Detailed
Lebanese & Lebanese Related LCCC English New Bulletin For September 27/2018
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias
Bejjani
The Bulletin's Link on the
lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/newselias18/english.september27.18.htm
News Bulletin Achieves Since
2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006
Bible
Quotations
The
Spirit of the Lord is upon me, because he has anointed meto bring good news
to the poor
Luke 04/14-21: "Then Jesus, filled with the power of the Spirit, returned to
Galilee, and a report about him spread through all the surrounding country.
He began to teach in their synagogues and was praised by everyone. When he
came to Nazareth, where he had been brought up, he went to the synagogue on
the sabbath day, as was his custom. He stood up to read, and the scroll of
the prophet Isaiah was given to him. He unrolled the scroll and found the
place where it was written: ‘The Spirit of the Lord is upon me, because he
has anointed meto bring good news to the poor. He has sent me to proclaim
release to the captives and recovery of sight to the blind,to let the
oppressed go free, to proclaim the year of the Lord’s favour.’ And he rolled
up the scroll, gave it back to the attendant, and sat down. The eyes of all
in the synagogue were fixed on him. Then he began to say to them, ‘Today
this scripture has been fulfilled in your hearing.’"
نشرات اخبار عربية وانكليزية مطولة ومفصلة يومية على موقعنا الألكتروني على
الرابط التالي
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Titles For The Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials
from miscellaneous sources published on September 26-27/18
That is what it's called the living in a Box, or the Boxes/Dr. Walid Phares/Face
Book/September 26/18
Aoun in his address at UN General Assembly: In Lebanon, we are groping our
way to rise from consecutive crises/NNA//September 26/18
James Jeffrey: We Are Working With Russia to Get Iran out… Remove Assad
Through Constitution/Heba El Koudsy/Asharq Al-Awsat/September,26/18
Help the People of Iran/Lawrence A. Franklin//Gatestone Institute/September
26/18
The Palestinians' Three No's: What They Mean/Bassam Tawil/Gatestone
Institute/September 26/18
Theresa May Sends a Brexit Message to Two Sets of Skeptics/Therese
Raphael/Bloomberg/September, 26/18
Another Look at the Definitions of Right and Left/Eyad Abu Shakra/Asharq Al
Awsat/September, 26/18
Using the Ahwaz Attack/Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/September,
26/18
The Yield Curve’s Day of Reckoning Is Overblown/Brian Chappatta/Bloomberg/September,
26/18 Angela Merkel's Ugly Romance With The Iraniaqn Regime/Benjamin
Weinthal/The Tablet/September 26/ 2018
Pope, Russia and the US: A bipolar world order déjà vu/Walid Jawad/Al
Arabiya/September 26/18
The need to end tension with philosophy/Fahad Suleiman Shoqiran/Al Arabiya/September
26/18
Who hates Trump’s siege of the Iranian regime/Mashari Althaydi/Al Arabiya/September
26/18
The Iranian ‘surgeon’ is also ill/Ghassan Charbel/Al Arabiya/September 26/18
Titles For The
Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on
September 26-27/18
That is what
it's called the living in a Box, or the Boxes.
Aoun in his address at UN General Assembly: In Lebanon, we are groping our
way to rise from consecutive crises
Lebanon's Parliament Approves Arms Trade Treaty
Lebanon: ‘Tactical’ Withdrawal of Future, LF Deputies From Parliament
Session
Lebanese media: Army blocking internal security forces from Beirut airport
Scuffle Briefly Halts Inspection of Passengers at RHIA
Salameh: BDL to Set Stimulus Packages for Housing Loans
Rampling Meets Hariri, Says UK 'Friend, Ally of Lebanon'
Jumblat: Aoun an Advocate of Reform Should Begin with Electricity File
Macron Says 'Working with Aoun, Hariri' to Return Syrian Refugees
Germany, Saudi Arabia to Restore Envoys after Lebanon Row
Head Of Hizbullah's Al-Manar TV Receives Award Honoring The Network's
'Martyrs' At Italian Event Sponsored By Foreign Ministry And Parliament
Titles For The Latest LCCC
Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on September 26-27/18
Syria says new air defenses will make Israel think twice
Russia Insists on Supplying Syria With S-300 Defense Systems
IS Threatens More Attacks against Iran
Trump Backs 2-State Solution, Pledges Peace Plan within 4 Months
Netanyahu Stresses Israeli Security after Trump 2-State Comments
IS Threatens More Attacks against Iran
Rouhani Says U.S. Will Eventually Rejoin Nuclear Deal
Syria Says New Air Defences Will Make Israel Think Twice
Syrian official says S-300 defenses will give Israel pause
Erdogan says court, not politicians, to decide American pastor’s fate
Druze in Israel Urges Russia’s Intervention to Free Hostages From Syria’s
Sweida
Bahrain: Prosecution Charges 169 Over 'Bahraini Hezbollah' Group
Aboul Gheit Discusses Arab Files With International Officials in New York
World Bank Report Warns Gaza's Economy in 'Free Fall'
The Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on September 26-27/18
That is what it's
called the living in a Box, or the Boxes.
Dr. Walid Phares/Face Book/September 26/18
In Lebanon there are several time zones coexisting at the same time. Those
stuck in the 1920s and the French Mandate time, those stuck in the 1943
National Pact era, those who lament the good old Paris of the Middle East
years before 1968. Those who believe the leftwing Hamra street souvenirs are
the best to go back to. Those who sunk in the 1975 fifteen years war and
keep watching the good old videos. Those who praise the Taif heaven and
Ghazi Kanaan era. Those who cry about the missed opportunity of the Cedars
Revolution and March 14 dreams. And obviously those who religiously believe
that Hezbollah's divine days are what will last for ever. All of the above
exist at the same time. All are stuck in the present and in the past. Few
are trying to get out, get rid of the boundaries and move towards a
different future. Most blame each other, blame mostly others. And most
firmly state, that had it not been for some conspiracies, "their times" were
the best. That is what it's called the living in a Box, or the Boxes...
Aoun in his address at
UN General Assembly: In Lebanon, we are groping our way to rise from
consecutive crises
NNA//September 26/18
President of the Republic, General Michel
Aoun, delivered Lebanon's speech on Wednesday at the 73rd UN General
Assembly.
Below, the full text of the President's speech:
"At the onset, I would like to congratulate Your Excellency on chairing the
seventy-third session of the United Nations General Assembly, wishing you
success in this mission. I would also like to thank His Excellency Mr.
Miroslav Lajcak for his efforts in the conduct of the previous session.
It gives me pleasure to also laud the efforts of the UN Secretary General
Mr. Guterres for his endeavors, in particular his reform project at the top
of the international organization.
You proposed as a theme for the general debate: "making the United Nations
relevant to all people: global leadership and shared responsibilities for
peaceful, equitable and sustainable societies". It is indeed a commendable
proposition because it means that the United Nations is aware that its
present reality requires a serious improvement of the future role expected
from it.
According to its objectives and founding principles, the United Nations must
be the global conscience that preserves balance, prevents aggression,
establishes justice and protects peace. Indeed, at many junctions, the
Security Council failed to adopt fair, and sometimes defining, resolutions
for some people, due to the right of veto, or because some States abstained
from implementing resolutions that do not suit them, even if they were
binding and immediate, without any accountability or sanction.
Let me give you a few examples from the very heart of our region's
suffering:
Security-Council Resolution 425 of 1978, which called Israel to withdraw its
forces from all the Lebanese territories immediately, was only implemented
22 years later, under the pressure of the resistance of the Lebanese people.
In contrast, we see that the General Assembly's Resolution 181 of 1947,
stipulating the division of Palestine, took a binding character although it
is not binding, and it was immediately executed while Resolution 194, also
adopted by the General Assembly in 1948, calling for the return of the
Palestinian Refugees to their home as soon as possible, remained as mere ink
on paper for seventy years.
In this context, the right of veto or the right of objection, has
undoubtedly many considerations and grounds at its origin, but its
consequences affected adversely many countries and peoples, especially in
our region, and deprived them from fundamental rights.
Therefore, for the United Nations to be "a global leadership and to be
relevant to all people...", there must be a reform project that sets out the
enlargement of the Security Council, the increase of the number of Member
States and the adoption of a more transparent, more democratic and more
balanced system. On another hand, it is of paramount importance for the
General Assembly to express better the effective orientation of the
international community.
The United Nations is also invited to promote the protection of human rights
in the world. Having made a remarkable contribution to the setup of the
"Universal Declaration of Human Rights", and having committed itself
expressly to them in the preamble of its Constitution, Lebanon affirms that
it regards human rights as it does the freedom of the individual in society,
and that any assault against human rights today, in any country, paves the
way for tomorrow's disputes.
It is worth noting in this respect that Lebanon is steadily moving forward
in the promotion of human rights at both legislative and executive levels.
Indeed, the Lebanese Parliament has already adopted the law on the
establishment of the national commission for human rights, including a
committee to investigate the use of torture and the mistreatment.
In a related context, we are on the verge of finalizing a national action
plan pertaining to the execution of Security Council Resolution 1325 which
called on the member States to set action plans to enable women to take part
in decision-making processes, negotiations and countering conflicts. The
Lebanese action plan has indeed introduced the four axes of this Resolution,
and it included the guarantee of women participation in decision-making at
all levels, as well as the activation of their role in conflict prevention,
adopting the laws to ban discrimination against women, and to protect them
from violence and abuse.
In Lebanon, we are groping our way to rise from the consecutive crises that
stroke us at various levels;
In security, Lebanon managed to consolidate its security and stability after
having abolished the agglomerations of terrorists from its Eastern and
Northern barrens, and after having dismantled their sleeper cells.
In politics, Lebanon held its parliamentary elections according to a law
based on proportionality for the first time in its history, which led to a
fairer representation of all the components of the Lebanese society. Today,
the formation of a government is under way, based on the outcome of the
elections.
In economy, the guidelines of an economic recovery plan which take into
account the resolutions of the CEDRE Conference, based on activating the
productive sectors, modernizing the infrastructure, and bridging the gap
between revenues and expenses in the budget.
Nevertheless, the neighborhood's crises still weigh heavily upon us with
their consequences. With the break out of the events in Syria, the
displacement waves fleeing the hell of war began to pour into Lebanon, which
tried, to the greatest extent possible, to ensure the conditions of a
dignified decent life for the displaced. Yet, their large numbers and their
fallout on the Lebanese society from various perspectives, from a security
perspective through the increase in regular crime rate to more than 30%,
economically through the increase of the unemployment rate to 21%,
demographically through the increase in population density from 400 to 600
people per square kilometer, in addition to our limited resources, and the
scarce international assistance for Lebanon, which makes it impossible for
us to keep shouldering this burden, especially that most of the Syrian
territories have become safe. I therefore called for the safe return in my
address from this very rostrum last year, and I differentiated between the
safe return and the voluntary return; the Syrians who have taken refuge in
Lebanon are not political refugees, except for a few; most of them were
rather displaced due to the security situation in their country, or for
economic motives, and these from the majority.
Let me present to you, Madam President and Honorable assembly, this Map
issued on 2014 by the United Nations High Commission For Refugees (UNHCR),
showing the evolution of the numbers of registered displaced from 25.000 in
2012 to more than a million in 2014, precisely over a span of two years
barely, and their repartition on the Lebanese territories; and this is the
best illustration of what I am trying to explain to you. (map enclosed)
Here, I would like to note that the United Nations has stopped counting the
displaced in 2014. After that date, the Lebanese General Security continued
its counts which showed that, since that date and on till the moment, the
numbers have exceeded 1.5 million displaced.
Against this background, I reiterate the stance of my country which seeks to
consolidate the right of dignified, safe and sustainable return of the
displaced to their land, rejecting absolutely any project of settlement,
whether for the displaced or the refugee. In this context, we wish to note
our favorable welcome of any initiative which seeks to resolve the issue of
the displacement, such as the Russian initiative.
History has taught us that oppression induces explosion, and the absence of
justice and the double-standards create a feeling of grudge, and fuel all
the tendencies of extremism, and the violence and terrorism they entail.
Unfortunately, the international political approaches for the Middle East
region still lack justice and use double standards, which makes our peoples
question the concept of democracy in the States considered as pioneers in
this respect. The Palestinian cause is the best reflection of this picture;
for the absence of justice in addressing it triggered many wars in the
Middle East and created a resistance that will only end by eliminating
oppression and establishing justice..
The world has voted lately, at the Security Council and the General
Assembly, against the proclamation of AL-Quds (Jerusalem) as the capital of
Israel. Despite the results of the two votes which reflected the will of the
international community, some embassies were transferred to it. Then the law
on the "Jewish nation-State of Israel" was adopted, this displacing law
which relies on the rejection of the other, expressly undermines all the
endeavors of peace and the two-State project.
And to complete the landscape, there came the decision to withhold the
assistance for the UNRWA which by definition stands for the "United Nations
Agency for the Relief and Work of the Refugees of Palestine in the Near
East, in addition to ensuring assistance and protection for them pending a
solution for their suffering".
Has their suffering ceased so that UNRWA's role comes to an end? Or does the
neutralization of its role pave the way to taking the status of refugee away
from them and integrating them in the host countries to wipe away the
Palestinian identity and impose settlement?
A people just found itself overnight who found themselves overnight with no
identity and no nation, by the decision of those who were supposed to be the
defender of weak countries.
Let each one of us imagine for a moment that an international resolution
about which they have no say, rips their land and their identity off; and
while they are trying to hold on to them, the strikes befall them from every
side to make them give up… this is the case of the Palestinian people today,
wandering stateless in the four corners of the world. Do we accept this
situation for ourselves or our peoples? Does the world's conscience accept
this? Is this what is stipulated by the international laws and charters??
And what guarantees that small peoples, notably the Lebanese people, do not
face the same fate?
Simultaneously, the Israeli violations of Resolutions 1701 persist, by land,
sea and air, exceeding 100 violations a month, despite Lebanon's total
commitment to it.
Our world suffers today from a crisis of extremism and fanaticism,
manifesting itself in the rejection of the different "other", the rejection
of their culture, religion, color and civilization, the rejection of their
very existence in absolute; this crisis is likely to aggravate, and no State
is any longer safe from it, with all the devastating effects it has on the
societies and States because it causes their implosion.
The United Nations, and before it the League of Nations, failed to prevent
wars, establish peace and restore right, especially in our region, and one
of the major reasons thereof is not forming a global culture for peace,
based on the knowledge of the different "other" and the practice
coexistence.
This is why the need is pressing for the dialogue of religions, cultures and
races, and for building international cultural institutions specialized in
spreading the culture of dialogue and peace.
With its plural society where Christians and Muslims live together,
co-govern and share the administration, with the expertise of its citizens
spread all over the globe, and with what it stands for as the essence of the
civilizations and cultures it represents and which it embraced throughout
the eras, Lebanon is considered exemplary to establish therein an
international academy to disseminate these values, the "Human Academy for
Encounter and Dialogue".
From this podium, I launched last year an initiative to make Lebanon an
international center for the dialogue of religions, cultures and races, and
we aspire to see this initiative materialize today with a multilateral
convention to establish the Academy in Lebanon, serving as an international
project for permanent gathering and dialogue, and for the promotion of the
spirit of coexistence, in line with the objectives of the United Nations and
the adoption of preventive diplomacy to avoid conflicts.
Humans are the enemies of what they ignore, and the road to salvation
resides in convergence, dialogue, the rejection of the language of violence,
the establishment of justice between the peoples, and it is the only path
that brings back stability and security to our societies, and achieves the
sustainable development that we aspire to."
Lebanon's Parliament
Approves Arms Trade Treaty
The Associated
Press/Sept. 25, 2018/BEIRUT — Lebanon's parliament has ratified the
international Arms Trade Treaty, angering Hezbollah legislators, some of
whom walked out in protest. The 2014 treaty seeks to regulate international
trade in conventional arms and prevent illicit trade. Hezbollah legislator
Ali Ammar walked out of the parliament Tuesday, saying it "infringes on the
weapons of the resistance." After Lebanon's 15-year civil war ended in 1990,
Hezbollah was allowed to keep its weapons since it was fighting Israeli
forces occupying parts of southern Lebanon.Hezbollah today has a massive
arsenal including tens of thousands of rockets and missiles. The group sent
thousands of its fighters to Syria to fight along President Bashar Assad's
forces.
Lebanon: ‘Tactical’
Withdrawal of Future, LF Deputies From Parliament Session
Beirut- Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 26 September, 2018/Lebanon’s Speaker
Nabih Berri adjourned on Tuesday an afternoon legislative session for the
lack of quorum, following a “tactical” walkout of Future Movement and
Lebanese Forces deputies. Prior to adjourning the session, Parliament had
endorsed eight draft laws, mainly the housing loans for citizens with
limited income and the International Arms Trade Treaty. It also discussed
the file of missing and forcibly disappeared persons. The Lebanese
Parliament held its first legislative session on Monday under the caretaker
government, with political forces failing to agree on a new government in
the presence of disputes over ministerial shares. On Tuesday, Prime
Minister-designate Saad Hariri linked attending the evening session to
discussing “legislation of necessity,” or in other terms, articles linked to
the CEDRE conference. Less than an hour after Berri opened the evening
session, LF and Future Movement deputies started leaving after some deputies
rejected to discuss legislation of article 17 following articles related to
the CEDRE conference and the legislation of necessity. During the morning
session, and despite being ratified by Parliament, the International Arms
Trade Treaty was rejected by Hezbollah deputies. The party’s MP Jawwaf
Moussawi said the Israeli enemy is a partner in that treaty and therefore,
Lebanon has no interest in signing it. However, Hariri defended the treaty,
saying it has nothing to do with Hezbollah’s weapons. “Lebanon must sign the
treaty because it serves its interests,” Hariri said. Another debate erupted
between Hariri and MP Jamil Sayyed after Parliament endorsed a draft law for
a $50 million loan from the Kuwaiti Fund for Arab Economic Development for
wastewater treatment in the Chouf region and a $15 million loan from the
European Investment Bank for the wastewater treatment for the Ghadir River
Basin. Sayyed said this law would only benefit Syrian refugees. But, Hariri
said those projects would benefit both Lebanese and Syrians, and when the
Syrians leave, they will be beneficial for the Lebanese. After adjourning
Tuesday’s session, Speaker Berri did not set a date for a new one.
Lebanese media: Army blocking internal security forces
from Beirut airport
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English/Wednesday, 26 September 2018/The inspection
of departing passengers at Rafik Hariri International Airport was
interrupted on Wednesday, local media reported.The Daily Star Lebanon said
that the development was a result of a "dispute that erupted in the airport
between members of both the Internal Security Forces and the Lebanese Army,"
citing an unnamed source. It was also reported that the army blocked the
Internal Security Forces from the airport.
Scuffle Briefly Halts Inspection of Passengers at RHIA
Naharnet/September 26/18/The Inspection of passengers at the Rafik Hariri
International Airport in Beirut was briefly disrupted after a scuffle
between members of the ISF and the airport police, media reports said on
Wednesday. They said a dispute erupted between members of the ISF and the
Lebanese Army. Activity resumed normalcy shortly after. It is not a first
for Lebanon’s airport to witness disruption, as conflict between political
parties seems to take its toll on the country's only commercial airport. It
is not a first for Lebanon’s only commercial airport to witness disruption.
For over five years, the terminal has reportedly been working well above
capacity. Early in September, an outage of the luggage and registration
processing system stranded thousands of passengers who sat for hours waiting
in crowded halls at the terminal.
Salameh: BDL to Set Stimulus Packages for Housing Loans
Naharnet/September 26/18/Lebanon Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh
announced on Wednesday that Banque du Liban (BDL) is going to set stimulus
packages for housing loans in 2019, LBCI TV station said on Wednesday.
Salameh said that BDL will later decide the amount, LBCI said. Salameh’s
remarks came one day after the parliament approved an LBP 100 billion
financial support for housing loans meant for low-income citizens. The
decision came following a push by political parties urging the government to
find a solution to the housing loans crisis that emerged in July. The
Lebanese Public Corporation for Housing (PCH) declared on July 8 that
housing loans requests are to be rejected starting July 9th.BDL regularly
finances the housing loans through the PCH.
Rampling Meets Hariri, Says UK 'Friend, Ally of
Lebanon'
Naharnet/September 26/18/British Ambassador to Lebanon Chris Rampling met
Wednesday with Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri and underscored that the
United Kingdom “is a friend and ally of Lebanon.”“The United Kingdom is a
friend and ally of Lebanon and very proud of what we have been doing
together with the Lebanese authorities, including strengthening and to
continue to support the Lebanese state,” Rampling said after the talks.
“We've been able together to help to secure the border with Syria for the
first time in Lebanon’s history, to provide the opportunity of education for
all, strengthen service delivery in municipalities and also provide
humanitarian assistance to the most vulnerable,” he added. “As I told His
Excellency, I look forward to continuing to work with him over the coming
years,” the ambassador went on to say.
It was his first meeting with Hariri since his recent arrival in Beirut as
British Ambassador to Lebanon.
Jumblat: Aoun an Advocate of Reform Should Begin with
Electricity File
Naharnet/September 26/18/Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblat
stressed he has “no personal conflict” with President Michel Aoun, urging
him to address the problematic file of electricity “since he is an advocate
of reform,” al-Joumhouria daily reported on Wednesday. “I don’t have a
problem with anyone. When I say the (presidential) mandate is a failure I
don’t mean the President. I mean the whole system,” said Jumblat in an
interview to the daily. “I have nothing against President Aoun. I don’t have
a personal conflict with him. He has called for reform so let him begin with
the electricity file,” he added. Lebanon has for decades struggled with
daily power cuts. Blackouts have been a fixture of life in the country since
the 1975-1990 civil war. On the government formation delay, Jumblat
reiterated commitment to allocate three Druze ministerial portfolios for the
PSP. “We insist that we get three ministers. When serious talk begins, then
we would be ready for negotiations taking the (parliamentary) elections
outcome into consideration,” he said, pointing out that further delay would
entail additional costs on the treasury.
Macron Says 'Working with Aoun, Hariri' to Return
Syrian Refugees
Naharnet/September 26/18/French President Emmanuel Macron revealed Tuesday
that he is “working hard” with President Michel Aoun and Prime
Minister-designate Saad Hariri to “return the displaced Syrians to their
country safely.”“I'm working hard with Aoun and Hariri to return the
displaced Syrians to their country safely, until we find a drastic political
solution in Syria, that's why we have started efforts to repatriate small
groups,” Lebanon's MTV quoted Macron as saying. “I have helped Lebanon to
organize three economic conferences,” the French leader boasted.
Germany, Saudi Arabia to Restore Envoys after Lebanon Row
Naharnet/September 26/18/Germany and Saudi Arabia on Tuesday agreed to
return ambassadors some 10 months after the kingdom fumed over criticism
about its role in Lebanon. Saudi Arabia, which has increasingly challenged
Western governments who speak out on its record, in November recalled its
ambassador from Berlin following the eyebrow-raising resignation of Saad
Hariri as Lebanon's prime minister while visiting Riyadh. Sigmar Gabriel,
who was then Germany's foreign minister, said that Lebanon's neighbors
should let the recovering country decide its own fate, angering Saudi Arabia
which like Hariri denied that he was coerced. Gabriel's successor Heiko
Maas, meeting with Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir on the sidelines of
the annual UN General Assembly, voiced regret and said the two countries
would send back ambassadors. "In recent months our relations have witnessed
misunderstandings which stand in sharp contrast to our otherwise strong and
strategic ties with the kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and we sincerely regret
this," Maas told reporters. "We should have been clearer in our
communication and engagement in order to avoid such
misunderstandings."Jubeir, speaking next to Maas, invited him to visit and
affirmed "deep strategic ties" with Germany. "The kingdom and Germany play a
leading role in bolstering international security and stability and the
global economy," Jubeir said. Saudi Arabia, which has especially close ties
with US President Donald Trump, has increasingly made clear it would not
tolerate reprimands. Last month Riyadh expelled the ambassador of Canada and
froze all new trade after Ottawa denounced a crackdown on activists in the
kingdom. Saudi Arabia similarly pulled its ambassador from Sweden in 2015
over human rights criticism. Hariri, who eventually returned to Lebanon and
reversed his resignation, also holds Saudi and French nationality. The
episode was seen as the latest chapter in Saudi Arabia's intensifying feud
with regional rival Iran after Hariri improved ties with longtime rival
Hezbollah, a militant Shiite movement backed by Tehran.
Head Of Hizbullah's
Al-Manar TV Receives Award Honoring The Network's 'Martyrs' At Italian Event
Sponsored By Foreign Ministry And Parliament
MEMRI/September 26/18/On September 24, Al-Manar TV reported that its General
Director, Ibrahim Farhat, participated in the Marzani International Awards
Conference for Journalism and Literature held in Benevento, Italy on
September 15-16, 2018. According to the report, the conference, sponsored by
the Italian Parliament and Foreign Ministry, honored Al-Manar TV journalists
who were "martyred" in the Syrian city of Maaloula. Ibrahim Farhat attended
the conference alongside European Parliament member Massimo Paolucci,
Tunisian consul Leila El Houssi, and the mayor of San Giorgio del Sannio,
Mario Pepe. "The Italian Organizers Of The Conference Honored The Martyrs Of
Al-Manar TV"
Host: "The General Director of Al-Manar TV,
Ibrahim Farhat, is participating in an international conference honoring
journalists and novelists in Italy. Al-Manar's martyrs were the most
prominent of those honored."
Reporter: "Al-Manar TV was an honored guest at the 11th International Awards
for Journalism and Literature held by the Marzani association in the
southern Italian city of Benevento.
"The two-day conference was sponsored by the Italian Parliament and Foreign
Ministry. It was attended by a group of journalists, and political and
literary activists. The first day of the conference featured a symposium
which was titled 'The Role of the Media in Conflicts and the Issue of
Immigration.' It was attended by the General Director of Al-Manar TV,
Ibrahim Farhat, alongside European Parliament member Massimo Paolucci,
Tunisian Consul Leila El Houssi, and the mayor of San Giorgio del Sannio,
Mario Pepe."
Ibrahim Farhat: "Those martyrs fell in the Christian town of Maaloula. [They
died] so that Maaloula may live, and so that its people may return."
Reporter: "The Italian organizers of the conference honored the martyrs of
Al-Manar TV, who fell in the Syrian city of Maaloula. As he received the
award, Al-Manar's General Director lauded the sacrifices of journalists,
first and foremost of which were the martyrs of Al-Manar TV."
Ibrahim Farhat: "We dedicate this award to all the martyrs of the press who
bore witness to the word [of truth], and particularly to the martyrs of Al-Manar,
killed in Maaloula. They prayed their prayers in the mosque, and they
saluted the Virgin Mary."
The Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News
published
on
September 26-27/18
Syria says new air
defenses will make Israel think twice
AFP/September 26, 2018/DAMASCUS: A top Syrian official has said a new air
defense system from ally Russia will force Israel to “think carefully”
before carrying out any more air strikes in the country.Moscow announced on
Monday it would deliver the advanced S-300 air defense system, a week after
the Syrian military downed a Russian plane by mistake following an Israeli
air strike. Russia has blamed the friendly fire on Israeli pilots using the
larger Russian plane as “cover.”Late Tuesday, Deputy Foreign Minister Faisal
Al-Meqdad said Damascus welcomed the delivery of the advanced S-300 system
promised to arrive within two weeks. It replaces Syria’s existing
Russian-built S-200 system, which dates back to the Soviet era, in a move
that had been due to take place in 2013 but was held up by Russia at
Israel’s request. “I think that Israel, which is accustomed to carrying out
many attacks under different pretexts, will have to think carefully about
attacking Syria again,” Meqdad said. In recent years, Israel has carried out
repeated air strikes in war-torn Syria against Iranian targets and what is
says are advanced arm deliveries to Lebanese Shiite militant group
Hezbollah. Iran and Hezbollah are allies of President Bashar Assad in the
seven-year civil war. “Let the Israelis try, we will defend ourselves as we
always do,” the state SANA news agency quoted Meqdad as saying. The downing
of the Russian plane late Monday last week killed all 15 soldiers on board,
after an Israeli plane targeted a military position in the northwestern
province of Latakia. The accident was the deadliest friendly fire between
Syria and Russia since Moscow’s game-changing military intervention in the
war in 2015.More than 360,000 people have been killed and millions displaced
since the conflict erupted in 2011 with the brutal repression of
anti-government protests.
Russia Insists on
Supplying Syria With S-300 Defense Systems
Moscow, Tel Aviv- Raed Jabr and Nazir Majli/Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 26
September, 2018/Political sources in Tel Aviv said on Tuesday that after
holding two phone conversations with Russian President Vladimir Putin and
following a visit by commander of the Israeli Air Force to the Russian
Defense Ministry, Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu decided to ask for the
help of the US administration to de-escalate Russian-Israeli tensions and
stop the delivery of S-300 air defense missile system to Damascus. A source
close to Netanyahu said the S-300 crisis would be raised during talks held
this week between US President Donald Trump and Netanyahu on the sidelines
of the UN General Assembly meetings in New York. Moscow announced on Monday
it would supply the Syrian government with modern S-300 missile defense
systems. And despite objections from Washington and Tel Aviv, Russia
insisted on Tuesday it has the “right” to offer “military and technical
support to its partners.” Last Monday, Putin defended Moscow’s move during a
telephone call with Netanyahu, by telling the Israeli PM that the Russian
move was “aimed primarily at fending off any potential threat to the lives
of Russian servicemen.”If delivered, the air defense missile system is
capable of intercepting air assault weapons at a distance of more than 250
kilometers and hit simultaneously several air targets.Meanwhile, the newly
elected US special representative to Syria James Jeffrey told Asharq Al-Awsat
on Tuesday that US forces would remain in Syria to achieve three objectives:
Uproot ISIS, remove Iranian forces from Syria and implement a political
operation that leads to the establishment of a committee, which should later
draft a new Syrian constitution and hold elections. Jeffrey said he was
convinced that head of Syrian regime Bashar Assad could be removed from
power through a constitutional operation, similar to what happened with
former Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki. He said Washington was
coordinating with Russia at all political and military levels. “We want the
Russians to use their power to secure that Iran-backed forces leave Syria,”
Jeffrey explained.
IS Threatens More Attacks against Iran
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 26/18/The Islamic State jihadist
group on Wednesday threatened to carry out new attacks in Iran, days after
it claimed a deadly shooting at a military parade in the country's
southwest. Iran is "flimsier than a spider's web, and with God's help, what
comes will be worse and more bitter", the group said in a statement on the
Telegram messaging app. Iranian authorities have blamed "jihadist
separatists" for the assault Saturday in the southwestern city of Ahvaz,
which killed 24 people including a four-year-old child and other civilians.
The attack targeted a parade in Khuzestan province, commemorating the
1980-1988 Iran-Iraq war. The border region, home to a large ethnic Arab
community, was a major battleground of the conflict and saw ethnic unrest in
2005 and 2011. Iranian officials initially blamed Arab separatists, who they
claimed were behind previous unrest, for the attack, saying they were backed
by Gulf Arab allies of the United States. This version was bolstered when a
movement called "Ahwaz National Resistance", an Arab separatist group,
claimed responsibility shortly after the assault. But the Islamic State
group (IS) was also quick to claim responsibility and later posted a video
of men it said were the attackers. In a three-minute audio recording
released Wednesday, the Sunni jihadist group's spokesman Abu Hassan al-Muhajir
said Iran "had not recovered from the fearful shock, which God willing will
not be the last."Shiite-dominated Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei, on Monday linked the attackers to Iraq and Syria, where IS once
had major strongholds. "This cowardly act was the work of those very
individuals who are rescued by the Americans whenever they are in trouble in
Iraq and Syria and who are funded by the Saudis and the (United) Arab
Emirates," Khamenei was quoted as saying by his official website. On June 7,
2017 in Tehran, 17 people were killed and dozens wounded in simultaneous
attacks on the parliament and on the tomb of revolutionary leader Ayatollah
Ruhollah Khomeini -- the first inside Iran claimed by IS.
Trump Backs 2-State Solution, Pledges Peace Plan within 4 Months
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 26/18/U.S. President Donald Trump
said Wednesday he would present a two-state peace plan for the Middle East
in the coming months, voicing confidence the Palestinians would return to
talks despite his unwavering support for Israel.
Speaking before entering talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu in New York, Trump said that it was a "dream" of his to bring
about a peaceful solution to a conflict that has eluded several of his
predecessors. "I would say over the next two to three to four months," Trump
said, referring to his prospective timetable for presenting a plan as he met
Netanyahu on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly. Trump for the first
time said explicitly that he backed a two-state solution that would create
an independent Palestine, saying: "That's what I think works best, that's my
feeling.""I really believe something will happen. It is a dream of mine to
be able to get that done prior to the end of my first term," added Trump,
who was elected to a four-year term through January 2021. The Middle East
peace process has effectively been stalled since the Palestinians broke off
contacts with the Trump administration last year in protest at the U.S.
president's decision to recognize Jerusalem as the capital of the Jewish
state. The Palestinians also want Jerusalem to be their capital and have
long argued that the status of the holy city should only be settled as part
of a larger peace agreement. Relations between the Palestinian Authority and
the United States have fallen even lower in recent weeks after Washington
cut off funding, including to a U.N. agency that helps millions of
Palestinian refugees. Trump, however, said that he was in no doubt that the
Palestinians would soon return to the negotiating table. "They are
absolutely coming back to the table," he said. "Absolutely, 100 percent."
Netanyahu Stresses
Israeli Security after Trump 2-State Comments
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 26/18/Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu said Wednesday that Israel must retain security control in any
peace deal with the Palestinians, Israeli media reported, after U.S.
President Donald Trump's comments supporting a two-state solution to the
conflict. Speaking to Israeli journalists after meeting Trump in New York on
the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly, Netanyahu reiterated his stance
that Israel must control security west of Jordan to the Mediterranean --
which includes the occupied West Bank. "I am willing for the Palestinians to
have the authority to rule themselves without the authority to harm us,"
Netanyahu said, according to Israeli newspaper Haaretz. "It is important to
set what is inadmissible to us: Israel will not relinquish security control
west of Jordan. This will not happen so long as I am prime minister and I
think the Americans understand that."As in the past, Netanyahu did not
specify whether he could support full Palestinian statehood in a peace deal
or some lesser form of autonomy. A key Israeli government minister and
Netanyahu rival said after Trump's comments that a Palestinian state was out
of the question. "The president of the U.S. is a true friend of Israel,"
Education Minister Naftali Bennett of the far-right Jewish Home party said
on Twitter. "However, it must be emphasized that as long as the Jewish Home
party is part of Israel's government, there will not be a Palestinian state
which would be a disaster for Israel." When meeting Netanyahu on Wednesday,
Trump said explicitly for the first time that he backed a two-state solution
that would create an independent Palestine, saying: "That's what I think
works best, that's my feeling."The Palestinian leadership cut off contact
with Trump's administration after he recognized the disputed city of
Jerusalem as Israel's capital in December. Trump has also cut more than $500
million in Palestinian aid. Palestinian leaders accuse his White House of
blatant bias in favor of Israel and of seeking to blackmail them into
accepting his terms. Trump has nevertheless spoken of wanting to reach the
"ultimate deal" -- Israeli-Palestinian peace.
He said Wednesday he would present his plan before the end of the year.
IS Threatens More Attacks against Iran
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 26/18/The Islamic State jihadist
group on Wednesday threatened to carry out new attacks in Iran, days after
it claimed a deadly shooting at a military parade in the country's
southwest. Iran is "flimsier than a spider's web, and with God's help, what
comes will be worse and more bitter", the group said in a statement on the
Telegram messaging app.Iranian authorities have blamed "jihadist
separatists" for the assault Saturday in the southwestern city of Ahvaz,
which killed 24 people including a four-year-old child and other civilians.
The attack targeted a parade in Khuzestan province, commemorating the
1980-1988 Iran-Iraq war. The border region, home to a large ethnic Arab
community, was a major battleground of the conflict and saw ethnic unrest in
2005 and 2011. Iranian officials initially blamed Arab separatists, who they
claimed were behind previous unrest, for the attack, saying they were backed
by Gulf Arab allies of the United States. This version was bolstered when a
movement called "Ahwaz National Resistance", an Arab separatist group,
claimed responsibility shortly after the assault. But the Islamic State
group (IS) was also quick to claim responsibility and later posted a video
of men it said were the attackers. In a three-minute audio recording
released Wednesday, the Sunni jihadist group's spokesman Abu Hassan al-Muhajir
said Iran "had not recovered from the fearful shock, which God willing will
not be the last."Shiite-dominated Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei, on Monday linked the attackers to Iraq and Syria, where IS once
had major strongholds. "This cowardly act was the work of those very
individuals who are rescued by the Americans whenever they are in trouble in
Iraq and Syria and who are funded by the Saudis and the (United) Arab
Emirates," Khamenei was quoted as saying by his official website. On June 7,
2017 in Tehran, 17 people were killed and dozens wounded in simultaneous
attacks on the parliament and on the tomb of revolutionary leader Ayatollah
Ruhollah Khomeini -- the first inside Iran claimed by IS.
Rouhani Says U.S. Will Eventually Rejoin Nuclear Deal
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 26/18/Iranian President Hassan
Rouhani predicted Wednesday that the United States will eventually rejoin an
international nuclear deal, saying talks this week at the United Nations
showed his counterpart Donald Trump's isolation.
"The United States of America one day, sooner or later, will come back. This
cannot be continued," Rouhani told a news conference.
Syria Says New Air Defences Will Make Israel Think
Twice
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 26/18/A top Syrian official has said
a new air defence system from ally Russia will force Israel to "think
carefully" before carrying out any more air strikes in the country. Moscow
announced on Monday it would deliver the advanced S-300 air defence system,
a week after the Syrian military downed a Russian plane by mistake following
an Israeli air strike. Russia has blamed the friendly fire on Israeli pilots
using the larger Russian plane as "cover". Late Wednesday, Deputy Foreign
Minister Faisal al-Meqdad said Damascus welcomed the delivery of the
advanced S-300 system promised to arrive within two weeks. It replaces
Syria's existing Russian-built S-200 system, which dates back to the Soviet
era, in a move that had been due to take place in 2013 but was held up by
Russia at Israel's request. "I think that Israel, which is accustomed to
carrying out many attacks under different pretexts, will have to think
carefully about attacking Syria again," Meqdad said. In recent years, Israel
has carried out repeated air strikes in war-torn Syria against Iranian
targets and what is says are advanced arm deliveries to Lebanese Shiite
militant group Hezbollah. Iran and Hezbollah are allies of President Bashar
al-Assad in the seven-year civil war. "Let the Israelis try, we will defend
ourselves as we always do," the state SANA news agency quoted Meqdad as
saying. The downing of the Russian plane late Monday last week killed all 15
soldiers on board, after an Israeli plane targeted a military position in
the northwestern province of Latakia. The accident was the deadliest
friendly fire between Syria and Russia since Moscow's game-changing military
intervention in the war in 2015. More than 360,000 people have been killed
and millions displaced since the conflict erupted in 2011 with the brutal
repression of anti-government protests.
Syrian official says
S-300 defenses will give Israel pause
The Associated Press, Beirut /Wednesday, 26 September 2018/A Syrian official
says Israel should think carefully before attacking Syria again once it
obtains the sophisticated S-300 defense system from Russia. Deputy Foreign
Minister Faisal Mekdad said late Tuesday that the S-300 should have been
given to Syria long ago. He says Israel, “which is accustomed to launching
many aggressions under different pretexts, will have to make accurate
calculations if it thinks to attack Syria again.”Russia said Monday that it
will supply Damascus with the defense system after last week’s downing of a
Russian plane by Syria forces responding to an Israeli airstrike. The
Russian Il-20 military reconnaissance aircraft was downed by Syrian air
defenses that mistook it for an Israeli aircraft, killing all 15 people on
board.
Erdogan says court, not politicians, to decide American
pastor’s fate
Reuters, New York/Wednesday, 26 September 2018/Turkish President Recep
Tayyip Erdogan said a Turkish court, not politicians, will decide the fate
of an American pastor whose detention on terrorism charges has roiled
relations between Ankara and Washington. In an interview on Tuesday while he
was in New York for the annual United Nations General Assembly, Erdogan said
Turkey will continue to purchase Iran’s natural gas, despite US sanctions on
Tehran. Erdogan said it was impossible for Syrian peace efforts to continue
with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in power, adding that the withdrawal
of “radical groups” had already started from a new demilitarized zone in
Syria’s Idlib region. Erdogan also said the decision of Turkey’s central
bank to raise its benchmark rate was a clear sign of its independence,
adding that as president he was against increasing the rates.
Druze in Israel Urges Russia’s Intervention to Free
Hostages From Syria’s Sweida
Tel Aviv/Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 26 September, 2018/Israel’s Druze
spiritual leader Moafak Tarif met with Russian Deputy Foreign Minister
Mikhail Bogdanov on Tuesday in Moscow to seek the help of Russia in the
release of women and children abducted by ISIS in the Sweida region of Syria
around two months ago.Tarif told Asharq Al-Awsat that the visit came within
efforts initiated by the Druze community in Israel with several Arab and
international parties to stop the terrorist massacre in Sweida. “Around two
months have passed since the massacre, which claimed the lives of 255
people, while the fate of 29 women and children, who have been horribly
abducted, is still unknown,” Tarif said. “We have called on the Syrian
government to work for their release. Then, we resorted to the United
Nations and to several countries in the world, such as the United States,
Germany, Britain and France. Since the beginning of the crisis, we had
contacted the Russian Embassy in Tel Aviv, and today we are meeting today
with Mr. Bogdanov, who is in charge of the Middle East file in the Russian
Foreign Ministry.” ISIS launched attacks on Druze villages in the province
of Sweida at dawn on June 25. According to the Syrian Observatory for Human
Rights, 255 people were killed in the attack: 142 civilians, including 38
children and women, and 113 armed men, most of them from the province, who
took up arms to protect their towns and their families. ISIS began its
attack by blowing up four suicide bombers in the city. The terrorist
organization abducted 36 civilians, including women and children, during the
attack. Four women managed to escape later, while the bodies of two others
were found; one was shot in the head and the other was old. Thus, 30 people
are still being held by the extremist organization, according to the
Observatory, which confirmed that the fate of 17 other men was still
unknown.
Bahrain: Prosecution Charges 169 Over 'Bahraini
Hezbollah' Group
Manama- Obeid Al-Suhaimi/Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 26 September,
2018/Bahrain’s Terror Crime Prosecution referred 169 suspects to trial for
the case of formation of a terrorist group detonating a bomb, attempting
murder, training on the use of firearms and explosives and handling,
possessing, making and using explosives and firearms.The authorities
apprehended 111 members of the group named “Bahraini Hezbollah”, and it is
still pursuing 58 members who are believed to be residing in Iran. Other
charges included receiving and giving money allocated to the terrorist
group, hiding ammunition and explosives and damaging public and private
property. The Public Prosecution had received a report from the Criminal
Investigation Directorate (CID) regarding the formation of a terrorist cell
inside Bahrain after Iranian regime leaders issued their orders to Iran’s
Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to unify the elements of various terrorist
factions that carry out terror attacks in Bahrain. Chief of Terror Crime
Prosecution Ahmed al-Hammadi explained that the group’s orders included
holding intensive meetings with the leaders of the groups and movements in
Iran, coordinating with trained elements in other countries, and providing
various forms of financial, logistic and technical support to unite them.
IRGC’s purpose of the merger is to activate all affiliated terrorists who
had received military training over the years and who were planted as
dormant cells in order to use their capabilities. They also wanted to
compensate for the shortage of militarily trained leaders in Bahrain who had
either been apprehended or escaped the country. They want to share their
military training on how to use weapons and make or implant explosives and
detonate them remotely as well as their experience in setting up secret
warehouses in houses and farms and other locations. Elements with military
training were assigned to recruit and facilitate sending Bahraini youth who
are not known to the security agencies in order to undergo training in Iran,
Iraq and Lebanon in training camps run by the Corps.
Trained members were also tasked with preparing terrorist elements in the
country to use ‘dead spots’ in transporting, exchanging, delivering,
receiving funds, weapons, ready for use or locally made ammunition and
explosives and remotely-detonated explosive devices.
Later, they were to carry out attacks to assassinate public figures, target
security patrols and personnel, attack oil and service installations and
vital economic establishments in order to undermine Bahrain’s security and
incite public opinion against the constitutional regime.
James Jeffrey: We Are Working With Russia to Get Iran out… Remove Assad
Through Constitution
Heba El Koudsy/Asharq Al-Awsat/September,26/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/67714/%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%A8%D8%B9%D9%88%D8%AB-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A3%D9%85%D9%8A%D8%B1%D9%83%D9%8A-%D9%8A%D8%A4%D9%83%D8%AF-%D9%84%D9%84%D8%B4%D8%B1%D9%82-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A3%D9%88%D8%B3%D8%B7-%D8%AC%D9%8A/
The new US envoy for Syria, James Jeffrey, expressed his optimism that the
Sochi agreement, signed by Turkey and Russia, could be sustained. He said
the opportunity was ripe after the fighting stopped relatively in Syria to
discuss how to move ahead with a political process that would include a new
constitution and general elections. In an interview with Asharq Al-Awsat in
New York, Jeffrey stressed that the US forces would remain in Syria, not as
an occupying power, but to carry out three goals: to uproot ISIS and prevent
its re-emergence; to expel the Iranian forces out of the country; and to
guarantee the implementation of a political process that would lead to the
formation of a committee to draft the constitution and hold general
elections. The US envoy said he believed that the agreement reached in Sochi
between Turkey and Russia was good and could be maintained, hoping that it
would represent a turning point in the Syrian conflict and would pave the
way for negotiations based on the Geneva process and UN Security Council
Resolution 2254.
Asked about his evaluation of the Russian role in Syria, Jeffrey noted that
the US had continuous contacts with Russians at all levels, stressing that
President Donald Trump had spoken extensively with his Russian counterpart,
Vladimir Putin, during the Helsinki summit in July.
“Foreign Minister Mike Pompeo spoke with his Russian counterpart Sergei
Lavrov and the military commanders of the two sides communicate on a daily
basis to calm any clashes,” he added. In this regard, Jeffrey explained that
the US wanted to see Russia support UNSCR 2254 and use its influence to
guarantee the withdrawal of pro-Iranian forces from Syria.“We see no reason
for the Iranians to stay in Syria once this war ends,” he stated. Jeffrey
stressed that only Russia could help the US to remove the Iranians from
Syria. “The United States will not use military force to get the Iranians
out of Syria,” he added. According to the US envoy, there are five foreign
forces involved in the conflict in Syria: the United States, Russia, Iran,
Turkey and Israel. He noted that every country had its own goals and was
pursuing another player: Israel pursues Hezbollah, the United States hunts
ISIS, the Russians and the Iranians chase Assad’s opponents and the Turks
pursue the Kurds and ISIS.
He noted that while all these forces were successfully confronting those
players, he emphasized that any misjudgment or bad calculation could raise
concern and lead to a very dangerous situation. Asked about the US vision of
a political solution to the Syrian crisis, Jeffry underlined that any
solution required a commission to draft a new constitution, the achievement
of security and the holding of elections. He noted that imposing economic
and financial pressure on Syria would not be enough to push for a political
process, underlining Syria’s need for international recognition as a normal
country.
“The international community, the Arab states, the European Union and the
United States do not view Syria as a normal state… So the Syrian regime is
isolated diplomatically and bankrupt economically,” Jeffrey said. As for the
fate of Bashar Al-Assad, the US envoy emphasized that his country’s goal was
not to remove Assad. “We will be happy if he leaves and declares his
departure voluntarily. But this is not our goal. Our goal is a different
Syria that does not threaten its people or neighbors, does not use chemical
weapons, does not expel refugees and displace people from its territory, and
does not provide Iran with a platform to launch rockets against Israel,” he
noted. “[Former Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri] al-Maliki was removed from
office through the constitution because he could not prevent ISIS from
taking control of areas in Iraq. No country in the Middle East had removed a
leader because he did not meet the expectations of his people… I was present
when the Iraqi constitution was drafted, and I was skeptical; but the Iraqis
believed in the constitution, and I do not know what prevents Syria from
moving in this direction,” the US envoy concluded.
Aboul Gheit Discusses Arab Files With International
Officials in New York
Cairo- Sawsan Abu Hussein/Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 26
September, 2018/Arab League Secretary General Ahmed Aboul Gheit participated
in the consultative meeting of Arab foreign ministers held in New York on
the sidelines of the 73rd session of the United Nations General Assembly. He
also met with a number of international officials in New York to discuss a
number of Arab files, mainly the Palestinian cause. Ambassador Mahmoud Afifi,
spokesman for the Secretary-General, said that the meeting witnessed an
exchange of views on the most important topics on the agenda of the current
session of the General Assembly. He also said that extensive talks were held
with the aim of securing as much international support as possible for Arab
visions and stances. Afifi also said that Dr. Riyad Al Malki, Minister of
Foreign Affairs of Palestine, presented during the meeting the latest
developments and the contacts made by Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas to
face the repercussions of the recent US decisions, including the suspension
of the financial contribution to the United Nations Relief and Works Agency
for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA). The Palestinian minister expressed his
appreciation in this regard to the Arab countries which have provided
additional financial support to the international agency to cover the gaps
that resulted from the US decision. According to the spokesman, the
consultative meeting also witnessed an exchange of views on the latest
developments in Syria, Libya and Yemen, where the ministers agreed on the
need to activate the relevant resolutions issued by the Arab League. Aboul
Gheit also met with Federica Mogherini, the EU High Representative for
Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, with whom he reviewed developments in
Arab countries witnessing armed conflicts. The secretary-general highly
valued the European stance on the Palestinian issue, including the EU’s
commitment to the two-state solution.
World Bank Report Warns Gaza's Economy in 'Free Fall'
Ramallah- Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 26 September, 2018/A report from the
World Bank warned Tuesday that the Gaza Strip's economy is in "free fall,"
calling for urgent action by Israel and the international community to avoid
"immediate collapse."The bank's report will be presented to the
international donor group for Palestinians, known as the Ad Hoc Liaison
Committee, at its meeting in New York on Thursday on the sidelines of the UN
General Assembly. The meeting will coincide with the speeches to the
assembly of both Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas and Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin. Already squeezed by the more than decade-long Israeli
blockade, Gaza's economy has been further weakened by US aid cuts and
financial measures by Abbas's Palestinian Authority. US President Donald
Trump's administration has meanwhile cut more than $500 million in aid to
the Palestinians, including ending all support for the UN agency for
Palestinian refugees. "A combination of war, isolation, and internal
rivalries has left Gaza in a crippling economic state and exacerbated the
human distress," said Marina Wes, the World Bank's director for the region.
Wes said the increasingly dire economic situation in Gaza "has reached a
critical point.""Increased frustration is feeding into the increased
tensions which have already started spilling over into unrest and set back
the human development of the region's large youth population," she
added.Gazans have staged near-weekly demonstrations along the border with
Israel since late March, in part to protest the blockade enforced by Israel
since 2007, when Hamas seized the territory. Hamas has led and organized the
protests, but turnout has also been driven by growing despair over
blockade-linked hardship, including lengthy power cuts and soaring
unemployment. At least 187 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli fire
since the protests began on March 30. One Israeli soldier has been killed in
that time. Israel says its actions are necessary to defend the border and
accuses Hamas of using the protests as cover to attempt infiltrations and
attacks. Palestinians and human rights groups say protesters have been shot
while posing no real threat. "The economic deterioration in both Gaza and
West Bank can no longer be counteracted by foreign aid, which has been in
steady decline, nor by the private sector, which remains confined by
restrictions on movement, access to primary materials and trade," the bank
said. Gaza's economy shrunk by six percent in the first quarter of 2018
"with indications of further deterioration since then," it said. The bank
said one in two Gazans now lives below the poverty line and that
unemployment is running at 53 percent. More than 70 percent of young people
are jobless, it said. On September 20, UN envoy for the Middle East peace
process Nickolay Mladenov told the UN Security Council that "Gaza can
explode any minute."Mladenov and Egyptian officials have been seeking to
broker a long-term truce between Israel and Hamas, but those efforts have
stalled in recent weeks. Gaza's economic situation is likely to deteriorate
further because of the failed attempts to negotiate an easing of the
blockade. Hamas leaders said this week that Egypt-mediated efforts to broker
a long-term cease-fire with Israel have stalled. Repeated attempts to broker
a reconciliation deal between rival Palestinian factions have also failed.
In the report, the World Bank calls upon Israel to lift restrictions on
trade and movement of goods and people to help improve Gaza's economy, and
urges development of "legitimate institutions to govern Gaza in a
transparent and efficient manner."
The Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources published
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September 26-27/18
Help the People of Iran
Lawrence A. Franklin//Gatestone Institute/September 26/18
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/13023/help-iran-people
Are the Iranian people actually seeking regime change? If they are, why have
past protests failed and how can current demonstrations have a better chance of
success?
Currently, Iranians who oppose the Islamist regime are an unarmed population,
bereft of leadership, and faced down by hardened militia units that are
ultra-loyal to the economic benefits of backing the theocrats in power.
The tragic reality, however, is that without further help to the people of Iran
who want an end to repressive laws -- as well as to the regime's squandering of
money domestically for corruption and repression, and abroad to fund terrorism
and aggression -- we may not see a change either in Iran's regime or its
behavior.
During a recent speech at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in California,
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo hinted that America would support the
Iranian people should they seek to replace their regime. "While it is ultimately
up to the Iranian people to determine the direction of their country," Pompeo
said, "the United States.... will support [their] long-ignored voice..."
What "direction," then, is that? Are the Iranian people actually seeking regime
change? If they are, why have past protests failed and how can current
demonstrations have a better chance of success?
Some commentators are suggesting that today's demonstrations indicate that the
regime of the mullahs may be in trouble. This idea is partly based on the
recollection that the general structure of Tehran and other cities remain much
as it did in the late 1970s, when merchants played a critical role in the
overthrow of the late Shah Reza Pahlavi.[1] Today, however, the political power,
financial strength and religious influence of the bazaar class is much
reduced.[2]
Within two years of establishing the Islamic Republic, however, the theocratic
regime carried out a massive purge of politically active businessmen in Tehran's
Grand Bazaar;[3] presently, economic influence is in the hands of the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and ideological theocrats affiliated with
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei. The IRGC is now a powerful economic
conglomerate in Iran, with IRGC veterans heading major industries. IRGC retirees
are able to take economic advantage of their political contacts in the Majles,
Iran's parliament, many of whose members are also IRGC veterans.
Nevertheless, on occasion, bazaari businessmen did stage protests against regime
policies, such as in 2008 and 2010. These merchants, however, were not
advocating regime-change, but rather were expressing anger over the decision by
then-President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to raise taxes.[4]
When protests erupted in July 2009 over Ahmadinejad's electoral victory -- and
the public sense that he had not actually won the election -- many outside
observers speculated that the regime was on the verge of collapse. The protests
were quashed; no change took place.
What sectors of Iranian society supported Ahmadinejad? They included IRGC
members and many branches of the Basij militias, on which the regime has relied
to suppress protests.
Although the 2009 protests were sizeable, they did not, as Egypt's protests
against President Mohamed Morsi in 2013, reach a critical mass. One Tehran
demonstration allegedly drew three million people,[5] but the greater national
capital area alone has a population of 15 million. The northern neighborhoods of
Tehran have a high concentration of wealthier and more educated constituents,
including students, professionals and members of the middle class, all of whom
generally tend to be critical of the regime. This concentrated group may have
given the impression that the majority of Iranians wanted regime change in 2009
and still do today. In addition, some reporters are ordered out of the country
during periods of public disorder and others are confined to their homes or are
severely restricted in their ability to travel across the country. Consequently,
most reportage on unrest emanates from opposition strongholds in Tehran.
Meanwhile, most Western journalists do not speak Farsi and therefore primarily
interviewed English-speaking students. Most of those supported leading
opposition candidate Hossein Mousavi, who himself was featured in news clips and
articles. This impression likely contributed to the view that Mousavi was the
legitimate, even landslide, victor in the election -- which may or may not have
been accurate.
As there is no evidence that the regime has ever implemented political reforms
to assuage an opposition, its staying power should not be underestimated. One
possible explanation for the regime's survival, apart from raw repression, is
that while a majority of Iranians appear to want reforms, it may be, as in
Turkey, that sizable elements of Iran's population may still support the regime.
As for the regime's brutally efficient repressive measures, one could make the
case, that Mohamed Reza Shah's government was also brutal, yet was overthrown by
the 1979 Islamic Revolution.[6] Even though the Islamic Revolution ended up
reducing Iranians' liberty rather than expanding it.
What are the opposition's weaknesses?
In the failure of the 2009 protests, there seems to have been a substantial
disconnect between two groups -- those who championed the opposition leaders,
Mousavi and Mehdi Karoubi -- both of whom supported the Islamic Revolution and
sought reform, not overthrow, of the regime -- and the more radical anti-regime
demonstrators, who shouted slogans such as: "With God's help, victory is near;
death to this deceptive government."[7] The discrepancy between the objectives
of the protests' leaders and many demonstrators appears to have stemmed, in
part, from the Iranian citizenry's distrust of Mousavi and Karoubi. Mousavi, for
example, during his tenure as prime minister in the late 1980s, was responsible
for mass executions.[8]
Meanwhile, there were rumors that Karoubi had enriched himself by embezzling
large sums of money, and was responsible for several sex scandals.[9]
One current shortcoming might the absence of a hardened political infrastructure
capable of weathering regime crackdowns on protest leaders and key agitators.
The "Green Movement" was swiftly decapitated when both Mousavi and Karoubi were
placed under house arrest. The regime was prudent enough not to make them
martyrs, but still cut protestors off from their leaders. There were also mass
arrests and, worst of all, US silence -- thanks to the Obama Administration's
feckless pursuit of what became the JCPOA "Nuclear Deal."
Today, the absence of leaders -- there is no Lech Walesa as in Poland's
resistance of Soviet domination -- also makes protestors vulnerable to
regime-contrived and self-generated rumors, conspiracy theories and false hopes.
The regime has also severed internet communications,[10] disrupted phone- and
mobile-networks' connectivity,[11] arrested dozens of journalists,[12] and
banned pro-reform newspapers,[13] further disorienting demonstrators.
Today, the opposition's most significant shortcoming continues to be its
relatively narrow base. Activists are still failing to reach out successfully to
Iran's working poor, particularly in the less affluent neighborhoods of south
Tehran.[14] This strategic failure may be a product of centuries of class
cleavage in Iranian society. (While there remains little linkage among dissident
students, middle-class office workers and the masses of Iran's agricultural
laborers, however, some protests suggest that this might beginning to change,
with farmers demonstrating for improved water-distribution policies.)
The shallow foundation of the regime's opponents is also evident in their
failure to establish substantive ties to Iran's ethnic minorities, including
Arabs, Azeris, Balochis, and Kurds,[15] who together account for about half of
the country's population. One reason for the lack of open protest by these
minorities is that the regime -- like its Pahlavi-led predecessor -- is equally
unyielding in its intense repression of them.[16]
Another factor has been the failure fully to exploit poor economic conditions by
staging strikes, again as Walesa did in Poland. Past and present work stoppages
have been sporadic, and have not disrupted delivery of goods and services.
Strikes have also not prevented the export of income-producing Iranian petroleum
products. Truck transportation routes and seaports have remained open.
Currently, Iranians who oppose the Islamist regime are an unarmed population,
bereft of leadership, and faced down by hardened militia units that are
ultra-loyal to the economic benefits of backing the theocrats in power. The
protestors, so far, have unfortunately, not been able to elicit significant
defections from the regime's military and security services. Reports of
defections by IRGC and Basij members from the regime to the opposition are few
and far between.
Recently, National Security Advisor John R. Bolton emphasized that the US is not
seeking regime change, just "hoping that the regime will change its behavior."
Stiffer economic sanctions for Iran are scheduled to start in November. The
tragic reality, however, is that without further help to the people of Iran who
want an end to repressive laws -- as well as to the regime's squandering of
money domestically for corruption and repression, and abroad to fund terrorism
and aggression, rather than to solve domestic problems such as unemployment or
the water crisis -- we may not see a change either in Iran's regime or its
behavior.
Dr. Lawrence A. Franklin was the Iran Desk Officer for Secretary of Defense
Rumsfeld. He also served on active duty with the U.S. Army and as a Colonel in
the Air Force Reserve.
[1] "Democracy in Iran: Why It Failed and How It Might Succeed" by Misagh Parsa.
Harvard University Press: Cambridge, Massachusetts. 2016. p. 72.
[2] Ibid. p. 72.
[3] Ibid. p. 72.
[4] "Going to Tehran: Why America Must Accept the Islamic Republic of Iran" by
Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett. Henry Holt and Company: New York.
2013. pp. 144-145.
[5] "The Iran Wars" by Jay Solomon. Random House: New York, 2016. p. 180.
[6] "The Commemoration of the Martyrs of Tehran" in Islam and Revolution:
Writings and Declarations of Imam Khomeini. Mizan Press: Berkeley, Ca., 1981.
"Declaration of Ayatollah Khomeini, 40 days after "Bloody Friday" (9 September
1978). p. 239.
[7] "Democracy in Iran: Why It Failed and How It Might Succeed" by Misagh Parsa.
Harvard University Press: Cambridge, Massachusetts. 2016. p. 226.
[8] "The Forbidden Truth: Voices of Regime Change in Iran." (An Interview with
Roozbeh Farahanipour) Ketab Corporation: Los Angeles, 2011. p. 40.
[9] Ibid. p. 41.
[10] "Democracy in Iran: Why It Failed and How It Might Succeed" by Misagh Parsa.
Harvard University Press: Cambridge, Massachusetts. 2016. p. 249.
[11] Ibid. p. 249.
[12] Ibid. p. 220.
[13] Ibid. p. 219.
[14] "The Iran Wars" by Jay Solomon. Random House: New York, 2016. p. 255.
[15] "Iran: The Islamic Republic" Country Handbook. U.S. Department of Defense:
Intelligence Production Program. 2000. P.42.
[16] "Democracy in Iran: Why It Failed and How It Might Succeed" by Misagh Parsa.
Harvard University Press: Cambridge, Massachusetts. 2016. p. 168.
© 2018 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
The Palestinians' Three No's: What They Mean
Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute/September 26/18
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/13029/hamas-rejection
When Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad talk about "paying a political price,"
they are referring to demands that the Palestinian terrorist groups lay down
their weapons, halt terrorist attacks on Israel, and abandon their dream of
eliminating Israel. These are terms, of course, to which no Palestinian
terrorist group could ever afford to agree.
Accepting such conditions would make them look bad in the eyes of their
supporters, who would then accuse them of betraying the Arabs and Muslims by
failing to fulfill their promise of destroying Israel. As far as these groups
are concerned, keeping their weapons is tremendously more important than
improving the living conditions of the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip.
To be clear: when the Palestinian terrorist groups talk about "resistance," they
are referring to terror attacks on Israel. These include suicide bombings,
launching rockets towards Israel, and hurling explosive devices and firebombs at
Israeli soldiers and civilians. These groups do not believe in any form of
peaceful and non-violent protests. For them, there is only one realistic option
to achieve their goal of destroying Israel: the armed struggle.
Why are the Palestinian terrorist groups conducting indirect talks with Israel
to reach a new truce agreement in the Gaza Strip under the auspices of Egypt and
the UN? The answer is simple. They want a truce, or period of calm, so that they
can continue preparing for the next war against Israel without having to worry
about Israeli military operations.
What does Hamas, the Palestinian terror group that rules the Gaza Strip, mean
when it says that it "won't pay any political price" in return for a truce
agreement with Israel? Answer: No to recognizing Israel, no to abandoning the
dream of eliminating Israel, and no to disarming.
In recent weeks, several Hamas leaders and spokesmen have repeatedly been quoted
as saying that their group will not make any political concessions as part of a
truce deal with Israel. The statements came as Egypt and the United Nations
continue their effort to reach a truce that would end the ongoing violence along
the border between the Gaza Strip and Israel.
"We want a decision to end the blockade on the Gaza Strip," Hamas leader Ismail
Haniyeh said in a recent speech marking the 30th anniversary of the
establishment of his group. "Any understandings that are reached to end the
blockade will not be in return for a political price."
Haniyeh's remarks were echoed by several Hamas leaders and officials belonging
to Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ,) the second largest terrorist group in the
Gaza Strip.
In an interview with the Gaza-based Al-Istiklal newspaper, senior PIJ official
Nafez Azzam claimed that the Egyptians and the UN were recently close to
achieving a truce deal that does not require the Palestinian terrorist groups to
"pay a political price."
When Hamas and PIJ talk about paying a political price, they are referring to
demands (by Israel and many in the international community) that the Palestinian
terrorist groups lay down their weapons, halt terrorist attacks on Israel, and
abandon their dream of eliminating Israel and replacing it with an Islamist
state. These are terms, of course, to which no Palestinian terrorist group could
ever afford to agree, not even in return for the blockade on the Gaza Strip
being lifted or economic and humanitarian aid to the two million Palestinians
living in the coastal enclave. Accepting such conditions would make them look
bad in the eyes of their supporters, who would then accuse them of betraying the
Arabs and Muslims by failing to fulfill their promise of destroying Israel.
Anyone who thinks that Hamas or PIJ or any other terrorist group would ever
agree to disarm is living in an illusion. It is unthinkable. As far as these
groups are concerned, keeping their weapons is tremendously more important than
improving the living conditions of the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip.
"We will not hand our weapons to the Palestinian Authority, which conducts
security coordination with Israel [in the West Bank]," leading Hamas official
Ahmed Bahr said in a recent Friday prayer sermon in the Gaza Strip. "The weapons
of the resistance are the legitimate weapons that will be used to restore our
rights and liberate our lands. The option of resistance is the only and shortest
way to liberate our land and restore our rights."
To be clear, when the Palestinian terrorist groups talk about "resistance," they
are referring to terror attacks on Israel. These include suicide bombings,
launching rockets and mortars towards Israel, and hurling explosive devices and
firebombs at Israeli soldiers and civilians. These groups do not believe in any
form of peaceful and non-violent protests. For them, there is only one realistic
option to achieve their goal of destroying Israel: the armed struggle.
Anyone who thinks that Hamas or any other terror group would agree to abandon
its extremist ideology in return for easing the economic restrictions on the
Gaza Strip is also living in a dream world. This is an ideology that clearly
states that Jews have no right to live in a sovereign and independent state of
their own on what many perceive as "Muslim-owned land." The Hamas charter is
refreshingly clear on this subject:
"The Islamic Resistance Movement believes that the land of Palestine is an
Islamic Waqf consecrated for future Moslem generations until Judgement Day. It,
or any part of it, should not be squandered: it, or any part of it, should not
be given up."
To their credit, Hamas and its allies in the Gaza Strip openly remind the world
at every opportunity that their ultimate goal is to "liberate all of Palestine,"
from the Mediterranean Sea to the Jordan River: the exact area of Israel.
"The Palestinian resistance has a real army whose mission is to liberate all of
Palestine," declared Mahmoud Zahar, a senior Hamas official. "By God's will,
this army will reach Jerusalem."
If this is the case, why are the Palestinian terrorist groups conducting
indirect talks with Israel to reach a new truce agreement in the Gaza Strip
under the auspices of Egypt and the UN? The answer is simple. They want a truce,
or period of calm, so that they can continue preparing for the next war against
Israel without having to worry about Israeli military operations.
The Palestinian terrorist groups see the proposed truce as a temporary measure
that will allow them to continue smuggling weapons into the Gaza Strip and
building new tunnels that would be used to infiltrate Israel and kill as many
civilians and soldiers as possible. They want Israel to ease restrictions on the
Gaza Strip so that they can continue to launch terrorist attacks against
Israelis without having to lay down their own weapons or abandon their radical
and vicious ideology.
The Palestinian terrorist groups are at least honest about their true
intentions. They do not hide their desire to destroy Israel and kill as many
Jews as possible. Hamas and its allies do not care about the well-being of their
people in the Gaza Strip. They are determined to fight Israel to the last
Palestinian.
It is time for all those involved in efforts to achieve a truce in the Gaza
Strip to listen to what the Palestinian terrorist groups are saying. The message
the terrorist groups are sending is very clear: no to recognizing Israel's right
to exist, no to abandoning our dream of eliminating Israel, and no to laying
down our weapons.
*Bassam Tawil is an Arab Muslim based in the Middle East.
© 2018 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Theresa May Sends a Brexit Message to Two Sets of Skeptics
Therese Raphael/Bloomberg/September, 26/18
With the European Union summit in Salzburg this week viewed in the U.K. as a
failure for Theresa May's Brexit plan, the U.K. prime minister felt the need to
issue a clarifying statement on Friday. In it, May did what she always does in
negotiations: She doubled down.
It was a statement for two different audiences. Her message to Europe was
simple: We have made a proposal. You can't reject it without giving us a
counterproposal. That's how negotiations work. The ball is now in your court.
Her message to her own Conservative Party was different: My plan is the only
alternative to leaving the EU without agreement on the terms, which would be bad
for the UK, so I'm going to see it through.
She needs to win both arguments to get to a Brexit divorce deal. If May's party,
which meets later this month for its annual conference, loses faith in her
negotiating abilities, or in the deal she is trying to strike, then they may
decide that the better option is trying to unseat her. Up to now, the hard-line
group seeking to do that hasn't had the numbers to do so.
If the EU, which ultimately has more room to negotiate than May, cannot find a
way to get a deal, then it will give the hard-liners what they want and more: a
leadership crisis, and possibly a bigger political crisis in the UK, plus
economic pain in Ireland and Britain and a long road to piecing together a new
working relationship with a major trading partner and ally.
Another Look at the Definitions of Right and Left
Eyad Abu Shakra/Asharq Al Awsat/September, 26/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/67718/eyad-abu-shakra-another-look-at-the-definitions-of-right-and-left/
Among the most interesting ironies I have known is the weird relationship
between the USA and Communism. The Great Superpower that has always carried the
banner of Capitalism and led the fight against Communism to the extent of
refusing entry visas to any member in any Communist movement, gave us John Reed
who perhaps was the best historian of the Bolshevik Revolution which created the
Soviet Union.
It definitely is an irony that an American Harvard-graduate Leftist journalist
would write “Ten Days that Shook the World” to chronicle the October 1917
Revolution, but it is a fact!
Two years ago, we witnessed another irony, when the US Republican Party picked
the Right-winger billionaire Donald Trump as its candidate in the 2016
Presidential Elections. This time Trump’s electoral rhetoric was so populist
that it ran against the grain of Capitalist thought; as he raised the banner of
Protectionism which directly opposes the principles of Competitiveness and free
movement of goods, services and investment. Moreover, he not only championed the
cause of unskilled manual labor in the face of cyber communications, robotics
and high technology but also called for a return to the mining industry which is
facing extinction, in America as well as in most countries of Western Europe, as
they move to alternative sources of energy.
At least, from the outside, Trump 2016 slogans looked very much like the slogan
of Europe’s Left a few decades ago. In fact, Trump won the election in early
November 2016 thanks to winning only around 77000 votes distributed among three
industrial and former ‘Democratic’ state, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
These votes were enough to give him all three states’ votes in the ‘Electoral
College’, and thus, hand him a majority in the ‘Electoral vote’ count.
However, what happened in the US was not a purely American phenomenon; since we
have seen it happen again and again throughout Europe, where the tidal wave of
liberal Capitalism - based Globalization is being confronted by an aggressive
isolationist reaction bordering on outright racism. But what is more interesting
in this respect, is that such a reaction against Globalization and free movement
is not the monopoly of the classical nationalist and racist Right, but is being
shared by groups from the classic and hardline Left, and the remnants of
fossilized trade unions which have all but lost out the fight to keep
traditional and labor intensive ‘old industries’, such as mining and textiles.
France ushered the beginnings, as the Communists began to weaken during the term
of the Socialist president Francois Mitterrand. Fears of the fast demographic
increase of Muslim immigrant population grew in some parts of France, soon
multiplied by the influx of cheap labor flocking into France from the former
Communist East European countries as they became full members of the European
Union, following the collapse of the Berlin Wall.
In the light of these developments, a sizeable part of the French ‘blue collar’
workers relinquished its internationalist and ‘class allegiance’ and carried its
bitterness at losing its ‘job security’, politically and electorally, from the
camp of the traditional Left to the camp of the extreme anti-immigrant and
anti-immigration extreme Right. What happened in France soon spread out to other
parts of western Europe, especially to countries that host large immigrant
communities such as Germany, or countries that live with an identity crisis or
active separatist – or quasi-separatist movements such as the UK, Italy and
Spain.
Germany, had actually, paid a heavy price after the collapse of the Berlin Wall
and reunification, as diehard radical Right and Left cultures permeated the
former ‘West Germany’ from the former Communist ‘East Germany’. Today, the
extreme Right is gaining more support, by highlighting the ‘danger of
immigration’ and ‘Muslim identity’.
On the other hand, in the UK, the fragility of the ‘European’ loyalty has
increased as a reaction against foreign immigration and East European labor; and
hence, there was the shocking vote to exit the European Union, i.e. BREXIT. In
this case, similar to the fall of ‘separating lines’ between the extreme Right
and extreme Left in both America and France, the British hard Left voted with
the isolationist and racist Right in favor of exiting the EU! The Leftist Labour
Party leadership, as represented by Jeremy Corbyn continues to oppose a second
referendum on BREXIT. However, the most interesting case must be that of Matteo
Salvini, Italy Deputy Prime Minister and Interior Minister who, personally,
crossed the ideological divide from the Leftist camp to lead one of Europe’s
most virulent extreme Right and xenophobic anti-immigrant Parties.
How can we read into what is currently taking place in Western democracies – at
least – as far as we have been familiar with of ‘Right’ vs ‘Left’, and wealth
and development against poverty and backwardness?
A dear relative recently sent a recording containing interesting data, that
deserves being discussed. The data, said to have been collected from reliable
sources, including the UN, claims that 200 years ago the ‘rich countries’ were
only 3 times richer than the ‘poor countries. By 1960, they became 35 times
richer, and now they are 80 times richer.
The recording goes on to tell us that the ‘rich countries’ try to ‘compensate’
this huge discrepancy by giving aid to the ‘poor countries’ which today is
estimated at 130 billion US dollars; however, this amount is dwarfed by the 900
billion US dollars the ‘rich countries’ draw from the ‘poor countries annually
through trading regulations and practices; noting that the latter pay no less
than 600 billion annually in debt servicing! In addition – according to the
recording – every year no less than 2 trillion US dollars leave ‘poor countries’
to ‘rich countries’!
Furthermore, from a human perspective, only 2% of the World’s population own
more than half of its wealth, and only 1% control 43% of the wealth, compared to
80% who own not more than 6%. Still, perhaps, the most significant piece of
statistics is that wealth of the richest 300 individuals is equal to what is
owned by 3 billion people, which is actually the combined total of the
populations of China, India, the USA and Brazil.
I think, given these figures, many hypotheses become irrelevant, and many
principles, ideals, and obsessions collapse.
Using the Ahwaz Attack
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/September, 26/18
Tehran’s government is trying to transform the armed attack in Ahwaz that
happened a few days ago into a national cause, and to consider it an attack on
the nation (Ummah), not just an attack targeting the state.
It wants to take advantage of the attack to unite the ranks behind the besieged
regime. The government, however, has a bigger worry than a single armed
operation in Ahwaz as the incident is just another terror attack and our region
is full of such incidents, in Egypt’s Sinai, Jordan, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia
and others. They all suffer from terrorism. The Iranian regime fears a more
dangerous attack that threatens its existence, and it’s the economic siege. This
siege, which began a month ago, will reach a phase where it further pains the
government when the oil purchase and dollar bans are implemented.
In addition to the seriously harmful economic repercussions, this siege puts the
Iranian people in a confrontation with the regime, and this is unlike the
previous American and international boycott as back then the regime partially
succeeded in convincing the ordinary Iranian people that the sanctions against
it were a conspiracy that targeted its power and capabilities. This time,
however, implementing the siege comes after two major popular uprisings against
the regime: The Green Movement, which erupted in 2009 in major cities to protest
the forged elections and the protests last year when demonstrations were held in
cities and rural areas harmed by the state’s economic policies and security
oppression. Hassan Rouhani’s government has raised its voice claiming that the
Ahwaz attack was a Gulf-Israeli-American plan that aimed to shake its stability.
These are intentional allegations, as an attack like this does not shake the
regime but the Iranian government is leading a political propaganda to
intimidate 80 million Iranians into believing that terrorism is targeting them
and not the government that will defend them.The regime has previously tried to
mislead the Iranian public opinion when it began its wide interferences in Syria
around five years ago. It justified its interference by stating that it was in
Syria to protect Shiite shrines and that defending the Damascus regime defends
Iran’s security and stability because ISIS would have reached Iran hasn't it
been for its presence in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Gaza.
The result is that Iran’s involvement in these areas increased in quantity and
quality. Iranians who were forced to fight to defend political regimes outside
their countries were killed, and the mad war cost the Iranian governments
billions of dollars at a time when the country was going through a dangerous
economic hardship. As time passed by, truth became clear to the Iranians so they
revolted against the government. The slogans raised at protests spoke out
against involvement in foreign wars and demanded to stop squandering money on
Hezbollah, Assad and Hamas.
As for the Ahwaz attack itself, it did not come as a surprise to the Tehran
regime. United States Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley told Iran
after the attack: “Look in the mirror,” i.e. the violence that happened in Ahwaz
resembles it. Violence brings violence and the Iranian authorities are the ones
that fund it and support it in Bahrain, Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Gaza and
other areas.
If the Iranian government is serious about uprooting violence, it would have
given up on supporting these groups in other countries. Iran to this day rejects
to hand over wanted men from Al-Qaeda and other groups, and it defies the world
by supporting them.
It celebrates terrorists like Khalid Islambouli, the murderer of Egyptian
President Anwar al-Sadat, and it has named a major street in Tehran after him.
It has given prominent terror figures like Saif al-Adel and the Khobar Towers
bombers the right to reside in Iran and work there. Iran will always resort to
the propaganda of blaming others and its problem will remain in Tehran and in
its insistence on its military adventures in the region, support of extremist
groups and interferences in other countries’ affairs.
The Yield Curve’s Day of Reckoning Is Overblown
Brian Chappatta/Bloomberg/September, 26/18
For having assets totaling more than $3 trillion, the US corporate pension
industry does an awfully good job of remaining a mystery to the world’s biggest
bond market.
Ask Wall Street strategists about the impact of pension demand on the Treasury
market, and a consensus will emerge: It has helped drive the relentless
flattening of the yield curve over the past year. Citigroup Inc. estimates that
the retirement funds’ purchases alone may have compressed the spread between
five- and 30-year Treasuries by as much as 32 basis points since last September.
That’s a staggering amount considering that the curve is only 30 basis points
from inversion. There is no agreement, however, about what to expect from
pensions in the months ahead. After Sept. 15, companies won’t be able to deduct
contributions at the 2017 corporate tax rate of 35 percent; instead, they have
to settle for the new 21 percent level. As some tell it, corporations have
plowed so much cash into their retirement funds ahead of the deadline to capture
the tax advantage that purchases of long-dated Treasuries are destined to dry
up. That would end the curve-flattening trend that’s captivated investors and
Federal Reserve officials alike. I’m not so sure Sept. 15 is the day of
reckoning for the flattening yield curve, though. And neither are strategists at
BMO Capital Markets, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and TD Securities.
The trickiest part in determining whether it’s a make-or-break moment is
figuring out how much pensions have thrown their weight around in the Treasury
market. Citigroup’s flattening estimate, which strategists cautioned “is
necessarily imprecise,” was based on total contributions so far this year of
about $150 billion, compared with $146 billion for all of 2017. At a
company-specific level, TD Securities noted that Lockheed Martin contributed
$3.5 billion to its pension in the first half of 2018, compared with nothing in
the period a year earlier. And based on a late 2017 announcement from General
Electric, the company still has $5.1 billion of funding on tap before the end of
the year.
Of course, not all contributions are used to buy long-term bonds. One way to
gauge demand is by looking at Treasury Strips, which are long-duration
securities broken into their component cash flows. They’ve surged in popularity
lately — the market has grown by $26.7 billion in 2018, the most ever for a
seven-month stretch, Treasury Department data show. In part because of this,
Citigroup concludes that “pension fund demand did exacerbate the recent curve
flattening trend meaningfully,” though it doesn’t expect the tax advantage’s
expiration to spur much steepening.
Morgan Stanley strategists led by Matthew Hornbach took a stab at sifting
through data, including primary dealer positioning, in a Sept. 4 report.
Remarkably, they “conclude that the evidence of strong demand from pension funds
is weak.” Therefore, they say, Sept. 15 won’t reverse the curve-flattening
trend.
By contrast, here’s what NatWest Markets strategists had to say in an Aug. 30
report:
“We think increased demand from pension funds has been a major contributor to
the back-end’s outperformance this year … as this window closes on September
15th, we see corporate contributions slowing in Q4 and in turn expect pension
fund support for the long-end to dip.”
How can these major Wall Street firms have such different views? For one, it
comes back to the lack of precise data on what pensions are doing with their
money. But, crucially, Morgan Stanley has been calling for the yield curve to
flatten further, and Citigroup is positioned for continued modest curve
flattening. NatWest, on the other hand, has been an advocate for steepening.
In other words, Sept. 15 is not necessarily a turning point for the $15.1
trillion Treasuries market but rather a moment to reaffirm views on the yield
curve. If you’re a trader who has been waiting all year to time a reversal, then
the prospect of a large buyer exiting the market seems like a good time to take
the plunge. If you’ve been telling yourself not to fight the flattening, then
you’ll point to other reasons pension demand will persist — like costly fees
from the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. — and this will prove nothing but a bump
in the road.
The truth, in all likelihood, falls somewhere in the middle. “It matters, but it
isn’t going to turn the tide of the market,” said Ian Lyngen, head of US rates
strategy at BMO. Part of the reason the curve from five to 30 years has
steepened by the most in months over the past week, he said, may have been
people trying to get ahead of trades closer to Sept. 15. Morgan Stanley says the
real risk to the flattening trade could come later this month, when Fed
officials update their projected path of interest-rate increases. Indeed,
questions abound over how many more times the central bank can hike before it
has to pause. For now, short-term yields are the highest they’ve been in about a
decade, while the long bond has ample breathing room before testing its crucial
3.22 percent support level.
Traders probably wish Treasuries would break out from their quietest quarter
since 1965. They very well still could. Just don’t expect the pension
contribution deadline to be the catalyst.
Angela Merkel's Ugly Romance With The Iraniaqn Regime
بينجامن وينثل: غرام انجيلا ماركل البشع مع النظام الإيراني
Benjamin Weinthal/The Tablet/September 26/ 2018
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/67711/benjamin-weinthal-angela-merkels-ugly-romance-with-the-iraniaqn-regime-%D8%A8%D9%8A%D9%86%D8%AC%D8%A7%D9%85%D9%86-%D9%88%D9%8A%D9%86%D8%AB%D9%84-%D8%BA%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%85-%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%AC%D9%8A/
Why Germany seeks to increase trade with a murderous theocracy bent on Israel’s
destruction
In a remarkable comment that was ignored by the German media last month, the
president of the country’s roughly 100,000-member Central Council of Jews
suggested that Germany has failed to internalize the lessons of the Holocaust.
According to Dr. Josef Schuster, Angela Merkel’s flourishing trade with a regime
in Tehran that is both the leading state sponsor of terrorism in the world and
also the world’s top sponsor of lethal anti-Semitism and Holocaust denial, is
incompatible with the spirit of the Federal Republic’s own foundational
commitments, and with the laws of a country where Holocaust denial is a crime
punishable by up to five years in prison.
To understand Schuster’s frustration and disappointment with German society, it
is worth citing his critique: “It seems paradoxical that Germany—as a country
that is said to have learned from its horrendous past and which has a strong
commitment to fight anti-Semitism—is one of the strongest economic partners of a
regime [Tehran] that is blatantly denying the Holocaust and abusing human rights
on a daily basis. Besides, Germany has included Israel’s security as a part of
its raison d’être. As a matter of course this should exclude doing business with
a fanatic dictatorship that is calling for Israel’s destruction, pursuing
nuclear weapons and financing terror organizations around the world.”
Schuster called for “an immediate halt to any economic relations with Iran. Any
trade with Iran means a benefit for radical and terrorist forces, and a hazard
and destabilization for the region.”
Yet Merkel, the leader of the Christian Democratic Union, and her foreign
minister, Heiko Maas, of the Social Democratic Party, rejected Schuster’s plea,
and are now working overtime to circumvent U.S. sanctions on the Islamic
Republic of Iran. Maas, who claimed earlier this year that he entered politics
“because of Auschwitz,” argued for an alternative method to facilitate financial
transfers to the radical clerical regime in Tehran, to bypass a United States
plan to re-institute the ban on Iran’s use of the SWIFT system.
The moral and economic danger represented by Merkel’s emergence as Iran’s major
champion in Europe has been a kind of secret that dare not speak its name in the
media and among the chattering classes in the Federal Republic. A rare exception
in a country that does not have the Anglo-American tradition of aggressive
investigative reporting was the BILD newspaper’s exposé on a German company that
sold material to merchants based in Tehran’s Grand Bazaar. The components were
later found in Iranian-produced rockets that contained chemicals used to gas
Syrian civilians in January and February of 2018.
The rockets caused 21 Syrian children and adults to be poisoned. Germany’s
export control agency told this writer that it will not bar the sale of such
material in the future as a “dual-use” good that can be used for military and
civilian purposes. The Krempel company that sold the material continues to do
business with Iran and has a distribution center in the United States.
So what animates Germany’s devotion to Iran’s murderous regime, and its lack of
solidarity—in both words and practice—with Israel? Economic interests are
certainly front and center. Germany exported $3.42 billion in merchandise to
Iran in 2017. Economic analysts said shortly after the 2015 nuclear deal was
reached that German-Iranian trade could soon surpass $10 billion per year.
Approximately 120 German companies operate inside the Islamic Republic, and
10,000 German businesses conduct trade with Iran. It should be noted that the
German government not only rejects U.S. sanctions but also provides state credit
guarantees to German companies that do business in the Islamic Republic, as
means of facilitating German trade with Iran.
After Maas visited Auschwitz in August, he declared in a series of didactic
statements that “We need this place because our responsibility never ends.” One
of Germany’s most popular journalists, the Jewish author Henryk M. Broder, then
asked Maas in an article, “Does it belong to the never-ending responsibility
that the [German] federal government follows the law requiring German firms to
oppose U.S. sanctions against Iran?”
While Angela Merkel’s appeasement policy toward the Iranian regime has come into
sharp focus over the past few years, it began at least a decade ago. In 2008,
Mohammad Javad Larijani, the secretary of the Iranian judiciary’s High Council
for Human Rights, denied the Holocaust and called for the obliteration of Israel
during a German foreign ministry-sponsored event held close to Berlin’s
Holocaust Memorial. Then-Foreign Minister Frank Walter-Steinmeier, a Social
Democrat who is now the German president, did not strongly rebuke Larijani and
no criminal charges were filed against the revolutionary Islamist.
Larijani’s brother Ali—the speaker of Iran’s phony parliament, the Majlis, and a
former lead negotiator for Tehran’s nuclear team—caused outrage a year later
when he said at the prestigious Munich Security Conference that his country has
“different perspectives on the Holocaust.” When Pierre Lellouche, a French
legislator, told Ali Larijani it was unlawful to deny the crimes of the
Holocaust, Larijani’s answer was: “In Iran we don’t have the same
sensitivities.”
Opponents of prosecuting the Larijani brothers in Germany for incitement against
Jews argue that they are protected by diplomatic immunity. Yet local prosecutors
in Berlin and Munich did not even investigate the alleged incitement.
In sharp contrast to the tolerance for Iranian genocidal anti-Semitism and
Holocaust denial within Germany’s borders, Merkel in 2009 called on then-Pope
Benedict to “clarify unambiguously that there can be no denial” that the Nazis
murdered 6 million Jews. Merkel’s condemnation was prompted by the British
Catholic Bishop Richard Williamson’s Holocaust denial. In an interview with
Swedish television conducted in Germany in November 2008, Williamson had said,
“I believe that the historical evidence is strongly against, is hugely against 6
million Jews having been deliberately gassed in gas chambers as a deliberate
policy of Adolf Hitler,” and, “I think that 200,000 to 300,000 Jews perished in
Nazi concentration camps, but none of them in gas chambers.” A German court
fined Williamson 12,000 euros in October 2009 for his claim that the mass
extermination of Jews did not take place. (The fine was subsequently reduced on
appeal.)
Yet Merkel has made no similarly explicit demand of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali
Khamenei that he reject Holocaust denial and lethal anti-Semitism. Rather, she
merely opines, using language perhaps more befitting union-management
negotiations, that language used by Khamenei and other regime figures who deny
the Holocaust and call for the dismantling of Israel is “unacceptable.”
The mainstreaming of Iran’s mullah regime by the Merkel administration has moved
at an astonishingly fast pace since world powers reached the Joint Comprehensive
Plan of Action (JCPOA)—the formal name for the Iran nuclear agreement—with
Tehran in July 2015. Mere days after the atomic accord was signed, the
then-German Foreign Minister Sigmar Gabriel flew to Tehran with a large business
delegation to pursue deals with the Islamic Republic. A year later, the Social
Democrat Gabriel, who has repeatedly termed Israel an “apartheid regime,”
traveled to Iran with another delegation of German industrialists.
The following year, in 2017, Gabriel welcomed to the foreign ministry a leading
Iranian cleric who has advocated at the annual al-Quds Day rally in Berlin for
the elimination of the Jewish state. The religious fanatic Hamidreza Torabi is
widely considered the long arm of Ali Khamenei in Germany. Torabi directs the
Islamic Academy of Germany that is part of the Islamic Center of Hamburg. The
institutions are owned by the Iranian regime along with the Blue Mosque in
Hamburg.
To fathom the chasm between Merkel’s rhetoric about Germany’s commitment to
fighting anti-Semitism and support for Israel—Merkel, in an address to Israel’s
Knesset, declared that the security of the Jewish state is “non-negotiable” for
her country, and will visit Israel again in October—consider the case of Canada,
which does not have a so-called “special relationship” with Israel. Yet Canada
terminated its diplomatic relationship with the Islamic Republic of Iran and has
not re-established relations.
Some of the concrete punitive measures Berlin could impose on the Islamic
Republic to show solidarity with its purported ally Israel include: withdrawing
Germany’s ambassador from Tehran; expelling Iran’s ambassador from Germany;
announcing a break in German-Iran diplomatic relations; curtailing the robust
German-Iranian trade; outlawing all of Hezbollah (there are an estimated 950
active Hezbollah operatives in Germany), and sanctioning Iranian officials.
Yet within the Federal Republic, the leading opponent of German trade with Iran
is the American ambassador, Richard Grenell—a Republican who spearheaded the
campaign that prevented the Deutsche Bundesbank—the central bank—from
delivering, via the Hamburg-based European-Iranian Trade Bank, an estimated $400
million in cash to Tehran. The Iranians wanted the money ahead of new U.S.
sanctions soon to be imposed, to bypass the crackdown on their financial sector.
Grenell announced in the spring on his popular Twitter feed that German
businesses should wind down business with Iran, reiterating the U.S.
government’s policy—for which he was angrily slammed as undiplomatic.
As shown by Maas’ memorial tour of concentration camps, and frequent invocations
of the “lessons of the Holocaust,” it would appear that memorializing the
Holocaust can be a way for German politicians to inoculate themselves against
criticism for their unwillingness to confront the lethal anti-Semitic Islamic
regime in Tehran. Moreover, the Holocaust commemoration process leads many
Germans to believe they are actually on the side of the Jewish state, when their
government is not.
The German society’s so-called “working through of its past” can also culminate
in large numbers of Germans, to paraphrase the writer Wolfgang Pohrt, behaving
as Israel’s probation officers, acting on the highest moral grounds to stop
“their victims” from recidivism. This form of morality-animated anti-Semitism is
quite widespread in the Federal Republic, where a recent government-commissioned
anti-Semitism report revealed that 40 percent of Germans across the political
spectrum hold anti-Semitic attitudes. The German journalist Eike Geisel
(1945-1997) captured one of the least discussed forms of anti-Semitism in his
country.
“To be against Israel in the name of peace is something new,” Geisel wrote.
“This new anti-Semitism does not arise from base instincts, nor is it the
product of honorable political intentions. It is the morality of morons.”
Henryk Broder and Geisel played crucial roles in the 1980s and ’90s, in the
German-speaking world, by dissecting the loathing of Israel as a result of
incorrigible reactionary peace movements and widespread “guilt-defensiveness
anti-Semitism,” a term coined by the German Jewish philosophers Theodor W.
Adorno and Max Horkheimer in the 1940s to capture the German reaction to the
Shoah. In broad terms, Germans seek to purge the pathological guilt associated
with the crimes of the National Socialists by blaming Jews for war crimes. The
Israeli psychoanalyst Zvi Rex, in a flash of biting historical sarcasm, reduced
Adorno and Horkheimer’s theory to a single profound sentence: “The Germans will
never forgive the Jews for Auschwitz.”
Today’s Germans, it seems, will never forgive Israel for the Holocaust. The
preoccupation with turning Israel into a human punching bag expresses itself
across all walks of life in Germany. The sociological forces unfolding in
Germany do not portend even a semblance of a solid base of support for Israel.
In contrast to the situation in the United States, where there are broad swaths
of grassroot support for Israel that inform power politics, German support for
Israel has been a project of the country’s political elite, which now seems
preoccupied with increasing trade with a murderous theocracy bent on Israel’s
destruction. The absorption of over one million Muslim refugees and economic
migrants into German society, many of whom were socialized to despise Israel and
Jews, adds to the already existing anti-Israel hysteria in the country.
As for the roughly 100,000 members of the Central Council of Jews in Germany, it
is hard to imagine how their future is likely to get brighter.
*Benjamin Weinthal is a fellow for the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and
reports on Germany for The Jerusalem Post. His Twitter feed is @BenWeinthal.
https://www.tabletmag.com/jewish-news-and-politics/270808/angela-merkel-iran?utm_source=tabletmagazinelist&utm_campaign=2d3e290c73-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_26_02_55&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_c308bf8edb-2d3e290c73-207800041
Pope, Russia and the US: A bipolar world order déjà vu
Walid Jawad/Al Arabiya/September 26/18
Pope Francis’ current pilgrimage to the Baltics states of Lithuania, Latvia and
Estonia is a politically telling one. The three nations have been sounding the
alarm of a sinister Russian plot to co-opt them into the sphere of Moscow’s
influence.
The Pope’s visit to commemorate the 100-year anniversary of these countries’
independence brings to mind that for five of those 10 decades they were under
Russian occupation, from the 1940s to the 90s. Pope Francis predecessor St. John
Paul II paid a visit merely days after the last Russian troops withdrew from
Lithuania in 1993 confirming the significance of the Baltics. Pope Francis is
directing global attention to the Baltics at a moment when Russia is posing a
real threat to their sovereignty. All the while, the international community is
theoretically concerned with Russia’s hegemonic expansionist strategy.
The US is reluctant to use its power to curb Russia’s President Vladimir Putin’s
designs to restore Russia’s glory and prestige as a global Superpower. This is
an exceptionally opportune moment for Putin to take advantage of the US
commitment to an isolationist strategy. The potential is glaringly clear, Russia
has a chance to reshape the current world order.Putin has been successful in
exploiting opportunities to hasten US exit from Syria resulting in marginalizing
the American role in the conflict, and challenging US influence in the Middle
East in general
Global balance of power: The American retreat
The world is observing an unfolding power structure train wreck: an antagonistic
American retreating from the world stage. The “America First” policy has
translated in practice to an America alone reality.
Early last year in 2017, the US withdrew from the trans-Pacific trade deal, the
Paris climate accord and the UN science, educational and cultural organization.
The latest episode of this exclusionary policy, removing the US from
international institutions, was in June: ceding its seat on the UN Human Rights
Council.
The US administration of Donald Trump has been methodical in advancing its
exclusionary strategy by digging political trenches as it antagonizes friends
and foes. Trump is finding points of divergence to create a rift with
historically reliable European allies.
The US saga of withdrawing from the JCPAO redrew the lines pitting the US
against the world. In fact its partners: the UK, France, and Germany ended up
holding the bag of an unworkable nuclear agreement with Iran.
Southern neighbor
Simultaneously, the US is uncompromisingly alienating its southern neighbor,
Mexico, and shocking its northern Canadian kin by renegotiates the mutually
beneficial North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). The current trade war
with China and other countries completes the picture; the US is committed to an
isolationist track. The vacuum left behind is allowing Russia to expedite it’s
already acted upon and alluded to expansionist goals.
Putin has been successful in exploiting opportunities to hasten US exit from
Syrian resulting in marginalizing the American role in the conflict, and
challenging US influence in the Middle East in general. Such gains has not
distracted Putin from his priority to restore Russia’s hegemony over countries
falling under its old sphere of influence. The annexation of Crimea in 2014, and
Russian exploits in Georgia in 2008 whereby it is incrementally seizing more
land ever since provide a blueprint for whats to come.
Abdicating global leadership is not a solely American issue. Numerous European
countries have seen a rise in right-wing forces steeped in anti-immigration
fear-based politics. The stalled Brexit negotiations with the EU prompted
Theresa May to threaten this past Saturday to unilaterally exit the European
Union furthering the UK’s own isolationist streak.
‘Mother Russia’
Putin is skillfully playing a weak hand and reaping the benefits of his
calculated bold moves. Putin’s expressed his own Russia First early on in his
presidency. He laments the demise of the Soviet Union expressing nostalgic
remorse emanating from leaving millions of ethnic Russians beyond the borders of
today’s Russian Federation. Moreover, Putin felt slighted by the US as it never
showed Russia the respect it was due as a former Superpower after the
disillusionment of the Soviet Union.
“We are a free nation and our place in the modern world will be defined only by
how successful and strong we are” Putin announced early on in his presidency
continuing “the moment we display weakness or spinelessness, our losses will be
immeasurably greater,” clearly framing his political philosophy.
Russia’s battlefronts have been expanding to include territorial claims of
460,000 square miles of Arctic Ocean seabed, misinformation campaigns in western
democracies, providing funding to European far-right and far-left fringe parties
as well as extending political, economic, institutional and military ties with
China.On the military front, Russia is increasing the frequency of submarines
spying in proximity to undersea cables, donating military equipment to the
Ortega regime in Nicaragua, providing support and arms to separatists in eastern
Ukraine, and the annexation of Crimea in addition to shoring up the Iranian and
Syrian regimes.
A new frontline
The American democratic system is built on trust and openness, which is being
exploited by Russia. The Achilles heel of democracy; i.e. freedom and openness,
has been tested post-9-11 when the US government took aggressive security
measures in an attempt to avoid any future 9-11 type attacks.
Intrusive intelligence and security services practices of monitoring and spying
on the once sacred personal communication of its citizens is now a matter of
fact. The rush to protect the US from Russian cyber attacks, designed to
manipulate American citizens and exploit the democratic system, gave rise to
zealot nationalism and authoritarian tendencies. Russia’s digital offense,
attacking the US in cyberspace, has been yielding the desired results. The
profound and devastating disinformation volley is compromising the cohesion of
American society, causing ethnic rifts and undermining the democratic system
itself.
The Robert Mueller investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 elections has
revealed Kremlin methods and sources with 13 Russian nationals indicted in the
course of the probe. Cyber hacking and disinformation attacks continue into the
2018 midterm elections. Most recently, members of the US Senate are finding
their emails targeted by hackers. The US is ill-equipped to combat the digital
assault.
Beyond church and state
Perhaps outside actors without political titles are inclined to refocus our
attention on the mounting concern over Russia’s global designs. Pope Francis is
playing such a role beyond the limitation of church and state on his Baltic
trip. On the second day of his trip, he visited the site of the old KGB
headquarters in the Lithuanian capital Vilnius offering respect to all of the
lives lost at the hands of the Russians. The memory of the Russian occupation is
still fresh in the minds of those who lived through it. The KGB museum that was
once called the “Genocide Museum” has been renamed the “Museum of Occupations
and Freedom Fights” focusing on Soviet atrocities. The sequence of political
posturing on the world stage between the US and Russia is painting a clear
picture: the power balance is swinging back to the long-gone cold-war type world
order.
Reverting to a polarity dynamic between the US and Russia is marking the
beginning of a new cyclical pattern whereby nations will have to dance between
the east and west to avoid the crushing swinging of the bipolar wrecking ball.
The need to end tension with philosophy
Fahad Suleiman Shoqiran/Al Arabiya/September 26/18
The new Saudi Arabia, with all its economic, political, social and religious
weight, is making an unprecedented cultural and developmental leap. This is
demonstrated by the fact that anyone visiting the kingdom’s cities and regions
can see the projects being carried out.
Saudi Arabia has witnessed an abundant educational renaissance as is evident in
the number of universities which are among the best in the region. Many of these
universities offer the best curriculums in natural sciences, yet in the
disciplines of philosophy and humanities we have faced a problem since the
beginning of modern education till this day. Islamic doctrine and some
philosophical texts are taught in sharia faculties and so are linguistic
concepts and modern literary criticism but when it comes to humanities and their
modern products or philosophy with all its important history, we only find fear
and apprehension from these disciplines.
Muslim philosophers
The establishment of educational curricula and the building of academic
institutions and the whole structure of education developed under special
circumstances as the state was young, and it was gradually establishing itself.
But after a century, we can aspire for exceptional development at all levels
including in the institutional and social relation with different portals of
knowledge including philosophy. Our Islamic history has had exceptional
philosophical legacy since the early centuries as there were major debates of
thinkers and benefiting from Greek philosophy. Curiosity to learn from adjoining
civilizations was the features of the times. There are immortal names in our
Islamic history such as Al-Kindi, Al-Farabi, Ibn Arabi, Al-Razi, Ghazali,
Avicenna, Averroes, Brethren of Purity and hundreds others. Decadence hit the
Muslim world, as if the universe called on the world to stop thinking and the
world responded, as was lamented by Ibn Khaldun. A prejudiced movement took
control over the mental and philosophical discourse, and history was drawn into
a long babble outside the context of science and logic, and years passed in
intellectual stagnation as a long passage of debate continued between Tarabishi
and Jabri. In the disciplines of philosophy and humanities we have faced a
problem since the beginning of modern education till this day.Senior scholars
tried to humanize Islamic culture, such as Ibn Miskawayh, al-Tawhidi and another
important philosopher Abu al-Hassan al-Amiri (10th century AD). Mona Abu Zeid
has many writings on this subject such as her book “Philosophy in the Thought of
the Amiri” but Mohamed Arkoun’s book “Battles for the sake of humanizing Islamic
context”, which is a continuation of his thesis on “the generation of Ibn
Miskawayh and Tawhidi” delved more into this topic.
Arkoun entitled the fifth chapter in his book “the central Logos and the
religious truth through the book ‘An Exposition on the Merits of Islam’ by Abi
Hassan al Amiri.”
Arkoun’s argument
Arkoun’s aim of examining Amiri’s work is to highlight two points: to show the
fault in banning teaching philosophy and the fault in preventing teaching
religions in France. He also criticized Jules Ferry, the founder of the Modern
Secular School, as he calls for the teaching of comparative religions
considering it is an essential part of the students' curriculum so they learn
about the history that crushed them. Arkoun does not believe that this method
would bring to the surface any religious fanaticism. It is for these reasons
that fanatic Muslims and traditional secularists are furious with Arkoun.
Thinker Hashem Saleh said his teacher Arkoun is like Renan in Christianity. Of
course, fanaticism denies the ability for knowledge and learning. Amiri refuses
to challenge modern sciences when he wrote: “Science has been challenged by
prejudiced people who claimed that it is against religious sciences, and that
those who wish to study this field would lose the world and the afterlife. They
said it’s only huge words decorated with fancy words to deceive the young
ignorant. However this is not the case.” Amiri added that science’s origins and
branches are supported by evidence.
This has been said eleven centuries ago, yet we still resist modern sciences
whose concepts develop daily in the world. After his death, a book about the
life of Arkoun was published entitled “Human formation” in which he bitterly
said: “Personally, I feel like a human being in a barren desert of thought with
my writings and research. I feel lonely.”
Who hates Trump’s siege of the Iranian regime?
Mashari Althaydi/Al Arabiya/September 26/18
American President Donald Trump’s speech at the podium of the United Nations,
the glass building with its famous hall and even more famous podium, clearly
revealed his plan to force the ruling regime in Iran to change its behavior or
to exert “maximum pressure” on it.
Addressing the United Nations General Assembly, Trump said his administration is
working with Gulf countries, Jordan and Egypt to establish a regional strategic
alliance. He clearly defended the policies of Saudi Arabia, the UAE and the rest
of the Coalition’s countries in Yemen and called on world leaders to join him in
isolating the Khomeini Iranian regime whom he said its leaders “sow chaos, death
and destruction.”Trump promised the leaders of the velayat-e faqih regime that
Washington will impose more sanctions after resuming oil sanctions on Iran on
November 5. In terms of the exploding Syrian affair, Trump linked his approach
to the Iranian role in the region and said that any solution in Syria must
include a plan to deal with Iran. We hope US President Donald Trump succeeds in
his efforts against “the behavior of the ruling Iranian regime” as this will be
good for us, for the Iranian people and for the entire world.
Frankly, those who oppose Iran’s “poisonous” role in Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Yemen
and the Gulf, and those who hate this role are a majority, will be glad with
Trump’s statements even if only half of them are achieved. It’s the Iranian
regime which fired missiles on Saudi cities, planted bombs and spies and formed
terror cells (the Abdali cell in Kuwait is an example). These are few examples
of the many practices by the dark Khomeini terrorism.
Why do some Arabs not want us to strengthen this endeavor to maintain the
security of Arab countries, their airspace and land? This is what the columnist
in the last page in a famous London-based daily does as he has nothing to do but
make daily accusations, as per the American teenage leftist way. One feels pity
for some of these naïve people who believe Khomeini voices and their blabber
against the American Great Satan. Truth is it is a complicated love, hate,
desire and dread relationship. Where are the analyses of the genius Sigmund
Freud from it!
Colleague Ghassan Charbel, the editor-in-chief of Asharq Al-Awsat newspaper
wrote in his recent article: “The Iranian surgeon is also ill” about this story
which happened before Trump became president: “One day, former Iranian Foreign
Minister, Manouchehr Mottaki made important remarks to late Iraqi President
Jalal Talabani. He said: ‘Tell your friend, US Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad, what
do the Americans want from us? We supported the liberation of Iraq from Saddam
Hussein. We supported the Governing Council and the election of the President of
the Republic. We supported this new situation that the Americans have
established in Iraq. There is nothing the Americans did and we did not support.
Tell your friend what more do they want from us?’”
What can we say? We hope US President Donald Trump succeeds in his efforts
against “the behavior of the ruling Iranian regime” as this will be good for us,
for the Iranian people and for the entire world.
The Iranian ‘surgeon’ is also ill
Ghassan Charbel/Al Arabiya/September 26/18
This month saw two events related to the Iranian “prestige”. On September 8,
Iranian missiles rained down on the headquarters of the Kurdistan Democratic
Party (KDP) in Koysinjaq, southeast of Erbil, in Iraqi Kurdistan. The IRGC
claimed responsibility for the rocket attack and distributed videos showing how
it hit the target at a meeting of the leadership of the opposition Kurdish
party. It was clear that claiming responsibility and disseminating images of the
strike constituted an explicit message from Iran to its enemies in the region
that its missiles were able to cross the border separating maps and also capable
of hitting definite targets. This power display came at a time when Iranian
positions in Syria were under constant attack by Israel, while Iran could not
respond through the Syrian territory because of Russia’s tight controls there.
On September 22, Iran was stricken by an incident also related to its
“prestige”, but this time on its own territory. Armed men surprised the IRGC and
the Iranian army by attacking a podium for senior officials during a military
parade in Ahwaz, killing and injuring dozens of IRGC and army members. If the
first incident provided evidence, from Tehran’s view point, that the Guards were
capable of reaching enemies, the second incident gave proof that Iran’s security
was vulnerable. Moreover, if the attack against the KDP headquarters in
Koysinjaq revealed that Khomeini’s Iran could not solve its chronic problem with
its Kurds, the Ahwaz incident also showed that Iran’s problem with the Arabs of
Ahwaz continues and worsens.
It is evident that the Iranian authorities’ anger mounts not only because of the
security breach of a place that is supposed to be highly fortified, but also
because this incident revealed the persistent problem of ethnic and sectarian
minorities, despite Tehran’s attempt to present itself as guarantor of the
safety of minorities in some parts of the region. Forty years ago, the Iranian
revolution tried to say, upon its victory, that a new era in the Middle East had
begun, and that the uprising that was born outside the world of the two camps
that existed at that time had sufficient solutions for the suffering of the
“vulnerable peoples.”
There are those who believe that the Ahwaz attack will give President Hassan
Rouhani the opportunity to speak in New York about “terrorism” that targets his
country
Resorting to memory
Resorting to memory is helpful sometimes. A few days after the revolution,
Khomeini received a high Kurdish delegation from Iraq’s Kurds, who came to
congratulate the new regime and explore the stances. The delegation discussed
the grievances of the Kurds, who are subjected to attempts to uproot them and
obliterate their identity, culture and aspirations. Khomeini’s response was that
these injustices against the Kurds of Iran would no longer exist “because the
revolution is Islamic, belongs to all and does not differentiate between
Muslims.” Forty years later, the attack on Koysinjaq came to remind that the
situation of Iran’s Kurds has not changed. Iran accused separatists from Ahwaz
of carrying out the attack. It said they had received support from two Gulf
States, and that their move “is part of an American-Israeli conspiracy to
destabilize Iran.” The country promised a quick and decisive response.
There are those who believe that the Ahwaz attack will give President Hassan
Rouhani the opportunity to speak in New York about “terrorism” that targets his
country. But it is certain that the rising Iranian tension is also linked to
other dates.
It is obvious that President Donald Trump will employ his presence at the UN
General Assembly and the Security Council to launch a broad campaign on Iran’s
nuclear ambitions, missile arsenal and destabilization policy in the region.
This date gains more importance as it comes weeks ahead of Trump’s deadline for
the second round of sanctions against Iran - oil sanctions that he said would be
the toughest in history.
There is no doubt that Iran’s recent behavior bears the hallmarks of the loss
that resulted from America’s exit from the nuclear deal and Washington’s
insistence that the missile arsenal and regional behavior be part of any future
agreement with Iran.
Dreams of taking advantage of the fruits of the nuclear deal to fund the
large-scale attack in the region have ended. The past weeks have shown that the
European stance, which is committed to the nuclear agreement, is by no means a
reasonable or acceptable cushion for Iranian concerns.
Currency slump
Taking into consideration the drop of the Iranian currency, the recent protests
in different parts of the country and the disclosure of Iran’s crises with its
Kurdish, Arab, Baloch and Turkmen citizens, we can understand the current
tension.
As the Soviet citizens once complained about the deterioration of their
situation, while their country was pumping billions into the veins of the Castro
regime, Iranians will complain about the deterioration of their situation and
the spending of their country’s wealth in regional adventures.
It is clear that we are on the threshold of a more heated chapter in Iran’s
relations with the region and with the United States. Iran behaves as if it has
lost the “deal of the century” when it lost the US signature on the nuclear
deal. Then it discovers that the Middle East works like communicating vessels…
That those who export strife, will surely import it one day… And that those who
contribute to the dismantling of maps of others, may push their own map to a
similar fate. Iran thought it was a skilled surgeon in a sick area, and now it
discovers that the “doctor” is also ill.
Most likely, Iran was harassing the “Great Satan” to force it to be its biggest
partner in the region. Back to the recent past: One day, former Iranian Foreign
Minister Manouchehr Mottaki said important words to the late Iraqi president
Jalal Talabani. He said: “Tell your friend, US Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad, what
the Americans want from us? We supported the liberation of Iraq from Saddam
Hussein. We supported the Governing Council and the election of the President of
the Republic. We supported this new situation that the Americans have
established in Iraq. There is nothing the Americans did and we did not support.
Tell your friend what they want from us more.”