
“committed to bringing home wrongfully detained US nationals and acting against
foreign threats to the safety of US nationals abroad.”The senior administration
officials said that relief from the sanctions could be used as an inducement in
negotiations to try to secure the release of the Americans held overseas. Biden
last year issued an executive order relying on a section of the Robert Levinson
Hostage Recovery and Hostage-Taking Accountability Act — named after a retired
FBI agent who vanished in Iran 15 years ago and is now presumed dead — that
authorizes the president to impose sanctions, including visa revocations, on
people believed to be involved in the wrongful detention of Americans. The
announcement comes before the annual dinner of the James W. Foley Legacy
Foundation next week, an event expected to include as guests multiple former
hostages and detainees as well as advocates for that population. In addition,
there is a candlelight vigil planned for next week and a news conference
scheduled outside the White House to raise the plight of those detained.
Russia's Putin signs decree introducing life
sentences for treason
(Reuters)/Fri, April 28, 2023
Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday signed a decree formally increasing
the maximum sentence for treason to life in jail, part of a drive to suppress
dissent since the start of the war in Ukraine. The decree was posted on the
Kremlin website. Lawmakers had already voted to boost the longest sentences for
treason to life, up from 20 years. Legislators also approved raising the maximum
sentence for carrying out "a terrorist act" - defined as a deed which endangered
lives and was aimed at destabilizing Russia - to 20 years, from 15 years at
present. Those found guilty of sabotage could also go to jail for 20 years, up
from 15, while people convicted of "international terrorism" could be sentenced
to life, up from 12 years. The decree did not explain what "international
terrorism" is. Putin signed the new decree at a time when rights groups say
authorities are stepping up efforts to quieten the few voices of opposition that
remain. Russia says such laws are required to protect the country from
infiltration by Ukraine and Western intelligence agencies.
Russia's economy is facing a record worker shortage
amid losses in Ukraine and mass exodus
Filip De Mott/Business Insider/April 27, 2023
Russia's economy is facing a record workforce shortage, according to a central
bank survey. Employers reported the lowest level of worker availability since
data collection started in 1998. This comes amid the Ukraine war, rise of the
gray economy, and an exodus of Russians. The Russian economy is struggling
through a record worker shortage as the war in Ukraine adds pressure on the
labor force. According a Russian central bank survey, worker availability has
fallen to a reading of -18, the lowest since data collection initially began in
1998, Kommersant reported. The most impacted sectors are manufacturing, water
supply, mining, storage and transportation. Meanwhile, car sales, wholesale and
services saw the least impact. Several factors may be contributing to the
situation. Russia's population has been shrinking for years, and its so-called
gray economy has expanded to surpass other major industries. But Russia's war on
Ukraine has delivered a major shock to the workforce. The military mobilized
300,000 troops last year and plans to mobilize hundreds of thousands more this
year. And about 200,000 Russian troops have been killed or wounded while
fighting in Ukraine, with some estimates putting losses at 500 troops a day.
Meanwhile, nearly a million Russians may have left the country for various
reasons, whether to escape the military mobilization or flee Western sanctions
that have caused economic distress within the nation, according to the
Washington Post. But the 14,000 employers surveyed by the Russian central bank
were optimistic about an eventual turnaround, anticipating that seasonal trends
will attract workers back in the next few months. News of a shrinking workforce
comes alongside other dim views on Russia's prospects. Russia's economy is
becoming increasingly primitive as its war in Ukraine drags on, and the
repercussions could push it down the same path the Soviet Union endured three
decades ago, according to the Russian economist and University of Chicago
professor Konstantin Sonin. And an adviser to Finland's central bank said Russia
is experiencing "reverse industrialization" as Western sanctions and its
continued war on Ukraine weigh on long-term economic growth.
After a year of heavy losses, Ukraine's military is juggling a 'very uneven'
force as it prepares for major fighting, expert says
Constantine Atlamazoglou/Business Insider/April 28, 2023
Ukraine's military is gearing up for offensives against Russian forces in spring
and summer.
Ukraine has taken heavy casualties, but its military has grown due to
recruitment and mobilization.
As a result, Ukraine now fields a force with a mix of experienced soldiers and
new recruits.
Following Russia's illegal annexation of Crimea and the start of the war in the
Donbas in 2014, the US and other NATO militaries began training the Ukrainian
military to prepare it for a large-scale conflict.
That conflict kicked off on February 24, 2022, when tens of thousands of Russian
troops lunged for Kyiv and other major cities. Ukraine thwarted their initial
attack within a few days, but the fighting has dragged on for more than a year.
As the war has gone on, rising casualties among Ukraine's Western-trained troops
and the mobilization of reservists who were trained under Soviet military
doctrines have created a force with differing levels of experience and differing
understandings of how units in the field should operate.
A wartime military
When Russia invaded in February 2022, Ukraine's military had about 196,000
active personnel and 900,000 in reserve, according to the International
Institute of Strategic Studies' 2022 Military Balance report.
Ukraine declared a general mobilization shortly after the invasion, and its
military has swelled since then. According to the 2023 Military Balance report,
Ukraine now has an active-duty force of 688,000 with 400,000 in reserve and
250,000 in its police and paramilitary forces.
Ongoing combat and call-ups mean troop numbers are hard to determine. Ukraine
has not released official casualty numbers, but recently leaked US intelligence
documents put them at 15,500 to 17,500 killed and 109,000 to 113,500 wounded.
Ukraine's military "has now expanded significantly, but it's also taken
significant losses over the course of the past year," Michael Kofman, director
of the Russian Studies Program at the CNA research organization, said on a
mid-March episode of the War on the Rocks podcast.
Kofman, who spoke shortly after visiting Ukraine and the conflict's frontline,
said that talking to soldiers at different levels gave him the impression that
"many of the best people have been lost."
"You often lose your best people in war first," Kofman said. "Many of the folks
who are trained by NATO between 2014 and 2022 have been lost too. A lot of
junior leaders have either been lost or have been rotated up and promoted. So
there's a lot of churn."
"What I see in that military is that it's just very uneven," Kofman added. "It's
very uneven because there are folks that have come from civilian life and some
have had a bunch of training and some had very little."
The Western approach
Beginning in 2015, the US Army, forces from other NATO members, and partner
militaries worked under the Joint Multinational Training Group-Ukraine to train
over 23,000 Ukrainian soldiers for a large-scale conflict against Russia.
Their aim was to forge "a new kind of NATO-compatible professional fighting
force in Ukraine," a US official said in 2021. The training they provided
accompanied other efforts by Kyiv to reverse two decades of post-Cold War decay
that weakened the Ukrainian military.
Western allies worked closely with Ukrainian forces to identify areas where they
needed the most training. Ukrainian troops in company- and battalion-level units
participated in numerous exercises in Europe and received training in Western
arms, small-unit tactics, and doctrine.
Developing Ukraine's noncommissioned officers — enlisted troops who have
experience but haven't been commissioned as officers — received particular
focus.
Western training created "a competent non-commissioned officer corps that could
feed initiative and make tactical decisions based on commander's intent,"
similar the role of NCOs in NATO militaries, Lt. Col. Todd Hopkins, deputy
commander of the Florida National Guard's 53rd Infantry Brigade Combat Team,
which participated in the effort, said last year. Western doctrine gives junior
leaders significant freedom to implement decisions that come from the top and
encourages them to take the initiative. This approach is especially effective
when troops are familiar with the battlefield, as were many Ukrainians who had
been fighting Russians and Russian-backed forces in the Donbas since 2014.
Ukrainian military leaders have highlighted this flexibility as a major factor
in their effectiveness against Russian forces who, much like the Soviet
military, rely on senior leaders for direction and instructions in combat.
As important as that flexibility is, the "churn" caused by combat losses and
rounds of mobilization mean it is not uniform across the force Ukraine is now
fielding. Differences in the training these troops have received are also
creating friction.
Two armies in one
Yet, as casualties among Ukraine's NATO-trained troops increase and as Kyiv
calls up more of its older reservists who were trained according to Soviet
standards, parts of the Ukrainian military are coming to resemble that of
Russia, according to Kofman.
Some of these older troops have "come back to senior positions across different
staff levels, and they are of a different culture," one that is more like "what
the Ukrainian military may have been in the past," Kofman said on the podcast.
This has created two forces within the Ukrainian military, he added, one of them
flexible and able to make decisions across the command level and the other more
rigid. The result is a kind of a military culture clash that may impact how
Ukrainian units perform in offensives Kyiv is expected to launch in the spring
and summer. This is "fundamentally a difference of culture between a military
that does mission command and things like that by default," Kofman explained,
referring to Ukraine's Western-trained troops, "and then also a Soviet army
that's well embedded in this military and has its foot in the past."
"This is a continuous struggle in the Ukrainian military," Kofman said.
*Constantine Atlamazoglou works on transatlantic and European security. He holds
a master's degree in security studies and European affairs from the Fletcher
School of Law and Diplomacy. You can contact him on LinkedIn.
Russia says US-South Korea nuclear deal could destabilise region
MOSCOW (Reuters)/April 28, 2023
Russia's foreign ministry on Friday criticised a nuclear agreement between the
United States and South Korea, saying it would destabilise the region and the
wider world, and warned of a potential arms race as a result. The United States
on Wednesday pledged to give South Korea more insight into its nuclear planning,
while Seoul promised not to seek nuclear weapons itself in an agreement both
sides said was aimed against North Korea. Russia has repeatedly railed against
what it sees as the United States' growing military presence across Asia. "This
development is clearly destabilising in nature and will have serious negative
consequences for regional security, impacting on global stability," Russia's
foreign ministry said in a statement. Moscow said the United States and NATO's
drive for "decisive military superiority" would "bring nothing but escalating
tensions" and could "provoke an arms race". Washington has accused Moscow of
nuclear sabre-rattling over various statements from Russian officials, including
President Vladimir Putin, since the start of the Ukraine war that Russia would
be prepared to use nuclear weapons to defend its "territorial integrity". At a
joint news conference with U.S. President Joe Biden this week, South Korean
leader Yoon Suk Yeol said the agreement was aimed at strengthening South Korea's
defences in the face of North Korea's rapidly advancing nuclear weapons program.
Putin will be arrested if he visits, says South
African opposition leader
Ben Farmer/The Telegraph/April 28, 2023
Vladimir Putin has been threatened with arrest in South Africa ahead of a
controversial visit expected later this year. The opposition premier of South
Africa’s Western Cape said if the Russian president enters the province, he will
be arrested. Alan Winde attacked the ruling African National Congress (ANC) for
apparently pushing ahead with plans to welcome Putin, despite the International
Criminal Court ordering his arrest. Leaders of Russia, China and other Brics
nations are scheduled to attend a summit in South Africa later this year. Mr
Winde said pressing ahead with inviting the Russian leader would be
“unacceptable and deplorable”. He said: “Putin has consistently and violently
eroded the freedoms of the Ukrainian people and those in his own country who
dare take a principled stand against his brutal actions.”
'Police ready at the airport for arrest'
The ICC warrant obliges South Africa to arrest Putin if he visits the country,
but the ANC has a long-standing friendship with Moscow. The party has also
defied an ICC warrant in the past, refusing to arrest former Sudanese dictator
Omar al-Bashir in 2015. Mr Winde said locally-funded police in the province,
which includes Cape Town, would act if the government did not order national
police to act. ANC supporters mocked Mr Winde, of the Democratic Alliance party,
for over-reaching his powers. Mr Winde said he would have police ready at the
airport and would liaise with Interpol and the ICC if necessary, to make the
arrest. Putin’s allies have previously said any attempt to arrest the Russian
leader would be considered an act of war. The Kremlin says the ICC arrest
warrant for Putin’s alleged role in the deportation of hundreds of Ukrainian
children is a partisan decision. Yet Putin’s potential presence at the summit
has created an intense diplomatic quandary for South Africa’s president. Cyril
Ramaphosa earlier this week appeared to say the country would leave the ICC,
only for the ANC to then roll back his comments. He has also sent a delegation
to Washington this week amid concerns the US may eject South Africa from a trade
deal because of its tilt towards Moscow and Beijing. Diplomatic sources have
suggested envoys are looking for a fudge, such as Putin attending by video link.
Russia paves way for deportations from annexed
Ukrainian regions
MOSCOW (Reuters)/Fri, April 28, 2023
Russian President Vladimir Putin has signed a decree that gives people living in
parts of Ukraine under Moscow's control a path to Russian citizenship, but means
those who decline or who do not legalise their status could be deported. The
decree, which was reported by Russian news agencies on Friday, covers four
Ukrainian regions that Russia has unilaterally claimed as its own and partially
controls: Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia. Kyiv says it will retake
all four areas and has accused Moscow of trying to browbeat its citizens into
accepting Russian citizenship. Ukrainian Deputy Defence Minister Hanna Malyar
this week accused Russia of trying to change what she called "the ethnic
make-up" of occupied territory by bringing in settlers from remote parts of
Russia while deporting people suspected of being pro-Ukrainian. The decree sets
out ways that Ukrainian citizens or those holding passports issued by
Russia-backed breakaway republics, and who live in the four regions, can start
the process of becoming Russian citizens or legalise their status with the
Russian authorities. But it also says that anyone who does not take such action
by July 1, 2024, will be regarded as a foreign citizen, something that will
leave them at risk of being deported from territory that Moscow considers part
of Russia. The decree also allows the deportation of people from the four
regions who are deemed a threat to national security or take part in
unauthorised meetings. Specifically, the decree singles out for potential
deportation people who favour "the violent change" of Russia's constitutional
order or who finance or plan terrorist attacks.
Iranian president to visit Syria next week -
senior source
BEIRUT (Reuters)/Fri, April 28, 2023
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi will visit Damascus next week, a senior regional
source close to the Syrian government told Reuters on Friday. The visit will be
the first by an Iranian president to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad since war
broke out in Syria in 2011. With military help and economic support from both
Iran and Russia, Assad was able to turn the tide of the conflict and regain
control of most of his country. The senior regional source told Reuters that a
warming of ties between Saudi Arabia and Iran, as well as a thaw in Arab states'
isolation of Syria, had paved the way for the visit. The Syrian daily al-Watan,
which is close to the government, reported that Raisi's visit would last two
days and would be capped by a string of agreements, particularly on economic
cooperation. Iran has previously provided lines of credit to Damascus and
imports phosphate from Syrian mines. This month, regional sources revealed that
Iran had secretly brought weapons and other military equipment to Syria by
disguising the transfers as part of the relief effort following the devastating
February earthquakes in Syria and Turkey.
Russia's Iranian-made drones are powered by
German technology stolen 17 years ago, experts say
Sinéad Baker/Business Insider/April 28, 2023
The engine for drones that Russia is using in Ukraine is based on stolen
technology, experts said.
Conflict Armament Research said the German technology was stolen by Iran in
2006.
Russia has used the Iranian-made drones to destroy buildings and kill civilians
in Ukraine.
Drones manufactured by Iran and used by Russia in its invasion of Ukraine have
at their core German technology that was stolen by Iran 17 years ago, according
to weapons experts. UK-based group Conflict Armament Research (CAR), which
tracks weapon supplies around the world, said in a report this month that Iran's
Shahed-136 drones use engines based on technology stolen from Germany in 2006.
Russia has used the drones to strike targets across Ukraine, including in the
capital, Kyiv, as well as power infrastructure and apartment buildings.
Civilians have been killed in the process. CAR said that it had examined engines
of drones recovered in Ukraine, and found markings belonging to Iranian company
Mado. It said that this proves for the first time that Mado is "indeed the
producer of engines" found in Shahed-136 drones used against Ukraine. The group
then connected the Mado engines to German technology stolen in 2006. It said
that the company's MD-500 engine is "probably a copy" of a German engine that
was stolen in 2006, the Limbach L-550. It also said that commentators believe
that other Mado models looked like they are copies of European technology. CAR
said that the serial numbers on parts of the drone engines found in Ukraine were
erased, or new serial numbers applied — something that would help to hide their
origin. "These modifications have prevented investigators from identifying the
acquisition networks facilitating the international supply of key components
into Iran," it said. CAR's findings were first reported by CNN. Russia has been
using Iran-made drones in Ukraine for months. Iran initially denied any
involvement, and then admitted that its drones were being used by Russia — but
only ones that it sent before Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine in
February 2022. Western governments have disputed this claim, with the US saying
that Iran has also sent drone operators to Russia to train its forces. Russia
turned to Iran for arms after its own ability to manufacture weapons became
limited. Pentagon Press Secretary Air Force Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder said in
November that Iran had given Russia hundreds of drones and Russia was relying on
Iran for weapons for Ukraine because it had become so internationally isolated.
The US and EU have sanctioned Iranian companies and individuals in response to
the drone supply. Yousaf Aboutalebi, Mado's CEO, has been under US sanctions
since before the invasion of Ukraine began, and was added to the UK's sanctions
list in December 2022.
UN experts defend Crimean Tatars under Russian
occupation
GENEVA (AP)/Fri, April 28, 2023
Experts working with the United Nations on Friday denounced reports of human
rights violations including abduction, deportation and enforced disappearances
against ethnic minorities in Russian-occupied Crimea, calling on Moscow to do
more to protect the rights of Tatars and others there.
The Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination, as part of a regular,
rotating review of U.N. member states, took a look at Russia — and areas that it
controls — along with five other countries this month. The impact of Moscow's
war in Ukraine on rights and racial hatred drew particular scrutiny.
In its review of Russia, the committee of independent experts focused on just
one particular aspect of the war — the impact on racial discrimination — which
has seen a litany of other rights abuses and violations, including murder,
summary execution, rape, arbitrary detention and much more, according to U.N.
and other rights monitors. The committee cited reports of “destruction of and
damage to Crimean Tatar cultural heritage, including tombstones, monuments and
shrines,” and cited a lack of information about efforts to protect such sites
from vandalism. It pointed to reports of barriers on the use and study of
Ukrainian and Crimean Tatar languages, and called for the reinstatement of the
Mejlis, a representative body of Crimean Tatars that was disbanded in 2016. The
experts cited the “refusal” of Russian envoys to provide information, and
suggested that Crimea, under international law, remains part of Ukraine despite
Russia’s annexation of the peninsula in 2014. The panel cited reports of
“numerous and serious human rights violations against members of ethnic minority
groups and indigenous peoples in Crimea, in particular abductions, enforced
disappearances, arbitrary detention, ill-treatment, and the forcible transfer or
deportation of inhabitants from these territories to the Russian Federation.”The
committee aims to help countries uphold their commitments under the
International Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Racial
Discrimination, which Moscow — then the capital of the Soviet Union — ratified
more than five decades ago. After skipping a U.N.-backed Human Rights Committee
review last year, Russia deployed a delegation of nearly 20 people to attend and
field questions in the review, a first by Russian envoys to a U.N. rights review
in Geneva since Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24,
2022.
Israeli forces say militant held in raid in West
Bank city of Jenin
RAMALLAH, West Bank (Reuters)/Fri, April 28, 2023
The Israeli military said it arrested a suspected militant and confiscated
weapons on Friday in a raid in the occupied West Bank city of Jenin that led to
clashes with Palestinian fighters. Israeli forces said they shot at suspects who
hurled explosive devices at them. Palestine TV said the soldiers wounded two
people, including a 14-year-old boy. It said the forces blocked the movement of
ambulances and conducted arrests before withdrawing. Videos circulating on
social media, which Reuters could not independently verify, showed a convoy of
armoured military vehicles approaching the area before a cloud of white smoke
rose from an apartment building as shots rang out. "Before afternoon prayers,
the (Israeli) military and special forces positioned themselves around the
refugee camp but thank God the fighters were on high alert and they managed to
prevent the forces from raiding the camp," Ata Abu Rmeileh, head of the Jenin
branch of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas's Fatah party, told Reuters. He
added that the residents of Jenin were expecting more raids in days ahead.
Israeli-Palestinian violence has surged this year, with frequent military raids
and violence by Israeli settlers amid a spate of Palestinian attacks. More than
90 Palestinians and at least 19 Israelis and foreigners have been killed since
January. Israel captured the West Bank, which Palestinians want as the core of a
future independent state, in the 1967 Middle East war. It has since built large
settlements there while U.S.-sponsored statehood talks have stalled.
Palestinians: Israeli forces shoot, kill teen
in West Bank
RAMALLAH, West Bank (AP)/Fri, April 28, 2023
Israeli forces shot and killed a teenager in the occupied West Bank on Friday,
the Palestinian Health Ministry said. The shooting came during confrontations
between Israeli forces and stone-throwing Palestinians in a village near the
town of Bethlehem, according to Palestinian media reports. The ministry
identified the teenager as Mustafa Sabah, 16, adding he was shot in the chest.
There was no immediate comment from the Israeli military. Footage posted on
social media shows people carrying the teen after he was shot and shouting
“Allahu akbar,” or “God is great” in Arabic. The Israeli-Palestinian fighting
has surged to heights unseen in years. Earlier Friday, the army raided the Jenin
refugee camp in the West Bank and arrested several Palestinians suspected of
involvement in attacks against Israelis, the military said. Palestinian media
reported that two youths were wounded in ensuing clashes with the military
there. So far in 2023, more than 97 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli
fire in the West Bank, according to a tally by The Associated Press, at least
half of them affiliated with militant groups. During that time, 19 people were
killed in Palestinian attacks on Israelis. Israel captured the West Bank, along
with the Gaza Strip and east Jerusalem, in the 1967 Mideast war. Palestinians
seek those lands for a future independent state.
OIC Displeased with Europe’s Congratulatory Message
Marking Israel’s ‘Independence'
Jeddah - Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 28 April, 2023
The Organization of Islamic Cooperation said Thursday that the statements of the
European Union President, Ursula von der Leyen, in which she congratulated
Israel on its seventy-fifth “independence,” were disappointing and not in line
with human rights and international law.
The Jeddah-based organization expressed strong displeasure at the statement of
the EU President, saying it contained disappointing political and historical
references that are at variance with the Union’s positions based on human
rights, international law, and UN resolutions. The OIC asserted that these
statements ignore historical, political, and legal facts dating back thousands
of years and coincide with the commemoration of the Nakbah (catastrophe) for the
territory and people of Palestine. The statement noted that it “continues to be
a dark spot on humanity’s memory and conscience and a denigration of the values
of freedom and justice, following the declaration establishing Israel, the
colonial occupation force, and the ensuing policies of racial cleansing, forced
expulsion, oppression, confiscation of Palestinians’ properties and the
deprivation of their legitimate rights.”The organization called on the EU to
honor its “political, legal, and humanitarian responsibilities towards ending
the Israeli colonial occupation and correcting the historical injustice suffered
by the Palestinian people."It also urged supporting Palestinians' legitimate
rights, including the right to return, and realizing the establishment of their
independent state on the 4 June 1967 borders, with East Jerusalem as its
capital. Furthermore, the Islamic Endowments Department in Jerusalem reported
that dozens of settlers stormed Al-Aqsa Mosque on Thursday from the Mughrabi
Gate under police protection. The Department said that the settlers forced their
way into the Mosque as groups, carried out provocative tours in its courtyards,
listened to presentations about the structure of the compound, and performed
Talmudic rituals in its eastern region. Wafa News Agency reported that the
occupation police intensified their deployment inside Al-Aqsa and at its gates
to secure the settlers’ incursions and checked the ID cards of people arriving
at the Mosque.
Armenia and Azerbaijan to hold peace settlement talks soon - TASS
(Reuters)/Fri, April 28, 2023
Armenia and Azerbaijan will hold talks in the near future on a peace deal to try
to settle their long-running differences, Russia's TASS news agency quoted the
secretary of Armenia's Security Council as saying.
The official, Armen Grigoryan, did not say when, where and at what level the
talks would happen. TASS also reported that Armenia's defence minister had
discussed the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh, the focus of two wars in the past
three decades, with the new commander of Russian peacekeepers in the region. The
mountainous enclave is internationally recognised as part of Azerbaijan, but
populated by about 120,000 ethnic Armenians. Azeris identifying themselves as
environmental protesters have since Dec. 12 partially blocked the Lachin
corridor, the only highway and supply route that runs across Azeri territory
which connects Armenia to Nagorno-Karabakh. Azerbaijan went further last Sunday
by setting up a checkpoint on the road, which Armenia called a major breach of a
2020 ceasefire deal. Baku said the move was necessary to stop the route being
used to transfer fighters and weapons. Despite years of attempted mediation
between them, the two countries have yet to reach a peace agreement that would
settle outstanding issues such as the demarcation of borders and return of
prisoners. French Foreign Minister Catherine Colonna has visited Azerbaijan and
Armenia in the past two days, urging both sides to undertake confidence-building
moves and resume talks on a settlement.
Syrian Pound Sets New Low, Gov. Unable to Find Solution
Damascus - Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 28 April, 2023
The Syrian pound recorded a new decline in the black market in regime-controlled
areas, exceeding 8,000 against the US dollar, despite the increase in foreign
remittances received during the holy fasting month of Ramadan and Eid al-Fitr.
Economists explained that the decline continued with the ongoing economic crisis
and the regime’s inability to control the exchange rate despite all measures
taken. According to unofficial phone applications that monitor the black market,
the exchange rate recorded SYP7,900 for purchase and 8,000 for sale to the US
dollar. The market witnessed relative stability during Ramadan month and Eid al-Fitr,
maintaining a rate ranging between SYP7,400 and SYP7,600 per dollar.
Parallel-market exchange dealers told Asharq Al-Awsat there is a big demand for
dollars in large quantities, explaining that the prices shown on applications
were inaccurate, and no one sells for less than SYP8,300. The Central Bank of
Syria issues two different price bulletins daily; the Remittance and Exchange
Bulletin and Banks’ Bulletin. Asharq Al-Awsat spoke with several economists,
some of whom pointed out that the exchange rate dropped during this season,
unlike previous holidays, when the exchange rate was improving due to increased
remittances from refugees and expatriates. One expert, who preferred not to be
named, believed the new decline in the currency rate was due to the government’s
inability to control the exchange market despite all the measures it has taken.
He also noted that the authorities needed more dollars to finance imports after
the decline in foreign money reserves from around $20 billion to zero during the
war years. The regime is now importing everything, such as fuel, wheat, basic
foodstuffs, and industrial materials, said the expert, adding that the
government desperately needs dollars. Remittances of refugees and expatriates
are the only declared source of dollars entering regime-controlled regions. Many
workers in exchange and money transfer companies operating in the
regime-controlled areas confirmed that the daily transfers rate from abroad
increased by 30 percent during Ramadan and Eid al-Fitr. The director of the
government’s Real Estate Bank, Ali Kanaan, said that remittances increased after
the Central Bank increased the exchange rate approaching the black market price.
According to local media, Kanaan explained that foreign remittances are a
resource for foreign exchange in the local economy, mainly that Syria’s economy
suffers from a shortage in foreign exchange liquidity sources due to the
Caesar’s Act and economic sanctions.
He noted that remittances amount to $10 million daily, which would allow funding
for basic imports. He said that despite all its measures, the regime failed to
control the exchange market and seize the majority of incoming transfers to its
regions.
Another expert pointed out that, in spite of the difference between the Central
Bank’s rate and the parallel market, people receiving remittances prefer to
exchange them on the black market. He said the employee’s monthly salary does
not exceed SYP150,000 pounds. Merchants also resort to the black market for
their transactions, which increases the demand for the dollar, prompting a drop
in the exchange rate. The researcher described the situation as “very
difficult,” expecting the exchange rate to reach SYP10,000 within months. Asharq
Al-Awsat noticed that supermarket owners were hedging the recent deterioration
in the exchange rate by increasing the prices, some of them close to SYP10,000.
90 percent of Syrian citizens are below the poverty line due to the new wave in
high prices, repeated whenever the exchange rate drops, further exacerbating
their living conditions.
China is pushing ahead with a planned military base in the UAE in a clear snub
to the US, leaked papers say
Tom Porter/Business Insider/April 28, 2023
Abu Dhabi's crown prince, Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, left, and Chinese
Premier Li Keqiang attend a meeting at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing,
Monday, July 22, 2019.Andy Wong-Pool/Getty Images
China has resumed the construction of a military base in the UAE, leaker papers
show. Plans for a Chinese base had earlier been halted amid US concerns. China
is riling the US by forming ties with its traditional allies in the region.
China resumed construction of a military base in the United Arab Emirates, a
move likely to alarm US officials and increase concerns that another US ally in
the Middle East is drawing closer to China. According to leaked US intelligence
documents obtained by The Washington Post, construction has resumed at a Chinese
military base just outside Abu Dhabi. Plans for a base were halted in 2021 after
the US voiced its objections. But The Post's documents indicate that the plans
now appear to be going ahead. According to the report, US intelligence is
monitoring Chinese activity at the base and at other locations in the oil-rich
UAE amid concerns that it is drawing closer to Beijing. The presence of Chinese
officials at several sensitive military sites have alarmed US intelligence, the
report says. The base is part an ambitious plan to create a global network of
military facilities in ports across the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Africa,
by 2030, according to The Post's documents. China in recent months has made an
audacious power play in the Middle East, organising a diplomatic thaw between
longtime rivals Saudi Arabia and Iran. Beijing has exposed the limitations of US
influence in a region where it's long been the dominant international power.
Saudi Arabia, another traditional US ally in the region, has also riled the
White House by drawing closer to China, holding a summit last year to announce
cooperation with Beijing across a broad range of security and economic issues.
At the same time, China has sought to position itself as a peace broker in
Ukraine, while also offering diplomatic and economic support to Russia in its
invasion of its neighbor.
Tarek Fatah, Rest in Peace
American Mideast Coalition for Democracy/AMCD/April 28/2023
We at AMCD were saddened by the news of the passing of Tarek Fatah. The
73-year-old Pakistani-Canadian columnist passed away on Monday after a prolonged
battle with cancer. “Fatah was a brave intellectual who was also very kind and
good-hearted,” began AMCD co-chair, John Hajjar. “He wanted peace and
sympathetic understanding between religions and nationalities. He was a very
fine journalist who will be greatly missed.”“His was a reasonable voice which
sought to find a middle ground in a sharply divided polemics on the issue of
Islam in the modern world,” said AMCD co-chair, Tom Harb. “He wanted to bring
the emotional temperature down so that the many problems plaguing the Islamic
world could be calmly and rationally discussed.” “Tarek Fatah was a generous
soul who was comfortable straddling worlds,” added Hossein Khorram, AMCD
co-chair. “He made important contributions toward the goal of mutual
understanding between the Hindu, Muslim and Christian worlds. At the same time,
he was a cosmopolitan who didn’t really fit within any of them, but rather stood
at a slight distance and thereby gained a wide perspective on each. We will miss
his good humor and profound insights.”
Pope Francis arrives in Hungary for three-day
visit
NNA/Friday, 28 April, 2023
Pope Francis arrived in Hungary on Friday at the start of a three-day trip where
the war in Ukraine, migration and Europe’s Christian roots are expected to top
the agenda in his public addresses and talks with Prime Minister Viktor Orban.
The visit is his first trip since he was admitted to hospital for bronchitis in
March. Francis will preside on Sunday at an open-air Mass in front of
parliament, overlooking the Danube River in Budapest. Francis is keeping a
promise of an official visit, after a stop of only seven hours to close a Church
congress in Budapest in 2021 on his way to Slovakia left many feeling slighted.
He has acknowledged the visit’s content will be affected by current events, even
if the main purpose is meeting Hungarian Catholics. Francis is due to meet Orban
on Friday. “Looking forward to the visit of @pontifex,” Orban said on Twitter on
Thursday evening. “In troubled times like ours, it is essential to remember what
keeps us together, and faith is the foundation upon which we can build a stable
future.” Orban has said Hungary and the Vatican are the only two European states
that can be described as “pro-peace” regarding Ukraine. Both Orban 59, and the
pope, 86, have called for a ceasefire and negotiations to end the war and
Francis has urged Ukraine to be open to dialogue with “aggressor” Russia,
something Ukraine has so far ruled out. Hungary, which supports a sovereign
Ukraine but still has strong economic ties to Russia, has refused to send
weapons to Ukraine. While the pope has often called for a general ban on arms
trafficking and reduction in weapons manufacturing, he has also said sending
arms to Ukraine is morally acceptable if they are used only for self-defense.
For Hungarians waiting for a chance to see Francis, some saw the visit as a
moment of hope. “I believe that with so much sorrow in the world that a positive
message from the Pope would do us good,” Annamaria Duzmath said while passing
Budapest’s St Stephen’s Basilica on Friday.--Reuters
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on April 28-29/2023
Question: “What is a Christian worldview?”
GotQuestions.org?/April 28/2023
Answer: A “worldview” refers to a comprehensive conception of the world from a
specific standpoint. A “Christian worldview,” then, is a comprehensive
conception of the world from a Christian standpoint. An individual’s worldview
is his “big picture,” a harmony of all his beliefs about the world. It is his
way of understanding reality. One’s worldview is the basis for making daily
decisions and is therefore extremely important.
An apple sitting on a table is seen by several people. A botanist looking at the
apple classifies it. An artist sees a still-life and draws it. A grocer sees an
asset and inventories it. A child sees lunch and eats it. How we look at any
situation is influenced by how we look at the world at large. Every worldview,
Christian and non-Christian, deals with at least these three questions:
1) Where did we come from? (and why are we here?)
2) What is wrong with the world?
3) How can we fix it?
A prevalent worldview today is naturalism, which answers the three questions
like this: 1) We are the product of random acts of nature with no real purpose.
2) We do not respect nature as we should. 3) We can save the world through
ecology and conservation. A naturalistic worldview generates many related
philosophies such as moral relativism, existentialism, pragmatism, and
utopianism.
A Christian worldview, on the other hand, answers the three questions
biblically: 1) We are God’s creation, designed to govern the world and
fellowship with Him (Genesis 1:27-28; 2:15). 2) We sinned against God and
subjected the whole world to a curse (Genesis 3). 3) God Himself has redeemed
the world through the sacrifice of His Son, Jesus Christ (Genesis 3:15; Luke
19:10), and will one day restore creation to its former perfect state (Isaiah
65:17-25). A Christian worldview leads us to believe in moral absolutes,
miracles, human dignity, and the possibility of redemption.
It is important to remember that a worldview is comprehensive. It affects every
area of life, from money to morality, from politics to art. True Christianity is
more than a set of ideas to use at church. Christianity as taught in the Bible
is itself a worldview. The Bible never distinguishes between a “religious” and a
“secular” life; the Christian life is the only life there is. Jesus proclaimed
Himself “the way, the truth, and the life” (John 14:6) and, in doing so, became
our worldview.
For Further Study: Philosophical Foundations for a Christian Worldview by
William Lane Craig & J.P. Moreland
More insights from your Bible study - Get Started with Logos Bible Software for
Free!
Christians: The Victims That Must Never Be Named
Raymond Ibrahim/April 28/2023
Despite the predominance of identity politics—where the skin and/or non-Western
religious identity of any victim is constantly highlighted—the identity of that
one group most persecuted around the world—Christians—is always dissembled over
whenever they are slaughtered (which is daily, globally speaking).
Consider the establishment’s reaction following the March 27, 2023 killings in
Nashville, where a woman claiming to be a man (aka “transgender”) stormed her
former Christian school and murdered three 9-year-old children and three
staffers.
Although she left a manifesto spelling out her motive, American
authorities—including the FBI, ATF, National Police, and US Attorney General
Merrick Garland—concluded that the murderer’s motive is “unclear.” At the same
time, and apparently bowing to pressure from lgbt-etc. groups, they have refused
to release her manifesto to the public.
Of course, for those whose common sense is still intact, the motive is as clear
as day; no manifesto required. As (the now “canceled”) Tucker Carlson put it:
[The] victims were murdered because they were Christians. It’s that simple.
Transgenderists hate Christians above all not because Christians are a physical
threat—the third graders [killed] were not a physical threat—but because
Christians refuse to join every other liar in our society and proclaim that
transgenderists are gods with the power to change nature itself. Christians are
not allowed to say that, they have their own God. And for that refusal, that
unwillingness to bow down and worship a false idol, in this case of
transgenderism, they were murdered.
Such obvious connections were, naturally, missed by the commander-in-chief, Joe
Biden. When asked if he thought the slain victims of the Nashville shooting were
targeted due to their Christian identity, Biden replied “I have no idea.” This
is the same man who, with zero evidence, suggested that the killer of Muslims in
Arizona must be a white supremacist. (It was later revealed that the killer was
a Muslim.)
For those aware of how the establishment covers—or rather covers up—the Muslim
persecution of Christians, the response to and “coverage” of the Nashville
murders should be very familiar.
For starters, the establishment is trying to downplay the identity of both the
(“trans”) murderer and her (Christian) victims. This is always the case when
Muslims slaughter Christians. Over the last two decades, I have read countless
media reports of “terrorist” attacks that kills dozens of “people” only to find
at the very end of the report, or by reading between-the-lines, that those slain
were Christians, and those targeting them, the hitherto generic “terrorists,”
were Muslims.
On those rare occasions that the terror-strike on Christians is spectacularly
large enough to demand a response from the establishment, identity is again
dissembled. When Muslims bombed three churches in Sri Lanka on Easter Sunday,
2019, killing some 300 Christians, Democratic leaders, including Barack Obama
and Hilary Clinton, could not even bring themselves to identify the slain
victims as “Christians.” Instead, they condemned a “terror” attack on “Easter
worshippers.”
The “unclear motive” currently being used for the Nashville murders is also a
mainstay whenever the Christian identity of Islam’s victims surfaces.
In the Congo, for example, the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF), which, despite
its name—or perhaps in keeping with it—is closely allied to the Islamic State,
has for years been terrorizing that overwhelmingly Christian-majority nation in
an effort to create a caliphate. Although the ADF has slaughtered countless
Christians in the name of jihad, while recently reporting on one of its more
lethal attacks on Christians, Reuters declared: “There was no indication as to
the motive.”
Another tactic that the establishment resorts to whenever forced to acknowledge
the identity of slain Christians is to somehow reverse the roles and present the
victims as oppressors and the murderers as victims
As Tucker said in the same segment: “Transgenderists and their allies spent
today attacking Christians, just days after a transgenderist murdered Christian
children.”
Indeed, many in the media implied that Christians “had it coming.” One published
statement claimed that the trans murderer’s life was made difficult by
anti-trans legislation promulgated by Christians, and, therefore, “anti-trans
hate has consequences.” Similarly, immediately after reporting on the Nashville
murders and the trans identity of the murderer, ABC News’ Terry Moran stressed
that “earlier this month Tennessee passed a bill banning transgender care for
minors” — again, implying a “cause and effect” relationship. According to this
“logic,” because Tennessee Christians banned the sexual mutilation of children,
a trans person only naturally sought vengeance.
Even some of the media headlines seemed intentionally misleading, including (no
surprise) Reuters: “Former Christian school student kills 3 children, 3 staff in
Nashville shooting.” Anyone just reading the headline—as most people
increasingly do—may well conclude that a Christian targeted students in a
secular school.
Such misleading headlines and worse are, of course, par for the course whenever
Christians are targeted by Muslims. Thus the New York Times’ headline for a 2011
Islamic terror attack on an Egyptian church that left 21 Christians dead was
“Clashes Grow as Egyptians Remain Angry after an Attack”—as if frustrated and
harried Christians (referred to by the generic “Egyptians”) lashing out against
their persecutors was the big news, not the unwarranted butchery they just
experienced.
Similarly, NPR once ran a report on “sectarian violence” in Egypt, accompanied
by a large photo of what appeared to be a “fanatical” Christian mob waving a
crucifix—not what prompted that particular display of Christian solidarity: the
nonstop persecution of Copts in Egypt.
Or consider a 2012 BBC report on a church attack in Nigeria that left three
Christians, including an infant, dead. It objectively states the bare-bone facts
before jumping to the really big news: “the bombing sparked a riot by Christian
youths, with reports that at least two Muslims were killed in the violence. The
two men were dragged off their bikes after being stopped at a roadblock set up
by the rioters, police said. A row of Muslim-owned shops was also burned…”
The report goes on and on, with an entire section about “very angry” Christians
till one confuses victims with persecutors, forgetting what the Christians are
“very angry” about in the first place: nonstop terror attacks on their churches
and the slaughter or enslavement of their women and children.
Incidentally, since that 2012 church attack, literally thousands of more
churches have been attacked, torched, or bombed by Muslims in genocidal Nigeria,
where one Christian is killed every two hours. But the establishment continues
to point to anything and everything for a “motive”—most recently, climate
change.
There’s a global war on Christians. As recent events in Nashville make clear, it
is well ensconced in America. And the enemies of Christians—whether Muslims or
trans, whether the establishment or media—are legion.
How the West Is Helping Train China's Military
Robert Williams/Gatestone Institute./April 28, 2023
China is reportedly recruiting former air force pilots from the West to
understand better how Western military aircraft and pilots operate. Up to 30
former UK military pilots are believed to have traveled to China since 2019 to
work as instructors in the People's Liberation Army (PLA).
"It's taking Western pilots of great experience to help develop Chinese military
air force tactics and capabilities. Money is a strong motivator." — Unnamed
Western official, BBC, October 28, 2022.
"It was very specific that it had to be frontline military aviators in current
flying practice.... why send military pilots rather than teachers?" — Sky News,
October 28, 2022.
Perhaps most incredibly, the US Army, as late as November 2020, conducted the
Disaster Management Exchange (online, due to coronavirus) with China's PLA....
Unbelievably, the November 2020 remote exercise took place just one month after
President Donald Trump's National Security Adviser, Robert O'Brien, had
pronounced China to be the threat of the century....
China is reportedly recruiting former air force pilots from the West to
understand better how Western military aircraft and pilots operate. Pictured:
Sailors and fighter jets on the deck of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA)
Navy aircraft carrier Liaoning in the sea near Qingdao, in eastern China's
Shandong province on April 23, 2019. (Photo by Mark Schiefelbein/AFP via Getty
Images)
China is reportedly recruiting former air force pilots from the West to
understand better how Western military aircraft and pilots operate. Up to 30
former UK military pilots are believed to have traveled to China since 2019 to
work as instructors in the People's Liberation Army (PLA).
"They are a very attractive body of people to then pass on that knowledge. It's
taking Western pilots of great experience to help develop Chinese military air
force tactics and capabilities," an unnamed Western official said. "Money," he
added, "is a strong motivator."
Britain's Ministry of Defence stated that while the pilots have not actually
breached any current law in the UK by working for the PLA, they are warning
other former pilots against taking up work for the Chinese military.
"It certainly doesn't match my understanding of service of our nation -- even in
retirement -- to then go and work with a foreign power, especially one that
challenges the UK interest so keenly," Minister of State for the Armed Forces
James Heappey said, stressing that the UK "must change the law."
"We are taking decisive steps to stop Chinese recruitment schemes attempting to
headhunt serving and former UK armed forces pilots to train People's Liberation
Army personnel in the People's Republic of China," a spokesperson for the UK
Ministry of Defence announced.
Other Western pilots have also been targeted by China. In France, one pilot told
Le Figaro: "I almost tried it. This is not a common opportunity to have a
fighter in your hands, and here I am offered the handle of a J-11 [J-11BH
carrier-based variant, or the newer J-15]." He was offered a three-year, 20,000
euro per month contract. "I almost let myself be tempted," he said. "I
eventually turned down the offer as I did not want to get into trouble. And also
for ethical reasons, as China is not on our side."
Despite the outburst of concern in the UK and elsewhere over China's attempts to
recruit Western pilots, a number of Western countries, including the UK, Canada,
and the United States, until recently used to engage actively with the Chinese
People's Liberation Army, thereby contributing to the development of Chinese
military capabilities.
According to Sky News, at least three Chinese military personnel undertook basic
officer training at the Royal Air Force College in the UK, the latest as
recently as 2019.
In addition, a number of more senior military officers from China studied at the
Joint Services Command and Staff College in the UK, which caters to more senior
military personnel from both the army, navy and air force.
Earlier, in 2016 the Ministry of Defense in the UK sent up to four RAF pilots to
take part in the "Aviation English Course" in Beijing which, according to
unnamed sources cited by Sky News, "consisted of helping the People's Liberation
Army Air Force learn how to run overseas military deployments."
"It was very specific that it had to be frontline military aviators in current
flying practice, so I am sure more than English language got talked about," the
source said, adding that the title of the course, "Aviation English," was "a
misnomer -- why send military pilots rather than teachers?"
Furthermore, the British Ministry of Defence only raised the alarm on the issue
this fall, raising questions as to why it had taken them so long.
"The first duty of any government is to protect our nation's security," Labour's
shadow defence secretary John Healey said in a statement.
"The Tories have been too slow to emerge from their 'golden era' with China and
repeatedly blasé about security threats. This official deployment could have
compromised details of UK military operations, technology and training to a
foreign power, posing a significant threat to our national security. Ministers
must answer serious questions about why they backed this activity and what risks
it poses. The public also want reassurance on the actions taken to halt it."
In Canada, the military invited representatives from the People's Liberation
Army to observe its winter military exercises as recently as in 2018.
"We do not train with the PLA," a spokesperson for Canada's Department of
National Defence said in 2020.
"However, based on an agreement signed in 2013, there has been the occasional,
reciprocal granting of observer-status for non-sensitive activities, including
winter survival exercises."
As late as 2019, however, Canada's Department of Global Affairs was fearful that
the Canadian Chief of the Defence Staff General Jonathan Vance, after being
urged by the United States, had cancelled winter military exercises with the PLA
and later all military interactions.
"Should Canada make any significant reductions in its military engagement with
China, China will likely read this as a retaliatory move," said a February 2019
Department of Global Affairs memo to Ian Shugart, then Deputy Minister of
Foreign Affairs.
"We understand that [this cancellation] was driven principally by concerns
voiced by the U.S. that the training could result in unintended and undesired
knowledge transfer to the PLA. Unilateral decisions to postpone and/or cancel
previously agreed DND/CAF co-operation with the PLA risk being interpreted by
China or others in an unintended (and unhelpful) way. [This] could also damage
Canada's long-term defence and security relationship with China."
The winter exercises were supposed to have been observed by six to eight
military officers from the People's Liberation Army. In addition, according to
the Globe and Mail:
"[A] calendar of coming engagements for 2019 between the Canadian military and
China's PLA listed up to 12 events, including PLA soldiers attending the
Canadian Security Studies Program at Canadian Forces College in Toronto and a
United Nations peacekeeping course at the Canadian-army affiliated Peace Support
Training Centre in Kingston. It also included the delegation of athletes for the
Military World Games in Wuhan and delegates to attend a PLA National Defence
University International Symposium in China. Canada sent 114 athletes, 57
coaches and support staff to the Military World Games."
Perhaps most incredibly, the US Army, as late as November 2020, conducted the
Disaster Management Exchange (online, due to coronavirus) with China's PLA. The
event has been an ongoing bilateral annual training exercise between China and
the US since 2005. In November 2019, the US Army Pacific hosted members of the
PLA for the two weeks that the exercise lasted at Kilauea Military Camp and
Kilauea Military Reservation in Hawaii. Unbelievably, the November 2020 remote
exercise took place just one month after President Donald Trump's National
Security Adviser, Robert O'Brien, had pronounced China to be the threat of the
century.
"The CCP is seeking dominance in all domains and sectors...(and) plans to
monopolize every industry that matters to the 21st century," O'Brien said in
October 2020.
"Most recently the PRC used cyber-enabled espionage to target companies
developing Covid vaccines and treatments in Europe, the UK and the United States
all the while touting the need for international cooperation."
Perhaps the US Army's approach to the PLA might partly be explained through the
fact that as late as 2013, Lt. Gen. Francis Wiercinski, then U.S. Army Pacific
commander, suggested that the US could conduct bilateral exercises such as the
Disaster Management Exchange with China, as China's army no longer posed any
danger to the US. "I believe that the Army is extremely well suited to conduct
continuous engagement with the Chinese because our army-to-army forces are
literally, at this point, not a threat to each other," Wiercinski said.
"Our engagements with disaster management exercises, military medicine,
engineering projects -- these are all peacekeeping operations. These are
excellent opportunities for us to get into mil-to-mil discussions. I can only
hope those will continue in the future."
*Robert Williams is a researcher based in the United States.
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or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Iran and Its Culture War
Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/April 28/2023
It was supposed to be a routine remake of scores of reportages offered by the
official TV each year. The formula used is simple: A concert hall filled with a
handpicked audience of carefully screened audience chanting “God is Great, Hail
to Supreme Leader!” Then the “Supreme Leader” enters, accompanied by his
military and clerical entourage, to sit on high chair on an elevated platform
facing the audience below from a distance of 10 meters. As the cameras roll, the
“Supreme Leader” repeats his shop-worn monologue about humbling the American
“Great Satan” and wiping the “Zionist entity” from the face of the earth. He
invites the young audience to prepare for martyrdom as a short-cut to a place in
heaven in the next world. At the end of the ceremony everyone shouts “Hail to
the Chief” while the “Supreme Leader” exits the stage wearing a triumphal smile.
Last week, however, the segment in the 34-year old soap opera didn’t go
according to the script. To start with the audience, consisting of young
recruits for the Baseej (Mobilization) unit, a key element in security, seemed
hesitant to stand up as the chief arrived and, even worse, seemed parsimonious
about shouting his adulation.
Even then, worse was to come.
When the “Supreme Leader” developed an argument against consulting the people
via a referendum, some in the young audience started to cackle and boo. Visibly
taken by surprise, the chief mumbled “we shouldn’t bang our heads against each
other”. Then, as the booing continued albeit in a muffled form, he announced
that the session was over and hastily headed for the exit. The amazing scene,
broadcast live, was later removed from official websites but not without marking
a new phase in a clash between a new generation of Iranians and the gerontocracy
headed by Grand Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Over 50 million of Iran’s population of 87 million had not been born when the
mullahs seized power in 1979. A further 10 million were children or adolescents
who feel alien in a world imagined by ageing mullahs that seem to belong to
another age if not another planet.
The amazing extension of the cyberspace to Iran has had two crucial effects.
It has ended the government’s monopoly on sources of information and it has
opened a window to the outside world which seems to live in another time-zone.
Both those facts operate against a system that, struck by ideological atrophy,
has failed to develop any mechanism for reform.
Today, the official TV is watched by less than 20 percent of Iranians while
foreign-based satellite TV stations, beaming from Britain the United States,
have secured audiences in virtually every corner of the country. Despite
repeated efforts to shut the Internet, foreign based Persian-language TV
stations claim audiences topping the million mark even for question-and-answer
shows with Iranians spending a fortune on phone bills to express their
grievances on live TV.
But that is not all. Thanks to access to cyberspace, some Iranian influencers
have secured huge audiences. Young girls with Twitter or Instagram accounts
reach more people than does the “Supreme Leader” through his hugely costly
official media.
Popular musicians attract much larger audiences than official reciters of the
holy text or preachers paid by the government. A simple song by the young
pop-star Sherwin Hajipour has morphed into an alternative national hymn, edging
away the 44-year anthem composed in praise of Imam Khomeini. The popular
poet-composer Shahin Najafi’s latest single “Shah” is reported to have sold more
than a million copies in a few weeks.
The new image of Iran emerging in cyberspace finds echoes in real life. In the
latest Iranian New Year holidays, in March, ancient Iranian sites such as
Persepolis, capital of the Achaemenid Empire and Pasargadae where Cyrus the
Great is buried, topped the list of most visited places in the country.
According to official figures from the Ministry of Guidance and Tourism the
mausoleums of poets, such as Sa’adi and Hafez, attracted more visitors than the
Mausoleum of the 8th Imam in Mashhad.
Another new fad is for young Iranians to wear the latest world-style clothes and
accoutrement and take selfies for posting on social media. The idea is to show
that many young Iranians, if not a majority, reject the one-size “Islamist”
lifestyle that the regime has tried to impose for more than four decades. “We
live in the 21st century,” a young girl from a small coastal town said in a
recent live TV phone-in program. “All we ask is to let us decide for ourselves
what we wear and how we live without harming anyone.”
International media have portrayed the current tension in Iranian society as a
popular movement against the officially-imposed head-covering known as “hijab”.
A closer look, however, shows that much more is at stake. With every day that
passes the number of women discarding the “hijab” grows while the mullahs wonder
what to do. Since the protests started almost six months ago, at least 600
people have been killed by security forces and a further 22,000 arrested
according to official figures. What is going on is a cultural war between one
world-view, propagated by Khomeinist ideologues, and another, defended by
champions of what is called Iranism. For Khomeinists, Iran is just a part of a
global entity with a mission to spread the “true message” to every corner of the
world. Dr. Hassan Abbbasi, a leading theorist of Khomeinism and known as
“Kissinger of Islam”, says Iran’s manifest destiny is to turn the White House in
Washington into a Hussaynieh, ending American global hegemony. Iranian President
Ebrahim Raisi talks of “burning Tel Aviv and Haifa to the ground.”
To young Iranists, Iran is a reality that transcends the Islamic part of its
complex identity. Iran is the whole, while Islam in its Khomeinist version only
a part. A series of opinion polls over the past three decades show that the
American “Great Satan” is more popular in Iran than in France and Germany.
Suddenly all things Iranian are keenly appreciated. Classic literally texts are
re-edited, reaching readerships seldom seen before. Traditional architecture,
music, art and even cuisine are reasserting their presence as elements of the
resurgent Iranian identity.
The current duel between Khomeinist mullahs and a new generation of Iranians
reminds one of the Kulturkampf (Culture War) that Germany experienced in the
19th century when “re-becoming ourselves” meant upholding the German identity,
while the Catholic Church preached communion through Christianity.
That war was won by Germanists. We shall see if Iranists win this one in Iran.
If the Sudanese Had the Means to Escape
Elias Harfoush/Asharq Al-Awsat/April 28/2023
As I watch the scenes in Sudan, of foreigners trying to leave Khartoum any which
way they can, I think of the millions of Sudanese left behind. Not lucky enough
to have a foreign passport that would allow them to escape this hell, they are
stuck in the crossfires of the war of “brothers,” who are using the missiles,
fighter jets, and weapons that they had purchased with the Sudanese peoples’
money to kill them.
Worse still, reports indicate that the conflict between the Sudanese army and
the Rapid Support Forces will resume and intensify after the end of the truce
reached to allow for the evacuation of foreign nationals. The world would have
turned its attention elsewhere by then. This state of affairs gives us the
impression that both warring factions are more willing to show other nationals
mercy and respond to the wishes of their governments than to show mercy to their
own people.
In fact, there is every indication that the war of the two generals will not end
before one of them defeats the other, meaning that the Sudanese can expect a lot
more blood to flow before this senseless war ends.
Governments are doing the impossible to evacuate their citizens as swiftly as
possible. These states feel responsible for their people’s safety, even if they
reside or work in a distant country whose airports and facilities are not easy
to access, which is certainly the case for countries embroiled in civil strife,
like Sudan. In Britain, many have criticized the government of Rishi Sunak for
prioritizing the evacuation of the staff of the British embassy in Khartoum and
for being late to evacuate British citizens.
This is how the governments of the world fulfill their responsibilities to their
citizens. Meanwhile, we find the governments of our region disregarding the
interests of their people, igniting wars, and destroying their countries to
further their selfish interests. Of course, these interests do not intersect
with those of the country or its people at any point.
We have a bizarre state of affairs on our hands. The calls for ending the war in
Sudan are being made abroad, instead of domestic leaders pushing for a
resolution themselves.
We thus saw the UN Secretary General and Western officials call on Burhan and
Hamedti to have mercy on their people and end this war. Indeed, no one can see
any justification for what seems to be a struggle waged purely over power and
control over the country’s wealth. Moreover, this war is waged even as the
country suffers from a crushing economic crisis, which should be the concern of
Sudanese officials.
Even more bizarrely, South Sudan has become a mediator in the conflict and is
among the countries working to end the conflict. In fact, it is preparing to
host negotiations for a framework to end the war between the two sides in its
capital Juba. This comes after the war between the North and South, which was
not fought a long time ago, cost the country dearly in terms of human and
material losses and split what used to be the largest country in Africa in 2011.
Oh the irony… oh how times change!
Sudan is, of course, only the latest calamity brought about by the selfishness
of our region’s rulers and their mismanagement of their people’s affairs. As had
been the case elsewhere, the reckless and irresponsible actions of Sudanese
domestic elites come amid calls for restraint from abroad.
How many times have we heard foreign officials call on the rulers of Lebanon,
for example, to have mercy on their people? Pleas like “help us help you” have
fallen on deaf ears despite the economic collapse that has left Lebanon with the
highest inflation rate in the world and over two-thirds of its people living in
poverty. My drive to make comparisons impels me to borrow the phrase “War of
Elimination.” This is the name that was given to the battles fought in the early
nineties between the Lebanese army led by General Michel Aoun and the Lebanese
Forces, which was led by its current chief, Samir Geagea. “Elimination,” the
slogan of that war, is apparently also the objective of the war in Sudan, where
both warring generals are trying to subjugate or eliminate the other! All of
their battles are being fought in areas populated by tens of millions of
civilians. Be it in Khartoum or other regions of Sudan that have witnessed
skirmishes, the population has been taken "hostage.” Like the citizens of other
countries in the region that have become "hostages" of their governments, the
Sudanese have no means to escape. Their only hope for a way out is a visa or a
job opportunity anywhere they can lead a decent life. There, they would not
dream of returning to the country in which they had grown up. For millions of
refugees, a foreign passport has become a dream, in pursuit of which they
traverse borders and hop onto “death boats” taking them to safer countries. They
are ready to put their lives on the line to escape their home countries, where
life can only be wretched. How many would venture to remain in their devastated
countries under the rule of such elites if airports elsewhere were open to those
who want to leave?
Now is not the time for the world to abandon Khartoum
Hervé de Charette/Arab News/April 28/2023
After the war that ruined Yemen and is still ruining it today, after the
conflict that has ravaged Ethiopia in recent years, a new humanitarian tragedy
is looming in Sudan. These three almost neighboring countries, though very
different from each other, have in common that they are deeply divided for
historical, ethnic or religious reasons — sometimes all three.
Sudan, which became independent in 1956 after lengthy Egyptian-British rule, has
experienced numerous crises: a long and cruel dictatorship under the tyranny of
Omar Bashir after a military coup in 1989, an endless civil war in Darfur, the
secession of the southern provinces, before the regime collapsed in 2019 under
pressure from the army. Since April 15 the country has once again fallen into
chaos because rival generals are fighting for power, spreading panic and
hardship among the population.
However, the news that first came out of Khartoum, the capital, was the general
closure of embassies and the accelerated flight of foreign nationals. The
international media were all over it. The images that were broadcast were of
lines of vehicles rushing out of the capital toward Egypt. States with the means
to do so have organized, with the assistance of the UN, the evacuation of their
nationals, negotiating with the military forces on the ground for facilities and
security guarantees. This is what the US, UK and Italy, among others, have done.
As for France, it has chartered air assets to organise flights to Djibouti to
evacuate its diplomats and nationals, about 400 people. All this is
understandable and perfectly legitimate, but one can imagine what the
unfortunate Sudanese people, abandoned in the midst of a catastrophe, may think.
The flight of these ambassadors is lacking a little grace.
The fact is that this conflict is a matter between the regular army, led by Gen.
Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces led by Gen.
Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as Hemedti. After the fall of Bashir and the
failure of attempts to establish a government that included both civilian and
military figures, the two generals joined forces in 2021 to remove civilian
notables and take power together, with Hemedti becoming the number two in the
regime led by Burhan. So this is an intra-military affair, but as always it is
the civilian population who will pay a high price.
This is an intra-military affair, but as always it is the civilian population
who will pay a high price.
This obviously could not last. Hemedti broke the agreement and started
hostilities. The confrontation will therefore be violent and will be seen
through to the end. We should expect the worst. Already, the damage is
considerable and the victims number in the thousands.
Sudan is a poor country where almost a third of the 45 million inhabitants
suffer from hunger. It needs international humanitarian aid, not a civil war
between armies, Sudanese against Sudanese, which is likely to be cruel and
devastating. The flight of foreign residents shows what the international
community expects.
It is feared that the conflict will become international. In 2021, Egypt and
Russia supported the generals’ putsch, while the West condemned it. This time
the situation is different. It seems that Russia is behind the Hemedti
rebellion. There are even whispers that the Wagner militia, already present in
Darfur, could intervene in Khartoum in support of Hemedti. On the contrary, the
West should join Egypt in supporting the head of the army, Gen. Burhan, who has
a certain legitimacy. What is likely to be decisive is the attitude of the Gulf
states, which have some influence in Sudan and could contribute to an armistice.
So this is not the time to leave Khartoum. Neither the US, nor Europe, nor the
Arab countries, nor of course the African Union, have any interest in allowing a
new devastating war to take hold in the Horn of Africa, one that is likely to
turn out as badly as the two previous ones in Yemen and Ethiopia. It is
therefore urgent to do everything possible to prevent it from becoming
entrenched in this unfortunate country.
*Hervé de Charette is a former French Minister of Foreign Affairs and Minister
of Housing, mayor of Saint-Florent-le-Vieil and member of parliament for
Maine-et-Loire.
Local solutions should come first in Syria
Dr. Dania Koleilat Khatib/Arab News/April 28/2023
Since Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan’s visit to Damascus last
week, the discourse in the international community has centered on whether or
not to talk to Bashar Assad. Actually, what the international community should
do is move from a normative discourse to a more practical one. It should talk to
whoever makes a difference on the ground.
The UN-backed meetings in Geneva are not representative of the people, nor can
they make a difference on the ground. Assad, despite the claim he has control
over 70 percent of the country, in reality has no real control over any part of
the country. His army is nothing but a collection of gangs and fragments ruled
by Assad-affiliated warlords that take the name “shabiha.” The only two legions
that have a cohesive command and control structure are the 4th Armored Division
of Maher Assad, which is under Iranian control, and the Tiger Forces commanded
by Suhail Al-Hassan that take orders directly from the Russian base of Hmeimim.
So, even if Assad agreed to anything, would he be able to enforce it? Not
really. On the other hand, the opposition that meets in Geneva, how much are
they in touch with the people on the ground? Again, if they agree to anything,
could they enforce it on the ground? Is the armed opposition accountable to
them? Not really, the armed opposition is as fragmented as the Syrian army and
is only accountable to its foreign backers.
This is only regarding the domestic actors. If we talk about the regional and
global players, the situation gets even more complicated. Can we have an
agreement whereby the US, Russia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Israel and Iran
are all on the same page regarding Syria? Very unlikely.
There is no one solution for the entirety of Syria simply because the landscape
is not the same in the different parts of the country. The landscape in the
northeast is different from Idlib, which is also different from the southwest
and the areas bordering Lebanon. The actors are also different. Jordan is very
active in the southwest because it is next to its borders, whereas it has no
presence in Idlib.
There is no one solution for the entirety of Syria simply because the landscape
is not the same in the different parts of the country
In this respect, the international community should set clear, achievable goals
and realize that Syria cannot be fixed and become a modern, democratic state as
a result of a deal signed in Geneva. The goals should be to stabilize the
security situation, ensure the safe return of refugees and jumpstart the local
economy so that people can sustain themselves. Once those basic goals are
achieved, then the international community can have the luxury of talking about
political systems and democracy.
To achieve those three basic goals, a deal needs to be brokered with actors on
the ground. In fact, in this approach, at least four deals need to be brokered,
each one with different actors.
In the southwestern Deraa region, the international actors are Israel, Jordan
and Russia. Israel and Jordan need to have their borders secured. Russia is the
one that brokered a deal between opposition groups and the regime in July 2018.
The main group, Quwaa Shabab Al-Sunna, which was rebranded as the 8th Brigade,
is still very much in charge of the security of the area, of course under
Russian tutelage. Hence, the Russian-brokered deal should allow refugees to
negotiate an agreement regarding their safe return. In parallel, a plan should
be laid out to allow for local development with the involvement of the
community.
Regarding the areas around Lebanon, a deal should be clinched with the Iranians
and Hezbollah to allow refugees to return. Hezbollah would want to cover its
back and make sure no hostile force is at its doorstep.
As for the northeast, the Americans have a moral obligation toward their Kurdish
allies, who were instrumental in pushing back against Daesh and still today
guard the prisons housing extremists. However, the Americans need to apply
pressure to their Kurdish partners to make sure they share power with their Arab
neighbors and offer security guarantees to Turkey.
As for Idlib, the main power in control here is Turkey. Idlib also has a high
concentration of internally displaced people. When the Russians came to save
Assad in 2015, the armed opposition groups had the choice of either reconciling
with the regime or taking the green buses to Idlib. The Russian plan was to
concentrate the opposition in one place, separate it from the regime and make a
truce between them. It could then broker a deal between Assad and the opposition
that would stabilize the country and allow Moscow to reap the benefits of its
intervention. However, events did not go as expected and Assad kept playing the
Russians off against the Iranians in an attempt to remain relevant.
Since then, Idlib has gathered all of the opposition to Assad. Today, they are
under Turkish influence. This is why Idlib should be the last area to be
handled. Once the other areas of the country are stabilized, then it can be
tackled and an orderly return of internally displaced people from Idlib to all
the different areas of Syria can be planned.
Given the chaotic situation the country is currently experiencing, the
fragmented security situation and the lack of any legitimate representatives of
the Syrian people, it is very unrealistic, even pedantic, for the international
community to ask the Syrians to agree among themselves and find a settlement
that will end the war and transition Syria into a democracy. So, the
international community should move from the frame of mind of a comprehensive
solution to a series of localized solutions. Once local solutions are found, the
Syrian people themselves can find a solution for the entire country.
*Dr. Dania Koleilat Khatib is a specialist in US-Arab relations with a focus on
lobbying. She is president of the Research Center for Cooperation and Peace
Building, a Lebanese nongovernmental organization focused on Track II.