Detailed
Lebanese & Lebanese Related LCCC English New Bulletin For September 18/2018
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias
Bejjani
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Bible
Quotations
Jesus
Stresses the Importance Of persistence in life
Luke 11/05-08: "And he said to them, ‘Suppose one of you has a friend, and
you go to him at midnight and say to him, "Friend, lend me three loaves of
bread; for a friend of mine has arrived, and I have nothing to set before
him." And he answers from within, "Do not bother me; the door has already
been locked, and my children are with me in bed; I cannot get up and give
you anything."I tell you, even though he will not get up and give him
anything because he is his friend, at least because of his persistence he
will get up and give him whatever he needs."
نشرات اخبار عربية وانكليزية مطولة ومفصلة يومية على موقعنا الألكتروني على
الرابط التالي
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Titles For The Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on September 17-18/18
Report: 113 Iranians killed in Syria in Israeli airstrikes/Daniel Salami/Haaretz/September
17/18
Did Saddam Kill the Former Algerian Foreign Minister/Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq
Al Awsat/September 17/18
Russia and NATO Show War Games Aren’t Just Games/James Stavridis/Bloomberg
View/September 17/18
Mahmoud Abbas: Fresh American Blood on His Hands/Abbas's Responsibility for
Murder/Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute/September 17/18
Legacy of Financial Crisis? Makings of Next One/Roger Lowenstein/The
Washington Post/September 17/18
Jeddah Summit: Prosperity Protects Stability/Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al Awsat/September
17/18
Islamic studies scholar Radwan al-Sayed and Arab leftism/Mashari Althaydi/Al
Arabiya/September 17/18
Jeddah Summit: Prosperity protects stability/Ghassan Charbel/Al Arabiya/September
17/18
Idlib must look to regional powers rather than US for help/Ellen R.
Wald/Arab News/September 17/18
Titles For The
Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on
September 17-18/18
Defense Teams Start Presenting
Closing Arguments in Hariri Case
Focher Meets Aoun: Macron to Visit Lebanon in February
Report: Saudi Diplomat Attends STL Closing Arguments
Report: Salameh Suggests More Tax Hikes to Solve Housing Loans Crisis
Former President Amine Gemayel Hails Strong Lebanese-Kuwaiti Ties
Report: Lebanon Accelerates Solution for Housing Loans Crisis
Report: Lebanon Faces Growing Challenges with Stalled Cabinet
Khalil Denies Gasoline Price to be Hiked to Solve Housing Crisis
New Batch of Displaced Syrians Returns Home from Tripoli
FPM, PSP Urge Supporters to End Social Media War
New Zealand Squeezes out 63-60 Victory over Lebanon
Army commander, Kardel tackle general situation
Mashnouq denies having approved naming street after Mustafa Badreddine
Fenianos meets World Bank Group delegation over airport expansion project
Hariri receives Del Col
Titles For The Latest LCCC
Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on September 17-18/18
Report: 113 Iranians killed in Syria in Israeli airstrikes
Iran Vows to Protect Civilians in Syria's Idlib Province
Iran embassy in Athens attacked ‘in solidarity with Kurds’
Iraq deploys forces along borders with Turkey
Erdogan Says Turkey Will Increase Troop Numbers in Cyprus
Putin, Erdogan Meet on Idlib as Turkey Boosts Military Presence
Erdogan under fire after admitting $400 million jet was a gift from Qatar
Spain PM Defends Sending Weapons to Saudis after U-Turn
Denuclearisation to Top Moon's Pyongyang Agenda
Israel Court Halts Expulsion of French-U.S. Academic Seized at Demo
The Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on September 17-18/18
Defense Teams Start
Presenting Closing Arguments in Hariri Case
Kataeb.org /Monday 17th September 2018/The defense teams
representing the suspects indicted in the assassination case of Lebanese
Prime Minister Rafik Hariri started presenting their closing arguments on
Monday. The legal proceedings at the UN-backed Special Tribunal for Lebanon,
launched in January 2014, have entered the final phase last week, with
prosecutors and defense lawyers making their final statements until
September 21. The closing arguments are summaries of the case presented by
the parties in the proceedings. They do not constitute a judgement. Emile
Aoun, the lead defense counsel of Salim Ayyash, who is accused of
co-ordinating the assassination team that carried out the attack and
purchasing the Mitsubishi Canter which used in the bombing, was the first to
present his closing statements. In its final brief, the Ayyash defense team
stated that the Chamber conducted these proceedings in the absence of the
accused, adding that their silence is prohibited from being used against
them. It also claimed that the disclosure from the Prosecution in this case
is voluminous, rendering it incapable of providing any meaningful notice of
what the Prosecution’s case actually is. Ayyash's lawyer deemed the
telecommunications information as "unreliable", noting that evidence
provided by the prosecution team does not allow for a finding that Ayyash
was in Lebanon from 15 to 28 January 2005. The defense team criticized the
prosecution for failing to call to the stand any of the people who were top
contacts in the cellphones used by Ayyash, saying that those could have
provided information about the suspect's activities and behavior during that
period. "No witness was able to confirm that Ayyash was at the showroom
where the Canter was purchased. No witness attributed the alleged cellphone
to him," Aoun said. Ayyash's defense team also criticized the prosecution
for using Lebanon's political context as a basis in its case, adding that
the evidence the Chamber heard on what Bashar Assad allegedly told Hariri -
that he would “destroy Lebanon over [Hariri’s] and Jumblatt’s head“ – was
entirely hearsay. Aoun said that no one, including the STL Prosecution team,
can label Hezbollah as terrorist, hailing the group as an "iconic symbol of
resistance" and a "school that learns occupiers unforgettable lessons". When
asked by the Trial Chamber President, Judge David Re, if it was possible to
change his choice of terms, Ayyash's lawyer insisted and refused to retract
his words.
Focher Meets Aoun: Macron to Visit Lebanon in February
Naharnet/September 17/18/French Ambassador to Lebanon Bruno Focher visited
President Michel Aoun on Monday where he asserted that Macron’s trip to
Lebanon will take place in February, the Presidency media office said on
Twitter. Foucher discussed the latest developments with Aoun and the
bilateral relations between the two countries, said the media office. He
asserted during talks that President Emmanuel Macron is scheduled to visit
Lebanon in February. According to reports, Macron was supposed to visit
Lebanon and Iraq in the first half of April, but the travel arrangements
were rescheduled “due to previous commitments.”
Report: Saudi Diplomat Attends STL Closing Arguments
Naharnet/September 17/18/A diplomat from the Saudi Arabian embassy
reportedly attended on Monday the proceedings of the Special Tribunal for
Lebanon trying the accused in the assassination case of ex-PM Rafik Hariri
in The Hague, LBCI TV station said. The Saudi diplomat attended Monday’s
session “based on the kingdom's interest in the assassination of Hariri, and
issues related to the kingdom such as the Hajj pilgrimage reportedly made by
the Accused Salim Ayyash in January 2005.” Ayyash is a supposed member of
Hizbullah who is accused along with three other suspects of involvement in
the assassination of Hariri in 2005. Defence teams of the Special Tribunal
for Lebanon started on Monday the presentation of their closing arguments in
the Ayyash et al. case. The Defense team of the Accused Salim Ayyash said
the “evidence the Chamber heard on what (Syrian President) Bashar Assad
allegedly told Hariri - that he would “destroy Lebanon over (Hariri’s) and
Jumblat’s head“ – was entirely hearsay.” Raymond Abou-Chaaya, Rabih Nohra
and Mohammed Dia, victims of the February 14 attack attended Monday’s
closing arguments in the courtroom. On Friday, the Prosecution stated that
Ayyash participated directly and intentionally in the execution of the
terrorist attack, the intentional homicide, and the attempted intentional
homicide of Hariri. On Thursday, the arguments focused on the claim that the
Accused Salim Ayyash had postponed his Hajj pilgrimage to Saudi Arabia to
prepare for the 2005 attack and on the issue of the Palestinian young man
Ahmed Abu Adas, who was allegedly abducted by two Hizbullah suspects from
Beirut's Tariq al-Jedideh area to appear in the video of the false claim of
responsibility.
A verdict is not expected until the new year.
Report: Salameh Suggests More Tax Hikes to Solve
Housing Loans Crisis
Kataeb.org /Monday 17th September 2018/Central Bank governor Riad Salameh
suggested hiking gasoline prices by LBP 5,000 and to increase the Value
Added Tax (VAT) in order to solve the housing loans crisis in Lebanon, Al-Akhbar
newspaper reported. During his meeting with members of the parliamentary
National Economy committee, Salameh reportedly rejected a proposal made by
one of the lawmakers to increase taxes on private banks so as to secure the
funds needed to reactivate subsidized loans. A few months ago, the Public
Corporation for Housing and the Housing Bank stopped processing new
applications for subsidized loans due to lack of cash. The Central Bank
usually provides funds that allow banks to offer very low interest mortgages
to low-income and first-time homebuyers.
Former President Amine Gemayel Hails Strong
Lebanese-Kuwaiti Ties
Kataeb.org /Monday 17th September 2018/Former President Amine Gemayel on
Monday hailed the strong ties that have always linked Lebanon and Kuwait
together, denouncing the negative comments that were made recently about
Kuwait's emir. During a phone call with the Kuwaiti Ambassador to Lebanon
Abdul-Aal Al-Qinaii, Gemayel praised the supportive role that Kuwait has
always played in Lebanon, expressing appreciation for all the initiatives it
launched to help the country. In an interview on Al-Manar channel last week,
journalist Salem Zahran alleged that U.S. President Donald Trump had asked
Kuwaiti Emir Sheikh Sabah Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah to scrap several
contracts sealed with Chinese companies, and to sign the same projects with
U.S. companies for a greater cost. The journalist also claimed that Trump
had forced the emir to pay $50 million to an American law firm to handle the
termination of the Chinese contracts.
Report: Lebanon Accelerates Solution for Housing Loans
Crisis
Naharnet/September 17/18/The Lebanese state has reportedly put forward three
proposals to address the growing housing loans crisis threatening “social
security” amid "positive" signs that the loans could be “revived” after a
halt of six months, the Saudi Asharq al-Awsat reported on Monday. The
Finance Ministry and Lebanon’s Central Bank, Banque du Liban, are set to
address the crisis in a bid to contain the negative repercussions, said the
daily. On July 8, Lebanon's Public Corporation for Housing announced that no
applications for housing loans will be accepted from July 9. In March, the
total amount allocated for housing loans subsidized by BDL had been reduced
due to unprecedented demand. Asharq al-Awsat said these indicators come in
light of reports that BDL will issue a support package to revive the
Lebanese economy in the next fiscal year. “Naturally, there will be a part
dedicated to supporting housing loans,” said the daily.
Report: Lebanon Faces Growing Challenges with Stalled
Cabinet
Naharnet/September 17/18/The formation of Lebanon’s government has become
“more than necessary” in view of the serious “economic challenges, regional
developments and Israeli threats,” the country faces, al-Joumhouria daily
reported on Monday. Sources close to Speaker Nabih Berri told the daily that
“the worsening economic situation, the possible military developments in the
Syrian territory, Israel’s relentless attempts to steal Lebanon’s oil and
the latest of winds of naturalization,” all constitute a challenge to
Lebanon. They stressed the need for quick action saying “these challenges
pose a national threat. National duty calls to expedite the formation of the
government. Lebanon is in danger,” they said. Meanwhile, ministerial sources
also “raised a red flag” saying Lebanon is in an economic crisis,” noting
that economic bodies, workers and trade union sectors may escalate movements
to press officials into agreeing on a government format. The parliamentary
Finance and Budget Committee is expected to discuss the country's “ailing”
economy during its meeting today, said the daily. According to the
newspaper, Lebanon’s deficit has reached $ 1.91 billion by the end of April
2018 compared to $ 844.73 million in 2017. PM-designate Saad Hariri was
tasked with forming a new Cabinet on May 24 but his mission has since been
delayed because of wrangling between political parties over shares and
portfolios.
Khalil Denies Gasoline Price to be Hiked to Solve
Housing Crisis
Naharnet/September 17/18/Caretaker Finance Minister Ali Hassan Khalil on
Monday denied media reports alleging that gasoline prices will be hiked to
resolve the housing loans crisis. “There are no new taxes in the draft 2019
state budget and hiking gasoline prices is not proposed at all,” Khalil
said. Al-Akhbar newspaper reported Monday that Central Bank Governor Riad
Salameh had rejected a lawmaker's proposal to tax banks to fund housing
loans for citizens. It said the issue was raised in a meeting last week
between Salameh and MPs from the National Economy, Trade, Industry and
Planning Parliamentary Committee. “The crisis can only be solved through
imposing an LBP 5,000 tax on gasoline and through hiking the VAT tax,”
Salameh was quoted as saying according to al-Akhbar. The Central Bank had
recently issued a memo revising loan interests backed by it as the housing
bank sharply toughened its lending terms. According to reports, the housing
bank raised the interest rate from 3% to 3.75% as it lowered the payment
period from 30 to 20 years. The interest rate for Lebanese expats was
meanwhile raised from 2% to 2.75% with an unchanged 30-year payment period.
Under the new reported terms, the bank would also withhold loans from anyone
who inherits a house outside Beirut and anyone who benefited from a housing
bank loan in the past.
New Batch of Displaced Syrians Returns Home from
Tripoli
Naharnet/September 17/18/A new batch of displaced Syrians returned to their
homeland Monday from the northern city of Tripoli. Lebanese General Security
agents escorted the buses that carried the refugees to Syria, the National
News Agency said. The agents also “oversaw the registration of the names and
the organized the safe return,” NNA added. A number of returnees expressed
their gratitude for Lebanon's government and people and thanked General
Security for offering assistance. “General Security chief Maj. Gen. Abbas
Ibrahim's instructions are clear on offering all the necessary help to all
returnees,” a spokesman for General Security said. “This should motivate the
remaining displaced Syrians to voluntarily return to their homeland Syria
and measures have been carefully taken to secure a safe return,” the
spokesman added.
FPM, PSP Urge Supporters to End Social Media War
Naharnet/September 17/18/The Free Patriotic Movement and the Progressive
Socialist Party have called on their supporters to halt a war of words that
has been raging between them for several weeks now on social networking
websites. “The best thing is to contemplate the situations of this world.
Engaging in futile debates will not make any difference,” PSP leader Walid
Jumblat tweeted. He also urged Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri and
caretaker Education Minister Marwan Hamadeh to address the file of Nizar
Hani and Raja al-Ali. “I have always supported the principle of dialogue,
which is the best approach... Enough with incitement articles from cheap
journalists,” Jumblat added. “To the fanatics on social networking websites:
the issues of electricity, water pollution, garbage, treasury deficit,
unemployment and other social affairs are more important than what a
son-in-law, a theoretician or a fanatic might do,” the PSP chief went on to
say. He also described Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi's call for a
“neutral government” and an end to futile debates as “profound and wise.”In
a memo, the FPM meanwhile called on its officials, ministers, MPs and all
members and supporters to “put an end to debates and pacify the rhetoric
towards the PSP on social media and through the various media outlets.”It
warned that the verbal clashes “have taken a repugnant sectarian direction
that is very distant from the FPM's rhetoric and values.”The PSP's general
secretariat later called on all officials, members, supporters and friends
to “refrain from engaging in any political or media debates with the FPM via
social networking websites or media outlets.”“This would pacify the
atmosphere and contribute to protecting the civil peace that the party has
always struggled for over the past few years,” the PSP added. The FPM and
the PSP have been trading jabs in recent months against the backdrop of the
stalled Cabinet formation process, with Jumblat demanding all three Druze
seats in the government for his party amid the rejection of the FPM and its
leader MP Jebran Bassil. The war of words escalated further after FPM-backed
officials sacked the employee Nizar Hani from the Environment Ministry and
the employee Raja al-Ali from Electricite Du Liban in response to Hamadeh's
firing of Hilda Khoury from the Education Ministry. Jumblat slammed
President Michel Aoun's tenure as a failure and the “tenure of thugs” after
the move while describing Bassil as “the Jared Kushner of Lebanon,” drawing
violent responses from the FPM's ministers and supporters. PSP supporters
also launched anti-FPM hashtags on social media in support of their party.
New Zealand Squeezes out 63-60 Victory over Lebanon
Kataeb.org and Agencies/Monday 17th September 2018/The basketball team of
Lebanon was only a few seconds away from another victory after its historic
win over the Chinese team in Beirut as part of the FIBA's 2019 World Cup
qualifiers. Despite the absence of four main players and the blatant and
unfair referee mistakes, Lebanon played a big game against New Zealand which
managed to squeeze out a 63-60 victory in the last 20 seconds. The Tall
Blacks fell behind by as many as 11 points in their match against the
confident Lebanese, but they kept chipping at the deficit throughout the
contest till they unleashed a strong finishing kick to steal the game from
the Cedars. The New Zealand men, now 7-1, have taken a firm grip on top spot
in Group E of the second stage of qualifying, with Lebanon slipping back to
6-2. Ater Majok was Lebanon's most influential player, centre posting a
double-double of 16 points and 11 rebounds. Though he was credited with just
one blocked shot, he altered numerous others with his length troubling the
Tall Blacks big men inside. Slick guard Elias Rustom paced the visitors with
19 points on 8-of-12 shooting, while Ahmad Ibrahim pitched in a handy 11
points. The Tall Blacks claimed a miraculous comeback after they had played
catch up for almost the entire match in Rotorua with poor shooting from the
field seriously hindering their cause. The home side shot just under 28 per
cent from the field, seriously behind their Lebanese opponents who shot 38
per cent. Lebanon's next assignment is against Korea on November 29.
Army commander, Kardel tackle general situation
Mon 17 Sep 2018/NNA - Army Commander General Joseph Aoun on Monday welcomed
at his Yarzeh office the United Nations Special Coordinator for Lebanon,
Pernille Dahler Kardel, with talks reportedly touching on the general
situation in Lebanon and the broad region.
Maj. Gen. Aoun also received the Australian journalist and researcher, Roger
Shanhan.
Mashnouq denies having approved naming street after
Mustafa Badreddine
Mon 17 Sep 2018/NNA - Caretaker Interior Minister, Nohad Mashnouq, on Monday
denied having allowed the municipality of Ghobeiry to name a street in the
locality after Mustafa Badreddine."I have not signed any decree allowing the
Ghobeiry municipality to name a street after Mustafa Badreddine, a key
accused of the assassination of Rafic Hariri before the Special Tribunal for
Lebanon," Mashnouq said. "I do not approve such denomination; therefore, the
decision of Ghobeiry municipality is rejected by the Ministry of Interior
and Municipalities," he added. "Refusing to sign this decision does not mean
any implicit approval," he stressed. Mashnouq indicated that the Ministry
would send a letter to the municipality of Ghobeiry to ask for the removal
of the divisive street signs.
Fenianos meets World Bank Group delegation over airport expansion project
Mon 17 Sep 2018/NNA - Caretaker Public Works and Transport Minister Youssef
Fenianos, on Monday met with a delegation of the International Finance
Corporation (IFC) affiliated to the World Bank Group, led by Nierin kindi
Manwail. Discussions reportedly touched on means of cooperation in the
expansion of Beirut Rafik Hariri International Airport's project and
devising the technical, financial and legal feasibility study for this vital
project, as well as stimulating the participation of the private and public
sectors.
The delegation relayed that the minister showed all cooperation to devise
the necessary economic study for this project and the participation of the
public and private sectors.
On the other hand, Fenianos met with the Director General and Board Chairman
of the Joint Transport Authority, Ziad Nasr, with whom he discussed the most
prominent obstacles facing projects prepared by the Authority in
coordination with the Ministry, especially the public transport project for
the city of Beirut and its suburbs and Tripoli and its neighborhood.
Hariri receives Del Col
Mon 17 Sep 2018/NNA - Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri received on
Monday at the Center House the UNIFIL Force Commander and Head of Mission,
Major General Stefano Del Col, and discussed with him the situation in the
South and the work of the UNIFIL.
The Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News
published
on
September 17-18/18
Report: 113 Iranians
killed in Syria in Israeli airstrikes
تقرير من الهآررتس: 113 أيراني قتلوا في سوريا خلال شهرين بنتيجة الغارات
الإسرائيلية
Daniel Salami/Haaretz/September
17/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/67532/haaretz-report-113-iranians-killed-in-syria-in-israeli-airstrikes-%d8%aa%d9%82%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%b1-%d9%85%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%87%d8%a2%d8%b1%d8%b1%d8%aa%d8%b3-113-%d8%a3%d9%8a%d8%b1%d8%a7%d9%86/
Syrian Observatory for Human Rights says at least 28
pro-regime Syrian fighters were killed in Israeli attacks on war-torn
country since April.
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said Monday 113 Iranian and militias
members identified with the Islamic Republic were killed during the two past
months in Israeli airstrikes in Syria. According to the Observatory, Iranian
officers, and at least 28 pro-regime Syrian fighters were killed in the
explosions of the arms depots and warehouses that were attacked since April
and which Syria attributed to Israel. Among the Iranian targets in Syria
that were struck are the Al-Nayrab military airbase near Aleppo, Mezzeh
military airport on the western edge Damascus, several locations in the
Quneitra province that were repeatedly attacked, Dabaa military airfield in
the Syrian province of Homs near the Syrian-Lebanese border, T-4 military
airfield, locations in south west Syria, Aleppo International Airport, and
the military airport in Hama. In addition, according to the Syrian
opposition head, Israel has attacked in recent months weapons depots near
the Damascus International Airport and the coastal city of Baniyas, the town
of Masyaf, Hama and other suburbs of the Syrian capital.
Following the attack on the Damascus International Airport Saturday which
Syria also attributed to Israel, Syrian state news agency SANA reported the
country's defense systems were activated and several Israeli missiles were
intercepted. "Our air defense systems thwarted an Israeli missile aggression
on Damascus International Airport," the news agency SANA cited a military
source as saying. An Israeli military spokeswoman said Israel does not
comment on foreign reports. According to the Arab media outlets, the attack
was directed against advanced weapons depots containing new arms delivery.
They added severe damage was caused, but no casualties were reported. Two
weeks earlier, Syria said a series of explosions took place in at the Mezzeh
military airport in Damascus. However, the Al Jazeera news network reported
the attack targeted the scientific research center in the Jamraya area on
the outskirts of Damascus. Furthermore, it is estimated that since the
beginning of Syria's civil war, 8,004 non-local fighters have been killed,
most of them Shi'ite operating under the auspices of the Revolutionary
Guards, and 1665 Hezbollah activists. The Observatory added that 32,000
foreign fighters took part in the fighting in the war-torn country over the
past seven years.
Iran Vows to Protect
Civilians in Syria's Idlib Province
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 17/18/Iran said Monday it is
committed to protecting civilians if its Syrian regime ally launches a
full-scale offensive on the country's last rebel stronghold of Idlib
province. "The humanitarian issue is of significant importance to us,"
foreign ministry spokesman Bahram Ghasemi told journalists in Tehran. "In
line with our policy of fighting terrorism and reclaiming Syria's
territorial integrity, we are highly determined to solve the Idlib issue so
that the people are not harmed," he added. Tehran is a key backer of Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad in the country's seven-year conflict, and has said
it is ready to support an assault by regime forces on the rebel-held
province. Iran, Russia and Turkey met at a Tehran summit on September 7 to
discuss the expected offensive against Idlib but were unable to overcome
their differences. While Ankara says it agrees with Moscow on the need to
push extremists out, it is concerned about the fate of pro-Turkey rebels
also present in the area. Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Turkish
counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan were due to meet on Monday to continue the
talks. Although Iranian President Hassan Rouhani will not be present,
Ghasemi said Tehran is continuing discussions with both countries as well as
Damascus. Sixty percent of Idlib's area is controlled by the Hayat Tahrir
al-Sham (HTS) jihadist group, an alliance led by al-Qaida's former Syrian
affiliate. Turkey has meanwhile bolstered its military presence in Idlib,
with Ankara aiming to prevent a Moscow-backed assault by Assad's forces who
have massed around the province in recent weeks. The United Nations and
non-governmental organizations have repeatedly warned that such an offensive
would unleash a "bloodbath" and "humanitarian catastrophe" in the area,
which is home to three million people.
Iran embassy in Athens attacked ‘in solidarity with Kurds’
Agencies/Monday, 17 September 2018/An anarchist group attacked the Iranian
embassy in Athens early Monday, smashing windows and throwing red paint into
the courtyard in protest at Tehran's treatment of its Kurdish population,
police said. "The attack was claimed by the Rubicon group," a police
official told Agence France-Presse, adding that no arrests had yet been
made. The attack was carried out by about 10 members of the group at about
0300 GMT who, armed with iron bars, took the guard by surprise and then
smashed windows in the waiting room. Nobody was hurt in the incident, police
said.
In a statement on the internet, the Rubicon group claimed the attack as a
gesture of solidarity with the "Kurds of Iran". The Rubicon group has
carried out a series of similar attacks in recent years, targeting
embassies, companies and public buildings, causing damage but no injuries.
In August, members of the group burst into the Austrian embassy, protesting
against Vienna's plans to extend the working day. (With AFP)
Iraq deploys forces along borders with Turkey
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English/Monday, 17 September 2018/Iraq’s outgoing
Prime Minister, Haider al-Abadi, decided on Sunday to deploy national
security troops along the borders with Turkey. The decision was made during
a meeting by the Ministerial Council for National Security. The national
security council said in a statement that border guards will be deployed
along the Turkey border, adding that there is a re-examination of the
federal police’s structure. During the meeting, they also discussed the
country’s security and stability, border control, documenting violations
(land or air), in addition to organizing the federal police’s duties and
arming it to enhance its role in complementing the Iraqi army forces. The
council also discussed stability in Basra and the measures taken to protect
citizens and public and private property.
Erdogan Says Turkey Will Increase Troop Numbers in
Cyprus
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 17/18/Turkish President Recep Tayyip
Erdogan has vowed that Ankara will increase rather than reduce its troops
numbers in Cyprus, a move that could further set back attempts to reunify
the divided Mediterranean island. In comments published in Turkish media
Monday, Erdogan added that Turkey had no need for a naval base on Cyprus as
mooted in some reports but could establish such a facility if it was
necessary from a "psychological" point of view. "No, we are not going to
reduce the numbers of our troops. We will increase them, we are not going to
decrease them," he told Turkish reporters traveling back with him from a
trip to Azerbaijan. He expressed impatience over the Cyprus issue, saying
"this business would have been solved" if the Greek Cypriots had backed
unification in an April 2004 referendum on a plan put forward by the late
former U.N. secretary general Kofi Annan. While Turkish Cypriots were
overwhelmingly in favour of the plan, Greek Cypriots voted against.
"Henceforth we will implement the formula that we have declared for
ourselves," said Erdogan, without elaborating. Cyprus has been divided since
the 1974 Turkish invasion which occupied the northern third of the island in
response to a Greek military junta-sponsored coup. Turkey is believed to
maintain around 35,000 troops in northern Cyprus, although the military does
not give official figures. The withdrawal -- or drastic reduction -- of
Turkey's military presence is seen as key to any reunification plan being
acceptable to the Greek Cypriot side. Some conservative Turkish media have
also reported in recent weeks that Turkey was planning to open a naval base
on Cyprus, a move that would likely deal a terminal blow to any
reunification hopes. But Erdogan said "we have no need to build a base
there," noting that unlike Greece, Turkey was just "minutes away" from the
coast of Cyprus. But he appeared to leave the door open to such a move as a
way of making a political statement. "This issue just has a psychological
dimension. In this respect, if we felt the need, we could establish a base.
Our presence there is important," Erdogan said. There were high hopes at the
beginning of 2017 that U.N.-backed talks could clinch a breakthrough in the
long-running stalemate on reuniting the island. But the deadlock has not
been broken and analysts say rapid progress is unlikely for the moment as
Erdogan reaches out to the nationalist electorate in Turkey.
Putin, Erdogan Meet on Idlib as Turkey Boosts Military
Presence
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 17/18/Russian President Vladimir
Putin and his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan met Monday to try to
come to an agreement over the Syrian rebel stronghold of Idlib. The leaders
of the two countries are on opposite sides of the deadly seven-year conflict
but remain key global allies. "We have a lot of issues to discuss, including
difficult ones," Putin said at the start of the talks at his residence in
the Black Sea resort city of Sochi. He added that the meeting would help
"find solutions for where there are none yet." "I think not just the region,
but the entire world has eyes focused on our meeting today," Erdogan said
for his part, in comments that were translated into Russian. "I believe that
the statement we will make after the Sochi meeting will give new hope to the
region," he added. Russia-backed forces of the Syrian regime have massed
around Idlib province in recent weeks, sparking fears of an imminent air and
ground attack to retake the last major opposition bastion. The United
Nations and non-governmental organizations have repeatedly warned that such
an offensive would unleash a "bloodbath" and "humanitarian catastrophe" in
Idlib, which is home to three million people. Turkey has intensified
negotiations with Russia to avert a possible attack, repeatedly calling for
a ceasefire. Erdogan and Putin met previously on September 7 in Tehran for a
three-way summit with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani that saw the Russian
and Turkish leaders openly disagree over how to deal with the rebel
stronghold, which borders Turkey. "The situation with Idlib is acute,"
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told RIA Novosti state news agency ahead of
the talks Monday. "There are certain differences in approaches" between the
leaders, he added.
Mass exodus fears
The two men met as Turkey's military has sent significant reinforcements to
Idlib in recent weeks, according to media reports. They were sent over the
border Sunday and included tanks and other hardware, with a convoy of 50
military vehicles, according to the Hurriyet daily. Russia and Iran are key
allies of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's regime. Turkey however backs
opposition fighters seeking the ouster of the Syrian leader, and has said a
large-scale offensive against the rebels could trigger a mass exodus towards
its border. Russian and Syrian air strikes, artillery fire and barrel bomb
attacks have killed more than 30 civilians across the province in the past
month, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. The bombardment
has slowed over the past week, however, and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei
Lavrov said Friday that the Syrian regime is not preparing a major offensive
against Idlib, adding that Moscow will do everything to protect civilians.
"What is being presented at the moment as the beginning of a Russian-backed
offensive by Syrian forces is not a faithful representation of the facts,"
Lavrov said. "We are doing everything to ensure that the civilian population
would not suffer," he said. Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu on
Friday said Turkey was ready to cooperate with anyone in the fight against
terror groups in Syria, but criticized the Damascus regime for using the
presence of jihadist groups to legitimize a possible operation in Idlib. The
Syrian civil war erupted in 2011, when the Assad regime launched a vicious
crackdown on pro-democracy protests that evolved into a complex conflict
involving jihadists and world powers. It has killed an estimated 360,000
people and forced millions to flee their homes.
Erdogan under fire
after admitting $400 million jet was a gift from Qatar
Arab News/September 17/18/LONDON: The Turkish opposition have ‘questioned
the honor’ of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan after the leader admitted
accepting a luxury jumbo jet as a “gift” from Qatar. Erdogan has come under
intense pressure after it emerged he had received the $400 million jet from
Doha. The opposition initially claimed the plane had been bought for the
presidency with public funds. On Monday, Erdogan said Turkey had shown
interest in buying the Boeing 747-8 plane but Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad
Al-Thani insisted on offering the plane as a gift, AFP reported. “We were
interested. When the Qatar emir was informed of this he gave it as a gift,
saying ‘I won't take money from Turkey. I will give this plane as a gift,’”
Erdogan said. The Turkish president insisted that while the jet would be
used for his trips, “the plane is not mine, it is the Turkish Republic’s,”
he said while returning from a visit to Azerbaijan. But Kemal Kilicdaroglu,
leader of the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) hit back at
Erdogan over the move to accept such a gift. “How can it not cause you
discomfort?” Kilicdaroglu said on Monday. Erdogan said that once the
paintwork was finished he hoped to use the plane for travel. Reports said
the giant plane, which was part of Tamim’s personal fleet, is equipped for
only 76 passengers and has lounges and boardrooms. Erdogan’s remarks came
after criticism last week by MPs from the opposition, who claimed Erdogan
had bought the plane. CHP MP Gamze Tascier said on Twitter that a sales
official from a company based in Switzerland confirmed the sale of a Boeing
747-8 jet. “The company says it was sold, supporters say it was a gift,” she
said on Thursday. The plane shows the increasingly close relationship
between Doha and Ankara, particularly since Saudi Arabia and Arab countries
launched a boycott more than a year ago of Qatar over its links to extremist
groups. Doha looked to Turkey and Iran in response to ship in food, goods
and supplies. Qatar and Turkey also sided with Islamist groups during the
Arab Spring protests in country’s like Egypt and Libya. Last month, Doha
promised to make a $15 billion direct investment in Turkey after a spat with
Washington, which saw the lira’s value fall drastically against the dollar.
Spain PM Defends Sending Weapons to Saudis after U-Turn
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 17/18/Spain's prime minister on
Sunday defended his government's controversial decision to go ahead with the
delivery of 400 laser-guided bombs to Saudi Arabia, saying it was needed to
preserve good ties with the Gulf state. His Socialist government announced
earlier this month that it would block the delivery of the weapons amid
concerns that they could harm civilians in Yemen where Saudi Arabi is
engaged in a bloody conflict. But on Thursday Foreign Minister Josep Borrell
announced the government had decided to deliver the weapons after all,
angering humanitarian groups. Cancellation of the deal would jeopardise a
much larger order for five Corvette warships worth 1.8 billion euros, to be
built by Spain's Navantia shipyard in the southern region of Andalusia, with
thousands of jobs at stake. Workers in the region, a stronghold of the
ruling Socialist Party, had staged demonstrations pressing for the deal to
go ahead. Asked about the policy reversal during an interview with private
television La Sexta, Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said his government risked
"creating the image that it was revising its entire relationship" with Saudi
Arabia if it did not deliver the weapons. "The situation was very
complicated. The dilemma the government faced was breaking its commercial,
economic and political ties with Saudi Arabia, with the impact this could
have in some areas of the country, such as the Bay of Cadiz, or carry out a
contract signed by the previous government," he added. Saudi Arabia, a
longtime ally, had already paid 9.2 million euros ($10.7 million) for the
bombs under a 2015 contract signed by a previous, conservative
administration in Spain. Apart from the warship deal, Madrid has obtained
juicy engineering contracts to build a high-speed railway linking Mecca and
Medina, and a metro in Riyadh. Spain is the fourth largest provider of
military equipment and weapons to the Gulf state, according to Amnesty
International. Nearly 10,000 people have been killed in Yemen since Saudi
Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and other allies intervened in 2015 after
Huthi rebels ousted the government from the capital Sanaa and seized swathes
of the country.
Denuclearisation to Top Moon's Pyongyang Agenda
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 17/18/Denuclearisation will be high
on South Korean President Moon Jae-in's agenda when he meets with North
Korean leader Kim Jong Un in Pyongyang this week, Moon's office said Monday.
Moon will fly to the North Korean capital on Tuesday for his third summit
with Kim in the latest stage of a diplomatic thaw on the peninsula, although
progress has stalled in denuclearisation talks between Pyongyang and
Washington. "We will push for North Korea's advanced denuclearisation and a
reciprocal measure from the US by swiftly reviving sincere dialogue aimed at
establishing new, peaceful relations," Moon's chief of staff Im Jong-seok
told reporters. Moon, who met Kim twice this year, was instrumental in
brokering the historic Singapore summit between US President Donald Trump
and Kim in June, when Kim backed denuclearisation of the "Korean peninsula".
But no details were agreed and Washington and Pyongyang have sparred since
over what that means and how it will be achieved. The US is pressing for the
North's "final, fully verified denuclearisation", while Pyongyang has
condemned demands for it to give up its weapons unilaterally as
"gangster-like". Im said the South Korean leader will try to close the gap
between the US and the North by playing the role of a mediator. "Through
various meetings and phone calls, President Moon has a better understanding
of what the US is thinking than Chairman Kim," he said. Moon will become the
third South Korean leader to visit Pyongyang and will hold at least two
meetings with Kim, who may make a rare appearance at the airport to welcome
his guests, the chief of staff said. He is also scheduled to attend a
concert and visit key sites in the North's capital with his delegation,
which includes tycoons Lee Jae-yong -- the heir to the Samsung group -- and
the vice chairman of Hyundai Motor. Moon has been pushing inter-Korean
economic co-operation but several South Korean newspapers urged caution
Monday, with the Korea Herald calling the businessmen's presence on the trip
"untimely". "It is better to postpone economic projects involving the North
until after negotiations to remove its nuclear program make substantial
progress," it said in an editorial. And investment in the North was "fraught
with risks and uncertainty", it added. Other issues on Moon's agenda will be
improving inter-Korean ties and easing military tensions on the peninsula,
which the South said could lay the ground for declaring a formal end to the
1950-53 Korean War, which ended with an armistice rather than a peace
treaty. That suggested a declaration -- which Pyongyang has been pressing
for strongly -- was unlikely during Moon's trip.
Israel Court Halts Expulsion of French-U.S. Academic
Seized at Demo
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/September 17/18/An American-French law
professor arrested while protesting against the demolition of a Palestinian
village in the West Bank says an Israeli court has revoked a deportation
order against him. Frank Romano, who teaches law at the Paris Nanterre
University, was released late Sunday on the orders of the Jerusalem
magistrates court and spoke in a video posted on social media. He said that
police had earlier handed him to immigration officials for immediate
deportation without a court hearing but he refused to sign a consent form.
"The judge called the immigration and said 'bring him back' and we had the
hearing," he said. In the courtroom, the judge ordered his release, he said.
Supporters said he was allowed to stay in Israel until September 25, the
original date of his return flight. He was ordered to lodge a surety of
1,000 shekels ($256, 240 euros) and provide a guarantor for a separate 5,000
shekel bond, they said. Romano was detained on Friday while taking part in a
demonstration at the Bedouin village of Khan al-Ahmar, east of Jerusalem.
The village of roughly 200 people in the Israeli-occupied West Bank is at
risk of being demolished at any time, despite fierce criticism from key
European nations. On September 5, Israel's supreme court upheld an order to
raze it on grounds it was built without the proper permits. It is extremely
rare for Palestinians to be given Israeli permits to build in Area C of the
West Bank, where Khan al-Ahmar is situated. The village is located in a
strategic spot near Israeli settlements and along a road leading to the Dead
Sea. There have been warnings that continued settlement construction in the
area could eventually divide the West Bank in two and cut it off from
Jerusalem, dealing a death blow to any remaining hopes of a two-state
solution. Anti-demolition activists said Romano was arrested along with two
Palestinian protesters when they tried to block bulldozers sent in by
Israeli authorities to seal off an access road to the village. Pictures on
social media show him being led from the scene by Israeli riot police.
The Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources published
on September 17-18/18
Did
Saddam Kill the Former Algerian Foreign Minister?
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/September 17/18
It was only a few years ago that the death of Algerian Foreign Minister
Mohammed Seddiq Benyahia, whose plane was downed in a Kurdish area between
Iraq, Iran and Turkey 36 years ago, was brought up.
It was revealed that it was a premeditated incident and that former Iraqi
President Saddam Hussein was behind it. The source of this information was
Salah Goudjil, the former Algerian Minister of Transportation, and more
importantly the man who headed the Algerian commission investigating
Benyahia’s death.
The biggest shock however was when Khaled Nezzar, the former Minister of
Defense and the army’s strongman for a long period of time, confirmed this
information a few days ago.
It’s been three decades and a half since the incident took place and many
relevant parties are no longer in the scene as they have passed away;
therefore, there is no reason to doubt the new story.
Retired general Nezzar does not only implicate Saddam but also accuses
then-Algerian President Chadli Bendjedid of ordering everyone to keep silent
and conceal the dangerous information that implicates the Iraqi authorities.
The military did not like Bendjedid for believing he was responsible for
failure and chaos. He was forced out of office in the beginning of the 1990s
when he permitted extremist Islamists to become politically active, and
which was accompanied with the rise of jihadists like Belhadj.
Benyahia’s plane was transporting 14 other people who also died after the
jet was targeted shortly after crossing the Iraqi border. According to the
head of the Algerian investigation commission, investigators found the
remains of the missile, which blew up the plane, in the debris. The missile
is manufactured by Russia and its serial number was tracked to Iraqi
military purchases. There was enough available information to state that
someone in Iraq had launched the missile and downed the plane.
Of course there is the hypothesis that there was no foul play and that the
missile was fired mistakenly. However, Saddam’s discourtesy did not give the
Algerians the chance to ask questions and investigate. When Saddam visited
Algeria shortly after the incident, the authorities did not dare open the
subject with him under the excuse that he was a guest in their country.
Then the transportation minister was dispatched to Baghdad. But he too did
not dare bring up the subject with Saddam. He only handed him the file of
the investigation into the case, which indicated that Iraq was accused of
killing the minister. All what Saddam told the minister was: “You have to
improve relations with Iraq.” As if he was threatening by saying: “Yes, I
killed him!”
The important question is why would Saddam kill the envoy after accepting
his mediation to end the war between Iraq and Iran in 1982? At the time, it
was less than two years into the eight-year war. He suspiciously looked at
Algeria. It was Algeria that accomplished the border dispute agreement with
the Shah’s government in the 1970s, the agreement which Saddam ripped apart
when he turned against Ahmed Hassan al-Bakr and declared war on Iran after
the Shah was overthrown and Khomeini assumed power.
Saddam saw that Algeria was the only mediator that succeeded in convincing
the Iranians to release the American embassy hostages. Despite that, Saddam
could have just rejected his mediation rather than killing Benyahia.
However, those who know the former Iraqi president are aware that he sends
messages to his rivals through murder.
Saddam was famous for his passion for violence. He had killed hundreds of
his friends, relatives, fellow tribal members and others from his home town
of Tikrit, and thousands of others. He had killed his cousin and defense
Minister Adnan Khairallah in a plane crash, his sons-in-law, and Baghdad’s
governor few months after honoring him with the Order of the Two Rivers. He
had also killed many of his ministers and comrades from the party’s
leadership on various charges. He was a terrifying figure to governments and
individuals.
However, things did not go as planned by Saddam. Few months after Benyahia’s
plane was downed, the former Iraqi leader began losing battles with the
Iranians who managed to restore areas they had lost, and entered South Iraq.
Back then, Saddam reiterated his call to end the war, urged mediations and
announced keenness for a reconciliation and for going back to the Algerian
agreement which he had torn apart. The war, however, lasted for another six
years after Benyahia’s murder.
Russia and NATO Show War Games Aren’t Just Games
James Stavridis/Bloomberg View/September 17/18
Over the coming weeks, both NATO and Russia will launch a series of
super-high-end war games. These games are hardly for fun — rather, they are
deadly serious practice sessions for hundreds of thousands of soldiers,
thousands of combat aircraft, and flotillas of combat ships. While no one
will die (other than by accident, a not uncommon occurrence in such
exercises), the messages going back and forth are crystal clear: We are
prepared for war.
Russia’s exercise is called Vostok — which means “east” — and will be held
principally east of the Ural Mountains. It is the largest military exercise
by Russia since Soviet times (in 1981) and will deploy 300,000 troops and
more than 1,000 military aircraft. Of note, China will participate with
thousands of its troops operating alongside the Russians (there will also be
a token contingent of troops from Mongolia, which has been a partner to both
Russia and NATO at times).
The message to the West is obvious: Russia and China might work together
militarily against NATO in the East or the US and its allies in the Pacific.
The futuristic novel “Ghost Fleet” by Peter Singer and August Cole gives an
excellent description of a high-tech war that begins unexpectedly in the
Pacific with Russia and China allied against the US. These war games provide
a preview of that sort of military activity could look like — and it should
be very worrisome to US planners.
NATO will conduct its own huge military exercise, named Trident Juncture
2018. It will take place on the northern borders of the alliance and will
involve 40,000 troops from all 29 nations, a couple of hundred aircraft and
dozens of warships. While not as spectacularly large as Russia’s Vostok, it
will serve as a “graduation exercise” for NATO’s new Spearhead Force, a
serious, highly mobile capability that can put NATO combat troops into the
Baltic states to repulse a Russian invasion within a matter of days.
Led by a highly motivated Italian unit that could be fully ready to fight in
48 hours, the spearhead force also includes Dutch and Norwegian forces.
Advance word says the exercise will include a mock invasion of Norway by US
Marines. This robust event is part of a vast improvement over the anemic
states of readiness in NATO just a decade ago.
Of note, two high-capability militaries that are not NATO members, but are
close coalition partners — Sweden and Finland — will participate. When I was
supreme allied commander of NATO a few years ago, I deeply admired the
professionalism and military excellence of both nations, which participated
with NATO in many global operations. The Russians are deeply concerned about
the possibility of Sweden and Finland considering NATO membership, and their
involvement in Trident Juncture will stoke those fears in Moscow. All of
this means tension and the possibility of miscalculation. We should pay
particular attention to four key elements of these very serious games.
First, we need to recognize that there are internal messages working here on
both sides. In the Russian case (and especially from the perspective of
President Vladimir Putin), the games signal the high capability and
professionalism of the nation’s troops. This builds on the patriotic pride
that was created by the invasion of Ukraine and the annexation of Crimea,
and is a signal to the general population that their military is more than
capable of holding on to those gains.
As for NATO, the message is similar, and directed toward the front-line
states that border Russia — Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Norway —
and NATO partners Finland and Sweden. In the West, the message is one of
capability and credibility — a willingness to fight if necessary.
Second, the role of China is nuanced. The Russian games were originally
conceived as a deterrent not to NATO, but to China. Let’s face it: China,
with its vastly larger population and need for economic growth, looks at the
vast, natural-resource-rich tracts of Siberia the way a dog looks at a
rib-eye steak. Yet a growing nationalism on the part of President Xi Jinping
and unease over the Donald Trump administration’s hawkish policies on trade
has China looking to develop a stronger relationship with Moscow. And
Russia, frustrated with the antipathy of the US (driven these days not by
the White House but by Congress) is willing to draw nearer to China. While
the longer-term relationship is fraught, it is a partnership (and a war
game) of convenience at the moment.
Third, there is real military improvement that stems from such exercises.
Pushing the European allies and Canada to deploy troops allows an increase
in military interoperability on many fronts: technical synchronization of
radio communications; alignment of targeting from different nations’
aircraft (a significant challenge in the NATO Libyan operation, for
example); highly complex anti-submarine warfare operations; and multi-unit
infantry and armor maneuver. All of these are challenging, and practice will
make both sides much closer to perfect.
Finally, it is worth looking specifically at the maritime dimension of both
the Russian and NATO exercises. It is not a coincidence that the NATO
operation will be commanded not by a general, but rather by a four-star US
admiral, Jamie Foggo. A former commander of NATO submarine forces and the
legendary US Sixth Fleet in the Mediterranean, Foggo has thought deeply (and
frequently published) about maritime operations in the current NATO-Russia
environment. There will be significant maritime groups both from NATO and
Russia operating in the Baltic Sea, Black Sea, eastern Mediterranean and
even the Arctic.
The good news from a Western perspective is that our land, air, maritime,
cyber- and special-operations forces will work together and emerge more
capable and interoperable. The bad news is that Russia’s forces will as
well, and their odd alignment with China — at least in this moment — will
cause further concern globally.
The US and its allies will continue to train and prepare for combat, hoping
that better readiness creates deterrence and reduces the tendency for
adventurism from either side. But we should not fool ourselves: These
“games” are deadly business.
Mahmoud Abbas: Fresh American Blood on His Hands/Abbas's Responsibility for
Murder
Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute/September 17/18
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/13001/abbas-ari-fuld-murder
According to Palestinian terrorist groups, the terrorist, Khalil Jabarin,
decided to murder a Jew in response to Israeli "crimes" against the Al-Aqsa
Mosque in particular and Islamic holy sites in general. Needless to say,
there is no Israeli plan to allow Jews to pray inside the Al-Aqsa Mosque.
The statements made by Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad confirm that
there is a direct link between Abbas's false charge against Israel and the
murder of the Israeli-American citizen.
Abbas's latest fabrication is directly responsible for the murder of Ari
Fuld, stabbed to death by a terrorist who actually believed Abbas's lies
about a purported Israeli scheme to split the Al-Aqsa Mosque between Muslims
and Jews.
Ari Fuld, a 45-year-old Israeli-American citizen and father of four, was
murdered yesterday near Bethlehem by a Palestinian terrorist. (Image source:
Ari Fuld/Facebook)
In a speech before the PLO Executive Committee in Ramallah on September 15,
Palestinian Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas repeated the old libel
that Israel was planning to establish special Jewish prayer zones inside the
Al-Aqsa Mosque. Abbas claimed that Israel was seeking to copy the example of
the Tomb of the Patriarchs in Hebron, where Jews and Muslims pray in
different sections.
Abbas did not say what his lie was based on. He also did not provide any
evidence of Israel's ostensible plot against the Al-Aqsa Mosque. He said,
nevertheless, that the Palestinians, together with Jordan, were planning to
bring this issue before the International Criminal Court and the
International Court of Justice.
Abbas's allegation was quickly picked up by several media outlets in the
Arab world, the West Bank and Gaza Strip. The headlines that appeared on
websites affiliated with Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad, the second
largest terrorist group in the Gaza Strip, claimed that Israel is planning
to permit Jews to pray inside the Al-Aqsa Mosque.Needless to say, there is
no Israeli plan to allow Jews to pray inside the Al-Aqsa Mosque. However, in
the past few years Jews, like all other non-Muslims, have been allowed to
resume their perfectly legal visits to the Temple Mount. Thousands of Jews
have toured the holy site under police protection, despite provocations and
violent attacks by Muslims. It is worth noting that any kind of prayer of
"religious displays" by Jews or Christians anywhere on the Temple Mount are
completely forbidden by the Israel Police.
Why is Abbas's false accusation significant and dangerous? Hours after
reports were published of Abbas's allegation, a 17-year-old Palestinian from
the town of Yatta in the southern West Bank fatally stabbed Ari Fuld, a
45-year-old Israeli-American citizen and father of four, in a shopping
center in Gush Etzion, south of Bethlehem. According to Palestinian
terrorist groups, the terrorist, Khalil Jabarin, decided to murder a Jew in
response to Israeli "crimes" against the Al-Aqsa Mosque in particular and
Islamic holy sites in general. In other words, the terrorist was influenced
by Abbas's incitement, and this is why he decided to set out on his deadly
mission. There is no doubt that the terrorist saw the reports quoting
Abbas's claim that Israel was planning to allow Jews to pray inside the Al-Aqsa
Mosque.
Palestinian terrorist groups were quick to establish a connection between
the murder of Fuld and Abbas's remarks. The Palestinian Islamic Jihad
terrorist group, for example, noted in a statement that the stabbing attack
was a "natural response to Zionist terrorism committed by aggression and
crimes against our people, our lands and our holy sites."Hamas, for its
part, said that the terrorist attack came in response to Israeli
"violations" against the Al-Aqsa Mosque. "We welcome this heroic attack and
affirm that harming Al-Aqsa Mosque is a red line," said Hamas senior
official Husam Badran in a statement. "This operation is in response to what
Israel is planning to do in Al-Aqsa Mosque."
The statements made by Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad confirm that
there is a direct link between Abbas's false charge against Israel and the
murder of the Israeli-American citizen. The terrorist groups are indirectly
saying that Jabarin decided to murder a Jew because his president, Abbas,
told him and the rest of the world that Israel was planning to create
special Jewish prayer areas inside the Al-Aqsa Mosque.
Abbas's false claim was not the first libel of its kind.
It is time to remind those who may have forgotten that it was Abbas who
sparked the 2015 "knife intifada" with his accusation that Jews "with their
filthy feet were defiling the Al-Aqsa Mosque." Abbas's statement came in
response to the Israeli government's decision to lift a temporary ban on
Jewish visits to the Temple Mount. Here is what Abbas had to say then:
"The Al-Aqsa [Mosque] is ours, the Church of the Holy Sepulchre is ours, and
they have no right to defile them with their filthy feet. We will not allow
them to, and we will do everything in our power to protect Jerusalem."
Abbas went on to say: "We welcome every drop of blood spilled in Jerusalem.
This is pure blood, clean blood, blood on its way to Allah. With the help of
Allah, every shaheed (martyr) will be in heaven, and every wounded will get
his reward."
Shortly after Abbas's remarks, Palestinians launched a wave of stabbing and
vehicular attacks as part of what they called the "Jerusalem Intifada," or
the "Knife Intifada," in which hundreds of Israelis have been murdered and
injured.
Abbas and his Palestinian Authority have since continued to incite
Palestinians against Israel by claiming that Jews were "violently storming
and invading" the Al-Aqsa Mosque.
This claim, of course, is also false because the Jews touring the Temple
Mount have never set foot inside the Al-Aqsa Mosque. Jews and Christians are
not even allowed to pray anywhere on the Temple Mount. In fact, Jews who are
spotted praying, singing, bowing down, closing their eyes or crying during
the tours are often arrested by the Israel Police. Abbas, however, will not
allow anyone to confuse him with the facts. He lives in his own dreamed-up
world where he continues to spread lies and incite against Israel. Abbas's
latest fabrication is directly responsible for the murder of Ari Fuld,
stabbed to death by a terrorist who actually believed Abbas's lies about a
purported Israeli scheme to split the Al-Aqsa Mosque between Muslims and
Jews. It is high time for the international community to see that Abbas's
anti-Israel incitement is what is driving Palestinians to grab a knife and
set out to stab the first Jew they meet. The blood of Ari Fuld, among many
others, is all over Abbas's hands.
*Bassam Tawil is an Arab Muslim based in the Middle East.
© 2018 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here
do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone
Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be
reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of
Gatestone Institute.
Legacy of Financial Crisis? Makings of Next One
Roger Lowenstein/The Washington Post/September 17/18
In a happier world, we would be celebrating the bank bailouts of 10 years
ago. They stopped a scary downward spiral, averted a longer-lasting
depression and quickly led to a recovery that endures today.
I recall the precise moment. Ben Bernanke and Hank Paulson asked for
legislation to save the banking system — what became TARP (Troubled Asset
Relief Program). This was September 2008, days after the failure of Lehman
Brothers. No one knew who was next. Virtually no one — not GE, not Goldman,
no financial firm — was assured of its survival.
The country was deep in recession. Jobs had been vanishing all year.
Millions of homes were in foreclosure. Banks were not making loans.
The popular reaction to TARP was outrage. Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.) noted
prophetically that his mail was split — 50 percent “No” and 50 percent
“Hell, no!” The House voted it down; the market fell 700 points. The House
reconsidered.
A decade on, the painful recession and the bailouts have been fused in
popular memory into a single cause for smoldering resentment. They tainted
the image of capitalism.
Taking its cue from public anger, post-crash legislation went to great pains
to preclude the possibility of another bailout. That effort, and that focus,
was misplaced. Our focus should be on minimizing the likelihood of another
crash.
The term “minimize” is used advisedly. Now and then, market capitalism lays
an egg. The old saw is that if we didn’t have speculation, we wouldn’t have
railroads, nor would we have the Internet or a thousand successful start-ups
that began as an unlikely gamble. The downside is that speculation
occasionally goes awry. The economist Hyman Minsky said markets are
programmed to go awry. Each time someone takes a risk and comes out whole,
the next person takes a little more risk. This was no less true for lending
to Argentina than it was for subprime in San Bernardino, Calif.
Not even regulatory scrutiny can keep speculation healthy forever. Consider
the housing industry — which, since it melted down in 2008, has been the
object of intense scrutiny by overlapping regulators. In obvious ways, the
industry has improved. Credit scores are higher, suggesting that lenders
have tightened credit. Americans have more equity in their homes, and they
are not withdrawing equity ATM-style, as they did previously, to pay for
groceries and sailboats. Largely gone are “Alt-A” loans, which contained
some of the worst abuses and eventually the highest default rates.
There also has been some improvement in the financial superstructure. True,
Wall Street is unreformed — short-term oriented and speculative as ever —
but banks are better capitalized. And households, for now, also are less
leveraged. On balance, housing is safer than it was in 2008. That does not
mean it is safe. Home prices have been on a tear for most of the past
decade. Lately, they have risen at 5 to 6 percent a year — double the rate
of personal income growth. The gap between housing and income cannot widen
indefinitely. The Minsky bubble psychology has infected government agencies
who insure about 80 percent of home-purchase mortgages. Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, the biggest of these, have loosened standards. With
encouragement of their regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, half
of first-time home buyers getting mortgages guaranteed by Fannie and Freddie
are making down payments of 5 percent or less. Such easy credit is aimed at
broadening access for young people, who often lack capital. However, a
lesson from 2008 is that if a person cannot afford a home under prudent
lending standards, imprudent lending will not help them.
The riskiest loans are insured by the Federal Housing Administration, an
agency whose mission is to broaden homeownership. (These loans are
securitized with a guarantee from a different government sponsor, Ginnie
Mae). Somewhat akin to subprime in the 2000s, the FHA sector, by definition
the most marginal, has widened. It is now approximately 20 percent of the
mortgage market. According to Edward Pinto, co-director of the American
Enterprise Institute Center on Housing Markets and Finance, the average
market price of FHA-enabled purchases has risen 25 percent in the past five
years, yet the dollar amount of the average down payment has fallen.
“That is not tight credit,” Pinto says. A study by the New York Fed, in
essential agreement, argues that the housing sector “remains vulnerable to
very severe declines in house prices.”
The biggest losers are likely to be marginal buyers and the government
sponsors who hold their loans. The private sector would seem less exposed.
But there could still be trouble. And so, after a decade of trying to avert
another crash, we could have one.
If we do, it should be recalled that the previous bailouts — loans and
partial socializations of banks, whose shares were eventually resold by the
Treasury at a profit — stanched the bleeding. Countries whose governments
did not intervene as aggressively fared worse.
And yet, we must admit that political fallout from the bailouts has been
serious. If you think of populism, as I do, as a largely incoherent fury,
you are unhappy because we have more of it. If you are a populist, you are
probably unhappy, as well.
The political problem with the bailouts wasn’t that they happened but that
they were tailored too narrowly. They failed to help many of the 9.3 million
people who were foreclosed on. That gave rise to the deep disdain of
Washington, to a pervasive suspicion that Trump rode to the White House.
Arguably, had more home buyers been helped, fewer would have concluded,
“Hell, no.” Banks would have suffered a haircut — a fair price for
government support. Sure, some of the people who defaulted were culpable;
well, culpable banks got help, too.
This isn’t to say bailouts are desirable. But the time to reduce the
likelihood of their being needed is before the trouble occurs (i.e., now).
This is especially relevant for select industries where the broad public
would be exposed. When the dot-com industry flamed out, the damage was
contained and the government, appropriately, did nothing. Banking is
different, both because the country cannot afford for people to lose their
savings and because the potential for bank runs means that one or two
failing banks endanger others. Deposit insurance minimizes the risk — but it
also dulls the normal market rationale for prudence. Thus, regulators must
lean on banks not to take outsize risks.
Jeddah Summit: Prosperity Protects Stability
Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al Awsat/September 17/18
It is a gift from geography for your country to enjoy a strategic location
that affects trade movement and to figure in security calculations. At the
end of the day, however, what really matters is how this gift is handled and
invested. The strategic location may transform from a blessing into a curse
if sound policies are not available to fortify the country from major
regional and international powers. During the long-gone time of two major
world powers, small countries used to pay the price for siding with this
camp or that. They were also paid hefty sums to defect from one camp to the
other.
In the mid-1980s, much was said about refugee camps on the Sudanese-Eritrean
border. I was dispatched there by Lebanon’s An Nahar newspaper to see for
myself the suffering there. I used to tell myself that the media exaggerated
the reality there, because it was hard to believe that a child could starve
to death because he could not find a drop of milk or crumb of bread. I
toured the camp and came across a man searching for a grave in which to lay
to rest the body of a small child. Dispelling my doubts, he confirmed to me
that the child had starved to death. Similar scenes were repeated at the
camp throughout the day. That day taught me that a regime should be judged
based on the amount of food and work and education opportunities it provides
its people, not on its loud slogans and claims of victories.
I recall another incident in which Eritrean movements invited a number of
journalists to attend a conference they were holding on Eritrean soil they
had dreamed of liberating. The journalist were to accompany the Eritrean
fighters to infiltrate Ethiopian territory amid the lingering threat of air
strikes. We stayed there for several days and witnessed first-hand the
tragedy the people have to endure when living under the shadow of oppression
and poverty.
We believed that day that the Eritrean war for independence would be endless
like the Palestinian dream for independence.
The strategic location of the Horn of Africa made it a constant presence on
the agendas of major and regional countries. The countries of the Horn of
Africa overlook the Indian Ocean and control the southern entrance of the
Red Sea. This means that the region is vital for energy and trade shipments.
The Red Sea ports are also vital for the economies of Arab Gulf countries,
as well as their national security. Moreover, the Horn of Africa countries
also control the sources of the Nile River, meaning the stability of Egypt’s
economy and security.
The region has long suffered from major international meddling. The best
example of this was the 1977 Ogaden War between Somalia and Ethiopia. In
order to save Addis Ababa from certain defeat, the Soviet Union dispatched
its military aides, weapons and 18,000 Cuban soldiers and 2,000 soldiers
from “comrade forces in Aden.” The Soviet intervention that day changed the
course of the war, exactly how Russia’s recent intervention in Syria changed
its war. The Horn of Africa has also long suffered from the scars of border
wars and conflicts because each country there sought to destabilize its
neighbor and host opposition figures. The Ethiopian-Eritrean war broke out
in 1988 and left more than 100,000 people dead. As the fighting raged on,
poverty became more rampant, refugee numbers began to mount and economies
started to weaken, leaving the youth to chose between poverty, militias,
extremism or the dream of immigration. Major countries competed to establish
a foothold in the Horn of Africa. The most recent one to do so was China,
which is launching a major effort to expand in Africa as part of a wider
offensive across the globe. This economic attack falls under its “Belt and
Road” initiative and was accompanied by Beijing exercising greater political
clout and increasing its military spending.
Iran is also trying to breach the region, directly or through Houthi
missiles. Given the above, we can understand the historic developments that
took place in Jeddah, which witnessed the signing of a permanent peace deal
between Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Eritrean President Isaias
Afwerki under the direct sponsorship of Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques
King Salman bin Abdulaziz. Choosing Jeddah as the location to sign this deal
is recognition of the success of Saudi Arabia’s peace efforts, as well as
those exerted by the United Arab Emirates.
The truth is that the arrival of a young and wise leader to a position of
power in Ethiopia was one of the main reasons that helped push forward this
drive for peace. It is clear that Ahmed is seeking a policy of resolving his
country’s internal and foreign problems in order to achieve a qualitative
shift in cooperation to develop the economy and achieve prosperity and
stability. It was not easy to make concessions to persuade Afwerki to join
this new drive, but the course of events cannot be altered without taking
difficult decisions. The Ethiopian-Eritrean summit in Jeddah is a major
victory for diplomatic, economic and security calculations. It is also an
important step forward in achieving stability in a turbulent world. The
prime minister of Ethiopia has emerged as a new and prominent player in the
battles of the future, not the past. History will note that Ahmed and
Afwerki set prosperity as a priority over claiming victory against the
other. Afwerki realized that victory against poverty, unemployment and lack
of modernity were more important than a victory against Ethiopia, while
Ahmed had realized early on that prosperity protects internal and foreign
stability.
Islamic studies scholar Radwan al-Sayed and Arab
leftism
Mashari Althaydi/Al Arabiya/September 17/18
I know, like a bunch before me also knew, how the disease of hatred, which
made the healing doctor ill, managed to dominate the Arab leftist and
nationalist sentiment and how it managed to bid nationalist leftism and
leftist nationalism against Saudi Arabia and against every Arab country that
does not care about their falsities and stories. We will not talk about the
hostility of Islamized movements, both Sunni and Shiite, against Saudi
Arabia and which aim to deprive Saudi Arabia of its moral capital since it’s
the source of Islam, the homeland of revelation, where the prophet is
buried, and the qiblah of Muslims.
This is well-known, and those with sight and insight can see that. The Arab
leftist and progressive “case” has had some Arabist manifestations that are
void of any practical “meat” that makes people full. This is spearheaded by
the ugly trio, the Khomeinists, the Brotherhood and the leftists (in
addition to some nationalists) who behave like angry bulls as they slander
Saudi Arabia. Throughout his life, Sayed engaged in plenty of discussions.
He invalidated opinions and changed views, wrote, investigated, debated and
was debated. He roamed the institutions of knowledge and critically observed
what they teach, all he saw, after great effort, was people, from among
those who adopt an Arab leftist rhetoric, who are either immersed in
confusion or immersed in regret.
Today I want to talk about an Arab thinker who is obsessed with Arab
concerns, the Lebanese Islamic studies scholar Radwan al-Sayed. Doctor
Radwan al-Sayed is also known as Mawlana (the preacher) due to his studies
in Germany in the fields of Islamics.
In his recent op-ed “Success and failure in the balances of leftists and
nationalists” in this daily (Asharq Al-Awsat), he conveyed his bitterness
due to the diseases of Arab leftism and nationalists due to what is
happening in Syria and Iraq and how they’ve voiced their support to murderer
Bashar al-Assad and to Iran’s groups in Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen and who have
liked Erdogan’s recent brawls and new warmth between him and Tehran’s
mullahs and Moscow’s emperors.
“Do the brave nationalists and leftists, whether Lebanese or non-Lebanese,
and whom most of them stood with Assad and with Hezbollah, think they’ve
won? How, with what and where to? Truth is, they did not succeed in anything
except in making citizens vulnerable and giving up on their partnership with
them while imposing control over them and intimidating them. Otherwise, what
brings these inveterate liberals and democrats with the weapons of the
sectarian party and the guardianship of the jurist regime?” Radwan asks.
Mawlana then addresses the main point and the source of the disease’s
complex and says: “The nationalist leftists’ and the leftist nationalists’
problem is that they hate Egypt and the Saudi kingdom. They are willing to
support the Americans, the Russians, the Chinese and the Indians on
condition that there is no prosperous orchards between these and prominent
Arabs.”
Throughout his life, Sayed engaged in plenty of discussions. He invalidated
opinions and changed views, wrote, investigated, debated and was debated. He
roamed the institutions of knowledge and critically observed what they
teach, all he saw, after great effort, was people, from among those who
adopt an Arab leftist rhetoric, who are either immersed in confusion or
immersed in regret. This is the summary of all summaries that exposes the
disease of the “elitist” Arab mind.
Jeddah Summit: Prosperity protects stability
Ghassan Charbel/Al Arabiya/September 17/18
It is a gift from geography for your country to enjoy a strategic location
that affects trade movement and to figure in security calculations. At the
end of the day, however, what really matters is how this gift is handled and
invested.
The strategic location may transform from a blessing into a curse if sound
policies are not available to fortify the country from major regional and
international powers. During the long-gone time of two major world powers,
small countries used to pay the price for siding with this camp or that.
They were also paid hefty sums to defect from one camp to the other. In the
mid-1980s, much was said about refugee camps on the Sudanese-Eritrean
border. I was dispatched there by Lebanon’s An Nahar newspaper to see for
myself the suffering there. I used to tell myself that the media exaggerated
the reality there, because it was hard to believe that a child could starve
to death because he could not find a drop of milk or crumb of bread.
I toured the camp and came across a man searching for a grave in which to
lay to rest the body of a small child. Dispelling my doubts, he confirmed to
me that the child had starved to death. Similar scenes were repeated at the
camp throughout the day. That day taught me that a regime should be judged
based on the amount of food and work and education opportunities it provides
its people, not on its loud slogans and claims of victories. I recall
another incident in which Eritrean movements invited a number of journalists
to attend a conference they were holding on Eritrean soil they had dreamed
of liberating. The journalist were to accompany the Eritrean fighters to
infiltrate Ethiopian territory amid the lingering threat of air strikes. We
stayed there for several days and witnessed first-hand the tragedy the
people have to endure when living under the shadow of oppression and
poverty. We believed that day that the Eritrean war for independence would
be endless like the Palestinian dream for independence.The
Ethiopian-Eritrean summit in Jeddah is a major victory for diplomatic,
economic and security calculations. It is also an important step forward in
achieving stability in a turbulent world
Strategic location
The strategic location of the Horn of Africa made it a constant presence on
the agendas of major and regional countries. The countries of the Horn of
Africa overlook the Indian Ocean and control the southern entrance of the
Red Sea. This means that the region is vital for energy and trade shipments.
The Red Sea ports are also vital for the economies of Arab Gulf countries,
as well as their national security. Moreover, the Horn of Africa countries
also control the sources of the Nile River, meaning the stability of Egypt’s
economy and security. The region has long suffered from major international
meddling. The best example of this was the 1977 Ogaden War between Somalia
and Ethiopia.
In order to save Addis Ababa from certain defeat, the Soviet Union
dispatched its military aides, weapons and 18,000 Cuban soldiers and 2,000
soldiers from “comrade forces in Aden.” The Soviet intervention that day
changed the course of the war, exactly how Russia’s recent intervention in
Syria changed its war. The Horn of Africa has also long suffered from the
scars of border wars and conflicts because each country there sought to
destabilize its neighbor and host opposition figures. The Ethiopian-Eritrean
war broke out in 1988 and left more than 100,000 people dead.
As the fighting raged on, poverty became more rampant, refugee numbers began
to mount and economies started to weaken, leaving the youth to chose between
poverty, militias, extremism or the dream of immigration. Major countries
competed to establish a foothold in the Horn of Africa. The most recent one
to do so was China, which is launching a major effort to expand in Africa as
part of a wider offensive across the globe. This economic attack falls under
its “Belt and Road” initiative and was accompanied by Beijing exercising
greater political clout and increasing its military spending. Iran is also
trying to breach the region, directly or through Houthi missiles.
Historic developments
Given the above, we can understand the historic developments that took place
in Jeddah, which witnessed the signing of a permanent peace deal between
Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki
under the direct sponsorship of Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King
Salman bin Abdulaziz. Choosing Jeddah as the location to sign this deal is
recognition of the success of Saudi Arabia’s peace efforts, as well as those
exerted by the United Arab Emirates. The truth is that the arrival of a
young and wise leader to a position of power in Ethiopia was one of the main
reasons that helped push forward this drive for peace.
It is clear that Ahmed is seeking a policy of resolving his country’s
internal and foreign problems in order to achieve a qualitative shift in
cooperation to develop the economy and achieve prosperity and stability.
It was not easy to make concessions to persuade Afwerki to join this new
drive, but the course of events cannot be altered without taking difficult
decisions. The Ethiopian-Eritrean summit in Jeddah is a major victory for
diplomatic, economic and security calculations.
It is also an important step forward in achieving stability in a turbulent
world. The prime minister of Ethiopia has emerged as a new and prominent
player in the battles of the future, not the past.
History will note that Ahmed and Afwerki set prosperity as a priority over
claiming victory against the other. Afwerki realized that victory against
poverty, unemployment and lack of modernity were more important than a
victory against Ethiopia, while Ahmed had realized early on that prosperity
protects internal and foreign stability.
Idlib must look to regional powers rather than US for
help
Ellen R. Wald/Arab News/September 17/18
Many Syria observers believe there is an impending major battle in Idlib,
which is home to around 3 million Syrians and a large contingent of
anti-Assad forces, primarily the Al-Qaeda-linked Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS).
The region is essentially surrounded by President Bashar Assad’s loyalist
forces, with the exception of a series of Turkish observation posts. In the
event of a battle, the region would also come under fire from Russian jets.
Assad will not desist until he recaptures the whole of Syria, but the rebels
— those linked to Al-Qaeda and the others — will not easily surrender.
Therefore, there is great fear of a catastrophic battle and a humanitarian
crisis.
As with all humanitarian crises — or potential crises, as Idlib represents —
there seems to be a lingering question: What will the world’s only
superpower do? In this case, the answer is probably nothing.
The US has had a military presence in Syria for a few years, but the numbers
and roles are unclear and believed to be small. That alone does not mean
there is a need for any greater American intervention. The US military was
not built to stand between two warring parties — the despotic Assad and the
terrorist HTS. After all, nuclear submarines and stealth fighter jets are
not useful as peacekeepers in urban warfare.
Perhaps the primary reason that the US cannot intervene directly in Syria is
that there is no way to identify a particular group or groups to support. It
seems now that Assad is going to win the civil war. Yet, even if there was
still an opportunity to defeat him, the US does not have a strategic
interest in toppling his regime. It is clear that Assad is a ruthless
dictator and an enemy of US allies in the region, but the alternative to
Assad could be much worse. For instance, in place of Assad, an Al-Qaeda or
Daesh offshoot could take power.
The US, UK and others could attempt to establish peace talks, but they would
have little chance of success at this point. Neither Assad nor his ally,
Russia, has any reason to participate while they are winning. Moreover, in
Idlib it seems HTS may be the only group powerful enough to consider
negotiating on the other side, but the US cannot facilitate peace talks with
an Al-Qaeda offshoot.
Hopefully someone will help the residents of Idlib, but that help should
come from regional powers, not the superpower. At this point, there is not
much the US can or should do.
The simple truth is that the US is not the country that should be providing
help here. There are a variety of neighboring countries with resources and
interests, some of which have already aided the Syrian population
tremendously. Turkey is said to be housing 3.5 million Syrian migrants and
Europe has absorbed many others. Jordan has also accepted Syrians, and
Israel has provided medical treatment and rescue operations. Still, these
countries, along with the Gulf states and Egypt, can perhaps contribute
more.
As neighbors, all of these countries have significantly greater connections
to and interests in the outcome in Syria. In contrast, the US is exhausted
from constant Middle East action. As this column has detailed recently, in
the last 40 years more than 7,500 US servicemen have been killed in
conflicts in the Middle East and Afghanistan. The end result is always the
same, as the US is hated by elements in the region just as much as, if not
more than, it was before.
Another reason the US will not intervene in Syria is that it has little
connection to the country. There are no historical, cultural or population
ties of any significance between the two nations. In 2016, the most recent
year for which there is data, fewer than six out of every 10,000 Americans
was of Syrian descent. Moreover, the Syrian American population is diverse,
including Arabs, Christians, Kurds, Jews, Armenians, Turkmens and others.
There is no clear consensus on whether the US should intervene, even among
the small number of Syrian Americans.
The issue of Idlib is not of any interest or importance to the American
people. The people and media in the US are preoccupied with sustaining a
growing economy, solving trade disputes and domestic politics. On a
geopolitical scale, the US is thinking about issues that may directly impact
Americans: North Korea, Mexico, Iran and, to some extent, the massive
humanitarian crisis in Venezuela. An impending battle in Idlib rarely
appears in the news in the US. Very few Americans are familiar with the
situation in Idlib or knowledgeable and interested enough to even form an
opinion.
If the US is going to intervene in any way, it may be best to do so with
targeted missions before the civil war ends. These would be intended to
protect the strategic interests of the US or its close allies. This could
mean destroying stockpiles of chemical weapons; destroying other military
assets that Assad and his Russian or Iranian allies should not have; or
assisting Israel in facilitating strikes on Hezbollah.
But this war will end. It appears quite likely that Assad will win, and
Russia and Iran will have influence in Syria as a result. Before that, there
will likely be more fighting and more bloodshed in Idlib. Hopefully someone
will help the residents of Idlib, but that help should come from regional
powers, not the superpower. At this point, there is not much the US can or
should do.
*Ellen R. Wald, Ph.D. is a historian and author of “Saudi, Inc.” She is the
president of Transversal Consulting and also teaches Middle East history and
policy at Jacksonville University. Twitter: @EnergzdEconomy