LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
October 11/17
Compiled &
Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
The Bulletin's Link on the
lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/newselias/english.october11.17.htm
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Bible Quotations
You fool! This very night your life is being demanded of you. And the things you
have prepared, whose will they be?
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ
according to Saint Luke 12/16-21/:"Then he told them a parable: ‘The land of a
rich man produced abundantly. And he thought to himself, "What should I do, for
I have no place to store my crops?" Then he said, "I will do this: I will pull
down my barns and build larger ones, and there I will store all my grain and my
goods.And I will say to my soul, Soul, you have ample goods laid up for many
years; relax, eat, drink, be merry. "But God said to him, "You fool! This very
night your life is being demanded of you. And the things you have prepared,
whose will they be?"So it is with those who store up treasures for themselves
but are not rich towards God.’
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources
published on October 10-11/17
U.S. Believes Hezbollah Determined to Develop Attack Capability
Inside U.S./Haaretz and Reuters Oct 10/2017
Israel's Defense Minister: Lebanon's army 'an integral part' of
Hezbollah/Jerusalem Post/October 10/17
A regional power': How fighting Assad's war transformed Hezbollah/Ali Harb/Middle
East Eye/October 09/17
It's Time to Mobilize a Global Response to the Terrorist Group Lebanese
Hizballah/Thomas Bossert/October 10/17
Why Trump is right to re-think the nuclear deal/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Monday 09
October/17
Viewing Enemy Regimes as They Are, Not as We Wish They Were
Peter Huessy/Gatestone Institute/October 10/17
CNN and Qatar Airways: Taking Fake News to New Heights/Bruce Bawer/ Gatestone
Institute/October 10/17
Why Did the US Even Get Involved in Syria/Leonid Bershidsky/Bloomberg/October
10/17
Saudi Arabia’s Armament Policy/Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/October
10/17
Independence for Kurdistan/John R. Bolton/Gatestone Institute/October 10/17
Saudi Arabia: The armament policy/Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/October 10/17
Saudi women in the driver’s seat/Lojain Saati/Al Arabiya/October 10/17
A red carpet for Moscow in the Middle East/Christian Chesnot/Al Arabiya/October
10/17
The myth surrounding ‘angry Muslims/Mamdouh AlMuhaini/Al Arabiya/October 10/17
Titles For Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on
October 10-11/17
U.S. Believes Hezbollah Determined to Develop Attack
Capability Inside U.S.
Israel's Defense Minister: Lebanon's army 'an integral part' of Hezbollah
Aoun Says Economic Achievements Complement Reform and Fighting Corruption
UNIFIL Force Commander Meets Hariri in Beirut
Aoun signs judicial appointments' decree
Druze Sheikh Akl meets French Ambassador
Makhzoumi, Richard tackle overall situation
UNIFIL: Beary meets PM Hariri in Beirut
Kanaan after bloc weekly meeting: Salary scale and revenues secure financial and
social stability
Kataeb: Political class imposed random taxes once again
Mustaqbal Warns over Nasrallah's Anti-Saudi Rhetoric
Sarraf from South: Army Vigilant to Repel Any Aggression
Report: U.S. Sanctions against Hizbullah 'Neutralize Army, Banks'
Woman Found Slaughtered in Aramoun
Asmar Says Efforts Outset to Ask Private Sector for Pay Raise
The next war will be waged against Lebanon, Syria and Gaza, says Lieberman
A regional power': How fighting Assad's war transformed Hezbollah
It's Time to Mobilize a Global Response to the Terrorist Group Lebanese
Hizballah
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports
And News published on
October 10-11/17
Syrian rebels hand border crossing to opposition
government
French media cast doubts over Qatari bid to grab top UNESCO position
Israel to advance plans for nearly 4,000 settler homes: Official
US envoy to Turkey says duration of visa services suspension depends on talks
Erdogan: Turkish officials to boycott meetings with US ambassador
Egypt condemns eight to death over police station attack
Russian warplane crashes at air base in Syria, ‘crew didn’t eject in time’
Brainwashed by a cult: French priest offers therapy to ‘reclaim’ Yazidi captives
Catalan Leader Steps Back from Declaring Immediate Independence
Latest Lebanese Related News published on
October 10-11/17
U.S. Believes Hezbollah Determined to Develop Attack Capability Inside
U.S.
Haaretz and Reuters Oct
10/2017
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/?p=59436
U.S. counterterrorism director announces multi-million dollar reward for
information leading to arrest of two Hezbollah officials. The United States
believes that Hezbollah is determined to give itself an option to carry out
attacks inside the United States, Nicholas J. Rasmussen, the director of the
National Counterterrorism Center, said on Tuesday. "It is our assessment that
Hezbollah is determined to give itself a potential homeland option as a critical
component of its terrorism playbook," Rasmussen said during a briefing.
Rasmussen noted that before September 11, 2001 Hezbollah was responsible for
more American deaths than any other foreign terrorism group. Rasmussen announced
a multi-million dollar reward for tips leading to the arrest of two Hezbollah
officials: Talal Hamiyah and Fu'ad Shukr.
Hamiyah is the head of coordinating and executing attacks outside of Lebanon,
the State Department said. Hamiyah was Mughniyah's protege and served as his
deputy in the "Jihad" network, a unit for special missions. Hamiyah, according
to reports from Lebanese sources, went to Iraq quite often and was in contact
with the leaders of the Shi'ite militias there, who are fighting the U.S. Army
and the coalition forces. Shukr played a central role in the 1983 attack on the
U.S. Marine corps barracks in Beirut, the State Department said. The Marine
headquarters was destroyed at 6:22 A.M. when a truck rigged with around 10 tons
of explosives and fuel exploded, killing 241 people. Minutes later, 58 French
soldiers were killed in an explosion at their base in Ramlet al-Baida. According
to the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Shukr serves on Hezbollah's
highest military body and played "a vital role" in Syria by helping Hezbollah
fighters and forces loyal to the Assad regime fight insurgents. "With all the
focus on ISIS and Al-Qaida, I can assure you that those of us who have focused
on terrorism for the entire period since 9/11 have never taken our eye off of
the Hezbollah threat," he said.
Rasmussen's announcement came just hours after Defense Minister Avigdor
Lieberman warned that Israel's next war will be fought on two fronts, with
Hezbollah along the northern border and Gaza in the south.
Speaking to a group of soldiers at the Israeli army's headquarters in Tel Aviv,
Lieberman also accused the Lebanese army of being co-opted by Hezbollah. “The
Lebanese army has become an integral part of the Hezbollah force and under its
command. The Lebanese army has lost its independence and become an inseparable
part of the Hezbollah force,” Lieberman said.
Israel's Defense Minister: Lebanon's army 'an integral
part' of Hezbollah
Jerusalem
Post/October 10/17
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/?p=59436
"Whoever wants peace must prepare for war, and I
hope that our enemies on the other side will think carefully about every step
taken against the State of Israel," says Defense Minister Liberman.
Lebanon’s army has become an integral part of Hezbollah’s network, Israel’s
Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman stated on Tuesday, warning that the next war
on Israel’s northern border will not be confined to one front but will see
conflict with both Syria and Leanon.
Addressing IDF soldiers during a celebratory event marking the festival of
Sukkot at his sukka in the military headquarters in Tel Aviv, Liberman warned
that preparation for the next war was of great importance, as it will likely
include the Lebanese military along with Hezbollah.
“We’re talking about Hezbollah and about the Lebanese military, and
unfortunately this is the reality,” Liberman said, adding that the “Lebanese
army has lost its independence and has become an integral part of Hezbollah’s
network.”
“Even if the next campaign develops, and it does not matter where it develops,
in the north or the south, it will immediately become a battle on two fronts,”
the defense minister said.
"We are supposed to prepare for every possible scenario, and the new reality
also prepares new challenges for us. If we once talked about the Lebanese
sector, then there is no longer such a sector, there is a northern sector in
every development,” he continued.
Senior officials from Israel’s defense establishment have repeatedly stated that
while the chance of escalation on the border is low, the smallest incident or a
miscalculation by either side would have the possibility to lead to conflict.
"Our entire effort is to prevent the next war, but in the new 'Middle East,' the
assessments we previously made are simply irrelevant. The reality now is
fragile, it can change from moment to moment, from today to tomorrow,” he said.
"Whoever wants peace must prepare for war, and I hope that our enemies on the
other side will think carefully about every step taken against the State of
Israel, so that we will not have to demonstrate the full strength and
capabilities of the IDF.”
Israeli officials, including Liberman, have repeatedly voiced concerns about the
smuggling of sophisticated weaponry to Hezbollah and the growing Iranian
presence on its borders, stressing that both are red-lines for the Jewish State.
Both France and the United States have provided Lebanon with advanced weaponry,
and this past summer, the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) received 50 armored
vehicles, 40 artillery pieces and 50 grenade launchers from the United States as
part of an aid package to bolster the Middle Eastern country against the threats
posed by militant groups.
Saudi Arabia in March halted its military aid program to Beirut after Lebanese
President Michel Aoun defended Hezbollah’s arsenal in an interview with an
Egyptian TV channel, calling it “an essential component” of the means to defend
Lebanon.
“Hezbollah weapons are not contradictory to the state, but are an essential part
in defending the country,” Aoun told the Egyptian TV network CBC satellite
channel. “As long as a part of the territory is occupied by Israel, and as long
as the army is not powerful enough to fight Israel, we feel the need to maintain
the weapons of the resistance to complement the army.”
Israel and Hezbollah fought a deadly 33-day war in 2006, which came to an end
under UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which called for the disarmament of
Hezbollah, the withdrawal of the Israeli army from Lebanon, the deployment of
the Lebanese army and an enlarged UN force in the south.
According to IDF assessments, Hezbollah has increased its military capabilities
due to its fighting in Syria, and has spread its troops across the entire Middle
East. In addition to a massive arsenal of rockets and missiles, Hezbollah is
able to mobilize close to 30,000 fighters and has flouted its tunnel system,
complete with ventilation, electricity and rocket launchers.
Some 200 villages in south Lebanon have also been turned into “military
strongholds” from which Hezbollah militants are able to watch Israeli soldiers
at any moment.
On Saturday, Lebanon’s Al-Akhbar news website reported that security services
had arrested three men who were allegedly gathering intelligence on Hezbollah
and transferring it to Israel’s spy agency, the Mossad.
Aoun Says Economic
Achievements Complement Reform and Fighting Corruption
Naharnet/October 10/17/President Michel Aoun confirmed on Tuesday during a
meeting with a delegation of the General Labor Union that the recent “economic
achievements will complete reform and the fight against corruption,” the
National News Agency reported. “The achievements at the economic level so far
will be complemented with reform, combating corruption, and restoration of
balance to the country's production sectors,” NNA quoted Aoun as saying. Aoun
had also met with Minister of Trade and Economy, Raed Khoury at the Presidential
Palace.
UNIFIL Force Commander Meets Hariri in Beirut
Naharnet/October 10/17/UNIFIL Head of Mission and Force Commander Major General
Michael Beary on Tuesday met with Prime Minister Saad Hariri in Beirut, UNIFIL
said.Beary congratulated the Prime Minister on “the success of the Lebanese
Government and the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) in recent military operations and
commended the LAF and its leadership,” a UNIFIL statement said. During the
meeting, Beary also briefed Hariri on the renewal of UNIFIL’s mandate, welcoming
the unanimous decision by the U.N. Security Council through Resolution 2373,
which extends the mandate through August 31, 2018. The Head of UNIFIL and the
Prime Minister also discussed the “strengthened collaboration” between UNIFIL
and LAF. "I appreciate the recent deployment of the Rapid Intervention Regiment
as a first step towards the accelerated and durable deployment of the LAF in
southern Lebanon and its territorial waters,” said the UNIFIL Force Commander,
noting that it will help to further enhance efforts in patrolling the Area of
Operations. “The area south of the Litani River until the Blue Line has
experienced an unprecedented 11-years of stability,” the UNIFIL statement noted.
“Together with the LAF we need to build on the relative calm and further
increase coordination to respond to incidents and prevent hostile activities
especially along the Blue Line in a timely manner,” said Major General Beary. He
also thanked Hariri for his continued support to the Mission, as well as for
championing efforts towards a permanent ceasefire: “I was encouraged to hear
from the Prime Minister very strong words of support to UNIFIL and the work we
are doing on the ground, as well as reaffirmation of his government’s commitment
to the implementation of Resolution 1701. The support and involvement of the
government of Lebanon are essential for the success of UNIFIL’s mission.”Later
in the day, Beary met with the Director General of General Security, Major
General Abbas Ibrahim, in Beirut.
Aoun signs judicial appointments' decree
Tue 10 Oct 2017/NNA - President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, on Tuesday
signed a decree related to judicial transfers and appointments. The decree was
forwarded by the presidential departments for publication in accordance with
laws in effect.
The decree also carried the signatures from Prime Minister, Saad Hariri, Justice
Minister Selim Jreissati, National Defense Minister Yaacoub Sarraf and Finance
Minister Ali Hasan Khalil.
Druze Sheikh Akl meets French Ambassador
Tue 10 Oct 2017/NNA - Druze Community Sheikh Akl, Naïm Hassan, received on
Tuesday French Ambassador to Lebanon, Bruno Foucher. Sheikh Hassan underlined
the paramount importance of international cooperation in addressing the
challenges facing inter-religious relations through the revival of dialogue and
communication. Sheikh Akl categorically deplored the attacks on France,
stressing that terrorism shall not deter peoples' will for rapprochement and
openness.
Makhzoumi, Richard tackle overall situation
Tue 10 Oct 2017/NNA - "National Dialogue" Party head, Fouad Makhzoumi, met on
Tuesday with US Ambassador to Lebanon, Elizabeth Richard, with talks between the
pair reportedly touching on most recent developments on the local, regional and
international arena.
UNIFIL: Beary meets PM Hariri in Beirut
Tue 10 Oct 2017/NNA - In a press release by UNIFIL, it said: "UNIFIL Head of
Mission and Force Commander Major General Michael Beary today met with Prime
Minister Saad Hariri in Beirut. Major General Beary congratulated the Prime
Minister on the success of the Lebanese Government and the Lebanese Armed Forces
(LAF) in recent military operations and commended the LAF and its leadership.
During the meetings, Major General Beary also briefed the Prime Minister on the
renewal of UNIFIL's mandate, welcoming the unanimous decision by the UN Security
Council through Resolution 2373, which extends the mandate through 31 August
2018. The Head of UNIFIL and the Prime Minister also discussed the strengthened
collaboration between UNIFIL and LAF. "I appreciate the recent deployment of the
Rapid Intervention Regiment as a first step towards the accelerated and durable
deployment of the LAF in southern Lebanon and its territorial waters," said the
UNIFIL Force Commander, noting that it will help to further enhance efforts in
patrolling the Area of Operations. The area south of the Litani River until the
Blue Line has experienced an unprecedented 11-years of stability. "Together with
the LAF we need to build on the relative calm and further increase coordination
to respond to incidents and prevent hostile activities especially along the Blue
Line in a timely manner," said Major General Beary. He also thanked the Lebanese
leader for his continued support to the Mission, as well as for championing
efforts towards a permanent ceasefire: "I was encouraged to hear from the Prime
Minister very strong words of support to UNIFIL and the work we are doing on the
ground, as well as reaffirmation of his government's commitment to the
implementation of resolution 1701. The support and involvement of the government
of Lebanon are essential for the success of UNIFIL's mission." Later in the day,
Major General Beary met with the Director General of Lebanon's General Security,
Major General Abbas Ibrahim, in Beirut."
Kanaan after bloc weekly meeting: Salary scale
and revenues secure financial and social stability
Tue 10 Oct 2017/NNA - Change and Reform bloc MP Ibrahim Kanaan hailed the
approval of the revenues' law and the salary scale as one of the long-awaited
financial and social vital achievements. "The salary scale and the revenues
secure financial and social stability," MP Kanaan said in the wake of the
"Change and Reform" bloc weekly meeting on Tuesday. Kanaan stressed that there
couldn't be reforms in the country without monitoring, stressing that the bloc
seeks a better stable life for all citizens. The Lawmaker also assured that the
Economy Ministry shall spare no effort to protect consumers and prevent any
chaos in this regard.
Kataeb: Political class imposed random taxes
once again
Tue 10 Oct 2017/NNA - Kataeb Party pointed out that the current political class
has once again imposed same taxes in a random way, in the aim of funding its
electoral campaigns. Kataeb's fresh words on Tuesday came in a statement issued
in the wake of its politburo weekly meeting, chaired by Party chief MP Sami
Gemayel. The meeting tackled most recent developments on the local arena. The
Party accused the combined political class of circumventing the economic and
social interests of the Lebanese. "The political class has again imposed taxes
in a random way in order to finance its electoral campaigns," the bloc said. The
bloc also deprecated the method in which the recent judicial appointments were
made. Kataeb also warned from Hizbollah's insistence on further implicating the
country into the simmering regional crises, deeming the silence of the political
class in this regard "unprecedented yielding."
Mustaqbal Warns over Nasrallah's Anti-Saudi
Rhetoric
Naharnet/October 10/17/Al-Mustaqbal parliamentary bloc on Tuesday “strongly”
condemned Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's latest anti-Saudi remarks.
“Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah is continuing his campaign against the Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia and the Arab Gulf countries in an appalling and rejected manner,” said
the bloc in a statement issued after its weekly meeting. It warned that this
might lead to “harming the interests of Lebanon and the Lebanese and straining
their relations with their Arab brothers, especially the Arab Gulf
countries.”“Regional peace and security can be achieved when Saudi Arabia stops
backing Wahhabist groups... Saudi Arabia is preventing security and peace in
Yemen, Bahrain, Iraq and Pakistan,” Nasrallah had charged on Sunday.
Sarraf from South: Army Vigilant to Repel Any
Aggression
Naharnet/October 10/17/Defense
Minister Yaacoub al-Sarraf on Tuesday stressed that the Lebanese Army is on the
watch to repel “any aggression,” during a visit to south Lebanon. Hailing “the
joint efforts between the Lebanese Army and UNIFIL forces,” Sarraf said “the
stability that south Lebanon is enjoying is a natural outcome of this special
cooperation.” The minister voiced his remarks during a visit to the Italian
military training center in the al-Samaiyeh area in the Tyre district. “Lebanon
rejects the continuous Israeli violations of Lebanese sovereignty and (U.N.
Security Council) Resolution 1701, whose persistence would jeopardize stability
in Lebanon,” Sarraf said. “The army's mission is to defend Lebanon,” the
minister “We are against any attack on Lebanese sovereignty, especially from the
Israeli enemy and terrorism, and together with the army we will be vigilant to
repel any aggression,” Sarraf went on to say.
Report: U.S. Sanctions against Hizbullah
'Neutralize Army, Banks'
Naharnet/October 10/17/Concerns linger that Lebanon might be harmed by the US
sanctions that will be “officially approved against Hizbullah in three weeks,”
but the visits of parliamentary and banking delegations to Washington last
spring succeeded at “neutralizing key and important” sectors from the sanctions,
al-Mustaqbal daily reported on Tuesday. Informed diplomatic sources on
Lebanon-US relations do not deny the sanctions' effect on the country. They told
the daily that contacts with Washington have succeeded at “neutralizing
important sectors primarily the banks, aid to the Lebanese army, and the Shiite
community in general as a major community involved in Lebanese society. Even
some names that were leaked as being subject to sanctions are no longer
targeted,” they said. According to the sources, “the law in principle will have
repercussions on Lebanon, but the most important goal of the delegations that
visited Washington was, which actually happened, neutralizing the relations of
the banking sector with correspondent banks, because all the deliberations in
Lebanon are in the US dollar.” The U.S. Congress is seeking new ways to tighten
sanctions against Hizbullah.
The Foreign Affairs Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives, chaired by
Republican Representative Ed Royce, passed a bill late in September to further
sanction the party. Royce had argued that “Hizbullah and Iran are reportedly
introducing game-changing facilities into the region – independent factories
that can produce rockets to be used against Israel and our allies. We also have
reports of missile factories opening up in Lebanon near mosques, homes,
hospitals, and schools,” said Royce. He said the Committee is “taking action
against Hizbullah and its sponsor Iran, by passing legislation that tightens the
screws on Hizbullah’s financial operations globally,.” Lebanese media reports
said that the bill authorizes US President Donald Trump to freeze the assets of
“high-ranking Lebanese political figures who deal with Hizbullah.”One bill will
reportedly target Hizbullah's ability to raise funds and deprives it of access
to the international financial system and the financial institutions.It also
increases pressure on Lebanese and foreign banks that deal with Hizbullah and
its leadership. A second bill slaps sanctions on Hizbullah for “violating human
rights in the July 2006 war through using civilians as human shields,” reports
said.
Woman Found Slaughtered in Aramoun
Naharnet/October 10/17/A woman has been found dead with her throat slit in the
Aley District town of Aramoun, 22 kilometers south of Beirut, state-run National
News Agency reported. “Lebanese citizen N.H.A., who was born in 1961 in Beirut,
was found slaughtered inside her house in Aramoun,” NNA said. It said the
woman's body was discovered by her lone son after he returned home around
midnight. “The Aramoun police station launched an investigation, as members of
Judicial Police's Criminal Evidence Bureau arrived on the scene and lifted
fingerprints,” the agency said. “A number of witnesses are being questioned
following an authorization from the public prosecution, especially her son and
neighbors,” NNA added.
Asmar Says Efforts Outset to Ask Private Sector
for Pay Raise
Naharnet/October 10/17/Head of Lebanon's General Labor Union Beshara al-Asmar
rejected the latest tax hikes approved by the parliament on Monday announcing
that efforts will kick-off in order to get raises for the private sector
employees and workers. In an interview to VDL (93.3), Asmar said that the newly
approved tax hikes law targets low-income workers. He noted that “direct
contacts and meetings have started to impress upon the private sector to give
employees salary increments.”He said private sector employees will be paying for
the new wage scale but they will not benefit from it. Business and political
editor at An Nahar daily Sabin Oueiss told MTV on Tuesday that Economic
Committees, which includes leading bankers, businesses, industrialists and
merchants, are inclining to consent to increases in private sector salaries
after formerly rejecting the issue. Turning to the tax effect on the prices of
goods, Asmar stressed on the State's role in controlling consumer products
prices after the increase in the value added tax. He said: “A specialized
committee of the General Labor Union and Economy Ministry observers will be
formed and will tour the market to monitor the prices of goods.”On Monday, the
parliament approved a revised tax law to fund a new wage scale for civil
servants after a previous law was revoked by the Constitutional Council over
procedural and financial violations. The taxes approved in the morning session
included hiking VAT from 10 to 11%; hiking the prices of financial stamps;
hiking taxes on imported alcoholic beverages; hiking fees charged by notaries;
LBP 2,500 on landline phone bills and LBP 250 on mobile phone recharge cards;
LBP 6,000 on cement production; LBP 250 on every cigarette pack, a 10% increase
on every cigar and LBP 2,500 on every kilogram of hookah tobacco; an LBP 5,000
fee on non-Lebanese travelers entering Lebanon by land; an LBP 50,000 tax on
economy class travel tickets, LBP 150,000 on first class travel tickets and LBP
400,000 on every traveler on a private jet. In the evening, the legislature
approved taxes on imported containers, annual fines on seaside properties, a tax
hike on lottery prizes, additional fees on firms' income tax and fees on real
state sale contracts as it hiked taxes on the profits of financial firms from
15% to 17% and taxes on banks' interests and revenues from 5% to 7%.
The next war will be waged against Lebanon, Syria and Gaza,
says Lieberman
MEM/October 10/17/Israel’s Defence Minister has said that the next war waged on
Israel’s northern front will not only be against Hezbollah in Lebanon, but also
Syria, and hostilities will also include the Gaza Strip. Avigdor Lieberman made
his comments in a speech to army officers at the Defence Ministry in Tel Aviv on
Monday on the eve of the Yom Kippur holiday. “The next war in the north will not
only be the Lebanese front, but rather a united front made up of Syria and
Lebanon,” Lieberman explained. “The Lebanese army has lost its independence and
has become an integral part of Hezbollah.” He added that Israel will not have a
war on a single front. “The next war will be fought on both fronts [north and
south].” This, obviously, implies that Gaza will again be a target for an
Israeli military offensive. “We are trying our best to prevent the next war,”
claimed the extreme right-wing minister, “but in this ‘new’ Middle East, it is
no longer predicted that war is unlikely, like in the past.” Such predictions,
he suggested, do not reflect the sensitive reality in the region; war may occur
from one moment to the next, or overnight. “Everything suggests that we must
plan for a serious ground invasion, and there is no invasion without strong
fire. Our tanks must provide such strong fire, just as the air defence must
prevent great losses for Israel.” The minister concluded that Israel must
prepare for any potential scenario, as the new reality holds challenges for
everyone.
A regional power': How fighting Assad's war
transformed Hezbollah
Ali Harb/Middle East Eye/October 09/17
The group has gained extensive battlefield experience in Syria, and it says it
is prepared for another war with Israel if necessary
It was formed as a resistance group against Israel, and operated on the
country's southern borders. But after years of war in Syria, hardened by battle
experience and holding new territory, Hezbollah in 2017 is a wholly different
beast. The Lebanese Shia group's victories in Syria have initiated a new era for
its fighters in which they are not restricted by geography, but fight where they
need to be, their leader has proclaimed. "Everyone is dealing with Hezbollah as
a regional power," a Hezbollah political official who wished to remain anonymous
told Middle East Eye. Hezbollah, considered a terrorist organisation by
Washington, has gained extensive battlefield experience in Syria, and it claims
it is prepared for another war with Israel if necessary. Hezbollah chief Hassan
Nasrallah recently warned Israel of "heavy losses" if it underestimates his
organisation's capabilities.
If it weren't for Hezbollah's intervention in Syria, the country would have
fallen, and Nusra and Daesh would have been fighting us in our towns and
villages in Lebanon
Hezbollah military official
The official said the Iran-backed group's "decisive and essential" role in Syria
has turned it into a major military force in the Middle East. "That was not our
aim when we intervened in Syria," he said. "All we wanted is to defend the
resistance and defend a state that has stood by and supported the resistance
since its inception in 1982 until now.
"The resistance" is what Hezbollah calls itself. The group was founded with
Iranian help primarily to fight the Israeli army in Lebanon. But in Syria, it
has taken on a new enemy - Syrian rebels, whom it accuses of being takfiris, a
term referring to hardliners who proclaim other Muslims to be infidels.
Militarily, the political official said, Hezbollah acquired valuable fighting
experience in war-torn Syria. The group has learned offensive tactics, whereas
in past wars it had been arrayed mostly in a defensive posture against Israeli
troops.
The organisation also fought on different types of terrain in Syria, a change
from the hilly battlefield of south Lebanon.
"Now, we have fought in urban settings in al-Qusayr, in the mountains in
Qalamoun and in the desert in Palmyra, and this has given Hezbollah great
military experience," he said.
"We also fought alongside traditional armies, which has given Hezbollah an
ability to develop battle tactics," he continued, adding that Israel is well
aware of Hezbollah's new abilities.
What comes after Syria?
Besides fighting, Hezbollah has consistently called for a political solution to
the conflict in Syria and encouraged dialogue publicly and behind the scenes to
end the war, the official said."So how long will we stay in Syria?" he asked.
"That boils down to two points. Since we have intervened in Syria at the request
and with the cooperation of the legitimate government, our exit from Syria will
be in cooperation with that government.
"Secondly, we will leave Syria when the reasons for our intervention disappear -
when Syrian affairs return to normal and when the conspiracy that targeted the
regime in Syria and the resistance in Lebanon and the axis of resistance in the
region fails."
Hezbollah, like the Syrian government, views the war resulting from a 2011
internal uprising as an international plot to destroy the state because of its
alliance with Iran.
Still, the Hezbollah official denies that the group has become a fully fledged
cross-border military power.
Lebanon's mission is to establish a conscious, responsible environment for
co-existence between sects. If Lebanon can't fulfill this mission, the nation
has no meaning
Rajeh Al Khoury, analyst
While acknowledging that Hezbollah was involved in a limited capacity in
training fighters against the Islamic State (IS) group in Iraq, he said it was
not directly involved in the conflict in Yemen.
But Kassem Kassir, a journalist and the author of the book Hezbollah between
1982 and 2016, said the organisation now must balance its Lebanese presence with
its newly found role outside the country.
"Hezbollah is no longer an internal Lebanese power," Kassir said. He added that
Hezbollah leaders' assertion that the group's fighters will return to Lebanon
after the war is an oversimplification.
He said the group was grappling with a new reality in becoming a regional power,
though the dynamics of its role going forward are still unclear. "Hezbollah
after the Syrian war is not the same and will not be the same as before the
Syrian war," Kassir said.
'We will be where we need to be'
Before Hezbollah fully committed to the Syrian civil war, the party gave
cautious rationales for its intervention.
It began with a need to protect border communities under threat by hardline
militants. Then it was about protecting Shia shrines, especially the Sayyida
Zeinab mosque in Damascus, from fundamentalist rebels who vowed to destroy them.
About two months after Hezbollah's first public involvement in the war, in the
battle of Qusayr in May 2013, Nasrallah pledged to fight across Syria and beyond
to pursue his group's objectives.
His words in a June 2013 speech stretched the militant organisation's area of
operation: "We will be where we need to be," he said.
The quote became a sort of motto of what seems to be a new Hezbollah that is not
confined within Lebanon's borders. It now appears on posters across Hezbollah's
strongholds and has even been turned into a song.
As Hezbollah became more visibly involved in the Syrian war, indiscriminate bomb
attacks began targeting the mainly Shia southern Beirut suburbs, known as Dahiye.
The bombings, claimed by al-Qaeda and IS, were condemned across the Lebanese
political spectrum. However, they ignited a chicken-or-egg debate about the
motive behind them. While Hezbollah critics accused the group of making Lebanon
a target for Syrian militants, the party maintained that its fighters
safeguarded the country from what was an inevitable confrontation with militants
on Lebanese soil.
A Hezbollah military source, who requested anonymity, reiterated that argument
to MEE.
"If it weren't for Hezbollah's intervention in Syria, the country would have
fallen, and Nusra and Daesh would have been fighting us in our towns and
villages in Lebanon," he said, referring to IS and al-Qaeda's branch in Syria,
which now operates under the name of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham.
Lebanon's Shia
The argument that IS was destined to violate Lebanon is often used by local
leaders and imams in Shia areas.
The military source cited attacks by IS across European capitals that he said
were supportive of the Syrian opposition.
The rise of IS also serves as justification for Hezbollah's casualties in Syria.
The group has lost hundreds of fighters in the war. There is no official count
of its losses but they are estimated to be between 1,300 and 1,500, the military
source said.
Hezbollah was able to increase recruitment during the war using the same
philosophy of martyrdom that it employed in the fight against Israel.
Pictures of fighters killed in battle over the past three years are reverently
displayed across Dahiye, often with a background of Sayyida Zeinab's shrine in
Damascus.
Both Kassem and the military source said that while the loss of fighters in
Syria had obvious painful effects on Lebanese Shia society, it had not swayed
public opinion against the group.
The military source claimed that foreign and local media had tried to contact
families of fallen fighters to get them to publicly criticise Hezbollah, but to
no avail.
Kassem agreed that there is little sign of immediate family members of those
killed in Syria blaming Hezbollah for their losses.
He said the group has maintained a direct relationship with its supporters and
even praised it for taking care of the families of dead fighters.
The organisation has also used theology to glorify the deaths.
For example, at the funeral of a 17-year-old fighter killed in Syria earlier
this year, the group's deputy chief Naim Qassem linked his death to the concept
of fate, which is predestined by God and therefore unchangeable.
Shia society has become gradually more supportive of Hezbollah's war efforts as
the danger of militant groups in Syria became more real, Kassem said.
"After these groups, especially Daesh and Nusra, started showing their true
faces, there were only a few opponents to Hezbollah's role in Syria left,"
Kassem told MEE.
The military source said 95 percent of Shia in Lebanon have full confidence in
Hezbollah's leadership and in Nasrallah personally, while conceding that the
group was never going to win over some Shia dissenters.
He described them as the "Shia of the embassy", a derogatory term stemming from
US diplomatic cables made public by Wikileaks that revealed meetings between
anti-Hezbollah Shia activists and the US ambassador in Lebanon.
Rajeh al-Khoury, a veteran political analyst who writes for the Annahar
newspaper, said the Syria intervention had not hurt the organisational
homogeneity of Hezbollah.
He said it is an ideological party, and that Nasrallah has publicly committed to
the strategic leadership of Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei via Wilayat al-Faqih,
a theological concept that gives the Iranian ayatollah political custodianship
over his followers.
When fighters join Hezbollah, they know that they are a part of this larger
system, so internal dissent is not likely, he said.
Still, Hussein Itany, a Beirut-based communications specialist, said there is
more than religion and ideology to Hezbollah's ability to minimise opposition
within its base.
"They're betting on a winning horse," Itany said of the Lebanese Shia community.
"Everything Hezbollah has promised, they delivered. If they say something will
happen, it does. If they say it won't, it doesn't."
Sectarian tensions
The Hezbollah political official said, however, that there has been an ongoing
effort to use of sectarianism to undermine the group. Hezbollah, he added, also
operates from a political standpoint, citing the group's relationship with
resistance movements in Palestine.
But there is no denying that Hezbollah's involvement in Syria has been largely
perceived through a sectarian lens. Hezbollah's main political opponents in
Lebanon are Sunni. Its patrons in Iran are Shia. Syria's President Bashar
al-Assad is from Syria's Alawite community, while most rebels and their regional
backers are Sunni.
Unfortunately, because we were weak, neutrality was imposed on us. Hezbollah,
because it was strong, did not respect the policy of neutrality and sent
thousands of fighters to Syria
Ashraf Rifi, former justice minister
Furthermore, Sunni politicians have told MEE that they feel frustrated by
Hezbollah's dominance over Lebanon's strategic affairs.
Khoury said Lebanon is witnessing deep and dangerous sectarian divisions that
reflect the state of the Arab world. He added that the sectarian standoff is
also what gave birth to IS.
Hezbollah's role in Syria has intensified sectarian tensions in the country and
the region, he said.
"At the beginning of the war, Sayyed Hassan [Nasrallah] used to say there were
legitimate demands of the Syrian people that the regime must consider," Khoury
told MEE. "He doesn't say that anymore."
Lebanese divisions
When Hezbollah went to war in Syria, large sections of the political
establishment in Lebanon were vocal in supporting of the rebels there.
The Syrian government had even accused Lebanese politicians of arming opposition
groups that it described as "terrorists."
Ashraf Rifi, a former justice minister and a vocal Sunni opponent of Hezbollah,
said the Lebanese government had established a policy of neutrality to protect
the country from a spillover of the war.
"Unfortunately, because we were weak, neutrality was imposed on us. Hezbollah,
because it was strong, did not respect the policy of neutrality and sent
thousands of fighters to Syria," Rifi told MEE.
'A feeling of defeat': Lebanon's Sunnis frustrated in face of Hezbollah power
Khoury said the balance of power in Lebanon has been tilted in favour of
Hezbollah, which will inevitably diminish the role of the state.
He referred to September clashes between IS militants and the Lebanese army near
the Syrian border, when Hezbollah took the initiative in the fighting and struck
a deal to evacuate the militants.
"There's fear over rebuilding the role of the state," Khoury said. He added that
establishing a capable government in Lebanon would require Hezbollah to come
under the umbrella of the state, without unilaterally dragging the country into
regional wars.
"Lebanon's mission is to establish a conscious, responsible environment for
co-existence between sects. If Lebanon can't fulfill this mission, the nation
has no meaning," he said.
It's Time to Mobilize a Global Response to the Terrorist Group Lebanese
Hizballah
Thomas Bossert/October 10/17
http://www.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2017/10/09/tom-bossert-les-etats-unis-continueront-a-isoler-l-iran-et-son-allie-le-hezbollah_5198222_3232.html
Sunday, October 8 marked the twentieth anniversary of the United States’
official designation of Hizballah as a Foreign Terrorist Organization. Hizballah,
originally formed as a violent union of Iranian-backed extremists in Lebanon,
has terrorized the Middle East and the world since its inception thirty-five
years ago. Hizballah remains a threat to the United States and to the security
of nations across the Middle East and beyond. It is time for more nations around
the world to join the United States in exposing this murderous organization for
what it is, in confronting its networks and its sponsors, and in mobilizing a
global response to counter the threat it poses to the civilized world. Hizballah
kidnaps soldiers and civilians, fires rockets on Israeli families and children,
and plans terrorist attacks around the world. Hizballah’s 1983 and 1984 bombings
of the U.S. Embassy in Lebanon, and its 1983 attacks on the U.S. and French
barracks in Beirut, killed hundreds of American, Lebanese, and French citizens.
In recent years, law enforcement has thwarted attempted Hizballah terrorist
attacks on nearly every continent—in countries such as Thailand, Cyprus, Kuwait,
Peru, and Nigeria. In 2012, Hizballah operatives conducted a successful suicide
bombing attack in Bulgaria. We also believe that Hizballah has been operating
inside the United States. The FBI recently arrested two U.S. persons for
allegedly operating on behalf of Hizballah’s international terrorism unit. For
decades, this terrorist organization has tried to disguise its murderous
intentions under the guise of political legitimacy. Hizballah first competed in
Lebanese national elections in 1992. Today, Hizballah and its political allies
hold half of the seats in Lebanon’s Cabinet and nearly half of the seats in its
National Assembly. Hizballah’s political cover cannot mask its true
intentions. The same Hizballah officials responsible for its political apparatus
oversee its terrorist planning. Hizballah has built its political power at the
expense of its victims, including former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri
and dozens of other Lebanese officials. The Lebanese people can never be truly
free to express their political will under the constant threat of Hizballah’s
violence and coercion. There is no difference between Hizballah’s
terrorist wing and its supposed political wing. Hizballah is one organization—a
global terrorist organization. That is why the United States will continue to
recognize the entire group as a Foreign Terrorist Organization, and the Trump
Administration will aggressively target its terrorism infrastructure and
financial support networks. None of this, of course, will affect our ongoing
support for Lebanon’s legitimate state institutions. We are encouraged that
nations around the world are increasingly joining the United States in
recognizing Hizballah’s true terrorist nature. In August, the United Nations
Security Council reached agreement on a series of reforms to the UN Interim
Force in Lebanon. These will improve its visibility into what is happening on
the ground and its capacity to identify and report on Hizballah’s illegal
activity. Additionally, the Gulf Cooperation Council, Arab League, Canada, and
the Netherlands have each joined the United States in designating the entirety
of Hizballah as a terrorist organization, and in 2013, the European Union
sanctioned its “military wing.” Still, more action is needed. The United Nations
and countries across Europe, South America, Africa, and Southeast Asia—all areas
where the organization continues to operate—have not yet sanctioned the entirety
of Hizballah. This complacency about an organization whose purpose is to
terrorize and kill around the world must end. The Trump Administration will also
continue to lead the effort to isolate Hizballah’s benefactor—Iran. The Iranian
regime does not respect the sovereignty of its neighbors or the dignity of its
people. Iran takes oil profits—resources that should benefit the Iranian
people—and uses them to fund Hizballah and other terrorist organizations. The
regime employs Hizballah as a surrogate to violate the sovereignty of nations
across the greater Middle East. The United States condemns Iran’s destabilizing
actions and calls on all nations to stand against this murderous dictatorship in
Tehran and its junior partner Hizballah. The international community must
send an unequivocal and united message that Hizballah is not a legitimate
political party. The safety and security of the American people and of people
all around the world depends on our cooperation in confronting this threat.
Today, we renew our unwavering commitment to standing against Hizballah’s
terrorist actions in the Middle East and around the world. We urge our partners
to join our efforts to hold Hizballah accountable. Together, we can prevent this
malicious terrorist organization from threatening the peace and security of the
world.
Originally published in Le Monde on October 9, 2017. To read the original, click
here.
http://www.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2017/10/09/tom-bossert-les-etats-unis-continueront-a-isoler-l-iran-et-son-allie-le-hezbollah_5198222_3232.html
Thomas Bossert is Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and
Counterterrorism.
Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on
October 10-11/17
Syrian rebels hand border crossing to opposition government
Reuters, Beirut/10
October 2017 /A rebel group in northern Syria handed control of a major border
crossing to a Turkey-backed Syrian opposition government on Tuesday, a senior
rebel official said. By handing over the Bab Salama crossing at the Turkish
border, the Jabha Shamiya rebel group aims to strengthen the opposition
government and help put an end to factional rivalries, the head of its political
office Khaled Aba said. He urged other rebels to follow Jabha Shamiya’s example
by handing over other crossings at the Turkish border. “The interim government
is the solution for the liberated areas to put an end to terrorism, to put an
end to factionalism and the state of division in the liberated areas,” said Aba,
a member of the opposition delegation to Geneva peace talks. The Bab Salama
crossing is the main gateway into an opposition-held area of the north where
neighboring Turkey carved out a de facto buffer zone during a military incursion
targeting Islamic State and Kurdish groups last year. Efforts have been underway
in that area to merge and organise a plethora of rebel groups whose rivalries
have led to factional fighting that has weakened the Syrian opposition
throughout the conflict.
Jabha Shamiya, a major force in Aleppo until the Syrian government and its
allies defeated the opposition there last year, has joined a “national army”
operating under the authority of the interim government’s defense ministry, Aba
said. It has also handed control of its training camps to the defense ministry,
he said. The opposition government is based out of the town of Azaz, a short
distance from the Turkish border.Launched last year, Turkey’s “Euphrates Shield”
operation drove Islamic State out of a swathe of territory including the cities
of al-Bab and Jarablus, preventing any further territorial gains by Kurdish
groups deemed a threat by Ankara.
French media cast doubts over Qatari bid to
grab top UNESCO position
Staff writer, Al Arabiya EnglishTuesday,
10 October 2017/Qatar’s candidate to head UNESCO is leading a preliminary vote
held in Paris on Monday. But French media outlets are casting doubts over the 19
votes Hamad bin Abdulaziz al-Kawari received in the first round of voting.
Kawari is a palace adviser and was his country’s culture minister from 2008 to
2016. He has also served as the ambassador to France, the United States, UNESCO
and the UN. “French media report that Qatar recently invited several members of
the UNESCO executive board on an all-expenses-paid trip to Doha,” according to a
France 24 report. It added: “Qatar’s candidacy, which has been promoted with the
help of lobby groups such as Portland and ESL & Network, is also seen as
controversial in light of the current crisis in the Gulf, which has seen Doha’s
neighbors accuse it of sponsoring terrorism.” UNESCO’s 58-member Executive Board
cast secret ballots for seven candidates to replace the organization’s
director-general Irina Bokova, whose eight-year tenure expires at the end of
December. Also in the running was Audrey Azoulay of France, who received 13
votes in the first round and Egyptian human rights advocate Moushira Khattab,
who garnered 11 votes. The board will vote over a maximum of five rounds, in a
process expected to last about a week. The winning nominee will then be
presented to the agency’s general assembly for final approval.
Israel to advance plans for nearly 4,000 settler homes: Official
AFP, JerusalemTuesday, 10 October 2017/Israel is to advance plans for nearly
4,000 settler homes in the occupied West Bank as part of a push to greatly boost
settlement growth, an Israeli official said Tuesday. The approvals are to
include units in the flashpoint West Bank city of Hebron for the first time in
years. The official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said that “3,736
housing units will be approved at different stages of planning and
construction”. He did not give a timeframe or a precise breakdown, but said the
homes would be located throughout the West Bank, including in Hebron and at the
Migron and Beit El settlements near Ramallah. “In total, about 12,000 housing
units will be approved in 2017, at various stages of planning and construction,
four times the number in 2016,” the official said. Israel faced heavy criticism
of settlement construction from US president Barack Obama’s administration, but
that has not been the case with his successor Donald Trump. Israeli media say
that a planning council is expected to meet next week to approve at least some
of the plans. Haaretz daily said that if the Hebron housing is approved it would
be the first time for the southern West Bank city since 2002. Hebron is home to
around 200,000 Palestinians, with about 800 settlers living under Israeli army
protection in several heavily fortified compounds in the heart of the city. It
is holy to both religions, with Old Testament figures including Abraham believed
to be buried there. The 1994 massacre of 29 Muslim worshippers in Hebron by
Israeli-American Baruch Goldstein led to an agreement three years later giving
the Palestinian Authority control over 80 percent of the city. The settlers and
about 30,000 Palestinians living adjacent to them fall under Israeli military
rule.Last month, Israel gave the settlers there the authority to manage their
own municipal affairs in what critics denounced as reminiscent of “apartheid”.
About 430,000 Israeli settlers live among 2.6 million Palestinians in the West
Bank, occupied by Israel in the 1967 Six-Day War. Settlement building in the
occupied West Bank and annexed east Jerusalem is considered illegal under
international law. It is also seen as a major obstacle to peace as the
settlements are built on land the Palestinians see as part of their future
state. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition
government leans heavily on settlers and their supporters to maintain its thin
parliamentary majority.
US envoy to Turkey says duration of visa
services suspension depends on talks
Reuters, IstanbulTuesday, 10 October 2017
/The US ambassador to Turkey said on Monday the duration of a suspension in visa
services in Turkey would depend on talks between the two governments regarding
the detention of Turkish staff at the US embassy.
In a written statement, Ambassador John Bass said the length of the suspension
would also depend on "the Turkish government’s commitment to protecting our
facilities and personnel here in Turkey", noting it was not a visa ban on
Turkish citizens.He said the embassy had been unable to learn the reasons for
the arrest of a Turkish staff member last week and or what evidence exists
against the employee.
Erdogan: Turkish officials to boycott
meetings with US ambassador
AFPTuesday, 10 October
2017/Turkey will boycott meetings with the US ambassador to Ankara as it no
longer recognises the envoy as the US representative in the country, President
Recep Tayyip Erdogan said Tuesday, stepping up a diplomatic row.
“We have not agreed and are not agreeing to this ambassador making farewell
visits with ministers, the parliament speaker and myself,” Erdogan said of US
ambassador John Bass, who is shortly to leave Turkey after being nominated the
US envoy to Afghanistan.
“We do not see him (Bass) as the representative of the United States in Turkey,”
he said at a news conference with President Aleksandar Vucic in Belgrade.
Egypt condemns eight to death over police
station attack
AFP, CairoTuesday, 10 October 2017/An
Egyptian court on Tuesday sentenced eight people to death for allegedly killing
three officers during the storming of a Cairo police station in 2013, a judicial
official said. The court also handed life sentences to 50 other defendants, the
official said, and jail terms of between five and 10 years to 10 more. The
incident at the centre of the trial took place on August 14, 2013 as security
forces violently dispersed two protest camps in Cairo, in an operation following
the military’s ouster of Islamist president Mohamed Morsi that left more than
700 people dead.
Prosecutors said the defendants marched on Helwan police station in a southern
suburb of Cairo and fired at police inside from behind barricades, killing three
and wounding scores. They were then alleged to have torched the building and 20
police vehicles parked nearby.
The verdicts -- which can be appealed -- also saw defendants ordered to pay some
2.8 million pounds ($160,000, 135,000 euros) in damages for destroyed property
and as compensation to the interior ministry. Egyptian courts have sentenced
hundreds of Morsi supporters to death since his overthrow, but many have
appealed and won new trials. Morsi and other top figures of his Muslim
Brotherhood have also faced trial.
Russian warplane crashes at air base in
Syria, ‘crew didn’t eject in time’
AFP, MoscowTuesday, 10 October 2017/A
Sukhoi military jet crashed while trying to take off from Russia's Hmeimim base
in Syria on Tuesday, killing the crew, Russian news agencies quoted a military
spokesman as saying. "The Su-24 plane rolled off the runway and broke up while
accelerating for takeoff... The plane's crew did not have time to eject and
died," the spokesman said. He did not clarify how many people died, but the
Su-24 usually has a crew of two. "According to a report from the scene of the
accident, the reason could be a technical failure," he added. Russia has staged
air strikes in Syria in support of the regime of President Bashar al-Assad since
2015. On Tuesday, the defense ministry said Russian planes are currently
carrying out 150 strikes per day in eastern Syria against ISIS. The latest
casualties put the toll of Russian servicemen officially reported killed in
Syria at 37.Last month a Russian general was killed near the eastern city of
Deir Ezzor, where Russian special forces are participating in the regime's
ground offensive.
Brainwashed by a cult: French priest offers therapy to ‘reclaim’ Yazidi
captives
Reuters, LondonTuesday, 10 October 2017/It
was a lucky haircut that opened the doors of Iraq to Father Patrick Desbois.
In 2015, the French priest was trying to find a way to get into Iraq and help
the Yazidi people fleeing Islamic State militants, after watching their
suffering on TV for months. One winter’s day, as he was in Brussels for a
meeting and in need of a haircut, he stepped into the first open barber’s shop
and found himself being attended to by an Iraqi man. “I told him I was very
concerned about what was happening to the Yazidis and he told me: ‘I am Yazidi,
my father is teaching English in the (refugee) camps,’“ Desbois, 62, told the
Thomson Reuters Foundation. The barber helped him with contacts to go to
northern Iraq, setting off a two-year journey that would see Desbois open two
centres to help women and girls enslaved for sex and traumatized Yazidi children
transition back into society. Many of the women had to provide for themselves
for the first time, having lost their husbands and fathers to Islamic State and
so one of his projects is to teach women how to sew. French priest Patrick
Desbois stands on the side of a street in Iraq in an undated handout photo.
(Credit: Thomson Reuters Foundation/Yahad In-Unum/Emmanuelle Foussat) Every two
months, 25 former ISIS captives are trained to make clothing in a sewing
workshop where they are flanked by psychologists who help them cope with their
ordeal.“We try to help them to reestablish their confidence in the future and
even to think about the future,” said Desbois.
More than 5,000 Yazidis were rounded up and slaughtered and some 7,000 women and
girls forced into sex slavery, when ISIS militants assaulted the community’s
heartland in Sinjar, northern Iraq in August 2014. Desbois said his
organization, Yahad In-Unum, which mixes the Hebrew and Latin words for
“together in one”, has so far trained 125 women in a refugee camp in northern
Iraq. For the boys, many of whom struggle to get back to a normal life after
being separated from their families and brainwashed into violence by the
jihadist group, there are professional psychologists who provide support.
In some cases, the first step is to teach the boys their mother tongue again, as
many were forbidden to speak anything but Arabic by the militants, said Desbois.
Then they must be persuaded to accept family members who they may not recall or
have been taught to reject. “It is quite literally a process akin to reclaiming
someone who has been brainwashed by a cult,” he said.
Fresh trauma
ISIS militants were driven out of the last part of the Yazidi homeland in May
but most Yazidis have yet to return to their villages. For many women and girls,
the trauma is still too fresh. “So many women and so many Yazidi in general were
such in a bad condition psychologically,” said Desbois. Yazidi women reported
being sold over more than 25 times to different militants for sex, with
devastating effects on their mental health, he said.Others were kept as
servants, beaten, forced to carry suicide belts or used as human shields. “If
you have been treated like an animal and sold over and over again it means you
are nothing... you are nobody, so they are really reduced to poor slaves,” he
said. “They are not at a step to (re)enter into society. They are in a refugee
camp alone in a tent crying all day.”UN experts have said the Islamic State’s
campaign against the religious minority amounted to genocide. Desbois is an
expert in the field, having dedicated part of the past 15 years to documenting
and uncovering mass killings of Jews and Roma by the Nazis in eastern Europe -
an undertaking that won him France’s highest award, the Legion d’honneur.His
work in Iraq has mirrored that done by Yahad In-Unum in Europe. In his first
year, the Frenchman methodically collected hundreds of harrowing testimonies of
Yazidi women and children to gather evidence of ISIS atrocities.
Nearly 3,000 women and children are believed to remain in Islamic State
captivity. And even after the militants’ retreat in Iraq and Syria, Desbois said
he was worried Yazidis were being forgotten. “We really have to worry about
them,” he said. “Suffering stays long time after a genocide”.
Catalan Leader Steps Back from Declaring Immediate
Independence
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 10/17/Catalan leader Carles
Puigdemont said Tuesday he had accepted the "mandate of the people" for his
region's independence from Spain but suspended the declaration to allow more
time for talks with Madrid.
In a speech to regional lawmakers in Barcelona, Puigdemont stopped short of
declaring an outright split but left the door to secession open, leaving some
political rivals scratching their heads. "I assume the mandate of the people for
Catalonia to become an independent republic," he said. But the 54-year-old asked
the Catalan parliament to "suspend the effects of the independence declaration
to initiate dialogue in the coming weeks." The central government fired back,
with a spokesman rejecting what Madrid termed Catalonia's "tacit" independence
declaration. Political leaders in Catalonia, Spain and Europe have come out
against an independence declaration, concerned over the country's biggest
upheaval since its transition to democracy in the 1970s. EU nations are watching
developments closely amid concern that Catalan independence could put further
pressure on the bloc still dealing with the fallout from Britain's shock
decision to leave.
Police deployed en masse around the regional parliament, blocking public access
to a park that houses the building as crowds watched the session on giant
screens, waving Catalan flags and some brandishing signs reading "democracy."
Reaction among those who had hoped to witness a historic moment for a region
deeply-divided over independence was mixed. "In essence we're happy but I was
expecting more," said 66-year-old Pere Valldeneu. Merce Hernandez, a 35-year-old
architect, said: "I am very emotional, this is a historic day. I'm satisfied."
Madrid has repeatedly said it would not negotiate on Catalonia's independence.
"We call on Puigdemont not to do anything irreversible, not to pursue a path of
no return and not to make any unilateral independence declaration," government
spokesman Inigo Mendez de Vigo told reporters earlier Thursday.
A source from the central government's representative office in Catalonia said
security had been tightened at Catalan airports and railway stations in
anticipation of possible protests at Puigdemont's possible independence
announcement.
'Dialogue impossible'
At stake is the future of a region of 7.5 million people deeply divided over
independence, one of Spain's economic powerhouses whose drive to break away has
raised concern for stability in the European Union. Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy
has vowed to use everything in his power to prevent independence and has even
refused to rule out imposing direct rule over the semi-autonomous region -- an
unprecedented move many fear could lead to unrest. EU President Donald Tusk also
urged Puigdemont against making a decision that would make "dialogue
impossible." But the Catalan president says the independence referendum that
took place on October 1 despite a court ban justifies splitting from Madrid.
Around 90 percent of those who cast ballots voted for independence but the poll
was poorly monitored and many Catalans opposed to secession boycotted an illegal
plebiscite that was witnessed a violent police crackdown.
Anger on both sides
On Monday, Ada Colau, the popular mayor of Barcelona, warned that a unilateral
declaration of independence would put "social cohesion" at risk. Pro-unity and
pro-independence supporters have staged mass rallies in Barcelona over the past
week, highlighting divisions in Catalonia. Anger over the police violence during
the referendum swung some Catalans over to the independence camp. But both
Madrid and the Catalan executive have come under fire for their dogged response
to the crisis and a lack of dialogue. Carolina Palles, a 53-year-old flower
vendor in Barcelona's popular La Ramblas boulevard, said it was "a sad day",
almost two months after the seaside city was hit by a deadly terror attack.
Against independence, she was angry at both camps.
"Rajoy's government handled things very badly," she said, accusing the
separatists "of persisting until the very end, like martyrs."
Stocks slide
The crisis has also caused deep uncertainty for businesses in one of the
wealthiest regions in the eurozone's fourth largest economy. Spain's stock
market shed nearly 1.0 percent ahead of Tuesday's session and a string of
companies have already moved their legal headquarters -- but not their employees
-- from Catalonia to other parts of the country. Demands for independence in
Catalonia, which has its own language and cultural traditions, date back
centuries. But a 2010 move by Spain's Constitutional Court to water down a
statute that gave Catalonia additional powers, combined with a deep economic
meltdown in Spain, sparked a surge in support for independence.
Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on October 10-11/17
Why Trump is right to re-think the nuclear
deal
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Monday 09 October/17
http://www.arabnews.com/node/1175121#.Wdvb2Ifb8Xg.twitter
The Trump White House has been a purveyor of very well-founded criticism of the
2015 Iran nuclear deal, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action
(JCPOA). Countering the narrative about the agreement curtailing progress toward
a nuclear weapon, administration officials contend that the JCPOA actually paves
Iran’s way to becoming a nuclear power.
But this is not the sole or even the primary focus of the criticism, nor should
it be. US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and UN Ambassador Nikki Haley have
instead focused on the broader intentions behind the JCPOA, as outlined in its
preamble, which states that the signatories “anticipate that full implementation
of this JCPOA will positively contribute to regional and international peace and
security.”
Nearly 22 months after the deal was implemented, this has not come to pass.
Quite the contrary, the Iranian regime has only been emboldened in areas far
beyond the nuclear sphere by newfound sanctions relief and a softening of
European attitudes.
Those broader activities have apparently fortified the Trump administration’s
argument in favor of decertifying Iranian compliance, which the president may do
this month. Trump has repeatedly emphasized that Iran is violating the spirit of
the nuclear deal, meaning that persisting provocative and destabilizing
activities have undermined global peace and security, instead of contributing to
it.
The JCPOA’s preamble aside, the congressional ratification also stipulates that
the President must certify not only that Iran is fulfilling its basic
obligations, but also that the continued suspension of nuclear-related sanctions
is in the vital national security interest of the United States. This is a
difficult argument to make, and it is getting more difficult all the time, as
the wealth Tehran has accumulated from sanctions relief and newly expanded oil
exports continues to be overwhelmingly dedicated to a military buildup and the
expansion of Iran’s regional interference.
Each time the US has sought to constrain Iran’s provocative activities, the
Iranian regime has responded with defiance. When President Trump signed into law
a new sanctions package targeting terrorist sponsorship, cybersecurity threats
and ballistic missile activity, the Iranian parliament immediately responded by
dedicating hundreds of millions of dollars to the country’s ballistic missile
program and Quds Force, the terrorist special operations wing of the
Revolutionary Guard Corps.
Since the agreement has clearly failed to contribute to regional peace and
security, as it promised, decertifying Iranian compliance is an essential first
step in forcing Tehran to keep those promises.
The following month, in September, the Iranian regime paraded a new ballistic
missile during Defense Week, claiming that it was capable of carrying several
warheads over a distance of more than 1,700km. This was paired with footage on
Iranian state television of a supposed test launch. And although it was later
revealed that that footage was several months old and depicted a launch that was
ultimately unsuccessful, the fact remains that Tehran is plainly committed to
developing nuclear capable missiles.
The only way the JCPOA could have improved international peace and security is
if Iran’s acceptance of it had been accompanied by actual change in Tehran’s
regional ambitions and behavior. It did not, and there is no reason to believe
that such change will emerge over time.
One chief criticism of the JCPOA is that it allows Iran to continue relevant
research and development — some of it openly and some of it clandestinely in
places not immediately accessible to international inspectors. This could leave
the Islamic Republic poised to sprint toward nuclear weapons capability as soon
as the deal expires or is broken. Meanwhile, the ongoing missile program
provides an essential foundation for weaponization.
In September, an NGO called the International Committee in Search of Justice
published a report detailing the possible military dimensions of the Iranian
nuclear program. Drawing upon intelligence gathered by the Iranian opposition
group the People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran, it pointed out that the
institutions associated with weaponization appear to remain fully functional.
The bottom line of that report, and of much of the well-founded criticism of the
JCPOA, is that the nuclear agreement has not resolved the issue of Iran’s past
and potentially future nuclear weapons work. Furthermore, the nature of the
regime is such that even if its nuclear projects are delayed, a more broadly
assertive global policy would still be needed to achieve the JCPOA’s goal of
making Iran “positively contribute to regional and international peace and
security.”
• Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political
scientist. He is a leading expert on Iran and US foreign policy, a businessman
and president of the International American Council. Twitter: @Dr_Rafizadeh
Viewing Enemy Regimes as They Are, Not as We Wish
They Were
Peter Huessy/Gatestone Institute/October 10/17
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/11121/enemy-regimes
Experience has shown that soft rhetoric and so-called "smart diplomacy" have
served only to enable North Korea and Iran to produce more nuclear weapons and
better ballistic missiles.
Not only has the International Atomic Energy Agency (IEAE) been prevented from
monitoring Iranian compliance, but it is not pushing the issue for fear that
"Washington would use an Iranian refusal as an excuse to abandon the JCPOA."
During his first press conference after taking office in January 1981, US
President Ronald Reagan called détente a "one-way street that the Soviet Union
has used to pursue its own aims." Echoing this remark while addressing reporters
later the same day, Secretary of State Alexander Haig said that the Soviets were
the source of much support for international terrorism, especially in Latin and
Central America.
The following day, both Reagan and Haig were criticized for their remarks, with
members of the media describing the president's words as "reminiscent of the
chilliest days of the Cold War," and appalled that the administration's top
diplomat was accusing the Russians of backing terrorist activities.
Nearly four decades later, in spite of the successful defeat of the Soviet
empire, the White House is still frowned upon when it adopts a tough stance
towards America's enemies. Today's outrage is directed at President Donald
Trump's warnings about -- and to -- North Korea and Iran. The Washington Post
called his recent "fire and fury" threats to Pyongyang a "rhetorical grenade,"
for example, echoing top Democrats' attacks on his remarks for being "reckless"
and "irresponsible."
Critics of Trump's attitude towards Tehran go equally far, describing his
opposition to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) -- the nuclear deal
with Iran -- as "rushing headlong into war."
Trump's detractors, however, are just as wrong as those who berated Reagan in
1981. Experience has shown that soft rhetoric and so-called "smart diplomacy"
have served only to enable North Korea and Iran to produce more nuclear weapons
and better ballistic missiles.
Although the JCPOA stipulates that Iran is not permitted to produce more than a
certain quantity of enriched uranium or to enrich uranium beyond a certain
level, not only has the International Atomic Energy Agency (IEAE) been prevented
from monitoring Iranian compliance, but it is not pushing the issue for fear
that "Washington would use an Iranian refusal as an excuse to abandon the JCPOA."
Furthermore, among its many other flaws, the JCPOA does not address Iran's
ballistic-missile capabilities or financing of global terrorism.
Nevertheless, it is the administration's rhetoric that is under attack. Isn't it
high time for the media and foreign-policy establishment to wake up to the
reality that seeing regimes as they are, rather than as we wish them to be, is
the only way to confront our enemies effectively, and with the least number of
casualties?
**Peter Huessy is president of GeoStrategic Analysis, a defense consulting firm
he founded in 1981.
© 2017 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
CNN and Qatar Airways: Taking Fake News to New
Heights
Bruce Bawer/ Gatestone Institute/October 10/17
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/11131/cnn-qatar-airways
For many years, commercial time on CNN International has been filled largely
with advertisements for the tourist boards and state-owned airlines of various
Muslim countries. Given CNN's unusually friendly coverage of these countries,
and its disinclination to mention Islam when covering such topics as jihadist
terrorism and immigrant crime in Europe, it is hard not to view CNN's
willingness to run these commercials with a jaundiced eye.
The TV commercial begins with a shot of the sky, above the clouds, and with the
voice of a British male:
"The sky. There should be no borders up here. Only horizons. As an airline, we
don't believe in boundaries. We believe in bringing people together."
We cut to pictures of people hugging at airports, showing affection for one
another.
"The world's better that way. It is a right for all of us to go where we need to
go. To feel the things we want to feel. To see the people we want to see."
A shot of an airplane, and views of the earth from the sky.
"That's why we'll continue to fly the skies. Providing you with everything we
can. And treating everyone how they deserve to be treated. We do this because we
know that travel goes beyond borders and prejudice."
Back to shot of people together, smiling, walking here and there, in the city
and countryside.
"That travel teaches compassion. That travel is a necessity. That travel is a
right for all. Remember that this world is all of ours to explore. And it's a
strange thing for us to be apart."
The commercial is in heavy rotation on CNN International, which I've been
watching more than usual lately because of the coverage of hurricanes.
It is a commercial for Qatar Airways, which is, not surprisingly, owned by the
government of Qatar.
The airline posted the commercial on YouTube on June 18. The timing is
noteworthy. In March, the U.S. banned electronic devices on flights from several
cities in Muslim countries, including Doha, the capital of Qatar and the hub of
Qatar Airways. In early June, six Arab countries -- Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the
United Arab Emirates, Egypt, the Maldives, Yemen, and Libya -- cut diplomatic
ties with Qatar, citing its government's support for al-Qaeda, ISIS, and other
terrorist groups, not particularly known for "compassion." President Trump's
temporary travel ban also came into effect in June; although Qatar is not one of
the six Muslim countries affected by the ban, its government may well fear that
it may later be added to the list.
It does not seem coincidental, then, that Qatar Airways chose this time to start
running a commercial that criticizes "borders" and "boundaries," and suggests
that everybody should be free to go everyplace.
As for CNN -- well, in a sense, this commercial is nothing new. For many years,
commercial time on CNN International has been filled largely with advertisements
for the tourist boards and state-owned airlines of various Muslim countries.
Given CNN's unusually friendly coverage of these countries, and its
disinclination to mention Islam when covering such topics as jihadist terrorism
and immigrant crime in Europe, it is hard not to view CNN's willingness to run
these commercials with a jaundiced eye.
One is reminded, for example, of how Lyndon B. Johnson, during his years in
Congress, bought Texas radio and TV stations and pressured companies that needed
political favors to advertise on them. It was an out-and-out quid pro quo, and
it made LBJ rich. Of course, what CNN has to offer is not political favors but
positive coverage.
Still, CNN's readiness to run the new Qatar Airways commercial takes the
network's shamelessness to a whole new level. This is -- or is supposed to be --
a news network, and yet it is regularly running an ad in which Qatar Airways,
and consequently its owner, the government of Qatar, profess to believe that it
is "a right for all of us to go where we need to go" and "feel the things we
want to feel." The airline, and the government, claim to oppose "prejudice" and
to like "compassion."
You would never know from this commercial that it was paid for by a government
that follows sharia law. In Qatar, apostasy from Islam is punishable by death.
Adultery between a Muslim woman and an infidel male is punishable by death.
Homosexuality is punishable by up to five years in prison. The consumption of
alcohol is punishable by flogging (although luxury hotels are permitted to sell
drinks to foreigners). Tourists who do not dress modestly, or who engage in
displays of public affection, risk ending up in prison. The testimony of female
witnesses is often refused in court -- and when permitted, is considered to be
worth half the testimony of a man.
There is more, much more, about Qatar that makes the Qatar Airways commercial a
masterpiece of hypocrisy. CNN is aware of every last bit of it. And yet, CNN
International is currently exposing its viewers on a regular basis to a
commercial that is nothing short of grotesquely mendacious propaganda.
Or, as a certain president would put it, very fake news.
**Bruce Bawer is the author of the new novel The Alhambra (Swamp Fox Editions).
His book While Europe Slept (2006) was a New York Times bestseller and National
Book Critics Circle Award finalist.
© 2017 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Why Did the US Even Get Involved in Syria?
Leonid Bershidsky/Bloomberg/October 10/17
A candid memoir by former US Defense Secretary Ash Carter provides a rare
opportunity to better understand President Barack Obama’s Syria strategy before
it recedes into the historical distance. His many valuable insights raise one
big question, however: Why did the US even get involved?
The apparent goal of Carter’s detailed reminiscences is to establish his role in
the defeat of ISIS. The former defense secretary asserts that effective
operations against ISIS and a specific battle plan, which Carter claims US and
allied forces still follow (the two “red arrows” pointing toward Mosul and Raqqa),
only took shape after his appointment in February 2015. But, the self-serving
part aside, Carter’s 45-page report describes an effort that had few supporters
in the region it affected.
Carter blames the US withdrawal from Iraq for the emergence of ISIS. But even
after the terror militia set up its “state,” “the people of the region did not
want invasion-sized forces to return,” the ex-secretary recalls. Throughout his
two-year tenure, Carter had to “ease [Iraqi] Prime Minister [Haider al-]Abadi
into accepting more US forces (which was controversial for him at home).” The
Iraqi forces, too, initially were reluctant to fight, to the open irritation of
Carter and US generals who had to keep prodding the Iraqis into action.
Obviously, the Syrian government of President Bashar al-Assad was even less
welcoming of US intervention, even when the US administration’s idea was to set
up local anti-ISIS forces from scratch “by recruiting individual fighters,
forming them into units, providing them training and equipment in Turkey and
Jordan, and re-inserting them into the fight in Syria.” Even though, as Carter
explains, the idea was that these fighters wouldn’t get involved in the Syrian
civil war, Assad was well aware of what the US thought of him. Then, Carter came
in and changed the plan, switching US support to existing paramilitary
formations. “Almost all the real fighters were already part of ad hoc groups and
all wanted to fight Assad as well as ISIS,” he explains.
It was after the US decided that this was OK that Assad made his case to Russian
President Vladimir Putin. What Putin saw was US interference in the civil war,
an attempt at regime change — something he had vehemently opposed in Libya, even
quarrelling with then-President Dmitri Medvedev, who had allowed the Western
interference there to go unchallenged. By arming and training anti-Assad groups,
the Obama administration — and Carter personally if indeed it was he who brought
about the change of strategy — drew Russia into the conflict.
After Putin began the Russian operation in September 2015, Carter recalls
persistent Russian efforts to establish a pattern of cooperation with the US
“From that first moment, Russia sought to associate us and the counter-ISIS
campaign with what they were doing in Syria — constantly telling the world of
their desire to coordinate and cooperate with us, asking to share targeting and
intelligence information,” Carter wrote. He rebuffed these advances for three
main reasons. First, coordinating with Russia, which was closely allied with
Iran in Syria, could have weakened Iraqi Prime Minister Abadi’s resolve to work
with the US Next, it could link the US to the “inhuman” Russian campaign (a
questionable reason at best given the multiple civilian casualties inflicted by
the US-led coalition). Finally — and I think most importantly for the Obama
administration — “it would naively grant Russia an undeserved leadership role in
the Middle East.”Unsatisfactory interactions with Russia, and Carter’s struggle
to stop John Kerry’s State Department from making a deal with Putin that would
involve military coordination rather than mere deconfliction, are described in a
chapter about “spoilers and fence-sitters.” Apart from Russia and Iran, these
include Turkey — which, according to the ex-secretary, “caused the most
complications for the campaign” — and the Arab neighborhood, the Gulf states,
which, Carter writes, “were active in lobbying and PR that somehow never
translated into battlefield action.”
To sum up, US interests weren’t clearly aligned with: Iraq, Iran, Russia,
Turkey, the Assad government in Syria and the Gulf states. Did the US have any
enthusiastic allies at all?
Well, there were some of the anti-Assad rebels (except the ones wedded to
Islamist causes) and, most of all, the Kurds. US support of them, of course, was
the main reason Turkey turned from an ally into a “spoiler.” But at least
someone really wanted the US to be involved, if for reasons that had less to do
with ISIS than with the Kurdish dream of a sovereign state. Now, the Kurds of
Iraq have voted for independence, justifying all the misgivings Abadi had about
the US anti-ISIS operation.
In fighting ISIS, the US managed to step on everybody’s toes in a battered,
short-fused region that was already leery of US interference after the Iraq and
Libya adventures. Carter’s account sheds light on how that happened, as much as
into the mechanics of defeating ISIS. It explains why peace in the region won’t
be a given even after ISIS is gone: Carter himself writes that he’s concerned
“the international community’s stabilization and governance efforts will lag
behind the military campaign.” The account also raises the question whether a
more lasting solution could have been achieved if Assad and his allies on the
one hand and Turkey on the other had been left to deal with the ISIS problem
without US interference.
Counterfactuals, however, are useless. The US involvement has only intensified
after the Obama administration left, and political stability in Syria and Iraq
is ever more elusive as Middle Eastern nations and armed groups try to get used
to the US/Russia/Turkey triangle of power brokers. Carter can proudly claim a
part in bringing about this new, volatile configuration.
Saudi Arabia’s Armament Policy
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/October 10/17
After Saudi King Salman’s visit to Moscow ended with serious talks over two
major military agreements, it seemed more pressing than ever to delve into the
why behind Riyadh gravitating closer towards importing all sorts of arms deals
in an unprecedented manner. The matter of the fact is that Saudi Arabia faces
considerable foreign threats emerging from the growing Iranian menace and
America’s receding commitment to defend it. Iranian threats increased across all
Saudi borders. From the north, Tehran expanded its influence in Iraq and Syria
in the north, while on the southern front has meddled with Yemen’s civil war.
Tehran would have tightened its grip on the entire region had the Muslim
Brotherhood’s rule in Egypt lasted under the presidency of Mohammed Mursi.
As for the regressive American protection policy, the Obama administration
bluntly dashed the “Saudi Arabia’s security is part of the US’ security” notion
in the sense of serving America’s higher interest. Henceforth, Saudi leadership
was put up before a single option: enhancing national defensive capabilities.
For Western governments, there is always a close relationship between arms’
sales and foreign policies. This relation links deals to conditions and it may
restrain them for political considerations. US former President Obama’s
administration had suspended its supplies of ammunition to Saudi Arabia and
deprived it of intelligence cooperation due to disputes over the war in Yemen.
It is not strange that some American state institutions and some Congressmen
opposed deals with Saudi Arabia or other countries. Many deals struggle due to
opposition figures lobbying against them. There are hostile groups working
against Saudi Arabia and some that accuse it of carrying out military operations
against civilians in Yemen.
In addition, there are lobbyists doing the bid of anti-Saudi powers. Despite all
this, it is the president who makes decisions based on American interests. The
military deal with Russia is not an alternative to US weapons and it does not
aim to distance the kingdom from the US, as some people had suggested in their
analogies. King Salman’s visit to Moscow was the first official visit by a Saudi
monarch to Russia. It was critical in terms of Saudi efforts in stabilizing oil
market and mitigating Moscow’s Iran policy. Iran’s growing threat that is
forcing Riyadh to be stronger than it ever was, buying Russian and Chinese
weapons will liberate it from US pressure. In case the US suspends its supply of
ammunition or prevents it from using its weapons in any upcoming war, Riyadh
will have other options. The arsenal that Saudi Arabia will have two alternative
missile defense systems that stand against Iranian attacks or any other attack:
the American THAAD and the Russian S-400. After possessing several resources,
Saudi Arabia will not go through what it went through two years ago in Yemen.
Gulf countries, whose neighbors lurk in resourcefulness, must strengthen defense
policies, not just by buying more weapons but also by improving military
institutions performance and developing scientific and industrial work. Truth be
told, this is what Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has effectively put in
action. Crown Prince Mohammed is reformulating the concept of Saudi military
might away from media spotlight. It is the Gulf countries’ fate to live in a
region swamped with wars and chaos. Saudi Arabia is forced to think that
military superiority is more than sealing arms deals as it is also a doctrine
that relies on science, discipline and developing industries. It is a
comprehensive system. This is what Israel, which is the largest importer of
weapons, also believes. The peak of excellence is for armament not to become a
burden on the state, a reason for bankruptcy or a weak point– as it must be a
path for development, growth and peace.
Independence for Kurdistan
John R. Bolton/Gatestone Institute/October 10/17
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/11134/kurdistan-independence
Iraqi Kurdistan's recent referendum on whether to declare independence from
Baghdad garnered only slight attention in the U.S. Even the overwhelming vote
(93 percent favored independence) and America's long involvement in the region
did not make the story more prominent. Nonetheless, we would be badly mistaken
to underestimate its importance for U.S. policy throughout the Middle East.
Protecting American interests in that tumultuous region has never been easy. Not
only does Iran's nuclear-weapons threat loom ever larger, but the struggle
against terrorism, whether from Hezbollah, ISIS, al-Qaida or any number of new
splinter groups, seems unending. Less visible but nonetheless significant forces
are also at work. Existing state structures across the Middle East are breaking
down and new ones are emerging, exacerbating the spreading anarchy caused by
radical Islamic terrorism. Non-ideological factors such as ethnicity and
cultural differences are enormously powerful and best understood as movements in
the region's "tectonic plates," stirring beneath the surface of the more
apparent threats of terrorism and nuclear proliferation.
None of these tectonic plates has more immediate implications for America's
Middle East policy than the Kurdish people's long-standing determination to have
their own nation-state. Modern-era Kurdish aspirations for statehood emerged
during the Ottoman Empire's post-World War I collapse, as European powers redrew
the region's map. The Kurds were unsuccessful in pressing their case, however,
and their lands were split among Turkey, Iraq, Iran and Syria. Nonetheless
Kurdish longing for a separate state never dissipated, leading to considerable
conflict, most visibly in Turkey. The West largely was unsympathetic in recent
years because separatists in Turkish Kurdistan channeled their major efforts
through the Marxist Kurdistan Workers' Party. Obviously, during the Cold War,
Washington and the West generally had no interest in weakening Turkey and its
critical geostrategic role as NATO's southeast anchor against Soviet
adventurism.
Outside Turkey, however, especially in Iraq, Kurds played a much more
constructive role, helping the United States in both Persian Gulf wars.
Iraqi Kurdistan became de facto independent from Saddam Hussein's Iraq in 1991,
protected by the U.S-led operation known as "Northern Comfort," which included
massive humanitarian assistance and a no-fly zone over northern Iraq. Saddam's
2003 overthrow opened the prospect of reunifying the country, but Iranian
subversion, using Iraq's Shia majority to turn the country into its satellite,
refueled Kurdish separatism. Iraq's Sunni Arabs were also unwilling to be ruled
by a Baghdad regime dominated by Shia adherents, who were little more than
Iranian puppets. The rise of ISIS in Iraq occurred in part from this hostility,
just as in Syria, ISIS capitalized on the anti-Assad feelings of Sunni Arabs,
who felt excluded and oppressed by the dominant Alawite elite in Damascus. With
the destruction of the ISIS caliphate in Syria, the question of what comes next
is unavoidably before us. The United States needs to recognize that Iraq and
Syria as we have known them have ceased to exist as functioning states. They are
broken and cannot be fixed. This disintegration reflects the Middle East's
broader, spreading anarchy, and it provides the context for Kurdish Iraq's
overwhelming support for independence from Baghdad.
I have previously suggested that disaffected Sunni Arabs in Iraq and Syria might
combine to form their own secular (but religiously Sunni) state, which the Gulf
Arabs could help support financially. Indeed, while substantial issues remain
about allocating the Iraqi cities of Mosul and Kirkuk between Kurds and Arabs,
the Kurds themselves are largely Sunni, which suggests considerable confluence
of interest with their Arab fellow Sunnis. Helping a new Kurdistan and a new
Sunni state might overcome the current split among the Arabian peninsula's
oil-producing monarchies and focus their attention on Iran, the real threat to
their security. Unfortunately, but entirely predictably, our State Department
opposed even holding the referendum and firmly rejects Kurdish independence.
This policy needs to be reversed immediately, turning U.S. obstructionism into
leadership. Kurdish independence efforts did not create regional instability but
instead reflect the unstable reality.
Independence could well promote greater Middle Eastern security and stability
than the collapsing post-World War I order. Recognizing that full Kurdish
independence is far from easy, these issues today are no longer abstract and
visionary but all too concrete. This is no time to be locked into outdated
strategic thinking. Pictured: Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) President
Masoud Barzani speaks to the media at a press conference on September 24, 2017
in Erbil, Iraq. President Barzani announced that the referendum will go ahead as
planned. The KRG held an independence referendum on September 25. **John R.
Bolton, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, is Chairman of Gatestone
Institute, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and author of
"Surrender Is Not an Option: Defending America at the United Nations and
Abroad".
**This article first appeared in The Pittsburgh Tribune Review and is reprinted
here with the kind permission of the author.
© 2017 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Saudi Arabia: The armament policy
Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/October 10/17
The question that must be asked before discussing the two military deals sealed
during Saudi King Salman’s visit to Moscow last week is: Why does Riyadh seem to
be more interested in importing advanced weapons in greater quantities?
Saudi Arabia is actually facing the worst potential foreign threats due to two
factors: the Iranian threat has increased and America’s commitment to defend it
has declined.
Iran’s threats increased on all Saudi borders. Tehran extended its influence on
Iraq and Syria in the north. It is also threatening it on the south and on the
borders with Yemen. Iran would have tightened control on the region if the
Muslim Brotherhood’s rule lasted under the presidency of Mohammed Mursi in
Egypt. The other reason is the regression of American protection. During his
presidential term, Barack Obama bluntly said the concept that “Saudi Arabia’s
security is part of the US’ security” within the context of serving America’s
higher interest is no longer valid. The Saudi command thus had one path to
pursue; enhance its defensive capabilities. For western governments, there is
always a close relationship between arms’ sales and foreign policies. This
relation links deals to conditions and it may restrain them for political
considerations. Obama’s administration has previously suspended its supplies of
ammunition to Saudi Arabia and deprived it of intelligence cooperation due to
disputes over the war in Yemen. It is not strange that some American state
institutions and some Congressmen opposed deals with Saudi Arabia or other
countries. Many deals were barely sealed due to opposition figures lobbying
against them. There are groups that are hostile to Saudi Arabia and others that
accuse it of carrying out military operations against civilians in Yemen.
This is in addition to lobby groups that work for powers that oppose Saudi
Arabia. Despite all this, the president is the one who makes decisions according
to American interests.
The military deal with Russia is not an alternative to US weapons and it does
not aim to be distanced from the US, as some people described
Visit to Moscow
King Salman’s visit to Moscow was the first official visit by a Saudi monarch to
Russia. It is very important in terms of Saudi Arabia’s efforts in responding to
the oil market and politically neutralizing Moscow away from Iran.
The visit also sought to expand military options. The military deal with Russia
is not an alternative to American weapons and it does not aim to be distanced
from the US, as some people have described it to be.
As I said in the beginning, it is the growing threat that is forcing Riyadh to
be stronger than it earlier was. Buying Russian and Chinese weapons will
liberate it from US pressure. In case the US suspends its supply of ammunition
or prevents it from using its weapons in any upcoming war, Riyadh will have
other options. The arsenal that Saudi Arabia will receive will includes two
missile defense systems that will be directed against Iranian attacks or any
other attack and they are the American THAAD and the Russian S-400. After
possessing several resources, Saudi Arabia will not go through what it went
through two years ago in Yemen. Gulf countries, whose neighbors are lurking due
to their rich resources, must strengthen their defense policies, not just by
buying more weapons but also by improving the performance of their military
institutions and developing their scientific and industrial work. Truth be told,
this is what we have seen Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman do. He is
reformulating the concept of Saudi military power away from the media.
It is the Gulf countries’ fate to live in a region swamped with wars and chaos.
Saudi Arabia is thus forced to think that military superiority is more than
sealing arms deals as it is also a doctrine that relies on science, discipline
and developing industries.
It is a comprehensive system. This is what Israel, which is the largest importer
of weapons, also thinks. The peak of excellence is for armament not to become a
burden on the state and a reason behind its bankruptcy or weakness as it must be
a path for development, growth and peace.
Saudi women in the driver’s seat
Lojain Saati/Al Arabiya/October 10/17
Following the announcement of the royal decree of Custodian of the Two Holy
Mosques King Salman lifting the ban on women driving in the Kingdom, people now
wake up to a different Saudi Arabia. The news of allowing women to apply for a
driver’s license by June 2018 has created a new sense of hope, independence and
empowerment for women in the Kingdom. Allowing women to drive as of the summer
of next year means that women will be in control of their daily lives and are no
longer restricted or dependent on the availability of a male driver to take them
around.
In alignment with Crown Prince Muhammad Bin Salman’s Vision 2030, boosting the
economy relies on diversification and the contribution of citizens, both male
and female, for a brighter, stronger and modernized Saudi Arabia of tomorrow.
Reforms will not be possible without providing more control and autonomy for
women, allowing them shared responsibility and leadership in their respective
communities. Throughout the years, many women have missed opportunities for
employment due to the struggle they faced in securing transportation. Now women
will be able to drive themselves to work, thereby creating a chance to increase
the number of employed women, especially in the private sector. Also, job
creation in the transportation industry is another benefit; soon we will witness
rideshare apps offering employment opportunities for female drivers.
It is time for society to accept the concept of men and women sharing the road
equally as responsible drivers and begin experiencing the flexibility of being a
much more mobile community
Household finances
Moreover, women who are forced to pay the salaries of expat drivers will now be
able to cut down on such costs and manage their household finances with much
more strength and independence. Despite humor and sarcasm on social media as to
the driving skills of Saudi women, many well-traveled Saudi females who have had
the chance to obtain a driving license during their years of living abroad can
now experience sovereignty and freedom in their own country. The months to
follow will be life-changing for a society depicted as male dominant on the
roads; many should learn to tolerate diversity and accept women’s ability and
right to drive while trusting both genders to follow Shariah and social customs.
Finally, this remarkable change took the world by storm showing that the Kingdom
is adapting with changing times and that its people are ready for reform. It is
time for society to accept the concept of men and women sharing the road equally
as responsible drivers and begin experiencing the flexibility of being a much
more mobile community working side by side for a better future.
A red carpet for Moscow in the Middle East
Christian Chesnot/Al Arabiya/October 10/17
The historic visit of King Salman to
Moscow further emphasizes Russia’s central role in the Middle East. The
announcement of the purchase of the S-400 Russian anti-aircraft defense system
by Riyadh caused anger in Washington. Before the Saudis, the Turkish NATO
members also commissioned the same system. A sacrilege for the Westerners!
Beyond the purely military aspect of these contracts, this is a new sign of
Russia’s growing role in the Middle East. Is Russia in the process of ousting
the United States? No, but it is reaping the fruits of a constant and effective
diplomacy which no longer leaves anyone indifferent. On the other hand,
Americans have accumulated errors of appreciation since the invasion of Iraq in
2003 and, above all, appear versatile and hesitant since the Arab Spring of
2011.
Without a state of mind, but with a blurry and uncertain US policy, regional
actors no longer hesitate to intensify their relations with Moscow
Worse, they seem to have no strategic vision. “The United States has no idea
what they will do after the fall of ISIS in Syria and Iraq,” a senior French
army officer told me recently, expressing his surprise at the lack of ideas in
his American interlocutors. In front, the Russians build their regional
influence. The civil war in Syria was an opportunity for them that they did not
fail to grasp. Finally, with little military resources on the ground, they saved
the regime of Bashar Al-Assad. The results of their intervention are flattering.
They recorded little human loss in their ranks. They flaunted in real combat
conditions the full extent of their military panoply. They now have a permanent
maritime base in the Mediterranean at Tartous.
The diplomatic front
At a diplomatic level, it is the Russians who have the keys to the negotiations
between the Syrian regime and the opposition. In short, it is fair to say that
Moscow will be in Syria for a long time. But more fundamentally, Russia has
delivered an extremely powerful message to all the countries of the region: it
does not abandon its allies in the turmoil! What about the Americans? During the
Arab Spring, they “dropped” Hosni Mubarak in a few weeks. Also read: King Salman:
We are determined to push Saudi-Russian ties to greater heights. With the
strategic pivot to Asia adopted by Barack Obama, US diplomacy in the region
seems to be reduced to two postures: protect Israel and obsess about Iran:
protecting the Hebrew state at any price and doing everything to block Tehran.
With Donald Trump, American power today is both unpredictable and contested. It
is questioned in any case: what is its vision for the Middle East? What are its
priorities? State Department diplomats are hardly pressured to respond in a
clear and coherent way.
Looking at Moscow
As a result, the big powers of the region are looking more and more at Moscow.
Iraq and Egypt multiplied contacts with Russia as well as Marshal Hafter in
Libya. The Syrian Kurds have set up a representative office in the Russian
capital and one of their Afrin cantons welcomes Russian soldiers.
Even in the Gulf, the leaders now see Russia as a significant partner, which was
not necessarily the case a few years ago. One can regret it or rejoice, but the
Russian leadership “does what it says and says what it does”. Without a state of
mind, but with a blurry and uncertain US policy, regional actors no longer
hesitate to intensify their relations with Moscow. Obviously, the Russians do
not have the financial and economic power of the United States, which remains
dominant. Russia has to deal with Washington. And then, the more diplomatically
and militarily Russia is involved in the region, the more it is exposed to
security risks. The terrorist threat from the Middle East and Central Asia is
growing. But it is also the fight against terrorism that justifies the policy of
Vladimir Putin, which for once allied both Americans and Europeans in this file.
For Moscow, the challenge today is to consolidate and perpetuate its presence in
the center of the Middle East.
The myth surrounding ‘angry Muslims’
Mamdouh AlMuhaini/Al Arabiya/October 10/17
The “angry Muslims” excuse, which has often been used to intimidate others, is
insulting because it puts all Muslims in one category and suggests that they are
all angered and pleased by the same things. It is even more insulting because it
assumes that it is easy to manipulate the feelings of these Muslims and treat
them like children who are cannot be independent thinkers that can have
different feelings about the same matter. What hurts me and angers me differs
from what hurts and angers my friend or brother. Assuming otherwise means we are
characterless people with no opinion or self-worth.
I remember how a teacher said something during a lecture once and then
apologized to all Muslim students “for harming their feelings.” This was the
most humiliating apology I have ever heard because it put us all in one basket
as if we are a herd of sheep where no one is different.
Perhaps it is time to annul this insulting false argument. I am a Muslim, and I
am not angry and it is not possible to easily manipulate my mind
Collective excuses
What is more humiliating is that he would not have said the same thing about
followers of other faiths or people from different cultures because he is aware
that what may anger one of them may not anger another. He therefore does not
need to utter these collective excuses that are worthy of fools.
This excuse is also used in the western media, which also adopts this same view.
Politicians and journalists who claim to defend Muslims use this excuse to serve
their own vested interests and harm reputation by distorting the image of Islam
and Muslims.
What is strange is that enlightened Muslim figures in the West are attacked by
the media and accused of being allied with bigoted right-wing movements. It’s a
strange position to take. They intimidate Muslims who see things differently or
have opposing views by describing them as racist and fascist.
Dangerous dimension
There is a deeper and more dangerous dimension, which fanatics in our countries
use as they promote and deepen some fears for obvious reasons. They want to
picture Muslims as one massive category so they can control it and achieve the
following three objectives: use it in their negotiations with the West, under
the excuse of controlling this fierce beast, isolate the latter and deepen
hostility and isolation toward other cultures and achieve personal benefits on
the social and financial levels by controlling the keys of power and money.
Perhaps it is time to annul this insulting false argument. I am a Muslim, and I
am not angry and it is not possible to easily manipulate my mind and emotions.
And there are millions of Muslims like me!