English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese,
Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For February 04/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/eliasnews21/english.february04.21.htm
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Bible Quotations For today
When you are offering
your gift at the altar, if you remember that your brother or sister has
something against you, leave your gift there before the altar and go; first be
reconciled to your brother or sister, and then come and offer your gift
Matthew 05/21-26/:”‘You have heard that it was
said to those of ancient times, “You shall not murder”; and “whoever murders
shall be liable to judgement.” But I say to you that if you are angry with a
brother or sister, you will be liable to judgement; and if you insult a brother
or sister, you will be liable to the council; and if you say, “You fool”, you
will be liable to the hell of fire. So when you are offering your gift at the
altar, if you remember that your brother or sister has something against you,
leave your gift there before the altar and go; first be reconciled to your
brother or sister, and then come and offer your gift. Come to terms quickly with
your accuser while you are on the way to court with him, or your accuser may
hand you over to the judge, and the judge to the guard, and you will be thrown
into prison. Truly I tell you, you will never get out until you have paid the
last penny.”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published on February 03- 04/2021
MoPH: 3320 new coronavirus cases, 89
deaths
Abiad Says Vaccine the 'Only Game Changer' as Lebanon Hits Record Deaths
President Aoun follows up with Minister Ghajar on fuel negotiations with Iraq,
discusses Student Dollar Law with parents of students abroad
10 Referred to Military Prosecution over Tripoli Unrest
Hariri Holds Talks with al-Sisi in Cairo
Al-Sisi Voices Support for Lebanon During Hariri Talks
Lebanon: Labor Unions Reject Price Hike of Subsidized Bread, Diesel
ISIS Exploits Lebanon’s Power Vacuum
Lebanon’s Tripoli at breaking point amid multiple crises
Missiles fired at Israeli drone over Lebanon: Israeli army
Blast Heard in South as Hizbullah Targets Israeli Drone
Lebanon seizes 5 mln Captagon pills at Beirut port
UN veteran Timur Goksel dies aged 76 in Beirut after contracting COVID-19
Rights Group Slams Turkey's 'Illegal' Transfer of Syria Detainees
Armed Men Enter SSNP's Batroun Dept. amid Party Rift
Shea, al-Rahi Stress Need for New Govt. as Soon as Possible
Abbas Ibrahim: Lebanon Prominent Spy Chief and Go-to Man
Berri Dispatches AMAL Delegation to Tripoli
Geagea: Port Blast Crime Shall Not be Obliterated
United Nations in Lebanon supports women’s participation in Beirut’s Port
Explosion response, recovery process
Lettre ouverte à Macron : Le problème ne réside pas dans la Constitution de Taëf/OLJ
/ Par Toufic HINDI, le 03 février 2021
Titles For The
Latest
English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on
February 03- 04/2021
Israel attacks Syrian regime, Iran-backed militias in
Quneitra: Reports
Blinken tells US envoy Malley to form Iran team not ‘dominated’ by one side:
Official
Biden orders USS Nimitz aircraft carrier home in possible signal to Iran
US intends to restore humanitarian assistance to the Palestinian people
Iran deepens breach of nuclear deal at underground enrichment site
US seeks to seize suspected Iranian oil aboard foreign tanker
Iran responsible for attempted bomb attack on opposition group in France: Lawyer
Iran’s President Rouhani rules out changes to nuclear deal
EU priority to get US back to Iran nuclear deal: Spokesperson
Sirens sound from US embassy in Iraq’s Baghdad: Report
UN Delegation in Baghdad to Discuss Monitoring of Parliamentary Elections
Arabs, EU Decry Kosovo’s Decision to Establish Embassy in Jerusalem
Russia Angered as Damascus Banks on Dialogue with US amid Stalled Talks
Egypt Intensifies Diplomatic Efforts to Resolve GERD Dispute
HRW Slams Turkey's 'Illegal' Transfer of Syria Detainees
Titles For The Latest
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on February 03- 04/2021
Where Does the World’s Problem with Us Lie? Where is
our Problem with the World?/Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/February 03/2021
US Decision on Western Sahara … the Surprise and Solution/Nasser Bourita/Asharq
Al-Awsat/February 03/2021
Palestinians: No to Normalization with the 'Zionist entity'/Khaled Abu Toameh/
consent of Gatestone/February 3, 2021
F-35 is more than just a US arms deal for the UAE/Haitham El-Zobaidi/The Arab
Weekly/February 03/2021
Treasury Report Highlights Turkey as Islamic State’s Logistical Hub/Aykan
Erdemir/FDD/February 03/2021
Iran Isn’t Just a Nuclear File/Karen Kramer/Foreign Policy/February 03/2021
A New Law to Contain Islamic Radicalism Threatens French Protestants/Mark Durie/Markdurie.com/February
03/2021
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on February 03- 04/2021
MoPH: 3320 new coronavirus cases, 89 deaths
NNA/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
3320 new coronavirus cases and 89 deaths have been recorded during the past 24
hours in Lebanon, as announced by the Ministry of Public Health on Wednesday.
Abiad Says Vaccine the 'Only Game Changer' as Lebanon Hits
Record Deaths
Naharnet/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
Head of the main hospital leading the fight against Coronavirus, Doctor Firas
Abiad, said Wednesday that initiating an “efficient” vaccination campaign is the
only “game changer” after Lebanon hit a record high number of deaths, noting
that it would be “unsafe” to ease the lockdown.
“While most Lebanese are waiting for the Covid numbers to improve so they can
leave their homes, healthcare workers are waiting for the Covid numbers to
improve so they can return to their homes. The latest numbers, however, must
have been disappointing for both,” said Abiad on Twitter.
“The test positivity rate reported yesterday has decreased from before to 16%,
and this was reflected in a drop in the daily number of new cases. The hope is
for this to continue and become a trend. Still, it is much higher than it should
be for a safe easing of the lockdown,” head of the Rafik Hariri University
Hospital added. Abiad noted that “the hospital situation meanwhile is no better.
Tragedies occur daily in emergency departments, Regular wards, and ICUs, and
are, to our shame, being well documented in local and international press. The
remaining hospital capacity can not cope with any new surge in cases,” he
cautioned. “Yesterday recorded the highest daily death toll since the start of
the pandemic,” in February last year, he noted. “Lebanon recorded in one month,
January, almost an equal number of deaths to the total recorded last year. The
death toll is one price we pay when Covid goes rampant if wrong choices are
made.” Lebanon recorded 2,770 coronavirus infections on Tuesday and 81 deaths,
its highest since the first infection was detected in February. “Can the poor
and vulnerable, or the dithering business sectors, survive an extension of the
lockdown. That is highly unlikely. Already, the increasing activity in the
streets reveal that many are defying or working around the lockdown measures.
Hunger can be a strong drive,” Abiad stated.Extending a lockdown or choosing
otherwise are “both different faces of the same bad coin,” he said, adding that
“the only game changer now is the vaccine, and a competent roll out campaign. It
is that, or bust.”
President Aoun follows up with Minister Ghajar on
fuel negotiations with Iraq, discusses Student Dollar Law with parents of
students abroad
NNA/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
Energy Minister, Dr. Raymond Ghajar assured the Lebanese that "Lebanon is not
going into the dark” and that the Ministry of Energy is working day and night
with transparency to secure the Lebanese market's needs of fuel.
Ghajar's stances came after his meeting with the President of the Republic,
General Michel Aoun, today at Baabda Palace, where he briefed the President on
the results of the negotiations that the General Director of Public Security,
Major General Abbas Ibrahim, had carried out with Iraq to secure fuel for
Lebanon, which led to a decision issued by the Iraqi Council of Ministers to
supply Lebanon With 500 thousand tons of heavy fuel as a first stage. During the
meeting, the issue of spot cargo was also addressed, which is currently approved
by the Ministry of Energy to secure immediate shipments of fuel and save half a
million dollars for each shipment.
Minister Ghajar:
After the meeting, Minister Ghajar made the following statement:
“We have briefed His Excellency President Aoun about the negotiations that we
are conducting with Iraq, in addition to the issue of spot cargo. As you know,
there is a lot of talks that Lebanon is heading towards darkness, and there is
no fuel due to the interruption of supply from Sonatrach. We have put in place a
transparent book of conditions, and the Oil Directorate is placing bids for the
purchase of spot cargo for the benefit of EDL, and we obtained offers,
accordingly from local and foreign companies, and we were able to achieve with
each shipment of 35 thousand tons, a saving of up to half a million dollars.
That is, today we buy about 4 shipments per month, and we save two million
dollars in fuel A and B, and if we are able to continue adopting this method, we
will be able to achieve an increase in competition, and in the number of
companies that can participate in this process, and we provide the fuel market
for the EDL on a regular basis.
The Iraqi Council of Ministers has taken a decision to supply Lebanon with 500
thousand tons of heavy fuel, as a first stage and for a period of one year. In
addition, the Iraqi government is grateful for that, and I and the Director
General of Public Security, Major General Abbas Ibrahim, visited Iraq to
negotiate on this issue, and we asked for more quantities, but today, what has
been achieved and as a first stage is considered good, because the fuel has been
secured continuously, and it is true that it is not sufficient, but with the
Spot cargo this is considered good, especially as we supply a quantity of fuel
from Iraq, which, as you know, is not in conformity with the specifications that
we adopt in Lebanon, but we are able to transfer it in Iraq, or to conduct a
swap operation, that is, one of the Iraqi companies replaces this fuel and
provides Lebanon with another fuel acquiring the specifications approved here,
with a deferred payment mechanism, for a period of at least six months according
to the decision issued by the Iraqi Council of Ministers. As for the approved
payment mechanism, it is not within the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Energy.
This agreement has been negotiated, but of course it has not been signed yet,
and this is what His Excellency the President has been briefed about, and upon
signing the payment mechanism methods are discussed with the Prime Minister.
I assure the Lebanese that we are not going to the dark, and the Ministry of
Energy is not working to go to the dark. On the contrary, our ministry is
working day and night in a very transparent manner, to secure fuel and
electricity, and everyone can see the books of conditions published on the
electronic platform of the Ministry of Energy, and companies can verify this and
they do so, and all negotiations and required procedures are done electronically
online and not directly. Bidding is submitted electronically, and prices are
viewed, and participation is via the zoom platform, and a record is placed on
this and binding is done. Lebanon still enjoys an acceptable reputation in the
market, and it is not true that no one wants to deal with it. There are many
companies that deal with Lebanon and offer good prices. The more we enter the
market more and more responsibly, the more we can get lower prices. As we
explained, we have a saving of half a million dollars in the shipment, and if we
take more risks, and we have the ability to do so thanks to the agreement with
Iraq, we will achieve greater savings. Half a million can turn into a million
with each shipment, in addition of course to the existence of the private
market, namely gasoline and diesel for local markets. All of that we can do and
this is what requires more patience, and the citizens must trust that the
ministry is not sleeping, but rather it is working to preserve electricity in
Lebanon as well as the oil market.
Usually the tender takes place according to a one or two year contract in order
for the company in question to provide the Ministry of Energy or the Oil
Directorate or the facilities with ships for shipments over a period of one or
six months. And when such a tender is made of this size, the companies take
precautions. The price is higher than usual, but in the event that the company
fails to deliver, we have guarantees that allow us to withdraw the contract. In
Lebanon however, we do not have the means to adopt this method, because we are
an economically and financially volatile country, so we resort to the same
tender with the same book of conditions, but on one shipment, and this shipment
may or may not succeed. Because it is a single shipment and the risk is less,
the price is, overall, less, and it is certainly less than the price on a tender
for ten shipments. We placed the bid on this shipment one month before the date
of receiving it, so that, in the event of failure, we can perform another bid on
a second shipment.
The strategic reserve in Lebanon, and if we want to secure it for a period of
six months, we need half a billion dollars to buy the required fuel and store
it. Who funds this operation? Therefore, carrying out this procedure is not
possible in a country like Lebanon, where the reserves amount to only a month or
two".
The Lebanese Association for Parents of Students in Foreign Universities:
President Aoun stressed that Parliament-approved laws must be fully implemented,
and therefore the law known as the "Student Dollar Law", which became effective
from the date of its issuance in the Official Gazette. Concerned authorities
must abide by its implementation in order to preserve the interests of Lebanese
students abroad who are facing difficulties in paying their university fees,
housing costs, and the ramifications.
President Aoun's stances came while meeting the delegation of the Lebanese
Association for Parents of Students in Foreign Universities, which included Mr.
Elie Freiha and Dr. Rabih Kanj.
MP Salim Aoun and Director General of the Presidency of the Republic Dr. Antoine
Choucair, were also attending the meeting.
The delegation addressed, with President Aoun, the existing reality as a result
of the inability of the families of Lebanese students in universities abroad
from transferring money to their children despite the issuance of Law 193 which
authorized the transfer of 10 thousand dollars for each student pursuing his
studies abroad. They also indicated that the Central Bank and banks are
still refraining from implementing the law that aims to oblige banks operating
in Lebanon to spend 10 thousand dollars according to the official exchange rate
of the dollar (1515) for the 2020 academic year for Lebanese students registered
in universities or technical institutes. Then, the delegation explained that the
students’ parents, according to the law, provided all the requirements, such as
a current registration statement at the university or the technical institute, a
statement of university payments before the date of 31/12/2020, the current
housing lease contract or the receipt of the last monthly payment, and yet the
banks did not undertake to transfer the required sums. Then, they pointed out
that the meeting with President Aoun is a continuation of the meeting held
yesterday at the Grand Serail, headed by the caretaker PM, Dr. Hassan Diab, and
in the presence of the Central Bank Governor and representatives of the
Association of Banks. In turn, President Aoun gave his instructions to the
concerned authorities to implement the law in all its aspects. ----Presidency
Press Office
10 Referred to Military Prosecution over Tripoli Unrest
Naharnet/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
Ten detainees have been referred to the military prosecution over their
suspected involvement in the latest unrest in Tripoli, the army said on
Wednesday. “The Intelligence Directorate has referred to the military
prosecution 10 detainees, including one of the Syrian nationality, for their
carrying out of acts of rioting and attacks on public and private property,
including the torching of the Tripoli Municipality building, during the
incidents that occurred in the aforementioned city,” an army statement said.
“The rest of those involved are being pursued so that they be arrested and
referred to the relevant judicial authorities,” the statement added. Days of
angry demonstrations in the city last week left one person dead and 400 others
wounded. Protesters have said they were angry at pandemic lockdown restrictions
that have deprived them of their income. Some politicians and media have
meanwhile questioned the spontaneity of the protests, suggesting that they have
been instigated by suspicious political agendas.
Hariri Holds Talks with al-Sisi in Cairo
Naharnet/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri on Wednesday met Egyptian President Abdul
Fattah al-Sisi at theAal-Ittihadia Palace in Cairo, his media office said in a
statement. The two men discussed the latest developments, the situation in
Lebanon and the region, and the bilateral relations between the two countries,
added the statement. Hariri will also meet with Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh
Shoukry, and Secretary-General of the Arab League Ahmed Abul el-Gheit. Talks
will highlight the latest developments in Lebanon and the region, it added.
Center House sources have placed Hariri’s visit to Cairo as part of a regional
and Western tour in an attempt to restore Lebanon’s ties with brethren and
friendly nations.
Al-Sisi Voices Support for Lebanon During Hariri Talks
Naharnet/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
Wednesday voiced continued support for crisis-hit Lebanon during his meeting
with PM-designate Saad Hariri in Cairo, stressing that a Lebanese government
should be formed soon to face the challenges. “Egypt is ready to provide all
kinds of support and assistance to help Lebanon overcome its crises, mainly the
repercussions of the port explosion and the Coronavirus pandemic,” said al-Sisi.
On the delayed government formation, he said: "We hope the acceleration of
efforts to form an independent government capable of handling the challenges and
preserving the capabilities of the brotherly Lebanese people and the unity of
its national fabric,” stated Sisi. Hariri had arrived in Cairo Wednesday for
talks the Egyptian President. He will later meet with the Egyptian foreign
minister and the Arab league chief.
Lebanon: Labor Unions Reject Price Hike of Subsidized
Bread, Diesel
Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
Lebanon’s labor unions rejected on Tuesday a government proposal to increase the
price of subsidized bread and diesel, considering the move as a prelude to fully
lifting subsidies on all basic goods. An increase in the prices of bread and
diesel comes as Lebanon’s economic crisis continues to worsen and people lose
their purchasing power. The government is currently considering those cuts as
the central bank's foreign currency reserves become increasingly depleted.
Beshara Asmar, the head of the General Labor Union, said that the government’s
plan to increase bread prices and raise the price of diesel to LL20,000 per can
clearly suggests that subsidies on basic materials would be gradually removed.
He said this move comes in the absence of any economic plan that would recover
stolen funds or billions transferred abroad, or protect the money of depositors.
Asmar stressed the need to establish a committee of labor unions and concerned
syndicates tasked with studying the prices of bread, fuel and medicine. On
Tuesday, the National Federation of Employee and Worker Unions in Lebanon held
the caretaker government of Hassan Diab responsible for a security deterioration
that might result from further impoverishment and unemployment. On Monday, the
National News Agency said a large bag of flat bread, previously weighing 900
grams and costing 2,000 Lebanese pounds, would now weigh 930 grams and cost
2,500 pounds, a rise of around 20 percent. Caretaker Economy Minister Raoul
Nehme said the price hike was due to an increase of wheat prices worldwide
coupled with the high exchange rate to buy dollars. Last January, the ministry
set the 900-gram bread loaf price at 2,250 Lebanese pounds, also saying the rise
was due to a hike in global wheat prices.
ISIS Exploits Lebanon’s Power Vacuum
Beirut - Paula Astih/ Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
An announcement by the Lebanese Army Command on the arrest of 18 ISIS-linked
suspects has raised concerns that the terrorist organization was planning to
regain foothold in the country. The Army statement on Monday spoke about a
series of operations launched over the past two weeks by the Intelligence
Directorate in the Arsal region – on the eastern border with Syria - that led to
the arrest of Lebanese and Syrians linked to ISIS. Military sources told Asharq
al-Awsat that investigations were underway to arrest other suspects and uncover
their plots. “[The recent arrests] are an achievement, especially as the
Lebanese Army is already overstretched with various missions, whether at the
border or internally, with the deteriorating living conditions, protests, the
Covid-19 pandemic and other challenges that drain its forces,” the sources said.
Observers noted that in light of the political crisis and the continuous failure
to form a new government, some parties might be seeking to revive extremist
organizations in Lebanon. They pointed to a link between the movement of ISIS in
Syria and the terrorist group’s resurgence in Lebanon. The Syrian Observatory
for Human Rights (SOHR) reported that the organization was seeking to make a
comeback, after “reuniting” its elements scattered in the desert, as well as in
areas controlled by the Syrian Democratic Forces and those under Turkish
influence.
Riad Kahwaji, the head of the Institute for Near East and Gulf Military Analysis
(INEGMA), said that extremist organizations usually stage a resurgence when
there is a power vacuum and central governments are weak, “but most importantly,
where sectarian tensions arise.” “ISIS was defeated and expelled from many
regions, but it has not been fully eliminated,” Kahwaji said. “As long as this
organization remains a doctrine and a way of thinking, it works to fill the
vacuums created by the absence of power in failed states and where governments
are weak.”
Lebanon’s Tripoli at breaking point amid multiple crises
The Arab Weekly/February 03/2021
TRIPOLI--Lebanon’s poorest city, Tripoli, was again racked by violent protests
last week, and some politicians and experts warn that unrest could spread if
more is not done to support people facing deepening poverty amid coronavirus
restrictions. The country was already in financial meltdown before the pandemic
struck, with national debt spiralling, unemployment high and a tumbling currency
stoking inflation. For residents of Tripoli, on Lebanon’s northern coast, the
24-hour curfew imposed from January 11 to control the spread of COVID-19 was the
final straw, preventing many from working. “We are headed towards famine,” said
Haytham Kurdi, a 49-year-old fish kiosk owner in the city. “The fish that we get
is $3. That used to mean 4,500 pounds and we used to sell for 6,000 so we make a
dollar profit. Now $3 is around 25,000 pounds and someone who earns 30,000 to
40,000 pounds a day, how can they buy a couple of kilos of fish?”Protests last
week culminated in the burning of Tripoli’s municipality building as
demonstrators clashed with police. “There is practically a total absence of
government action, so the situation in Tripoli is … worrisome and it reflects an
extreme form of what is happening elsewhere in the country,” said Toufic Gaspard,
an economist who has worked as an adviser at the IMF and to a former finance
minister.
Suppressing subsidies
If subsidies on basic foodstuffs like bread are eased because of dwindling
reserves and dollar shortages, more Lebanese will feel the pinch. Nationwide
protests erupted in October 2019, amid financial meltdown, bringing cities
including the capital Beirut to a standstill as tens of thousands of people
vented their anger at politicians they blamed for ineptitude and graft. Today,
roughly half of the workforce relies on daily wages mostly paid in local
currency, and a recent study by aid organisation CARE found that 94% of
Lebanon’s population are earning less then the minimum wage.
“Should subsidies be lifted, the scene from Tripoli will be repeated
everywhere,” MP Faisal Karameh told local media. France’s Emmanuel Macron is
leading efforts to unlock foreign aid to help Lebanon out of its crisis. But the
initiative has been hampered by political paralysis in Lebanon, which has been
unable to form a new government since the last one quit in the aftermath of an
August 4 Beirut port explosion that destroyed large parts of the city. The
caretaker government said it was giving 230,000 of the poorest families 400,000
liras a month, or less than $50 at the market rate, to help them make ends meet.
Lebanon has a population of around 6 million. Many are still falling through the
cracks. “If you walk down the street you will see people looking through garbage
for something to eat,” said Bilal Tasieh, a 46-year-old carpenter from Tripoli.
A government decision to close supermarkets and grocery shops during lockdown,
making daily essentials only available through delivery services, has drawn
criticism. “If I am poor then delivery is out of the question for me, it costs
10 to 15% more,” said Nasser Saidi, a leading economist and former minister.
Missiles fired at Israeli drone over Lebanon: Israeli army
Reuters/Wednesday 03 February 2021
Anti-aircraft missiles were fired at an Israeli drone flying over south Lebanon
on Wednesday but did not hit the target, the Israeli military spokesman said.
Two Lebanese security sources said Lebanon’s Hezbollah armed movement fired at
the drone. One of the sources said the missile did not hit the aircraft, which
then returned across the border. Witnesses said they heard the sound of an
explosion. Local channel NBN had said earlier that a drone blew up. Iran-backed
Hezbollah, which has a dominant presence in the south near the border, has vowed
to bring down Israeli drones breaching Lebanese airspace. The two neighboring
enemies last fought a month-long war in 2006. Earlier this week, Hezbollah said
it had brought down an Israeli drone, while Israel’s military said the aircraft
had fallen inside Lebanon. Lebanon’s government regularly files complaints to
the United Nations against Israeli drones and jets that often fly into Lebanon.
Blast Heard in South as Hizbullah Targets Israeli Drone
Associated Press/Wednesday 03 February 2021
The Israeli army said anti-aircraft fire targeted one of its drones over south
Lebanon on Wednesday, as Lebanese media reports said that Hizbullah fired a
surface-to-air missile at the drone. In a tweet, Israeli army spokesman Avichay
Adraee said the unmanned drone was not hit by the missile and that it continued
its “routine” mission. Lebanese media outlets had earlier reported that a blast
was heard in the southern regions of al-Zahrani and Nabatiyeh. Early on
Wednesday, residents of Beirut's southern suburbs reported low-flying Israeli
reconnaissance aircraft buzzing overhead for hours. The area is a stronghold of
Hizbullah. The frequency of low-flying warplanes over Beirut and other parts of
Lebanon has intensified in the past weeks, making residents jittery. Thursday's
incident comes just three days after Hizbullah said it downed a small Israeli
drone near the border, apparently through electronic means.
Earlier in January, the Israeli army shot down an unmanned aircraft it said had
entered its airspace from Lebanon. In August 2020, Hizbullah also said it downed
and seized an Israeli drone that flew into Lebanese airspace. Israel at the time
said the drone had "fallen." Hizbullah had in September 2019 vowed to down
Israeli drones overflying Lebanon following an incident a month earlier when two
drones packed with explosives targeted Hizbullah's stronghold in Beirut’s
southern suburbs. Israel and Hizbullah fought a monthlong war in 2006 that ended
in a stalemate. Israel accuses Hizbullah of violating the terms of a U.N.
cease-fire and says its overflights are needed to keep an eye on the group.
Lebanon has routinely complained to the U.N. about Israel's daily violations of
its airspace and mock raids around the country. Israeli officials say Hizbullah
has amassed a stockpile over some 150,000 rockets and missiles capable of
striking anywhere in Israel. It also accuses the group of trying to develop and
produce sophisticated precision-guided missiles. Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan
Nasrallah recently boasted that the group now has twice as many precision-guided
missiles as it had a year ago. But he strongly denied Israeli claims about
Hizbullah having factories to produce such missiles in Lebanon. In a major
policy address last week, Lt. Gen. Aviv Kohavi, Israel's military commander,
accused Hizbullah of storing its missiles in populated areas of Lebanon and said
these areas will not be spared if war erupts.
He said residents would be given time to flee ahead of time, but "because these
areas are flooded with rockets and missiles, they will be flooded with attacks
by the Israeli army."
Lebanon seizes 5 mln Captagon pills at Beirut port
AFP/Wednesday 03 February 2021
Lebanese customs seized five million banned captagon pills at Beirut port on
Wednesday, an amphetamine shipment intended for Greece and Saudi Arabia, a
customs official said. Following a tip-off, officers had found the drugs hidden
inside a tile-making machine, the official said, asking to remain anonymous as
he was not allowed to speak to the press. Three Lebanese citizens were detained
over the affair, he said. It was latest in a string of similar drug busts in
Lebanon. In 2015, a Saudi prince was detained as he tried to smuggle out two
tonnes of captagon on a private plane from Beirut airport. Captagon is an
amphetamine manufactured in Lebanon and probably also in Syria and Iraq, mainly
for consumption in Saudi Arabia, according to the French Observatory for Drugs
and Drug Addiction (OFDT). It has been one of the most commonly used drugs in
the war in Syria, where fighters say it helps them stay awake for days. Captagon
is cheap and easy to manufacture, and experts say there have also been attempts
to market it as a low-priced alternative to cocaine, including in the West. In
July last year, Italy seized a record 14-tonne haul of the drug -- or 84 million
pills -- that had arrived from Syria.
UN veteran Timur Goksel dies aged 76 in Beirut after
contracting COVID-19
Rawad Taha, Al Arabiya English/Wednesday 03 February 2021
Former senior adviser and spokesman for the UN, Timur Goksel, has died in Beirut
aged 76 after contracting COVID-19. The former diplomat was hospitalized with an
acute lung infection. Goksel joined the UN in 1968 where he started as
Information Assistant then became the officer-in-charge of the newly opened UN
information center in Ankara. In 1979, he was assigned as Press Information
Officer and Spokesman to UNIFIL at Naqoura and later in 1995 he became a Senior
Adviser of UNIFIL where he conducted lectures, seminars and workshops for
diplomats and military officials on public information, communication policies
in peacekeeping, theory, and practice of peacekeeping and international
organizations.
Rights Group Slams Turkey's 'Illegal' Transfer of Syria
Detainees
Agence France Presse/Wednesday 03 February 2021
Human Rights Watch Wednesday condemned the "illegal transfers" to Turkey of more
than 60 Syrians arrested by Ankara and its local proxies in Syria's northeast in
2019. Turkey and its Syrian rebel proxies arrested the 63 Syrians between
October and December 2019 in the border area of Ras al-Ain in Syria's northeast,
after seizing the region from Kurdish fighters, the rights group said. The men,
Arabs and Kurds, are being held over their alleged links to Kurdish groups
viewed by Ankara as "terrorists", according to HRW. They have been charged with
"undermining the unity and territorial integrity of the state, membership in a
terrorist organisation, and murder", the rights group added. "Not only have
these Syrians been illegally transferred to Turkey for abusive prosecutions, but
in an extraordinarily cruel move, the courts have imposed the highest sentence
possible in Turkey –- life without parole" -- on at least five of them, said
Michael Page, HRW's deputy regional director. Turkey and its Syrian proxies
seized control of Ras al-Ain during an October 2019 offensive that saw it wrest
a 120-kilometre (70-mile) long strip of land from Kurdish forces on the Syrian
side of its southern border.
Turkish authorities have not produced evidence that the detainees committed
crimes or were active fighters with Kurdish groups, HRW said. "Turkish
authorities, as an occupying power, are required to respect people's rights
under the law of occupation in northeastern Syria, including the prohibition on
arbitrary detention and on the transfer of people to their territory," Page
said. "Instead, they are violating their obligations by arresting these Syrian
men and carting them off to Turkey to face the most dubious and vaguest of
charges connected to alleged activity in Syria."While HRW said it could only
confirm 63 transfers, it said available evidence suggests the number of Syrians
taken to Turkey could be almost 200.The alleged arrests and transfers are only
the latest violations Turkey and its Syrian rebel proxies are accused of
carrying out in areas under their control. UN High Commissioner for Human Rights
Michelle Bachelet warned last year of growing violence and criminality in areas
captured by Turkey and its Syrian proxies, including in Ras al-Ain. Her office
has reported a pattern of violations in recent months, including increased
killings, kidnappings, and seizures of land and properties.
Those who are critical of Turkey and its armed groups bear the brunt of these
violations, the UN said.
Armed Men Enter SSNP's Batroun Dept. amid Party Rift
Naharnet/Wednesday 03 February 2021
Armed members of the Syrian Social Nationalist Party on Wednesday seized control
of the SSNP department’s office in the northern city of Batroun, amid a dispute
between rival factions over the legitimacy of the party’s latest internal
elections. A video that went viral on social media shows a party official making
a statement inside the office, flanked by two young men carrying machineguns.
“The office has been closed for more than a year and the party has been obliged
to take a decision to use the office,” the official says. “It is our mission to
protect this department with our blood and souls,” he adds, noting that “any
comrade who would like to cooperate and join the Batroun department will be
considered an SSNP comrade.” But he threatened that “any person who dares to
transgress will be considered a traitor!”In a statement, a rival SSNP faction
accused “an armed clique belonging to MP Asaad Hardan” of “storming the SSNP
department’s office in the heart of the souks of the safe city of Batroun, in a
behavior resembling the work of outlaw gangs.”It also stressed to Batroun’s
residents that it is “keen on the region’s stability and the security of its
people,” noting that “this act does not reflect the ethics of SSNP members.”
A statement issued by the pro-Hardan faction meanwhile accused the rival faction
of being “impersonators claiming to be the party’s leadership through
falsification and violations,” in reference to the latest disputed internal
elections. “The circulated story about elements loyal to MP Hardan storming the
Batroun department’s office is fabricated and contradicts reality and those
present in the office are the SSNP members who operate within the party’s
institution,” the faction said. It added that it is keen on “addressing things
within the institutional and legal frameworks on the basis that SSNP supporters
who are members of the party’s institutions have the full and ultimate right to
be present inside the party’s offices.” The army later announced the arrest of
the armed SSNP members who entered into the Batroun office.
Shea, al-Rahi Stress Need for New Govt. as Soon as Possible
Naharnet /Wednesday 03 February 2021
Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi held talks Wednesday in Bkirki with U.S.
Ambassador to Lebanon Dorothy Shea. The National News Agency said al-Rahi and
Shea discussed the general situations and stressed the need for the formation of
a new government as soon as possible. They agreed that the new government will
have a mission to “rescue Lebanon from its political, economic and social
crises,” NNA added.
Abbas Ibrahim: Lebanon Prominent Spy Chief and Go-to Man
Agence France Presse /Wednesday 03 February 2021
Lebanon's spy chief Abbas Ibrahim has emerged as a master deal-broker, from
securing the return of hostages and prisoners held abroad to mediating in
seemingly intractable political feuds at home. The 61-year-old head of Lebanon's
top intelligence agency has become an increasingly visible pointman on thorny
dossiers and is widely expected to further step out of the shadow in the future.
Critics argue that Ibrahim owes his clout to the support he has from
Iranian-backed Hizbullah but the General Security chief has worked to preserve
an image of political neutrality. Ibrahim forged a strong and trusting
relationship with the powerful Shiite group when he was army intelligence chief
for the south of the country. This was "the foundation that has allowed Ibrahim
to become a go-to for foreign and Arab states looking to communicate with
Hizbullah," political pundit Ali al-Amin told AFP. "But any breach of (Hizbullah's)
trust would spell the end of Ibrahim's professional and political career." Over
a decade as Lebanon's spymaster, he has deftly walked that tightrope and built a
growing reputation as a regional troubleshooter. His last appearance in the news
came this week with a trademark deal to secure the return of 11 Lebanese
citizens held in the United Arab Emirates.
Next speaker?
Ibrahim, whose current tenure runs out in 2022, is often tipped as the only
serious candidate to take over from veteran parliament speaker Nabih Berri.
Ibrahim was an army cadet at 19 and moved up the ranks to head up the army's
intelligence branch in Hizbullah-dominated south Lebanon before clinching the
top security job in 2011. Starting out when the Syrian conflict erupted next
door, Ibrahim had to grapple with a host of challenges, most notably the war's
spillover in Lebanon. His influence quickly extended beyond Lebanon's borders as
he started negotiating with Qatar to release hostages held by Syrian rebels.
In October 2013, he secured the release of a group of Lebanese Shiite pilgrims
who were held for 17 months by Syrian Sunni rebels near the Turkish border. In
March 2014, Ibrahim helped free a group of Greek Orthodox nuns abducted by
al-Qaida's Syria affiliate from their convent in Maaloula, outside Damascus. In
the summer of 2019, Ibrahim -- by then the go-to man for anyone looking to free
hostages in Syria -- was instrumental in freeing detained Canadian and U.S.
travelers Kristian Lee Baxter and Sam Goodwin. That same summer, he helped
negotiate the release of Nizar Zakka, a U.S.-based Lebanese businessman arrested
in Iran in 2015 on charges of spying for the U.S. On Monday, he announced a deal
had been struck for the return of Lebanese citizens detained in Emirati jails,
mostly over alleged links to Hizbullah. The spymaster, a rare senior Lebanese
official with direct lines to both Hizbullah and Washington, is also involved in
efforts to elucidate the fate of Austin Tice, an American journalist who went
missing in Syria in 2012. Last year, he met with Tice's parents in Washington,
where the James W. Foley Legacy Foundation awarded him its "International
Hostage Freedom Award" for his work on the release of Zakka and Goodwin.
Political 'postman
Ibrahim has used his position for other diplomatic and political missions that
don't usually fall within General Security's remit. He coordinates closely on
security issues with authorities in Damascus despite Lebanon's official policy
of dissociation from the conflict. Last year, he made diplomatic visits to
France and several Gulf states to drum up support for Lebanon as it grapples
with its worst economic crisis since the 1975-1990 civil war. Domestically, he
has mediated between bickering political factions, a role usually played by
Berri. Yet Ibrahim balks at being described as "a postman for the political
elite."
"No one ever asks me to intervene. It is always me who initiates action, based
on my own reading of political" developments, he told AFP in a recent interview.
He insists that he always consults all relevant parties before moving forward
and credits his mediating prowess on his networking and "ability to communicate
with all sides."Ibrahim is unphased by the label some have given him as
Hizbullah's man in Lebanon. "It doesn't bother me," he told AFP, pointing out
that he is also routinely accused of being America's man. Lebanon would need
more than Ibrahim's brokering skills to break the political deadlock and pull it
back from economic doom. But the spy chief's broad acceptability across the
political spectrum already makes him stand out in a political class crippled by
age-old vendettas.When asked about the future, he smiled but said little to deny
his purported political aspirations. "I'm aiming to retire in my village, but I
do not know what circumstances will take over and what they will require of me,"
he said.
Berri Dispatches AMAL Delegation to Tripoli
Naharnet /Wednesday 03 February 2021
Speaker Nabih Berri dispatched on Wednesday a delegation of AMAL Movement to the
northern city of Tripoli that witnessed recent clashes between protesters and
security forces, and the burning of its historic municipal building.
The National News Agency said the delegation was received by Tripoli Mayor Riad
Yamak. Protesters in the impoverished city of Tripoli began demonstrations on
January 25, angry at pandemic lockdown restrictions they say are destroying
their livelihoods. Mainly night clashes continued until Sunday, the latest
violence between security forces and protesters furious at the economic fallout
of strict lockdown measures. Youths gathered outside government buildings, and
police lobbed tear gas from the roofs to disperse crowds. Soldiers, deployed
after the unrest earlier in the week.The army arrested several on charges
including "rioting, destruction (and) attacking public and private property,"
during the week's protests. Some were arrested for hurling Molotov cocktails at
security forces and for trying to set fire to Tripoli's government headquarters,
the army statement said.
Berri receives letter from French Senate Head
NNA/Wednesday 03 February 2021
House Speaker, Nabih Berri, on Wednesday received a letter from French Senate
Head, Gerard Larcher, in which he indicated that "the delicate stage that
Lebanon is going through due to the economic, health and social predicaments,
coupling with regional tensions in the region, requires a balance between the
aspirations of emerging generations and reforms,” hailing “the prominent and
important role assumed by Speaker Berri in this regard as head of the
legislative authority." Larcher underlined that the politically-diverse French
Senate will always stand by Lebanon.
Geagea: Port Blast Crime Shall Not be Obliterated
Naharnet /Wednesday 03 February 2021
Lebanese Forces chief Samir Geagea on Wednesday reiterated calls for an
“international investigation committee” into the port blast, stressing that the
truth behind the “crime shall not be erased.”“Despite the impact of the
Coronavirus pandemic, the dire living conditions, the high cost of bread and
fuel, the three and a half months without a new government, and all of the other
difficulties and tragedies that the Lebanese have been enduring, "we will never
forget the Beirut Port crime,” said Geagea in a statement. He criticized the
local authorities' investigation into the case, and called for an international
probe.
Geagea said: “The past months have unfortunately proven what we had expected
from a local investigation into the Beirut Port crime. This is due, first and
foremost, to the corruption of the current ruling class. We reaffirm our demand
to form an international fact-finding committee to uncover the circumstances of
this horrific crime.” "Nobody will be able to obliterate the truth behind this
crime as if nothing had happened," he concluded.
United Nations in Lebanon supports women’s participation in
Beirut’s Port Explosion response, recovery process
NNA /Wednesday 03 February 2021
The Beirut Port explosions on 4 August 2020 created significant immediate
humanitarian needs and severe long-term consequences. A rapid gender assessment
of the Beirut Port Explosion recommended, among other things, increasing the
meaningful participation of women and marginalized groups in the decision-making
for the design, implementation, management and evaluation of national and
international response and recovery efforts.
To support this and other related work, the United Nations in Lebanon has
recently launched a window of the global Women’s Peace and Humanitarian Fund (WPHF).
With UN Women serving as the Fund secretariat, a Call for Proposal has been
issued that seeks to identify partners to support women’s participation in the
Beirut’s Port Explosion response and recovery process, women’s participation in
the country’s political recovery from the explosion, and to address issues of
women and men’s exclusion from relief and recovery due to lack of formal
documentation.
Funded by the Government of Germany, with participation from the Government of
Canada and the European Union, this window aims to fund small and emerging
women-led or women’s rights organizations from across Lebanon and seeks to
compliment the work of the Lebanon Humanitarian Fund.
“Female-led organizations have played an impressive role in response to the port
explosion. But all too often, female activists tell me that they struggle
because demand keeps growing relentlessly as a result of rising poverty and
rampant inflation’, said His Excellency Andreas Kindl, Ambassador of Germany to
Lebanon. ‘That is why Germany has decided to help set up the Women’s Peace and
Humanitarian Fund in Lebanon. I hope that other donors will join us soon. We
look forward to receiving many innovative proposals, including from
recently-established organizations that strive for profound structural change.”
“The women of Lebanon played a vital role in the response to the horrendous
Beirut port explosions. They made every effort to support those in need, to
clear streets and houses from debris and be part of wider relief efforts. They
proved to be ‘Leaders of Change’ and ‘Messengers of Hope’,” said Najat Rochdi,
Deputy Special Coordinator, Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator for Lebanon.
“It is these women that we want to support and further empower to shape a
peaceful and gender equal society where no one is left behind,” she added.
“Thanks to the generous funding of the Government of Germany and the valuable
support of the Government of Canada and the European Union, together we aim to
reach an equitable recovery through women’s leading projects and people-centered
initiatives”.
This Call for Proposal encourages joint applications and will provide special
attention to applications from small women-led organization and women’s rights
organization and proposals that target in their approaches women and girls who
face multiple and intersecting forms of discrimination, such as those
marginalized and excluded due to poverty, ethnicity, disability, age, geography,
sexual orientation, lack of citizenship or because of their migratory status.
An information session will be organized for all interested organizations on
February 11th at 11am (Beirut time). Organizations can attend it by registering
on the following link (https://ee.humanitarianresponse.info/x/yaSkxWV2) or via
email (cfp.lebanon@unwomen.org).
The proposals need to be sent to cfp.lebanon@unwomen.org not later than March
8th.
Questions regarding the Call for Proposal can be sent via the following email:
cfp.lebanon@unwomen.org.—UNIC
Lettre ouverte à Macron : Le problème ne réside pas dans la
Constitution de Taëf
OLJ / Par Toufic HINDI, le 03 février 2021
Monsieur le Président de la République française,
Le Liban vous sait certainement gré pour toute l’attention que vous lui portez.
Vous êtes certainement plus libanais que les soi-disant politiciens appartenant
à la classe politique voyou qui sont au « pouvoir » grâce au bon vouloir du
Hezbollah et qui gigotent sous sa houlette.
L’équation entre l’organisation chiite et la classe politique est bien simple :
vous avez les miettes du pouvoir et vous pouvez escroquer les Libanais à satiété
en contrepartie de quoi j’exige votre soumission à l’occupation iranienne que je
représente.
C’est que, Monsieur le Président, le parti de Dieu, quoique ses membres soient
libanais, n’est certainement pas un parti libanais. Il fait partie intégrante de
la République islamique d’Iran. Vous le savez sans doute autant que moi.
Son projet est tout bonnement l’islamisation du monde sur la base de la wilayat
el-faqih. Point de départ : le Moyen-Orient. Mode d’action : le jihad concrétisé
par l’« axe de la résistance ».
Aujourd’hui, le Hezbollah contrôle tout l’appareil d’État : ses institutions
constitutionnelles (Parlement, présidence de la République, gouvernement), les
appareils administratif et judiciaire, ainsi que les services de sécurité.
L’État libanais est non seulement un État voyou, mais un État défaillant. Le
Liban vit tout simplement une situation de non-État. Le Liban – en tant
qu’entité, en tant qu’État et en tant que peuple – est en perdition.
Le problème ne réside ni dans la Constitution libanaise ni dans le contrat
sociopolitique représenté par l’accord de Taëf. Ce dernier ne devrait être mis à
jour ni sous la pression des armes miliciennes ni à travers une table ronde des
larrons de la politique libanaise sous l’égide de puissances extérieures.
Le Liban est en fait sous une double occupation : l’occupation iranienne et
celle de la classe politique voyou.
La clé de voûte de cette double occupation est bien évidemment le Hezbollah.
Par ailleurs, la révolution du 17 octobre 2019 s’est affirmée en tant que force
de changement. Elle demeure cependant dans l’incapacité d’opérer le sauvetage du
Liban. Même si elle unifierait ses rangs et son programme, et même si elle
mobiliserait des millions de Libanais, le Hezbollah utiliserait ultimement la
force brutale pour terroriser les insurgés et faire échec à leur révolution.
De plus, il est désormais clair qu’il y a incapacité d’une sortie de crise à
travers les processus constitutionnels (élections législatives et présidentielle,
formation de gouvernement). C’est une question de rapport de forces.
Aucun espoir de réforme : le parti de Dieu ne permettrait aucun changement au
sein du pouvoir étatique par les voies constitutionnelles (formation d’un
gouvernement, élections législatives). Il en a la capacité : les armes, la
majorité parlementaire et l’alliance solide avec la présidence de la République.
De plus, il est évident que le Liban, sous ce pouvoir inique et incompétent, ne
peut pas faire face aux immenses défis économiques, financiers, environnementaux,
sociaux, humanitaires... Il s’est transformé en bourreau du peuple.
En un mot, le peuple libanais qui se débat dans un problème humanitaire
insoluble n’est plus en mesure de s’autogouverner.
La « somalisation » du Liban en cours conduira inéluctablement au renforcement
du Hezbollah et par suite augmentera son potentiel déstabilisateur dans la
région, menaçant par le fait même les intérêts des États de la région et du
monde. Cette même « somalisation » pourrait réveiller les cellules jihadistes
dormantes dans les camps syriens et palestiniens, et favoriser l’émigration
illégale vers l’Europe.
Le problème libanais n’est plus intrinsèquement libanais.
Le Liban est devenu une bombe à retardement pour la sécurité, la stabilité et la
paix dans la région et dans le monde.
Monsieur le Président, vu la position centrale de la France sur l’échiquier
mondial, je vous propose humblement une feuille de route pour le sauvetage du
Liban qui, du coup, serait bénéfique pour la sécurité, la stabilité et la paix
régionale et internationale.
Celle-ci pourrait se concrétiser comme suit :
1) l’application d’une résolution du Conseil de sécurité plaçant les résolutions
1559 et 1701 sous le chapitre sept et élargissant les tâches de la Finul ;
2) une résolution plaçant le Liban sous mandat international conformément aux
chapitres 12 et 13 de la Charte des Nations unies ou via l’invocation des «
droits de l’homme » pour faire face à un pouvoir criminel.
Dans le cadre de la tutelle internationale susmentionnée, une autorité
militaro-civile temporaire pourrait être formée, similaire à ce qui s’est passé
au Soudan. Elle suspendrait la Constitution et travaillerait sous supervision
internationale pour nettoyer toutes les institutions étatiques des effets du
clientélisme politique et de la corruption pour revenir ultérieurement à
l’application de la Constitution. Les élections parlementaires se dérouleraient
alors conformément à une nouvelle loi, suivies de l’élection présidentielle et
de la formation d’un gouvernement qui ouvrirait la voie à la levée de la tutelle
internationale et au redressement du Liban à tous les niveaux.
Pourquoi cette tutelle internationale est-elle nécessaire ? Parce que la
corruption au Liban est structurelle et découle de sa structure sociopolitique.
Elle a été décrite par Ohannès Pacha Kouyoumjian, le dernier moutassarref du
Liban, comme étant un mélange hybride du féodalisme aryen et du tribalisme
sémitique. C’est cette dualité qui a produit les anciennes et les nouvelles
familles politiques qui composent la classe politique voyou. Feu le président
Fouad Chéhab avait tenté de les déraciner. Il les qualifiait de « fromagistes ».
Il a cependant échoué dans sa louable entreprise.
Il faut espérer que la jeunesse de la révolution barre la route au retour de
cette classe politique au pouvoir après son déracinement de toutes les
institutions étatiques.
Open letter to Macron: The problem is not in Taif's
Constitution
OLJ / By Toufic HINDI, February 03, 2021
Mr President of the French Republic,
Lebanon is certainly grateful for all your attention. You're certainly more
Lebanese than the so-called politicians belonging to the rogue political class
who are in ′′ power ′′ thanks to Hezbollah's good will and who jiggle under his
leadership.The equation between the Shia organization and the political class is
simple: you have the crumbs of power and you can swindle the Lebanese to satiety
in return for what I demand your submission to the Iranian occupation that I
represent. Mr President, God's party, although its members are Lebanese, is
certainly not a Lebanese party. It is part of the Islamic Republic of Iran. You
probably know this as much as I do. Hezbollah's project is simply the
Islamicization of the world based on the wilayat el-faqih. Starting point: the
middle east. Mode of action: jihad made it true by the ′′ axis of resistance ".
Today, Hezbollah controls the whole state machinery: its constitutional
institutions (parliament, presidency of the Republic, government),
administrative and judicial apparatus, and security services.
The Lebanese state is not only a rogue state but a failing state. Lebanon is
simply experiencing a non-state situation. Lebanon - as an entity, as a state
and as a people - is in loss.
The problem lies neither in the Lebanese Constitution nor in the socio-political
contract represented by the Taif Agreement. The latter should not be updated
under the pressure of militia weapons or through a panel discussion of Lebanese
politics under the auspices of external powers.
Lebanon is actually under a double occupation: Iranian occupation and that of
the rogue political class. The key to this double occupation is of course
Hezbollah. On the other hand, the Revolution of October 17, 2019 affirmed itself
as a force of change. However, it remains unable to rescue Lebanon. Even if it
would unite its ranks and agenda, and even if it would mobilize millions of
Lebanese, Hezbollah would ultimately use brutal force to terrorize insurgents
and defeat their revolution. In addition, it is now clear that there is no way
out of crisis through constitutional process (parliamentary and presidential
elections, formation of government). It's a matter of force relationship.No hope
for reform: God's party would allow no change in the state power through
constitutional means (formation of a government, parliamentary elections). He
has the capacity: weapons, parliamentary majority and solid alliance with the
Presidency of the Republic. In addition, it is obvious that Lebanon, under this
iniquitous and incompetent power, cannot cope with the huge economic, financial,
environmental, social, humanitarian challenges... It has transformed itself into
the executioner of the people.
In short, the Lebanese people struggling in an insoluble humanitarian problem
are no longer able to self-govern themselves. Lebanon's ′′ somalization ′′ in
progress will inevitably lead to the strengthening of Hezbollah and consequently
increase its destabilizing potential in the region, thus threatening the
interests of States in the region and the world. This same ′′ somalization ′′
could awaken dormant jihadist cells in the Syrian and Palestinian camps, and
promote illegal emigration to Europe.
The Lebanese problem is no longer inherently Lebanese.
Lebanon has become a time bomb for security, stability and peace in the region
and around the world.
Mr President, given France's central position on the world chess board, I humbly
propose a roadmap for Lebanon's rescue which would therefore be beneficial for
security, stability and regional and international peace.
This could be achieved as follows:
1) Implementing a Security Council resolution placing resolutions 1559 and 1701
under chapter seven and expanding the tasks of Finul;
2) a resolution placing Lebanon under international mandate in accordance with
Chapters 12 and 13 of the United Nations Charter or through the invocation of ′′
human rights ′′ to cope with criminal power.
Within the framework of the above international guardianship, a temporary
military-civil authority could be formed, similar to what happened in the Sudan.
She would suspend the Constitution and work under international supervision to
clean up all state institutions from the effects of political patronage and
corruption and then return to the implementation of the Constitution. The
parliamentary elections would then take place in accordance with a new law,
followed by the presidential election and the formation of a government that
would pave the way for the lifting of international guardianship and Lebanon's
recovery at all levels. Why is this international guardianship needed? Because
corruption in Lebanon is structural and derives from its socio-political
structure. It has been described by Ohannès Pasha Kouyoumjian, Lebanon's last
sheep, as a hybrid mix of Aryan feudalism and semitic tribalism. It is this
duality that produced the old and new political families that make up the rogue
political class. The late President Fouad Chehab had tried to uproot them. He
called them ′′ cheese workers ". However, he failed in his worthy business.
It is to be hoped that the youth of the revolution will block the road to the
return of this political class to power after its uprooting of all state
institutions.
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on February 03- 04/2021
Israel attacks Syrian regime, Iran-backed militias in
Quneitra: Reports
Rawad Taha, Al Arabiya English/Thursday 04
February 2021
Syrian air defense forces responded late Thursday to an “Israeli aggression” in
the south of the country, state news agency SANA reported. “Our anti-air
defenses responded, targeting most of the missiles,” the source added. SANA only
reported strikes in the southern region without offering details on the target.
It was followed by Syrian air defenses that responded to the attack, the agency
said. The sound of the air defenses could be heard in the capital Damascus. The
UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) said that several explosions
occurred in the countryside of Quneitra, as a result of Israeli bombing
targeting a military site of the regime forces and Iranian militias, coinciding
with the regime's ground-based counterattacks attempting to counter the
missiles, without information about casualties until this moment. On January 22,
the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights monitored an Israeli air strike on
Syrian territory, from over Lebanese territory, targeting at least five
locations where members of militias loyal to Iran and the Lebanese Hezbollah
were present within the regime's military units in Hama, which led to its
complete destruction.
- With AP
Blinken tells US envoy Malley to form Iran team not
‘dominated’ by one side: Official
Joseph Haboush, Al Arabiya English/Wednesday 03 February 2021
Newly appointed US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has tasked President
Biden’s Iran envoy to form a team made up of people with differing points of
view on policy toward Iran, a State Department official said Wednesday. Reports
earlier in the day quoted sources close to the Biden administration as saying
that Blinken had called on Robert Malley to include individuals with “more
hawkish” stances on Iran. Asked about these reports, State Department
Spokesperson Ned Price said Blinken wanted a wide range of views in the State
Department, “across the board.” “That is no different” when it comes to the Iran
team, Price told reporters in Washington. Price added that the top US diplomat
wanted “to ensure that our thinking is never dominated” by one group. fficials,
the US team was led and made up of individuals considered to have taken a soft
stance on Iran. The team, led by then-Secretary of State John Kerry, also did
not include regional partners and allies during the talks. The leading powers in
the region, such as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Israel, were
sidelined during the negotiations that led to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of
Action (JCPOA) signed in 2015. Critics were skeptical that an incoming Biden
administration would take a soft stance toward Tehran after former President
Donald Trump withdrew from the JCPOA and began an aggressive economic sanctions
regime on the Islamic Republic. However, Biden and other senior US officials
have remained adamant that the US will not move toward re-entering the JCPOA
until, and if, Iran returns to full compliance first. Price doubled down on this
stance Wednesday, saying that Iran had distanced itself from the JCPOA “in very
proficient ways.”At the current stage, the US is discussing potential steps with
allies and partners before moving ahead.
But Price was quick to point out that reaching a new deal would not occur soon.
Biden orders USS Nimitz aircraft carrier home in possible
signal to Iran
Jerusalem Post/February 03/2021
Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin instructed the carrier and and the 5,000
sailors and Marines of its strike group to return home after being deployed for
over 240 days. The United States aircraft carrier USS Nimitz, known for
anchoring US power in the Middle East, has been ordered back home, US Naval
Institute News said citing American officials. The move was seen as a possible
signal to Iran to deescalate tensions amid efforts by the Biden administration
to open negotiations on a new nuclear deal. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin
instructed the carrier and the 5,000 sailors and Marines of its strike group to
return home after being deployed for over 240 days. Over the course of its
deployment, the USS Nimitz was responsible for providing air cover during the
troop drawbacks in Afghanistan, running operations and exercises to strengthen
US Central Command and US Indo-Pacific Command areas of responsibility,
according to the Pentagon. It has also conducted brief missions in Somalia
carrying out air raids on extremists in the country and it was involved in
training the Indian Navy's 7th Fleet. The Nimitz is 100,000 tons of power. Laid
down in 1968, it is one of the largest American warships. It is one of 10
similar ships in its class: the Eisenhower, Vinson, Lincoln, Roosevelt,
Washington, Stennis, Truman, Reagan and Bush. US Naval Institute News says that
the Nimitz was operating within the US 7th Fleet off the coast of west India
when it got the order to go home after nearly eight months on the water.
Just prior to the beginning of the year, the Nimitz was ordered to come
"directly" home by the acting US Acting Secretary of Defense Chris Miller.
Ninety-six hours later, the carrier got another order to “halt its routine
redeployment” and remain in the area of US Central Command following threats
from Tehran on the anniversary of the killing of the Iranian Revolutionary
Guards Commander Qasem Soleimani. The regiment deployed in June, but has been
away from their families since April, following the routine maintenance period
and two-week lockdown to prevent coronavirus outbreaks on the ship. The crew
should be home by the end of the month.Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Mike
Gilday noted that the US intends to keep a presence in the region, although it
is unclear which carrier strike group will replace the Nimitz. According to US
Naval Institute News, it will be replaced by the USS Eisenhower, which is
currently in training to deploy off the east coast, and the Makin Island
Amphibious Ready Group – operating alongside a squadron of Marine F-35B
Lightning II Joint Strike Fighters – which is currently operating of the coast
of Somalia. A US naval aircraft carrier is a big fist that the US can deploy in
case of any problems with Tehran. Iran has been threatening the US with
retaliation, putting its IRGC fast boats and rowboat-like navy on alert in the
Persian Gulf. A US aircraft carrier could destroy Iran’s navy in an afternoon if
called upon to do so. What worries Washington is militia attacks by Iran’s
proxies in Iraq or Yemen, or some kind of attack in the Gulf like the one in
2019 on Saudi Arabia. Tehran has claimed there are “false flag” plots afoot to
bring the US and Iran to war. It’s doubtful the F-18s will get to have one last
mission before they return.
*Seth J. Frantzman contributed to this report.
US intends to restore humanitarian assistance to the
Palestinian people
Jerusalem Post/February 03/2021
WASHINGTON - Ned Price, the State Department spokesman, confirmed at a press
briefing on Tuesday that “the United States does intend to restore humanitarian
assistance to the Palestinian people.” Price added that there is currently no
clear time frame for resuming the financial aid. “This is something we are
working on very quickly to restore and to announce,” he said. “We're not doing
that as a favor, but because it's in the interest of the United States to do so
globally,” Price continued. “Our humanitarian assistance provides critical
relief such as emergency food assistance, healthcare, education. And the
suspension of aid to the Palestinian people has neither produced political
progress nor secured concessions from the Palestinian leadership. It has only
harmed innocent Palestinians.”He went on to say that the United States “will
reinvigorate our humanitarian leadership and work to galvanize the international
community to meet its humanitarian obligations, including to the Palestinian
people.”He also addressed several questions about the Biden administration’s
policy towards Iran. “When it comes to our strategy for the JCPOA and to contain
Iran's nuclear program, as we said in the first instance, we're going to have to
consult closely with our allies and partners,” Price noted. “We're also
consulting with members of Congress. So we haven't had any discussions with the
Iranians and I wouldn't expect we would, until those initial steps go forward.”
“[We will be] consulting with our allies; consulting with our partners;
consulting with Congress before we're reaching the point where we're going to
engage directly with the Iranians and willing to entertain any sort of proposal,
especially since we've been very clear about the proposition we have put on the
table,” Price said. He went on to say that the American position is that if Iran
comes back into full compliance with its obligations under the JCPOA, the United
States would do the same, “and then we would use that as a platform to build a
longer and a stronger agreement that also addresses other areas of concern.” “Of
course we are a long way from that,” he added. “Iran has distanced itself from
compliance on a number of fronts, and there are many steps in that process.”
Iran deepens breach of nuclear deal at underground
enrichment site
Francois Murphy/VIENNA/Reuters
Iran has deepened a key breach of its 2015 nuclear deal, enriching uranium with
a larger number of advanced centrifuge machines in an underground plant as it
faces off with the new U.S. administration on salvaging the accord. Tehran has
recently accelerated its breaches of the deal, raising pressure on U.S.
President Joe Biden as both sides say they are willing to come back into
compliance with the badly eroded agreement if the other side moves first. Iran
began its breaches in 2019 in response to Washington’s withdrawal in 2018 under
then-President Donald Trump and the reimposition of U.S. economic sanctions
against Tehran that were lifted under the deal. The accord says Iran can refine
uranium only at its main enrichment site - an underground plant at Natanz - with
first-generation IR-1 centrifuges. Last year Iran began enriching there with a
cascade, or cluster, of much more efficient IR-2m machines and said in December
it would install three more. “Iran has completed the installation of one of
these three cascades, containing 174 IR-2m centrifuges, and, on 30 January 2021,
Iran began feeding the cascade with UF6,” the International Atomic Energy Agency
said in a report obtained by Reuters on Tuesday, referring to uranium
hexafluoride feedstock. The IAEA later confirmed that the Islamic Republic had
started enriching with the second cascade. Tehran is also pressing ahead with
the installation of more advanced centrifuges, the report indicated. Of the
remaining two cascades of IR-2m machines, installation of one had begun while
the other’s installation was “nearing completion,” it said. Iran’s ambassador to
the IAEA, Kazem Gharibabadi, said on Twitter Tehran had also started installing
IR-6 centrifuges at Fordow, a site dug into a mountain where Iran has begun
enriching uranium to the 20% purity it last achieved before the 2015 deal. In a
second report on Tuesday evening also reviewed by Reuters, the IAEA said only
that Iran had informed it in a letter dated Feb. 1 that two cascades of IR-6
centrifuges would be installed at Fordow to be used with the 1,044 IR-1 machines
already enriching in six cascades there.The report did not say installation had
begun. The IAEA confirmed in a statement that Iran had informed it that the two
cascades would be installed at Fordow. In Washington, U.S. State Department
spokesman Ned Price told reporters Iran’s latest actions increased U.S.
“urgency” to address Iran’s atomic program. “It has undergirded our belief that
this is a challenge we have to tackle immediately,” he said. He said he was
referring to the broad issue of ensuring Iran cannot develop nuclear weapons.
Earlier on Tuesday Israel’s energy minister said it would now take Iran about
six months to produce enough fissile material for one nuclear weapon, a timeline
almost twice as long as that anticipated by a senior Biden administration
official. Iran denies any intent to produce nuclear weapons. The nuclear deal
sets a limit of 3.67% enrichment purity, suitable for producing civilian nuclear
energy and far below the 90% that is weapons-grade.
*Reporting by Francois MurphyAdditional reporting by Dubai newsroomEditing by
Mark Heinrich, Richard Chang and Sonya Hepinstall
US seeks to seize suspected Iranian oil aboard foreign
tanker
Reuters, London/Wednesday 03 February 2021
The US has filed a lawsuit to seize a cargo of oil it says came from Iran rather
than Iraq, as stated on the bill of lading, and contravenes US terrorism
regulations. The lawsuit filed with the US District of Colombia on Tuesday
alleges that Iran sought to mask the origin of the oil by transferring it to
several vessels before it ended up aboard the Liberian-flagged Achilleas tanker
destined for China. Washington said the scheme involved multiple entities
affiliated with Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps and its elite Qods
Force, both of which have been declared by foreign terrorist organizations by
the US. “Participants in the scheme attempted to disguise the origin of the oil
using ship-to-ship transfers, falsified documents, and other means, and provided
a fraudulent bill of lading to deceive the owners of the Achilleas into loading
the oil in question,” the Department of Justice said in a statement. It said the
Achilleas tanker was subject to seizure based on US terrorism forfeiture laws.
The move to seize the cargo followed an investigation by the US Federal Bureau
of Investigation and Department of Homeland Security. A source at the tanker’s
Greek operator Capital Ship Management said the Achilleas was now heading to the
United States in full cooperation with US authorities, where the company has a
trading license. The Achilleas’ last reported position was off the coast of
South America. The US Gulf port of Galveston was its destination with a
scheduled arrival on February 15, Refinitiv ship tracking data showed on
Wednesday.
Iran has not commented on the tanker as yet.
Iran responsible for attempted bomb attack on opposition
group in France: Lawyer
Tamara Abueish, Al Arabiya English/Wednesday 03 February 2021
Iran is responsible for the attempted bomb attack by a diplomat and several
others at an event held by an exiled Iranian opposition group in France in 2018,
the civil party’s lawyer Rik Vanreusel told Al Arabiya. “There was a bomb
planted, or almost planted, on a gathering of the opposition of the state of
Iran. That the bomb was planted by a diplomat… That this spy has recruited
several other agents to perform this heinous attack and this having been done
without Iran knowing, to me, is impossible,” Vanreusel said in an interview. A
Belgian court is expected to issue its final verdict against the Vienna-based
diplomat Assadolah Assadi, and three other Iranians on Thursday for planning to
bomb a meeting held by the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI) in
France. The verdict was initially due at the end of January, but the Antwerp
court deferred it to February 4, without giving any reason for the delay. Over
1,000 Iranian dissidents, politicians, activists, and lawmakers, including
members of the US Congress, the European Parliament, and members of parliaments
from several Arab countries, had attended the meeting. A joint operation between
France, Germany, and Belgium thwarted the attack. “The state of Iran as a
governing body is responsible and can therefore be identified with state
sponsored terrorism. I think this case is a clear example of that,” Vanreusel
said. Assadi, who was the third counselor at Iran’s embassy in Vienna, did not
only act on orders from Iran, but also recruited others to help plant the bomb,
the lawyer claimed. Posted in Vienna, the diplomat’s mission covered cracking
down on Iranian opposition groups operating outside the country, authorities
believe. While Iran has denied allegations of involvement in the attack,
Vanreusel told Al Arabiya that Tehran has never distanced itself from the
diplomat, and sent foreign dignitaries from the embassy to visit him in prison.
“Iran never said on international levels ‘This diplomat is a lone wolf. He has
gone rogue.’ They never acknowledged this. They always denied their own
involvement, but they never parted ways with the diplomat,” Vanreusel said.
Arrested in 2018, while on holiday in Germany, Assadi’s extradition to Belgium
followed two accomplices detained with half a kilogram of the explosive TATP and
a detonator. During an interrogation interview, Assadi threatened Belgian
authorities of possible retaliation if he is found guilty.
Iran’s President Rouhani rules out changes to nuclear deal
AFP, Tehran/Wednesday 03 February 2021
President Hassan Rouhani on Wednesday ruled out changes to Iran’s nuclear accord
with world powers and dismissed calls to broaden the terms of the deal and
include regional countries. US President Joe Biden has voiced support for
returning to the accord, from which Donald Trump exited, but has insisted that
Tehran first resume full compliance and consider expanding the deal beyond the
nuclear issue. Iran’s regional arch rival, Saudi Arabia, has also called for a
role in any future talks on the agreement. “No clause of the JCPOA will change.
Know this. And no one will be added to the JCPOA,” Rouhani said at a televised
cabinet meeting, using the deal’s official name, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of
Action. “This is the agreement. If they want it, everyone come into compliance.
If they don’t, they can go live their lives,” he said. Trump withdrew the US
from the JCPOA and imposed crippling sanctions on Iran in 2018, maintaining a
policy of “maximum pressure” against the country. Iran a year later responded by
gradually suspending its compliance with most of its key nuclear commitments in
the deal, under which it was promised economic relief for limits on its nuclear
program. Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif on Monday asked the European
Union to coordinate a synchronized return of both Washington and Tehran to the
deal, following a diplomatic standoff on who will act first. Zarif said that EU
foreign policy chief Josep Borrell should play a role in his capacity of
coordinator of the 2015 agreement, which also included Britain, France and
Germany as well as Russia and China. But the US State Department spokesman Ned
Price said it was still too early to accept such a proposal, repeating calls on
Tehran to return to compliance first.
EU priority to get US back to Iran nuclear deal:
Spokesperson
Ismaeel Naar, Al Arabiya English/Wednesday 03 February 2021
The European Union’s top priorities are to get the United States back into the
nuclear deal with Iran and for Tehran to return to full compliance with the
Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), a spokesman told Al Arabiya on
Tuesday. Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif called a day earlier on
the bloc's top envoy Josep Borrell to coordinate a synchronized return of
Washington into the 2015 agreement and Tehran's full compliance with it. “The
High Representative Josep Borrell as a coordinator of the nuclear deal is
working very hard and he's in regular contact with partners from the JCPOA
participating countries, but also within the new [US] administration, with the
priority to ensure a possible return of the US back to the deal and return of
Iran to the full compliance,” EU Spokesman Peter Stano said.The EU, which
coordinates implementation of the deal, has been scrambling along with world
powers who signed it to save the pact since former US leader Donald Trump pulled
out in 2018 and slapped tough sanctions on Iran. US President Joe Biden has
voiced support for returning to the deal but has insisted that Tehran first come
back into compliance by reversing measures it took to protest the sweeping US
sanctions. Ned Price, the spokesperson for the US State Department, said on
Tuesday that Washington would not budge on its demand for Tehran to return to
full compliance with the JCPOA. “This is a challenge we have to tackle
immediately … and that is the broader challenge of ensuring Iran is not in a
position to develop a nuclear weapon,” Price told reporters during his first
press briefing. For his part, Stano acknowledged that Iran is moving away from
full compliance to the deal but said Tehran was still away from a “full
breach.”“To stay that there is a full breach, Iran would need to do more
dramatic steps. For us, the most important thing is the assessment of the
International Atomic Energy Agency, IAEA, which still has full access, which
still is able to verify everything that needs to be verified based on the deal,”
Stano said.
Sirens sound from US embassy in Iraq’s Baghdad: Report
Al Arabiya English/Wednesday 03 February 2021
Sirens sounded from the US Embassy in Iraq’s Baghdad, an Al Arabiya
correspondent reported on Wednesday. For months, the Green Zone, which includes
the US embassy in Baghdad, as well as the military bases that host coalition
forces, has been subjected to missile strikes and IED attacks, Al Arabiya
reported. Washington has accused Iranian militias in Iraq of being behind the
missile attacks on the embassy and Iraqi military bases hosting American
soldiers.
In December, multiple Katyusha rockets targeted the US embassy in Iraq’s Green
Zone area as tensions rose over the US’ imposition of sanctions on Iran and the
one year anniversary of the killing of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard
Commander, Qassem Soleimani, in early January 2020 in an American strike.
UN Delegation in Baghdad to Discuss Monitoring of
Parliamentary Elections
Baghdad – Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
A delegation of experts from the United Nations kicked off on Tuesday talks with
Iraqi officials over their monitoring of parliamentary elections, which are
scheduled for October. Head of the Independent High Electoral Commission Jalil
Khalaf Adnan received the experts, expressing his gratitude to the UN for its
support of the commission. The experts will provide technical and management
support to organizers. They include experts in procedures and training, media,
voter outreach, electoral administration, legal affairs, information technology,
among others. Adnan stressed that the commission was keen on holding the
elections, underlining the importance of international monitors due to their
“significant role in ensuring the transparency and fairness of the
polls.”Meanwhile, President Barham Salih announced that he has updated his
biometric card ahead of polls, encouraging voters to follow suit. Updating the
card is necessary to hold transparent elections, he stressed in a tweet, saying
it “guarantees the freedom of choice away from fraud.” Head of the Hikma
alliance, Ammar al-Hakim, expressed his support for international monitoring of
the elections on condition that it refrains from meddling in electoral affairs.
Only the commission is entitled to interfere in the elections, he stated, while
urging the need to hold the polls on time. Former head of the Baghdad electoral
district, Adil al-Lami told Asharq Al-Awsat that people needed to distinguish
between the supervising and monitoring of the polls and technical assistance.
Overseeing entails direct involvement in proceedings, he explained, while
monitoring observes whether the process is in line with international democratic
practices. In 2005, he continued, the UN was involved for strictly technical
assistance. Some political parties are now objecting to the overseeing of the
elections, not their monitoring, because they fear that their voter fraud will
be exposed, he added. Lami said that the UN has yet to clearly announce whether
it will be involved in a monitoring or supervisory capacity.
Arabs, EU Decry Kosovo’s Decision to Establish Embassy in
Jerusalem
Cairo - Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
The Arab world and the European Union decried on Tuesday Kosovo's recognition of
Jerusalem as the capital of Israel and its decision to move its embassy to the
occupied holy city. Arab League Secretary General Ahmad Aboul Gheit and Arab
Parliament Speaker Adel Asoomi issued separate statements urging Kosovo to
backtrack on its controversial decision. Aboul Gheit said Kosovo's decision is
"illegitimate” and constitutes a breach of the international law that recognizes
the city of Jerusalem as occupied territory whereby barring transfer of
embassies to it. "The decision also contradicts international unanimity with
regard to opening embassies in occupied Jerusalem where only two states have
violated this stance, the United States and Guatemala,” he said. The Secretary
General added that opening an embassy in the city does not alter the reality
that it is under occupation and its fate can only be determined through
negotiations. Asoomi said in a statement that Kosovo’s decision has no legal
impact. He stressed that Jerusalem's fate should only be determined through
negotiations and not through unilateral decisions that violate the international
law. European Commission spokesman Peter Stano also said there is no EU member
state with an embassy in Jerusalem. “Any diplomatic steps that could call into
question the EU’s common position on Jerusalem are a matter of serious concern
and regret.”
Russia Angered as Damascus Banks on Dialogue with US amid
Stalled Talks
Moscow - Raed Jaber/Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
Deputy Russian Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov held talks with United Nations
envoy to Syria Geir Pedersen on the results of the fifth round of the
Constitutional Committee meetings amid Moscow’s evident disappointment with
their failure. Even though Moscow had lowered its expectation ahead of last
month’s committee talks, it had preferred that “any progress be announced
instead of failure,” said Russian diplomatic sources. Bogdanov’s talks with
Pedersen will pave the way for further coordination between them as the envoy
prepares to brief the UN Security Council next week on the latest round of
talks.
Moscow is closely monitoring Pedersen’s moves, especially amid the possibility
that he will openly announce who is responsible for hindering progress at the
committee. Moreover, the Astana group is set to meet in Sochi on February 16
with Moscow preparing to hold “serious discussions” aimed at pressing Damascus
to show greater flexibility in constitutional reforms, said a Russian source.
Diplomat Rami al-Shaar, who is close to the Russian Foreign Ministry, told
Asharq Al-Awsat that after the failure of the Constitutional Committee talks, it
has become clear that the Damascus leadership was not listening to its
allies.The regime is insistent on maintaining its own agenda, which is defending
Syrian territorial unity and sovereignty and defeating terrorism, and avoiding
talks about the constitution and reform. This unyielding position stems from
Damascus’ conviction that Russia will continue to support it because it has no
other options, he explained. In fact, some officials, who are close to Damascus,
have gone so far as to declare that the regime is in a better position now with
the arrival of a new administration to the White House, he revealed. These
official believe that Damascus need only make a simple gesture that could
reverse American-Syrian relations and prompt Washington to support the regime
and ensure its survival in exchange for eliminating Russia’s role in the
conflict and the entire Middle East, he said. Reports of secret security
contacts being held between Damascus, Washington and Tel Aviv, through
suspicious mediators, should therefore come to no surprise to anyone, Shaar
remarked.
Egypt Intensifies Diplomatic Efforts to Resolve GERD
Dispute
Cairo - Mohammed Abdo Hassanein/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
Egypt has continued its international diplomatic efforts to move forward the
stalled talks on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), hoping to pressure
Ethiopia to reach a legally binding agreement on regulating the dam’s filling
and operation. Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi received on Tuesday his
Congolese counterpart Felix Tshisekedi, the next president of the African Union
(AU), which has been sponsoring talks between Cairo, Khartoum and Addis Ababa
since July 2020. According to presidential spokesperson Bassam Rady, they
discussed the latest regional developments, especially the GERD issue, and
agreed to bolster coordination and joint consultation. Sisi highlighted Egypt’s
position that “the Nile River is a source of cooperation and development and a
lifeline that links peoples of the Nile Basin countries.”
Leaders held individual discussions followed by expanded discussions between
both countries’ delegations, the presidential statement noted. The statement
quoted Tshisekedi as expressing appreciation for the distinguished historic
relations with Egypt and the sincere and firm Egyptian political support for
Congo. He stressed his country’s keenness to develop these relations in various
fields, especially trade and economic cooperation. Meanwhile, the Egyptian
embassy in Washington held on Monday an expanded virtual session with Congress
aides from the House and Senate. During the session, Ambassador Motaz Zahran
reviewed the GERD’s “negative impact” on Egypt and Sudan’s water security. Cairo
is not opposed to Ethiopia's right to development, provided that its aspirations
do not affect Egyptian interests and water security, Zahran stressed. The
meeting aims to provide an accurate explanation to Congress members on Egypt’s
stance on the negotiations. Cairo and Khartoum stress the need to reach a
binding and comprehensive agreement that guarantees the rights and interests of
the three countries, and include a mechanism for settling disputes filling and
operation of the dam.
They fear the potential negative impact of GERD on the flow of their annual
share of the Nile’s 55.5 billion cubic meters of water. The GERD dispute has
taken two courses of so far faltered negotiations. The first was mediated by the
US, the World Bank and European Union observers in early 2020 and the second by
the AU.
HRW Slams Turkey's 'Illegal' Transfer of Syria Detainees
Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 3 February, 2021
Human Rights Watch Wednesday condemned the "illegal transfers" to Turkey of more
than 60 Syrians arrested by Ankara and its local proxies in Syria's northeast in
2019. Turkey and its Syrian opposition proxies arrested the 63 Syrians between
October and December 2019 in the border area of Ras al-Ain in Syria's northeast,
after seizing the region from Kurdish fighters, the rights group said. The men,
Arabs and Kurds, are being held over their alleged links to Kurdish groups
viewed by Ankara as "terrorists", according to HRW. They have been charged with
"undermining the unity and territorial integrity of the state, membership in a
terrorist organization, and murder", the rights group added. "Not only have
these Syrians been illegally transferred to Turkey for abusive prosecutions, but
in an extraordinarily cruel move, the courts have imposed the highest sentence
possible in Turkey –- life without parole" -- on at least five of them, said
Michael Page, HRW's deputy regional director. Turkey and its Syrian proxies
seized control of Ras al-Ain during an October 2019 offensive that saw it wrest
a 120-kilometer long strip of land from Kurdish forces on the Syrian side of its
southern border. Turkish authorities have not produced evidence that the
detainees committed crimes or were active fighters with Kurdish groups, AFP
quoted HRW as saying. "Turkish authorities, as an occupying power, are required
to respect people's rights under the law of occupation in northeastern Syria,
including the prohibition on arbitrary detention and on the transfer of people
to their territory," Page said. "Instead, they are violating their obligations
by arresting these Syrian men and carting them off to Turkey to face the most
dubious and vaguest of charges connected to alleged activity in Syria." While
HRW said it could only confirm 63 transfers, it said available evidence suggests
the number of Syrians taken to Turkey could be almost 200.
The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on February 03- 04/2021
Where Does the World’s Problem with Us Lie? Where is our
Problem with the World?
Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/February 03/2021
This column does not claim to provide a conclusive answer, and it does not
entail any a priori value judgments. The only thing it does is question and call
for asking questions regarding us, as Arabs, the state of justice in the world
today, and/ or the extent to which we are ready to integrate into this world.
Let us revise some of the significant events of a deep “miscomprehension” from
which a deeper “misunderstanding” arose, one whose effects remain palpable
today. After the First World War, the Arabs, both as elites and peoples,
objected to what the wars’ victors had done through the League of Nations that
they established. They decided to impose mandates on large swaths of what had
previously been the Ottoman Empire and German colonies in Africa. We, in turn,
greeted these mandates with insurgencies and emphasized our refusal of the
“fragmentation status quo” and our determination to “revive the order” as that
had supposedly once been. The stars of our history are still those who faced off
with these mandates: The 1920 Revolution in Iraq, Sultan Al-Atrash, Saleh
Al-Ali, Yousuf Al-Azma, etc.…
The wars’ victors were celebrating a post-imperial world, and we were at pains
to confront their victory, which we saw as nothing more than the colonization of
ourselves. Most bizarrely of all, our new states' rulers seemed embarrassed by
the states they themselves governed. Many of them apologized for being obliged
to play such a role as abhorrent as this.
After the Second World War, the dichotomy of celebration there and mourning here
was repeated. With the exception of Britain, which had the mandate over
Palestine, there was a consensus among victors of this war, including the Soviet
Union, in support of partitioning Palestine. Opposition to the famous 1947
Resolution issued by the United Nations, which the same victors had established,
turned into a unified cry of war that brought the Arab region and some of the
Islamic world together. Foiling the “conspiracy of partition” became seen as a
foremost and sacrosanct national duty. Seventeen years later, Tunisia’s
president at the time, Habib Bourguiba, tried to reconsider the issue principle
of partition and was subsequently defamed in the Levante and described as a
traitor.
With the end of the Cold War (1989- 1991), the Arab region was also the sight
for retaliating against the victors of the war. As the euphoria that had hit the
Western victors’ victory at the Soviet Union’s disintegration was peaking,
Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait, defying the emerging global order of the day. Ten
years later, Osama bin Laden launched his “raid” on New York and Washington.
In other regions around the world, retaliation to post-Cold War neoliberal
economic policies arose: for example, in Bolivia, the poor revolted against
Bechtel, a US company that privatized drinking water. In our part of the world,
the response was of an imperial nature, of an empire that had been prevented
from exercising its imperial control. We did not respond as poor and weak
entities but as strong players that had been deprived of exercising their power.
Through a comparison with Russia, another place which is not linked with
particular friendliness to the West, we realize the following: after the First
World War, Soviet Russia stood with those opposed to the war’s victors. In the
second war, it became most prominent of these victors. With the Cold War, it
contributed, with Mikhail Gorbachev and then Boris Yeltsin, to paving the way
for the West’s victory over its own model.
There are, of course, a few Arab exceptions that confirm the rule:
-The 1916 Hashemite Revolution that cooperated with the British was supposed to
have been among the First World War's victors. However, four years later, after
the mandates’ establishment, its officers led most of the uprisings against it.
The Iraqis among them, who had acclimated with the new status quo, most notably
Nuri al-Saeed, faced an unenviable fate. Peoples’ damnations haunt them to this
day.
-The Arab communist parties, because of their links to the Soviets, were
supposed to have been among the victors of the Second World War. Nevertheless,
partly because of their links to the Soviets, they soon integrated into the
forces opposing the war’s victors.
-Some of those who are described as liberals were supposed to have been among
the Cold War’s victors. However, the feebleness of their democratic and
pluralistic sensibilities, rather their weakness as an independent group, ruled
out any possibility for a solid effect stemming from such a transformation.
Claiming that the world “is against us,” based on these repeating turns of
events that do not change much, leads to the prevalence of the conspiracy
theories in our part of the world and widens the gap that separates us from any
shared universal consensus. Saying that we are “against” the world, on the other
hand, presents us as a strange exception, whose causes, circumstances and
motives do not need to be understood.
Three times in one century, this clash has taken place. Why is that? This issue,
in all likelihood, deserves to be pondered and contemplated.
US Decision on Western Sahara … the Surprise and Solution
Nasser Bourita/Asharq Al-Awsat/February 03/2021
The United States’ decision to recognize Morocco’s sovereignty over all of its
Saharan territories and its clear support for the Moroccan initiative for
autonomous rule came as a surprise to many. Some were concerned, while the
majority of the international community welcomed the move.
The importance of this decision stems from the significance of the country that
approved it. The US is a major power and a permanent member of the Security
Council. It is also a major ally of the Moroccan kingdom with which it has
developed strategic relations during the past two decades under the wise
leadership of King Mohammed VI. Moreover, these historic ties that also look to
the future have been strengthened by various successive American
administrations.
The measure of the importance of the move is primarily tied to the opportunities
it provides in finding a solution to this conflict that has been going on for
too long. Resolving the conflict will achieve permanent stability and security
in a strategic region, which has implications that extend to southern Europe and
central Africa. The 1991 ceasefire agreement silenced the weapons and paved the
way for political and diplomatic solutions and opportunities. The Polisario
Front, however, did not wait for the American decision to declare its repeated
violations of the agreement and futile provocations.
We are confronted with two opposing views. On the one hand, we have the Moroccan
view, promoted by the King, who is seeking a better future through major
investments, worth over 7 billion dollars, in the southern regions. The royal
vision does not want to leave a single area hostage to a stalled political
process. On the other hand, we have a position that is relying on the stalled
process, which it is exploiting to hamper regional economic integration and
threaten region security, heedless of the negative humanitarian impact.
Amid these two varying positions, the reasonable people of the world realize the
importance of the American decision as the beginning of a decisive line of
action that would reach a realistic and permanent political solution.
Amid these developments, which are eying the future, Morocco decided to allow
the residents of the Western Sahara to practice a form of autonomous rule under
the authority of national sovereignty. Such a move allows the Western Sahara to
manage its political, economic and social affairs through legislative, executive
and judicial bodies that are exclusive to its region. The United States is aware
of the details of this file, as well as its implications. Moreover, the move on
autonomous rule is a product of deep consultations held between King Mohammed VI
and the administration of Bill Clinton. They were carried on by the George W.
Bush administration and later supported by the Barack Obama administration.
The successive administrations all offered their support for autonomous rule,
viewing it as a solution to the regional conflict. The Trump administration’s
recognition of Moroccan sovereignty is a culmination of the efforts over the
years and a sign of Washington’s constant position on the issue.
Away from official statements, the US has been eying the sovereignty decision
since 2015 with Rabat’s view to develop the southern regions. From this same
position, trade agreements signed between Morocco and the European Union all
include the southern regions. Based on the above, the American recognition of
Moroccan sovereignty of the Sahara should not come to a shock to anyone, expect
those with a bad memory.
The American declaration is also in line with developments in the file at the
UN. Previous UN envoys had repeatedly said that the “independence of the Sahara”
was not a realistic option. Moreover, the recent 17 recommendations offered by
the Security Council stem from a clear conviction of the need to reach a
“realistic and permanent political solution”. It hailed the serious and credible
efforts exerted by Morocco to end the impasse over this issue.
To achieve its goal, Morocco will remain committed to the UN-sponsored political
path. It will follow clear standards based on determining and including the real
parties involved in this regional conflict. This a commitment voiced by King
Mohammed VI to UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres.
Those who oppose Morocco’s move on autonomous rule are doing nothing by
prolonging the impasse and hindering a solution. We believe that autonomous rule
is real and it will leave no party as victor or vanquished. This move is
garnering international support with every passing day. It was evident at a
ministerial conference that was organized by Morocco and the US to support
autonomous rule. Forty-two countries took part in the event. Furthermore, the
American decision to join 20 other countries in inaugurating consulates in
Laayoune and Dakhla will definitely encourage others to follow suit soon.
By signing the December 22 tripartite declaration that included the American
presidential declaration, Morocco was also placing its seal to a moral
commitment that encourages stability in the wider Morocco area in the service of
peace in the Middle East. It is an opportunity for us all to adopt constructive
positions and move forward towards achieving a realistic, fair and permanent
solution.
*Nasser Bourita is Morocco’s Minister of Foreign Affairs and International
Cooperation.
Palestinians: No to Normalization with the 'Zionist entity'
Khaled Abu Toameh/ consent of Gatestone/February 3, 2021
The anti-normalization campaign, which is also waged by Palestinians, means that
any Palestinian leader or negotiator who is seen sitting with an Israeli will be
condemned by Palestinians and possibly other Arabs as a traitor.... and accused
of committing treason.
The last thing any Palestinian officials wants is to be labeled a traitor
because, in the world of Fatah and Hamas, that crime is punishable by death.
If... Abbas wants to avoid such a fate, he must do an about-face and put an end
to the anti-Israel incitement that is coming, first and foremost, from his very
own loyalists.
If Palestinian journalists are banned from meeting Israelis, what will be the
Palestinians' reaction the day they see Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud
Abbas or his officials sitting at a negotiating table with Israel? The
Palestinian representatives will undoubtedly be accused of committing treason, a
crime punishable by death. Pictured: Palestinian protesters carry portraits of
Abbas at a demonstration against the peace agreement between Israel and the
United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, in the city of Tubas, near the Jordan Valley,
on September 27, 2020.
If and when the Biden administration manages to revive the peace process between
Israel and the Palestinians, it will have to take into consideration that the
Arab campaign against normalization with Israel remains as aggressive as ever.
The anti-normalization campaign, which is also waged by Palestinians, means that
any Palestinian leader or negotiator who is seen sitting with an Israeli will be
condemned by Palestinians and possibly other Arabs as a traitor.
Two recent examples of the ongoing campaign:
On January 6, the Palestinian Journalists Syndicate (PJS), a body dominated by
Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas's ruling Fatah faction and
representing hundreds of Palestinian journalists, issued a warning to its
members against engaging in normalization activities with Israelis.
The warning came in response to reports that the Israel Defense Forces had
invited Palestinian journalists to participate in a Zoom briefing on Israel's
measures to curb the spread of the coronavirus.
Some of the Palestinian journalists who reportedly received the invitation
alerted the PJS, which swiftly issued the warning to all its members.
It is important to note the wording of the statement issued by the PJS, whose
heads are considered loyalists of Abbas:
"The syndicate, while expressing its complete refusal of such invitations,
affirms that these conferences and meetings, held by the occupation army, are
dangerous, even if they are related to health issues. All these meetings, even
if they are held through social media [platforms], only lead to normalization
with the Zionist entity. The syndicate warns against participation in these
meetings."
First, the Palestinian group is saying that it does not care about the subject
of the meeting, even if it is related to a pandemic. It is opposed to any
meeting with Israelis because that would promote normalization with Israel. If
the journalists are strongly opposed to medical cooperation between Israel and
the Palestinians, why did the PJS not condemn the Palestinian leadership for
accepting vaccines from Israel on February 1? Why is it acceptable for the
Palestinian Authority to receive vaccines from Israel, while Palestinian
journalists are not permitted to attend an Israeli-sponsored Zoom conference on
the coronavirus?
Second, the warning itself may be seen as a threat to those journalists who
participate in any online conferences with Israelis. The threat implies that the
journalists may be expelled from the PJS or have their names placed on a
blacklist, which means they will be boycotted by their colleagues and branded as
traitors for appearing with Israelis. In the past, the PJS has called for
boycotting the Israeli media and banned its members from attending conferences
with Israelis anywhere, including Europe and the US.
Third, by referring to Israel as the "Zionist entity," the PJS is signaling
that, like Hamas and Iran, it does not recognize Israel. They consider the word
"Israel" anathema, to the point that they cannot even bring themselves to
mention it.
It is also worth pointing out that the PJS's warning shows that there is not
much difference between Fatah and Hamas, especially when it comes to calling
Israel the "Zionist entity" and banning any form of normalization with Israel.
Last year, Hamas arrested several Palestinian activists in the Gaza Strip on
charges of treason after they participated in a "WEconference" with Israelis.
Explaining the arrests, the Hamas-controlled Interior Ministry said: "Holding
any activity or contact with the Israeli occupation under any cover is a crime
punishable by law and a betrayal for the [Palestinian] people and their
sacrifices."
Although they have been engaged in a bitter power struggle for the past 14
years, Abbas's Fatah faction and Hamas have nevertheless both denounced the
normalization agreements signed last year between Israel and the United Arab
Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco. Fatah and Hamas are both ready to lay
aside their bloody feud to oppose any form of normalization with Israel, not
only by Palestinians, but by Arab countries as well.
The second example that the anti-normalization campaign is alive and continuing:
Palestinian denunciations of an interview with Israeli Defense Minister Benny
Gantz by the Egyptian-based TV station, Al-Ghad.
The TV station is now being condemned by Palestinians (and other Arabs) for
allegedly promoting normalization with Israel by interviewing an Israeli. On
Twitter, many Palestinians are calling for a boycott of the station, accusing it
of "betraying" them.
If Palestinian journalists are banned from meeting Israelis, and if an Arab TV
station is not allowed to interview an Israeli, what will be the Palestinians'
reaction the day they see Abbas or any other Palestinian sitting at a
negotiating table with Israel? The Palestinian representatives will undoubtedly
be accused of committing treason.
If the Biden administration is serious about resuming the Israeli-Palestinian
peace process, it needs to take into account that calls for boycotting Israel or
banning normalization activities will terrify any Palestinian away from the
negotiating table.
As long as the anti-Israel voices and campaigns are raging among Palestinians,
Abbas and his entourage will think a thousand times before they agree to be seen
sitting across a table from any Israeli.
The last thing any Palestinian officials wants is to be labeled a traitor
because, in the world of Fatah and Hamas, that crime is punishable by death. If,
on the other hand, Abbas wants to avoid such a fate, he must do an about-face
and put an end to the anti-Israel incitement that is coming, first and foremost,
from his very own loyalists.
*Khaled Abu Toameh, an award-winning journalist based in Jerusalem, is a
Shillman Journalism Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
© 2021 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
F-35 is more than just a US arms deal for the UAE
Haitham El-Zobaidi/The Arab Weekly/February 03/2021
In describing the capabilities of the F-35 fighter jet, an expert said that at
their best working conditions, advanced radar systems can spot this fighter
plane as a metal ball the size of a golf ball. This sums up the difficulty of
capturing radar signals and directing any defence systems to counter them.
This in a way describes the way the Israelis conduct their air campaign in
Syria. Israeli F-35 fighter jets fly in sorties over Syria or in western parts
of Iraq without fear of being detected or targeted. The Israeli fighters can
strike as they wish at concentrations of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard
Corps (IRGC) troops and their various weapon systems, especially drones and
missiles, despite the fact that Russian radar devices enhance the detection
capabilities of Syrians, Iranians and Iraqis. The F-35 is a military armament
quantum leap.
If you want to sum up modern scientific and technical achievements in one thing,
it would be the modern US F-35 fighter.
The fifth-generation multi-task fighter combines all types of air combat
functions taking off from ground bases or aircraft carriers. It possesses
airspace infiltration capabilities (stealth as it is now known) without being
detected by radars and thermal signal detectors
It can take off practically like a helicopter, or from a very short runway, and
carry various countermeasures and jam equipment to evade the missiles that would
target it. It conceals weapons inside the fuselage, making it more flexible and
endowing it with exceptional stealth capabilities.
It was completely computer-designed before its first flight test. It carries on
board the best that computer control and informatics technology can offer — the
FlybyWire. Most of all, it is designed to operate for decades as an air
superiority aircraft and makes it possible to dispense with entire generations
of fighters that require more complex and costly maintenance operations.
Whoever buys this advanced fighter contributes retroactively to the cost of its
development, and also participates in the development of future military
technologies. No magic wand produces such advanced technologies.
The UAE’s keenness to acquire this unique fighter jet has been clear. Some
commentators viewed the armament contract as a gift to the administration of
former US President Donald Trump in the last few months of his Republican
administration. This is a naive reading that does not take into consideration
the reality of strategic balances in the region.
In reality, the UAE was in a rush to complete the deal, and this is exactly what
happened when its ambassador to Washington, Yousef Al Otaiba, announced in the
final days of Trump’s administration that the mission had been accomplished.
Then came the incoming administration of US President Joe Biden’s decision to
review the deal, a decision that appears to be cosmetic but bears many
indications. This is an administration that has its own Iranian agenda, and is
aware of the deterrence capability provided by this type of combat aircraft.
Deterrence will be the name of the game. After Iranian drones and cruise
missiles attacked Saudi Arabia’s Abqaiq oil facilities and managed to strike at
them without really being challenged by Saudi air defences, it became clear that
an important part of the Gulf has been exposed, whether the missiles were fired
at it from Iran or launched by Tehran’s allies in Yemen or Iraq.
Given the low cost and ease of manufacturing these missiles and drones, and the
abundance of these weapons exhibited by Iran in its continuous exercises, one
can imagine that future use of these simple and effective weapons is a
possibility. Any countermeasures will have to face the dual challenge of simple
technology and an abundance of weapons, which require a review of the whole Gulf
defence strategy. The United States has acted and is exploring the possibility
of a second line of defence along the Red Sea. But what can Saudi Arabia, the
UAE and even Qatar, which is close to Iran, do? “This is our country, this is
our geography and we will defend it.” To impose its own tempo on the supposed
negotiations, the US has resorted to intimidation. It says that Iran is on its
way to developing nuclear weapons very soon. But what about all of Iran’s other
weapons — from drones, to ballistic missiles and cruise missiles, to the
youngest militia fighter in its proxies in Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen and Syria?
The deterrence exercised by Israel in the face of Iran is quite effective.
Intelligence uses human information or satellite imagery, and the F-35 fighter
jets are subsequently launched to carry out their missions.
Iran is not allowed to keep missile bases near Israel. Israeli Prime Minister
Binyamin Netanyahu bases deterrence on this logic, and is backed by all Israeli
politicians. This issue is greater than any consideration regarding relations
with the United States. This is not 1991, the year the Israeli government found
Patriot missiles sufficient to deter Iraqi ballistic missile attacks.
The Patriot system remained a passive bystander when waves of drones and cruise
missiles struck at Abqaiq. The Iranian lesson to Saudi Arabia resonated more in
Jerusalem.
Deterrence is necessary if the counter-weapon is not available or has limited
effect. Even the stealth technology provided by advanced US aircraft is not
foolproof. A year and a half ago, relatively rudimentary Iranian missiles
hailing back to 1970s technology shot down an unmanned Global Hawk RQ-4A stealth
aircraft over the Strait of Hormuz.
This was an “old-generation” missile worth less than $1 million dollars shooting
down a “young-generation” plane with a price tag of $180 million. And before
that, Iran managed to capture another stealth reconnaissance plane, the RQ-170,
and bring it down, dismantle it and learn its technical details — from the
material that makes it invisible to radar, to its cameras and electronic
sensors.
The UAE is one of the US’s closest allies in the region. Its sense of safety is
essential as it confronts Iran, which has spared no opportunity to intimidate
and threaten all those it deems to be its enemies.
The UAE is fundamentally outside the realm of ideological confrontation between
Iran and Saudi Arabia. This confrontation, which escalates and cools down
according to various considerations, has reached its climax after the collapse
of the strategic balance represented by Iraq, first in 1991 and then
definitively in 2003. The UAE realises that war is the last thing it wants for
the region, which strives for stability. Its confrontation with the Muslim
Brotherhood-type political Islam project is a reminder that the two versions of
Shia and Sunni political Islam, which have been in conflict since 1979, do not
need a third version. We have watched how quickly this can breed a tide of war
and terror in Syria and Libya.
Therefore, and for many other reasons, it would hardly be an option for the US
to delay or stall the F-35 deal.
Considering the issue part of Washington’s efforts to pressure regional allies
to accept the nuclear deal, leaving other details such as missiles and influence
for the negotiating table, is unthinkable and unacceptable.
US President Joe Biden is a practicing Catholic. On the way from his home and
the White House, he stopped to pray in church. Piety makes him aware of the
danger of betraying an ally. His religious piety keeps Judas Iscariot on his
mind. There is no telling how much silver Iran will give in order to convince
Biden to “sell out” an ally like the United Arab Emirates or to bargain over its
security and the security of the region as a whole.
*Dr Haitham El-Zobaidi is the executive editor of Al Arab Group.
Treasury Report Highlights Turkey as Islamic State’s
Logistical Hub
Aykan Erdemir/FDD/February 03/2021
The U.S. Department of the Treasury reported last month that the Islamic State
often relied on “logistical hubs in Turkey” to transfer funds internationally,
especially between Iraq and Syria. Treasury has designated Turkey-based Islamic
State networks three times since 2019, which, along with the department’s latest
finding, shows that jihadists continue to thrive in the permissive environment
Ankara has cultivated.
On January 4, Treasury’s Office of Inspector General presented its first
quarterly report of the year to the Department of Defense regarding Treasury’s
support for Operation Inherent Resolve, the campaign against the Islamic State.
The report highlights that the Islamic State continues to raise funds through
“extortion of oil smuggling networks in eastern Syria, kidnapping for ransom
targeting civilian businesses and populations, looting, and possibly the
operation of front companies” and has “as much as $100 million available in cash
reserves dispersed across the region.” According to Treasury’s assessment, the
Islamic State uses money services businesses to transfer funds, often utilizing
logistical hubs in Turkey.
Since 2014, Turkey has been a key jurisdiction the Islamic State exploits for
smuggling militants, weapons, and funds to Syria. In early 2019, after stepping
down as U.S. special envoy for the international coalition against the Islamic
State, Brett McGurk wrote that although President Barack Obama repeatedly asked
his Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, “to control the Turkish border
with Syria,” through which Islamic State fighters and materiel “flowed freely,”
Erdogan “took no action.” Six months later, following a U.S. Special Operations
Forces raid that killed Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, McGurk said
that Turkey “has some explaining to do,” since Baghdadi was found “just a few
miles from Turkey’s border,” in a province “protected by a dozen Turkish
military outposts since early 2018.”
Over the last two years, Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has
taken repeated steps to designate Islamic State networks exploiting Turkey’s
permissive environment. In April 2019, Treasury sanctioned six individuals and a
currency exchange company based in Turkey with links to the Rawi Network, whose
members are key financiers for the Islamic State. Five months later, OFAC
designated Turkey-based terror financiers working for both the Islamic State and
Hamas. In November 2019, OFAC issued sanctions against three Turkish entities
and two Turkish citizens for “providing critical financial and logistical
support” to the Islamic State. Last month, Treasury designated two Egyptians
based in Turkey for being leaders of Harakat Sawa’d Misr, a Foreign Terrorist
Organization.
As it did following Baghdadi’s death, Ankara often responds to such shaming with
frantic roundups of alleged Islamic State members within its jurisdiction. This
time around, Ankara also responded to Treasury’s findings by launching
well-publicized police operations against the Islamic State in 15 provinces and
arresting 35 suspects. Such publicity stunts, however, rarely result in a
sustained effort against jihadists in concert with the U.S.-led international
coalition against the Islamic State. The Paris-based news agency Agence France-Presse,
for example, exposed in November 2019 that Ankara had been detaining key Islamic
State figures since 2018 but failed to mention them to allies for over a year.
The Biden administration should urge Ankara to adopt a zero-tolerance policy
toward terror finance and to end its permissive policies and lenient treatment
of jihadist networks within Turkey. Treasury, meanwhile, should continue to
issue sanctions against Turkey-based terror financiers.
*Aykan Erdemir is a former member of the Turkish parliament and senior director
of the Turkey Program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), where
he also contributes to FDD’s Center on Economic and Financial Power (CEFP). For
more analysis from Aykan, the Turkey Program, and CEFP, please subscribe HERE.
Follow Aykan on Twitter @aykan_erdemir. Follow FDD on Twitter @FDD and @FDD_CEFP.
FDD is a Washington, DC-based, nonpartisan research institute focusing on
national security and foreign policy.
Iran Isn’t Just a Nuclear File
Karen Kramer/Foreign Policy/February 03/2021
As President Joe Biden sets the course for a new U.S. policy toward Iran, he
would do well to put human rights at the center of the American agenda. Under
former President Donald Trump, the United States occasionally voiced concern
about Iranian human rights abuses, but such advocacy was widely seen as little
more than a political bludgeon, and as such it was ineffective. European
diplomats went largely silent on the issue, as the U.S. withdrawal from the 2015
Iran nuclear deal left them focused on preventing the agreement’s collapse. The
new administration in Washington has the opportunity and the imperative to
address a human rights situation in Iran that is not only deteriorating but also
intimately connected to multiple areas of strategic concern.
The last four years have been dark ones for human rights in Iran. Societal
discontent over worsening economic conditions and continued repression exploded
in November 2019 into the most serious protests the country has seen in decades.
To crush them, security forces used indiscriminate, lethal violence. The
judiciary has also issued increasingly harsh prison sentences to human rights
lawyers and activists after unfair trials and meted out death sentences to
protesters and dissidents.
Yet still the world remains fixated on the nuclear file, portraying it as the
foremost issue to resolve with Iran. That view overlooks the link between human
rights and security concerns—including the spread of nuclear weapons. Indeed,
the United States can more effectively address all of its key strategic
interests regarding Iran—nuclear proliferation, missile production, regional
conflict, terrorism, and oil markets—by affording human rights a central place
in its foreign policy.
Protecting basic civil rights and liberties promotes good governance, and good
governance in turn promotes domestic stability. Only with freedom of expression
and the rule of law, for example, can officials be held accountable. Without
such accountability, stability will always be at risk. Iran’s recent history has
amply demonstrated the relationship between poor governance and unrest. Those
who protested in the streets of Iranian cities in November 2019 did so
explicitly in response to the Islamic Republic’s mismanagement and injustices.
The state crushed these protests with extreme violence; security forces fired
live ammunition into crowds of unarmed civilians, killing hundreds and arresting
thousands in a matter of days.
Some U.S. policymakers have welcomed the prospect of a destabilized Iran. But if
Iran were to descend into chaos, the most likely outcome would be further chaos
throughout the Middle East. Domestic stability is inextricably linked to
regional stability: throughout the region, weak and failed states have fueled
destructive substate actors, radical transnational movements, and interstate
conflict. Sustained domestic turmoil in Iran could lead to fragmentation along
ethnic, religious, and ideological lines and a violent internecine conflict that
would open the door to proxy wars among regional rivals and further great-power
conflict in the region. All the nearby conflicts, particularly those in Iraq,
Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen where Iran is already enmeshed, would be exacerbated,
as the drive for the various players to capitalize on the chaos intensified.
The last four years have been dark ones for human rights in Iran.
Burgeoning regional conflicts would put a great many security interests at risk.
Weapons would rapidly proliferate. Refugees would surge across borders, bringing
destabilizing effects not only to the region but also to Europe. The radicalism
that has fueled international terrorism would have a new lease on life. And oil
markets would be disrupted at a time when economies worldwide have sharply
contracted due to COVID-19.
Put simply, peace and security on the country level are inseparable from peace
and security on the regional level—and both depend on the defense of human
rights. Basic civil and political liberties are, at the end of the day, a
reflection of the rule of law. As such they form the basis of both sound
domestic governance and international comity.
DISSIDENTS MAKE A DIFFERENCE
The pen may not always be mightier than the sword, but the history of the Cold
War shows that dissidents matter. Their voices carry weight and can
significantly affect the legitimacy of a state. Such figures are listened to in
their own societies, and that is precisely why repressive governments lock them
up: tyrants fear them. Figures such as Andrei Sakharov in the former Soviet
Union, Vaclav Havel in the former Czechoslovakia, and Nelson Mandela in South
Africa were instrumental in critiquing the state structures of their home
countries. The further and more deeply these dissidents’ voices resonated, the
more legitimacy drained from the governments that repressed them.
Likewise, in Iran, imprisoned lawyers and activists, such as the defense
attorney Nasrin Sotoudeh and the recently released activist Narges Mohammadi,
carry great authority. Such figures have not been silenced by incarceration.
Rather, their letters from prison circulate widely on Iranian social media.
Dozens of lesser known activists have joined the chorus calling for civil and
political liberties. Supporting them and the rights they advocate by amplifying
their voices, working with allies to jointly raise their causes, and forcefully
objecting to their prosecution in every possible forum is not only a moral
imperative but a strategic one. More broadly, a freer expressive space in Iran
would serve American interests by lessening the potential for regional conflict.
It has been well established that countries with strong human rights records are
less likely than those with weak ones to engage in aggression against their
neighbors. The costs of war are simply harder to force upon an informed
citizenry, and citizens whose civil liberties are protected are able to voice
their opposition to acts of aggression. Currently, Iranians do post bitter
commentary on social media, not only about human rights abuses but also about
the government’s actions in Syria and expenditures in Lebanon. The
commentary—and the pressure on the government—would surely be much fiercer if
political expression were less constrained.
THE IRANIAN CENTER
Respecting human rights could be the first step toward true political reform in
Iran. The country’s moderate center—which has consistently supported engagement
with the West, nuclear negotiation, and a reduced regional footprint for the
Islamic Republic—has demonstrated its numerical dominance in a majority of the
country’s elections, both presidential and parliamentary. Yet this moderate
center has been unable to sway policy in Iran. Power in the Islamic Republic
lies in the hands of the supreme leader, his religious cronies, and the security
apparatus that reports to him. Iran’s elected officials have proved unable to
deliver on any of their promised reforms, and those identified as “reformists”
have all but lost credibility as agents of positive change.
Change remains possible in Iran, but not without respect for human rights. If
the country were to honor basic political and civil liberties, such as the right
to peacefully dissent, to freely associate with others, and to form real
political parties, it would open political space to new, independent candidates
who could pursue the widespread demand for nonviolent reform and the structural
transformation of the country’s politics. Such a shift can take years. But it
could eventually mean the empowerment of a largely centrist citizenry that has
long eschewed violence and extremism.
If Iran’s government is to be compelled to respect human rights, it must come
under sustained pressure. The authorities in Iran have demonstrated that they
are sensitive to public opinion, both domestic and international, especially
when the two are combined. For example, for more than a decade, civil society
inside Iran and international human rights organizations persistently demanded
reform of Iran’s death penalty policies, ultimately leading to a major policy
reversal in which the authorities ceased applying the death penalty to low-level
drug crimes. The government’s attempts to shape the public narrative—by
censoring the Internet, controlling the media, broadcasting the forced
“confessions” of detainees, and intimidating the families of journalists and
dissidents into silence—attest to its concern for public opinion. The more
Iranians can access information and share their views, the costlier rights
violations and political repression will become for the government.
A HUMAN RIGHTS FOREIGN POLICY
External actors have only a limited ability to influence any country’s domestic
human rights policies, and the effort to bring about such change is a long-term
endeavor that may yield few short-term results. But on almost every continent,
examples can be found of brutal and repressive governments finally yielding to
international demands for rights, freedoms, and accountability. An Iran policy
that builds toward such an outcome is not beyond the realm of the possible—but
it would require the United States to recalibrate some of its priorities.
Change remains possible in Iran, but not without respect for human rights.
A U.S. foreign policy that prioritized human rights would continuously and
vigorously raise Iran’s human rights record in its bilateral dealings with other
countries—not as a perfunctory sidebar but as a central concern, signaling that
the United States considered the issue important enough to seek coordinated
international action to address it. The United States could use multilateral
forums to push for the global censure of the Islamic Republic’s human rights
abuses. And by linking progress on human rights to things that the Iranian
authorities want—benefits rising from trade, investment, and scientific
exchange, for example—the United States could exact clearly delineated costs for
continued violations.
A Washington that understood the centrality of human rights to its Iran policy
would also consult with human rights organizations frequently and meaningfully,
thereby ensuring that its policy was informed by accurate, independent, and
nonpartisan information on the state of human rights in Iran and the central
needs of Iranian civil society. Moreover, it would make human rights a major
component of its policy toward the larger region, demonstrating that such rights
were a fundamental U.S. priority rather than a political tool.
The mandate of the negotiations for the Iran nuclear deal was never about
anything other than the nuclear file. And progress on nuclear nonproliferation
should not be held hostage to other issues. But that does not mean other
critical issues—including human rights—should not be pursued just as robustly
alongside the nuclear negotiations. A comprehensive approach to security that
places human rights on an equal footing with other strategic issues is
ultimately the only way to begin to bring peace, stability, and political and
economic development to the troubled Middle East.
A New Law to Contain Islamic Radicalism Threatens French
Protestants
Mark Durie/Markdurie.com/February 03/2021
Though intended to curb radical Islam, a new bill before the French parliament
would rob Christians of their freedoms.
Six years ago, when I was serving as the pastor of an Anglican church, the
Australian Charities and Not-for-profits Commission wrote to the parish
requesting that it implement measures to stop our church from funding
terrorists.
Warning a quiet suburban Anglican parish against funding terrorism seems more
than faintly ridiculous, but for some types of charities it could be entirely
reasonable. For example, during the 1990's the Islamic Council of Victoria was
administering a "mujihadeen" account, to raise funds for jihad in Afghanistan,
although representatives of the Council later stated that the ICV never funded
any jihadis who were 'extremist'.
The ICV's mujahideen campaign had a religious basis in Islam. One of the
obligatory five pillars of the faith is to make financial contributions, known
as zakat. According to the Qur'an, these 'alms' can be used for various
purposes, not all of which would meet the conventional Christian understanding
of 'charity'. One of the permitted uses is to fund jihadis. The Qur'an calls
this 'alms ... in the path of Allah'. This phrase was explained by the renowned
Muslim commentator Ibn Kathir as "'in the path of Allah' is exclusive for the
benefit of fighters in jihad."
A scattergun response to Islamic radicalism risks damaging the freedoms of other
religions.
The Islamic sharia presents many unique and specific regulative challenges for
secular governments. In addressing these challenges the authorities are
understandably loath to discriminate between religions, so when they set out to
impose legislative boundaries around Islamic radicalism, there is a risk that
the freedoms of other religions will be damaged. Freedoms and privileges
currently enjoyed by Christian charities could be wound back, as collateral
damage of a scattergun response to Islamic radicalism.
This risk is proving all too real in France today. Under President Macron, the
nation of liberté, égalité, and fraternité has a bill before parliament intended
to curb radical Islam. This law applies to '1905 associations', which were
established by the 1905 law on the Separation of the Churches and the State.
However, in reality, 80% of registered 1905 associations in France are
Protestant churches. Most French mosques have been established, not as religious
entities under the 1905 law, but as community organisations under a different
1901 Law of Associations. So changes to the 1905 Associations laws will impact
Protestants most, including 90% of Evangelical churches. François Clavairoly,
president of the Protestant Federation of French Churches, has stated, "This is
the first time ... that I find myself in the position of defending freedom of
worship. I never imagined that in my own country something like this could
happen."
80% of registered 1905 associations in France are Protestant churches.
The Catholic Church will not be affected. It had vehemently opposed the
introduction of the 1905 associations arrangements, until in 1924 a concession
was granted for Catholics to form 'diocesan associations'. This means that
Catholic churches will not be captured in the dragnet of these new laws.
The proposed changes can only be described as draconian. Every five years,
churches will have to apply to their prefecture to keep their status as a
church, and the prefect can close a church without any hearing or legal process.
The authorities can close a church if teachings are considered to incite hate
against a person or group of persons, which will put the state in a position to
censor the religious beliefs and preaching of churches. Churches will have to
have their accounts formally audited, which will cost thousands of euros, and a
pastor will be personally fined 9,000 euros if a church is non-compliant.
Homeschooling, which is widely practiced by French Evangelicals, is to be
banned, with few exceptions: freedom of religious conscience is not one of the
allowed exceptions.
France has had a troubled and violent religious history, from the
Catholic-Protestant wars of the 16th century and the St Bartholomew's Day
massacres of protestants in 1572, through to the Reign of Terror and violent
dechristianisation which followed the French Revolution, with repeated seizure
of church assets continuing until 1905.
The legislation is a testimony to the religious illiteracy of France's elites.
It is ironic that new laws, intended to contain the jihad, are in reality going
to impact Protestants most, who have already had long and bitter experience of
persecution and discrimination in France. This outcome, if it comes to pass,
will be a testimony to the religious illiteracy of France's elites, and perhaps
even evidence of a latent hostility to Christianity, but it will do little to
solve France's problems with the Sharia. These laws will rob Christians of their
freedoms and damage France's much-vaunted liberté, égalité, and fraternité.
*Mark Durie is a Fellow at the Middle East Forum, founding director of the
Institute for Spiritual Awareness, and a senior research fellow of the Arthur
Jeffery Centre for the Study of Islam at the Melbourne School of Theology.