LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS
BULLETIN
July 09/17
Compiled &
Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
The
Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/newselias/english.july09.17.htm
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Bible Quotations For Today
I am sending you out
like sheep into the midst of wolves; so be wise as serpents and innocent as
doves
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 10/16-25/:"‘See, I am
sending you out like sheep into the midst of wolves; so be wise as serpents and
innocent as doves. Beware of them, for they will hand you over to councils and
flog you in their synagogues; and you will be dragged before governors and kings
because of me, as a testimony to them and the Gentiles. When they hand you over,
do not worry about how you are to speak or what you are to say; for what you are
to say will be given to you at that time; for it is not you who speak, but the
Spirit of your Father speaking through you. Brother will betray brother to
death, and a father his child, and children will rise against parents and have
them put to death; and you will be hated by all because of my name. But the one
who endures to the end will be saved. When they persecute you in one town, flee
to the next; for truly I tell you, you will not have gone through all the towns
of Israel before the Son of Man comes. ‘A disciple is not above the teacher, nor
a slave above the master; it is enough for the disciple to be like the teacher,
and the slave like the master. If they have called the master of the house
Beelzebul, how much more will they malign those of his household!"
Just as the body is one and has many members, and all the
members of the body, though many, are one body, so it is with Christ.
First Letter to the Corinthians 12/12-13.27-30/:"Just as the body is one and has
many members, and all the members of the body, though many, are one body, so it
is with Christ. For in the one Spirit we were all baptized into one body Jews or
Greeks, slaves or free and we were all made to drink of one Spirit. Now you are
the body of Christ and individually members of it. And God has appointed in the
church first apostles, second prophets, third teachers; then deeds of power,
then gifts of healing, forms of assistance, forms of leadership, various kinds
of tongues. Are all apostles? Are all prophets? Are all teachers? Do all work
miracles? Do all possess gifts of healing? Do all speak in tongues? Do all
interpret?"
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published on July 08-09/17
What Tillerson Didn’t Say Reminds Me of
Obama/Robert Ford/Asharq Al Awsat/July 08/17
Germany: Chechen Sharia Police Terrorize Berlin/Soeren Kern/Gatestone
Institute/July 08/17
Eastern Europe Chooses to Keep Western Civilization/Giulio Meotti/Gatestone
Institute/July 08/17
Question: "Does the Bible prophesy a one-world government and a one-world
currency in the end times/GotQuestions.org/July 08/17
A Killer Goes Free in Cairo/David Schenker/The Washington Institute/July 08/17
Only Saudi Arabia can stop Iran from dominating region/Huda al Husseini/Asharq
Al Awsat/July 08/17
Is it still possible to coexist with the Tehran regime/Eyad Abu Shakra/Asharq Al
Awsat/July 08/17
A Half-Million Syrian Returnees? A Look Behind the Numbers/Fabrice Balanche/The
Washington Institute/July 08/17
Titles For Latest
Lebanese Related News published on
July 08-09/17
Lebanon: Warnings on
Proposal for ‘Voluntary Return’ of Syrian Refugees
Report: Aoun Hasn't Tasked 'Presidential Envoy' to Negotiate Refugees with Syria
Mustaqbal Welcomes Geagea's 'Initiative' to Return Displaced Syrians
Report: Hizbullah Sets 'Zero Hour' to Oust Arsal Militants
Khatib-Lassen Discuss Waste Management
Celebratory Gunfire Shooters Unmoved by Mashnouq's Ban
Ex-Minister Mohammed al-Mashnouq: Three Sons of Ministers Fighting with
Hizbullah in Syria
33 Syrians, including 12 children, detained in the town of Swairi for illegal
entry into Lebanon
Franjieh for unity in face of confessional discourse
Khoury: We can only stay and live in this country by encouraging the industry
Hasbani, Radi finalize health cooperation agreement
Geagea deplores terrorist attack in Sinai
Army raids Syrian refugee camps in Brital
Sarraf highlights importance of unity facing enemy
Titles For Latest
LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
July 08-09/17
G20: Terrorism targets the whole world, has no
religion, says Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia to host G-20 summit in 2020
UK FM: Progress can be made to ease Qatar tensions but not immediately
Qatar-backed Twitter accounts called for Saudi protests, says minister
UAE’s Gargash: Qatar’s response to Arab demands is ‘shockingly naive’
New British-US Efforts to Solve Qatar’s Crisis
Moscow, Paris Agree on ‘Fighting Terrorism’ in Syria
Gulf, Islamic Countries Condemn Qatif Terror Attack
Report: Coalition Killed 603 Civilians in Iraq, Syria
Head of Khan Sheikhoun Chemical Attack Inquiry Appeals for Countries to Back Off
Latest Lebanese
Related News published on
July 08-09/17
Lebanon: Warnings on Proposal for ‘Voluntary Return’ of
Syrian Refugees
Asharq Al-Awsat/July 08/17/Beirut- There have been warnings on a proposal for
the “voluntary return” of Syrian refugees as “Hezbollah” deputy leader Sheikh
Naim Qassem accused the United States and the European Union of seeking to block
the return of the displaced to Syria.
The Lebanese government is divided on whether to coordinate with the Syrian
regime on the return of the refugees, whose numbers, according to the UN refugee
agency (UNHCR), have dropped to 200,000 since 2015. While Prime Minister Saad
Hariri, backed by ministers of the Future Movement, the Lebanese Forces and the
Progressive Socialist Party, have staunchly rejected any contacts with Damascus,
researcher Radwan al-Sayyed warned of an alternative plan on the “voluntary
return” of refugees. Al-Sayyed told Asharq Al-Awsat that General Security chief
Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim “visited Damascus twice this week.”Ibrahim had in the
past acted as an intermediary between the Beirut government and the Syrian
regime, carrying out deals that led to the release of kidnapped Lebanese
pilgrims in Syria’s Azaz and the freeing of Lebanese servicemen taken hostage by
militants in the northeastern border town of Arsal.Hariri insists that the
return of the refugees is the responsibility of the United Nations. But Qassem
stressed on Friday that “the ones preventing the return of Syrian refugees from
Lebanon to Syria are America and the European Union because the return of the
displaced to their country means that the regime of Bashar Assad can run a
state, protect security and receive those (refugees) to live under his
protection.”His statement is considered the first accusation made by “Hezbollah”
to international parties on the alleged obstruction of the return of refugees.
The issue of the refugees’ return heated up in the past week following an
assault last Friday on Lebanese army patrols carrying out raids in two Syrian
refugee encampments on the outskirts of Arsal.
Report: Aoun Hasn't Tasked 'Presidential Envoy' to
Negotiate Refugees with Syria
Naharnet/July 08/17/The presidential palace has denied reports claiming that
President Michel Aoun has tasked a “presidential envoy” to negotiate the return
of displaced Syrians with the Syrian government, Baabda sources told al-Mustaqbal
daily on Saturday. “The President did not task anyone. He is still thoroughly
studying the case to determine the most appropriate solution,” the sources told
the daily on condition of anonymity. Reports said lately there is an inclination
to task General Security chief Maj. Gan. Abbas Ibrahim to “politically
coordinate” with the Syrian government on the refugee file – “not in his
security capacity but rather in his capacity as a presidential
envoy.”Furthermore on Friday, Ibrahim said “he was willing to carry out any
mission entrusted to him by the government.”Political parties are divided over
whether to coordinate the return of the displaced through the United Nations or
through talks with the Syrian government. Hizbullah and the Free Patriotic
Movement said talks with Syria are necessary to solve the crisis of refugees,
while al-Mustaqbal, the Lebanese Forces and other parties see that an attempt to
“refloat” relations with the Syrian regime that has dominated Lebanon for years.
Mustaqbal Welcomes Geagea's 'Initiative' to Return
Displaced Syrians
Naharnet/July 08/17/Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea and al-Mustaqbal
Movement Culture Minister Ghattas Khoury hae discussed the file of Syrian
refugees in Lebanon and the means to secure their return home. LF sources told
the daily that Geagea has briefed Khoury on the details of the “party's
initiative” to help the Lebanese government “take a sovereign decision in
collaboration with the United Nations” about the return of the displaced.
“Geagea's initiative was welcomed by al-Mustaqbal. The two parties have
confronted an attempt calling for coordination between the Lebanese and Syrian
governments (on the return of refugees),” added the sources on condition of
anonymity. Earlier, Mustqabal Movement leader PM Saad Hariri has rejected any
coordination with the Syrian government considering it an attempt to refloat
relations between the two countries. Hariri had earlier called on “allies of the
Syrian regime” to pressure Syria into establishing safe zones for displaced
Syrians in Lebanon to return home.
Report: Hizbullah Sets 'Zero Hour' to Oust Arsal Militants
Naharnet/July 08/17/Political parties close to Hizbullah's decision-makers said
the party has “set the zero hour for a joint military operation, alongside
groups of special units in the Syrian army, against terrorist and extremist
groups in the outskirts of Arsal,” the pan-Arab al-Hayat daily reported on
Saturday. The daily quoted the sources as saying that Hizbullah has taken this
decision in light of “stalled negotiations it had directly sponsored with a
Syrian (mediator) Mohammed Rahmah, aka Abu Taha al-Asali, who brokered with
leaders of al-Nusra Front and Saraya al-Sham, the return of hundreds of
(displaced) Syrians to the town of Assal al-Wared on the Syrian side.”Hizbullah
has therefore “set July 15 for the start of the military operation after Abu
Taha had difficulty convincing Abu Malek al-Talli, the top official of the
jihadist al-Nusra Front group in the border region between Syria and Lebanon, to
leave the outskirts and head to the Syrian side.”According to information,
“al-Talli has set some demands” in return for his group to leave the outskirts
including “securing his transport to Syria's Idlib in addition to a list of
conditions which obstructed Abu Taha's mission.”As for the Islamic State group,
“it is not willing to negotiate,” its evacuation “and insists on keeping its
militants in the outskirts of Arsal because it has no safe place to resort to in
Syria,” the daily quoted the unnamed sources. They added that “Abu Taha did not
lose hope of reaching tangible results that would accelerate the movement of
more displaced people to the villages of Qalamoun. Hizbullah needs to make it
succeed in order to pass a message to the international community that it is not
a partner in the sectarian sorting which is still happening in a number of
Syrian areas through the displacement of the Sunni population.”But, the sources
added that “the suspension of negotiations until further notice has prompted
Hizbullah to set the zero hour to launch its attack to clean the outskirts of
terrorist and extremist groups, taking advantage of the army's latest security
sweep in two refugees encampments in Arsal that resulted in foiling suicide
bombings against Lebanese regions.”The sources did not rule out the possibility
that through its operation in the outskirts, Hizbullah has “a goal of sending a
political message to Moscow and Washington that any understanding between them
must involve Iran because of its impact on thousands of fighters from outside
Syria who came to defend the regime with military and material support from
Tehran.”
Khatib-Lassen Discuss Waste Management
Naharnet/July 08/17/Minister of Environment Tarek al-Khatib met with Ambassador
Christina Lassen, Head of the Delegation of the European Union to Lebanon where
talks focused on the waste management strategy and the need to protect Lebanon's
global resources, including the Mediterranean sea, a press release said. They
also focused on waste to energy plans and upcoming initiatives to address the
waste crisis. Ambassador Lassen raised concerns about operations in the two
landfills of Costa Brava and Bourj Hammoud. Khatib assured her that the
government is currently working intensively to address remaining problems.
Ambassador Lassen said that the European Union is ready to support
municipalities and operational initiatives, as well as the private sector and
the civil society organizations in the preparation of long-term responses to the
waste crisis. She added that addressing the solid waste crisis and channeling EU
support need efficient, transparent and accountable responses at public and
private sector levels. Since 2004, the EU has been financing the construction of
16 solid waste treatment facilities and the supply of equipment (e.g.
containers, trucks, sterilization centers) outside Beirut and Mount Lebanon, for
a total of more than EUR 77 million.
Celebratory Gunfire Shooters Unmoved by Mashnouq's Ban
Naharnet/July 08/17/Heavy celebratory gunfire was heard in several Lebanese
areas on Saturday after the announcement of Grade 12 official exams results,
although Interior Minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq had urged people to restrain from
firing and encouraged citizens to take to the streets and “revolt.” VDL (93.3)
said gunfire was heard in the southern Palestinian Refugee Camp of Ain el-Hilweh
in Sidon, in Baalbek, in the northern neighborhood of al-Beddawi in Tripoli, in
Bebnine and Akkar. The announcement of official exams in Lebanon, wedding
ceremonies and funerals are events often celebrated with gunfire. Late in June,
people also celebrated the results of the Brevet official exams. A stray bullet
has claimed the life of an elderly man in Baalbek. Before the Brevet results,
Mashnouq banned celebratory gunfire and urged people to report any violation of
the ban. Around 90 people were arrested after that, but at least 70 were
released under political pressures. Early this week, Mashnouq had called on
people to “revolt” if celebratory gunfire
occurs during the Grade 12 results.
Ex-Minister Mohammed al-Mashnouq: Three Sons of Ministers
Fighting with Hizbullah in Syria
Naharnet/July 08/17/Former Environment Mohammed al-Mashnouq revealed on Friday
that three sons of Lebanese ministers in the government are fighting alongside
Hizbullah's ranks in the Syrian war. Mashnouq said he had a conversation with
someone whose identity was not disclosed, he said he asked him “how can Lebanon
dissociate itself from the war in Syria while three sons of Lebanese ministers
are fighting with Hizbullah in Syria?” Mashnouq's remarks came in a tweet.
Hizbullah and others from Iran, Iraq, Pakistan and Afghanistan, are battling
alongside regime forces in Syria to defend the government of President Bashar
al-Assad.
33 Syrians, including 12 children, detained in the town of
Swairi for illegal entry into Lebanon
Sat 08 Jul 2017/NNA - "Within the framework of combating the smuggling of people
from Syria into Lebanon, the Internal Security Forces detained Saturday 33
Syrians, including 12 children under five years of age, in the town of al-Swairi
in the Bekaa region for entering the Lebanese territories illegally, ISF
Information Department indicated.
Franjieh for unity in face of confessional discourse
Sat 08 Jul 2017/NNA - Maradah Movement Head, MP Sleiman Franjieh, recalled
Saturday before a delegation of supporters from the town of al-Fouar in Zgharta
that "we have always been the model of living together in the worst
circumstances," highlighting the importance of unity in confronting sectarian
campaigns and confessional discourse. "We have always been the first to face
divisions in North Lebanon, and we have inherited patriotism despite paying
dearly for it, yet the country deserves it," Franjieh added. "We wish, above
all, to distance our territories from any conflicts or disputes," he asserted.
Franjieh called on his supporters never to fear "those who have constitutive
positions even if their opinions differ," while warning against "those with
inconsistencies who never hesitate to change speech at the people's expense."
Khoury: We can only stay and live in this country by
encouraging the industry
Sat 08 Jul 2017/NNA - Economy and Industry Minister Raed Khoury deemed Saturday
that living in Lebanon can only be sustained by encouraging its industry. "The
time has come for the State to think about how it can encourage investors
because there are many who need help," said Khoury, speaking during his Middle
Bekaa tour this morning that included the areas of Ferzol and Zahle. He
considered that the Lebanese government could initiate an economic plan which
can prove helpful, setting the framework for State initiatives, such as as
supporting investors and giving them flexible loans and tax exemptions, in
addition to the opening of new markets. "It is high time that we looked to our
economy which can only be improved via economic-political consensus," he added,
emphasizing President Michel Aoun's determination to launch great initiatives
within the economic sector. "The goal is to develop an integrated economic plan
that starts from the farmers, far-reaching the industrialists who take their
products from the farmers, and this is the role that should be played by the
Ministry of Economy, namely to bring together all ministries concerned to work
hand-in-hand," Khoury asserted.
Hasbani, Radi finalize health cooperation agreement
Sat 08 Jul 2017/NNA - Public Health Minister Ghassan Hasbani and his Egyptian
Counterpart, Ahmad Imad-Eldine Radi, decided Saturday on the final cooperation
agreement between their ministries in the health and medicine fields. In this
context, both Ministers agreed on a series of practical steps towards
implementing this cooperation, which includes a visit by the Lebanese delegation
to Egypt in the near future to sign said agreement. It is to note that this
bilateral agreement would allow the Lebanese pharmaceutical industry promising
opportunities to enter the largest African drug market and to exchange expertise
in this field, in addition to several other health sectors.
Geagea deplores terrorist attack in Sinai
Sat 08 Jul 2017/NNA - Lebanese Forces Party Chief, Samir Geagea, condemened
Friday's terrorist attack in Sinai, Egypt, which killed and injured a total of
26 Egyptian soldiers. In a statement issued on Saturday, Geagea offered his
condolences to the Egyptian people, President Abdel-Fattah Sissi and the
Egyptian army. He also praised the "swift action" carried out by the Egyptian
Forces by killing 40 terrorists in wake of the attack. "We renew our call to
Arab states to stand in solidarity and unity to eradicate these terrorist
phenomena and the Takfiri ideology," the statement concluded.
Army raids Syrian refugee camps in Brital
Sat 08 Jul 2017/NNA - A Lebanese Army unit raided at dawn camps for Syrian
refugees in Brital and arrested 50 Syrians for failing to provide legal
residency documents, National News Agency (NNA) correpsondent said on Saturday.
Moreover, the army unit also confiscated 20 motorbikes and vehicles during said
raids, NNA reporter concluded.
Sarraf highlights importance of unity facing enemy
Fri 07 Jul 2017/NNA - Minister of National Defense, Yaacoub Sarraf, on Friday
highlighted the importance of unity among citizens as well as among the
military, in the face of the enemy. "When the enemy sees that we are divided
parties, it will seek to drag us into war; but if we are one hand just as we are
today in the army, we prevent hardships," the Minister said during a meeting
organized by Labora at Balamand University in Baino, Akkar. Sarraf also called
for providing support and orientation for the army, not just weapons.
Latest LCCC Bulletin For
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
July 08-09/17
G20: Terrorism targets the whole world, has no religion,
says Saudi Arabia
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 8 July 2017/The Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia reaffirmed before the G20 summit in Hamburg, Germany, on Friday that
terrorism has no religion, for it is a crime that targets the entire world,
according to Saudi Press Agency (SPA). Indeed, it does not differentiate between
religions and ethnic groups, and Saudi Arabia condemns terrorism in all forms
and manifestations, in a constant and unequivocal condemnation, wherever and by
whomsoever committed, as one of the most serious threats to world peace and
security. The Kingdom stressed that combating terrorism and extremism and
promoting the values of moderation is an international responsibility that
requires effective cooperation and coordination among countries. The Kingdom
stressed the need to combat and prevent all sources and means of funding
terrorism, expressing the will to work with all partners to combat the use of
Internet and social media for terrorist or criminal purposes, including their
use in recruitment and propaganda.
Opening session
This was unfolded in the intervention of Saudi Arabia during the opening session
of the G20 leaders’ summit here, in the north of the Federal Republic of Germany
under the title “Towards Building a Continuing World”, which will last for two
days. The Kingdom’s delegation was headed by the Minister of State and Member of
the Cabinet Dr. Ibrahim bin Abdulaziz Al-Assaf. During the intervention, Dr.
Assaf stressed the importance of working to ensure that the international
financial system is not exploited by terrorists, corrupt and drug traffickers,
calling for effective implementation of financial procedures to combat money
laundering. He also stressed the importance of development and job creation for
young people as the best way to maximize their contribution and keep them away
from the ideas of extremism and terrorism. “Unfortunately, Saudi Arabia has been
the target of terrorist organizations and countries that support terrorism for
more than 20 years and have been threatened by direct, indirect and
multiple-source terrorism. The last of these has been the death of two security
officers and the injury of more than a dozen of their colleagues in the last 48
hours in the eastern region of our country, he said.
At the forefront . He stressed that the Kingdom is at the forefront of the
warring countries in all its forms and manifestations and is working closely and
coordinated with the international community to combat terrorism and to pursue
the terrorists and their organizations to drain sources of funding and fight
extremism, including military measures. The Kingdom affirms before the G20:
Terrorism has no religion, a crime that targets the world as a first and
foremost. Dr. Al-Assaf said that the Kingdom has adopted a comprehensive
strategy to eradicate terrorism and extremism, and has enacted regulations that
criminalize funding or/and incite terrorism, criminalize travel to areas of
conflict and adopt strict control over operations and remittances. The Kingdom
of Saudi Arabia, as part of these efforts, participated actively in the
international coalition to fight against the US-led ISIS, he pointed out, adding
that it also formed the Islamic Alliance for Combating Terrorism. It
participated in the joint presidency to prevent funding and imposed sanctions on
individuals and organizations that finance terrorism identified by the Security
Council, as well as joint lists with the US Treasury, he stated and exchanged
information with states and organizations, noting that such cooperation had been
highly appreciated by so many countries. “To promote the values of moderation
and fight extremist ideology, the Kingdom has launched the Global Center for the
Fight against Extremist Thought with the participation of US President Donald
Trump and the leaders of countries participating in the Arab-American-Islamic
Summit, recently held, in Riyadh.
Saudi Arabia to host G-20 summit in 2020
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 8 July 2017/German Chancellor Angela
Merkel announced that Saudi Arabia is set to host the G-20 summit in 2020,
reported Al Arabiya on Saturday. The choice comes after a strong vote from the
world’s leading nations who put their trust in Saudi Arabia, with its
distinctive place among the world’s top 20 economies. Saudi Arabia stood out as
the least of the G20 countries in terms of ratio of debt to GDP. By the end of
last year, it reached 13.1 percent of Saudi GDP, followed by Russia with 17
percent and Indonesia with 27.9 percent.
UK FM: Progress can be made to ease Qatar tensions but not immediately
Reuters Saturday, 8 July 2017/British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson said on
Saturday progress could be made to heal a rift between Qatar and other Arab
states, although a solution was unlikely to be found immediately. Saudi Arabia,
the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, and Bahrain have cut diplomatic and transport
ties with Qatar over accusations it was financing terrorism, claims which Doha
says are “baseless”. “My impression is progress can be made and there is a way
forward,” Johnson said in a televised interview released to media after meeting
senior government figures in Kuwait which is attempting to mediate between the
two sides. “But I’m not going to pretend to you now that it is necessarily
overnight or this is going to be done in the next couple of days,” he said.
Johnson, who held meetings on Friday with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman
and the crown prince of Abu Dhabi, Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, is due
to travel to Qatar later on Saturday for meetings with its emir and prime
minister.
Qatar-backed Twitter accounts called for Saudi protests,
says minister
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 8 July 2017/Saudi Arabia’s Minister
of Culture and Information, Dr. Awwad al-Awwad, said that Qatar runs 23,000 fake
Twitter accounts that have attacked Saudi Arabia, including an account run by
Saudi dissident Saad al-Faqih who resides in London. Awwad explained that Qatar
has supported accounts calling for demonstrations in Saudi Arabia on April 21
and on June 2, during the holy month of Ramadan, “and luckily, these plots
failed.”Awwad said that the Qatar-backed accounts on Twitter aimed to incite the
Saudi public. “This is a national security issue that will not be tolerated,” he
said. His statements, posted on a Ministry of Culture and Information official
Twitter account came after a content analysis undertaken on a number of accounts
that attacked Saudi Arabia. The findings were revealed by Saud al-Qahtani,
Advisor of the Saudi Royal court and the General Supervisor of the Center for
Studies and Information Affairs. According to the study, the sources of these
accounts attacking Saudi Arabia were as follows: 32% from Qatar, 28% from
Lebanon, 24% from Turkey and 12% from Iraq. The study also confirmed that 94% of
the false accounts do not use a real profile picture, 4% of them use stolen
images from social media sites and 2% were not verified.
UAE’s Gargash: Qatar’s response to Arab demands is
‘shockingly naive’
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 8 July 2017/UAE Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs, Dr. Anwar Gargash, said on Friday that the Qatari response to
the list of demands of the four boycotting countries was “irresponsible.”The
response was “shockingly naive, with weak arguments,” Gargash said in series of
tweets. Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, and Bahrain have cut
diplomatic and transport ties with Qatar, which they accuse of supporting
terrorism and allying with regional foe Iran. Foreign ministers from the four
Arab states leading the boycott of Qatar expressed disappointment on Wednesday
with the tiny Gulf nation’s “negative” response to a list of 13 demands.The
minister said that Qatar’s response “has undermined the Kuwaiti mediation before
it even took off.” He added that “no diplomatic efforts will succeed if Doha
does not act reasonably.”The UAE minister stressed that “hiding behind the words
of sovereignty and denial will only extend the Qatar crisis.”In his first tweet,
Gargash wrote: “Those who followed Qatar’s response to the demands were shocked
by Qatar’s denials and how it dealt carelessly with genuine concerns over the
evils that have undermined security and stability and led to a real crisis.”He
added in a second tweet: “The Qatari response lacks responsibility and
objectivity and undermined Kuwaiti mediation efforts before they even took off.
Its lack of seriousness came in line with the leaking of the list of demands in
a boastful way.”He continued: “The Qatari response to the demands did not
respect the reader’s considerations and knowledge. It was shockingly naive with
weak arguments. The best thing that the Cairo meeting has done, was to ignore
the Qatari response.”Gargash added: “The Qatari response attempted to neglect
two decades of supporting chaos, financing extremism and inciting terrorism; how
can we forget conspiracy and painful facts, and believe empty words?”He said
that “any diplomatic effort or mediation will need rationality, maturity and
common sense from Doha; hiding behind the vocabulary of sovereignty and denial
will only prolong the crisis.”
New British-US Efforts to Solve Qatar’s Crisis
Asharq Al-Awsat/July 08/17/Riyadh- A few hours after the countries calling for
combating terrorism accused Qatar of thwarting Kuwait’s efforts to solve the
worsening crisis between the four states and Doha, the United States and Britain
began new efforts to urge all parties to support Kuwaiti mediation efforts.
Qatar reiterated its rejection on Friday to the accusations of the four
countries of supporting and financing terrorism and said they are
“baseless.”London and Washington have replaced phone conversations with
face-to-face meetings with representatives of the four anti-terrorism countries
(Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain and Egypt) and participated with them in promoting
Kuwait’s endeavors. British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson arrived Friday in
Jeddah to discuss a solution to the crisis, maintaining the unity of Gulf states
and facing common threats, represented in extremism and terrorism.
Meanwhile, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson is heading to Kuwait on Monday
following an invitation by Emir Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmad al-Sabah to discuss the
issue. Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt and Bahrain have earlier accused the Qatari
government of supporting and harboring terrorism and decided to cut diplomatic
relations with it. The four countries later submitted 13 demands to be
implemented as a condition for the return of relations, yet Doha’s response was
negative. In a joint statement on Thursday, the four countries said that Doha’s
refusal to accept their demands to end the diplomatic standoff was proof of its
links to terrorist groups. In their statement, the four said the initial list of
demands was now void and they pledged further political, economic and legal
steps against the emirate. Johnson will talk with Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed,
Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi and Deputy Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces, and
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, as well as representatives from Qatar
and Kuwait at a currently undisclosed date. “The Foreign Secretary will urge all
parties to get behind Kuwait’s mediation efforts, which the UK strongly
supports, and work towards deescalation and Gulf unity for the sake of regional
stability,” the British foreign office said in a statement. “He will also
discuss a range of security and bilateral issues with a particular focus on
working together to address the common threats of extremism, radicalization and
terrorism.”In a common matter, a US state department spokeswoman said Washington
was growing “increasingly concerned that the dispute is at an impasse” and could
drag on for months.Underscoring US concerns about a crisis involving key allies
in the Middle East, the department said Tillerson plans to visit Kuwait, which
is mediating in the dispute, on Monday and will meet a number of senior Kuwaiti
officials to discuss current efforts to solve the crisis.
Moscow, Paris Agree on ‘Fighting Terrorism’ in Syria
Asharq Al-Awsat/July 08/17/London, Paris- France and Russia agreed on Thursday
that fighting terrorism in Syria was their common objective, but pointedly
avoided airing their differences over the sensitive issue of chemical weapons.
France appears to be broadly aligning its foreign policy with the US priorities
of tackling terrorism while seeking better ties with Russia and avoiding a
head-on clash with Moscow over Syria. French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian,
who held six hours of talks primarily on Syria with Russian officials in Moscow
two weeks ago, continued his push for closer co-operation, when he met his
Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov again in Paris on Thursday. With the two
countries previously publicly at odds over the issue of chemical weapons, Le
Drian now hopes to convince Russia to enforce a 2013 Security Council resolution
to prevent their use in Syria. He also wants to win concessions from Russia to
improve the humanitarian situation in a country where hundreds of thousands are
besieged and millions displaced after six years of civil war. Le Drian has not
said what incentives Paris could offer Russia in return beyond closer security
cooperation. “Terrorism is our number one enemy and to fight it we have to put
everything else aside,” Lavrov, whose country supports the Syrian regime of
Bashar al-Assad, said in a joint statement. Le Drian echoed those comments
saying terrorism was their common enemy. Standing alongside Lavrov, he said that
France, which has backed opposition groups fighting Assad, had set a red line on
the use of chemical weapons in the country. He shied away from criticising
Russia. “We are both opposed to the use of chemical weapons and what’s at stake
is to be able to dismantle the regime’s chemical weapons’ stocks,” Le Drian
said, refusing to take questions from reporters.
Lavrov himself made no mention of chemical weapons. French intelligence agencies
have accused Assad’s regime of carrying out a chemical weapons attack in Khan
Sheikhoun in April, something that both Syrian and Russian officials have
dismissed. Paris said on Friday that findings by a fact-finding mission of the
Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) that showed sarin or
a sarin-like substance had been used proved this.
Gulf, Islamic Countries Condemn Qatif Terror Attack
Asharq Al-Awsat/July 08/17/Jeddah– Gulf States and Islamic organizations
strongly condemned a terrorist attack on Thursday against a security patrol in
Qatif, eastern Saudi Arabia, which led to the killing of one policeman and the
injury of others. Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman bin Abdulaziz
received a cable of condolences from Kuwaiti Emir Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmad al-Jaber
Al Sabah, who expressed his country’s strong condemnation of the terrorist
attack that targeted a security patrol with an explosive projectile in Al-Musawara
district in Qatif municipality. The Kuwaiti emir reiterated his support to Saudi
Arabia in facing terrorist threats on its territories. King Salman also received
cables of condolences from Kuwait’s Crown Prince Sheikh Nawaf al-Ahmad al-Jaber
Al Sabah, and Prime Minister Sheikh Jaber Mubarak al-Hamad Al Sabah. They both
expressed their sincere condolences to the leadership and people of Saudi
Arabia. Sources in the Kuwaiti interior ministry underlined the need to unify
efforts to face this “dangerous phenomenon that is targeting humanity and world
security”, while stressing Kuwait’s firm stance against violence and terrorism
and its support to all measures taken by the Kingdom to preserve its
stability.The Bahraini foreign ministry strongly condemned the attack,
underlining its stance with Saudi Arabia in all actions and measures taken to
maintain its security and calling for concerted international efforts at all
levels to eradicate terrorism in all its forms. The UAE ministry of foreign
affairs and international cooperation strongly condemned the terror attack. The
ministry highlighted the importance of international solidarity in confronting
this phenomenon that threatens international security. The secretary general of
the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), Yousef bin Ahmed Al-Othaimeen,
strongly denounced “such repeated terrorist acts that target security personnel
in their duty to preserve public security and order”. On Thursday, the Saudi
Interior Ministry said that a security officer was killed in a terrorist attack
in Al-Musawara. Maj. Gen. Mansour Al-Turki, security spokesman at the Ministry
of Interior, said that Vice Sergeant Adel Falih al-Otaibi was part of a security
patrol, which was hit by an explosive projectile at around 7 am. He added that
three other security officers were injured in the attack.
Report: Coalition Killed 603 Civilians in Iraq, Syria
Asharq Al-Awsat/July 08/17/London, Washington- At least 600 civilians have been
killed in strikes in Iraq and Syria by the US-led coalition fighting ISIS since
the campaign began in 2014, according to a report released by the coalition on
Friday. The estimate in the monthly report, which said coalition strikes had
unintentionally killed at least 603 civilians between August 2014 and May 2017,
was far lower than figures provided by monitoring groups. The monitoring group
Airwars says a total of at least 4,354 civilians have been killed by coalition
air strikes. The latest coalition report included an incident on April 17 near
the Syrian town of Abu Kamal, in which it said 25 civilians were killed and 40
were wounded during a strike against an ISIS headquarters that caused a
secondary explosion in the adjacent building. Since the start of the campaign
against ISIS militants, the coalition has carried out nearly 22,000 strikes and
has received 727 reports of potential civilian casualties, the report said. The
coalition, battling to defeat ISIS militants in Iraq and Syria, says it goes to
great lengths to avoid civilian casualties. Ahead of a final assault on Raqqa
city in Syria, the UN human rights office raised concerns about increasing
reports of civilian deaths in the area. In a May report, it said there had
already been “massive civilian casualties.” In Mosul, the Iraqi military has
forecast final victory this week in what used to be the de facto capital in Iraq
of ISIS’ self-declared “caliphate,” after an eight-month, US-backed offensive to
wrest back the city. Mosul’s pre-war population was 2 million.
Head of Khan Sheikhoun Chemical Attack Inquiry Appeals for Countries to Back Off
Asharq Al-Awsat/July 08/17/London- An international inquiry aims to report by
October on who was to blame for a deadly sarin gas attack in Syria’s Khan
Sheikhoun in April, the head of the probe has said, as he appealed for countries
to back off and stop telling investigators how to do their work. While Edmond
Mulet, head of the joint United Nations and Organization for the Prohibition of
Chemical Weapons (OPCW) inquiry, did not name any countries, diplomats said
Russia regularly pressured the investigators.“We do receive, unfortunately,
direct and indirect messages all the time, from many sides, telling us how to do
our work,” Mulet told reporters after briefing the UN Security Council on
Thursday. “Some of those messages are very clearly saying if we don’t do our
work according to them … they will not accept the conclusions,” he said. “I
appeal to all … let us perform our work in an impartial, independent and
professional manner,” he said, adding the results would be presented in October.
Syrian-ally Russia has publicly questioned the work of the inquiry, which was
created by the Security Council in 2015, and said the findings cannot be used to
take UN action and that the Syrian regime should investigate the accusations.
The inquiry has so far blamed Syrian regime forces for three chlorine gas
attacks in 2014 and 2015 and ISIS militants used mustard gas in 2015. In
response to those findings Western powers tried to impose UN sanctions on Syria
in February but this effort was blocked by Russia and China.The Syrian regime
has repeatedly denied using chemical weapons. Investigators are currently
looking at two cases – the exposure of two Syrian women to sulfur mustard in an
apparent attack in Um Hosh, Aleppo last September and a deadly April 4 sarin
attack in Khan Sheikhoun that prompted the United States to launch missile
strikes on a Syrian air base. In both cases an OPCW fact finding mission has
already determined that chemical weapons were used. Western governments have
blamed the Syrian regime for the Khan Sheikhoun attack, which killed dozens of
people. Syria has denied any involvement. Syria agreed to destroy its chemical
weapons in 2013 under a deal brokered by Russia and the United States.
Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on
July 08-09/17
What Tillerson Didn’t Say Reminds Me of Obama
Robert Ford/Asharq Al Awsat/July 08/17
The July 5 statement from American Secretary of State Tillerson about Syria was
the most detailed statement of the Trump administration’s goals in Syria. The
Trump administration is often hard to understand, but this July 5 statement
follows a cabinet-level meeting at the White House about Syria on June 30 so it
should reflect consensus between the State Department, the National Security
Council and the Defense Department. Tillerson mentioned ISIS nine times and
emphasized that the American effort in Syria is against ISIS. The implicit
meaning is clear: Tillerson called the Syrian government a “regime” but
Washington is fighting neither Assad nor Iran in Syria. Indeed, Tillerson urged
the Syrian opposition to focus efforts against ISIS, not against Assad. Here
Tillerson’s policy reminds me of the Obama administration which insisted in 2014
that the American military would train and equip only Syrian opposition fighters
against ISIS who pledged not to use their training and weapons against Assad.
Few Syrian fighters accepted the American demand, and the 2014 effort ended in a
major embarrassment. In 2017, however, the Free Syrian Army is exhausted by
attrition and endless, useless internal battles. More Syrian opposition fighters
in the end may accept the American demand to fight ISIS only. Indeed, some now
are joining the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) to fight ISIS.
The American viewpoint is that two elements are vital to destroying ISIS. First,
ISIS’ remaining territories must be captured. Second, there must be stability in
Syria; without stability ISIS could, he warned, rise again. After six years of
fighting in Syria it is hard to imagine stability, so what is Tillerson thinking
about?
We can see some specific points that Washington sees as key to stability. First,
Tillerson’s statement mentioned Russia eight times and emphasized that Russia
has special responsibilities in Syria. Tillerson said Russia must prevent any
Syrian faction from “illegitimately” recapturing territory liberated from ISIS
or other terrorist groups’ control. This is the most peculiar part of the
Tillerson statement. He apparently is demanding Russia preventing more attacks
by Syrian government forces against the American-supported SDF, dominated by the
Syrian Kurdish PYD party and its YPG militia, that are attacking Raqqah now and
may even try to take parts of Deir az-Zour province in far eastern Syria.
The Americans shot down on June 18 a Syrian air force fighter that was attacking
the SDF near Raqqah; three times the Americans have bombed Syrian and
Iranian-backed militias approaching Syrian Arab opposition forces in
southeastern Syria. However, the Syrian government, even if it is repugnant, is
acknowledged by the United Nations to be the legitimate government in Syria and
so its retaking any territory inside Syria would be legitimate in terms of
international law.
Tillerson listed other elements of stability. Washington, he said, would discuss
with Russia establishing no-fly zones, de-confliction areas, deployment of
ceasefire observers and faster delivery of humanitarian aid. This will please
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. The Russians after the last round of
Astana talks had announced four “de-escalation” zones, and so the American
vision of stability in Syria is clearer: in the short term, Syria is de facto
partitioned into at least four zones: first, a Syrian government zone that
includes the major cities in western Syria; second, a zone in northeastern Syria
dominated by the Syrian Kurdish PYD that includes Raqqah; third, Idlib in
northwestern Syria where perhaps Russian and Turkish soldiers will deploy, and
finally, a small zone in southwestern Syria near the Golan Heights and the
Jordanian border.
Tillerson didn’t mention Syria’s reconstruction. Instead, he said that Russia
had a responsibility to ensure that the “special needs of the Syria people are
met.” Tillerson’s implicit message is simple: don’t ask the Americans to help
with reconstruction. This message will not please Lavrov, but it fits closely
with candidate Donald Trump’s insistence during the presidential campaign last
year that the United States should stop trying to fix foreign countries.
Tillerson only briefly mentioned Syria in the long term. He said there should be
a political process to achieve a settlement to design Syria’s future. He didn’t
say Assad must step aside. He didn’t say foreign militias must depart Syria. He
didn’t even mention the word Geneva. Instead, he said Russia – not America – has
a special responsibility to help with the political process, whatever it will
be.
There are two big issues Tillerson left out of his statement. First, he avoided
the word “Iran”, as if Iran has no forces there and will not influence
stability. It is possible the June 30 meeting at the White House didn’t reach a
final conclusion about what to say about Iran in Syria. Second, Tillerson listed
many things for Russia to do but he avoided giving a list of what the United
States would do except for fighting ISIS and beginning discussions with Russia
about de-escalation, humanitarian aid and no-fly zones. Am I being too cynical
to say that also reminds me of the Obama administration?
*Robert Ford is the former US Ambassador to Syria
Germany: Chechen Sharia Police Terrorize Berlin
Soeren Kern/Gatestone Institute/July 08/17
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/10632/germany-chechens
Threats of violence against "errant" women are viewed as "acts of patriotism."
"They have come to Germany because they wanted to live in Germany, but they keep
trying to turn it into Chechnya with its medieval ways." — Social worker
interviewed by Meduza.
"Everyone's attention is fixed on the Syrians, but the Chechens are the most
dangerous group. We are not paying sufficient attention to this." — Police in
Frankfurt (Oder).
A hundred Islamists are now openly enforcing Sharia law on the streets of
Berlin, according to local police who are investigating a recent string of
violent assaults in the German capital.
The self-appointed morality police involve Salafists from Chechnya, a
predominantly Sunni Muslim region in Russia. The vigilantes are using threats of
violence to discourage Chechen migrants from integrating into German society;
they are also promoting the establishment of a parallel Islamic legal system in
Germany. German authorities appear unable to stop them.
The Sharia patrol came to public light in May 2017, when Chechen Salafists
released a video warning other Chechens in Germany that those who fail to comply
with Islamic law and adat, a traditional Chechen code of behavior, will be
killed. The video's existence was reported by Meduza, a Russian-language
independent media organization based in Latvia. The video, which circulated
through WhatsApp, an online messaging service, showed a hooded man aiming a
pistol at the camera. Speaking in Chechen, he declared:
Muslim brothers and sisters. Here, in Europe, certain Chechen women and men who
look like women do unspeakable things. You know it; I know it; everybody knows
it. This is why we hereby declare: For now, there are about 80 of us. More
people are willing to join. Those who have lost their national identity, who
flirt with men of other ethnic groups and marry them, Chechen women who have
chosen the wrong path and those creatures who call themselves Chechen men —
given half a chance, we will set all of them straight. Having sworn on the
Koran, we go out onto the streets. This is our declaration of intent; do not say
that you were not warned; do not say that you did not know. May Allah grant us
peace and set our feet on the path towards justice."
According to Meduza, the declaration was read by a representative of a
Berlin-based gang of about one hundred members, headed by former henchmen of
Dzhokhar Dudayev, the late Chechen separatist leader. All Berliners of Chechen
origin who were interviewed by Meduza said they were aware of the gang's
existence.
The video surfaced after nude images of a 20-year-old Chechen woman who lives in
Berlin were sent en masse from her stolen cellphone to every person on her
contact list. Within an hour, the woman's uncle demanded to speak with her
parents. According to Meduza, they agreed to "resolve the issue" within the
family by sending the woman back to Chechnya, where she would be killed to
restore the family's honor. German police intervened just hours before the woman
was to board a plane bound for Russia.
After the woman was placed in protective police custody, her circumstance went
from being a family issue to a communal one. According to Meduza, it is now the
duty of any Chechen man, regardless of his ties to her or her family, to find
and punish her. "It is none of their business, but it is an unwritten code of
conduct," said the woman, who has since cut her hair and now wears colored
contact lenses in an effort to hide her identity. She said that she intends to
change her name and undergo plastic surgery. "If you don't change your name and
your face, they will hunt you down and kill you," she said. Although the woman
graduated from a German high school, she hardly ever leaves her apartment
because it is too dangerous. "I don't want to be Chechen anymore," she said.
According to Meduza, at least half of the population of single Chechen girls in
Germany have enough compromising information on their cellphones to be
considered guilty of violating adat:
"Associating with men of other nationalities, smoking, drinking alcohol,
visiting hookah lounges, discotheques or even public swimming pools can cause
communal wrath. A single photograph in a public WhatsApp chat can outcast an
entire family and the rest of the community would be obliged to cease all
communication with them. With everyone under suspicion and everyone responsible
for one another, Chechen girls say they are sometimes approached by strangers in
the street who chastise them for their appearance, including for wearing bright
lipstick. The theft of a cellphone and the subsequent posting of compromising
material is a hard blow; the dishonored person has no one to turn to and the one
who posted the victim's photos does not risk anything."
Chechens interviewed by Meduza said that expectations for behavior are more
rigid and strict in among Chechen emigrants in Germany than in Chechnya itself.
This situation has been described as "a competition in righteousness" between
Chechens living abroad and those in Chechnya who are loyal to Chechen leader
Ramzan Kadyrov: each party is seeking to prove that they are the better
Chechens, and threats of violence against "errant" women are viewed as "acts of
patriotism."
Chechens have said in interviews that expectations for behavior are more rigid
and strict in among Chechen emigrants in Germany than in Chechnya itself -- "a
competition in righteousness." Threats of violence against "errant" women are
viewed as "acts of patriotism."
In one instance, a young Chechen woman was recorded on video while walking down
a street in Berlin and conversing with a non-Chechen man. That same evening, a
few dozen unknown Chechen men drove to her house in northern Berlin. The man she
had been seen with was brutally beaten; almost all of his teeth were knocked
out. The young woman managed to hide.
On July 4, the Berlin newspaper Tagesspiegel reported that several other women
and men have been assaulted by the Sharia gang in recent weeks, and that the
Berlin Criminal Police Office has now launched an investigation. A police
spokesperson said that the investigation is being hampered by the fact that so
far no victim has publicly dared to bring formal accusations against the gang.
The victims are all, apparently, afraid of retribution.
According to Tagesspiegel, some members of the gang, which has grown to around a
hundred members, are armed and many have combat experience from the Chechen wars
with Russia. The gang members, who also come from Dagestan and Ingushetia, have
attacked Muslims as well as non-Muslims, including Christian asylum seekers at
migrant shelters in Berlin.
The gang is linked to several Salafist mosques in the German capital, including
Fussilet 33, which once served as the headquarters of the so-called Berlin
Caliphate. The mosque was shuttered by German authorities in February 2017,
after they learned that Anis Amri, the Tunisian jihadist who carried out the
suicide attack on a Berlin Christmas market, had sheltered there.
Around 60,000 Chechens live in Germany, according to official statistics,
although the actual number is believed to be much higher. Nearly 40,000 Chechens
have applied for asylum in Germany during just the past five years; many have
crossed the border illegally from Poland.
An internal paper produced by the Federal Audit Office (Bundesrechnungshofes)
revealed that "the majority of the unauthorized persons in Germany are Russian
citizens of Chechen ethnicity, some of whom have been linked to the Islamic
terrorist environment."
The Chechen community in Germany is primarily based in Brandenburg and Berlin,
where they are firmly entrenched in a parallel society. A social worker
interviewed by Meduza said that the main obstacle to Chechen integration is
their ultra-conservative moral code, the adat:
"They have come to Germany because they wanted to live in Germany, but they keep
trying to turn it into Chechnya with its medieval ways. This inability and
reluctance to integrate is extremely frustrating and typical of all migrants,
not just Chechens. The only difference is that most other migrants come from the
20th century, not the times of feudalism."
In an interview with Radio Berlin-Brandenburg, Maciej Falkowski, a Polish
political scientist specializing in the Caucuses, said that many younger members
of the Chechen diaspora are embracing radical Islam:
"The Chechen people are a very self-contained, homogenous nation. They resolve
all problems among themselves. You will hardly find a Chechen, for example, who
will seek remedy from a German court. Religion, of course, also plays an
important role in the younger generation. Moreover, the Chechens have not had
their own country for hundreds of years and therefore are not acquainted with
the legal state (Rechtsstaat) in our sense of the concept.
"We are increasingly seeing a generational conflict among the Chechens. The
elderly are rather skeptical of Salafism and radical Islam, while the younger
ones are embracing it. They believe Salafism offers answers with regard to their
identity. Here they find community and charismatic leaders. Salafism is now
their dominant current."
Heiko Homburg, an official at Ministry of the Interior of Brandenburg, the
German federal state that encircles Berlin, said that most of the known Islamic
extremists there are from Chechnya:
"Our problem in Brandenburg is that the Caucasian Emirate [a militant jihadist
organization active in southwestern Russia], to which many Chechens feel
committed, has submitted to the Islamic State. So, whether we want it or not, we
have de facto Islamic State structures here in Brandenburg."
German security officials estimate that 1,500 to 2,000 Chechens are currently
fighting in Iraq and Syria. As the Islamic State nears its end, it is feared
that many of those fighters will travel to Europe, through Ukraine and Poland
with the help of pan-European, Chechen clan relations.
In Frankfurt (Oder), a German city on the border with Poland, police are warning
that Chechen migration is a ticking time bomb:
"We have a serious and ever-growing problem with radical Chechens who are
constantly traveling back and forth across the German-Polish border. Their
families are building Europe-wide structures which they are using to finance the
Islamic State with the proceeds of organized crime. Everyone's attention is
fixed on the Syrians, but the Chechens are the most dangerous group. We are not
paying sufficient attention to this."
**Soeren Kern is a Senior Fellow at the New York-based Gatestone Institute.
© 2017 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Eastern Europe Chooses to Keep Western Civilization
Giulio Meotti/Gatestone Institute/July 08/17
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/10631/eastern-europe-islam-civilization
"The greatest difference is that in Europe, politics and religion have been
separated from one another, but in the case of Islam it is religion that
determines politics" — Zoltan Balog, Hungary's Minister for Human Resources.
It is no coincidence that President Donald Trump chose Poland, a country that
fought both Nazism and Communism, to call on the West to show a little
willingness in its existential fight against the new totalitarianism: radical
Islam.
"Possessing weapons is one thing, and possessing the will to use them is another
thing altogether". — Professor William Kilpatrick, Boston College.
In a historic speech to an enthusiastic Polish crowd before the meeting of the
G20 Summit leaders, US President Donald Trump described the West's battle
against "radical Islamic terrorism" as the way to protect "our civilization and
our way of life". Trump asked if the West had the will to survive:
"Do we have the confidence in our values to defend them at any cost? Do we have
enough respect for our citizens to protect our borders? Do we have the desire
and the courage to preserve our civilization in the face of those who would
subvert and destroy it?"
Trump's question might find an answer in Eastern Europe, where he chose to
deliver his powerful speech.
President Donald Trump gives a speech in Warsaw, Poland, in front of the
monument commemorating the 1944 Warsaw Uprising against the Germans, on July 6,
2017. (Image source: The White House)
After an Islamist suicide-bomber murdered 22 concert-goers in Manchester,
including two Poles, Poland's prime minister, Beata Szydło, said that Poland
would not be "blackmailed" into accepting thousands of refugees under the
European Union's quota system. She urged Polish lawmakers to safeguard the
country and Europe from the scourges of Islamist terrorism and cultural suicide:
"Where are you headed, Europe? Rise from your knees and from your lethargy, or
you will be crying over your children every day".
A few days later, the European Union announced that it would begin proceedings
to punish Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic for their refusal to accept
migrants as the European Commission had decided under a 2015 scheme it created.
After Szydło's speech, Zoltan Balog, Hungary's Minister for Human Resources,
declared:
"Islam is a major culture and religion, which we must respect, but Europe has a
different identity, and it is clear that these two cultures are incapable of
coexisting without conflict... The greatest difference is that in Europe,
politics and religion have been separated from one another, but in the case of
Islam it is religion that determines politics".
That is why Viktor Orban has been labelled as "Europe's enemy within" -- because
he spelled out what the President of the European Commission, Jean-Claude
Juncker, will never do: "Keeping Europe Christian".
These speeches from Visegrad officials -- the European group made up of the
Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary and Slovakia -- are just two examples of deep
ideological divisions between Western European countries and those in Central-
and Eastern Europe.
There has been a growing tendency of Visegrad leaders to depict Islam as a
civilizational threat to Christian Europe. If, in Western Europe, Christianity
has been dramatically cast aside by public opinion and severely restricted by EU
official rules, in Eastern Europe new polls reveal that Christianity is as
robust and patriotic as ever. That is why Trump called Poland "the faithful
nation". That is why US Catholic magazines are openly asking if there is a
"Christian reawakening" in Eastern Europe. Slovakia approved a law to prevent
Islam from becoming an official state religion.
These Central- and Eastern European countries know that Western Europe's
multiculturalism has been a recipe for terror attacks, for a start. As Ed West
of The Spectator noted:
"Not all of Europe, of course. Central Europe, chiefly Poland, Hungary and the
Czech Republic, remain largely safe from the terror threat, despite the former
in particular being a Nato player in the Middle East. It is precisely because
the reasons for this are so obvious that they cannot be mentioned. Poland is 0.1
percent Muslim, most of whom are from a long-settled Tartar community, Britain
is 5 percent, France 9 percent and Brussels 25 percent, and those numbers are
growing".
What is presumably "obvious" here is that Poland and Hungary are not hit by
Islamic terror attacks because they have very few Muslims, while Belgium and UK
it is the reverse. Europe would probably have been safer if it had followed
Eastern Europe's example.
Eastern Europe not only shows a greater understanding of Western culture than
Western Europe does; these Eastern countries have also been far more generous to
NATO, the bulwark of their independence and security. Culture and security go
hand-in-hand: if you take your own culture and civilization seriously, you will
be ready to defend them.
A brief look at the NATO's members' military spending as a percentage of GDP
shows that Poland meets the 2% target, unlike all the Western European
countries. Only five of NATO's 28 members -- the U.S., Greece, Poland, Estonia
and the U.K. -- meet the 2% target. Where is France? And Belgium? And Germany?
And The Netherlands?
"Unlike most of its NATO and European peers," Agnia Grigas, a senior fellow at
the Atlantic Council, explained, "Poland has for the past two decades
consistently viewed defense as a priority issue, and as a result, has been
slowly but steadily emerging as the bedrock of European security". Poland --
unlike Belgium, Italy and other European countries -- is not a "free rider" but
a trustworthy partner to its US ally. Poland showed loyal support to the United
States both in Afghanistan and Iraq, where its troops fought the Taliban and
helped to topple Saddam Hussein.
It is no coincidence that President Trump selected Poland, a country that fought
both Nazism and Communism, to call on the West to show a little willingness in
its existential fight against the new totalitarianism: radical Islam.
"The West will continue to have the military edge for a good time to come, but
possessing weapons is one thing, and possessing the will to use them is another
thing altogether", wrote William Kilpatrick, a professor at Boston College. "The
West is strong militarily, but weak ideologically. It lacks civilizational
confidence".
That is why it is critical that Eastern Europe continues to be a strong voice of
dissent in the EU project. It might provide just the cultural confidence that
European bureaucrats dramatically lack -- at the peril of Europe itself.
*Giulio Meotti, Cultural Editor for Il Foglio, is an Italian journalist and
author.
© 2017 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Question: "Does the Bible prophesy a one-world government
and a one-world currency in the end times?"
Answer: The Bible does not use the phrase “one-world government” or “one-world
currency” in referring to the end times. It does, however, provide ample
evidence to enable us to draw the conclusion that both will exist under the rule
of the Antichrist in the last days.
In his apocalyptic vision in the Book of Revelation, the Apostle John sees the
“beast,” also called the Antichrist, rising out of the sea having seven heads
and ten horns (Revelation 13:1). Combining this vision with Daniel’s similar one
(Daniel 7:16-24), we can conclude that some sort of world system will be
inaugurated by the beast, the most powerful “horn,” who will defeat the other
nine and will begin to wage war against Christians. The ten-nation confederacy
is also seen in Daniel’s image of the statue in Daniel 2:41-42, where he
pictures the final world government consisting of ten entities represented by
the ten toes of the statue. Whoever the ten are and however they come to power,
Scripture is clear that the beast will either destroy them or reduce their power
to nothing more than figureheads. In the end, they will do his bidding.
John goes on to describe the ruler of this vast empire as having power and great
authority, given to him by Satan himself (Revelation 13:2), being followed by
and receiving worship from “all the world” (13:3-4), and having authority over
“every tribe, people, language and nation” (13:7). From this description, it is
logical to assume that this person is the leader of a one-world government which
is recognized as sovereign over all other governments. It’s hard to imagine how
such diverse systems of government as are in power today would willingly
subjugate themselves to a single ruler, and there are many theories on the
subject. A logical conclusion is that the disasters and plagues described in
Revelation as the seal and trumpet judgments (chapters 6-11) will be so
devastating and create such a monumental global crisis that people will embrace
anything and anyone who promises to give them relief.
Once entrenched in power, the beast (Antichrist) and the power behind him
(Satan) will move to establish absolute control over all peoples of the earth to
accomplish their true end, the worship Satan has been seeking ever since being
thrown out of heaven (Isaiah 14:12-14). One way they will accomplish this is by
controlling all commerce, and this is where the idea of a one-world currency
comes in. Revelation 13:16-17 describes some sort of satanic mark which will be
required in order to buy and sell. This means anyone who refuses the mark will
be unable to buy food, clothing or other necessities of life. No doubt the vast
majority of people in the world will succumb to the mark simply to survive.
Again, verse 16 makes it clear that this will be a universal system of control
where everyone, rich and poor, great and small, will bear the mark on their hand
or forehead. There is a great deal of speculation as to how exactly this mark
will be affixed, but the technologies that are available right now could
accomplish it very easily.
Those who are left behind after the Rapture of the Church will be faced with an
excruciating choice—accept the mark of the beast in order to survive or face
starvation and horrific persecution by the Antichrist and his followers. But
those who come to Christ during this time, those whose names are written in the
Lamb’s book of life (Revelation 13:8), will choose to endure, even to martyrdom.
**Recommended Resource: End Times Prophecy by Paul Benware
**GotQuestions.org?
A Killer Goes Free in Cairo
David Schenker/The Washington Institute/July 08/17
In the Egyptian capital, the Sisi government frees a billionaire imprisoned for
a sensational murder, for reasons only known to itself.
On June 23, Egypt's President Sisi granted clemency to some 500 convicted
criminals, a common practice of Arab leaders on the eve of Eid al-Fitr, the end
of the month-long Islamic fast of Ramadan. Among those discharged was Hisham
Talaat Mustafa, a billionaire real-estate magnate and politico with close ties
to the Mubarak regime. In 2009, Mustafa was convicted of contracting to have his
girlfriend, the Lebanese diva Suzanne Tamim, murdered in Dubai. Eight years and
multiple political upheavals later, the release of Mustafa highlights how little
Egypt has actually changed.
The story of Suzanne Tamim's murder is a sensational tale. Tamim, a Lebanese
singer who won Arab Star Search in 1990, became Mustafa's paramour while he was
serving as a parliamentarian member of the policy secretariat of then-President
Hosni Mubarak's ruling National Democratic Party (NDP). He was also a close
associate of Mubarak's son and heir apparent Gamal. Mustafa, who was already
married, reportedly wanted Tamim to be his second wife, but she refused and
subsequently took up with Iraqi kickboxing world champion Riyad al-Azzawi.
Jilted and furious, Mustafa paid a former Egyptian security official $2 million
to kill his erstwhile lover. In July 2008, retired police officer Moshen al-Sukkary
flew from Cairo to the United Arab Emirates, where he executed Tamim in her
apartment -- nearly severing her head with a large knife. Alas, Sukkary left a
trail of bloody footprints while fleeing the scene, and Emirati police
eventually traced the sneakers that made them to a Dubai mall, where Sukkary had
purchased them just days earlier. Sukkary was subsequently identified and
extradited to Egypt, where he implicated Mustafa in the conspiracy.
In the spring of 2009, the trial mesmerized Egyptians. It appeared to be a
slam-dunk case. Not only had Sukkary confessed to the crime and fingered
Mustafa, the evidence included recorded phone conversations between Mustafa and
the hitman. The question was whether Mustafa -- notwithstanding his wealth and
connections -- would receive a fair trial in a judicial system notoriously
manipulated by an authoritarian regime.
The Mubarak regime initially placed a gag order on the trial, but after two
local newspapers released details about the killing, the government instead
decided to use the trial to showcase the state's "independent" judiciary. The
media affairs secretary of Mubarak's ruling NDP, Ali Din Hilal, pointed to the
indictment of Mustafa as proof that "the ruling party knows no cronyism and that
nobody in Egypt is above the law." Most Egyptians knew better, and were
genuinely shocked when Mustafa and his trigger man were found guilty and
sentenced to death in May 2009.
While the judgment against Sukkary stuck -- though his sentence was subsequently
commuted to life in prison -- the state's highest court soon threw out the
guilty verdict for Mustafa due to alleged procedural errors. The 2010 retrial
again found Mustafa guilty, but sentenced him to just 15 years. When he was
released just before the Eid, Mustafa had served less than half of his term. At
the time, many concluded that he was receiving special treatment due to his
social status. But the fact that he was sentenced at all was nonetheless
noteworthy given his connections with Egypt's seemingly entrenched autocracy.
Since his incarceration, there have been two uprisings and four regime changes,
but media interest in Mustafa's story has nonetheless persisted. On several
occasions, Mustafa reportedly appealed for his release based on alleged medical
conditions, but those appeals were denied. Meanwhile, his company, the Talat
Mustafa Group (TMG), was sued for various indiscretions regarding its $3 billion
Madinady ("My City") project. TMG reportedly purchased land from the state for a
gated community and golf course along Cairo's ring road for nearly $1 billion
under market value, a sweetheart deal for a regime associate. The legal
proceedings caused shares in TMG stock to plummet by nearly 10 percent.
After his release, however, the value of TMG stock surged by nearly 15 percent.
Was this business-friendly signal what Sisi had in mind when he released
Mustafa? Perhaps. Egypt's business community, which strongly supported the July
2013 overthrow of Muslim Brotherhood leader Mohamed Morsi and backed Sisi's
presidential bid a year later, remains an important constituency for the
Egyptian government. Or was the pardon a signal to the Egyptian judiciary, which
has at times been at odds with Sisi? Or maybe it was simply a holiday goodwill
gesture to a figure who, if the reports are accurate, has suffered medically in
prison.
Nobody knows, which is par for the course in Egypt. Indeed, one of the most
persistent features of Egyptian decision-making through all the turmoil of
recent years has been opacity. Seven years after the revolution, Mustafa's
release represents business as usual in Cairo.
**David Schenker is the Aufzien Fellow and director of the Program on Arab
Politics at The Washington Institute.
Only Saudi Arabia can stop Iran from dominating region
Huda al Husseini/Asharq Al Awsat/July 08/17
A country that does not take into consideration emotions but rather believes in
the death penalty, chooses to play on emotions. A country that pays some of its
people to shout “Death to America” on a daily basis, has now its foreign
minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, objecting on the decision to ban Iranian from
travelling to the US and saying that this ban is aimed against Iranian
grandmothers.
In this same country, if a grandchild decides to visit his grandmother in Iran,
he will be put in prison for trying to overthrow the regime because he has an
American citizenship. This country, which wants grandmothers to be able to
travel to the US, arrested last week, 110 young men and women for participating
in a mixed ceremony.
The Iranian leadership does not hesitate to exploit everything for its own
benefit. The Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said to Iraqi Prime Minister
Haider Abadi that “the Americans are against the Shiite Popular Mobilization
because they want Iraq to lose its core power.”
Then, President Hassan Rouhani tells Abadi that “the liberation of Mosul is a
victory for Iran, Iraq and Syria,” (Iran was listed first!).
Iran wants everything that relates to Arab matters. It created the Quds Day to
reveal its expanding influence. On that day, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah
delivered a speech on expanding the “axis of resistance” in the Levant.
Nasrallah, who directly gets his orders from the Supreme Leader, threatened that
the war between Israel, Lebanon and Syria would attract thousands of fighters
from Iran, Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan and Yemen, although Lebanon can no longer
put up with more foreigners.
What is interesting is that all the Iranian media affiliated to the Iranian
Revolutionary Guard have completely deleted this section because they do not
want more Iranians to participate in another war, especially after the Iranian
military deployment in Syria sparked an internal controversy.
Justifying regional interference
The Iranian regime and Hezbollah are trying to justify their regional
interference claiming that it is for supporting Palestinians against Israel,
although at the beginning of the Iranian revolution, during the reign of
Ayatollah Khomeini, they did not hesitate to get weapons from Israel to fight
Iraq.
Iran did not talk about the ‘Takfiris’ during the US invasion of Iraq, the hub
of al-Qaeda that created the ISIS, because it used to say that it is ready to
fund all those fighting the Americans in Iraq. Thus, ever since the war in
Syria, Iran has been focusing on foreign fighters who have joined al-Qaeda and
ISIS.
Iran, which does not want to be seen as fighting the war in order to protect
Bashar al-Assad’s regime, has supported and encouraged to put the Takfiris under
the public eye, aiming to include anyone opposed to the Assad regime. On the
other hand, little coverage is given to Shiite volunteers who formed militias to
support the Assad regime in his battle against the Takfiris, and his most
ferocious battle against the Syrian people who just sought change in Syria.
Iran has supported, created and encouraged these “volunteer” militias. It is
estimated that nearly 3,000 Iranian Revolutionary Guards are participating in
the battles inside Syria, and their role is not limited to training and
structuring. According to an IRGC officer, Iran has recruited and trained
hundreds of battalions to defend the Assad regime.
While the world is sorry about Yemen for the bombing by the coalition, the IRGC
and Hezbollah disregarded the Houthis there. In his most recent speech,
Nasrallah said: “Yemen is a very strategic and important region, and its
importance lies in the Bab al-Mandab Strait.”
The focus is now on Syria, and what was initially a major battle against ISIS,
has become a major global focus; Iran, Russia and Turkey are racing against time
there.
Legitimacy disintegrating
It is important to note that the international legitimacy enjoyed by the mullahs
since the nuclear agreement in 2015 has begun to disintegrate. The US Senate
voted last month on imposing new sanctions on Iran for violating the terms of
the nuclear agreement, such as using ballistic missiles and supporting terrorist
groups. These political moves have always had a major economic impact. That is
why Western banks continue to warn companies that may be tempted to invest in
Iran. This does not bother the IRGC, and despite the attempts of the US media to
convince itself and convince us that reformists are currently ruling Iran,
headed by Rouhani and Zarif, the IRGC is the one determining policies and
influence in Iran.
Now, after the defeat of ISIS, the Iranian parliament is considering a proposal
to spend nearly $500 million to strengthen the security and expand the missile
program, which will raise the IRGC budget to $8 billion dollars, in addition to
the already approved five-year development plan, which will ask the government
to allocate at least 5% of the budget for defense, mainly the development of the
multi-dimensional missile systems.
The Arab region had almost become under the control of Iranian, Turkish and
Israeli forces. Now, the main obstacle that Iran will face is not the US, but
Saudi Arabia and Egypt. It is crucial for Arabs to affirm that they are the
owners of the land and it is necessary for Saudi Arabia to carry on what it is
already doing. With all due respect for all Arab countries, Saudi Arabia is the
only country that can frighten Iran!
An Iranian military expert living outside Iran said “the extra money could
probably be spent on the long-awaited missile (Ya Ali), delayed till now due to
the lack of funds”. “The parliament’s rush to draft the project to speed the
missile program reflects the level of insecurity felt by Tehran from its
southern neighbors, with whom the administration of President Donald Trump is
cooperating,” he added.
The United States considers the increased activity onthe Iranian missile program
s a threat to regional stability.
The chairman of French oil company Total, Patrick Pouyanné, admitted last April
that Iran’s unresolved banking challenges were an obstacle to Total’s
investment. The reluctance of international banks to provide financing, or
facilitate the repeated transactions that are necessary for the daily operations
in the country, will push Total to make a special effort and find a “solution on
its own.” Pouyanné revealed that Total is testing a new banking mechanism to
transfer money from and into Iran in an appropriate way.
According to bankers, this means that a medium-sized French bank may have set up
a channel for Total to transfer funds to Iran, without involving US personnel or
US dollars, and thus avoided the so-called “United States Association” dealing
with banks .
This also means that Total is ready to work with the IRGC, which controls many
sectors, most notably the oil sector. It is worth noting that Total decided to
move forward because the company will not start receiving revenues before 2021
and it has committed itself to the first gas that will be distributed in the
large domestic market in Iran. The first reaction from the radical Kayhan
newspaper was that it was the government’s reward for French betrayal.
Rouhani has said recently: “At the time of Ahmadinejad, large portions of the
economy were placed under the control of the military and security apparatuses
under the pretext of privatization”; he was pointing at the IRGC and describing
these entities as an “armed government,” admitting that the private sector could
not compete with it. “We have handed over part of the economy controlled by the
unarmed government to an armed government,” he said.
The Supreme leader’s followers had launched an attack against Rouhani saying:
“We have the right now to consider that when the president says that military
institutions should not have anything to do with politics and economy, he is
coordinating with the enemy to impose sanctions on the IRGC.”
Domestic political differences
Political differences in Iran are increasing; Rouhani will face marginalization.
The Revolutionary Guards are letting Rouhani drown since he has no power. The
IRGC is controlling Iran’s economy and politics and is looking to build a
2000-mile corridor to the Mediterranean. The Iranian leadership aspires to
restore the Persian Empire, but this corridor has many obstacles as it is
surrounded by many Sunni Arabs who are opposed to Iran.
After striking Iraq and Syria, Iran felt that there is an opportunity. Hence, it
waged a revolution against Saudi Arabia. The Arab region had almost become under
the control of Iranian, Turkish and Israeli forces. Now, the main obstacle that
Iran will face is not the US, but Saudi Arabia and Egypt. It is crucial for
Arabs to affirm that they are the owners of the land and it is necessary for
Saudi Arabia to carry on what it is already doing. With all due respect for all
Arab countries, Saudi Arabia is the only country that can frighten Iran!
Is it still possible to coexist with the Tehran regime?
Eyad Abu Shakra/Asharq Al Awsat/July 08/17
Over the weekend, the French capital Paris played host to a massive rally
organized by the Iranian opposition and attended by many international political
figures. The timing of this rally was particularly significant, given the
historical and exceptional current state of affairs in the Middle East and the
unprecedented tense relations between its countries.
As expected on an occasion like this, the main stress in most positions
expressed by Iranian, Middle Eastern and Western speakers was that it was
impossible for a regime with a “chemistry” like that of the Tehran regime to
change, and that all attempts to make it moderate its stances are doomed to
failure.
Indeed, gambling on the “rationality” of the Iranian leaders, and regarding them
as “not suicidal” – to quote former President Barack Obama in his marketing
pitch for the JCPOA – are proving meaningless every day. And despite the
atrocities committed by ISIS and its systematic destruction wherever it moves
“achieved” by the tacit cooperation of players benefiting from it, there are two
clear realities:
First is that Iran’s sectarian militias, as well as those supported by Tehran
through its “Revolutionary Guards” (IRGC) do not differ much from ISIS in terms
of brutal exterminatory practices justified by alleged religious legitimacy.
Today, now that the Iranian leadership has exploited and benefited from ISIS’
destruction of several (Sunni) Syrian and Iraqi cities, one needs to ask a
serious question: Is it possible to coexist with the Tehran regime?
Second is that there is not much difference either between diplomatically-clad
extremism, as reflected in Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani and his Foreign
Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, and the brazenly-militaristic and sectarian
extremism, as expressed in the gung-ho speeches of IRGC leaders like Mohammad
Ali Jaafari and Qasem Soleimani as well as their militia henchmen in Iraq,
Lebanon, Yemen and Syria. In fact, all traces of “difference” disappear when
positions being explained pertain to the Gulf region, the Fertile Crescent and
Yemen.
Islamic revolution
Sure enough, Iran’s ambition of achieving regional supremacy did not start with
Khomeini’s Islamic Revolution of 1979 when it launched its campaign of
“Exporting the Islamic Revolution,” followed soon by it diligent outbidding on
the path of “Liberating Palestine.” As many remember under Shah Mohammad Reza
Pahlavi, Iran was in 1955 a founder member of the Baghdad Pact – along with the
UK, Turkey, Pakistan and Iraq under the auspices of the US, before Iraq withdrew
resulting in re-naming CENTO (Central Treaty Organization). Later, the Shah made
no secret of his ambition that Iran become “The Policeman of the Gulf” since it
was the most populous country sharing its coast.
However, there is a big difference between the ambition of a regional leader to
enhance the influence of his nation based on his belief in its civilization and
capabilities, and the aggressive insistence of a theocratic regime on
“exporting” its political and religious “legitimacy” to its neighboring
countries by force and conspiring to overthrow their governments throw intrigue
and sectarian incitement.
Since 1979, “exporting” the revolution, along with the notion of “Vali e Faqih”
has been one of the two cornerstones of the Khomeini regime, and now still
followed by his successor Ali Khamenei. This “project” suffered a setback during
the Iran – Iraq War, which was ended by the international community. Checking
Iran’s ambitions at that time was temporary, and they were never really
eradicated because Tehran continued to build subservient sectarian military
organizations throughout the Middle East. The first has been Lebanon’s
“Hezbollah” – initially, under the cloak of “Islamic Amal.” It was soon to be
followed by Iraqi Shi’ite militias that had fought with the Iranian armed forces
against the Iraqi army during the Iran – Iraq War. Many leaders of the latter
today are the de facto leaders of Iraq.
Extending ties
Noteworthy here is the fact that the Hafez Al-Assad regime in Syria also sided
with Iran during that war against Iraq. Actually, then Iranian ambassador to
Damascus Ali Akbar Mohtashamipur (who later became Interior Minister in Iran)
was the authority entrusted with founding “Hezbollah” in Lebanon. In fact,
Tehran’s efforts were not limited to Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, but were later
expanded to include Yemen through the Houthis, and Bahrain through “mullahs”,
who had no qualms about Iranian historical claims over their country.
On the other hand, Iran did not concentrate its efforts solely on Shi’ite
organizations, but achieved a breakthrough with the Sunnis, namely in the
Palestinian occupied territories. This far-sighted strategy had two aims: The
first, was that backing Sunni organization in Palestine would give credibility
to its slogans about “liberating Palestine”. The second, it would allow to
freely found, arm and support Shi’ite militias without being accused of
practicing sectarian discrimination. Indeed, this is exactly what has happened
and under the banners of “Islamic Unity,” Tehran has been bankrolling Shi’ite –
Sunni groups that are acting as effective vehicles to its propaganda and
defenders of its policies and adventures.
Last week Hassan Nasrallah, Secretary General of “Hezbollah”, said in a
televised speech that “a war Israel launches against Lebanon and Syria will
never be limited to these two arenas, but will open the door before thousands of
fighters (Shi’ite of course) from Iraq, Yemen, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan and
other countries in the world to join Syria (i.e., Bashar al-Assad regime) and
the Resistance (i.e.. ‘Hezbollah’)…”
What these words mean could not be clearer. The man is prepared to invite – if
an invitation is ever needed – Iran’s IRGC to fight on Lebanese soil, without
even bothering to consult with a government in which his pro-Tehran party is
represented. Nasrallah’s declaration came after the “reassurances” made by
Iranian Defense Minister Hussein Dehghan that “Iraq is now a part of Iran!”, and
the infamous proclamation by Iran’s ex-Intelligence Minister Heydar Moslehi that
“Iran now controls four Arab capital cities (Baghdad, Damascus, Beirut and
Sana’a)…”
Sectarian cleansing
In the meantime, Iran has been busy, both, directly or through its militia
henchmen, in justifying its war of sectarian “cleansing” and displacement that
it has been fighting in Syria since the 2011 uprising, as well as in Iraq.
Tehran and its henchmen’s justifications have been fighting against “Takfir” and
“Takfiris”, including al-Qaeda, al-Nusra Front and ISIS.
However, the fact that there were old understandings and dealings between Iran
and al-Qaeda is well known, which is why the terrorist group never attacked
Iranian targets. More recently, ISIS rarely fought against Assad’s forces,
choosing instead to attack its opponents, namely the “Free Syrian Army”.
Moreover, Assad regime’s smuggling of extremist terrorists across the Iraqi
border in order to hassle and harass American troops in Iraq is well documented
by Iraqi authorities, as is the extremist fighters’ “escape” from Iraqi prisons
to join ISIS in Syria.
Today, now that the Iranian leadership has exploited and benefited from ISIS’
destruction of several (Sunni) Syrian and Iraqi cities, one needs to ask a
serious question: Is it possible to coexist with the Tehran regime?
In Paris, thousands of Iranians exiled by the regime answered the question loud
and clear, and so did millions of Iranians before at home: No. No coexistence
with this regime.
If this is what Iranians themselves believe, how can we the Arabs disagree?
A Half-Million Syrian Returnees? A Look Behind the
Numbers
Fabrice Balanche/The Washington Institute/July 08/17
Closer examination reveals that far more refugees are leaving Syria than coming
home and that security and corruption represent major obstacles to their return.
On June 30, the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) reported
that nearly one-half million Syrians had returned to their homes between January
and May 2017. The report expresses optimism that millions could return if "peace
and stability in Syria increases." A research mission by this author to Lebanon
focusing on Syrian refugees, however, prompts much circumspection about whether
or not Syrians should be returning at all, even if the pipe dream of peace
becomes a reality.
The Data Problem
The first point to emphasize in analyzing the recent UNHCR figure is that
443,000 returnees are actually internally displaced persons (still living in
Syria), out of a total 6.3 million IDPs registered. Just 31,000 were refugees
(living outside Syria), who had fled to neighboring countries (Lebanon, Turkey,
Iraq, Egypt, and Jordan). Moreover, even as a small number of refugees return to
Syria, the number of exiting refugees continues to rise at a greater rate, a
reality caused largely by persistent instability throughout the country. Between
January and May 2017, the number of registered Syrian refugees increased from
4.9 million to 5.1 million, according to the UNHCR. While the IDP figure has
been declining steadily from 7.5 million since the fall of 2015, anyone
assessing such trajectories must be extremely careful to account for
manipulation of data for political purposes.
The concept of IDPs is much broader than that of refugees, entailing anyone who
has left home -- and who, in turn, might have traveled very short or longer
distances. Indeed, shorter distances create a greater likelihood of return.
Among the returnees recorded by the UNHCR, several hundred IDPs living in West
Aleppo came back to East Aleppo, and suburban Damascus IDPs returned to al-Qabun
or Qudsaya when these areas were reoccupied by the Syrian army in fall 2016. A
similar phenomenon may play out after Raqqa is reclaimed from the Islamic State.
By contrast, for the rebel-oriented families of Daraya, the al-Waar district of
Homs, or Zabadani -- who were sent to Idlib following an agreement with the
regime -- little chance exists for an imminent return to their homes.
A complicating factor in this discussion is that the UN Office for the
Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), the entity responsible IDPs, does
not conduct the census itself. Instead, Syrian government administrators and
rebels alike overestimate their IDPs to obtain maximum food aid and prove that
each respective camp controls the majority of the population. Such manipulations
led OCHA to reassess its statistics in fall of 2015, with the result being a
substantial drop in the estimate from 7.5 to 6.5 million IDPs. According to UN
sources, the IDP data suggests rebels inflated their numbers more than
government officials did. Such variance may seem logical given that many
residents fled to regime-controlled areas for security, unless they were
involved in the insurrection. The government areas offered greater security
because they were not subjected to frequent aerial bombardment or embargoes and
because public services were maintained.
As compared to Syria, refugee data from UNHCR and the Disaster and Emergency
Management Presidency of Turkey (AFAD) -- the Turkish organization in charge of
the refugees -- is more reliable. Both organizations take seriously registration
of applications, and neither skews its data. Potentially driving down figures is
the reality that many refugees do not want to be registered. In Lebanon, a study
conducted by Beirut's Saint Joseph University showed an underestimation of
refugees by 23 percent in 2016. Among this proportion, many are no longer
registered because single refugees or those without small children, for
instance, are usually ineligible for humanitarian aid. Moreover, most Syrian
refugees who came to Lebanon after 2015 are ineligible for humanitarian
assistance and therefore have less incentive to stay in their adopted country.
Nor do refugee cards exempt them from residence permit taxes -- $200 per year
for those older than fourteen. Many Syrians thus obtain fake employment
contracts, even though the bosses providing such fraudulent paperwork are often
simply smugglers. This helps explain why the actual number of Syrian refugees in
Lebanon seems not to decrease, with the situation in Syria still discouraging
their repatriation.
Factors Complicating a Return to Syria
The main obstacle to return remains lack of security. This perception varies
according to geographic origin, socioeconomic level, and, of course, potential
involvement in resistance to the Syrian regime. However, a common thread links
all Syrian men ages fifteen to forty-five: fear of being conscripted into the
Syrian army or rebel groups or the larger Syrian Democratic Forces, depending on
their place of residence. Many families still therefore prefer to leave Syria
preemptively when their sons approach their eighteenth birthday, the age of
conscription. As long as the fighting keeps up, refugees will continue to flow
out of the country -- and the return of significant numbers will be limited.
Once the fighting is over, only amnesty could reassure the hundreds of thousands
of "deserters."
Corruption from Syrian officials is the second reason for staying in Lebanon.
For their part, men do not dare return to Syria for fear of being arrested
arbitrarily and having to pay a large sum to be released. One interviewee in
Lebanon related that he'd had to pay $3,000 to be set free from prison while he
was in good standing with the Syrian authorities. His uncle, who works in
Kuwait, paid the Mukhabarat (secret police) $15,000 to release his
seventeen-year-old son, who was jailed arbitrarily in Damascus. Furthermore,
since the beginning of the civil war, a tremendous number of kidnappings have
occurred in Syria, with the principal targets being men of military age, sons of
wealthy families, and those with families abroad.
The Syrians who return to their former homes often do so with horror stories.
The testimony of a refugee from Aleppo who visited his house in April 2017
carried a particular eloquence, while appearing to represent a broader reality:
"I went back to our apartment in Ashrafiya [a neighborhood in northeast Aleppo].
From the Lebanese border to Aleppo, I had to pay a $100 bribe [two months'
salary for a civil servant]. I had packed a food bag for my sister: tea, coffee,
powdered milk, and so on. But once I arrived at Aleppo, my suitcase was empty
because at every checkpoint on the road they took something. Our apartment could
be rehabilitated with some work, but it is too expensive and there is almost no
electricity. Our shop was destroyed and looted. We prefer to stay in Lebanon and
wait for a visa to leave for Europe or Canada."
Lebanese Living Conditions Bad but Acceptable
The family just mentioned is relatively well established in Lebanon: all are
supported by the UNHCR (with $27 of food per person per month and healthcare
coverage), the husband has a permanent job, and all four children are enrolled
in school. Back in Syria, the economic situation, corruption, and rampant
insecurity all deter a return, especially since doing so would forfeit their
status as refugees and consequently the possibility of emigrating elsewhere.
Even if only a few hundred visas are distributed a year by the European Union,
Canada, Australia, and the United States, such slim opportunities still nourish
dreams for a future departure. Further arousing desires for emigration are the
millions of new Syrian refugees since 2012 living in northern countries (mostly
Germany, Sweden, and Canada) who share their experience with their relatives.
Moreover, the EU border is not protected by a wall, people are sometimes rescued
at sea, and the right to family reunification has not been removed from the
European Treaty of Accession 2003.
In Lebanon, the UNHCR's humanitarian aid and support from numerous NGOs allow
Syrian refugees to extend their stay. Food and healthcare are largely covered,
as noted in the example before, with the main expense being rent. The Syrians
agree to work for a lower net wage than that of the Lebanese and, unlike the
Lebanese, they do not report their earnings to social security. In northern and
eastern Lebanon, where the refugees are concentrated, the World Bank is
financing the construction of rural roads in order to create jobs for the
refugees while also investing in the host community. The situation for Syrian
refugees is far from pleasant, but for most it exceeds the alternative in Syria.
For the international community, the dilemma remains wherein provision of aid
alleviates suffering but, in doing so, potentially sends misleading signals to
the refugees regarding their future.
A Preferable Life Abroad -- Unless Conditions Deteriorate
The latest UNHCR poll shows that only 6 percent of Syrian refugees want to
return to Syria in the near future and 8 percent say they will never return.
Some three-quarters are officially hesitant.
The way in which these sentiments develop will, no doubt, depend on security
conditions and the speed of reconstruction in Syria. However -- as a general
rule -- the more time refugees spend abroad, the less likely they are to return
to their countries of origin. Yet should conditions deteriorate dramatically in
their host country -- Lebanon, in this example -- Syrian refugees would be
persuaded to return home regardless of any improvement in the security and
economic situation. The deterioration of living and security conditions in
Lebanon could also lead to the radicalization of people who cannot return to
Syria and who, somewhere along the way, succumb to desperation.
**Fabrice Balanche, an associate professor and research director at the
University of Lyon 2, is a visiting fellow at The Washington Institute.