English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For August 04/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
Where your treasure is, there will your heart be also
Luke 12/33-40: Sell your possessions, and give to
the needy. Provide yourselves with moneybags that do not grow old, with a
treasure in the heavens that does not fail, where no thief approaches and no
moth destroys. For where your treasure is, there will your heart be also. “Stay
dressed for action and keep your lamps burning, and be like men who are waiting
for their master to come home from the wedding feast, so that they may open the
door to him at once when he comes and knocks. Blessed are those servants whom
the master finds awake when he comes. Truly, I say to you, he will dress himself
for service and have them recline at table, and he will come and serve them. If
he comes in the second watch, or in the third, and finds them awake, blessed are
those servants! But know this, that if the master of the house had known at what
hour the thief was coming, he would not have left his house to be broken into.
You also must be ready, for the Son of Man is coming at an hour you do not
expect.”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published on August 03-04/2021
Hezbollah the Terrorist organization is totally responsible for the
Beirut Port Explosion, and justice will not be achieved before Lebanon is
liberated from its occupation/Elias Bejjani/August 04/2021
A Year Later, Beirut Blast Victims Push Leaders for Justic
After Port Blast, Winning Justice Becomes a Life's Mission
Year after Lebanon Blast, Children Still in Distress
Miqati Reportedly Tells Aoun He'll Quit in 3 Weeks if No Govt.
Lebanese Officials 'Criminally Negligent' over Port Blast, Says HRW
Aoun Tells Judiciary Not to Fear Immunities, Urges Peaceful Aug. 4 Anniversary
Berri Urges Unveiling Side that Brought Nitrates, Blast Causes
Hariri Urges Transparent Int’l Probe, Lifting of ‘All’ Immunities
Diab: Who Brought the Ammonium Nitrate and Why?
ISG Urges Lebanon to Form Govt. that Implements 'Meaningful Reforms'
Stolen Car Sparks Bomb Scare near Baabda Palace
France Targets $357 Million at Lebanon Aid Conference
A Year Since the Beirut Port Explosion – Investigation? Rehabilitation?/Tal
Beeri/Alma's Blog/August 02/2021
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on August 03-04/2021
Iranian hardliner Ebrahim Raisi inaugurated as president
Iran Ultraconservative Raisi Inaugurated as President
NATO Warns Iran to Respect Shipping after Tanker Attack
Israeli Court's Compromise Would Avoid Palestinian Evictions
Saif al-Islam’s candidacy could worry Haftar, split LNA ranks
Algeria’s stance on developments in Tunisia raises questions
Titles For The Latest The Latest LCCC
English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on
August 03-04/2021
Hangman-in-chief/Ebrahim Raisi was elected as the next president of Iran/Emanuele
Ottolenghi/Longitude/FDD/August 02/2021
L’État criminel et l’inévitable internationalisation/Charles Elias Chartouni/August
03/2021
Were Saied’s moves preemptive?/Habib Lassoued/The Arab Weekly/August 03/2021
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on August 03-04/2021
Hezbollah the Terrorist organization is totally
responsible for the Beirut Port Explosion, and justice will not be achieved
before Lebanon is liberated from its occupation.
Elias Bejjani/August 04/2021
حزب الله الإرهابي هو المسؤول عن تفجير مرفأ بيروت، والعدالة لن تتحقق قبل تحرير
لبنان من رجس احتلاله
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/101087/elias-bejjani-hezbollah-the-terrorist-organization-is-totally-responsible-for-the-beirut-port-explosion-and-justice-will-not-be-achieved-before-lebanon-is-liberated-from-its-occupation/
Prophet Isaiah 33/01: “Woe to you, destroyer, you who have not been destroyed!
Woe to you, betrayer, you who have not been betrayed! When you stop destroying,
you will be destroyed; when you stop betraying, you will be betrayed”.
In reality and practically, justice in Lebanon will remain a mirage and a dream
while Lebanon is still occupied by the Iranian Hezbollah, and governed by a
bunch of local puppets and Trojans.
Sadly, justice in our beloved occupied Lebanon is currently far from reach, and
even impossible, whether in regards to the Beirut Port explosion horrible crime,
or the assassinations of dozens of sovereigns, patriotic and free Lebanese
figures.
Justice in the occupied Lebanon is currently ignored, muzzled, marginalized and
down trodden, and will not be achieved in any way before the country is
liberated from the occupation, domination, hegemony, barbarism and the Mafiosi
of the Iranian terrorist organization, Hezbollah.
In this Trojan framework that Hezbollah is enforcing, all that is circulated in
the media about judicial investigations into the Beirut Port Explosion crime in
particular, revolves only around ignoring the real perpetrator, and on
distracting the Lebanese people with names of political and security officials
who are charged on mere negligence basis.
The occupier, Hezbollah who has been since 2005 in complete control of Beirut’s
airport and port, brought the shipment of ammonium nitrate to Lebanon in full
partnership and co-operation with the Syrian Criminal Assad Regime.
Hezbollah stored the ammonium nitrate in the Beirut Port, used it inside and
outside Lebanon in terrorism explosions, and transported most of it to Syria,
where Assad regime transformed it into bombing barrels of death and destruction.
Due to the fact that Hezbollah is an “assassination machine “and an Iranian
terrorist organization that occupies and terrorizes the Lebanese, all the
Lebanese security officials and politicians, including and foremost, the
President, House Speaker, PM, ministers, MP’S and all high ranging government
employees would not have dared to utter a word about the ammonium shipment, even
if they were aware of it. This enforced silence would be either because of fear
for their lives, or due to their treason affiliation with Hezbollah.
Meanwhile, the terrorist Hezbollah, and through its ruling puppets and officials
in all positions continues viciously to distract the judicial investigation, and
the peoples’ focus from the truth, that actually and plainly points towards its
sole criminal role in exploding Beirut’s Port on August 04, 2020.
Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah has been openly and loudly threatening the
Lebanese judiciary, and questioning its credibility, in a replicate to his evil
role with the Special Tribunal For Lebanon (STL), that was investigating the
assassination of the late PM, Rafik Al Hariri.
In summary, Hezbollah, which occupies Lebanon and controls its rulers, officials
and political parties’ without even one exception, is fully accountable for the
Beirut Port Explosion crime, and accordingly justice will not be fully achieved
before the liberation of Lebanon, and before charging, arresting and before
putting on all its leaders on trial.
And until the day of liberation comes, this Terrorist and criminal armed
militia, will continue to systematically and viciously to devour our beloved
Lebanon, The Land Of The Holy Cedars, piece by piece, intimidating its people
and assassinating its patriotic leaders.
A Year Later, Beirut Blast Victims Push Leaders for
Justice
Associated Press/August 02/2021
After the massive explosion at Beirut's port a year ago, only a small part of
Ibrahim Hoteit's younger brother was identified: his scalp. His brother was a
large man, a firefighter, a martial arts champion, but Hoteit buried him in a
container the size of a shoe box. Since then, Hoteit has sold his business and
sleeps only a few hours a night.
One thing drives him now: winning justice for the victims of the Aug. 4, 2020,
explosion that killed more than 214 people and punishing Lebanon's political
elite, blamed for causing the disaster through their corruption and
mismanagement. "I don't see a minister or president or parliament speaker. I am
seeing the person who killed my brother and others with him," Hoteit said.
Hoteit and his wife, Hanan, have built an association of more than 100 families
of those killed. They are waging a campaign of protests trying to force
politicians to allow the truth to come out.
A year later, critics say the political leadership has succeeded in stonewalling
the judicial investigation that was launched to uncover what happened in the
explosion and who was responsible. Aiming to get around the barriers, another
group of families is calling for an international fact-finding mission by the
U.N. Human Rights Council. President Michel Aoun said no one will have political
cover if they are found negligent or guilty but has not addressed accusations
that officials are obstructing the investigation.
Hoteit and other families say they are up against not just a government but the
entire political system that has ruled Lebanon for more than 30 years. It's a
system that protects itself so intensely it seems invulnerable, even as many
Lebanese say it has led the country into ruin — pointing to both the explosion
and a financial meltdown that is one of the world's worst in the past 150 years.
The blast was preceded by a fire that broke out at the port, and hundreds of
tons of ammonium nitrate stored in a hangar along with other highly combustible
materials exploded.
It was one of the largest non-nuclear explosions in history. Along with the
dead, thousands were injured. Some 300,000 homes were damaged or destroyed.
Painted on a wall opposite the still mangled port, a large slogan declares, "My
government did this."
It soon emerged from documents that the ammonium nitrate had been stored
improperly at the port since 2014 and that multiple high-level officials over
the years knew of its presence and did nothing. Since the end of the civil war
in 1990, the former warlords in that conflict have run Lebanon, heading
sectarian-rooted factions. They have divvied government offices up among
themselves, and their patronage system has fomented widespread corruption.
Though rivals, the factions close ranks to prevent accountability. Hoteit's
brother Tharwat was among the group of firefighters who rushed to battle the
initial blaze. All were killed. Hoteit and Hanan spent the next 12 days
searching through hospitals for his brother. They turned over bodies to see
their faces. Along the way, they met other families on the same grisly search.
They continued to communicate, first through a WhatsApp group, trading stories
of their loved ones.
Then they organized to fight. At first, the group held vigils outside the port
on the 4th of every month to remind the public of the demands of justice.
But as the investigation stalled, the group changed tactics, turning to
protests.
Their first angry protest, burning tires and blocking roads, came after the
political leadership succeeded in removing the first chief of the investigation
into the explosion, Fadi Sawwan. Politicians gained a court order for his
removal after he named three former senior ministers and the caretaker prime
minister to be charged with negligence leading to death. The caretaker prime
minister has dismissed the allegations as "diabolical."
A new chief investigator was swiftly named: Tarek Bitar, a younger judge with no
clear political affiliations. Bitar cast a wider net, pursuing even senior
military, intelligence and security officers. In February, he asked the
government and parliament to lift immunity from the heads of two main security
agencies and two lawmakers so he could question them.
The families were elated. But the political elite again closed ranks. Lawmakers
and government officials refused to lift immunity. The interior minister said
his legal department advised against it, reportedly because the security agency
in question was not responsible for the shipment.
So the families began protests targeting parliament members and officials they
accuse of burying the truth. In TV ads and social media posts, they branded
those who opposed lifting immunity as "the ammonium nitrate lawmakers." On
Monday, the families gave officials until Tuesday afternoon for immunity to be
lifted or else they would give a "bone-crushing" response, though they did not
elaborate. With his black T-shirt, jeans and hair slicked back, Hoteit has
become synonymous with calls for justice. The 51-year-old-father of three
coordinates with local groups to document and archive every piece of information
on the blast and has met with several of the politicians he has led protests
against. A domestic reckoning may be the only way to bring down the wall of
impunity and break Lebanon's ruling system, Hoteit says."If this doesn't bring
about change, nothing will."
After Port Blast, Winning Justice Becomes a Life's
Mission
Associated Press/August 02/2021
After the massive explosion at Beirut's port a year ago, only a small part of
Ibrahim Hoteit's younger brother was identified: his scalp. Hoteit buried his
brother -- a large man, a firefighter, a martial arts champion -- in a container
the size of a shoebox. Since then, Hoteit has sold his business, a perfume and
accessories shop. He sleeps only a few hours a night. Black circles ring his
eyes.
One thing drives him now: winning justice for the victims of the Aug. 4, 2020,
explosion that killed more than 214 people and punishing Lebanon's political
elite, blamed for causing the disaster through their corruption and
mismanagement.
"I don't see a minister or president or parliament speaker. I am seeing the
person who killed my brother and others with him," said Hoteit, who says he gets
anonymous threats. "This is what gives me strength. I see that I have nothing to
lose." Hoteit and his wife, Hanan, have built an association of more than 100
families of those killed. They are waging a campaign of protests and rallies
trying to shame, pressure and force politicians to allow the truth to come out.
A year later, critics say the political leadership has succeeded in stonewalling
the judicial investigation into the explosion.
President Michel Aoun has said no one will have political cover if they are
found negligent or guilty, but has not addressed accusations that officials are
obstructing the investigation.
Hoteit and other families say they are up against not just a government but the
political system that has ruled Lebanon for more than 30 years. It's a system
that protects itself so intensely it seems invulnerable, even as many Lebanese
say it has led the country into ruin - pointing to both the explosion and a
financial meltdown that is one of the world's worst in the past 150 years.
Even the current caretaker premier, Hassan Diab, has acknowledged this, saying
weeks after the explosion that corruption in Lebanon "is bigger than the state."
Black and white portraits of each of the blast's victims, commissioned by
Hoteit's group, hang from the walls of a central square near the port. Painted
on a wall opposite the still mangled port, a large slogan declares, "My
government did this."
The blast was preceded by a fire that broke out at the port, and hundreds of
tons of ammonium nitrate stored in a hangar along with other highly combustible
materials exploded.
It was one of the largest non-nuclear explosions in history. Along with the
dead, thousands were injured. Some 300,000 homes were damaged or destroyed.
It soon emerged in documents that the ammonium nitrate had been stored
improperly at the port since 2014 and that multiple high-level officials over
the years knew of its presence and did nothing.
But a year after the government launched a judicial investigation, nearly
everything else remains unknown - from who ordered the shipment to why officials
ignored repeated internal warnings of the danger. Multiple government agencies
have a role at the port, but all of them have said the ammonium nitrate was not
their responsibility.
Hoteit's brother Tharwat was among the group of firefighters who rushed to
battle the initial blaze. All were killed.
Hoteit and his wife spent the next 12 days searching through hospitals for his
brother. It was harrowing. They turned over bodies to see their faces. Doctors
notified them when they identified Tharwat's remains.
Along the way, they met other families on the same grisly search. Hoteit and
Hanan saw one man carrying his dead son's hand in a plastic sack. The families
continued to communicate, first through a WhatsApp group, trading stories of
their loved ones.
Then they organized to fight.
With his black T-shirt, jeans and hair slicked back, Hoteit has become
synonymous with calls for justice. The 51-year-old-father of three is
unforgiving, determined -- and a clear-eyed strategist.
He coordinates with local groups to document and archive every piece of
information on the blast. He has met with several of the politicians he has led
protests against, as well as repeatedly with investigators.
At first, the group held vigils outside the port on the 4th of every month. But
as the investigation stalled, the group changed tactics, targeting specific
officials with protests.
At a protest last month, hundreds carried empty coffins outside the acting
interior minister's home.
At first, Hoteit tried to keep the group orderly, while Hanan and others shouted
angrily at the minister inside. The protest got tense as numbers swelled and the
minister never came out to talk to them. Protesters tried to make their way
through the gates.
Police fired tear gas and pushed them back.
The biggest challenge has been trying to ensure the investigation moves forward.
The first lead investigator was Fadi Sawwan, a former military judge. When the
families felt he was dragging his feet, citing coronavirus restrictions, they
protested outside his home.
When he did act, they couldn't protect him.
Sawwan named three former government ministers and Diab, the caretaker prime
minister, to be charged with negligence leading to death. Diab has dismissed the
allegations as "diabolical." The political class united and won Sawwan's removal
by court order in February.
That's when the families staged their first angry rally, burning tires, blocking
roads and warning they may storm the Justice Ministry. A replacement for Sawwan
was swiftly named: Tarek Bitar, a younger judge with no clear political
affiliations.
Bitar cast a wider net, pursuing even senior military, intelligence and security
officers. In February, he asked the government and parliament to lift immunity
from the heads of two main security agencies and two lawmakers so he could
question them.
The families were elated.
But the political elite again closed ranks. Lawmakers and government officials
refused to lift immunity. The interior minister said his legal department
advised against it, reportedly because the security agency in question was not
responsible for the shipment.
So the families took aim at parliament members and officials they accuse of
burying the truth. In TV ads and social media posts, they branded those who
opposed lifting immunity as "the ammonium nitrate lawmakers."
The same group of politicians have run Lebanon since its long civil war ended in
1990.
They head the same sectarian-rooted factions that fought the conflict. They have
divvied government offices up among themselves, and their patronage system has
fomented widespread corruption.
Dozens of political assassinations have never been properly investigated.
Corruption has gone unpunished despite widespread documentation.
Impunity is entrenched in the system. Though rivals, the factions close ranks to
prevent accountability.
That impunity translated into stunning callousness by politicians in the wake of
the explosion.
No one deployed security around a city thrown into chaos. No authority took
charge of the crime scene or search and rescue. No politician visited damaged
areas. No state agency offered aid or shelter to those left homeless, and none
cleaned up the rubble - all was left to volunteers.
The state never offered an apology or condolences to families. Even declaring
Aug. 4 a National Day of Mourning took months of pressure.
"The state didn't care for anything at all. If we didn't follow up on everything
big and small, nothing would happen," Hoteit said, speaking at his home in the
mainly Shiite southern Beirut suburb of Dahiyeh.
Like many Lebanese, Hoteit had long been resigned to the system. It was dictated
by fate and geopolitics, he felt.
He can abide it no more.
"If the judiciary doesn't give us our right, I will take vengeance for my
brother with my own hands."
The families' lives have been consumed by the fight for accountability.
Salam Iskander, a mother of four whose younger brother Hamzeh was killed, comes
from her home in northern Lebanon to Beirut to participate in every activity
organized by the group. Her father was furious, saying she was endangering her
family by taking on the politicians.
The memory of her brother drives her. Hamzeh, a soldier, supported her and her
children, since her husband has a disability that prevents him from working. Her
mother died a few months after Hamzeh - killed by grief, Iskander believes.
"Hamzeh is not coming back. Nothing will cool my heart," she said. "But I want
to be able to say I did something for him. .... Maybe I can do something as
simple as punish those who did it."
Tracy and Paul Naggear lost their only child, 3-year-old daughter Alexandra.
Lexou, as they call her, was one of the youngest killed in the blast.
They can't bring themselves to return to live in their home near the port. Tracy
has grown thin with stress. After Lexou's funeral, they thought about leaving
Lebanon - Tracy has Canadian citizenship - but then they started working with
others campaigning for justice. Now they regularly participate in Hoteit's
protests."This government killed my daughter, and it's my right and my duty to
seek justice, and I will," Tracy said. "They can try and block the truth as much
as they want ... They will get exhausted before we do."
The Naggears are also part of another network of families asking the U.N. Human
Rights Council to establish a fact-finding mission into the blast. Proponents
hope that could circumvent politicians' obstructions.
A third group, made up of families of killed firefighters, has focused on
lobbying Lebanese security agencies. Families have had to fight over and over
for even the smallest help for the victims. Parliament stalled when they asked
that the victims be considered military martyrs, which would secure them and
their families a pension and assistance. So Hoteit called a strike outside the
home of Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri.Eventually they won the declaration. But
Hoteit said the speaker's allies in the government social insurance agency,
feeling slighted by the protest against Berri, retaliated by slowing delaying
payments to the injured. So Hoteit held a news conference naming and shaming
those responsible. The payments resumed. On Monday, Hoteit and the families gave
officials 30 hours to lift immunity on the officials the lead investigator wants
to question - or else face a "bone-crushing" response. They didn't elaborate.
Breaking the wall of impunity means more than achieving justice, Hoteit says. A
domestic reckoning may be the only way to break the system. "If this doesn't
bring about change, nothing will."
Year after Lebanon Blast, Children Still in Distress
Agence France Presse/August 02/2021
A year after a monster explosion at Beirut's port, one in three families in
Lebanon have children still showing signs of trauma, the U.N. said Tuesday. "One
in three families (34 percent) has children still showing signs of psychological
distress," said the U.N. agency for children, UNICEF, citing a July survey of
1,200 families. "In the case of adults, the figure reaches almost one in two
(45.6 percent)," it added in a report published on the eve of the blast's first
anniversary. The August 4, 2020 explosion killed more than 200 people, wounded
at least 6,500 others and damaged swathes of the capital. In the year since,
Lebanon has also had to grapple with the coronavirus pandemic and a spiraling
economic crisis branded by the World Bank as one of the planet's worst since the
mid-19th century. "One year after the tragic events, children's lives remain
deeply affected," said Yukie Mokuo, UNICEF's representative in Lebanon. "Those
families have been struggling to recover from the aftermath of the explosions at
the worst possible time -– in the middle of a devastating economic crisis and a
major pandemic."A UNICEF survey in July found that almost all families that
requested assistance in the wake of the Beirut port blast still need help,
especially cash and food assistance, the agency said. Many who lost employment
because of the blast have yet to find work, UNICEF added, as Lebanon grapples
with soaring poverty, rampant inflation and shortages of basic items from
medicine to fuel. "Children's lives are at risk as the escalating crisis is
leaving most families unable to afford their basic needs," Mokuo said.
Miqati Reportedly Tells Aoun He'll Quit in 3 Weeks if No Govt.
Naharnet/August 02/2021
Prime Minister-designate Najib Miqati told President Michel Aoun in their
meeting on Monday that he will give himself a three-week deadline to form the
new government, informed sources said. “He won’t tolerate that his mission be
prolonged any further,” the sources told al-Joumhouria newspaper in remarks
published Tuesday. “PM-designate Miqati was not surprised by President Aoun’s
inflexibility and his insistence on the interior and justice portfolios,” the
sources added. The daily meanwhile quoted “credible sources” as saying that the
four meetings that have been so far held between Aoun and Miqati “did not
witness any notable progress.”“To the contrary, the previous obstacles are still
the same and this is not reassuring,” the sources added. The informed sources
also said that Miqati does not prefer that the so-called sovereign portfolios be
re-distributed “as long as there is an agreement on keeping the finance
portfolio with the Shiite sect.”
Lebanese Officials 'Criminally Negligent' over Port Blast, Says HRW
Agence France Presse/August 02/2021
Human Rights Watch on Tuesday accused Lebanese authorities of criminal
negligence for failing to secure a shipment of hazardous chemicals that caused
last year's monster port blast, despite repeated warnings. The watchdog
recommended an independent U.N. investigative mission conduct its own inquiry,
and advocated for broad international sanctions against top officials. The
August 4, 2020 explosion of a shipment of ammonium nitrate fertilizer
haphazardly stored at the Beirut port for six years killed more than 200 people
and destroyed swathes of the capital, in one of the world's largest non-nuclear
blasts. Victims' families and the broader public widely saw the explosion as the
result of incompetence and corruption on the part of the ruling class, but one
year on, no official has been brought to justice. A 126-page HRW report,
released one day before the first anniversary of the tragedy, identified top
officials in the government, customs, the army and security agencies who were
aware of the shipment and its dangers but failed to take necessary action.
"Multiple Lebanese authorities were, at a minimum, criminally negligent under
Lebanese law in their handling" of the ammonium nitrate shipment, said the
report, which draws on interviews and official correspondence, including
previously unpublished material. "Evidence strongly suggests that some
government officials foresaw the death that the ammonium nitrate's presence in
the port could result in and tacitly accepted the risk of the deaths occurring,"
it said.
'Homicide'
The report, entitled "They Killed us from the Inside: An investigation into the
August 4 Beirut blast", accused authorities of violating the right to life and
said that their actions could amount to "homicide" under domestic law. The
rights group recommended sanctions against "officials implicated in ongoing
violations of human rights related to the August 4 blast and efforts to
undermine accountability". Sanctions, HRW said, would "provide additional
leverage to those pressing for accountability through domestic judicial
proceedings". According to the HRW investigation, mistakes started soon after
the chemicals arrived in Beirut in 2013 onboard the Rhosus, a Moldovan-flagged
ship allegedly sailing from Georgia to Mozambique. "Ministry of Public Works and
Transport officials inaccurately described the cargo's risks in their requests
to the judiciary to offload the merchandise," HRW said. They also "knowingly
stored the ammonium nitrate in Beirut's port alongside flammable or explosive
materials for nearly six years", even after receiving reports warning that the
chemical is "extremely hazardous", HRW said.
For their part, customs officials who were first alerted to the hazardous
chemicals in 2014 and who could have acted unilaterally to remove the material
from the port failed to take adequate steps to dispose of it, HRW said.
'I then forgot about it'
The Lebanese army, even after learning that the shipment's nitrogen grade
classified it under local law as material used to manufacture explosives, "took
no apparent steps to secure the material", the report said. Instead, it brushed
off responsibility, saying it was not in need of the chemicals, even though
under Lebanese law, army approval is required to import or inspect material used
to manufacture explosives. Lebanon's State Security agency, which completed an
investigation into the ammonium nitrate at the port before the explosion, was
slow to report the threat to senior government officials and provided incomplete
information about the dangers the chemical posed, HRW said. Then-prime minister
Hassan Diab first started receiving reports of the ammonium nitrate shipment in
June. "I then forgot about it, and nobody followed up. There are disasters every
day," he told HRW. HRW said that the domestic investigation had been rendered
"incapable of credibly delivering justice" and called for an investigation
mission mandated by the U.N. Human Rights Council. That mission should "identify
what triggered the explosion and whether there were failures in the obligation
to protect the right to life", it said.
Aoun Tells Judiciary Not to Fear Immunities, Urges
Peaceful Aug. 4 Anniversary
Naharnet/August 02/2021
President Michel Aoun on Tuesday called on the judiciary not to “fear immunities
and protections” in the port blast case, as he said that the August 4
commemorations should not be “exploited” to “tamper with security and
stability.”“On August 4 last year, the face of Beirut and many hearts were torn
apart and innocent lives were lost,” Aoun said in an address to the nation on
the eve of the deadly catastrophe’s first anniversary. He added that the scores
of deaths could have been avoided had it not been for “the accumulation of
negligence” and the inaction of several officials who “could have taken
practical measures to eliminate the danger of the material that led to this
disaster.”“From the depth of my conscience, I tell our beloved capital Beirut
that the truth will appear and that every guilty person will be penalized.
Beirut, you will rise again,” the President went on to say. Turning to the issue
of investigations, Aoun said he supports “an honest and brave probe” and “fair
trials.”“Yes to a strong judiciary which does not retreat in the face of any
influential person, no matter their position,” the President added, noting that
the judiciary “should not fear immunities and protections” in order to “fulfill
justice and hold those who caused this blast accountable.”Referring to his
recent statement that he is ready to appear before lead investigative judge
Tarek al-Bitar, Aoun said that “when the head of the state puts himself at the
disposal of the judiciary for his testimony to be heard, there remains no excuse
for anyone to grant themselves any immunity or to hide behind any alibi, be it
legal or political.”The President also called for Wednesday’s commemorations to
be “responsible,” adding that the anniversary should not be “exploited to tamper
with security and stability.”
Berri Urges Unveiling Side that Brought Nitrates,
Blast Causes
Naharnet/August 02/2021
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri on Tuesday called for identifying the side that
imported the ammonium nitrate shipment that caused the catastrophic 2020 port
explosion as well as the causes of the devastating blast. “Justice is neither a
petition nor a bravado, but rather a daily challenge that can be achieved
through the independence of the judiciary, the implementation of the
constitution and the law, and rising with the martyrs’ cause and blood above any
repugnant political, electoral or sectarian consideration,” Berri said in a
statement marking the first anniversary of the tragic explosion. “From our
political and legislative position we again say that we will accept nothing less
than justice and the penalization of the culprits, whichever position they
occupy and to whichever side they may belong, and the gateway to that would be
the identification of the side that brought the nitrates of death into our
capital Beirut as well as the causes of the blast,” the Speaker added. Berri
also strongly reiterated that “there will be no immunity, protection or cover
except for the martyrs, the law and the constitution.”The lead investigative
judge probing the case, Tarek al-Bitar, has asked parliament to lift the
parliamentary immunity of two former ministers who belong to Berri’s Amal
Movement so that they can be questioned. Bitar is also seeking to prosecute the
caretaker premier as well as two other former ministers and former security
officials and judges.
Hariri Urges Transparent Int’l Probe, Lifting of ‘All’ Immunities
Naharnet/August 02/2021
aad Hariri said Tuesday, in a statement on the eve of the first anniversary of
the Beirut port blast, that “the devastating blast isn’t a platform for verbal
contests and political exploitation of the afflicted citizens’ grief.”He warned
against “flooding the judicial track with populist directives to conceal the
truth.”He urged to “liberate justice from political duels and media judgments”
instead of “launching electoral campaigns and bribing the Lebanese public
opinion with a justice on demand.”Hariri added that “justice has two bases: an
international investigation committee, or suspending the legal and
constitutional restrictions.”He added that the Special Tribunal for Lebanon has
revealed the truth about the assassination of ex-Prime Minister Rafik Hariri and
“determined the identity of the criminal,” but the truth about other murders
remains unknown. He named Kamal Jumblat, Rashid Karami, Renee Moawad, Dany
Chamoun, Elie Hobeika, Mufti Hassan Khaled, Nazim al-Qadri, as well as al-Salam
and al-Taqwa mosques’ explosions. He also named Walid Eido, Samir Kassir, Gebran
Tueni, George Hawi, Pierre Gemayel, Antoine Ghanem, François Hajj, Mohammed
Shatah, Wissam al-Hassan, Wissam Eid and “dozens of other crimes.”Hariri also
mentioned the assassination attempts on Marwan Hamadeh, May Chidiac and Elias
Murr, pointing out that most of the crimes that were referred to the Judicial
Council were “blown away by the political wind.” He cautioned that there will be
no justice if the Beirut port crime gets “lost in the sea of consolation prizes
to vent public anger.”“There is no justice without accountability, no
accountability without truth, and no truth without a transparent international
investigation or the lifting of immunities -- all immunities from the top of the
pyramid to the bottom,” Hariri added. The ex-PM voiced his solidarity with
Beirut and with the families of the victims, saying that August 4 is “a day of
national grief” and concluding his statement with prayers for the victims, the
country and the Lebanese afflicted by a pandemic amid an economic and financial
crisis.
Diab: Who Brought the Ammonium Nitrate and Why?
Naharnet/August 02/2021
Caretaker Prime Minister Hassan Diab said Tuesday, in a statement on the eve of
the first anniversary of the Beirut port blast, that the facts of the blast
cannot be completely revealed “without clear answers to fundamental
questions.”Diab inquired: “Who brought the ammonium nitrate and why? How and why
did it stay for years? And how did the explosion happen?”He asked rhetorically
“how can a human and patriotic conscience take advantage of the tears of the
victims’ families for political or personal ends?”Diab stressed that “there will
be no real justice in Lebanon if real justice is not served in the Beirut port
blast case.”He also paid respect to the victims and prayed for the injured to
heal and for Lebanon and the Lebanese.
ISG Urges Lebanon to Form Govt. that Implements
'Meaningful Reforms'
Naharnet/August 02/2021
The International Support Group for Lebanon (ISG) met on August 3, on the eve of
the anniversary of the tragic explosions at the port of Beirut on 4 August 2020.
All members expressed their solidarity with the families of the victims, and
with those whose lives and livelihoods have been affected. The ISG urged
authorities to “swiftly complete the investigation into the port explosions, so
that the truth may be known and justice rendered,” a statement said. The Group
added that it has observed with deep concern “the accelerating economic
deterioration that has severely affected all segments of Lebanese society, its
institutions and services,” calling on authorities to “urgently take every
possible step to improve the living conditions of the people of Lebanon.”The
members also welcomed the upcoming conference co-chaired by France and the
United Nations to address the humanitarian needs of Lebanon’s most vulnerable
people. Noting that one year has now passed without a government, the ISG called
on Lebanese leaders to “support without delay the formation of an empowered new
government that implements meaningful reforms.”“The Group also recalled the
importance of “holding elections on time in order to safeguard a democratic
Lebanon and to restore the trust and hope of its people.”The International
Support Group has brought together the United Nations and the governments of
China, France, Germany, Italy, the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom and
the United States, together with the European Union and the Arab League. It was
launched in September 2013 by the U.N. Secretary-General with former President
Michel Suleiman to help mobilize support and assistance for Lebanon’s stability,
sovereignty and state institutions.
Stolen Car Sparks Bomb Scare near Baabda Palace
Naharnet/August 02/2021
A stolen car raised suspicions Tuesday near the presidential palace in Baabda.
“A patrol from the Republican Guard Brigade that was on a routine mission
detected a suspicious car parked on the road leading to the Baabda Palace,”
state-run National News Agency said. “The road was cordoned off while the car
was searched and its documents were examined, after which it turned out that it
had been stolen,” NNA added. The Republican Guard Brigade then handed over the
vehicle to the Internal Security Forces for the necessary measures to be taken,
the agency said, noting that the car “was not booby-trapped” as has been claimed
by WhatsApp reports and some news websites.
France Targets $357 Million at Lebanon Aid Conference
Agence France Presse/August 02/2021
France has said a forthcoming conference on Lebanon needs to gather $357 million
in aid to meet the most urgent needs of the battered country's population. The
conference on Wednesday, co-hosted by President Emmanuel Macron and United
Nations chief Antonio Guterres, coincides with the first anniversary of the
blast that disfigured Beirut and killed more than 200 people. Former colonial
power France has spearheaded international efforts to lift Lebanon out of
crisis. A first conference in the immediate aftermath of the blast collected 280
million euros ($332 million at current rates). "The situation has worsened,"
Macron's office said on Monday. Citing a UN estimate, his office said Lebanon's
new needs amounted to $357 million and concerned food security, education,
health and clean water supply. World powers have made much of their help
conditional on Lebanon installing a government capable of tackling corruption. A
local probe into the catastrophe has yet to yield significant arrests or even
identify a culprit, with politicians widely accused of stalling progress. In the
past year, Lebanon has plunged into political and financial crisis and on Monday
newly designated prime minister Najib Miqati said there was no chance of a
cabinet lineup by mid-week to coincide with the anniversary. The institutional
vacuum is holding up a potential financial rescue plan for Lebanon, which
defaulted on its debt last year and has since sunk into what the World Bank has
described as one of the world's worst crises since the mid-19th century.
Wednesday's conference is to tackle emergency needs only and will not be
concerned with structural financial assistance, Macron's office said.
A Year Since the Beirut Port Explosion – Investigation? Rehabilitation?
Tal Beeri/Alma's Blog/August 02/2021
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/101076/%d9%85%d8%b1%d9%83%d8%b2-%d8%a3%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b2-%d9%84%d9%84%d8%a3%d8%a8%d8%ad%d8%a7%d8%ab-%d9%84%d9%87%d8%b0%d8%a7-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b3%d8%a8%d8%a8-%d8%ad%d8%b2%d8%a8-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%84%d9%87-%d9%84/
Hezbollah has much to conceal concerning the events in Hangar 12
in the port of Beirut, and therefore will not allow a proper investigation to
generate genuine results. On the other hand, the reconstruction of the port will
yield great economic profits, therefore, the economic interests of the
influential parties in Lebanon will cause the reconstruction to occur (needless
to say, due to their gains deriving from the corruption…)
On August 4, 2020, exactly one year ago, 2,750 tons of ammonium nitrate
destroyed the port of Beirut, which is the main gateway to Lebanon, claiming the
lives of more than 200 people and causing enormous damage to properties in large
parts of the capital Beirut. The expectation was, that in light of the magnitude
of the disaster, the Lebanese authorities would file consolidated indictments
against those responsible for the blast, decide on reforms and initiate vigorous
rehabilitation work. However, Lebanon’s economic, social, and political
situation, together with Hezbollah’s clear interest to incapacitate the
investigation of the disaster, neutralizes and blocks any decisions regarding
the matter.
As of today, a year after the blast, Lebanon’s government is still considered a
transitional government, as a new government is yet to be appointed since the
last government resigned following the blast. Saad al-Hariri, who was appointed
the new prime minister, has failed over the past eight months to form a new
government. On July 26, the mandate to form the new government was handed over
to Najib Mikati. Fadi Sawan, the first Juge d’instruction appointed to
investigate the explosion at the port, filed charges against Prime Minister
Hassan Diab and three former ministers charged with negligence that led to the
explosion: Ali Hassan Khalil (former Finance Minister, an Amal movement
delegate, an ally of Hezbollah and the subject of U.S. sanctions on charges of
corruption and affiliating with Hezbollah), Ghazi Zeiter (former Minister of
Agriculture and Minister of Labor and Public Transportation, a member of
Hezbollah’s tight circle, accused of favoring deals for Iranian-backed Shi’ite
groups) and Youssef Fenianos (former Minister of Labor and Public
Transportation, close to Hezbollah and subject to U.S. sanctions for his ties
with Hezbollah and involvement in corruption scandals.
In February 2021, Sawan was removed from office for the “obstruction of
justice”. Sawan’s dismissal caused a stir on social media in Lebanon, and many
accused the Lebanese authorities of disrupting justice and the law. Sawan was
replaced by Juge d’instruction Tarek Bitar. Despite fears that Bitar would
experience a similar fate to his predecessor and be removed from the
investigation, he continued in Sawan’s footsteps. Bitar filed charges,
requesting parliament to lift parliamentary immunity from Diab, Khalil, Zeiter,
and Fenianos. In addition, Bitar added two other senior officials to the list of
accused: Abbas Ibrahim, General Director of the General Directorate of General
Security, considered one of Lebanon’s most powerful men, and Nohad El Machnouk
(former Interior Minister).
Despite Judge Bitar’s efforts to reach the truth, the Lebanese parliament is
delaying the investigation. Representatives of the parliament told Lebanon’s
public prosecutor, Ghassan al-Thuri, that parliament was refusing to remove the
ministers’ parliamentary immunity. This follows the Lebanese Interior Minister’s
statement that he refused to allow Abbas Ibrahim to be investigated. This
decision of Parliament came as a serious blow to the investigation process, amid
concerns among the victims’ families that the current judge will also find
himself removed from the case.
It is our understanding that Parliament’s refusal and the Interior Minister’s
refusal to carry out the investigation is a direct result of Nasrallah’s media
campaign against Judge Bitar, and therefore comes as no surprise. In his speech
on July 5, Nasrallah claimed that there were political goals behind the
decisions to strip the accused of their immunity and that these were
manipulations stemming from political interests, which he repeatedly rejected.
Simultaneously to the attempts to carry out the investigation, several local and
international initiatives intending to rehabilitate Beirut’s port have emerged,
but they too have not yet matured into action.
In April 2021, representatives of German companies presented a
multibillion-dollar plan to rebuild the port and its surroundings. However, the
German plans did not go beyond the proposal stage. France, too, wants to be
involved in the reconstruction of the port, tying these efforts to the French
initiative to solve the political and economic crisis in Lebanon (France insists
on reforms and threatens to impose sanctions on those obstructing efforts to
form a government). At the end of June 2021, it becomes known that Russian
companies were in the final stages of advancing proposals for the restoration of
the destroyed port, in addition to the restoration of other infrastructure
throughout Lebanon, such as power plants, silos, and refineries.
In our assessment, in light of the current situation in Lebanon and because
Hezbollah has a vested interest in disrupting the investigation of the explosion
at the port, it will be very difficult to conduct an orderly investigation that
will lead to actual results. As with another defining event in Lebanon, the
assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri in 2005, Hezbollah has
much to hide regarding the port explosion. Many indications imply that Hezbollah
operatives were involved in bringing the nitrate ammonium to Lebanon and storing
it at the port and that it was intended for military use by Hezbollah and the
Syrian regime. Other indications reveal that the compound at the port where the
nitrate ammonium was stored (hangar 12) was a closed compound under the
supervision of Hezbollah’s unit 112, which is responsible for the seaports and
the airports of Lebanon.
In our opinion, Najib Mikati, assuming he succeeds in forming a government, will
find it difficult to support a proper investigation into the port explosion.
Najib Mikati is known, to say the least, as one who “does not like to confront
Hezbollah”. In our assessment, an international investigative mechanism will
also not be able to carry out its investigation and reach findings that would
definitively point to the perpetrators. In this matter, the tribunal that
investigated the assassination of Rafiq al-Hariri in 2005, can serve as an
example. After about 15 years of investigation, the tribunal found it difficult
to reach actual results and prove guilt, while being satisfied with the
accusation of an alleged junior Hezbollah operative, whose location is unknown,
while it is not even clear if this individuals’ identity is authentic.
As for the reconstruction efforts, we assume that they will actually be
fulfilled. The economic potential for restoring the port of Beirut and
rebuilding the affected parts of the city is enormous. Many Lebanese and
international actors are interested in fulfilling this potential and are all
interested in the economic benefits. In our estimation, many funds will be paid
(or have already been paid) as bribes to officials in the Lebanese state, to
politicians, and of course to Hezbollah. The construction of a port and its
operation in exchange for a concession is a recognized mechanism all over the
world. Companies from Russia, China, France, and Germany, backed by their
governments, will strive to take over the rehabilitation of the port.
*Article written with the help of Dafna Messing.
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on August 03-04/2021
Iranian hardliner Ebrahim Raisi inaugurated as
president
The Arab Weekly/August 03/2021
TEHRAN--Ultraconservative Ebrahim Raisi was Tuesday inaugurated as president of
Iran, a country whose hopes of shaking off a dire economic crisis hinge on
reviving a nuclear deal with world powers and on stability at home. “Following
the people’s choice, I task the wise, indefatigable, experienced and popular
Hojatoleslam Ebrahim Raisi as president of the Islamic Republic of Iran,” Iran’s
supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei wrote in a decree read out by his chief of
staff. Raisi replaces moderate president Hassan Rouhani, whose landmark
achievement was the 2015 nuclear agreement between Iran and six major powers.
From the outset, Raisi will have to tackle negotiations aimed at reviving the
nuclear deal from which the US unilaterally withdrew imposing sweeping
sanctions. Raisi, in his inaugural speech, said his government would seek to
lift “oppressive” US sanctions, but would “not tie the nation’s standard of
living to the will of foreigners”.The 60-year-old also faces the United States,
Britain and Israel’s warnings to Iran over a deadly tanker attack last week for
which Tehran denies responsibility. Raisi won a presidential election in June in
which more than half the electorate stayed away after many political
heavyweights were barred from standing. A former judiciary chief, he has been
criticised by rights advocates and the Iranian opposition for his dismal human
rights record, especially the sentencing and execution of dissidents. Traffic
limitations were in force on streets around the inauguration venue with domestic
air travel to and from the capital banned for two hours, media reports said.
Tuesday’s ceremony marked Raisi’s formal accession to office. He will then be
sworn in before parliament on Thursday when he is to submit his proposed
government line-up.
Economic priority
Raisi’s presidency will consolidate power in the hands of conservatives
following their 2020 parliamentary election victory, marked by the
disqualification of thousands of reformist or moderate candidates. Last month,
he called on parliament for “cooperation” to increase Iranians’ hope in the
future. “I am very hopeful for the country’s future and confident that it is
possible to overcome difficulties and limitations,” he said at the time.
Iran’s economic woes, exacerbated by US sanctions, will be the new president’s
top challenge, said Clement Therme, a researcher at the European University
Institute in Italy.
“His main objective will be to improve the economic situation by reinforcing the
Islamic republic’s economic relations with neighbouring countries” and others
such as Russia and China, Therme said. The 2015 deal saw Iran accept curbs on
its nuclear capabilities in return for an easing of sanctions. But then US
president Donald Trump withdrew from the accord three years later and ramped up
sanctions again, prompting Tehran to pull back from most of its nuclear
commitments. Trump’s successor Joe Biden has signalled his readiness to return
to the deal and engaged in indirect negotiations with Iran alongside formal
talks with the accord’s remaining parties, Britain, China, France, Germany and
Russia. The US sanctions have choked Iran and its vital oil exports and the
economy contracted by more than six percent in both 2018 and 2019. In the winter
of 2017-2018 and again in 2019, street protests sparked by the economic crisis
rocked the country. And last month, demonstrators in oil-rich Khuzestan
province, which has been hit by drought, took to the streets to vent their
anger.
Tanker attack
On the foreign front, tensions have escalated recently after the United States
and Britain joined Israel in blaming Tehran for a tanker attack off Oman last
Thursday that killed a British security guard and a Romanian crew member. The
United States vowed an “appropriate response”, while Iran warned Monday that it
will respond to any “adventurism”. The economic malaise has been exacerbated by
the coronavirus pandemic, which has officially cost more than 90,000 lives and
also hit many Iranians in the pocket.
In his final cabinet meeting on Sunday, Rouhani defended his track record but
apologised over the “hardships” Iranians have had to endure. After his election,
Raisi made clear that his key foreign policy would be to improve ties with
regional countries.
In mid-July, Rouhani said he hoped his successor can clinch a deal to lift US
sanctions and conclude nuclear talks. But Khamenei, whose word is final in
policy matters, has warned against trusting the West. Raisi has already said he
will not hold talks simply for the sake of negotiations. His government will
only support talks that “guarantee national interests”, the incoming president
said. Six rounds of nuclear talks between Iran and world powers were held in
Vienna between April and June. The last round concluded on June 20 and no date
has been set for a resumption.
Iran Ultraconservative Raisi Inaugurated as President
Agence France Presse/August 03/2021
Ultraconservative Ebrahim Raisi was Tuesday inaugurated as president of Iran, a
country whose hopes of shaking off a dire economic crisis hinges on reviving a
nuclear deal with world powers. "Following the people's choice, I task the wise,
indefatigable, experienced and popular Hojatoleslam Ebrahim Raisi as president
of the Islamic Republic of Iran," Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
wrote in a decree read out by his chief of staff. Raisi replaces moderate
president Hassan Rouhani, whose landmark achievement was the 2015 nuclear
agreement between Iran and six major powers. From the outset, Raisi will have to
tackle negotiations aimed at reviving the nuclear deal from which the U.S.
unilaterally withdrew imposing sweeping sanctions. The 60-year-old also faces
the United States, Britain and Israel's warnings to Iran over a deadly tanker
attack last week for which Tehran denies responsibility. Raisi, in his
inauguration speech, said the new government would seek to lift "oppressive" US
sanctions, but would "not tie the nation's standard of living to the will of
foreigners". "We believe the people's economic position is unfavorable both
because of the hostility of our enemies and because of the shortcomings and
problems inside the country," he said. In his response, Khamenei acknowledged
Iran suffered from "many shortcomings and problems," but quickly added: "The
country's capabilities are even more numerous. "Fixing economic problems takes
time and cannot be done overnight," he said. Raisi won a presidential election
in June in which more than half the electorate stayed away after many
heavyweights were barred from standing. A former judiciary chief, he has been
criticized by the West for his human rights record. Tuesday's ceremony marked
Raisi's formal accession to office. He will next be sworn in before parliament
on Thursday when he is to submit his proposed government line-up.
Economy top challenge
Raisi's presidency will consolidate power in the hands of conservatives
following their 2020 parliamentary election victory, marked by the
disqualification of thousands of reformist or moderate candidates. Iran's
economic woes, exacerbated by U.S. sanctions, will be the new president's top
challenge, said Clement Therme, a researcher at the European University
Institute in Italy. "His main objective will be to improve the economic
situation by reinforcing the Islamic republic's economic relations with
neighboring countries" and others such as Russia and China, Therme said. The
2015 deal saw Iran accept curbs on its nuclear capabilities in return for an
easing of sanctions. But then U.S. president Donald Trump withdrew from the
accord three years later and ramped up sanctions again, prompting Tehran to pull
back from most of its nuclear commitments.
Trump's successor Joe Biden has signalled his readiness to return to the deal
and engaged in indirect negotiations with Iran alongside formal talks with the
accord's remaining parties -- Britain, China, France, Germany and Russia.
The U.S. sanctions have choked Iran and its vital oil exports, and the economy
contracted by more than six percent in both 2018 and 2019.
- U.S. warns of 'appropriate response' -
In the winter of 2017-2018, and again in 2019, street protests sparked by the
economic crisis rocked the country. And last month, demonstrators in oil-rich
Khuzestan province, which has been hit by drought, took to the streets to vent
their anger.
On the foreign front, tensions have escalated after the United States and
Britain joined Israel in blaming Tehran for a tanker attack off Oman last
Thursday that killed a British security guard and a Romanian crew member. The
United States vowed an "appropriate response", while Iran warned Monday that it
will respond to any "adventurism". The economic malaise has been exacerbated by
the coronavirus pandemic, which has officially cost more than 90,000 lives and
also hit many Iranians in the pocket. In his final cabinet meeting on Sunday,
Rouhani defended his track record but apologised over the "hardships" Iranians
have had to endure. After his election, Raisi made clear that his key foreign
policy would be to improve ties with regional countries. In mid-July, Rouhani
said he hoped his successor can clinch a deal to lift U.S. sanctions and
conclude nuclear talks. But Khamenei, whose word is final in policy matters, has
warned against trusting the West. Raisi has already said he will not hold talks
simply for the sake of negotiations. His government will only support talks that
"guarantee national interests", the incoming president said.
NATO Warns Iran to Respect Shipping after Tanker Attack
Agence France Presse/August 03/2021
The NATO alliance Tuesday condemned a deadly attack on an Israeli-operated
tanker last week, and urged Iran to respect international shipping
rules.Separately, the European Union also condemned the "unacceptable" attack
and "any action that would be detrimental to peace and stability in this area".
The United States, Britain and Israel say Iran launched the attack on the
vessel, MV Mercer Street, off the coast of Oman last week, killing a British
security guard and a Romanian crew member. Iran, which inaugurated
ultraconservative Ebrahim Raisi as its new president on Tuesday, denies
involvement. It has warned it would respond to any "adventurism" from its
western foes. Britain and Romania are allies in NATO, alongside the United
States which has promised to lead a "collective response" to the incident. On
Tuesday, a NATO spokesman "strongly condemned" the attack. "Freedom of
navigation is vital for all NATO Allies, and must be upheld in accordance with
international law," NATO spokesman Dylan White said. "The United Kingdom, the
United States, and Romania have concluded that Iran is highly likely responsible
for this incident. "Allies remain concerned by Iran's destabilizing actions in
the region, and call on Tehran to respect its international obligations."EU
foreign affairs spokeswoman Nabila Massrali told reporters: "The exact
circumstances of this attack have to be clarified. And we take note of
investigations carried out by the United States, the UK and Israel. "This is an
action that was against a freedom of navigation in this area and of course,
unacceptable."
Israeli Court's Compromise Would Avoid Palestinian
Evictions
Associated Press/August 03/2021
Israel's Supreme Court has floated compromises that would block the evictions of
dozens of Palestinians in the east Jerusalem neighborhood of Sheikh Jarrah,
where attempts by Jewish settlers to expel them from their homes helped spark an
11-day war between Israel and Gaza militants in May. The cases examined Monday
involved four Palestinian families, numbering a total of about 70 people. The
settlers have been waging a decades-long campaign to evict the families from
densely populated Palestinian neighborhoods just outside the walls of the Old
City, in one of the most sensitive parts of east Jerusalem.
The settlers say the homes are built on land that was owned by Jews prior to the
1948 war surrounding Israel's creation. Israeli law allows Jews to reclaim such
property, a right denied to Palestinians who lost lands and homes in the same
conflict. The Palestinians say they have owned the properties for decades.
The cases have been swirling through the legal system for years, and lower
courts have approved the evictions of the four families. The Supreme Court had
been scheduled to issue its ruling in May, but delayed its decision after the
attorney general, in light of heightened tensions, requested more time to
consider the cases. During Monday's hearing, the Supreme Court proposed a pair
of compromises, according to Ir Amim, a Jerusalem human rights group that
supports the Palestinians and which sat in on the hearing. It said the first
proposal offered the residents "protected" status, meaning they would be
protected from eviction for years in exchange for recognizing the settlers'
ownership over the land. This offer would allow the four families the right to
pass down their properties for two generations. But after the four families
rejected the proposition, the court proposed an alternative settlement where the
four families would receive protected status while instead acknowledging that
Israel once registered the properties with previous Jewish owners, according to
Ir Amim. It said the settlers rejected that proposal, while the families asked
for more time to consider it.
"The settlement was very challenging, especially with the implied acknowledgment
of the ownership of the other side," said Ahmad Amara, a consultant to the
residents' legal team. He said the court gave the sides one week to respond.
The plight of the Sheikh Jarrah families has drawn widespread international
attention and criticism of what Palestinians and human rights groups say are
discriminatory Israeli property laws aimed at pushing Palestinians out of
Jerusalem to preserve its Jewish majority. The Israeli rights group B'Tselem and
the New York-based Human Rights Watch both pointed to such policies as an
example of what they say has become an apartheid regime. Weeks of unrest —
highlighted by heavy-handed Israeli police tactics against residents and
demonstrators who supported them — contributed to the heightened tensions that
erupted into war on May 10, when Hamas militants in Gaza, claiming to be
defenders of the holy city, fired a barrage of rockets toward Jerusalem.A
cease-fire took effect May 21, but the long-running campaign by Jewish settlers
to evict dozens of Palestinian families continued.
The threatened evictions fueled protests and clashes in the run-up to the war
and pose a test for Israel's new governing coalition, which includes three
pro-settlement parties and a small Islamist faction. For the sake of unity, the
government has tried to sideline Palestinian issues to avoid internal divisions.
During a visit to the region in May, U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken
urged Israel to refrain from moves that could reignite tensions, including the
Sheikh Jarrah evictions. Israel has determined the homes were owned by Jews
before the 1948 war surrounding the country's creation.
After that war, Jordan controlled east Jerusalem. The families, who were made
refugees during the 1948 war, say that Jordanian authorities offered them their
homes in exchange for giving up their refugee status. Things changed after
Israel captured east Jerusalem, along with the West Bank and Gaza, in the 1967
Mideast war, and annexed it in a move not recognized internationally. The
Palestinians want all three territories for their future state and view east
Jerusalem as their capital. In 1972, settler groups told the families that they
were trespassing on Jewish-owned land. That was the start of a long legal battle
that in recent months has culminated with eviction orders against 36 families in
Sheikh Jarrah and two other east Jerusalem neighborhoods. Israeli rights groups
say other families are also vulnerable, estimating that more than 1,000
Palestinians are at risk of being evicted.
Saif al-Islam’s candidacy could worry Haftar, split LNA
ranks
The Arab Weekly/August 03/2021
TRIPOLI--As soon as Saif al-Islam Gadhafi gave his first interview saying that
he wanted to return to political life and attacked the political class in Libya,
parliament’s speaker Ageela Saleh, who is linked to Libyan National Army (LNA)
commander Khalifa Haftar, was quick to reject the political renaissance of
anyone wanted by justice.
Saleh said that “a person sentenced by the International Criminal Court is not
entitled to run for the presidency of the Libyan state.”His statement came
during a discussion by members of the House of Representatives of the draft law
on presidential candidacies, Monday in Tobruk, including the provision that
“(the candidate) shall not be convicted of a felony or a crime against
honour.”Salih asked the deputies: “Should a person sentenced by the
International Criminal Court, run for the presidency?”
He answered his own question, saying: “As long as he is sentenced that’s enough
… He has no right to run and the texts must be clear and reasonable.”According
the International Crimnal Court in The Hague, Saif al-Islam Gadhafi is the
subject of an arrest warrant issued on 27 June 2011 on two counts of “crimes
against humanity”. “The case,” says the ICC on its website, “remains in the
pre-trial stage, pending Saif Al-Islam Gaddafi’s transfer to the seat of the
Court in The Hague.”
But no sentence has been handed down against him by the ICC.
Talking to the New York Times earlier this month Gadhafi said, “It is time for a
return to the past. The country … it’s on its knees … There’s no money, no
security. There’s no life here.” He said in the interview that he was a free man
organising a political return and that his former Zintani captors “are now my
friends”.Addressing the restrictions that might bar him from running, Gadhafi
said he was confident that these legal issues could be negotiated away if a
majority of the Libyan people choose him as their leader. He told the NYT
journalist: “I’ve been away from the Libyan people for ten years. You need to
come back slowly, slowly. Like a striptease. You need to play with their minds a
little.”Even if Gadhafi has not formally announced his candidacy in the
presidential elections scheduled for this December, his representatives at the
Political Dialogue Forum worked in coordination with Haftar’s supporters to
abolish any conditions restricting presidential candidacies. One was that no
serving officers could stand. The local UN organisation, UNSMIL has urged the
compromise that an officer could stand on condition that he resigned his
commission if elected. Among the circumstances that impede Gadhafi’s own
candidacy is the unconfirmed 2015 sentence by the Tripoli Court that he be
executed by firing squad. He is also wanted by the International Criminal Court
for crimes against humanity. Nevertheless, the younger Gadhafi is convinced of
his ability to overcome all these legal obstacles. His supporters have organised
social media campaigns with the hashtag “We nominated you” and formed the
so-called “We nominated you for Libya” movement. There have been two distinct
campaigns, the last of which was run in November 2020.
There is no doubt that Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar’s camp would be the most
affected by a return of Saif al-Islam. The LNA has allied itself since the end
of 2014 with officers of the security battalions affiliated with the Gadhafi
regime and has integrated their members into its forces. Saif al-Islam’s return
may cause a rift in the ranks of the LNA, especially if he was tempted to force
his way to power with Russian support. In any event, if he manages to enter the
presidential election race, he will represent Haftar’s most prominent rival.
This explains Haftar’s concern at the danger that Saif al-Islam poses to his own
political ambitions, not least since he became his father’s enemy after he was
captured during the old regime’s disastrous 1987 campaign in Chad.
Russia has a proxy presence in Libya in the form of mercenaries from the Wagner
Group. There have been reports that Moscow has also deployed a small number of
regular forces.
This Russian military engagement, although apparently favouring Haftar, could
shift towards the younger Gadhafi. Analysts say Haftar’s recent statement that
all foreign mercenaries must leave Libya “without exception” and his agreement
on Friday to open the coastal road between east and west, after repeatedly
obstructing this in the past, reflect the beginning of a change in his strategy
in favour of relative rapprochement with the Government of National Unity. Those
who believe Moscow supports Gadhafi, point out to the fact the Russian
president’s envoy to the Middle East and Africa, Mikhail Bogdanov, saw Miftah
al-Werfalli and Omar Abu Sherida, as representatives of the “Saif al-Islam
Movement” in Moscow last January. It is also not excluded that Gadhafi’s return
to the political arena will lead to the formation of new and heterogeneous
alliances between yesterday’s enemies. But since 2011, die-hard Gadhafi
supporters have lost most of the military battles they fought against the
Western Libyan Brigades or Haftar. Will Saif al-Islam be able to bring them
together, or will it further divide the country?
Algeria’s stance on developments in Tunisia raises
questions
The Arab Weekly/August 03/2021
TUNIS--Moves by Algerian Foreign Minister Ramtane Lamamra in recent days have
raised questions about Algeria’s position on the developments in Tunisia, with
emerging evidence of Algerian concern at the rival roles that France and some
Arab countries may be playing in its backyard.
Algerian political analysts said that Lamamra’s visit to Tunisia, then to Egypt,
then back to Tunisia and the two contacts made by Algerian President Abdelmadjid
Tebboune with Tunisian President Kais Saied in less than a week seem to confirm
that Algeria is concerned about developments it did not expect in its eastern
neighbour.
The analysts believe that during all the political crises that Tunisia has
experienced since 2011, Algeria has been close to the Islamists and has always
been pushing to maintain a situation where they are part of the political
balances in Tunisia, but without them being the leading player. Algeria believes
that Islamists, who are looking for regional backing, can serve its interests as
they seek to secure their survival. The same approach extends to the Islamists
in Libya who have long sought to bring Algeria on their side in a regional
landscape where they are viewed with suspicion.
The Algerians see recent decisions taken by Kais Saied, which are aimed at
ending Tunisia’s deep political and economic crisis, as potentially threatening
to Algeria’s considerations. Analysts point out that this is all the more so
since the opening of probes into illicit electoral funding, which may further
undermine the political and legal standing of Islamist party of Ennahda Movement
and its Qalb Tounes ally.
Algerian observers say that Algiers is seeking to reassure Tunisia that it is a
steady ally and is working to curtail French, Egyptian and Gulf influence. These
observers say Algeria is worried about the possible swaying of Tunisia by rival
powers who could marginalise Algeria’s role; and this is reflected in Lamamra’s
diplomatic moves, especially during his visit to Egypt. Since Kais Saied assumed
the presidency after the October 2019 elections and his public struggle over
prerogatives with the head of the Ennahda movement, Rached Ghannouchi, Algeria
has been watching without interfering in favour of one side or the other. Some
Tunisians complain that their neighbour could have been more helpful in
alleviating the repercussions of the economic crisis they face.
Tunisian activists also believe that, regardless of Algeria’s own interests,
their country is entitled to choose how to resolve its crisis, first by ending
Islamists’ domination and secondly by seeking regional partners who will be able
to provide greater financial and investment support than Algeria has so far
offered.
On Sunday, the Tunisian president hinted that there is a willingness by regional
countries, without naming them, to provide generous support to Tunisia and help
it overcome the economic and financial crisis. This is a clear reference to the
Arab Gulf countries that had come up with substantial support to Egypt and then
later to Sudan after Islamists were removed from power.
During his meeting with Central Bank Governor Marwan Abassi, President Saied
praised the “sincere stand of brotherly and friendly countries to offset the
financial imbalances and help Tunisia meet its internal and external financial
obligations.”
“Praise be to God, we have sincere brothers who stand by us in all fields,
especially in the security and economic fields,” Saied said, in a statement put
out by his office.
Algerian analysts speculate that Algeria’s concern over growing Gulf influence
in Tunisia prompted the withdrawal of the local licence of the Saudi-owned “Al
Arabiya” TV channel. This move was seen as being linked to the Saturday visit to
Tunis of Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan who voiced the
kingdom’s readiness to back Tunisia. Algeria is trying to maintain its influence
in Tunisia and Libya, two countries where stability was shaken by the “Arab
spring” upheaval. Algiers felt its national security was under threat, not only
because of the increase in the capabilities of terrorist groups, but also
because of its resentment of the military presence on its borders of countries
such as France, Turkey and Russia. On Sunday evening, the Algerian foreign
minister met the Tunisian president and relayed a message from the Algerian
president, 24 hours after a phone call between Saied and Tebboune.
Saied reassured his Algerian counterpart that “Tunisia is on the right path to
consolidating democracy and pluralism and there will be important decisions
soon,” without giving further details.Tebboune was the first Arab president to
call his Tunisian counterpart after Saied’s July 25 suspension of the activities
of parliament, the lifting of immunity from members, the dissolution of the
government and the assumption of executive powers.
Tunisia experts believe that Kais Saied succeeded in dispelling the fears of
most external parties, including the United States. They note that his main
concern was to confirm that his decisions were indeed in conformity with the
Constitution, that the changes were aimed at ending political conflicts and
restoring the state’s credibility, and that he had no intent to curtail
liberties. These experts add that Tunisian public opinion opposes foreign
pressures on their government, especially since the decisions of Kais Saied have
been widely supported at home and there has been unprecedented resentment
towards the previous political system, which was dominated by Ennahda.
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials published on August 03-04/2021
إيمانويل أوتولينغي/مؤسسة الدفاع عن الديموقراطيات: رجل المشانق والجلاد إبراهيم
رئيسي أصبح رئيساً لجمهورية إيران الملالي
Hangman-in-chief/Ebrahim Raisi was elected as the next president of Iran
Emanuele Ottolenghi/Longitude/FDD/August 02/2021
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/101083/emanuele-ottolenghi-longitude-fdd-hangman-in-chief-ebrahim-raisi-was-elected-as-the-next-president-of-iran-%d8%a5%d9%8a%d9%85%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%88%d9%8a%d9%84-%d8%a3%d9%88%d8%aa%d9%88%d9%84%d9%8a%d9%86/
Iranian presidential elections have rarely mattered. Both the past victory of
the so-called reformists and now the restoration of a tailor made presidency to
consolidate the regime, portray something similar to the hangman word game,
where one has to guess the word an opponent is thinking of, before the gradual
drawing of a stick figure condemned to the gallows.
On June 18, 2021, Ebrahim Raisi was elected as the next president of Iran.
Western observers routinely wonder how presidential elections might impact
Iran’s regional posture and nuclear talks. In fact, results have rarely
mattered.
Regardless of who’s president, Iran has been on a steady path to nuclear
weapons’ capability, regional hegemony, and support for terrorism since its 1979
revolution. This time is no different. Raisi was selected – and his access to
the presidency engineered – to ensure regime consolidation and continuity, as
Iran faces both unprecedented challenges and opportunities.
Regime Consolidation. The elected institutions of the Islamic Republic no doubt
fulfill a more meaningful role than rubberstamp parliaments in other
authoritarian regimes such as Syria, but the president of Iran does not have the
last word on the key foreign policy and national security issues that concern
Western capitals. Raisi is no different. In fact, his track record suggests this
time there will be an even closer alignment between the elected presidency and
the unelected, clerical hierarchy ruling Iran.
Raisi is a lackluster cleric, whose main claim to fame is his membership in the
death commission charged with sending thousands to their death in the summer of
1988. As Iran was emerging from the Iran-Iraq War, its late, and by then ailing
Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khomeini, instigated a purge of political
dissidents, both real and imaginary, that led to the systematic slaughter of
thousands inside Iran’s prisons, including political prisoners as young as
thirteen.
Not only did Raisi play a key role in the 1988 massacres. As the deputy head of
Iran’s judiciary in 2009, he also supervised the brutal repression of
pro-democracy activists that followed that year’s elections. Promoted to the
role of chief of the judiciary in 2019, he further oversaw the repression of
dissent that led to at least 1,500 documented deaths in November 2019, as
protests erupted once again against the regime.
In short, Raisi is the Islamic Revolution’s hangman. His entire career in
office, as a powerful figure of Iran’s judiciary, is associated with the
regime’s repressive apparatus, something which earned him U.S. human rights’
sanctions under the Trump Administration. He also ran, from 2016 to 2019, the
powerful Astan Quds Razavi religious foundation, a business empire centered
around the Shi’a religious shrine of Mashad, which feeds directly into the
discretionary funds of the office of the Supreme Leader. He has the power of the
purse, the sword, and now, the crown.
As a faithful executioner of the regime’s revolutionary vision, he will be the
Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei’s yes man, and in a privileged position to groom
himself as his successor when the time comes. Khamenei is in his eighties and in
poor health. He wanted a regime loyalist to take the presidency so as to secure
the regime powerbase and avoid the risk of a power vacuum were he to die.
In the past, Iran’s leaders took some calculated risks with elections – most
notably in 1997, when they allowed a reformist candidate, Mohammad Khatami to
win. The regime has used elections in the past to balance different power
centers and offer a safety valve to its restive population by creating the
illusion of democratic empowerment through the ballot box. The circumstances
were very different though and even then, Khatami was not a man to challenge the
repressive apparatus when protests erupted for more radical change than he was
willing to contemplate. Nevertheless, the possibility of divergence between an
elected office and the clerical guardians of the revolution has always been
there, especially as figures like the late Rafsanjani – president between 1989
and 1997 – moved into the presidential office from a strong clerical and
financial powerbase and impeccable revolutionary credentials.
Ultimately, elections serve the goal of ensuring regime legitimacy and its
long-term survival. This time, with both unprecedented challenges and
opportunities at its doorstep, and the specter of a power vacuum looming on the
horizon, the regime took no chances and ensured these elections would largely be
an elaborate pageant with a pre-established outcome.
Raisi did not win a popularity contest – the turnout was at its lowest in the
short history of the Islamic Republic, below 50 percent. And many of those who
did vote cast a blank ballot to express their anger at the lack of real choice.
In short, Raisi barely won the hardcore loyalist base of the regime.
Nothing changes then. Raisi will likely preside over the country’s transition
from Khamenei’s reign to his successor – who could turn out to be Raisi himself.
That, more than anything else, is the significance of last month’s elections.
Sanctions relief, regional challenges, and nuclear talks. It is likely, though
by no means guaranteed, that by the time Raisi takes office in August, the
Vienna talks will have yielded a new nuclear deal. Under such circumstances,
Iran will resume compliance with the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or
JCPOA, and the United States will lift sanctions reimposed by the Trump
Administration after May 2018.
There are numerous uncertainties still governing negotiations and their outcome.
Assuming the talks yield a result, Raisi will preside over Iran’s return to
international finance and business. Global economic prospects in the months
ahead signal fast economic growth as the global economy rebounds from the
COViD-19 pandemic. That includes an already detectable spike in oil prices, as
industrial production and global travel quickly return to pre-pandemic levels.
Iran’s oil sales this year, despite ongoing sanctions, already show promise for
its beleaguered oil sector. If sanctions were removed, Iran’s large reserves
would not significantly impact global prices as appetite for oil to fuel the
engine of economic recovery is strong.
The lifting of sanctions will thus provide economic relief to a regime that has
been under pressure from 2017 onwards as the Trump Administration turned its
screws on its economy and a shrinking GDP led to growing popular discontent and
unrest at home.
Raisi, however, will not seek to channel revenue to domestic economic growth to
fend off popular discontent. Rampant corruption in the bloated public sector and
the growing dominance of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps across Iran’s economy
make it unlikely that the benefits of sanctions’ relief will evenly trickle down
to ordinary Iranians. Besides, the regime – regardless of who was president –
has never chosen to divert resources from its core national security and
ideological interests in favor of development, growth, infrastructure, and good
governance.
Prioritizing national security and revolutionary ideals over domestic prosperity
– guns, not butter – has important implications for Western policymakers. Iran
has been adamant that it will not negotiate a regional retreat, especially at a
time when, after nearly two decades of conflicts in the region, it has
successfully consolidated its influence in the near abroad.
Despite sanctions and international pressure over the past two decades, Iran has
managed to undermine American influence in Iraq and stalemate its rival,
Saudi-led Gulf adversaries in Yemen. Iran also saved its allies, the Assad
family, in Syria and turned the alliance into a patron-client relation to Iran’s
net gain.
It has successfully cloned the Hezbollah model elsewhere, by creating and
strengthening proxies in Syria, Yemen, and Iraq. It has so far managed to resist
pressure from inside and outside Lebanon to curtail Hezbollah’s influence. And
despite, or perhaps because of Lebanon’s deepening economic crisis, Iran has
managed to ensure its terror proxy Hezbollah remains the indispensable player on
the Lebanese domestic scene. Iran has also sustained Palestinian rejectionism in
Gaza and enhanced Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad’s fighting capabilities.
Iran continues to project power beyond the region in pursuit of its
revolutionary goals. Two decades of sanctions and economic downturn have not
interfered with programs to export the Iranian revolution overseas. Iranian
propaganda activities continue unimpeded globally, so much so that the Trump
Administration, in its waning days, felt compelled to sanction Al Mustafa
International University, a key propaganda arm of the regime abroad.
Iran continues to meddle in Africa and Latin America too. Washington does not
seem too focused on the mounting wave of anti-imperialist Bolivarianism
returning to power in country after country of the Western Hemisphere and Iran,
having relentlessly cultivated friendships among anti-American movements in the
region will now bank on the election of a Bolivarian candidate in Peru, and the
likely return of leftist candidates to power in Brazil and Chile in the next 24
months.
Iran continues to build its nuclear weapons’ capabilities by developing its
ballistic missile program – the key delivery vector for a nuclear bomb. U.S.
sanctions relief will likely benefit Iran’s procurement networks and reduce
Western ability to block Iran’s efforts to obtain advanced technology for its
missile program.
Finally, beyond the missile program, Iran has never stopped angling for nuclear
weapons’ capability. Key findings from Iran’s nuclear archives – which Israel
smuggled out of Tehran in 2018 – prove Iran’s continuing interest in the
military dimensions of a nuclear program. More ominously, Iran’s JCPOA
violations in the nuclear program sector – which the International Atomic Energy
Agency has diligently documented in its quarterly reports – mean that even if
Iran returns to full compliance of the 2015 agreement, the knowledge and
experience its nuclear scientists have acquired cannot be undone.
Raisi or no Raisi. What it means, for Western policymakers. The election of
Raisi may reveal much about the inner workings of the Islamic Republic’s power
structure. But as with previous presidents, it matters little in policy terms.
Despite Iran’s current precarious economic situation, the regime has so far
steadied the ship of state and fended off any challenge from the street. Though
protests, civil disobedience, and sectoral strikes continue to highlight the
shrinking nature of the regime’s powerbase, there is no immediate domestic
threat to regime survival. The guards continue to have a monopoly over the
economy; the religious establishment self-funds through the opulent foundations
it controls; and the overarching clerical structure that guides the country is
impervious to change and now under the dual stewardship of its Supreme Leader
and his loyal next president.
Regionally, Iran can look back to the last two decades as a period of
ascendency, not decline in its status, influence, and reach. On the horizon, it
sees U.S. power waning, as U.S. forces retreat from Afghanistan a decade after
withdrawing from Iraq. In Gaza, Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, and Yemen, its proxies and
assets have strengthened, not weakened, Iran’s aspirations as a regional hegemon.
Though Gulf monarchies remain aligned with Washington, Iran has managed to draw
Qatar closer to its orbit, ensure that Kuwait stays on the fence and that Oman
continues to play a mediator’s role on its behalf with Iran’s adversaries.
Meanwhile, U.S. staunch support for Saudi Arabia under the Trump Administration
has now morphed into a more tepid commitment from Washington to Riyad, something
Tehran is sure to try and bank on.
On the nuclear front, having survived four years of fresh sanctions and economic
setbacks due to the lost dividends of the JCPOA, Iran is now on the cusp of
getting Washington to remove the main impediments to an economic revival. If
that were to happen, the regime would have the wind in its sails like never
before.
That is why one should not have any illusions about Iran’s new president.
It is not just that he belongs more to a trial room of the International
Criminal Court than a presidential palace. He is the man tasked to shepherd the
Islamic Republic into the post-Khamenei era and ensure that the goals of its
revolution and regional hegemonic aspirations continue to be met.
Expect no less from him. And if that takes a bit of hanging dissidents to
achieve, he has the mettle to do it.
*Emanuele Ottolenghi is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of
Democracies, a non-partisan think tank in Washington focusing on foreign policy
and national security issues. Follow him on Twitter @eottolenghi.
L’État criminel et l’inévitable internationalisation
Charles Elias Chartouni/August 03/2021
شارل الياس شرتوني: الدولة القاتلة وحتمية التدويل
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/101081/charles-elias-chartouni-letat-criminel-et-linevitable-internationalisation-%d8%b4%d8%a7%d8%b1%d9%84-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%b3-%d8%b4%d8%b1%d8%aa%d9%88%d9%86%d9%8a-%d8%a7%d9%84/
Il a fallu cette explosion criminelle du 4 août 2020, pour que le
mythe de l’État et de l’État de droit, a fortiori, vole en fumée et que les
libanais soient renvoyés, une fois pour toutes, aux réalités d’un pays qui se
décompose au profit des vides stratégiques cumulés d’un proche orient
déliquescent. La supercherie de l’enquête criminelle et juridique tient à la
fausseté des prémisses de départ, à la servilité de l’appareil juridique, et à
la politique de terreur montée en épingle par les fascismes chiites. Les données
fournies par l’enquête judiciaire quant au transport du matériel explosif, les
omissions volontaires des autorités portuaires, la trajectoire de ces produits,
les complicités croisées des ministres, députés et hauts fonctionnaires, les
lenteurs et caractère occulte de la démarche judiciaire, les gesticulations
vides de l’ordre des avocats et l’usurpation de la représentation arrachée aux
familles des victimes, le double jeu du ministre de la justice, Marie Claude
Najm, le cynisme et complicités des présidents de la république, du conseil et
du parlement( Michel Aoun, Hassan Diab et Nabih Berri), et les menaces émises
par les protagonistes du fascisme chiite, sont suffisamment étayés pour attester
la mort clinique d’un État qui a cédé tous ses attributs de souveraineté aux
acteurs du coup d’État monté par le Hezbollah, ses acolytes et subordonnés.
Cette explosion est le point culminant d’une stratégie de subversion qui bien au
delà du démantèlement des institutions de l’État, vise la légitimité nationale
du pays et sa raison d’être. Cet acte de terreur suprême n’est pas un acte isolé,
qu’on expliquerait moyennant des scénarios hypothétiques, alors qu’en réalité,
il n’est que l’émanation d’une stratégie de subversion, et un acte de guerre
totale qui vise le changement des dynamiques politiques moyennant des
remaniements urbain, socio-économique et démographique déjà enclenchés.
L’heuristique judiciaire en cours opère sur la base d’oblitérations
méthodologique et factuelle dont le but est de dévier le parcours de l’enquête
et amortir les ondes de choc de ce traumatisme, le réduire aux registres psycho-somatiques
et en neutraliser la charge politique. Le fait d’avoir preempté
l’internationalisation de l’enquête criminelle et judiciaire, les remaniements
sur la scène du crime, la promulgation de l’extraterritorialité juridique des
ministres, députés et fonctionnaires incriminés par les données de l’enquête en
cours, ont fini par sceller la mort de l’État de droit au bénéfice d’un État
criminel manipulé par des collaborateurs cooptés aux divers échelons d’une
administration corrompue.
La grande défaillance tient au fait que les organismes de défense des victimes,
les ONG locale et internationale, et les Églises ont cédé à la terreur des
fascismes chiites et leurs complices au niveau de l’État, en renonçant à
l’internationalisation de la question. La nature politique du crime, la
complexité des enjeux logistique et technique, l’incompétence professionnelle et
l’instrumentalisation des services sécuritaires libanais, et le caractère
saillant d’un crime contre les droits humanitaires, rendent cet acte de terreur
inévitablement justiciable auprès de la cour criminelle internationale. Quelle
abomination de se rendre compte, un an après, de ce ratage, et de renvoyer aux
calendes grecques un devoir de justice, une dette morale et un impératif
politique, la justice internationale est notre seule chance, alors que toute
autre alternative relève de la diversion et de la complicité.
The criminal state and the inevitable internationalization
It took this criminal explosion of August 4, 2020, for the myth of the rule and
rule of law, a fortiori, to fly in smoke and the Lebanese would be sent back,
once and for all, to the realities of a country that breaks down for the benefit
of the aggregate strategic empties of a deliquescent close orientation. The
trickery of criminal and legal investigation is due to the falsehood of
departure premises, the servility…
Were Saied’s moves preemptive?
Habib Lassoued/The Arab Weekly/August 03/2021
In 1987, Tunisia’s Islamic Tendency Movement was preparing to carry out a
military coup against the regime of the late President Habib Bourguiba. They set
November 8 as the date for their move. But then-Prime Minister and Minister of
the Iinterior Zine El Abidine Ben Ali picked up the details and preempted the
plot. The movement’s leaders were later released from prisons. Some of them had
been rescued from the gallows, including Rached Ghannouchi, whom Bourguiba
wanted executed as he saw in him a danger to the state and to social peace.
In May 1991, there was the discovery of another plot led by the Ennahda movement
to carry out a coup against the Ben Ali regime involving 244 officers and
non-commissioned officers, including three of the six assistant chiefs of staff.
The plot further strained the relationship between the movement and state
institutions, and saw thousands of Brotherhood members sent to prison amid a
dizzying race between the group’s revolutionary tendency and the state
institutions.
In 2011, after the Ben Ali regime fell the Brotherhood’s goal was to strike at
the national state, taking advantage of the favourable tendency of the radical
left, which has always been the objective supporter of political Islam. Both had
in common their hostility to the state and the work to build an alternative
project.
The suspension of the 1959 constitution, the dissolution of the intelligence
services, the abolition of the former ruling party and the election of a
constituent assembly were all the demands of the leftist forces. These paved the
way for the Brotherhood to gain control over the sinews of the state without
presenting any serious self-critical review of their experience and without
being held accountable for their previous crimes.
On July 25, President Kais Saied came out to announce measures that the
Brotherhood described as a coup against the constitution. Days before, there
were calls for demonstrations on the 64th anniversary of the Republic. The
protests did not fall under any political umbrella and there was scepticism
about the seriousness of the calls.
However, as the demonstrations took place, protesters’ anger was directed at
Ennahda which they wanted to topple as they blamed it for all the crises that
the country faced, whether political, economic, social or health-related.
It turned out later that those behind the protest are the same mysterious
supporters who succeeded in pushing the constitutional law professor Saied to
run in the 2019 presidential elections and to win on the first and second round.
Most of the political factions, including the Muslim Brotherhood, joined them
then in backing the candidate Kais Saied.
On the evening of July 25, President Said’s decisions to suspend the activities
of parliament, lift the constitutional immunity of all its members and dissolve
the government served to save the Brotherhood from popular wrath. Moreover, at
the same time it allowed him to launch the reforms that he felt were needed.
The Ennahda movement accused him of violating the constitution, including
Chapter 80.
However, the international community chose to monitor remotely without any
condemnation of the presidential moves. There was good reason for this, which
even sharply divided Brotherhood members. The reason was that Ennahda not only
failed to govern, but was accused of being a sponsor of corruption, causing harm
to the country and attempting to instil society with its ideology and promote
extremist thought.
But why did President Saied decide to take these measures? The hidden aspect of
the crisis is that Ennahda had already started preparing for the overthrow of
the president, relying on Article 88 of the constitution. Although the project
faced great difficulties due to the absence of the Constitutional Court, as well
as the inability to ensure a favourable two-thirds parliamentary majority, the
Brotherhood had already set out on the course of legal and constitutional
consultations. They were searching for a way to oust the president, based on
their argument that there was no longer any possibility of continuing to
coexisting with President Saied.
Attempts to disparage the presidency, downplay its role, assail the president’s
reputation and tamper with the symbolism of the position he holds had turned
into one of the parliament’s main goals. This was especially the case through
the violent arm of the Ennahda movement, the Dignity Coalition.
Attacks on the president extended from the social media to the press including
public media outlets, as the war on the president included harming Tunisia’s
foreign relations, including its relations with Arab and foreign countries that
the Brotherhood did not appreciate. The Tunisian parliament became a source of
strife, an incubator of violence, a sponsor of corruption and terrorism, and a
blow to Tunisia’s regional and international interests in the name of freedom
and democracy.
Therefore, when President Saied decided to change the reality and correct the
political course, he met with international understanding. Even if some
countries did not express overt support, their offered silent support. Silence
as the Arabic proverb says is a sign of acquiescence.