LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
November 19/17
Compiled &
Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
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Bible Quotations
They went out because they didn’t
belong to us
01 John 02/15-23/I have
written to you, young men, because you are strong, and the word of God remains
in you, and you have overcome the evil one. Don’t love the world or the things
that are in the world. If anyone loves the world, the Father’s love isn’t in
him. For all that is in the world, the lust of the flesh, the lust of the eyes,
and the pride of life, isn’t the Father’s, but is the world’s. The world is
passing away with its lusts, but he who does God’s will remains forever. Little
children, these are the end times, and as you heard that the Antichrist is
coming, even now many antichrists have arisen. By this we know that it is the
final hour. They went out from us, but they didn’t belong to us; for if they had
belonged to us, they would have continued with us. But they left, that they
might be revealed that none of them belong to us. You have an anointing from the
Holy One, and you all have knowledge. I have not written to you because you
don’t know the truth, but because you know it, and because no lie is of the
truth. Who is the liar but he who denies that Jesus is the Christ? This is the
Antichrist, he who denies the Father and the Son. Whoever denies the Son, the
same doesn’t have the Father. He who confesses the Son has the Father also."
Question: "Why is salvation by works the predominantly held viewpoint? Why do so
many people believe that we can be saved by works?"
Answer: The simple answer is that salvation by works seems right in the eyes of
man. One of man’s basic desires is to be in control of his own destiny, and that
includes his eternal destiny. Salvation by works appeals to man’s pride and his
desire to be in control. Being saved by works appeals to that desire far more
than the idea of being saved by faith alone. Also, man has an inherent sense of
justice. Even the most ardent atheist believes in some type of justice and has a
sense of right and wrong, even if he has no moral basis for making such
judgments. Our inherent sense of right and wrong demands that if we are to be
saved, our “good works” must outweigh our “bad works.” Therefore, it is natural
that when man creates a religion it would involve some type of salvation by
works.
Because salvation by works appeals to man’s sinful nature, it forms the basis of
almost every religion except for biblical Christianity. Proverbs 14:12 tells us
that “there is a way that seems right to a man, but its end is the way of
death.” Salvation by works seems right to men, which is why it is the
predominantly held viewpoint. That is exactly why biblical Christianity is so
different from all other religions—it is the only religion that teaches
salvation is a gift of God and not of works. “For it is by grace you have been
saved, through faith—and this not from yourselves, it is the gift of God—not by
works, so that no one can boast” (Ephesians 2:8–9).
Another reason why salvation by works is the predominantly held viewpoint is
that natural or unregenerate man does not fully understand the extent of his own
sinfulness or of God’s holiness. Man’s heart is “deceitful above all things, and
desperately wicked” (Jeremiah 17:9), and God is infinitely holy (Isaiah 6:3).
The deceit of our hearts is the very thing that colors our perception of the
extent of that deceit and is what prevents us from seeing our true state before
a God whose holiness we are also unable to fully comprehend. But the truth
remains that our sinfulness and God’s holiness combine to make our best efforts
as “filthy rags” before a holy God (Isaiah 64:6; cf. 6:1–5).
The thought that man’s good works could ever balance out his bad works is a
totally unbiblical concept. Not only that, but the Bible also teaches that God’s
standard is nothing less than 100 percent perfection. If we stumble in keeping
just one part of God’s righteous law, we are as guilty as if we had broken all
of it (James 2:10). Therefore, there is no way we could ever be saved if
salvation truly were dependent on works.
Another reason that salvation by works can creep into denominations that claim
to be Christian or say they believe in the Bible is that they misunderstand
passages like James 2:24: “You see then that a man is justified by works, and
not by faith only.” Taken in the context of the entire passage (James 2:14–26),
it becomes evident that James is not saying our works make us righteous before
God; instead, he is making it clear that real saving faith is demonstrated by
good works. The person who claims to be a Christian but lives in willful
disobedience to Christ has a false or “dead” faith and is not saved. James is
making a contrast between two different types of faith—truth faith that saves
and false faith that is dead.
There are simply too many verses that teach that one is not saved by works for
any Christian to believe otherwise. Titus 3:4–5 is one of many such passages:
“But when the kindness and the love of God our Savior toward man appeared, not
by works of righteousness which we have done, but according to His mercy He
saved us, through the washing of regeneration and renewing of the Holy Spirit.”
Good works do not contribute to salvation, but they will always be
characteristic of one who has been born again. Good works are not the cause of
salvation; they are the evidence of it.
While salvation by works might be the predominantly held viewpoint, it is not an
accurate one biblically. The Bible contains abundant evidence of salvation by
grace alone, through faith alone, in Christ alone (Ephesians 2:8–9).
Recommended Resource: Faith Alone, The Doctrine of Justification: What the
Reformers Taught...and Why It Still Matters by Thomas Schreiner
Questions.org?
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on November
18-19/17
Political Required ActionRoger Bejjani/Face Book/November
18/17
Gebran Bassil should be sued/Roger Bejjani/Face Book/November 18/17
Hariri to officially resign after Lebanese Independence Day/NAJIA HOUSSARI/Arabnews/November
18/17
Decoding Iran and Hezbollah’s desires for Lebanon/By Tony Duheaume Special to Al
Arabiya English/18 November 2017
Lebanon: A small country with big problems/Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/November
18/17
Why Hariri resigned in Riyadh/Dr. Hamdan Al-Shehri/Arabnews/November 18/17
Does Lebanon’s Aoun understand the bigger picture/Mashari Althaydi/Al Arabiya/November
18/17
Containing Iran’s influence: The regional players’ wagers on Tel Aviv and
Israel’s calculations/Raghida Dergham/Arabnews/November 18/17
New Saudi strategy aimed at recruiting concept of change as an ally/Amir Taheri/Al
Arabiya/November 18/17
Germany, Austria: Imams Warn Muslims Not to Integrate/Stefan Frank/Gatestone
Institute/November 18/17
Titles For Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on
November 18-19/17
Political Required Action
Gebran Bassil should be sued
Hariri Calls Aoun, Berri, Deryan from France
Hariri to officially resign after Lebanese Independence Day
Aoun: Hariri Will Be in Lebanon for Independence Day
Saudi Arabia Recalls Ambassador to Berlin over Lebanon Comments
France, Lebanon and the Hariri Family Have Close Ties
Lebanese Senior Official Says FM Bassil May Not Attend Arab League Meeting
Again, Riyadh Asks Citizens to Leave Lebanon
Decoding Iran and Hezbollah’s desires for Lebanon
Lebanon: A small country with big problems
Why Hariri resigned in Riyadh
Does Lebanon’s Aoun understand the bigger picture?
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports
And News published on November 18-19/17
U.N. to Vote Friday on 30-Day Renewal of Syria Gas Attacks
Probe
U.S.-Backed Syria Forces Spokesman 'Held by Turkish Intelligence'
US threat to close PLO office in Washington ‘unacceptable’, says senior
Egypt Opens Gaza Border for First Time since Unity Deal
Chinese, N.Korean Envoys Discuss Regional Concerns
Renewed US-Russia Rift Threatens Slim Syria Peace Hope
Family of Assassinated Tunisian Hamas Member Demands 'Justice'
Mladic Trial to End, Where Will Next War Crimes Court Start?
Leftist Leonard Becomes New Scottish Labor Party Leader
3 More Found Dead in Deadly Greek Flood, Raising Total to 19
EU Cuts Funding to Turkey in 2018 Budget
Latest Lebanese Related News published on
November 18-19/17
Political Required Action
Roger Bejjani/Face
Book/November 18/17
Any political action in Lebanon that does not consolidate around the following
strategy is futile and ephemeris:
1. Total local boycott of Hezbollah and any Hezbollah sympathiser: economical,
employment, social, political...
2. Inform Arab, European, Asian and American countries of lists of Lebanese
supporting Hezbollah.
3. Demand from the parliament to meet and destitute Michel Aoun on the base of
flagrant violation of the constitution.
4. Demand the prosecution of Nohad Machnouk and Selim Jreissati respectively for
not taking any action leading to arrest indicted suspects in serious terrorist
assassination and in the abduction of Joseph Sader and for violating that sacred
principle of separation of powers.
5. Make an official demand to Iran to liberate Nizar Zakka; and if they do not
respond ask the Lebanese government to break diplomatic ties with this
terrorist state.
6. Present a formal criminal suit against Hassan Nasrallah for leading Lebanon
towards catastrophe and for endangering its people.
7. Restore trust and friendship with our traditional allies: Arab Gulf
countries.
This should be the program of a reinvented 14 March not the kind of Grey
bullshit and moronic neutrality that some are claiming.
Neutrality is a strategic objective; nevertheless it is absolutely idealistic
and stupid to consider it today given Hezbollah's active involvement in the
region.
Gebran Bassil should be sued
Roger Bejjani/Face Book/November 18/17
Gebran Bassil should be sued by thousands of Lebanese for misrepresenting them
in foreign countries.
This guy does not even have the proper legitimacy to represent his own region
Batroun; and here he is speaking on behalf of the Lebanese people!!?
A minister can only represent the cabinet's view and not his or her.
His cavalière attitude should be sanctioned. But of course we're not in Sweden;
we're rather living the prime time of what a banana republic looks like in the
Levant.
Hariri Calls Aoun, Berri, Deryan from France
Associated Press/Naharnet/November
18/17/Prime Minister Saad Hariri, who has not returned to Beirut since his
surprise resignation two weeks ago, made several phone calls with senior
Lebanese officials after his arrival in France on Saturday. Hariri telephoned
President Michel Aoun, Speaker Nabih Berri and the Grand Mufti of the Republic
Abdul Latif Deryan, where talks highlighted the latest developments, the
premier's media office said in a statement. The PM has reportedly told Aoun and
Berri that he will be back in Lebanon to take part in the Independence Day
celebrations on Wednesday. Hariri has also received telephone calls from several
officials including Progressive Socialist Party Leader MP Walid Jumblat and
Marada Movement leader Suleiman Franjieh. Lebanon will mark Independence Day on
Wednesday and there have been concerns about whether Hariri will attend the
annual celebrations. The ceremony is usually headed by the president, prime
minister and parliament speaker. It is the first official comment on when Hariri
is likely to be back in Beirut since his Nov. 4 resignation through a broadcast
on a Saudi-owned TV station from Saudi Arabia.NNA quoted a presidential
statement saying that Hariri informed the president that he arrived in Paris
with his wife earlier Saturday.
Hariri to officially resign after Lebanese Independence Day
NAJIA HOUSSARI/Arabnews/November 18/17
BEIRUT: Saad Hariri, who resigned as Lebanon’s prime minister on Nov. 4, said he
will join President Michel Aoun and Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri in
Independence Day celebrations on Wednesday. Berri’s press office said Hariri
told him in a phone call from Paris on Saturday that he will return to Lebanon
before Independence Day and will join the president and the Parliament speaker
in a military parade to mark the occasion. Aoun received a phone call from
French President Emmanuel Macron just before Hariri’s arrival at the Élysée
Palace. The press office of the Lebanese presidential palace said they discussed
developments following Hariri’s resignation, and Aoun thanked Macron “for the
interest he has shown in Lebanon.” The spokesman for the Lebanese presidential
palace, Rafiq Shalala, told Arab News that Hariri “will attend the military
parade as prime minister because he didn’t submit his resignation to the
president.” Shalala added: “The step of submitting the resignation to President
Aoun isn’t clear until the return of Hariri to Beirut. We haven’t been informed
of its date yet.”
Khaled Kabbani, a former member of the Constitutional Council and former
minister, told Arab News that Hariri could attend the celebration either as
prime minister or as premier of a caretaker government if his resignation is
accepted. The Independence Day ceremony is usually headed by the president,
prime minister and Parliament speaker, and Hariri’s presence could help calm
uncertainties. Hariri, along with his wife and son, landed before dawn Saturday
at an airport used for private jets in Le Bourget north of Paris, and came in a
convoy to his Paris residence in a high-end neighborhood, where police stood
guard. The security arrangements prevented reporters from reaching their home.
Hariri’s press office said he later went to the Elysee Palace, where he was
received “warmly” by Macron. They held a private meeting, “discussed recent
developments and public affairs,” and then they were joined by Hariri’s wife
Lara Al-Azm and elder son Hussam and Macron’s wife Brigitte for lunch. After the
meeting, Hariri thanked France and Macron for their support, saying: “France is
playing a positive role in the region, and we are always interested in their
support for us.” Hariri added that he will “announce all my political positions”
from Lebanon after meeting with Aoun. “I resigned and we’ll talk in
Lebanon.”Lebanese Forces MP Fadi Karam said there was a “need for understanding”
between Aoun and Hariri after the latter’s return to Beirut. Karam warned about
“current attempts to harm the brotherly relations between Lebanon and Saudi
Arabia with the incitement of Iran and Hezbollah.”Saudi Arabia on Saturday asked
its citizens for the second time in less than two weeks to leave Lebanon “as
soon as possible” given the “circumstances” there, according to The Associated
Press (AP). The Arab League is due to hold a meeting on Sunday in Cairo at
Saudi Arabia’s urging where the Lebanon crisis and Iran’s role in the region are
expected to be discussed, the agency added.
Aoun: Hariri Will Be in Lebanon for Independence
Day
Agence France PresseNaharnet/November 18/17/Prime Minister Saad Hariri, who has
not returned to Beirut since his surprise resignation two weeks ago, will be
home for Independence Day on Wednesday, the president's office said.Hariri
telephoned President Michel Aoun after arriving in France from Saudi Arabia on
Saturday morning, the presidency said in a statement. "Hariri told the president
that he would be in Lebanon to take part in Independence Day celebrations,
especially the military parade marking the occasion, on Wednesday," it said.
Hariri flew to Paris at the invitation of France's President Emmanuel Macron,
who is attempting to broker a solution to a political crisis that has raised
fears for Lebanon's fragile democracy. Hariri, a dual Saudi citizen who has
previously enjoyed Riyadh's backing, announced his resignation on November 4 in
a televised address from the kingdom. He said he feared for his life and accused
Iran and its powerful Lebanese ally Hizbullah of destabilizing the country. The
shock announcement sparked fears that Lebanon was being caught up in rising
tensions between regional arch rivals, Saudi Arabia and Iran. Hariri's failure
to return from Saudi Arabia only added to the concerns, prompting claims he was
being held hostage. Aoun has refused to accept Hariri's resignation from abroad,
insisting he return home to confirm it or withdraw it.
Saudi Arabia Recalls Ambassador to Berlin over
Lebanon Comments
Agence France PresseNaharnet/November 18/17/Saudi Arabia has recalled its
ambassador to Berlin in protest over comments made by the German foreign
minister perceived as suggesting Lebanon's Prime Minister Saad Hariri had been
held against his will in Riyadh, Saudi state media said Saturday.
Hariri, a dual Saudi citizen left Riyadh for France early Saturday following
fevered speculation over his situation after he announced his shock resignation
on television in Saudi Arabia two weeks ago saying he had left Lebanon in fear
for his life. Early Saturday, Riyadh's state news agency SPA released a
statement protesting comments on the crisis by German Foreign Minister Sigmar
Gabriel calling for Lebanon's neighbours -- including Saudi Arabia -- to let it
decide its own fate. "Saudi Arabia has decided to recall its ambassador to
Germany for consultations and will give the German ambassador in the kingdom a
letter protesting these unfortunate and unjustified statements," SPA said,
citing a spokesman for the Saudi foreign ministry. Hariri's resignation
announcement and his subsequent failure to return home to officially quit in
person, fuelled speculation that he was acting under orders from his Saudi
patrons.
Shortly before leaving Riyadh for Paris, Hariri said in a tweet addressed to
Gabriel that it was untrue he was being held in Saudi. "To say that I am held up
in Saudi Arabia and not allowed to leave the country is a lie. I am on the way
to the airport," Hariri tweeted. Hariri's resignation was quickly perceived as
the latest round in a tug of war between Saudi Arabia, his longtime sponsor, and
its regional arch-rival Iran. It has raised deep concerns about the stability of
Lebanon, which has long been riven by disagreements between Hariri's bloc and
that of his chief rival, the Iran-backed Hizbullah movement. Gabriel on Thursday
said he shared the concern about the threat of instability and bloodshed in
Lebanon and, without mentioning Saudi Arabia directly, warned against the
"adventurism" behind the Lebanon crisis. Earlier in the week Gabriel had said:
"Lebanon has earned the right to decide on its fate by itself and not become a
pinball of Syria or Saudi Arabia or other national interests". But according to
SPA, a Saudi foreign ministry spokesman said: "These statements are dangerous,
based on false information and do not help achieve stability in the region.
"These (statements) have astonished Saudi Arabia... which does not consider them
representative of a friendly German government that is a reliable partner in the
fight against terrorism and to establish security in the region," the spokesman
added.
Hariri is expected to meet French President Emmanuel Macron Macron at noon (1100
GMT) on Saturday.
France, Lebanon and the Hariri Family Have Close
Ties
Agence France PresseNaharnet/November 18/17/France under President Emmanuel
Macron has played a leading role in trying to avert a fresh crisis in Lebanon
following the surprise resignation of its prime minister Saad Hariri. Hariri
arrived in Paris on Saturday on Macron's invitation, after the premier once
again dismissed rumours that he had been held against his will in Saudi Arabia
since announcing his resignation there on November 4. As Macron holds talks with
Hariri, AFP explains France's role in working to defuse the situation. - Why is
France involved? Links between France and multi-faith Lebanon go back at least
to the 16th century, when King Francis I signed an agreement with the Ottoman
Empire giving the French royals the status of protectors of Christians in the
Middle East. With the fall of the Ottomans in 1920, Lebanon emerged as a
contemporary state but it was administered by France under a League of Nations
mandate until 1943, when it gained independence. Since then, France has
maintained close ties with the unstable country. - Is this just about history?
-No. Macron, a 39-year-old former investment banker, is also keen to make a mark
in international relations after coming to power in May. He flew to Riyadh to
meet Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman himself last week and sent his Foreign
Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian back on Wednesday for further talks. Macron is
trying to fill a void of Western power in the Middle East: the United States has
retreated under Donald Trump, while Britain remains wrapped up in its Brexit
negotiations. This has led to a whirlwind of diplomacy from Macron with varying
degrees of success, from efforts to find a solution in war-wracked Libya to a
campaign in favour of maintaining the Iran nuclear deal. - Is a resolution in
sight?Lebanon's President Michel Aoun said that he had spoken with Hariri by
telephone following his arrival in France and that the premier said he would be
home for Independence Day celebrations on Wednesday. Aoun, who had accused the
Saudis of holding his prime minister "hostage" -- a claim dismissed by both
Hariri and Riyadh -- had already backed the Paris trip as a step forward on
Thursday. "We hope that the crisis is over and Hariri's acceptance of the
invitation to go to France is the start of a solution," tweeted Aoun, who has
refused to accept the premier's resignation from abroad. The French-language
Lebanese newspaper L'Orient-Le Jour said France had "achieved the unexpected by
inviting Hariri" to leave Riyadh, saying it had "lowered tensions a notch". -
What are Hariri's ties to France?Hariri's family has properties and
long-standing links in France that go back to the early 1980s when Jacques
Chirac, then the mayor of Paris, became close to Saad's father Rafiq. Rafiq
Hariri, a wealthy real estate developer who made his fortune in Saudi Arabia,
made numerous investments in France and headquartered his construction group
Oger International in a Parisian suburb. This could now come back to bite his
son -- who inherited it -- as it recently went bankrupt, leaving salaries and
pensions worth millions of dollars unpaid around the world since 2015. About 240
laid-off French employees are seeking nearly 20 million euros ($24 million)
after the company collapsed under huge debts, as tumbling oil prices hit Saudi
construction hard. The elder Hariri's friendship with Chirac turned overtly
political after 1992 when he became prime minister of Lebanon. Chirac was
elected president three years later. He was the only head of state to attend
Hariri's funeral in Beirut in 2005 after he was killed in a bombing. Chirac
lived in a luxurious Paris apartment owned by the Hariri family for around eight
years after he left office and retired in 2007.
Lebanese Senior Official Says FM Bassil May Not Attend Arab
League Meeting
Asharq l Awsat/November 18/17 /Lebanon’s foreign minister may not attend an Arab
League meeting in Cairo on Sunday and a final decision will be taken in the
morning, a senior Lebanese official told Reuters on Saturday. Reuters cited the
official as saying that Foreign Minister Gebran Bassil wanted to avoid an
upfront confrontation at the meeting with Saudi Arabia and its Arab allies over
the regional role the Iran-aligned Lebanese group Hezbollah is playing. Saudi
Arabia is seeking to counter Hezbollah's effect carrying out Tehran's
expansionist agenda. "The importance of Hezbollah for Iran as an overseas
fighting force, which operates alongside its own military, cannot be
underestimated. Since its establishment in Lebanon in the early 1980s by the
Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) and Quds Force, Hezbollah has fought
wars and carried out deadly attacks against civilians in foreign lands that have
proven its worth as a terror group," said political analyst Tony Duheaume in a
column piece published on Al Arabiya.
Again, Riyadh Asks Citizens to Leave Lebanon
Associated Press/Naharnet/November 18/17/Saudi Arabia has asked its citizens for
the second time in less than two weeks to leave Lebanon "as soon as possible"
given the tension over the resignation of Prime Minister Saad Hariri. The
announcement early Saturday was posted on the Saudi embassy Twitter account. It
came shortly after the embassy reported that it is closely following reports of
an attack on two Saudi nationals in a Beirut neighborhood. There was no
immediate security report of the incident. Hariri tweeted before he left Saudi
Arabia that any attack on a Saudi is an attack on him personally. Hariri, a dual
Lebanese-Saudi national, stunned Lebanon and the region when he declared his
resignation from Saudi Arabia, citing meddling by Iran and its Lebanese ally
Hizbullah in Arab countries affairs. Days later, Saudi Arabia ordered its
citizens out of Lebanon on Nov. 9. It was the first concrete action against the
Mediterranean country after days of leveling threats against Beirut. Hariri's
resignation sparked speculations he was held against his will, and forced to
resign. Hariri left to Paris early Saturday.
ANALYSIS: Decoding Iran and Hezbollah’s desires for Lebanon
By Tony Duheaume Special to Al Arabiya English/18 November 2017
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the
authors and do not reflect the viewpoint of Al Arabiya English.
The importance of Hezbollah for Iran as an overseas fighting force, which
operates alongside its own military, cannot be underestimated. Since its
establishment in Lebanon in the early 1980s by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards
Corps (IRGC) and Quds Force, Hezbollah has fought wars and carried out deadly
attacks against civilians in foreign lands that have proven its worth as a
terror group.
Terrorist attacks carried out by Hezbollah, which have targeted various nations
over the years, can only be construed as attacks carried out by the Iranian
administration through proxy. As by using its Quds Force, the regime itself can
claim plausible deniability from its deeds, which it has done for many decades.
Iran’s imperialist designs
It seems that Iran’s hawkish leadership is currently working hard to revive its
long-lost Persian Empire through stealthily applied hegemony. With Iraq always
having been at the top of its list of potential conquests, Tehran is taking
advantage of Iraqi government’s invite to aid it in the fight against ISIS, and
had sent its wily Quds’ Force Commander Qassim Suleimani to take up the
challenge. As the battle commenced, Suleimani integrated a large force of
Iran-backed militias into the ranks of Iraqi armed forces, thereby effectively
taking control.
Since the 2003 invasion of Iraq by US coalition forces, Iranians have been
actively infiltrating the Iraqi government, gaining influence over a large
number of MPs in a bid to turn Iraq into an Iranian satellite state. While in
Syria, with the Iranian puppet President Bashar al-Assad on the back foot,
Iran’s proxy forces and its military were sent in to shore up his regime, and
with the dictator’s army virtually non-existent, Iran has setup a military
headquarters there, in readiness to reinstall their puppet.
But in case of Lebanon, it is Iran’s proxy Hezbollah that is doing the
infiltrating in a bid to take control of the country through stealth. Through
its support of Hezbollah, Iran has gained a powerful foothold in Lebanon. One
big advantage for better relations came in the election of Hezbollah ally Michel
Aoun as the country’s president on 31 October 2016, which left the door open for
further Iranian influence. Then through the electoral system — through its 12
seats in parliament and with crucial allies such as President Aoun’s Maronite
Christian Free Patriotic Movement that controls the Ministry of Defence
portfolio, and by working closely with the Shiite party Amal that controls the
Ministry of Finance — Hezbollah is now in virtual control of Lebanese politics.
Lebanese military vis-à-vis Hezbollah militia
But Hezbollah’s strength doesn’t end there. Its military wing is more powerful
than the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) and even in recent times the two have been
known to work together. The officer in charge of the Lebanese army, who appears
to be seeking better relations with the US is Staff Brigadier General Joseph
Aoun (no relation to President Michel Aoun). Joseph Aoun had previously
commanded the Lebanese 9th Brigade, whose remit was to maintain security of an
area skirting the Litani River in south Lebanon, where Hezbollah was required to
disarm under Resolution 1701 — of the UN Security Council Resolution that ended
the 2006 war between Israel and the Lebanese militia — which Hezbollah has never
observed.
On July 2009, a huge blast struck Lebanese village of Khirbet Selm, when an
abandoned house — containing a stockpile of rockets, automatic weapons and
ammunition that belonged to Hezbollah — exploded in a massive inferno. The
incident exposed how the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL), as
well as the LAF supposedly patrolling the area with a directive to enforce
Resolution 1701 to disarm any Hezbollah militia, had failed in their mission.
With Israeli IDF having estimated 160 villages across southern Lebanon contained
Hezbollah military supplies, whilst carrying out 400 vehicles and air patrols a
day, it seems strange that none of the UNIFIL and LAF combined patrols came
across any sign of Hezbollah’s arms caches.
Although Gen. Aoun seems to be reaching out to the US, he has been known to have
close links with Hezbollah, and after being reassigned to the Arsal-Hermel
sector in north-eastern Lebanon in 2013, with his duties entailing strengthening
of defensive line in an area straddling Syrian border to avert penetrations by
Syrian militias, these links strengthened greatly.
With this area having been a Hezbollah stronghold, it would have been inevitable
that the LAF would have to cooperate with Hezbollah in some way to enable it to
carry out its duties in the area, and with the nearby town of Qusayr and the
Qalamoun region being Hezbollah military zones, essential to the paramilitaries
deploying forces to fight in Syria, the aid of the LAF would have been vital in
securing these logistical supply routes, leaving the LAF open to calls of
collusion.
Iran’s aid to proxies
Then with Iran having billions of dollars in cash returned to it through signing
the nuclear deal, the regime is said to have increased its funding of Hezbollah
from $600m annually to $800m. With Hezbollah immersed in criminal activity,
hundreds of millions of dollars are also funnelled to the terror group in
Lebanon, from its illicit dealings in drug trade, the selling of pirated
software, etc. Much of the cash made from these illicit activities, is then
laundered through the sale of cars to Africa, through its second-hand car
dealerships in the US, the proceeds of which find their way back to Hezbollah’s
accounts in Lebanon.
By means of this vast finance, with the aid of the Quds Force, Hezbollah has
been able to construct a global terrorist network, spanning all continents.
Through the use of Iranian embassies, plans have been hatched to hijack planes,
detonate numerous vehicle bombs, kidnap dozens of innocent people, as well as
assassinate dissidents living abroad, and those considered a threat to the
Iranian regime.
As far as Hezbollah’s unique position in Lebanon is concerned, Iran sees it as a
great success in the export of its Islamic revolution, and to maintain the
terror group’s military effectiveness, it supplies it with a vast amount of
weaponry. As a result of this, Hezbollah can comfortably outgun Lebanese Armed
Forces, and with somewhere in the region of 25,000 armed fighters in its ranks,
makes it a powerful adversary — should time ever come for the Lebanese
government to confront it.
Iran is seeking a land-bridge to Lebanon via Iraq and Syria in order to supply
its faithful proxy as well as to move troops and military equipment into the
country unobstructed, ready for any future war with Israel, or attacks on
targets in the Gulf States. But as things stand, although Hezbollah has made
great inroads into the Lebanese Army, the two are still very suspicious of each
other.
But on 6 January 2017, Iran sent a high level parliamentary delegation to
Beirut, offering to provide the LAF with a substantial package of military aid,
at a time when relations with the country seemed to be favorable.
Silencing critics through assassinations
However, it is noteworthy that Hezbollah’s critics tend to end up being victims
of car blasts, as was the fate of former Lebanese prime minister Rafik Hariri,
who was assassinated on February 14, 2005 after a fallout with Bashar al-Assad.
Recently, there was the episode with Rafik’s son Saad Hariri, the Lebanese prime
minister who fled to Saudi Arabia after receiving intelligence that there was a
plan to assassinate him. Taking into consideration this latest interference, it
seems Iranians are stepping up their agenda to take over Lebanon.
There are other signs also that show Iran is back to its old ways against those
it views as its enemies. On 27 October 2017, one of its agents bombed a police
bus in Bahrain, killing one police officer and injuring eight others. Following
the arrest of a suspect, Bahraini authorities uncovered a cell linked to Iranian
Revolutionary Guards, which was also said to have been involved in earlier
terrorist attacks and a series of other plots to blow up oil pipelines and plans
to assassinate public figures in the country.
Whenever Iran has its back to the wall – as it is experiencing now under Trump’s
crackdown – the regime responds by carrying out assassinations and terror
attacks, and looking at its proxy’s history, such attacks will not be the last.
Lebanon: A small country with big problems
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/November 18/17
Lebanon, this small country — the area of Kuwait is almost twice as big — has an
effect that transcends demographic and geographic measures. And because of its
numerous problems, its leaders and parties and regional and international powers
have not been able to take it out of the path of regional crises.
One example is the escalation practiced by some politicians in the current
Lebanese government, the foreign minister as well as the president himself, in
dealing with the resignation of Saad Hariri from his position as prime minister.
And since it is strange that those holding the banner of allegedly defending
Hariri are in fact his sworn enemies, it is most likely that they are being
pushed by an outside party which is at odds with Saudi Arabia, such as the
Qatari government or the Iranian government. And Iran is intent on complete
domination of Lebanon after it dictated its presence by force in Syria.
Lebanon has always been a regional stage for conflict among powers, and all
powers and Arab leaders have been present on its lands before. The late Egyptian
late President Gamal Abdel Nasser had to use Lebanon when he found out that it
was the center of challenge for his project against his foes in Syria and the
Gulf. Iran, under Khomeini, used Lebanon against the US through explosions and
assassinations. And Syria has played the biggest part in transforming Lebanon
into a field for its activities; one of the justifications given by the late
President Hafez Assad, and Bashar as well, for insisting on meddling in and
controlling Lebanon despite the high political price was their belief that the
small neighbor is the main reservoir of danger for Syria, where international
conspiracies are prepared and secret operations launched against them. If
Lebanon’s people work together against Hezbollah, they will have regional and
international support; if they do not, they will be the victims of Iranian
domination.
The most obvious example for Lebanon today, as a workshop of conflicts, is that
it is playing a vital role in the war in Yemen. The Iranians use Lebanon to
manage their security, propaganda, and military operations, and I went over some
details of that issue in my last article. Beirut is still the regional
headquarters of the international media, and since it is under the control of
Hezbollah, almost all the non-combat Houthi activities are operated from
Lebanon, not from Yemen itself, including political, legal and media campaigns
against Saudi Arabia and the coalition in accusations of starvation, cholera,
and the targeting of civilians.
Beirut was also a safe haven for rebel politicians against the former Al-Malki
government, and it was also a center for counter activities for his government
as well, and it transpired later how hundreds of millions of dollars reached
Hezbollah in vague circumstances. Lebanon was also an important stage and
workshop of the Syrian conflict for intelligence agencies, recruitment and
propaganda. And most conflicts look for environments which are available in a
country such as Lebanon, with its multiple loyalties and weak central authority.
Consequently, the big regional countries are destined to defend their areas and
existence, and they have no choice but to deal with the Lebanese reality. There
are allies and adversaries, and there are no permanent alliances, regardless of
any sectarian, ideological or even family links. The main and chronic problem
for Saudi Arabia in Lebanon is Iran, represented by Hezbollah, which is also a
problem for most regional and international countries. Riyadh has focused on an
important message, stating that Lebanon cannot be left as prey for Hezbollah.
The Lebanese and Arabs who underestimate the project of Hezbollah may not
realize that it is capable of completely seizing the resources and authorities
of the Lebanese state and eliminating all the benefits offered by the Lebanese
state, such as freedom, pluralism and flexibility. All the independent groups of
today, including Christian and Sunni groups, will be eliminated by Hezbollah if
it continues its project of transforming Lebanon into an annex to the Iranian
Republic. And these new challenges are the responsibility of all the
Lebanese themselves. If they work together against Hezbollah, or let us say
against foreign domination in general, they will find regional and international
support; but if they do not, they will be the first losers in the new equation
of the Iranian domination over Syria and Iraq.
Why Hariri resigned in Riyadh
Dr. Hamdan Al-Shehri/Arabnews/November 18/17
For those observing and understanding the situation in our region, it is not
difficult to understand Saad Hariri’s resignation as Lebanon’s prime minister.
When he went to Riyadh and resigned from there, it was not only for his personal
safety. He went there to save Lebanon and its people from Hezbollah’s dominance.
For 25 years, this militia has been in Lebanon under the guise and slogan of
resistance against Israel. But this so-called resistance should be directed
toward Israel only. What is happening in Lebanon is not like that, because
Hezbollah’s weapons have been used against the state and the Lebanese people.
The same is true with any Iranian-sponsored militia in Arab countries, such as
the Houthis in Yemen. Hezbollah is the first militia in the Arab world created
by Iran to serve its regional expansion and greed. From the 1980s, Hezbollah
began its terrorist actions in Lebanon and the Gulf in favor of Iran. It had a
plan to assassinate Kuwait’s then-emir, which failed. It also carried out
terrorist acts in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. Today, we are witnessing Hezbollah’s
evil very clearly in Syria by killing Syrian civilians who oppose Iran and the
Assad regime. Tehran relies on Hezbollah to train more militias in the region
and produce more and more fighters. It did that in Iraq after the US-led
invasion, creating many terrorist militias loyal to Tehran. Before that, for
many years Hezbollah trained Al-Qaeda members in Lebanon.
It is no secret that Hezbollah was behind the Houthi coup against the Yemeni
state. Today, it is training the Houthis, smuggling Iranian weapons to them and
launching ballistic missiles from Yemen with the help of Iranian experts. Just
this month, Riyadh was targeted by an Iranian missile launched from Yemen, which
was intercepted by the Saudi air defense.
Saudi Arabia will support Lebanon as usual, and will not let it or other Arab
countries be destroyed by Iran. Amid Hariri’s resignation in Riyadh, the missile
attack was a message from Hezbollah to Saudi Arabia not to help Lebanon and its
people. Riyadh for decades has directly supported Arab and non-Arab states and
their peoples, not militias or sectarian groups as Tehran does. Iran has
destroyed Arab countries and made them useless, while Saudi efforts are geared
toward helping them. Not only that, but Iran has used those countries against
Saudi Arabia. The Kingdom and its allies, partners and friends are trying to
correct the situation and counter terrorism by Al-Qaeda, Daesh, Hezbollah, the
Houthis, and all other militias who bear arms against their countries and
threaten our stability. These groups are trying to plunge the whole region into
chaos and create more militias, so terrorism will spread not only regionally but
globally. Hariri came to Riyadh asking for help, just as Yemeni President Abed
Rabbo Mansour Hadi did for the struggle against the Houthis. Hariri resigned in
Riyadh so he would not be in a place where groups allied to his government
refuse to withdraw from other countries and refuse to stop doing Iran’s dirty
work and terrorist acts. He will not cover for them. Riyadh will support Lebanon
as usual, and will not let it or other Arab countries be destroyed by Iran. The
Kingdom will also take serious measures and decisive actions against Tehran’s
targeting of it.
• Dr. Hamdan Al-Shehri is a political analyst and international relations
scholar.Twitter: @DrHamsheri
Does Lebanon’s Aoun understand the bigger picture?
Mashari Althaydi/Al Arabiya/November 18/17
What those complaining in Lebanon don’t understand, or what they don’t want to
understand - those from the Free Patriotic Movement, before Nasrallah’s
supporters - that what is happening in the region is not only a Lebanese story.
It’s not just one page in the Lebanese story, it’s also a page dictating the
fate and place of Prime Minister Saad Hariri. The story is a new regional and
international policy designed and implemented against the Iranian Khomeini
invasion and role which spoiled the country and its people. It also spread
strife and anxiety for three decades. Now it is time to end this dark story, a
story that has stripped a lot of energy and effort towards error and
misguidance. A story that is followed blindly. Followers of the puppeteer in
Tehran, the supreme leader and the guardian of Muslims - all Muslims! - see him
standing with generals of Khomeini's destruction. It is a policy of
confrontation that does not concern Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates or
Bahrain. Instead, it is a policy that is also being formed in the most important
international capital, Washington.
This news should be reminded to all those who hustled and bustled about it – and
still do – in Lebanon because it conveys the whole Lebanese problem on a wider
and further horizon – that is the horizon of the “great confrontation” with the
latest Iranian chapter. A few days ago the US Congress has classified Harakat
Hezbollah al-Nujaba (an Iraqi Shi'ite paramilitary group) as a “terrorist
group,” calling on President Donald Trump to ban it and ban foreign figures
responsible or associated with it for a period of no more than 90 days. In a
statement issued on Thursday, the Iraqi Khomeinist militia said that they have
considered, as they do in their usual denial-filled behavior, this
categorization as an “honor.”
A congress report has found that the “As-Saib Ahl al-Haq and Nujaba are provided
training, funding, and arms by the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC),
IRGC-Quds Force, and mentored by Lebanese Hezbollah.” The report also stipulated
that “Kabi and other Nujaba commanders have claimed they follow orders from
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.”This news should be reminded to all those
who hustled and bustled about it – and still do – in Lebanon because it conveys
the whole Lebanese problem on a wider and further horizon – that is the horizon
of the “great confrontation” with the latest Iranian chapter. Lebanon is a scene
or single page of this chapter, just like the Houthi page, the Kurdish page in
Iraq and other Khomeini pages in Syria. This is what the Lebanese media has
missed or overlooked amidst the circus it has created around Hariri’s
resignation; and one wonders whether the people really understand the bigger
picture? Is the experienced President Michel Aoun aware of the dangers that he
is driving Lebanon towards due to his irresponsible approach to the current
Lebanese problem and the way he is handling Saad al-Hariri’s resignation?
The good thing that is happening to Lebanon, and we all hope so, is that it
sincerely and honestly “distances” itself from the region’s problems extending
from Iraq, to Syria and Bahrain, to Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, to Qatar, the UAE
and to Egypt.
If not, then turbulence persists amid storms.
Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports
And News published on November 18-19/17
U.N. to Vote Friday on 30-Day Renewal of Syria Gas
Attacks Probe
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November
18/17/The U.N. Security Council will vote Friday on a last-ditch bid to salvage
a U.N.-led investigation tasked with identifying those behind chemical weapons
attacks in Syria, diplomats said.
The council will vote at 6:15 pm (2315 GMT) on a Japanese draft resolution that
would extend the Joint Investigative Mechanism (JIM) for 30 days, to allow time
for negotiations on a compromise.
U.S.-Backed Syria Forces Spokesman 'Held by
Turkish Intelligence'
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November
18/17/A spokesman for the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) fighting
Islamic State extremists is "in the hands of" the Turkish intelligence after
handing himself over to pro-Ankara forces, a Turkish daily reported Friday.
Talal Sello "gave himself up" to Syrian opposition fighters -- which Turkey
calls the Free Syrian Army (FSA) -- on Wednesday, according to Turkish reports.
Sello was then taken to the southern Turkish province of Gaziantep bordering
Syria, the Hurriyet newspaper said, adding that he was "giving answers to
questions" from the Turkish National Intelligence Organization (MIT) about the
activities of the Syrian Kurdish militia. The fate of the burly Sello -- who
became a prominent face due to his media updates during the SDF's fight with
jihadists for Raqa -- has been shrouded in mystery since it emerged this week
that he had left the force.Mohammad al-Abdallah, of the Syrian rebel group
Forqat al-Hamz, speaking to AFP in Beirut, described Sello's move as a
"defection." But the SDF denied he had defected, saying it believed Sello was
taken "as a result of a special operation by Turkish intelligence." The SDF
added that Sello "received threats against his children who are in Turkey."The
SDF includes Arab forces but is dominated by Syrian Kurdish fighters from the
Peoples' Protection Units (YPG). Sello is of Turkmen origin. Ankara views the
YPG as a terror group linked to the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK)
which has been waging an insurgency inside Turkey since 1984. It has dismissed
the SDF has merely a front for the YPG. The PKK is blacklisted as a "terrorist"
organization by Ankara, the United States and the European Union. While
Washington views the YPG as the most effective fighting force on the ground
against Islamic State jihadists in Syria, Ankara has railed against the American
support. The Kurdish-led force expelled IS from its de facto capital Raqa in
northern Syria last month, one of a series of defeats against the group. Turkey
has cautioned against the creation of a "terror corridor" in northern Syria and
had repeatedly warned it could launch an operation against the militia in the
YPG-controlled town of Afrin. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on
Friday that Afrin "needs to be cleared of the YPG terror group."According to
Hurriyet, Sello answered questions from Turkish officials about the "activities
of the YPG, its structure and the situation in Afrin."Crucially, he was also
asked about what kind of preparations the YPG was making in the event of an
attack by the Turkish military on Afrin, the daily added. The UK-based Syrian
Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) confirmed that Sello was in the hands of
Turkish intelligence and said he had been "brought to Turkey by trickery."
US threat to close PLO office in Washington ‘unacceptable’,
says senior
DAOUD KUTTAB/Arabnews/November 19/17
AMMAN: The Palestine Liberation Organization’s office in Washington faces
closure after the US State Department refused to renew its operating permission.
Under US law, for the office to operate the Secretary of State must certify
every six months that the PLO has complied with conditions imposed by Congress.
The latest six-month period finished on Thursday. Permission was not renewed
because of a speech by President Mahmoud Abbas at the UN General Assembly in
September, in which he suggested taking the issue of Israeli settlements to the
International Criminal Court, a State Department official told Arab News. The
threat of closure is also aimed at persuading the Palestinians to enter talks
with Israel within 90 days, the official said. “The Palestinian Authority
received a letter from the State Department two days ago saying that the
Secretary of State had not found enough reasons to keep the office open,” the
Palestinian foreign minister Riyad Al-Malki said. “This is the first time since
the 1980s that there has been a delay in signing the renewed permission so the
office can stay open. We have demanded clarifications from the State Department
and the White House. They told us that there would be a meeting of senior legal
experts on Monday. Then they would give a clear answer.”The senior Palestinian
diplomat Saeb Erekat has written to the US administration calling the threatened
closure “unacceptable, an escalatory step and a political decision that
threatens to end the US role in the peace process,” Al-Malki said.
Although the PLO’s license to operate has not been renewed, US law allows the
office to operate “in a reduced manner” for 90 days, giving time for
negotiations, Al-Malki said. Majdi Khalidi, special diplomatic adviser to
President Abbas, told Arab News the decision did not affect the visa and
residency of the Palestinian ambassador in Washington, and a PLO source in
Washington said the Palestinian delegation were not worried about the status of
their office. Manuel Hassassian, the Palestinian ambassador to the UK, told Arab
News the closure threat was a US bluff. “They are just waving this threat with
the hope it can produce results,” he said. The State Department official told
Arab News: “The Secretary of State concluded that the factual record, in
particular certain statements made by Palestinian leaders about the
International Criminal Court, did not permit him to make the factual
certification required by the statute.
“The statute allows for … operation of the PLO’s Washington office if, after 90
days, the President determines the Palestinians have entered into direct,
meaningful negotiations with Israel. We are hopeful that this closure will be
short-lived. “We are not cutting off relations with the PLO, nor do we intend to
stop working with the Palestinian Authority. Our relations with the PLO and PA
extend well beyond contacts with the PLO office in Washington. “We remain
focused on a comprehensive peace agreement between the Israelis and the
Palestinians that will resolve core issues between the parties.
“This measure should in no way be seen as a signal that the US is backing off
those efforts. Nor should it be exploited by those who seek to act as spoilers
to distract from the imperative of reaching a peace agreement.” In 2011, under
the Obama administration, the US allowed the Palestinians to fly their flag over
the PLO office, an upgrade to the status of their mission that the Palestinians
hailed as historic.
Egypt Opens Gaza Border for First Time since
Unity Deal
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 18/17/Egypt opened its largely sealed
border with Gaza on Saturday for the first time since a reconciliation agreement
saw the Palestinian Authority take control of the crossing from Hamas. A
Palestinian official at the Rafah crossing said it had opened at 0700 GMT and
was expected to stay open for three days. "Egypt will open the crossing for
humanitarian cases registered with the interior ministry," the official said,
adding that civilian and security personnel on the Palestinian side were all
employees of the reconciliation government headed by Rami Hamdallah. Up to
20,000 people from Gaza have applied to enter Egypt. during the brief reopening.
Egypt's border with the Gaza Strip had been totally sealed since August, and was
largely closed for years before that. Under the terms of a Palestinian
reconciliation agreement reached last month, Gaza's Islamist rulers Hamas are
supposed to cede civil power to the West Bank-based Palestinian Authority by
December 1. As a first step, they handed over control of its border crossings on
November 1. The Egypt-brokered deal is expected to lead to more regular opening
of the Rafah crossing. The head of the Palestinian Authority's security services
Majid Faraj held talks with senior Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar in Gaza on Friday.
All Palestinian factions are due to meet in Cairo next week to discuss ways to
move the reconciliation deal forward. Both Israel and Egypt have maintained
blockades of Gaza for years, arguing that they are necessary to isolate Hamas.
Chinese, N.Korean Envoys Discuss Regional Concerns
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 18/17/A senior Chinese envoy discussed
regional concerns with officials in Pyongyang on Saturday, North Korean state
media said, as the US presses China to help ease the standoff over the North's
nuclear weapons. The visit by Song Tao, described by Pyongyang as a special
envoy of President Xi Jinping, is the first by a senior Chinese envoy for more
than a year. Relations are severely stressed over Pyongyang's nuclear
sabre-rattling and Beijing's support for tough UN sanctions on its neighbour.
"The two sides exchanged their views on such matters of mutual concern as the
situation of the Korean peninsula and region and bilateral relations," the
official KCNA news agency said in describing Song's talks with Ri Su-Yong, a
senior ruling party leader, and other officials. Relations between the two
communist neighbours, once said by Mao Zedong to be "as close as lips and
teeth", are at their worst in decades over North Korea's actions, and Beijing
faces pressure from US President Donald Trump to pile pressure on Pyongyang.
Song, who arrived on Friday, met that day with Choe Ryong-Hae, another senior
official in North Korea's ruling party and a close aide to leader Kim Jong-Un.
Each side's account of the meeting with Choe mentioned that both sides stressed
the importance of their longstanding ties.
- 'Common treasure' -A Chinese Communist Party report on the Choe-Song talks
said they agreed that mutual ties were "the common treasure of the two peoples"
and that both sides "should make concerted efforts" to maintain them. The United
States wants China, which accounts for 90 percent of North Korea's foreign
trade, to apply more economic pressure. Trump, who warned Xi during his trip to
Beijing this month that time was "quickly running out" to solve the nuclear
crisis, took to Twitter on Thursday to hail Song's mission as "a big move, we'll
see what happens!" But experts have expressed doubt it will yield breakthroughs,
saying Beijing has far less political influence on Kim than is thought despite
the economic ties. "Relations are extremely stressed. Perhaps the lowest point
since the Korean War. Perhaps (the mission) will put a floor under China-North
Korea relations, preventing further deterioration," said Bonnie Glaser, China
expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.
China has imposed its own banking restrictions on North Koreans in addition to
enforcing a series of UN measures that include bans on imports of coal, iron ore
and seafood from the North. But Beijing fears that squeezing Pyongyang too hard
would cause its collapse. Analysts say Song's trip is probably aimed more at
urging Kim's regime not to escalate tensions rather than applying real pressure
for disarmament. As nuclear tensions have soared, Xi has pushed for negotiations
and a "dual track approach" in which the United States would freeze its military
drills in South Korea while North Korea halts its weapons programmes. Trump
claimed this week that Xi had agreed during their talks last week to drop that
approach, but Beijing subsequently stood by the policy.
Renewed US-Russia Rift Threatens Slim Syria
Peace Hope
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November
18/17/The latest US and Russian bid to find enough common ground on which to
build some hope for Syria is in trouble, just days ahead of talks that could
make or break the peace process. A United Nations mediator has called on Bashar
al-Assad's regime and a beleaguered opposition coalition to send envoys to
Geneva on November 28 to resolve the seven-year-old civil war. This comes less
than a week after Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin issued a joint
statement agreeing that there is "no military solution" to the conflict. US
officials then welcomed the statement as a sign of Russia's commitment to a
UN-backed political process that Washington feels must lead to an end to Assad's
bloody rein. But if their show of optimism raised cynical eyebrows then, it
seemed even less plausible by Friday, after the latest heated showdown over
Syria at the United Nations. There, Russia moved to thwart international
attempts to salvage a UN-led probe into Assad's and extremist groups' use of
chemical weapons to slaughter Syrian civilians. Washington's ambassador to the
United Nations, Nikki Haley, was clear about what the Russian veto of a
US-backed resolution meant for the broader peace process. - Fruitless forays
-"Russia proves they cannot be trusted or credible as we work towards a
political solution in Syria," she declared. The previous US administration under
Barack Obama repeatedly tried and failed to engage Putin with a peace plan that
would lead to a political transition away from Assad's rule. Then secretary of
state John Kerry's frequent but fruitless forays to hotel conference rooms in
Vienna and Geneva to spar with Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov were much mocked
at home. But, despite the undeniable progress that a US-led military coalition
has made against the Islamic State group's Syrian strongholds, Putin has
remained loyal to Assad. And US diplomats now hope not only to nudge Russia into
bringing him to the table, but also to have Moscow help them oust Syria's other
main ally, Iran, from the battlefield. If Russia, in Haley's words, is "no
longer trusted or credible" -- what hope can there be of this plan, with UN
envoy Staffan de Mistura's November 28 peace talks fast approaching? State
Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert shared Haley's disgust with Russia's
opposition to the UN chemical weapons probe, saying: "We were very
disappointed.""We know that Russia one again prioritized protecting the Assad
regime," she said, while insisting this was no death knell for the broader peace
process. "There are a lot of areas where we don't see eye-to-eye with Russia,
but there are some areas where we do see eye-to-eye."
- Ceasefire zone -Nauert noted that Moscow and Washington agree on the need to
destroy IS, and have worked together to set up a ceasefire zone in southwest
Syria. "So the secretary and the president and Mr Lavrov and Vladimir Putin have
agreed to try to put together another one," she said.
"If we can do that, and we can find this area of agreement, it could potentially
bring in more aid and save lives and try to get Syria more stable."But, asked if
Russia could be a US partner in saving the Geneva process toward a settlement,
she admitted: "I don't know."Many observers scoff at that idea, and most doubt
that Putin, having risked Russian troops and planes to save Assad, would now
encourage a peace process that would see him step down. And western diplomats
say that, in private, some senior US officials admit that Assad and Putin
effectively won the war two years ago and are now just consolidating victory. To
give that a veneer of international respectability, Moscow has set up its own
peace process in Astana with Turkey and Iran as co-guarantors -- leaving aside
the US and UN efforts. "The Russians are doing everything they can to drain
Geneva of its substance and replace it with a process they control," said Joseph
Bahout, Middle East scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
For Bahout, the Trump-Putin joint statement was meant to paper over the cracks
in the breakdown, but the bitter row at the United Nations paints a clearer
picture of relations. Even the ceasefire zone, and its application, has been a
source of tension. The United States saw it as a sign that Russia is amenable to
countering the Iranian role. The southwestern area covered by the agreement is
largely held by Iranian-backed forces, such as Lebanon's Hezbollah, and
Washington hoped the deal would lessen Israeli concerns. But when US officials
talked this up as a success, Lavrov responded sharply that the ceasefire deal
had nothing to do with concern about Iranian forces.
"Since then, the climate has worsened," he told AFP. "What's happening at the UN
is in part a result of those tensions."
Family of Assassinated Tunisian Hamas Member
Demands 'Justice'
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 18/17/The family of a murdered Tunisian
described by Palestinian Islamist movement Hamas as a long-time member called on
the authorities Friday to release details of the investigation into his killing.
Unknown gunmen shot dead engineer Mohamed Zouari with a hail of bullets outside
his house in central Tunisia in December 2016. Hamas, which said the 49-year-old
engineer and drone expert had worked with it for a decade, at the time blamed
Israel for the killing.On Thursday, it said Israeli spies had used Bosnian
passports to enter Tunisia and assassinate Zouari, who also held Belgian
citizenship. His widow Majda Saleh on Friday slammed the authorities for their
"big silence" over his death."I want justice to be done for Mohamed Zouari," she
told Mosaique FM radio station. "We are aware that Israel is behind his
assassination, but specific parties are also involved," she said. "Who are
they?""I hope that the Tunisian government will not close (Zouari's) file and
that it will resume the investigation," said Saleh, who is Syrian but has
applied for Tunisian nationality. Tunisian authorities were not immediately
available for comment. Zouari's brother Radhouene said authorities appeared to
be "counting on time for public opinion to forget this case.""We have a series
of questions... we would like someone at the interior ministry to answer those
questions," he told the same radio station. The government has said "foreign
elements" were involved in Zouari's killing in Tunisia's second city Sfax last
December 15.
Israel has previously faced criticism after its agents reportedly used British,
Irish, Australian and other passports to assassinate a Hamas leader in the
United Arab Emirates in 2010.
Mladic Trial to End, Where Will Next War Crimes
Court Start?
Associated Press/Naharnet/November
18/17/When a panel of U.N. judges hands down a verdict next week in the trial of
former Bosnian Serb military chief Gen. Ratko Mladic, it will mark the end of a
ground-breaking era in international law. Yet a new age of international justice
is already underway, with other temporary courts and tribunals springing up
around the world to prosecute atrocities. Mladic's trial is the last at the
International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia, which was set up in
1993 to prosecute crimes committed in the Balkan wars of the early 1990s. Over
24 years, it has sent dozens of war criminals to jail — from lowly soldiers and
prison camp guards to former Bosnian Serb leader Radovan Karadzic — and it
developed key jurisprudence in prosecuting atrocities. Mladic, who insists he is
innocent, faces a maximum life sentence if convicted Wednesday of crimes
including genocide. What the Yugoslav court hasn't done, however, is stop such
crimes from happening.Allegations of mass murders and persecutions from the past
and present are mounting around the world — from Sri Lanka's bloody civil war to
the carnage in Syria to abuses seen against Rohingya Muslims who fled by the
hundreds of thousands as their towns and villages were torched in Myanmar.
This means the list of locations for future temporary courts is growing ever
longer. Just this week, a report by the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum and the
advocacy group Fortify Rights found there is "mounting evidence" of genocide
against the Rohingya. U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said the U.S. was
deeply concerned by "credible reports" of atrocities committed by Myanmar's
security forces and called for an independent investigation. David Schwendiman,
an American prosecutor investigating allegations of organ trafficking and other
crimes during Kosovo's independence struggle, believes the U.N. tribunal trying
Mladic is unlikely to be exactly replicated in the future because of its size
and cost. Still, he says the age of impunity for mass atrocities is over. "The
international community has decided ... there is going to be criminal
accountability for people in the world for people who ... do the kind of things
that are happening in Myanmar and (are) doing the kinds of things that are
happening in Syria," Schwendiman said. "That's a given now." The court where
Schwendiman aims to bring prosecutions — known as the Kosovo Specialist Chambers
— could be an example of how war crimes cases will be handled in the future.
Based in The Hague and staffed by international judges, the court is part of
Kosovo's legal system set up specifically to preside over trials arising from a
Council of Europe report into organ trafficking allegations and other crimes.
"That could be a model for other ways of dealing with things like Syria, like
Myanmar, like other places where regional institutions might step up and
internationalize a court or a tribunal," he said. The Hague also is home to the
International Criminal Court, but the world's first permanent tribunal for
prosecuting crimes like genocide and crimes against humanity is meant as a last
resort to be used when other institutions are unwilling or unable to step in. It
so far has had only limited success in bringing to justice senior political and
military leaders and is sometimes hamstrung by geopolitical interests beyond its
control.
"I think people now see that the ICC cannot be the answer for everything," said
Alex Whiting, a professor at Harvard Law School. "Both because of capacity and
resources but also because of institutional fit. I think there will be ad hoc
tribunals again. They may be designed differently, a stronger tilt toward hybrid
tribunals."Syria is an example of how the ICC cannot always act even in the face
of overwhelming evidence of atrocities. Russia has vetoed a move to refer crimes
in Syria to the ICC. Now, a U.N. commission of inquiry is gathering evidence
that could be used in some kind of court or tribunal in the future.
"I could see that happening for Syria," Whiting said. "Because some of the big
players are not part of the ICC, they would want a hybrid court. The ICC
couldn't handle all the cases from Syria that are likely to come one day. So for
all those reasons, I think either in Syria or in other places, there are likely
to be new courts that spring up." There are already hybrid courts in existence
or in the pipeline. In a converted gymnasium at the former headquarters of a
Dutch intelligence agency, a mixture of Lebanese and international judges are
presiding over the trial in absentia of suspects in the 2005 truck bomb
assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri.
The same courtroom hosted the trial of Charles Taylor, the one-time president of
Liberia who was convicted in 2012 by a temporary international court of
involvement in crimes in Sierra Leone's bloody civil war and sentenced to 50
years in prison. A court set up by the African Union and Senegal also convicted
former Chad dictator Hissene Habre and sentenced him to life imprisonment for
crimes committed during his presidency from 1982-1990. For the future, a hybrid
court is being established in Central African Republic and there are calls for
something similar in South Sudan and in Sri Lanka, where a U.N. report says
there are strong indications both government soldiers and Tamil Tiger rebels
committed war crimes and crimes against humanity during the conflict that ended
in 2009. Sri Lankan authorities are resisting calls for an international
tribunal. Meanwhile, the eyes of the world will be on the Yugoslav court as
proclaims judgment in Mladic's trial. "It's a beacon of what can be done," said
Whiting, who worked at the court from 2002-2007. "It's a source of inspiration
for all the future efforts."
Leftist Leonard Becomes New Scottish Labor Party
Leader
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November
18/17/Richard Leonard on Saturday became the leader of Britain's Labor party in
Scotland, in a boost for national leader Jeremy Corbyn's left-wing agenda.
Leonard, who was the favourite, said he felt "immense pride" after beating off
the challenge of party health spokesman Anas Sarwar, calling his victory "deeply
humbling". He was backed by the trade unions, and said the result was part of a
"movement for socialism", echoing the leftist message that saw Corbyn pull off a
shock result in June's general election, depriving Prime Minister Theresa May of
her majority.
Leonard laid out an agenda of "progressive taxation", rent controls and wealth
redistribution during his victory speech. The new leader, a former chair of the
Scottish Labor Party, earned 12,469 votes from the party faithful against 9,516
for centrist Sarwar. He replaces Kezia Dugdale, who quit in August, saying that
the party needed a "new leader with fresh energy, drive and a new mandate."
Dugdale, who held the top job for two years, will remain an MP in the Sottish
parliament, and was on Friday confirmed as a contestant on the reality show "I'm
a Celebrity...Get Me Out of Here". She came to power in 2015 after replacing Jim
Murphy, who stepped down after his party lost all but one of their 41 seats to
the pro-independence Scottish National Party (SNP), in the general election. The
party gained six seats back in the recent general election, but is struggling to
replicate the Corbyn's success. Interim leader Alex Rowley was suspended earlier
this week over claims that he had sent abusive text messages to a former
partner.
3 More Found Dead in Deadly Greek Flood, Raising
Total to 19
Associated Press/Naharnet/November
18/17/Greek authorities say three more people have been found dead from a flash
flood that hit a district west of Athens, raising the total death toll to 19.
The fire department says the body of a man was found Saturday on a factory
grounds near the suburb of Mandra, 25 kilometers (16 miles) northwest of the
Greek capital. The body has still not been retrieved because of debris and a
nearby leaking propane tank. The coast guard also announced Saturday that a
patrol ship had found two bodies, both men, in the sea south of Mandra.
It is not yet known whether the bodies belong to the six known missing people
from the flood Wednesday.
EU Cuts Funding to Turkey in 2018 Budget
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 18/17/An EU 2018 budget deal was
announced Saturday that cuts funds destined to Turkey, citing doubts about
Ankara's commitment to democracy and human rights. German Chancellor Angela
Merkel had led calls for a cut to the funds, which are linked to Turkey's
stalled bid to join the bloc, following mass-scale arrests in the country since
the failed July 2016 coup. MEPs and member states have agreed to reduce the
"pre-ascension funds" by 105 million euros ($124 million) and froze an
additional 70 million euros of previously announced spending.In a statement,
lawmakers said "they consider the deteriorating situation in relation to
democracy, rule of law and human rights worrying". Turkey has dismissed more
than 140,000 officials since the coup attempt, and arrested another 50,000,
including opposition politicians, academics, journalists, activists and EU
citizens. The German government has warned its citizens against travelling to
Turkey as they risk "arbitrary" arrest. "We have sent a clear message that the
money that the EU provides cannot come without strings attached," said Romanian
MEP Siegfried Muresan, the lead rapporteur for the budget.
Europe had pledged 4.45 billion euros in pre-accession spending for Turkey from
2014 to 2020, but only 360 million euros has been allocated so far. Ankara's
application to join the EU is effectively frozen, as several European leaders
have criticised the hardline response to the thwarted bid to overthrow President
Recep Tayyip Erdogan last year. Overall, the 2018 budget calls for 160 billion
euros of committed spending for ongoing programmes and 145 billion in payments
expected for the year, increases of 1.3 percent and 7.8 percent from 2017. The
agreement still needs to be formally adopted by the EU Council, representing
member states, and the European Parliament.
Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on
November 18-19/17/
Containing Iran’s influence: The regional players’
wagers on Tel Aviv and Israel’s calculations
Raghida Dergham/Arabnews/November 18/17
Waters will not flow again under the bridges after the return from Riyadh to
Beirut of the outgoing Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri — via Paris then
another Arab capital.
Attempts to pressure him to fall into the orbit of Hezbollah and its ally
President Michel Aoun for having “saved him from Saudi captivity” will not
succeed. Stunts about internationalizing the crisis on the pretext that Hariri
was kidnapped and detained will also fail, because if Lebanon goes to the
Security Council to complain and protest, Beirut will be asked to be serious and
credible and implement international resolutions, instead of pretexting the
sensitivity of Hezbollah’s arms to say that the Lebanese state cannot discharge
its duties.
In other words, the Lebanese government cannot continue both its de facto
allegiance to the Islamic Republic of Iran and then feign neutrality and
self-dissociation in Arab forums, bearing in mind that Hezbollah is fighting on
behalf of Iran’s agenda in a number of Arab countries.
What comes next is a new phase, the guise of legitimacy that Saad Hariri’s
presence in government provided to Hezbollah’s arms and influence now null and
void. Hariri’s resignation means removing the fig leaf from a status quo that
had been rife with contradictions and anomalies. His return to Lebanon will not
automatically secure results for what he terms a “positive shock” that would be
brought about by his resignation.
Indeed, there is no indication that President Aoun is ready to truly observe the
notion of “self-dissociation,” despite having pledged to do so but practically
abandoning it. Nor is Aoun prepared to abandon the mantra of “the people, the
army, and the resistance,” having declared brazenly not long ago that
Hezbollah’s arms were here to stay until the entire crisis of the Middle East
was resolved, in violation of international agreements and resolutions.
The question is whether Israel will continue to observe the historical
truce-like relationship with Iran, or decide that the time is opportune for a
quantum leap in its relationship with the Sunni world and seize the limited
opportunity it now has to destroy Hezbollah’s rockets and military bases.
Many Lebanese were grateful for Aoun’s concern for Hariri and his insistence on
the prestige of his post, his respect for the constitution, and his prudence at
the start of the crisis.
However, Aoun escalated his rhetoric and measures after the visit to Saudi
Arabia last week by Partiarch Beshara Boutros Al-Rahi, head of the Maronite
Church, raising questions about the reasons the president has sought to damage
Lebanon’s relations with the Kingdom and what this could entail in terms of
catastrophic damages to Lebanon. The onus is therefore now on Aoun to prove that
he places Lebanon’s interests above all considerations, and to behave as
president rather than a member of a camp whose priority is Iranian rather than
Lebanese.
In the beginning, it is important to note that the sidelining of Lebanon’s
sovereignty in the Hariri affair has triggered a backlash even from otherwise
loyal Sunni clans in Lebanon, helping to foster an abduction narrative
concerning the prime minister.
It can also be said that forcing the Lebanese to confront Hezbollah through a
terror designation, or even war, is something that faces immense resistance in
Lebanon, even from those who are in favor of reining in Hezbollah’s domination
over Lebanese politics, its intervention in Arab countries, and its subversion
against Saudi Arabia in Yemen. Indeed, the Lebanese are at once powerless,
frightened, and unwilling to again turn their country into a war zone, no matter
what.
The US-Saudi strategy today is to prosecute Hezbollah through several pathways,
contain the tentacles of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards in Yemen, Syria, and
Lebanon, and rein in the Popular Mobilization in Iraq. The policy of the Trump
administration in places appears serious: First, on fighting “radical Islamic
terror” in both its Sunni and Shia iterations, and second on containing Iran’s
regional influence and heading off its attempts to make permanent its footholds
in Syria.
There is talk of possible operations by the international coalition against
Iran-backed forces in Syria, especially Hezbollah. Washington has also made
clear that the Russian settlement proposed for Syria, which distributes spheres
of influence to Iran and its proxies, will not be acceptable and that the US
forces would remain in Syria until further notice.
Thirdly, the Trump administration continues to monitor Turkey’s conduct, not
only because its alliances with Russia are suspicious but also to ensure no
revival of the Muslim Brotherhood project, co-sponsored by Erdogan and former
President Barack Obama, would take place.
Fourthly, Washington converges with Riyadh’s assessment that Iran and
Hezbollah’s continued involvement in Yemen is a threat to Saudi national
security. This has led to agreeing extraordinary levels of cooperation in Yemen,
including military collaboration and stepping up pressure on Europe and Russia
to stop shielding Iran and its allies from accountability for their role in
Yemen.
And fifthly, there is the Palestinian-Israeli dimension, the resolution of which
Trump has made a personal challenge, pledging that history would remember him
for this achievement. And a general examination of developments at this level
indicates that steps are being made toward breakthroughs.
Hezbollah is convinced that Israel will not enter as a party to a war against it
or against Iran. It is betting on thwarting what it believes to be a US-Saudi
bid for Israel to take advantage of the crisis to deal a fatal blow to its
rocket arsenal and missile manufacturing facilities run by Iran in Lebanon, and
against Iran’s emerging military base near Damascus.
The question here is this: Will Israel continue to observe the historical
truce-like relationship with Iran on the basis that its existential enemies are
the Sunni Arabs? Or will it decide that the time is opportune for a quantum leap
in its relationship with the Sunni world, and seize the limited opportunity it
now has to destroy rockets and military bases not far from its borders?
The US factor is decisive in Israel calculations, especially under an unusual
president who has entrusted to his son-in-law Jared Kushner, a pro-Israeli Jew,
the supervision of a Middle East peace deal. With Trump in the White House,
everything is possible and it would be a mistake to discount any possibility.
For this reason, all Lebanese players have an obligation to responsibly,
rationally, prudently, and pragmatically assess the situation and act
accordingly.
The first place where de-escalation can begin is Yemen. The Lebanese president
must safeguard Lebanese higher interests and persuade Hezbollah to withdraw from
Yemen to avoid incurring a price on Lebanon.
Saudi Arabia is not compelled by Lebanese calculations but by those of Saudi
national interests, and it has economic cards, both direct or through the
Lebanese expatriate workforce in the Kingdom, to put pressure on Lebanon and
trigger a collapse despite what economists and bankers there are saying to
reassure the public.
However, Saudi Arabia also has a responsibility to de-escalate in Lebanon,
because punishing all of Lebanon for Hezbollah’s actions in Yemen, Syria,
Bahrain, and Iraq would add Lebanon to the list of failed states, rather than
safeguarding Saudi influence there.
• Raghida Dergham is the Founder and Executive Chairman of Beirut Institute. She
is a Columnist for the Huffington Post and Arab News and served as Columnist,
Senior Diplomatic Correspondent,and New York Bureau Chief for the London-based
Al-Hayat daily for 28 years. She is a member of the Council on Foreign
Relations, and an honorary fellow at the Foreign Policy Association and has
served on the International Media Council of the World Economic Forum.
Twitter: @RaghidaDergham
New Saudi strategy aimed at recruiting concept of change as an ally
Amir Taheri/Al Arabiya/November
18/17
Last week two events injected energy and excitement into what was beginning to
look like an anemic end of the year in the Middle East as far as political
developments are concerned. The first event was the decision by the Saudi
leadership to create a new mechanism to deal with alleged cases of corruption,
embezzlement and influence-peddling. The sheer number of cases referred to a
special court on those charges was enough to capture the headlines. The fact
that the 208 people under investigation included princes, prominent bureaucrats,
and business tycoons intensified the event’s headline-grabbing potential. But
what really attracted world attention was the unexpectedness of the Saudi
move.Few, even among genuine or self-styled experts on Saudi Arabia, expected
Riyadh to go right to the heart of the matter rather than dance around the
issues as had been the norm in the past.
Some observers, including many in Western think-tanks, warned of the danger of
instability inherent in departure from old patterns of behavior. However, the
latest move is in accordance with the kingdom’s new strategy aimed at recruiting
the concept of change as an ally rather than a threat.
Ending stagnation
It is possible to argue that because old methods didn’t produce the desired
results, stability, which had been a key asset of the kingdom for decades, had
morphed into stagnation. Thus, the new strategy is designed to end stagnation
and prepare the path for a new form of stability capable of reflecting changed
social, economic and political circumstances of the kingdom. If Saudi Arabia is
genuine in its declared desire to become an active member of the global system
the first thing it has to do is to offer the rule of law in the sense understood
by most people around the world.
Trying to build an economy beyond oil, Saudi Arabia needs to attract massive
foreign investment in both financial and technological domains. And that won’t
be possible without a strong legal system backed by transparency, competition
and equality of opportunities. And that means putting an end to influence
peddling, fake credit-lines secured by pressuring local banks, the grabbing of
public land, “sweetheart” agency deals, kickbacks, baksheesh and, in short, the
medieval “wasitah” culture. The dramatic round up of “the usual suspects” shows
that the new leadership in Riyadh is ready to cut the Gordian Knot with a hard
blow.
Unravelling the Lebanon deal
As for Lebanon, a similar method has been used. Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s
resignation ends the “grin-and-bear it” tradition in the face of intolerable
situations. Under that method Middle Eastern leaders brush the dirt under fine
carpets including at times that, as was the case with Hariri, they have
responsibility without power. Regardless of how Hariri’s resignation came about,
it has dramatically highlighted the fact that the “deal” made over Lebanon in
October 2016 has failed. Under that “deal”, the Islamic Republic in Tehran,
operating through its Hezbollah network in Beirut, secured the presidency for
Gen. Michel Aoun in exchange for Hariri returning as Prime Minister.
Hariri’s resignation could prove useful by posing a crucial question: Should
Lebanon re-become Lebanon or should it be a glacis for the Islamic Republic of
Iran in its quest for an unattainable regional hegemony? Part of the answer, of
course, depends on the Lebanese themselves. They should decide whether or not
they want to have two governments, one visible the other semi-visible, two
armies, and a master puppeteer laughing at them in Tehran.
Soon, however, it became clear that while Aoun and Hariri respectively played
the roles of President and Prime Minister, real decisions were taken in Tehran.
President Hassan Rouhani made that point clear in a speech in Tehran when he
said that “nothing is done” in a number of Arab states, notably Lebanon, without
Iran’s approval. Hariri’s dramatic departure shows that “this kind of Lebanon”
doesn’t work. The current line-up under which a foreign power controls the
country through one part of one community among all Lebanese communities is
fundamentally flawed and dangerous in the medium and long term.
Lebanon’s raison d’etre, and the principal factor in its survival and partial
success as a state, has been its system of power-sharing based on respect for
diversity.
Whenever one community or a combination of communities tried to exercise
exclusive power the country was plunged into turmoil. In the 1950s the Maronite
community tried a power grab which led to inter-communal conflict and foreign
military intervention. In the following decade a similar bid was made by
pan-Arab elements backed by Nasserist Egypt, again producing conflict and
foreign meddling. The 1975-90 Civil War also had its genesis in foreign
intervention through rival local sectarian proxy groups.
In part of that period, Aoun tried to switch Lebanon to the side of Saddam
Hussein in Iraq while, backed by Iran, Hafez al-Assad threw Syria’s weight
behind the rival camp. Between 1984 and 1990 Aoun wore many hats as Prime
Minister, Defense Minister, Foreign Minister, Information Minister and Military
Junta chief, often all at the same time. When we first met him in Paris in
October 1990 his main message was “saving Lebanon from Syria and Iran.”
Aoun’s analysis would have been appreciated if he had talked of “saving Lebanon
from domination by any foreign power.” There are some nations whose chief
vocation is to be neutral, acting as buffers among rival power blocs.
Switzerland was allowed to form and mature as a safe haven for rival European
powers often at war against one another.
Afghanistan was created as a buffer between the Tsarist, British and Persian
Empires in Asia. In post-colonial Indochina, the kingdom of Laos played that
role until the US sucked it into the Vietnam War as collateral damage. In Latin
America, that role has been assigned to Uruguay and in Central America to Costa
Rica. During the Second World War, neutral Sweden provided a channel of
communication between the United States and Nazi Germany and a safe haven for
people fleeing from the Nazis and the Soviets.
After World War II, by being declared neutral, Austria played a crucial role in
the repatriation and/or transfer of millions of refugees across war-shattered
Europe. Iran has done disservice to region
By turning Lebanon into one of its bunkers, Iran has done a great disservice to
the whole region not to mention the damage done and could still do to Lebanon.
Hariri’s resignation could prove useful by posing a crucial question: Should
Lebanon re-become Lebanon or should it be a glacis for the Islamic Republic in
its quest for an unattainable regional hegemony?
Part of the answer, of course, depends on the Lebanese themselves. They should
decide whether or not they want to have two governments, one visible the other
semi-visible, two armies, and a master puppeteer laughing at them in Tehran.
A Lebanon run from Tehran through Hezbollah gunmen is unlikely to attract the
investment, the trade, tourism and cultural exchanges that it needs to function
as a modern dynamic society. When Iran itself is denied all those things, how
could it provide them for Lebanon? Iranian intervention that contributed to
turning Iraq, Syria and Yemen into battlefields could do the same to Lebanon.
Germany, Austria: Imams Warn Muslims Not to Integrate
Stefan Frank/Gatestone
Institute/November 18/17
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/11371/germany-austria-imams-integration
Translation of the original text: Deutschland und Österreich: Imame warnen
Muslime vor Integration
"While outside the mosque there is constant talk of integration, the opposite is
preached inside. Only in rare instances are parts of the sermon -- or even more
rarely, all of the sermon -- translated into German..." — Constantin Schreiber,
author of Inside Islam: What Is Being Preached in Germany's Mosques.
"Politicians who repeatedly emphasize their intention of cooperating with the
mosques, who invite them to conferences on Islam, have no idea who is preaching
what there." — Necla Kelek, human rights activist and critic of Islam, in the
Allgemeine Zeitung.
In the debate on migrants in Germany and Austria, no other term is used more
often than "integration." But the institution that is most important for many
Muslim migrants does not generally contribute much to this effort — and often
actively fights it: the mosque. That is the finding of an official Austrian
study as well as private research conducted by a German journalist.
In late September, the Austrian Integration Fund (ÖIF), a department of the
foreign ministry published a study, "The role of the mosque in the integration
process". For the purposes of the study, employees of the ÖIF visited 16 mosques
in Vienna, attended several Friday sermons and spoke with the individual imams —
that is, if the imams were willing to have a conversation, which was often not
the case. The result of this, according to the ÖIF, is that only two of the
mosque associations foster the integration of their members. The report applauds
a Bosnian mosque association that also runs a soccer club. During the
discussion, its imam said: "Every country, as with Austria, has its rules and
laws and -- something I always stress -- it is our religious duty to comply with
these standards and to integrate accordingly."
With regard to gender roles, in all of the mosques they visited, the authors
were struck by the almost complete absence of women at Friday prayers:
"Only three of the mosques... provide women with their own space, which is
reserved for them and actually used by them. If they exist at all, most of the
mosques make the women's areas on Fridays available to men, too."
The Islamic Center of Vienna. (Image source: Zairon/Wikimedia Commons)
Separated by Ethnicities
With few exceptions, the Viennese mosques are organized along ethnic lines:
"There are Turkish, Albanian, Bosnian, Arabic, Pakistani and other mosques, in
which sermons are generally held exclusively in the respective national
language. Only in rare instances are parts of the sermon — or even more rarely,
all of the sermon — translated into German."
Thus, the mosque associations are "closed spaces in terms of ethnicity and
language." That difference fosters "social integration into an internal ethnic
environment, and thus ethnic segmentation." In eight of the 16 mosques surveyed,
this trend is further reinforced by "widespread and openly-propagated
nationalism."
One mosque, run by the Turkish Milli Görüs movement, stood out as particularly
radical. Milli Görüs is one of the largest Islamic organizations in Europe and
is closely associated ideologically with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
According to the report, the imam in the Milli Görüs mosque "openly advocates
for the establishment of a politically united Ummah under a caliphate." He
attributes unrest in Islam to fitna ("upheaval") brought into the Islamic
community from the outside. According to the authors of the study, the imam
"sees himself surrounded everywhere by enemies of Islam, who want to prevent the
Islamic community from dominating the world as foretold in prophecies." In all
three sermons that were heard, the definitive issue was the unity of Muslims:
Muslims on one side, the "infidels" on the other. According to the study, some
of the imam's statements indicated a "hardened worldview driven by conspiracy
theory," such as: "Forces situated outside the Ummah have done everything in
their power to undermine Ummah-awareness of the Ummah itself."
The conclusion of the study states:
"In summary, it may be said of the 16 mosque associations surveyed in this
study, that with the exception of mosques D01 [one of the few German-speaking
mosques] and B02 [the aforementioned Bosnian mosque], they do not actively
promote the social integration of their members. At best, they do not prevent it
from happening. For the most part, they have an inhibiting effect on the
integration process."
According to the study, six of the 16 mosque associations examined (37.5%)
pursue "a policy that actively impedes integration into society and to some
extent exhibits fundamentalist tendencies." Half of the 16 mosques examined
"preach a dichotomous worldview, the pivotal tenet of which is the division of
the world into Muslims on one side, and everyone else on the other." Six of the
mosques were found to practice "explicit denigration of Western society."
Admonitions against Life in Germany
Similar observations were made by German journalist Constantin Schreiber who, in
2016, spent more than 8 months attending Friday sermons in German mosques.
Schreiber, fluent in Arabic, is well-known as a moderator of Arabic television
programs, in which he explains life in Germany to immigrants. He published what
he experienced in these mosques in a book that has been a bestseller in Germany
for months: Inside Islam: What Is Being Preached in Germany's Mosques.
Schreiber introduced himself to the mosque associations as a journalist,
disclosing that he intended to write a non-fiction book about mosques in
Germany. Only a few imams were willing to agree to an interview. In one
instance, he was told that speaking to him was "prohibited". In general, the
imams with whom he was allowed to speak, spoke practically no German.
"Apparently it is possible to live in Germany for many years with your wife and
children, and still not even be capable of buying bread in German," Schreiber
writes.
A frequent subject of the sermons Schreiber heard in the mosques consisted of
admonitions against life in Germany.
"Time and again, such as in the Al-Furqan mosque [a Sunni Arab mosque in Berlin]
Muslims seemed committed to the idea that they are some sort of a community with
a shared destiny: 'You are a diaspora! We are a diaspora! ... They [Germans]
resembles a torrent that annihilates you, which obliterates you, and takes away
your values and replaces them with its own values'."
In the Sunni-Turkish Mehmed Zahid Kotku Tekkesi mosque in Berlin, in his Friday
sermon the day before Christmas Eve, the imam warned against the "greatest of
all dangers" – the "Christmas peril": "Anyone who emulates another tribe becomes
one of them. Is New Year's Eve ours? Are Christmas trees part of us? No, they
are not!"
The imam in the Al-Rahman mosque in Magdeburg compared life in Germany to a path
through a beguiling forest, Schreiber continues. Its charms had the power to
entice Muslims to stray from the righteous path, to lose their way in the
"thicket of the forest" until they are "devoured by the wild beasts residing in
the forest."
The State Has No Clear Overview
What caught Schreiber's attention even while planning his visits, was the lack
of transparency surrounding mosques in Germany. To begin with, there is no
official directory of mosques; no one can say with any certainty just how many
mosques there are in Germany. The private website Moscheesuche.de is the only
such registry. "So German authorities," says Schreiber, "rely on lists compiled
by a private individual, who is very obviously characterized by a certain
fundamental ideological attitude." In addition, as the registry depends on
voluntary reporting for its entries, it is doubtful that mosques that wish to
remain undetected would be registered there. Schreiber considers it unlikely
that the list is even close to complete or up-to-date:
"I came across mosques that are entered in the list but have not existed for
some time. Or newly opened mosques that are not recorded anywhere, and neither
the intelligence services nor regional authorities are aware of their
existence."
Moreover, Schreiber's request to the city of Hanover revealed that German
authorities apparently feel inhibited about providing information concerning
mosques in their own city. An employee of the local authority wrote in an email:
"Please, give me more precise information as to your intended use of this list.
We do not want to have these institutions subjected to general suspicion."
Fear and Silence
One surprise was the defensive reaction Schreiber encountered from people whose
professions actually demand candor and cooperation. As Schreiber wanted to make
sure that in translating the sermons he would not mistranslate any of the
statements, he contacted what he says is one of the most prestigious translation
agencies in Germany:
"I was asked to send in one of the transcribed sermons for review, to estimate
the effort and costs. My request was subsequently refused. The text was deemed
to be outside the 'normal field of work' of the translators, with no one
confident enough correctly to translate this 'type of text'."
The search for a translator for the Turkish sermons also proved difficult: "The
mere fact that I was interested in this subject resulted in the immediate
accusation that all I really wanted to do was instigate 'Islam bashing'."
Schreiber was also confronted with a wall of resistance when he looked around
for German scholars of Islam so that he could discuss the contents of the
sermons with them. University professors -- whose salaries are paid by German
taxpayers -- refused to provide information about something that relates to
their own specialty.
"For many months, I directed requests to Islamic studies faculties with whom we
had frequently conducted interviews in our role as editors. One university held
me off for months with the excuse that they were still searching for the right
counterpart. On December 16, three months after my first inquiry, the professor
of Islamic studies wrote me that there was now too little time to schedule a
conversation. When I responded that if need be, I could still offer an
alternative date in early January, I did not receive another answer. Several
other university professors told me to send them the sermons, which I proceeded
to do. Thereafter, I did not receive any more responses, even to follow-up
requests."
According to Schreiber, this effort constituted an "interesting experience", as
otherwise, scholars of Islamic studies and Islam experts "are very obliging in
offering to be interviewed on current political issues." That openness does not
exist, however, when it concerns sermons in German mosques: "Many experts avoid
me after receiving my inquiries, while calls and emails consistently remain
unanswered." One Islamic scholar indirectly advised him to drop the project, as
it could supposedly "widen the gulf." Why? Because, according to this scholar of
Islamic studies, "even liberal and tolerant readers could easily find these
texts to be extremely incomprehensible and strange, as well as 'crude'."
Unsuspecting Politicians
Schreiber's conclusion about the sermons he heard, is:
"After 8 months of research, I have to say that Mosques are political spaces.
The majority of the sermons I attended were aimed at resisting the integration
of Muslims into German society. If the issue of life in Germany was raised, then
it was primarily in a negative context. Frequently, the imams described everyday
life in Germany as a threat and urged their communities to resist. The common
feature of almost all the sermons is their appeal to the faithful to shut
themselves off and to keep to themselves."
In "virtually every mosque", Schreiber noticed "scores of refugees who had not
been living in Germany very long." They too had been warned against adjusting:
"While outside the mosque there is constant talk of integration, the opposite is
preached inside."
The danger of this approach is demonstrated by the murder of Farima S., an
Afghan woman who was murdered in the Bavarian town of Prien. Eight years ago,
she renounced Islam, adopted Christianity and, two years after that, fled to
Germany. On April 29, she was murdered by an Afghan Muslim in broad daylight.
While a number of Muslims living in the town attended the funeral, the mosque
associations pretended that the murder did not concern them. Karl-Friedrich
Wackerbarth, the pastor of the Evangelical parish of Prien, where Farima S. was
a member, asked the associations to condemn the crime. In October, half a year
after the murder, he responded to an inquiry from Gatestone Institute:
"Unfortunately, to this day," he said, "there has been no reaction."
Wackerbarth suspects that the Islamic associations do not want to make a
pronouncement against fatwas by Cairo's Al-Azhar University, and others,
according to which "apostates" [those who renounce Islam] are to be killed.
This situation raises the question as to why the German government hopes that
mosque associations will help them solve problems. Recently, the well-known
human rights activist and critic of Islam, Necla Kelek wrote:
"Politicians who repeatedly emphasize their intention of cooperating with the
mosques, who invite them to conferences on Islam, have no idea who is preaching
what there."
Stefan Frank is a journalist and author based in Germany.
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