English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese,
Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For March 19/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/eliasnews21/english.march19.21.htm
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Bible Quotations For today
Saint Joseph’s Annual Day/Joseph, son of David, do not be afraid to take Mary as your wife, for the child conceived in her is from the Holy Spirit.
She will bear a son, and you are to name him Jesus, for he
will save his people from their sins
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 01/18-25:
“Now the birth of Jesus the Messiah took place in this way. When his mother Mary
had been engaged to Joseph, but before they lived together, she was found to be
with child from the Holy Spirit. Her husband Joseph, being a righteous man and
unwilling to expose her to public disgrace, planned to dismiss her quietly. But
just when he had resolved to do this, an angel of the Lord appeared to him in a
dream and said, ‘Joseph, son of David, do not be afraid to take Mary as your
wife, for the child conceived in her is from the Holy Spirit. She will bear a
son, and you are to name him Jesus, for he will save his people from their
sins.’ All this took place to fulfil what had been spoken by the Lord through
the prophet: ‘Look, the virgin shall conceive and bear a son, and they shall
name him Emmanuel’, which means, ‘God is with us.’ When Joseph awoke from sleep,
he did as the angel of the Lord commanded him; he took her as his wife, but had
no marital relations with her until she had borne a son; and he named him
Jesus.”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published on March 18-19/2021
Elias Bejjani/Visit My LCCC Web site/All That you need to
know on Lebanese unfolding news and events in Arabic and English/http://eliasbejjaninews.com/
St. Joseph’s Annual Day/Elias Bejjani/March 19/2021
MoPH: 3757 new coronavirus cases, 73 deaths
Towards freedom started this petition to United Nations and 6 others
Security Council Urges Lebanese Parties to Immediately Facilitate Govt.
Formation
Lebanese Firm to Import Million Doses of Sputnik V Vaccine
Report: EU, US Likely Readying Sanctions on Lebanese Leaders
France's Macron says will need new approach on Lebanon
France ups pressure as Lebanon’s leaders meet to resolve crisis
President Aoun discusses governmental file with PM-designate
Hariri announces from Baabda a new meeting on Monday: Let us seize the
opportunity
Aoun, Hariri to Meet Anew Monday for 'Answers' on Govt. Line-Up
Hezbollah has thousands of missiles, rockets located in civilian areas to target
Israeli citizens: IDF
Landmine Kills Man on Lebanese-Syrian Border
Jumblat, French Ambassador Discuss Political Developments in Lebanon
Former Speaker Husseini receives Saudi Ambassador
Italian Embassy: Climbing tower donation ceremony
Rising public fury in Lebanon with country on the abyss
Lebanon’s crises will feed the hunger revolution/Hanin Ghaddar/Al Arabiya/March
18/2021
Titles For The
Latest
English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on
March 18-19/2021
UN Security Council condemns Iran-backed Houthi offensive
in Yemen
Iran-backed attacks on US forces to accelerate nuclear deal will not work: US
envoy
Iran making ‘significant developments’ in building its weapon arsenal: Israeli
France’s Macron blasts Iran for continuous violations of nuclear deal
White House says President Biden does not regret calling Putin a killer
Biden calls on all entities involved in Nord Stream 2 to ‘immediately abandon
work’
EU Regulator Says AstraZeneca Vaccine 'Safe and Effective'
UK Regulator Says 'No Evidence' Clots Caused by Covid Vaccines
Takes One to Know One': Putin Mocks Biden over 'Killer' Comment
6.0-magnitude Earthquake Strikes off Algerian Coast
Turkey moves to ban pro-Kurdish party as domestic challenges mount
Egypt, US in Red Sea naval exercises to support regional security
Titles For The Latest The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on March 18-19/2021
Iran Is Trying to Convert Syria to Shiism/Anchal Vohra/Foreign
Policy/March 18/2021
Begum’s case is an exceptional warning for future radicals/Dunia El-Zobaidi/The
Arab Weekly/March 18/2021
Iran’s next battle ground: Afghanistan/Rami Rayess/Al Arabiya/March 18/2021
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published on
March 18-19/2021
Elias Bejjani/Visit My LCCC Web site/All That you need to know on Lebanese
unfolding news and events in Arabic and English/http://eliasbejjaninews.com/
St. Joseph’s Annual Dayعيد ما يوسف البتول
Elias Bejjani/March 19/2021
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/73094/elias-bejjani-saint-annual-josephs-day/
The feast day of St. Joseph is celebrated annually on March 19/Our Bejjani
family has proudly carried this name generation after generation for centuries
and still we do. May God and His angles safeguard our caring and loving son
Youssef, and our grandson Joseph, who both carry this blessed name.It is worth
mentioning that St. Joseph’s Day is a Maronite – Roman Catholic feast day that
commemorates the life of St. Joseph, the step-father of Jesus and husband of the
Blessed Virgin Mary.
People with very strong religious convictions among which are the Lebanese
Maronites celebrate St. Joseph’s Day on March 19 and believe that this day is
St. Joseph’s birthday too.Back home, in Lebanon St. Joseph is considered the
Family Saint and looked upon as a family and hardworking father role model
because of the great role that Almighty God had assigned him to carry.
His duty was to raise Jesus Christ and take care of Virgin Mary. God has
chose him to look after His begotten son and Virgin Marry.
He fulfilled his Godly assignment with love, passion and devotion.
May Al Mighty God bless all those that carry this name.
MoPH: 3757 new coronavirus cases, 73 deaths
NNA/March 18/2021
3757 new coronavirus cases and 73 deaths have been recorded in Lebanon during
the past 24 hours, as announced by the Ministry of Public Health on Thursday.
Towards freedom started this petition to
United Nations and 6 others
Given that the Lebanese people are:
https://www.change.org/p/united-nations-مؤتمر-دولي-لمساعدة-لبنان-d5842808-8a8c-4c32-94e7-33e890cff1a3?utm_content=cl_sharecopy_27874356_en-GB%3A4&recruited_by_id=956c33a0-87ec-11eb-980d-bd52b4b7e9a8&utm_source=share_petition&utm_medium=copylink&utm_campaign=psf_combo_share_initial&utm_term=psf_combo_share_initial
1 – Hostages to an external power, particularly Iran, through its
Proxy, Hezbollah, who colludes with an authority that has proved its failure and
rampant corruption
2- Victims of intimidation by the Hezbollah militia, bolstered by its illegal
arms, and accused of many assassinations, past & present
3- Victims of the looting of their money and resources by a corrupt authority
which controls all decisions in Lebanon
4- Unable to hold accountable those responsible for crimes against humanity and
terrorism crimes, especially the Beirut Port blast due to the subduing of the
judicial authority by the Hezbollah- corrupt authority alliance
5- Suffering poverty, humiliation, insecurity, loss of freedom, and yearning to
live in dignity, peace and freedom, as stipulated in the United Nation’s Human
Rights Bill and its charters
6- Apprehensive about the persistent tying up of their country to regional and
international conflicts which he can no more bear, with the ensuing threat to
their unity, and to national and international peace, particularly with the
presence of more than one million and a half refugees on their territory
Subsequently,
We call on the United Nations and the countries of the world to help us restore
Lebanon’s sovereignty, freedom, and stability, and to achieve justice, security
and dignity for its people, by holding a UN-led International Conference for
Lebanon which:
1- Establishes & acknowledges Lebanon’s neutrality towards the region’s
conflicts, in accordance with the Baabda Declaration conclusions issued on June
11th, 2012
2- Imposes the full & comprehensive implementation of all relevant UN Security
Council Resolutions, namely Resolutions 1559, 1680 & 1701
3- Implements the Constitution and the national accord document to carry out the
necessary reforms to get Lebanon out of its crisis
4- Conducts a thorough international investigation into the Beirut Port blast
crime to reveal the truth and achieve full justice.
Security Council Urges Lebanese Parties to
Immediately Facilitate Govt. Formation
Naharnet/March 18/2021
Najat Rochdi, Officer in Charge of the Office of U.N. Special Coordinator for
Lebanon, and Jean-Pierre Lacroix, Under-Secretary General for Peace Operations,
on Thursday briefed the U.N. Security Council virtually on the implementation of
Security Council Resolution 1701 (2006) and the situation in Lebanon, as
reflected in the latest report of U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres.
A U.N. statement that Rochdi voiced deep concern over the socio-economic and
financial crisis in Lebanon that has continued to deteriorate since the last
meeting of the Security Council in November, and which has had implications on
the country’s security and stability.
Noting the “rise in public protests and the disillusionment and hardships felt
by a majority of the Lebanese people,” Rochdi said Lebanese authorities should
act urgently to halt the deepening crisis and ensure good governance.
“Security Council members agreed that Lebanon’s political forces should
immediately facilitate the formation of a fully-empowered Government to
undertake the reforms necessary to put Lebanon on the path of recovery and
restore the trust of the people and the international community,” the statement
said.
The Security Council members also welcomed the role played by the Lebanese Armed
Forces and security forces in “safeguarding Lebanon’s sovereignty, security and
stability during this very sensitive period of Lebanese history, even though
they were also impacted by the socio-economic crisis.”
They also welcomed the role played by UNIFIL in supporting the LAF to safeguard
security and stability in south Lebanon.
“They highlighted the importance of both Lebanon and Israel respecting the Blue
Line and implementing Resolution 1701 in its entirety,” the statement said.
On the importance of promoting the rule of law, Rochdi reiterated the need for
“full accountability and justice to be served, through credible, transparent and
swift investigations into the Beirut port explosion and last month’s killing of
Mr. Lokman Slim.”
Council Members also acknowledged Lebanon’s continuing efforts to host and
support refugees despite multiple challenges.
Rochdi for her part highlighted the importance of “continued international unity
in support of Lebanon’s sovereignty, stability and security.”
Security Council members meanwhile reiterated their “support for Lebanon, its
people, its sovereignty and territorial integrity.”
Lebanese Firm to Import Million Doses of Sputnik V Vaccine
Naharnet/March 18/2021
Lebanese private company Pharmaline will import one million doses of the Russian
coronavirus vaccine Sputnik V, the owner of the company said. In an interview
with the Qatari-owned, Beirut-based news portal al-Modon, Pharmaline owner
Jacques Sarraf said the vaccine will be offered at a “very cheap” price of $38
for the two doses and that the money will be paid by companies seeking to
vaccinate their employees. Sarraf is also the head of the Lebanese Russian
Business Council and the Honorary Consul of the Russian Federation in Lebanon.
He described the move as an initiative aimed at speeding up the vaccination
campaign in Lebanon. “The Sputnik vaccine will be launched in Lebanon as of
Monday, March 29 and the first batch is expected to arrive in Lebanon next
Thursday,” Sarraf told al-Modon, adding that the company will receive the
shipment on Friday from Beirut airport. “As the head of the Lebanese Russian
Business Council and as the Honorary Consul of the Russian Federation in
Lebanon, I pressed through all the contacts that I have and I told them to let
me help my country at the current time since I’m serving Russia’s interests in
Lebanon,” Sarraf added. He explained that any company, association or public
administration seeking to vaccinate its workers, employees and their families
can provide a list of their names in order to carry out the necessary
transactions. “The vaccine will be free of charge for individuals and the
institutions have to pay for the vaccine. The institution can choose any
vaccination center out of the 17 centers that are accredited by the Health
Ministry,” Sarraf added.
Report: EU, US Likely Readying Sanctions on Lebanese
Leaders
Naharnet/March 18/2021
European and American authorities “must” raise pressure, and even impose
“sanctions” on Lebanon’s political class in order to ease the hurdles delaying a
much-needed government in the crisis-hit country, al-Joumhouria daily reported
on Thursday. The daily quoted a French diplomat, who spoke on condition of
anonymity, as saying that “Europeans and the Americans should increase pressure
on the Lebanese political class to form a new government, and this may also be
done through sanctions,” he said. “The pressure on political leaders should be
greatly increased," the diplomat told reporters, adding that the efforts in that
direction are going to be the focus of their work in the next two week. “We will
not move alone, but with our European partners and with the Americans," he
added. He stated that the pressure on Lebanese leaders is going to be “easier”
under the administration of US President Joe Biden, while the administration of
ex-President Donald Trump considered Lebanon as a mere "agent for changing" the
power equation with Iran. The process of forming a government has been delayed
by endless haggling between the main ruling parties. Lebanon's deeply divided
political class has failed to agree on a new cabinet since a massive explosion
in Beirut port last August that killed more than 200 people and led to the
government's resignation. “Imposition of sanctions will be brought up on the
table,” and will be imposed on Lebanese officials who obstruct any political
progress, added the source. "The issue of sanctions was not the priority in
August and September, but after six or seven months it became legitimate,” he
emphasized.
France's Macron says will need new approach on Lebanon
NNA/March 18/2021
French President Emmanuel Macron said on Thursday he would push for a new
approach in the coming weeks on Lebanon as the country's main actors had made no
progress over the last seven months to resolve the economic and political
crisis. Paris has spearheaded international efforts to rescue the former French
protectorate from its deepest crisis since the 1975-1990 civil war, but has
failed so far to persuade squabbling politicians to adopt a reform roadmap and
form a new government to unlock international aid. Protests have grown since the
currency hit new lows, deepening public anger over Lebanon's financial collapse.
"The time of the test of responsibility is coming to an end and there will be a
need in the coming weeks, in a very clear manner, change approach and the
methods because we can't leave the Lebanese people since last August in the
situation in which they are," Macron said.
He gave no other details. A French diplomat said on Wednesday that international
partners would seek to increase pressure on Lebanon's politicians in the coming
months, although sanctions against individuals in the immediate term were not
being envisaged. ----Reuters
France ups pressure as Lebanon’s leaders meet to resolve
crisis
The Arab Weekly/March 18/2021
On Thursday, Hariri’s tone was more positive after saying a new meeting was
scheduled for Monday and that he saw “an opportunity to be seized.”
PARIS--French President Emmanuel Macron said on Thursday he would push for a new
approach in the coming weeks on Lebanon as the country’s main actors had made no
progress over the last seven months to resolve the economic and political
crisis. Paris has spearheaded international efforts to rescue the former French
protectorate from its deepest crisis since the 1975-1990 civil war, but has
failed so far to persuade squabbling politicians to adopt a reform roadmap and
form a new government to unlock international aid. “The time of the test of
responsibility is coming to an end and there will be a need in the coming weeks,
in a very clear manner, to change approach and the methods because we can’t
leave the Lebanese people since last August in the situation in which they are,”
Macron said. He gave no other details. A French diplomat said on Wednesday that
international partners would seek to increase pressure on Lebanon’s politicians
in the coming months, although sanctions against individuals in the immediate
term were not being envisaged.
Hariri’s meeting with Aoun
In a sign of his awareness about the serious nature of the situation, Lebanon’s
Prime Minister-designate Saad al-Hariri said on Thursday after a meeting with
President Michel Aoun that forming a government that could re-engage with the
IMF was the only way to halt the country’s financial collapse. The meeting took
place after a heated exchange on Wednesday night between the two top
politicians, who have been at loggerheads for months over cabinet formation.
Aoun asked Hariri to form a new government immediately or make way for someone
else in a televised speech, and Hariri hit back by telling him that if he could
not approve his cabinet line-up then he should call an election. On Thursday,
Hariri’s tone was more positive after saying a new meeting was scheduled for
Monday and that he saw “an opportunity to be seized.”“The main priority of any
government is to prevent the collapse that we are facing today… that we proceed
to start halting the collapse with the IMF and regain the trust of the
international community,” he told reporters. Lebanon’s talks with the IMF
stalled last year over a row among Lebanese government officials, bankers and
political parties over vast financial losses. The Lebanese pound has sunk by 90%
in the country’s worst crisis since the 1975-1990 civil war. It has plunged many
into poverty and endangered imports as dollars grow scarce. Politicians have
since late 2019 failed to agree a rescue plan to unlock foreign cash which
Lebanon desperately needs. “We are really looking at the abyss, seeing it very
clearly, and I think it’s either now or never,” Mohanad Hage Ali of the Carnegie
Middle East Center said, alluding to the urgency of forming a new government
able to make reforms. He added that major political parties, including Aoun’s
ally, the Iran-backed Hezbollah movement, were re-evaluating their positions as
delays worsen the economy’s free-fall and unrest grows. A French diplomat said
on Wednesday that France, which has led aid efforts to its former colony, and
its partners will seek to ramp up pressure on Lebanese politicians in the coming
months.
Simmering anger
The currency has crashed so fast in recent weeks, losing a third of its value,
that grocery shops closed on Wednesday and bakeries cautioned they may have to
follow suit. Many pharmacies shut their doors on Thursday and flashed neon
strike signs, the latest sector of the economy to voice frustration. Ali Obaid,
a Beirut pharmacist, said he could no longer keep up with expenses. “Pharmacies
will close permanently if this continues,” he said. Comments that subsidies –
including on fuel, wheat and medicine – may soon end have also triggered panic
buying. Cars lined up outside gas stations earlier this week, and scenes of
brawls over subsidised goods at supermarkets have heightened fears among
Lebanese over their most basic needs. The sharp descent of the pound sent
protesters into the streets this month, blocking roads in anger at an entrenched
political elite that has dominated since the civil war.
President Aoun discusses governmental file with
PM-designate
NNA/March 18/2021
President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, met PM-Designate, Saad Hariri,
this afternoon at Baabda Palace, and deliberated with him the government file in
light of recent contacts and consultations. PM Hariri’s Statement: After the
meeting, which lasted for nearly an hour, PM Hariri spoke to reporters: “I was
honored to meet His Excellency, the President. We discussed aspirations to form
a government of 18 specialists, which everyone knows. The goal of this
government is to save the country from the current economic crisis, and stop the
collapse which we face today.
I listened to the remarks of the President, and we agreed to meet again next
Monday, to come up with a clear result for the Lebanese concerning the
government. God willing the next meeting will carry basic answers about how we
can reach government formation, as soon as possible. I would like to add that
the goal of any government is to work with the International Monetary Fund (IMF)
in the process of stopping the collapse, in order to restore confidence in the
international community. The Lebanese Pound is deteriorating daily. Economically
speaking there is no justification for the size of this devaluation, but what is
justified is the lack of prospect of the people, of a father who wants to take
his children to school and provide medicine for his family. Therefore, the
primary goal of the government, which should be formed as soon as possible, is
to halt all these matters and give people the prospect to stop the ongoing
collapse of the Lebanese Pound. The Lebanese may have witnessed yesterday the
collision between the Presidency of the Republic and the Presidency of the
Council of Ministers, and I am here today to try to ease this matter and calm
the situation. We will hold a second meeting next Monday, and I was frank with
you and will remain so and inform you of everything which happens. Today we are
facing an opportunity. We must take advantage of it and think to come up with
something, next Monday”.-- Presidency Press office
Hariri announces from Baabda a new meeting on Monday: Let
us seize the opportunity
NNA/March 18/2021
Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri visited Baabda Palace this afternoon and
met with the President of the Republic General Michel Aoun. Hariri said after
the meeting: “I had the honor to meet with the President of the Republic, after
a long time, and I spoke with him about my aspirations regarding a government
that consists of 18 specialists, so that we save the country from the economic
crisis in which it is drowning. At the end of the day, the main purpose of any
government is to stop the collapse that we are facing today. I listened to the
remarks of His Excellency the President, and we agreed to meet again next Monday
so that we come up with something clear for the Lebanese. In this meeting, there
will be some important answers about the way to reach a government formation as
quickly as possible.”He added: “The main goal of any government today is to
first stop the collapse, through the International Monetary Fund program and
restore the confidence of the international community in the country. Today you
see how the Lebanese Pound is devaluating daily, and if we look at the economic
situation, we find that it does not justify this collapse of the LBP. What
justifies it is the absence of horizon for the people, for the father who wakes
up in the morning and does not know how he will take his children to school, or
take care of their health. Hence, the main goal of this government, which must
be formed as soon as possible, is to stop all this and give people hope and a
horizon in order to stop the devaluation of the Lebanese Pound.”He continued:
“The Lebanese people witnessed yesterday a clash between the Presidency of the
Republic and the Premiership, so I came today to try to mitigate this clash and
work to calm things down. Next Monday, we will hold another meeting, hopefully,
and as I have always been frank with you, I will remain so and I will tell you
at every moment what is happening. Now there is an opportunity, so let us seize
it and think so that we can come up with something next Monday.”-- Hariri Press
office
Aoun, Hariri to Meet Anew Monday for 'Answers' on Govt.
Line-Up
Agence France Presse/March 18/2021
PM-designate Saad Hariri met Thursday afternoon in Baabda with President Michel
Aoun, only hours after the two leaders exchanged bitter tirades that reached the
extent of asking each other to step down. "I told President Aoun that I'm
seeking an 18-seat government of specialists," Hariri said after the talks. "We
agreed to meet again on Monday and there will be some essential answers on how
to reach a cabinet line-up as soon as possible," he added. “The Lebanese maybe
witnessed a clash between the presidency and the premiership yesterday, and I
came here today so that we try to alleviate this clash and work on pacifying
things,” Hariri said. “There is a chance now. Let us make use of it and think in
order to be able to come up with something on Monday,” he went on to say. Hariri
also stressed the urgent need to form a government to relaunch talks with the
International Monetary Fund and tackle the deepening economic crisis. "The main
goal of any government today is to first stop the collapse, through the
International Monetary Fund program, and restore the confidence of the
international community" in Lebanon, he said. Al-Jadeed TV had earlier described
Hariri's visit as "an attempt to find common ground to quickly form the
government and re-float the line-up that he had submitted.”“Hariri has stressed
his flexibility and openness to changing candidates that President Aoun wants to
replace,” the TV network said.
Hezbollah has thousands of missiles, rockets located in
civilian areas to target Israeli citizens: IDF
Arab News/March 18, 2021
LONDON: Hezbollah possesses thousands of missiles and rockets located in the
heart of the civilian population that are deliberately intended to target
Israeli civilians, the Chief of General Staff of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF)
said on Thursday. “The IDF will take all necessary steps to prevent that from
happening,” Lieutenant General Aviv Kochavi said during a meeting with French
President Emmanuel Macron. Kochavi is accompanying Israeli President Reuven
Rivlin on a visit to France.
Landmine Kills Man on Lebanese-Syrian Border
Naharnet/March 18/2021
A landmine explosion killed a man identified as A.A. Thursday in an area on
Lebanon’s northern border with Syria, the National News Agency said.
The blast took place in the al-Buqaiaa area near the stream of the Grand River.
The agency added that a Lebanese Red Cross ambulance transferred the body to the
Our Lady of Peace Hospital in Qoubayyat as a Lebanese Army patrol arrived on the
blast scene.
Jumblat, French Ambassador Discuss Political Developments
in Lebanon
Naharnet/March 18/2021
Progressive Socialist Party leader ex-MP Walid Jumblat held talks with the
French Ambassador to Lebanon Anne Grillo late on Wednesday and discussed the
latest developments. Media reports said the two discussed the latest political
developments in Lebanon, amid the delayed government formation badly needed to
steer the country out of its crisis. Jumblat received Grillo at his residence in
Clemenceau in the presence of his son head of the Democratic Gathering bloc MP
Taymour Jumblat and ex-MP Ghazi Aridi. Spearheaded by France, the international
community is piling pressure on authorities in Lebanon to form a new government
quickly. Lebanon's worst economic downturn in decades has pushed a battered
population to the brink with no solution in sight as the country's barons
wrangle over forming a new government.
Former Speaker Husseini receives Saudi Ambassador
NNA/March 18/2021
Former House Speaker Hussein Husseini received Thursday at his Ain-el-Tineh
residence, Saudi Ambassador to Lebanon, Walid Bukhari, with whom he discussed
the current situation and latest developments on the local and regional scenes.
According to a statement by the Saudi Embassy in Beirut, Bukhari and his host
stressed that Lebanon should be a “sovereign, free, independent, and final
homeland for all its citizens." Also, the pair extolled the Taif Agreement
"which confirms that Lebanon is Arab in its identity and in its
affiliation."Moreover, Bukhari reiterated Saudi Arabi's equidistance from all
the Lebanese sides, adding that the Kingdom will always be open to all sects and
communities.
Italian Embassy: Climbing tower donation ceremony
NNA/March 18/2021
The Italian Embassy issued Thursday the following press release:
Today, the Italian Bilateral Military Mission in Lebanon (MIBIL), donated to the
Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) a Climbing Tower installed at the Marine Commandos
Regiment Barracks in Amchit in order to meet in a more structured approach the
training requirements. The donation ceremony was attended by Ambassador
Nicoletta Bombardiere, the Italian Defense Attaché, Col. Marco Zona, the MIBIL
Commander, Col. Marcello Orsi. On behalf of the Lebanese Armed Forces
Commander-in-Chief, Gen. Ziad Nasr took part in the ceremony together with the
Marine Commandos Regiment Commander, Col. Bassem Al Ayoubi. Ambassador
Bombardiere expressed her gratitude to attend this significant ceremony in order
to underline the strong cooperation based on friendship and respect between
Lebanon and Italy in general, and between the two Armed Forces in particular.
She added that, despite the Covid-19 pandemic, the MIBIL and the Marine
Commandos Regiment, have been successfully able to conclude two courses, the
“Amphibious Medium Long Recce and Target Acquisition Course” and “Amphibious
Train the Trainer Course”, thanks to their joint efforts and commitment. The
15-week courses started in November 2020 and ended earlier in March this year.
The MIBIL, operating in Lebanon since 2015, foresees many other training
programs and activities in favor of the Lebanese Armed Forces and the
Presidential Guard Brigade for the year 2021.
Rising public fury in Lebanon with country on the abyss
The Arab Weekly/March 18/2021
“We have not yet reached the level of a failed state,” Nasser Yassin of the
American University of Beirut said. “But the state’s ability to survive is
diminishing by the day.”
BEIRUT--Lebanon’s worst economic downturn in decades has pushed a battered
population to the brink with no solution in sight as the country’s barons
wrangle over forming a new government.
In the absence of a fully functioning executive that can spearhead reforms and
provide the most basic of services, is a rescue on the horizon?
Conditions in Lebanon have deteriorated since the protesters first took to the
streets in 2019 demanding the removal of a political leadership deemed to be
both inept and corrupt.
The coronavirus pandemic and the powerful August explosion in Beirut port, which
disfigured the heart of the capital and prompted prime minister Hassan Diab to
resign, have aggravated the country’s economic woes.
The Lebanese pound, officially pegged at 1,507 to the greenback since 1997, has
lost almost 90 percent of its value on the black market. Scattered protests
broke out on Tuesday in different parts of the country after the Lebanese pound
hit a new record low, trading at 15,000 to the dollar on the black market
The depreciation has sparked soaring inflation and chipped away at the
purchasing power of a population denied full access to their savings by
stringent banking controls.
This has prompted a new wave of protests across Lebanon this month after the
coronavirus restrictions temporarily snuffed out demonstrations last year.
Activists have taken aim at the government, which has tried and failed to soften
hardship by subsidising basic goods and prosecuting money exchangers accused of
manipulating the market.
But this has done little to stem the currency crisis while central bank reserves
diminish by the day.
In March 2020 Lebanon defaulted on its foreign debt for the first time.
Last year unemployment was running at close to 40 percent. But even those with
jobs are suffering. Before the economic crisis broke out in 2019, the median
salary was worth around $630 dollars. Its value on the black market today is
just $63.
According to the United Nations, some 55 percent of Lebanese live below the
poverty line of $3.84 a day and up to 23 percent live in extreme poverty,
compared with just eight percent in 2019.
Inflation saw consumer prices rise by 146 percent last year while the World Food
Programme recorded that the overall of food shot up by more than 400 percent.
The price of a basket of key survival items such as rice, pasta and cooking oil
has almost tripled since October 2019, the WFP says.
The price of subsidised bread has also risen by 91.5 percent since May 2020, as
the cash-strapped government has gradually increased the cost of a large packet
of flatbread while also diminishing its weight.
Lebanon’s more than six million inhabitants include around 1.5 million Syrians
who have fled war in their homeland, of whom almost one million have been
registered as refugees with the United Nations.
Nine out of 10 Syrian refugee families in Lebanon live in extreme poverty, says
the UN.
Nearly 180,000 Palestinians also live in Lebanon, according to an official
census, large numbers of whom have lost their jobs.
When is the government?
Spearheaded by France, the international community is piling pressure on
politicians to form a new government quickly.
But more than seven months after Diab resigned, political leaders have yet to
agree on a new line-up.
Prime minister-designate Saad Hariri and President Michel Aoun have accused each
other of obstruction.
According to Lebanese media reports, Aoun and the political party he founded are
pushing for a big share of cabinet seats, a demand Hariri has rejected. Aoun has
denied this accusation.
An Arab diplomatic source in Beirut said “the behaviour of political parties and
their calculations, which don’t seem to have changed, suggest there is
obstruction from all sides that could last months”.
“We have presented many solutions, but they were turned down,” the source told
AFP on condition of anonymity.
Nasser Yassin of the American University of Beirut accused authorities of being
tone deaf.
“As we move towards the abyss, there is a great political crisis, with each side
trying to see how to secure gains before total collapse,” he told AFP.
Public institutions, meanwhile, are not capable of carrying out “the most basic
of tasks”.
A ‘failed state’?
Over the past week, members of Lebanon’s outgoing government have sounded the
alarm.
Interior minister Mohammad Fahmi said security has “crumbled” as crime rates
soar.
Energy minister Raymond Ghajar warned of “total darkness” by the end of the
month if funds are not made available to import power station fuel.
Education minister Tarek Majzoub announced a week-long suspension of teaching in
public schools in protest at the lack of state support for pupils and teachers
hit by the economic crisis.
The army chief has complained of budget cuts and several professional
associations have threatened strikes.
“We have not yet reached the level of a failed state,” Yasin said. “But the
state’s ability to survive is diminishing by the day.”
Any solutions in sight?
There are no quick fixes but economists argue a turnaround is still possible.
“The problem is that we have yet to start with a rescue plan,” said Yasin.
International donors have made their aid conditional on the implementation of a
reform programme that could save the economy.
Diab’s government last year announced a rescue roadmap that included spending
cuts, electricity sector reform, restructuring of the banking system and
abandoning the US dollar peg.
But it has yet to be implemented.
“A future government that doesn’t meet the standards of the international
community … will not likely enact the reforms needed to receive financial
support,” the Arab diplomatic source warned.
Lebanon began talks with the International Monetary Fund last year but they
quickly hit a wall over lack of political consensus over what reforms are
needed.
Henri Chaoul, who was part of the government’s IMF negotiating team before he
resigned in protest, said officials were to blame for the currency crisis.
“All of this was preventable,” he said on Twitter last week when the pound hit
12,000 to the greenback.
“They are responsible for this,” he added, referring to politicians and central
bankers as well as the commercial banks.
Lebanon’s crises will feed the hunger revolution
Hanin Ghaddar/Al Arabiya/March 18/2021
أزمات لبنان تغذي ثورة الجوع/حنين غدار/العربية /18 آذار/2021
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/97097/hanin-ghaddar-lebanons-crises-will-feed-the-hunger-revolution-%d8%ad%d9%86%d9%8a%d9%86-%d8%ba%d8%af%d8%a7%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d8%b2%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%86%d8%a7%d9%86-%d8%aa%d8%ba/
With the US dollar exceeding the 15,000 Lebanese Lira threshold,
people took to the street as inflation skyrocketed. Supermarkets shut their
doors, and fights over food produce escalated into armed clashes in some areas.
Lebanon’s hunger revolution has begun. As it spills onto the streets of Lebanon,
the moment rests on a knife-edge that can lead either to real change, or slip
into street warfare. The worse is about to happen. The people can sense the
chaos approaching.
Everyone knows the dire economic situation, and it is not farfetched to see a
shortage of subsidized goods, continuing spiraling inflation and little hard
currency available in Lebanon.
On the security level the latest statistics published by the Lebanese internal
security, crime increased significantly, with murders jumping 45 percent in the
past year, and reported thefts 144 percent. Can this be contained? Probably not.
What needs to happen is making sure people do not turn against each other as
they fight over essential items. Instead, channeling their anger and frustration
into an organized movement geared to tackle the political class, before the
parliamentary elections in May 2022, is essential.
Lebanon has entered a new phase. People know that there are no international
governments that can save them. It’s up to themselves to save the country as one
organized movement.
The peaceful and hopeful October 2019 protests flopped. Today’s streets look
demoralized and hopeless. The collapsing society can follow different paths. The
street conflicts and increasing crime is expected, but will always be erratic.
Going hungry is something entirely different. People have little choice but to
react and force change, so not all hope is lost. One way to channel the
inevitable collapse is to keep the protest movement focused. It is no longer
enough to go on the street, burn tires, and criticize the political class. A
strategy is needed, led by the main opposition groups in Lebanon, with a simple
goal: to determine the parliamentary elections’ outcome.
This requires three initiatives.
First, for the civil society groups must put their differences aside, work with
other opposing leaderships, such as Patriarch Bechara Rai. Support his
initiative, and accept the backing of some political groups who are outside the
system, such as the Kataeb and its leader Samy Gemayel, who supported the
October 2019 protests, and has refused to be part of the government.
Second, all these groups should form a single political front, and counter
Hezbollah’s attempts to flood the streets with rhetoric. Since 2019, this group
has managed to infiltrate the streets with groups and slogans that are less
focused on them and their allies, and instead directed against their opponents,
with the banking system, the Central Bank, and their political opponents its
focus.
Hezbollah divided opinion, and today are attempting to control it. Regaining the
voice of districts across the country must happen; it’s the only route left for
the people. The groups that fought the terrorist’s rhetoric and succeeded in
conveying the truth in 2019 should come back as one unified and strong voice,
with clear demands and a solid strategy.
Third, the international community has made it clear that no help is forthcoming
unless the Lebanese people start helping themselves. Rightly so. It is up to the
public to show the international community that the people support proper
change, but need extra support to make sure that elections take place on time,
transparently, and under international supervision.
Current attempts by Hezbollah face challenges created by people’s distrust of
the political elite, the protests’ ability to pressure for any change, and
attracting international attention.
But, the crux of the changing mood in Lebanon is the diminishing amount of food
on the dinner table.
When the spark of the hunger revolution ignites, an organized public movement
will bring real change. The chance to create a united front is upon the people
of Lebanon.
The
Latest
English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on
March 18-19/2021
UN Security Council condemns Iran-backed Houthi offensive
in Yemen
Reuters/March 18/2021
The UN Security Council on Thursday condemned an escalation in fighting in
Yemen’s Marib, calling for the Houthis to end an offensive on the government’s
last northern stronghold, and pushing for the government to allow fuel into
Hodeidah port. In a statement, the 15-member council also condemned cross-border
attacks against Saudi Arabia and said the escalation in Marib “threatens efforts
to secure a political settlement when the international community is
increasingly united to end the conflict.”An Arab-led military coalition
intervened in Yemen in 2015 after the Iran-backed Houthi group ousted the
country’s government from the capital Sanaa. The Houthis say they are fighting a
corrupt system. Since taking office in January, US President Joe Biden has made
Yemen a priority and appointed special envoy. Tim Lenderking to help revive
stalled UN efforts to end the conflict. Lenderking said on Friday that a
ceasefire plan was before the Houthis and urged them to respond. The UN Security
Council, which was briefed on Yemen on Tuesday, “stressed the need for
de-escalation by all, including an immediate end to the Houthi escalation in
Marib.”UN Yemen mediator Martin Griffiths warned on Tuesday that the war in
Yemen was “back in full force.” Both Griffiths and UN aid chief Mark Lowcock
also said that commercial fuel imports into Hodeidah port had been blocked since
January and urged the government to allow deliveries. The Security Council on
Thursday “expressed concern over the dire economic and humanitarian situation,
and emphasized the importance of facilitating humanitarian assistance as well as
the movement of fuel ships into Hodeidah port.”
Iran-backed attacks on US forces to accelerate nuclear deal will not work: US
envoy
Joseph Haboush, Al Arabiya English/March 18/2021
Attacks by Iran-backed militias against US forces abroad will not force
Washington to move faster to reach a new deal with Tehran, Special Envoy for
Iran Rob Malley has said. Iraqi militias have repeatedly targeted military bases
hosting US troops across Iraq, and the number of attacks has escalated since
President Joe Biden took office. Biden and his administration have said they
want to sit down with Iran for talks on the nuclear deal, which former President
Donald Trump withdrew from in 2018. The original agreement, also known as the
JCPOA, was brokered by then-President Barack Obama.
Democrats argue that the deal prevented Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon in
exchange for sanctions relief and allowing Tehran access to the global economy,
dominated by the US dollar. But Iran has given Biden the cold shoulder and
refused to accept an invitation to sit down for talks. In the meantime, the
attacks against US and Coalition forces in Iraq continue. This will not pressure
the US to move quickly, Malley told Voice of America. Insinuating that Iran was
directing the attacks in an effort to pressure the US to act quickly, Malley
said, “it’s hard to see how that is going to work.” Iran has insisted that the
US lift all sanctions imposed by the Trump administration before it comes back
into compliance with the JCPOA. Biden and the US have said Iran must first come
back into compliance. As for the attacks, Malley said the US would respond “as
it has responded and it will continue to respond.”
Last month, Biden ordered an airstrike on Iranian proxies inside Syria to
respond to an attack that wounded Americans stationed in Iraq’s Erbil. Days
later, another rocket attack killed an American civilian contractor at Iraq’s
Al-Asad airbase. The US has not retaliated for this attack yet.
“It’s not really helping the climate in the US to have Iranian allies take shots
at Americans in Iraq or elsewhere,” Malley said. Republicans and Democrats are
divided, for the most part, over Biden’s Iran policy. Republicans are lobbying
to maintain sanctions on Iran to force a behavior change in the Iranian regime,
while Democrats favor lifting sanctions with the belief that Iran will then rein
in its proxies and ballistic missile program. In separate comments made to the
BBC Persian, Malley said he understood why Iran was frustrated with the
sanctions imposed by the Trump administration. He then proposed for a third
party to mediate between the US and Iran if the latter did not want direct talks
with Washington. This is another attempt by the US to appease Iran after sending
multiple signals to Tehran that it was taking a softer stance than the previous
administration. Days after taking office, Biden revoked the terror designation
against Yemen’s Houthis and removed three of its leaders from the Specially
Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT) list. The administration then signaled that
it was willing to release frozen Iranian funds in foreign banks; the State
Department has since said the reports were untrue. The Biden administration has
also frozen arms sales to Saud Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, Iran’s
archrivals in the Middle East.
Iran making ‘significant developments’ in building its
weapon arsenal: Israeli
Jennifer Bell, Al Arabiya English/March 18/2021
Iran has recently made significant advances in the development of its weapon
arsenal, including precision-guided rockets and missiles, cruise missiles and
drones, Israeli media reported Wednesday. According to Amos Harel, one of
Israel’s leading experts on military and defense issues, Israeli intelligence
has observed a rise in Iranian capabilities, which are now being extensively
distributed across Iran’s radical axis of proxy forces in the Middle East,
including Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Assad regime in Syria, the Shia militias in
Iraq, and the Houthi militia in Yemen. Writing in Israel’s Haaretz newspaper,
Harel citied intelligence officials as stating that, for the first time, the
Iranian arms industry has become “an industry encompassing the entire radical
axis.” “One unit from the Revolutionary Guards, Unit 340 of the Quds Force, is
responsible for the research and development that serves all the terrorist and
guerilla organizations operating with Tehran’s patronage and financing,” said
Harel. “The knowhow gained by the Iranians is quickly and effectively relayed to
their proxies throughout the region.”Harel explained that Tehran’s aim is to
enable these organizations to achieve independent production capability in their
respective countries, without being dependent upon Iranian smuggling operations.
This will help these proxy forces should Israel successfully strike any part of
Iran’s various smuggling channels. Last week, Iran blamed Israel for a blast on
an Iranian cargo ship in the Mediterranean, with an Iranian Foreign Ministry
spokesperson noting that Iran would consider “all options” in response,
according to reports in local media. The container ship Shahr e Kord was hit by
an explosive object which caused a small fire, but no one on board was hurt.
“Israel is especially concerned by Hezbollah’s acceleration of its “precision
project,” in which it plans to do a massive upgrade of its arsenal of rockets
and missiles so they can strike within just a few meters of their targets,”
Harel said. “In recent years, in the wake of the Israeli strikes on its
smuggling operations, Hezbollah has made several attempts to build facilities in
Lebanon to manufacture weaponry and convert arms to precision-guided weapons.”He
said, officially, Israel talks about Hezbollah having dozens of precision
rockets, but some assessments say that number has surged in the past couple of
years and is now reputedly in the hundreds. “Hezbollah is working on developing
several types of improvements for its missiles – greater precision, greater
lethal impact and ability to circumvent the active Israeli defense systems,”
said Harel. “In his speeches, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah often talks
about the level of precision of his organization’s weaponry and boasts that in
the event of a war, Israel will be surprised by Hezbollah’s capabilities.”He
said another nearby arena where similar progress has been made is the Gaza
Strip. “Hamas, with Iranian aid, has significantly boosted its production
capacity for rockets and drones and conducts very frequent test firings that are
directed westward into the Mediterranean.” In the last few years, Hamas members
have traveled to Iran and elsewhere for training in weapons development, claimed
Harel. He pointed out that in late February, an Israeli naval operation
reportedly destroyed Hamas weapons off the Gaza coast. This, said Harel, turned
out to be a Hamas boat.
The Houthi militia in Yemen, which operates in close consultation with the
Revolutionary Guards, have also been “dramatically upgraded,” Harel said. He
points that in recent weeks, the Iran-backed Houthis have stepped up their
attacks against airfields and oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, firing dozens of
drones and missiles at the Kingdom in recent weeks. “At present, the Houthis are
not showing much interest in friction with Israel,” said Harel. “They are too
preoccupied with the war on the Saudis. But intelligence officials say that in
the future, Iran may try to deploy drones and missiles in Yemen that could reach
southern Israel."
France’s Macron blasts Iran for continuous violations of
nuclear deal
Reuters/March 18/2021
French President Emmanuel Macron accused Iran on Thursday of continuing to
violate a 2015 nuclear deal with world powers, and said Tehran should act
responsibly. France, along with Britain, Germany and the European Union, is
trying to bring the United States and Iran to the table for informal talks that
would be a first step to reviving the 2015 deal, which lifted international
sanctions on Tehran in exchange for curbs to its nuclear program. Both sides so
far appear unwilling to compromise. The Iranian New Year this week and
campaigning for the country’s presidential election in June are also likely to
complicate matters. “Iran must stop aggravating a serious nuclear situation with
an accumulation of violations of the Vienna accord,” Macron said alongside
President Reuven Rivlin of Israel, an arch foe of Iran in the Middle East
region. “Iran must make the expected gestures and behave in a responsible way,”
Macron added. Macron said Paris would continue to work to revive a credible
process to end this crisis. “That means a return to control and supervision of
the nuclear program, but also to integrating - as we have called for since 2017
- the control of Iran’s ballistic missile activity,” he added. Iran has ruled
out broadening nuclear talks to other subjects. Since the United States quit the
2015 deal when Donald Trump was president, Iran has progressively reduced its
compliance with the pact.
White House says President Biden does not regret calling
Putin a killer
Reuters/March 18/2021
US President Joe Biden does not regret calling Russian leader Vladimir Putin a
killer during a national television interview this week, White House press
secretary Jen Psaki said on Thursday. Putin on Thursday responded that it takes
one to know one, adding that he wished Biden good health. Psaki said Biden had
no regrets in response to questions whether the president was concerned that his
comments escalated an already strained relationship. Biden also described Putin
as having no soul in the ABC News interview, and said he would pay a price for
alleged Russian meddling in the November 2020 US presidential election,
something the Kremlin denies. When asked whether he believed Putin was a killer,
Biden replied “I do.” The interview prompted Russia to recall its Washington
ambassador for consultations on Wednesday. Konstantin Kosachev, a deputy speaker
of the upper house of Russian parliament, said Biden’s “boorish statement” marks
a watershed. “Such assessments are inadmissible for a statesman of his rank,”
Kosachev said. “Such statements are unacceptable under any circumstances. They
inevitably lead to a sharp exacerbation of our bilateral ties.”Commenting on the
Russian move Wednesday, White House spokeswoman Jen Psaki emphasized that “we
will be direct, we will speak out on areas where we have concerns, and it will
certainly be, as the president said last night — certainly, the Russians will be
held accountable for the actions that they have taken.”
Biden calls on all entities involved in Nord Stream 2 to
‘immediately abandon work’
Joseph Haboush, Al Arabiya English/March 18/2021
The Biden administration Thursday stepped up its rhetoric against a gas pipeline
between Russia and Germany, calling on all those involved in the project to
“immediately abandon” their work. “The Department reiterates its warning that
any entity involved in the Nord Stream 2 pipeline risks US sanctions and should
immediately abandon work on the pipeline,” Secretary of State Antony Blinken
said in a statement. Congress passed a law in 2019 that called for sanctioning
entities and companies working on the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. It was then
expanded in 2020 in a rare case of bipartisan support for US foreign policy. The
project is estimated to cost around $11 billion and would run under the Baltic
Sea. President Joe Biden, as did his predecessor Donald Trump, has
condemned the project. “As the President has said, Nord Stream 2 is a bad deal —
for Germany, for Ukraine, and for our Central and Eastern European allies and
partners,” Blinken said Thursday. “The Department is tracking efforts to
complete the Nord Stream 2 pipeline and is evaluating information regarding
entities that appear to be involved.”Blinken dubbed the project as “a Russian
geopolitical project intended to divide Europe and weaken European energy
security.” The top US diplomat added that the Biden Administration was fully
committed to complying with legislation that would force sanctions on those
involved in the Nord Stream 2.
EU Regulator Says AstraZeneca Vaccine 'Safe and Effective'
Agence France Presse/March 18/2021
The EU's drugs regulator said on Thursday that it had found the AstraZeneca
coronavirus vaccine was "safe and effective" and was not linked to an increased
risk of blood clots. Around a dozen countries had suspended the use of the
vaccine and were awaiting the outcome of an investigation by the European
Medicines Agency (EMA) safety committee. "The committee has come to a clear
scientific conclusion: this is a safe and effective vaccine," Emer Cooke, the
head of the Amsterdam-based EMA, told a press conference. "Its benefits in
protecting people from Covid-19 with the associated risks of death and
hospitalization outweigh the possible risks," she said. "The committee also
concluded that the vaccine is not associated with an increase in the overall
risk of thromboembolic events or blood clots." Cooke added: "If it was me I
would be vaccinated tomorrow." The EMA said however that it "could not rule out
definitively" a connection to a particularly rare type of clotting disorder and
would update the vaccine's product information. "During the investigation and
review we began to see a small number of cases of rare and unusual but very
serious clotting disorder and this then triggered a more focused review," she
said. "Based on the evidence available, and after days of in depth analysis of
lab results, clinical reports, autopsy reports and further information from the
clinical trials, we still cannot rule out definitively a link between these
cases and the vaccine."The new warning in the vaccine information would draw
attention to the "possible rare conditions" to help patients and healthcare
professionals "stop and mitigate any possible side effects." The EMA was
launching a further probe into the rare cases, she added.
UK Regulator Says 'No Evidence' Clots Caused by Covid Vaccines
Agence France Presse/March 18/2021
Britain's health regulator said Thursday said it had not found any direct links
between AstraZeneca's vaccine and blood clots after a slew of countries halted
the shot over health fears. The agency also said there were no ties linking
clots and the Pfizer vaccine, and incidents were no higher in vaccinated groups
than among the unvaccinated. "There is no evidence that blood clots in veins is
occurring more than would be expected in the absence of vaccination, for either
vaccine," said June Raine, chief executive of the independent Medicines and
Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA). The announcement came as Europe's
medical regulator was set to give its verdict on the safety of the AstraZeneca
jab against coronavirus, after several nations suspended its use. Britain has
ordered some 100 million doses of the jab, which was developed with scientists
from Oxford University, and it forms the mainstay of the mass vaccination
campaign. The MHRA was the first regulator to approve the use of Pfizer/BioNTech
and AstraZeneca vaccines in the general population. Since early December last
year, more than half the country's adult population -- some 25 million people --
have received a first dose. Eleven million have received the AstraZeneca jab.
The MHRA said it reached its conclusion after a rigorous examination of the
available data, including reported cases of blood clots in veins, hospital
admissions and doctors' records. The government's independent advisory group,
the Commission on Human Medicines, had come to the same assessment. Britain's
government and medical establishment have robustly defended the safety of the
vaccines, amid fears European hesitancy could have an impact on its take-up.
Raine said MHRA advice remained that "the benefits of the vaccines against
Covid-19 continue to outweigh the risks of potential side effects." The public
should get a jab when they are called, she added in a statement. "We have
received a very small number of reports of an extremely rare form of blood clot
in the cerebral veins (sinus vein thrombosis, or CSVT) occurring together with
lowered platelets soon after vaccination," she said. "This type of blood clot
can occur naturally in people who have not been vaccinated, as well as in those
suffering from COVID-19."
Takes One to Know One': Putin Mocks Biden over 'Killer'
Comment
Agence France Presse/March 18/2021
Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday mocked Joe Biden for calling him a
"killer" -- saying "it takes one to know one" -- as ties between Moscow and
Washington sank to new lows. U.S. President Biden's comments sparked the biggest
crisis between Russia and the United States in years, with Moscow recalling its
ambassador for consultations and warning that ties were on the brink of outright
"collapse." But speaking during an event marking seven years since Russia's
annexation of Crimea, Putin ruled out severing ties with the United States
altogether and lobbed a jab at the 78-year-old U.S. leader. "We always see in
another person our own qualities and think that he is the same as us," Putin
said, referring to Biden's "killer" comment. "It takes one to know one," Putin
added, citing a saying from his Soviet-era childhood in Saint Petersburg.
"That's not just a children's saying and a joke. There's a deep psychological
meaning in this." Putin added that he wished Biden health. "I'm saying this
without irony, not as a joke." In the interview with ABC News on Wednesday,
Biden said Putin would "pay a price" for trying to undermine his candidacy in
the U.S. election in 2020. Asked if he thought Putin was "a killer", Biden
replied: "I do."
'Deal with it'
His comments stood in stark contrast with his predecessor, Donald Trump, who was
often accused of going soft on Putin. In recent years Russia's relationship with
Washington has gone from bad to worse, and there were calls in Moscow Wednesday
for Russia to pause diplomatic relations. Putin said Thursday however that
Moscow would continue working with the United States on terms "beneficial" to
Russia."We can defend our interests," Putin said. "And they will have to deal
with it," he said. Putin's spokesman Dmitry Peskov, speaking earlier, described
Biden's remarks as "very bad." "It is clear that he does not want to get the
relationship with our country back on track," Peskov said. German foreign
minister Heiko Maas on Thursday, however, welcomed Washington's "clear language"
on Russia. "Since the Biden administration took office, the conversations that
we have had with different representatives have made clear that there will be
clear language in Washington on Russia," Maas said. Moscow's embassy in
Washington said ambassador Anatoly Antonov was set to depart for Russia on
Saturday to discuss "ways to rectify Russia-US ties, which are in crisis".
The embassy warned that Washington had pushed bilateral ties to the brink.
'Threat of collapse' -
"Certain ill-considered statements of high-ranking U.S. officials have put the
already excessively confrontational relations under the threat of collapse."
Moscow and Washington share a mutual distrust that flared after the Kremlin's
annexation of the Crimean peninsula in 2014. Ties deteriorated over Russia's
alleged meddling in the U.S. elections in 2016 and more recently when the West
concluded that Russian opposition figure Alexei Navalny was poisoned last summer
with a Soviet-designed nerve agent. But the two countries have continued
cooperation on issues of shared interest, including the Iran nuclear deal and
the Afghanistan peace process. The U.S. Commerce Department announced this week
it was toughening export restrictions imposed on Russia as punishment for
Navalny's poisoning in August. Over the past few decades Russia has rarely
recalled its ambassadors. Moscow last summoned its envoy in the U.S. in 1998
over a Western bombing campaign in Iraq. In 2014, during the fallout after the
annexation of Crimea, Putin refused to recall a Washington envoy even after then
U.S. President Barack Obama said that the Russian leader would pay for his
Ukraine policies. Putin at the time said recalling an envoy would be a "measure
of last resort." Political analyst Fyodor Lukyanov said that recalling the envoy
in Washington would not be enough.
"Putting ties on ice completely, apart from the minimally necessary technical
aspects, would be logical," he wrote in the Kommersant broadsheet.
6.0-magnitude Earthquake Strikes off Algerian Coast
Agence France Presse/March 18/2021
A shallow 6.0 magnitude earthquake struck off the Algerian coast on Thursday,
the US Geological Survey said. The quake hit 20 kilometres north-east of the
city of Bejaia at 1:04 am local time (0004 GMT), at a depth of 10 kilometres,
according to the US monitoring service. Bejaia, which has a population of
roughly 164,000, endured moderate shaking, USGS said. The capital city Algiers
also felt some light shaking. In the aftermath of the 6.0-magnitude quake USGS
reported two further quakes in the same area, of 5.2 and 4.7 magnitude
respectively. In Bejaia the General Directorate of Algerian Civil Protection
reported some instances of panic as residents fled their homes. They also said
there was some damage, including cracks in the walls of residences as well as
the partial collapse of an old unoccupied building. There have been no reports
yet of serious injuries or casualties. Photographs shared on social media also
appeared to show some damage, with interior walls fractured and images of
crumbled walls.
Turkey moves to ban pro-Kurdish party as domestic
challenges mount
The Arab Weekly/March 18/2021
The HDP won 11.7% of the vote in a 2018 parliamentary election and 55 seats in
the 600-member parliament.
ANKARA--A move by Turkey towards banning the pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic
Party (HDP) is seen by analysts as fueling tensions between Ankara and both
Europe and the US, just one week before a summit at which EU leaders are due to
discuss strained relations with Ankara.
A Turkish prosecutor filed a case with the constitutional court on Wednesday
demanding a ban on the HDP over alleged ties to Kurdish militants. This is the
culmination of a slow crackdown over several years against the third largest
party in parliament.
The HDP condemned the indictment as a “heavy blow to democracy” and urged its
supporters to resist. “We call on all the democratic forces, the social and
political opposition and on our people to join a common fight against this
political coup,” it said in a statement.
The move marks the revival of a long history of Turkey banning political
parties, including pro-Kurdish ones.
The US State Department said dissolving the HDP “would unduly subvert the will
of Turkish voters, further undermine democracy in Turkey and deny millions of
Turkish citizens their chosen representation”.
The prosecutor’s unveiling of the case came on the same day that Turkey’s
parliament stripped prominent HDP deputy Omer Faruk Gergerlioglu of his
parliamentary status. The party’s parliamentary group co-chair Meral Danis
Bestas said Gergerlioglu had become the 14th party lawmakers to have been
deprived of his parliamentary immunity since 2016.
“You cannot do as you please with MPs elected by the people,” Bestas’s fellow
co-chair Saruhan Oluc told reporters.
Gergerlioglu has long irritated Erdogan’s government by shining a light on a
variety of human rights violations which often go ignored by the mainstream
Turkish media. His advocacy for female detainees subjected to strip searches
particularly angered the government last year.
Human Rights Watch (HRW) noted that Gergerlioglu’s offending posts did not
promote violence and that he was stripped of his seat before the Constitutional
Court had had a chance to review his appeal.
HRW’s Turkey director Emma Sinclair-Webb called it “a shocking attack on
democratic norms and the rule of law, a violation of Turkey’s constitution, laws
and obligations under international law.”
“Unapologetically (moving) towards the end of pluralism. What reaction does
Turkey expect now from the European Union? A positive agenda?”, said Nacho
Sanchez Amor, the European Parliament’s rapporteur on Turkey, which is a
candidate for EU membership though accession talks have been stalled for over 30
years.
AKP’s misfortunes
The HDP had recently come under intensified pressure, with nationalist allies of
President Tayyip Erdogan’s AK Party calling for it to be banned over alleged
ties to the outlawed Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) militant group. That
coincided with falling poll support for the AKP and its nationalist partners as
they battle the economic fallout of the coronavirus pandemic. However, elections
are not scheduled until 2023.
Supporters of Selahattin Demirtas, a jailed former co-leader of the pro-Kurdish
Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP), wave party flags as they gather for a press
statement outside the Istanbul Justice Palace, the Caglayan Presidential
communications director Fahrettin Altun, in the first government reaction to the
outcry said that it was “an indisputable fact that HDP has organic ties to PKK”,
noting Turkey, the United States and the European Union consider it a terrorist
organisation.
“HDP’s senior leaders and spokespeople, through their words and deeds, have
repeatedly and consistently proved that they are the PKK’s political wing,” he
said.
Devlet Bahceli, leader of the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), also hailed the
move: “The HDP is a criminal organisation disguised in a political cloak. It is
a historic and moral duty for it to be shut and never to be reopened under
another name.”
The HDP has said it would regroup in a new party if banned, though the Haberturk
news website cited the indictment as saying the prosecutor demanded a political
ban for more than 600 HDP officials – a severe obstacle to any such strategy.
The HDP, which won 11.7% of the vote in a 2018 parliamentary election and has 55
seats in the 600-member parliament, accused the AKP of shaping politics through
the courts. It denies any links to the militants.
The PKK has fought an insurgency against the state in mainly Kurdish southeast
Turkey since 1984. More than 40,000 people have been killed in the conflict. The
Constitutional Court could theoretically throw out the prosecutor’s petition and
not put the HDP on trial.
But Western governments question the Turkish justice system’s independence and
accuse Erdogan of using the courts as a political bludgeon to suppress dissent.
Egypt, US in Red Sea naval exercises to support regional
security
Arab News/March 18, 2021
The exercises involving Egypt’s Red Sea-based southern fleet are part of ongoing
international efforts to maintain stability and react to a range of scenarios
The Egyptian frigate Sharm El-Sheikh, and the American amphibious warfare ship
USS Somerset (LPD 25), took part in the training
CAIRO: Egyptian and American naval forces have been carrying out military
training in the Red Sea as part of an initiative to combat maritime security
threats in the region. The exercises involving Egypt’s
Red Sea-based southern fleet are part of ongoing international efforts to
maintain stability and react to a range of scenarios. “The joint training is
taking place within the framework of the continuation of joint exercises
conducted by the Egyptian naval forces with friendly countries,” said military
spokesman for the Egyptian Armed Forces, Tamer Al-Rifai. He pointed out that the
exercises were aimed at enhancing the combat capabilities of marine units to
face the challenges and threats to maritime security and stability in the
region. The Egyptian frigate Sharm El-Sheikh, and the American amphibious
warfare ship USS Somerset (LPD 25), took part in the training. The naval
exercises – part of a strategic partnership arrangement between the Egyptian and
American armed forces – included a set of maritime combat activities such as
countering typical threats, situation analysis, transportation logistics, and
relevant Red Sea security procedures.
The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published
on March 18-19/2021
Iran Is Trying to Convert Syria to Shiism
Anchal Vohra/Foreign Policy/March 18/2021
Ten years after entering Syria’s civil war, Tehran is using religion to make its
influence there permanent.
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/97093/anchal-vohra-foreign-policy-iran-is-trying-to-convert-syria-to-shiism-%d9%85%d8%ac%d9%84%d8%a9-%d8%a3%d9%85%d8%b1%d9%8a%d9%83%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d8%a5%d9%8a%d8%b1%d8%a7%d9%86-%d8%aa%d8%ad%d9%88%d9%84/
Former Syrian President Hafez al-Assad’s Baath Party regime was the first to
recognize, and offer legitimacy to, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini’s Islamic
revolution in Iran. But Assad was careful to never let Iran expand its influence
in Syria as it later did in Lebanon through Hezbollah.
The desperation of his son and successor Bashar al-Assad has given Iran’s
expansionists their chance. Iranian forces entered Syria soon after its civil
war started a decade ago to help defend the younger Assad’s regime against
rebels. Tehran supported the Syrian regime in the war, along with its Lebanese
proxy Hezbollah, and even enrolled Shiite fighters from Afghanistan, Iraq, and
Pakistan to aid the cause. Over time, Iran recruited local Syrian fighters in
militias ostensibly to guard Shiite shrines, and it intensified relations with
the higher echelons of the Syrian military apparatus, particularly the 4th
Division headed by one of Hafez al-Assad’s other sons, Maher al-Assad.
A decade into the conflict, Iran-backed militias control the outskirts of
Damascus and patrol the strategic towns on the Syria-Lebanon border. They are
present in large numbers in southern Syria near Israel, have multiple bases in
Aleppo, and since the Islamic State’s defeat in 2018 have also set up camp in
towns and villages on the Syria-Iraq border.
But it’s not only through arms that Iran has secured its arc of influence from
Tehran through Iraq and Syria to Lebanon. Over the last few years, as the
military conflict has subsided, Iran has expanded its cultural influence in the
war-torn nation to encourage Sunnis to convert to Shiism or at the very least
soften their attitudes toward their sectarian rivals. Foreign Policy spoke to
recent converts and their friends inside regime-held Syria who said that the
economic collapse in Syria made it hard to ignore the perks Iran offered.
Iran is handing out cash to needy Syrians, a heavy dose of indoctrination in
religious seminaries, scholarships to children to study in Iranian universities,
free health care, food baskets, and trips to tourist spots to encourage
conversion. Such small measures are not cost-intensive but could go a long way
in influencing the view of Iran among impoverished Syrians.
It has restored old shrines and built new ones of revered Shiite figures, almost
as if trying to rewrite the religious history of Syria, which is majority-Sunni
and had a very small Shiite population before the war. Around a dozen locals,
activists, and Syrian analysts told Foreign Policy that Iran is trying to
present itself as a benign power to cultivate long-term support among Sunni
Syrians, with the final objective of retaining its sphere of influence and
exercising control through proxies, as in Lebanon and Iraq.
Iranian militias have been actively aided by the Syrian regime under its
notorious Decree 10 to purchase homes of Syrians who migrated elsewhere during
the war. Some militia members have reportedly also confiscated property and
brought their families from Iraq and Lebanon to settle inside Syria.
Syrian experts say this demographic and cultural penetration is directed at
increasing the numbers of Shiites in Syria to enable Iran to claim political
power on their behalf. If there are a significant number of Shiites in the
country, then Iran can claim to represent their interests when a final political
solution for the Syrian crisis is discussed, and it can ask that they be given
positions in the government, the armed forces, and other institutions. Many fear
Iran wants to exert influence through supporters within the system and not just
through a beholden president whose support could waver depending on deals he
makes with Russia and the United Arab Emirates, which has been trying to bring
him back into the Arab fold.
Unlike Lebanon and Iraq, however, Syria is dominantly Sunni, and that makes it
an uphill task for the Iranian regime. Despite the challenges, Iran seems
undeterred.
Ahmad, 24, who speak with FP on condition of anonymity, is one of the newest
members of the Shiite community in Syria. He lived in Mayadeen, a town on the
border with Iraq in Deir Ezzor governorate in eastern Syria, but fled to Bab
near Turkey with his family during the conflict. He returned in 2018 when his
friend told him that all his worries could end if he joined an Iranian militia.
A Sunni, he joined the Sayyidah Zaynab battalions, named after the granddaughter
of Prophet Mohammed and daughter of Imam Ali, the patriarch of Shiites.
A statue of a woman by Lebanese artist Hayat Nazer, made out of leftover glass,
rubble, and a broken clock marking the time (6:08 PM) of the mega explosion at
the port of Beirut is placed opposite to the site of the blast in the Lebanese
capital's harbour, to mark the one year anniversary of the beginning of the
anti-government protest movement across the country, on October 20, 2020.
Syria’s Hidden Hand in Lebanon’s Port Explosion
Signs are adding up that the explosives in Beirut may have been intended for
Damascus—but Lebanese elites are trying to slow the investigation.
“My friend in al-Mayadeen said I could come back and join the Iranians and
nobody would hurt me or my family,” Ahmad told Foreign Policy from Set Zaynab, a
town that is home to the shrine of Sayyidah Zaynab 6 miles south of Damascus and
completely under the grip of Iran-backed militias.
Ahmad works as a guard at the shrine and gets paid 100,000 Syrian pounds (around
$200) a month, but he needed more cash to pay for his father’s kidney dialysis
twice a month. In February, the leader of his militia offered to double his pay
if he converted to Shiism himself. Ahmad agreed at once. “Recently we had a
meeting with our militia leader who said we would be promoted and get money if
we converted to Shiism and just listened to some lectures at Sayyidah Zaynab,”
he told Foreign Policy. “I said yes along with 20 other men because all of us
need money. If I am Shiite I will be paid 200,000 Syrian pounds. I really need
the money because of my father’s treatment. I don’t care about religion.”
Taim al-Ahmad from Daraa, a city in southwestern Syria near Jordan, recounted a
similar story of a friend who first joined an Iran-backed militia and later
converted to Shiism. “They promoted him and gave him an apartment,” he said. “He
gets free medical services and a monthly gas cylinder despite the economic
crisis in Syria.” Taim al-Ahmad said his friend suddenly had benefits denied to
other Syrians, including a security permit from Syrian intelligence to travel
anywhere in the country “without being subjected to harassment.”
Deir Ezzor province is perhaps the key zone of these operations. Abu Kamal, a
city at the province’s main crossing point with Iraq, has witnessed a lot of
seemingly innocuous but manipulative Iranian activity in the recent past.
For instance, it has restored the Qarameesh park in Abu Kamal, which had been
destroyed by the Islamic State, and renamed it “Friends Park.” (The Syrian
regime advertises Iran as a “friend of the country.”) On a weekly basis, Iranian
militias organize fun activities in the park to inform people, mainly children,
about Shiite imams and advertise Iran as a righteous force challenging Israel
and imperialism.
“All the fun and games are a ruse to indoctrinate the minds of the children and
their parents to lure them to convert to Shiism,” said Sayah Abu Walid, an
activist from Abu Kamal. The sports club in the city has turned into a kitchen
and a restaurant for Iranian militias. The whole soccer stadium is now
effectively a base for an Iranian takeover, Abu Walid said.
According to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a London-based monitor,
Iran recently invited the people of Mayadeen to the Nour Iranian Cultural Center
to attend a course on the principles and doctrines of Shiite religion. At the
end of the course, all who pass would be given money, about 100,000 Syrian
pounds, and a food basket.
Iran has opened a number of religious schools, shrines, and charities in Syria.
While it faced less resistance in Damascus and Aleppo, to expand into Deir Ezzor
Iran had to entice local tribal leaders, who are often more interested in their
own survival and would back whoever is the rising star. Some members of one such
tribe, al-Bakara, have responded positively to Iranians mainly because of a
tribal leader who sees advantage in currying favor with Iran.
On the other side of the border, Iran’s interests are well guarded by militias
like Asaib Ahl al-Haq, an armed group that Tehran supports but that operates
under the banner of the Popular Mobilization Forces as part of Iraqi security
services. Moreover, Russia’s lack of interest in Deir Ezzor means Iran does not
have to compete to set up camp there.
Bassam Barabandi, a former Syrian diplomat currently in exile in the United
States, said that the Iranian presence and activities have sowed the seeds of a
future insurgency in his country. “There are bound to be clashes to oppose
Persian invasion,” Barabandi said. “First the Iranians and Hezbollah went to
Alawite-dominated Latakia. But the Alawites are an open society when it comes to
religion and social norms. For instance, they like their drink. Alawites told
the Iranians goodbye and good luck. Iranians found it easier to manipulate
Syrians worst affected by the war and hence the expansion in areas formerly held
by the Islamic State.”
Navvar Saban, a conflict expert at the Omran Center for Strategic Studies who
specializes in Syria-Iran relations, said Iran had slowly but steadily
cultivated ties with Syrians of all backgrounds. “Iran bought real estate in
Deir Ezzor and in Kurdish-held areas through locals,” he said. “They weaved a
spider’s web in Syria and have their people everywhere, in the army, in the
government, even among Sunni and Christian businessmen.”
Former U.S. President Donald Trump imposed debilitating sanctions on the Iranian
regime under his “maximum pressure” campaign, yet Iran’s undeclared credit line
to the Assad regime has continued to fund its activities in Syria. In August
2017 on a reporting trip to Syria, I attended the country’s first trade fair in
Damascus in six years. Most of the kiosks, 31 of them, belonged to Iranian
companies selling everything from power plants to biscuits to soap. Two years
later, the Syrian-Iranian Joint Chamber of Commerce was set up, and just last
month an Iranian delegation traveled to Damascus to ramp up efforts to increase
its economic footprint in Syria.
Observers worry that Iran, which never reined in its intervention in Syria
despite Trump’s sanctions, will flood money to its armed militias and to its
charities encouraging conversion in Syria once new U.S. President Joe Biden
rejoins the nuclear deal. Two years after the Iran nuclear deal was inked,
Tehran reportedly quadrupled its funding to Hezbollah.
There is no data on how many Syrians Iran has managed to convert to Shiism or
how many it has softened toward its ideas. But its military, cultural, and
economic expansion is creating new fault lines in a country already fragile on
all fronts. It’s easy to see how Iran’s expansion could exacerbate sectarian
tensions in the region.
*Anchal Vohra is a Beirut-based columnist for Foreign Policy and a freelance TV
correspondent and commentator on the Middle East. Twitter: @anchalvohra
Begum’s case is an exceptional warning for future radicals
Dunia El-Zobaidi/The Arab Weekly/March 18/2021
Begum’s case is exceptional in that she is unable to reach her lawyers. This
should serve as a warning to future radicals — that in their pursuit, they risk
losing one of their most basic British human rights, the right to a free and
fair trial.
The case of Shamima Begum, a British-born woman who joined ISIS as a teenager
and now wants to return to the UK, has been widely dissected and debated over
the last two years, drawing sympathy from some and reminders about human rights
from others.
The media, the government, legal experts and the general public have considered
Begum’s situation from nearly every angle during this time, bringing up
extenuating factors such as her age, gender and background. But despite
significant efforts to give Begum the benefit of the doubt, she has been left
with the same result – legal limbo. Begum, 21, travelled to Syria to join ISIS
when she was just 15, resulting in her citizenship being revoked and her being
banned from the UK. The case sparked extensive media debate and her appeal to
return to the UK was eventually rejected by the Supreme Court. Her lawyers argue
that she cannot freely participate in the case to have her citizenship returned
due to her exceptionally dangerous situation. Other people banned from the UK
have participated in their cases from overseas, but the camp she is being held
in in Syria will not allow her lawyers to visit. Her case is now paused until
she is able to participate, which is unlikely to happen.
Begum claims to want forgiveness from the UK, for which she has garnered
significant public sympathy. But would she be asking for forgiveness if ISIS was
still as powerful as it was when she joined?
Begum could indeed be an innocent victim of radicalisation, especially
considering that she was only fifteen when she travelled to Syria. However,
fifteen-year-olds can be punished for crimes they commit within the UK, so her
age is not the only factor to consider. We may never know the answers to our
concerns about this case. What we do know is that there are factors that led to
the making of Begum’s demise. It could be related to her gender — perhaps she
was a young girl susceptible to the manipulation of a man, much like other girls
have been vulnerable to non-Islamic related predators. Her social class could
also have been a factor. But with cases related to Islamic extremism, factors
such as fundamentalism and identity crises should not continue to be shied away
from. It should be considered acceptable to criticise Muslims, like those of any
other race or religion. Such criticism should have no bearing on attitudes
regarding Islam as a faith. Begum has lost her rights as a Westerner and all the
luxuries that go with it. She has lost all of the privileges most people in her
parents’ native Bangladesh would dream of. She did not appreciate it. If she had
committed a crime that does not pose a threat to national security, she would
have been tried as fairly as any British national. The problem is that a lot of
Muslim immigrants have failed to integrate into British society, snubbing the
benefits of living in a multi-cultural country and failing to see the advantages
that different cultures can offer. They cannot see how lucky they are to be able
to choose the best of both worlds. Begum’s case is exceptional in that she is
unable to reach her lawyers. This should serve as a warning to future radicals —
that in their pursuit, they risk losing one of their most basic British human
rights, the right to a free and fair trial. However, in another way Begum’s case
is not exceptional — many youth have been radicalised before her and many will
be radicalised after her.
Iran’s next battle ground: Afghanistan
Rami Rayess/Al Arabiya/March 18/2021
Iran is at a crossroads. It has hard political decisions to make, with each
leaving marks on the regime itself, and the future of the region. If Iran has
partially succeeded in extending its arms through its proxies to several Arab
countries, there is a different front on the horizon to worry about:
Afghanistan.
With the US military withdrawal approaching and the Taliban being the most
prominent power to fill the vacuum, Tehran badly needs to draft a peace treaty.
If it does not, its power in the Middle East will gradually wither away.
Besides the working difficulties that Iran will face in its attempt to control
its 920 kilometer border with Afghanistan, it will have been the first to worry
about the US-Taliban agreement reached in Doha back in February 2020. The treaty
aimed to push the Taliban to cut its ties with Al-Qaida, reach a political
settlement with the incumbent Afghan government and reduce violence in the
country in return for the American military withdrawal scheduled for May 2021.
Tehran’s relations with the Taliban have continued for years but they went
public only recently. Despite its attempts to cover up those contacts in the
framework of reaching out to all the stakeholders in Afghanistan; it was clear
that Iran was aiming at neutralizing Taliban in its multi-faceted regional
problems. The equation is straightforward and clear: if it fails to do that, it
will not keep its influence and continue to support its militant arms.
If the Biden administration succeeds in regaining Iranian commitment to the 2015
Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) without amendment, it can set aside
the nuclear threat for years ahead.
Some might look at the lifting of sanctions as leeway for Tehran to regain more
resources to exploit and further empower and arm its regional proxies. But, the
danger imposed by an open Iranian-Afghan border will need enormous funds to
protect from a Taliban building its strength.
Is it in the best interest of Iran and the US to withdraw from Afghanistan? The
Iranians supported the US invasion of Kabul back in 2001. It had almost waged
war against the Taliban in 1998 in retaliation to the killing of nine diplomats
in the Iranian consulate in Mazar-i-Sharif when Taliban militants raided it.
Tehran also expelled Gulbuddin Hekmatyar because of his hostility to the United
States. When Iranian political pragmatism prevails, the great Satan (a term
regularly used in Iranian rhetoric against Washington) is not quite Satan after
all. This back-and-forth relationship between Iran and the Taliban has come at a
crucial moment. Despite the Biden administration reviewing the Doha accord of
2020, is still possesses the strongest playing cards in Afghanistan, with troops
deployed, a pro-American government, and sanctions not lifted, yet. Iran does
not have the same leverage.
A vision for the Afghanistan War prevails in Washington, based on the notion
that a US troop presence in that country isn’t endless. Employing it to support
a peaceful settlement that regains stability in the war-torn country is the
priority.
However, this does not mean that the withdrawal should drag the country into
endless civil strife, or that it cannot be used as a negotiating card, capable
of reshuffling the regional situation.
Putting the political and ideological rift between Iran and the Taliban to one
side, now is the time for settlement between the two: this is Tehran’s crucial
agenda.
Preserving Iranian spheres of influence in the Middle East is the cornerstone
for all of its policies. This is the project they have prioritized since the
Islamic Revolution erupted in 1979.
“Exportation of the Revolution” is the benchmark of Tehran’s revival of past
Persian imperial dreams. This has been in the making for decades, and its
erosion now is harmful for the regime.
Tehran is now playing hard ball by: intensifying Houthi bombardment of Saudi
Arabia; paralyzing efforts in Lebanon to form a new cabinet; fueling added
support to its militants in Iraq, and of course, freezing any potential conflict
with the Taliban. Will Iran attempt to push this hardline extremist group
against the US? When the Taliban delegation visited Tehran last January, the
Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council Ali Shamakhani said: “The
US strategy supports the continuation of war and bloodshed among various Afghan
groups in the political spectrum”. This is the core of the story, the more the
US and Taliban fight, the better off Tehran is.So, if a Biden strategy aimed to
cease rapprochement between the two parties, while simultaneously dropping the
nuclear threat by securing an immediate return of Tehran to the JCPOA,
unexpected repercussions might unfold in the future. We may start to see Iran
losing ground in its many regional spheres of influence.