English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese
Related, Global News & Editorials
For June 14/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/eliasnews19/english.june14.20.htm
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Bible Quotations For today
Those who love me will keep my word, and my Father will
love them, and we will come to them and make our home with them
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint John 14/21-27/:”They
who have my commandments and keep them are those who love me; and those who love
me will be loved by my Father, and I will love them and reveal myself to
them.’Judas (not Iscariot) said to him, ‘Lord, how is it that you will reveal
yourself to us, and not to the world?’Jesus answered him, ‘Those who love me
will keep my word, and my Father will love them, and we will come to them and
make our home with them. Whoever does not love me does not keep my words; and
the word that you hear is not mine, but is from the Father who sent me. ‘I have
said these things to you while I am still with you. But the Advocate, the Holy
Spirit, whom the Father will send in my name, will teach you everything, and
remind you of all that I have said to you. Peace I leave with you; my peace I
give to you. I do not give to you as the world gives. Do not let your hearts be
troubled, and do not let them be afraid.”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 13-14/2020
Lebanon Records 20 New Cases of Coronavirus
Fresh Protests Call on Government to Resign amid Crisis
Diab: State is the guarantee, people’s bank deposits are preserved, coup attempt
has failed
Report: Warnings against 'Removing' Salameh
Protests escalate in Lebanon, clashes with security
Lebanon Protesters Call on Government to Resign amid Crisis
Kheir Inspects Damages in Downtown Beirut
Hariri Fires Sharp Remarks against Authority, 'Mopeds' Patrons'
Lebanese Fear Currency Will Further Tumble despite Promises
Lebanon protesters call on government to resign amid crisis
Protest in Jounieh demanding implementation of International resolutions
Clashes return to Bab al-Tabbaneh, several roads blocked to traffic
23 casualties so far in confrontations in Bab alTabbaneh
Sit-in at Al-Alam Square in Tyre
Two demonstrations denouncing Central Bank Governor, political class set out in
downtown Beirut
Fahmy: Security forces will track down sabotage perpetrators, bring them to
justice
Mortada calls for declaring 'state of emergency' over smuggling issue
"Reforms, then reforms, then reforms," underlines Geagea
Jumblatt: Why to undermine Beirut?
El-Machnouk urges Interior Minister to ban motorcycles in Beirut
Lebanon PM launches attack against his government’s opponents/Najia Houssari/Arab
News/June 14/2020
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
June 13-14/2020
Worldwide COVID-19 Cases Exceed 7.66 Million
Kadhimi Wins First Round of Strategic US-Iraqi Talks
Turkish Lira Notes Circulate in Northern Syria
Turkey Military Runs Drill in East Mediterranean
Turkey Slams Twitter after Removal of State-Linked Accounts
UAE: Israeli Annexation Plan Impedes Peace Process
Syrian Extremist Killed in Libya Drone Strike
US Prefers Wider UN Role in Resolving Libya Crisis
UN Requests Inquiry into 8 Mass Graves in Tarhouna
Ennahda Faces Challenges to Include Heart of Tunisia in Government
Egypt, Sudan Express Reservations on Ethiopia’s GERD Document
Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources published on June 13-14/2020
Finally, a Good New Snap-Back Plan on Iran/Peter Huessy/Gatestone
Institute/June 13/2020
Raymond Stock on Countering Russia's Increasing Involvement in Egypt/Marilyn
Stern/Middle East Forum Radio/June 13/2020
Bibi's Brilliant Annexation Bluff?/Matthew Mainen/JNS/June 13/2020
China Takes Over Hong Kong: EU Shrugs/Giulio Meotti/Gatestone Institute/June
13/2020
Erdogan’s bewildering character/Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Arab News/June 13/2020
Daesh’s reappearance puts fragility of Iraq and Syria in focus/Paul Iddon/Arab
News/June 13/2020
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News &
Editorials published
on June 13-14/2020
Lebanon Records 20 New Cases of Coronavirus
Naharnet/June 13/2020
The Health Ministry said that twenty new cases of the COVID-19 coronavirus were
recorded on Saturday raising the tally to 1442. It said nine of the cases were
recorded in Lebanese residents, while eleven were recorded in Lebanese expats
repatriated recently to Lebanon during the outbreak of the virus.
The total number of deaths stands at 30. According to official data, 868
individuals have recovered from the virus since the first case was detected on
February 21.
Fresh Protests Call on Government to Resign amid Crisis
Associated Press/Naharnet/June 13/2020
Lebanese protesters took to the streets in Beirut and other cities Saturday in
mostly peaceful protests against the government, calling for its resignation as
the small country sinks deeper into economic distress. The protests come after
two days of rallies spurred by a dramatic collapse of the local currency against
the dollar. Those rallies degenerated into violence, including attacks on
private banks and shops. The local currency, pegged to the dollar for nearly 30
years, has been on a downward trajectory for weeks, losing over 60% of its
value. But the dramatic collapse this week deepened public despair over the
already troubled economy. Lebanon is heavily dependent on imports and the dollar
and local currency have been used interchangeably for years. The unrivaled
economic and financial crises are proving a major challenge to the government of
Prime Minister Hassan Diab, who took office earlier this year after his
predecessor resigned amid nationwide protests. Diab was faced with handling the
coronavirus pandemic soon after taking office. Lebanon's financial problems
predate the coronavirus pandemic, which put the country in lockdown for months,
further compounding the crisis.
Diab's government is supported by the powerful Hizbullah group and its allies,
but has already been weakened by the economic crisis. He was due to address the
nation later Saturday. For the protesters Saturday, many of them members of
organized political parties, Diab's government has failed to handle the crisis.
Neemat Badreddin, a political activist, described the government as captive to
the interests of political groups and not the public. "This current government
proved to be a failure," said Badreddin, wearing a face mask featuring the
Lebanese flag with its green cedar tree in the center. "We want a new government
... we want stability and we want to be able to live without begging or without
people having to migrate." Protesters in Beirut carried a banner that read
"There is an alternative." In the southern city of Sidon, some directed their
wrath at the central bank governor. One protester raised a banner called him the
"protector of all thieves in Lebanon."In the northern city of Tripoli, army
troops forcefully dispersed dozens of protesters who had blocked the road
preventing trucks from moving forward, according to videos posted online. The
protesters allege the trucks were smuggling goods to Syria — a common complaint
in Lebanon as the neighboring country grapples with its own economic hardships.
After an emergency Cabinet meeting Friday to address the crisis, the government
announced that the central bank would inject fresh dollars into the market to
prop up the Lebanese pound — a measure that many everyday Lebanese and
government critics say is likely to offer only temporary relief.
The dollar shortage, coupled with already negative economic growth, has crunched
Lebanon's middle class and increased poverty in the small Mediterranean nation
of over five million that's home to over 1 million Syrian refugees.
The heavily indebted government has been in talks for weeks with the
International Monetary Fund after it asked for a financial rescue plan but there
are no signs of an imminent deal.
Diab: State is the guarantee, people’s bank deposits are preserved, coup attempt
has failed
NNA/June 13/2020
Prime Minister Hassan Diab addressed the Lebanese in a speech this evening, in
which he affirmed that "the state is not bankrupt, and people's deposits are
preserved, but we must protect the state."
"I assure you that your rights are preserved, at the banks and at the Central
Bank... and the State is the guarantee. Therefore, we must protect and defend
the State, so that it can be a guarantee for all its citizens, their properties,
their monies and their future," he said.
"The attempted coup has failed...and the deals made on and under the table, as
well as the internal and joint operations orders have failed to overthrow the
process of corruption detection," Diab underlined.
"The State must serve its entire people, with no distinction on the basis of
regions, sects or confessional denominations. We want to build a State that
protects the Lebanese people. We want national affiliation to be the only
criterion. We want to carry a unified national identity, chant one anthem, raise
one flag, defend one nation and protect one people," the Prime Minister
underscored.
"There will come a day when this government will leave; it cannot stay forever.
In fact, we do not want to remain in office without effectiveness and without
achieving our plan to get the country out of the stalemate caused by corrupt
people...We are not and won't be like them," he asserted.
"I assure you that change will inevitably come...no matter how much they try to
derail it. Change is definitely coming, and I believe in our ability to make a
positive change in people's lives, and in the country's path," pledged Diab.
In his detailed address, the Prime Minister said:
"Dear Fellow Lebanese,
When I was assigned to form this Cabinet, and when the government was formed,
the Lebanese people's confidence in our ability to make achievements was weak.
The Lebanese people had little hope in us. We acknowledge these facts.
We were surrounded by muffled cunning smiles, betting on our failure to address
the deeply rooted aggressions and backlogs that took a toll on the State's
entity and on Lebanon's economic and financial structure, labelled for many
years as a miracle, while it was merely a colourful mask that covered the
enormous distortions they caused without even flinching.
Less than a month after the Cabinet started working, Lebanese people have
started to feel the seriousness, methodological work, determination, will and
courage of the entire government and of every minister.
The people's mood has changed, and this government started enjoying a high level
of citizens ' confidence, which seems to have dismayed many of those who have
bet on its failure.
Since then, rumours, false news, lies, personal and political targeting have not
stopped.
Nevertheless, we have faced all of this silently and with more work, although
smear and prejudice campaigns have touched on silly issues.
There are many examples of the orchestrated campaign organized by well-known
parties, whose name identity, image, background, and way of thinking are
familiar and that are not deterred from resorting to any means to tarnish the
image of others because they could not redeem theirs.
Yes, this government has achieved a lot, but they want to blur the facts.
Isn't it enough that we are trying to remove the rubble they left behind after
having destroyed everything and left in haste?
Isn't it enough that we are still searching for Lebanese people's deposits that
they have wasted with irresponsibility, so as not to say more?
Isn't it enough that they have drowned the country in huge debts that have
caused the current great financial collapse?
Deals, waste, corruption and clientelism have persisted, funded by the people's
accrued bank deposits; they have betrayed the confidence of the Lebanese people
who trusted them.
For a long time we have kept silent, and we have heard a lot of accusations
trying to evade the turpitudes they have committed, to throw it on this
government whose head and ministers are seeking to rival their predecessors,
neither in politics nor in performance, style, mentality and elections.
No, I am not one of them and will not be...
We did not want to enter into debates with the past whose results we are
grappling with, but we will not remain silent about being held responsible for
their policies that have brought the country to the disaster we are facing
today.
Whatever the case, we are here today. Amidst the rubble and black smoke they
have ignited in the country. A smoke that was about to rescind civil peace,
after spreading despair in the hearts of the Lebanese who were witnessing the
systematic destruction of public and private properties, and who were gazing
with pain and sorrow at tire-burning that have blocked roads, taken their breath
away, increased social and livelihood pressure, and destroyed their livelihoods.
Today we are here, amidst financial and livelihood concerns. Some have tried to
exploit the situation again, without any national deterrent. They have thrown
lies and rumours, have contributed to deepening the Lebanese pound crisis, have
caused a major crisis and have pushed people onto the streets.
They were required to prevent the government from implementing its decision to
remove the rubble hiding beneath it the secrets of the corruption structure.
They knew that we have begun to discover many rooms inside this structure, and
that we have found the keys to many rooms forming that black structure stinking
deals, brokerages and thefts covered under a power shell.
There is much to talk about today, and there is much more to be revealed soon,
with documents and facts.
So wait until the process of rubble removal from the top of the corruption
structure is finished, for this structure will fall on the heads of those who
are hiding in its corners, believing that it was fortified and that it can
protect them from the earthquake of popular will, which must triumph for its
right to hold accountable those who have kidnapped the State and hypothecated
the people's destiny by remaining in their positions that they thought were
personal properties, disposing of its capabilities and authority, while
forgetting that it thus passes worldly glory and that if it had lasted for their
predecessors, it would not have passed to them.
Again, the coup attempt has failed.
All the secret and public meetings, the deals made on and under the table as
well as the internal and joint operations orders have failed to overthrow the
process of corruption detection. On the contrary, those persons have once again
shown that people's lives do not matter for them, that the people's properties
were their enemy and that their aim is to protect themselves, not to express the
real pain they themselves caused to people.
We have enough data regarding the facts, and we will disclose appropriate data
in due course.
Dear Fellow Lebanese,
Today, we are facing the challenge of either returning to the pre-October 17
uprising period, or completing the task.
Some want to return to the pre- October 17 era, because they believe that the
time has come to pounce on the revolutionary uprising, take revenge and turn the
clock back.
Some want to restore the corruption structure's keys in order to protect what is
inside it, re-fortify its walls and renew its colours, so as to prepare a new
trick to dispose of people's monies which they deposited and protected in banks,
and which have been transferred, by decision, to the State treasury which was
wide open to robbers.
Here lies the truth regarding the plan to manipulate the US dollar/Lebanese
pound exchange rate, and here lies the secrets of the night of the coup against
the October 17 uprising.
The coup was not against the government. There will come a day when this
government will leave; it cannot stay forever.
In fact, we do not want to remain in office without effectiveness and without
achieving our plan to get the country out of the stalemate caused by corrupt
people.
We are not and won't be like them...
But, I can confidently say that we will not allow people's money to be wasted.
Bank deposits are numbers today; however, I can assertively say that we will not
allow such deposits to remain just numbers.
Have they impoverished the State? Yes.
Have they impoverished citizens? Yes.
Have they used people's monies? Yes.
But the State is not bankrupt. We are facing a financial distress, but the
country draws its wealth from you, from its capabilities, its potential, its
resources and the creative minds of its citizens.
I assure you that your rights are preserved, at the banks and at the Central
Bank... and the State is the guarantee. Therefore, we must protect and defend
the State, so that it can be a guarantee for all its citizens, their properties,
their monies and their future.
Dear Fellow Lebanese,
We want to make, with you, the change you want. We want to advance the State's
rationale. We want to fulfil, with you, our dream of a homeland for us, for our
children and our grandchildren. We want to trust our State.
We seek to achieve too many things ... Sometimes, we achieve what we want, but
we face reinforced walls that stand in the way of our dreams. We want to move to
the safety zone, but political barriers are standing in the way.
But I assure you that change will inevitably come ... no matter how much they
try to derail it. Change is definitely coming, and I believe in our ability to
make positive change in people's lives, and in the country's path.
Over the last couple of days, in order to confront the conspiracy of the
Lebanese pound's and people's livelihoods' manipulation, we have taken decisions
to stop the series of blackmailing targeting the State and the people.
All Lebanese know what we want, but unfortunately, we cannot make change quickly
from within the system's mechanisms. Managing the transition from the inside is
too heavy. However, we will not refrain from imposing this change in the path,
since we have no other option than saving the country, restoring people's trust
in their homeland and confirming the State's reference as an option for all of
us, which protects our future and that of our children.
Unfortunately, over the past months, I have found out that the State was
oppressing its own citizens. It oppresses its youth. It deprives them of their
rights. It undertakes job examinations that ultimately become just a folklore.
Dozens of examinations in the Civil Service Council ... Internal Security
Forces, Customs, Forestry Guards and Civil Defence ... However, either no
results are announced for unknown reasons, or the results are announced on paper
without being implemented under the pretext of sectarian and confessional
balances.
Promotion tables in the military and security services are frozen, either
because of disputes within the administration, or under the pretext of financial
means, or because of sectarian and confessional balances.
That is how trust is built between the State and its citizens?
That is how the State's rationale prevails, or is it the logic of federations
disguised under a thin crust of the State's image?
Tens of thousands of Lebanese citizens have been side-lined for years, but the
State has turned its back on them.
No ... this approach cannot continue. We are following up on all these files,
and we will do justice to the Lebanese youth. This is their right and not a
favour granted by the State.
The State must serve all its people, with no distinction on the basis of
regions, sects or confessional denominations. We want to build a State that
protects the Lebanese people. We want national affiliation to be the only
criterion. We want to carry a unified national identity, chant one anthem, raise
one flag, defend one nation, protect one people and shoutout to the country, not
to a person, party, or confession.
A weakened State engenders strengthened chauvinism ... When the State retreats,
petty states emerge.
When the security grip eases, chaos prevails ... and when stability is shaken,
civil peace falls apart.
The absence of accountability leads to corruption ... and a politicized
judiciary leads to the law of the jungle.
The judiciary needs no permission, reference, or instruction to act. We insist
that the judiciary be independent and impartial.
Therefore, should we seek to build a State, we have to start from these pillars.
This is what the government is working on, and it is mounting up pillars that
can protect the State's structure from the storms.
Today, we are establishing the concepts of a safe, just and unified State.
Against this backdrop, I call on the Lebanese people to be more patient, because
the fight against corruption is very fierce, for the corrupt will not surrender
voluntarily and will not give up easily.
Dear Fellow Lebanese,
The confrontation is difficult, but I can say with a clear conscience that we
have laid a solid foundation for your victorious fight against corruption, and
we will embark together on a joint march to restore social security whose loss
threatens your livelihoods taken away by corrupt people to accumulate their
wealth and satisfy their greed.
Dear Fellow Lebanese,
Let the self-destruction instigated by those who fall out of national conscience
and who want to satisfy their deep hatred be stopped.
Lebanon is for all of us, and every stone of its structure was built by the
sweat of its people's brow, so let no one underestimate what the other has
achieved. This is not a bidding yard. We need to stop this massive waste which
is a crime as important as the waste of public money.
Dear Fellow Lebanese,
We are preparing to reopen the airport early next month, and this will give us
the opportunity to restore some of our economic cycle that we desperately need.
But the current incidents will lead to continued suffering, increased bleeding
in the national economy, further closure of institutions and loss of employment
opportunities.
I call on the Lebanese people to refrain from distorting the protests, and to
contribute to the shift towards the State's rationale, which must only prevail,
in order to cross this ordeal, and protect Lebanon and the future of our
children.
I am confident that we will overcome the crisis, and that we are stronger than
all challenges, because Lebanon was found to remain free, sovereign and
independent. Its people's haughtiness is too difficult to break before the
winds, no matter how strong.
Long Live Lebanon!" [PM Press Office]
Report: Warnings against 'Removing' Salameh
Naharnet/June 13/2020
The calls to remove the governor of the central bank Riad Salameh from his post
will likely lead to “unfavorable” results, and could negatively affect the value
of Lebanon’s already sagging currency, the Saudi Asharq al-Awsat reported on
Saturday. “Any void in the post, relations and role of Salameh will be reflected
on the exchange rate,” political sources told the daily on condition of
anonymity. They stated that Speaker Nabih Berri and Maronite Patriarch Beshara
Rahi constitute a “safety net” for Salameh’s stay, they told the daily. Berri on
Friday said there were “no compelling reasons for his dismissal,” while Rahi
considered Salameh a red line during his talks with President Michel Aoun in
Baabda a day earlier. “Removing Salameh from his post could have negative
repercussions on the negotiations with the International Monetary Fund which
Lebanon is asking for aid to overcome its economic crisis,” the sources
emphasized. Adding to the above was the "American dissatisfaction reflected by
the US ambassador to Lebanon with the recent financial appointments," they said.
“The International community was not satisfied with the latest appointments,
therefore we can not deepen the crisis by triggering a new clash by removing
Salameh from his post,” they noted. Tensions have grown recently between the
government, which is backed by Hizbullah, and the central bank's governor.
Experts say the cabinet would like to see Salameh removed from the position he
has held since 1993. Protesters accuse him of having encouraged state borrowing
over the decades that they say benefited only the banking and political elite.
Protests escalate in Lebanon, clashes with security
The Arab Weekly/June 13/2020
BEIRUT--Hundreds of protesters filled, Saturday, the streets of Beirut and other
cities over the spiraling cost of living and the government’s apparent impotence
in the face of the worst economic turmoil since the 1975-1990 civil war. Some
also rallied against the governor of the central bank, Riad Salame. Protesters
had initially taken to the streets after sundown on Thursday, and escalated
their action on Saturday despite the government pledging on Friday to inject
dollars into the market to bolster the sagging currency. Prime Minister Hassan
Diab is excepted to deliver a live speech Saturday on the latest developments
which could be worsening as the angry demonstrations devolved into violence.
Protesters set fire to roadways and clashed with security forces, according to
witnesses and Lebanese media.
“The demonstrators smashed the facades of shops, set fire to garbage containers,
and threw rocks and Molotov cocktail at the army, which in turn fired rubber
bullets and tear gas to disperse the protesters”, Lebanese news Agency (NNA)
reported. Lebanese soldiers and riot policemen were deployed on major roads
ahead of the protests, while protesters blocked major streets. Security forces
fired tear gas to disperse them and some of the young men threw stones and fire
crackers back. “A number of protesters blocked the Masnaa-Rashaya road at the
Dar Al-Hanan triangle point this morning, against the dire economic and living
conditions”, NNA correspondent reported.
In the northern city of Tripoli, the army dispersed hundreds shouting
“revolution, revolution”. “Forty-nine people were injured as a result of renewed
popular movements and violent protests yesterday evening in Tripoli”, the NNA
said. Protests erupted again on Thursday after a crash in the pound currency,
which has lost about 70% of its value since October, when Lebanon was plunged
into a financial crisis that has brought mounting hardship. The Lebanese pound
sank to a record low on the black market despite the authorities’ attempts to
halt the plunge of the crisis-hit country’s currency, money changers said.
Lebanon is in the grips of its worst economic turmoil in decades, and holding
talks with the International Monetary Fund towards securing billions in aid to
help overcome it
On Friday, President Michel Aoun announced that the central bank would implement
measures from Monday including “feeding dollars into the market”, in a bid to
support the Lebanese pound. Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, who attended
Friday’s meeting with the president alongside Prime Minister Hassan Diab, said
the government’s measures aimed to bring the exchange rate to stronger than
4,000 pounds to the dollar. Tensions have grown recently between the government,
which is backed by pro-Iran Shia movement Hezbollah, and the central bank’s
governor.
Anger against banks has risen in recent months, after they banned all transfers
abroad and gradually restricted dollar withdrawals, forcing those in need to buy
the greenback at unattractive rates on the black market. “Several currents
taking part in the protests want to topple the central bank governor and hold
him accountable for the financial” crisis, among them Hezbollah, Lebanese
American University professor Imad Salamey said. “The economic situation has
further deteriorated… The middle class has been obliterated,” said Hilal Khashan,
a professor at the American University of Beirut, but he did not think that “the
government will collapse”. the new wave of Lebanese anger comes as Beirut holds
talks with the International Monetary Fund for a reform programme it hopes will
secure billions of dollars in financing and put its economy back on track. The
crisis, rooted in decades of corruption and waste, has brought soaring food
prices, unemployment and capital controls that have severed Lebanese from their
hard currency savings.
Lebanon Protesters Call on Government to Resign amid Crisis
Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June, 2020
Lebanese protesters took to the streets in Beirut and other cities Saturday in
mostly peaceful protests against the government, calling for its resignation as
the small country sinks deeper into economic distress.
Rallying against the surging cost of living and the government's apparent
impotence in the face of the worst economic turmoil since the 1975-1990 civil
war, protesters gathered in central Beirut, brandishing flags and chanting
slogans.
In the northern city of Tripoli, young men scuffled with security forces who
fired rubber bullets to disperse crowds.
The stand-off began after young men blocked a highway to prevent a number of
trucks carrying produce destined for Syria from passing through, according to
the official National News Agency.
The protesters allege the trucks were smuggling goods to Syria — a common
complaint in Lebanon as the neighboring country grapples with its own economic
hardships. Later, Lebanon's customs authorities said in a statement that the
trucks were transporting UN aid destined to Syria.
The Lebanese Red Cross said it treated nine people wounded in Tripoli.
The protests come after two days of rallies spurred by a dramatic collapse of
the local currency against the dollar. Those rallies degenerated into violence,
including attacks on private banks and shops.
The local currency, pegged to the dollar for nearly 30 years, has been on a
downward trajectory for weeks, losing over 60% of its value. But the dramatic
collapse this week deepened public despair over the already troubled economy.
Lebanon is heavily dependent on imports, and the dollar and local currency have
been used interchangeably for years.
The unparalleled economic and financial crises are proving a major challenge to
the government of Prime Minister Hassan Diab, who took office earlier this year
after his predecessor resigned amid nationwide protests. Soon after taking
office, Diab was faced with handling the coronavirus pandemic, which put the
country in lockdown for months, further compounding the crisis.
In a speech Saturday, Diab urged the public to be patient, saying there were a
great many political hurdles, including from rivals he said sought to undermine
his government. Diab offered no solutions to the crisis, nor did he name his
opponents, but said his government is working to fight corruption and uphold the
power of the state. For the protesters Saturday, many of them members of
organized political parties, Diab's government has failed to handle the crisis.
Neemat Badreddine, a political activist, described the government as captive to
the interests of political groups and not the public.
“This current government proved to be a failure,” said Badreddine, wearing a
face mask featuring the Lebanese flag with its green cedar tree in the center.
“We want a new government ... we want stability and we want to be able to live
without begging or without people having to migrate.”
Protesters in Beirut carried a banner that read “There is an alternative.”
In the southern city of Sidon, some directed their wrath at the central bank
governor. One protester raised a banner called him the “protector of all thieves
in Lebanon.”
After an emergency cabinet meeting Friday to address the crisis, the government
announced that the central bank would inject fresh dollars into the market to
prop up the Lebanese pound — a measure that many say is likely to offer only
temporary relief.
The dollar shortage, coupled with already negative economic growth, has crunched
Lebanon’s middle class and increased poverty in the small Mediterranean nation
of over five million that's home to over 1 million Syrian refugees.
The heavily indebted government has been in talks for weeks with the
International Monetary Fund after it asked for a financial rescue plan but there
are no signs of an imminent deal.
Kheir Inspects Damages in Downtown Beirut
Naharnet/June 13/2020
Prime Minister Hassan Diab has commissioned Head of the High Relief Committee
Gen. Mohammed Kheir with conducting a field survey to assess the damages to
commercial, public and private properties, the press office of PM Hassan Diab
said on Saturday. Diab had contacted the chiefs of the military and security
services to take appropriate measures aiming at stopping suspicious attacks on
public and private properties in downtown Beirut, it said. Diab stressed on the
fact that Friday riots in Beirut are “totally rejected by all standards,”
highlighting the need for all necessary measures to be taken in order to protect
people and institutions’ properties, and repress all sabotage operations. On
Friday, protesters took the streets but tension petered out after midnight
mainly in Beirut’s downtown area where shop fronts were defaced and burnt. In
the northern city of Tripoli, hundreds of demonstrators shouting “revolution,
revolution" had thrown stones and Molotov cocktails toward the soldiers and
damaged the facades of several banks and shops. Soldiers responded with tear
gas. Protesters had initially taken to the streets after sundown on Thursday,
railing against the spiralling cost of living and the government's apparent
impotence in the face of the worst economic turmoil since the 1975-1990 civil
war.
Hariri Fires Sharp Remarks against Authority, 'Mopeds'
Patrons'
Naharnet/June 13/2020
Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri on Saturday waged sharp remarks against the
ruling authority and AMAL and Hizbullah parties, without naming them, after
Friday’s protests that turned into riots.
The presidential “term and its government undermine the independence of the
judiciary and stand idle watching the Souks of Beirut being sabotaged and burnt,
and Beirut’s role and dignity assaulted,” said Hariri in a tweet marking the
assassaination anniversary of judge Walid Eido and his son Khaled.
“Those who orchestrated and carried out the sabotage and arson attacks in Beirut
have no idea about the goals and values of the revolution. They are misguided
groups drifting behind a cursed scheme that seeks sedition and further
collapse,” said Hariri. He emphasized that Beirut violence was “deliberate”
seeking to “infiltrate” the ranks of protesters and “topple the public opinion
against the righteous demands of the revolution.”“To the young men and women of
the revolution, we tell them that these attacks are aimed at stirring public
opinion against popular movements and anticipating calls for gatherings and
sit-ins ... Beware of infiltrators to your ranks,” said the former PM. He
addressed the “ruling authority and parties who stand behind '' the packs of
individuals on motorcycles who invade the protest squares usually raising flags
of AMAL and Hizbullah parties. “To the people of the government, the government,
and the motorcycle sponsors, we say Beirut is not a scapegoat ... Do not force
the people to protect their properties and their livelihoods themselves. The
responsibility is yours and we will not stand idly by watching the capital being
sabotaged,” he warned.
Lebanese Fear Currency Will Further Tumble despite Promises
Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June, 2020
For months, Kamal Nasser, a successful plumbing contractor in Lebanon, has seen
his business base erode. There are almost no new construction projects as people
save for gloomier days, and with the local currency on a downward spiral, he has
not been able to import his most basic materials — tubes or plumbing valves from
Europe and Ukraine. Despite efforts to control the currency depreciation, the
Lebanese pound sold for more than 6,000 to the dollar on Thursday on the black
market, down from 4,000 in recent days. The dramatic tumble sparked raging
protests overnight that targeted private banks and prompted an emergency
government meeting Friday. Lebanon’s government and its central bank promised on
Friday to inject fresh dollars into the market to control the fast deteriorating
exchange rate that saw the local currency lose nearly 70% of its value in weeks.
The pound had maintained a fixed rate of 1,500 to the dollar for nearly 30
years.
But the promise was met with skepticism from a public that has lost trust in
officials they blame for the country’s unparalleled financial and economic
crisis.
“This is madness," Nasser said. “People can’t take this economic situation
anymore. It only keeps getting worse.”
Nasser said the government plan is meant to diffuse public anger but won't
resolve the problem. “All those promises from the government or the presidents
are meaningless," he said, according to The Associated Press. "It is all for
them to hide their own theft ... and to calm people down.”
The dollar shortage, coupled with already negative economic growth, has crunched
Lebanon's middle class and increased poverty in the small Mediterranean nation
dependent on imports of basic goods.
The Lebanese have for years used the dollar and the Lebanese pound
interchangeably. So with the drop, employees saw their income and savings lose
over 60% in value in weeks. Parents have been unable to pay school or insurance
fees charged in dollars, and many landlords are refusing to accept rent payment
in pounds. Meanwhile, banks have stopped dispensing dollars altogether, except
from new transfers from abroad.
President Michel Aoun blamed the currency plunge this week on “political
manipulation,” intentionally aimed to create chaos to undermine the government
he is allied with.
“This government will reassure the public and the dollar exchange rate will be
reduced gradually,” Aoun said, according to a statement following the all-day
emergency cabinet meeting. The meeting included Prime Minister Hassan Diab and
Riad Salameh, the central bank governor who has been singled out by Diab for
alleged mishandling of the situation.
Aoun vowed the new measures would take effect on Monday but it was unclear if
there are enough dollars available to meet local demand.
The central bank said last month it has around $20 billion in reserves. The head
of the money changers union, Mahmoud Halawa, said security forces would crack
down on the black market or any money changers selling above a set rate of 3,940
to the dollar.
Lebanon's unrivaled economic and financial crisis has exposed deep mistrust of
the government's crisis management and has also reflected panic over new US
sanctions that will affect neighboring Syria in the coming days. Many suspect
the major fluctuations resulted from dollars being smuggled into Syria.
Lebanon’s financial problems predate the coronavirus pandemic, which put the
country in lockdown for months, further compounding the crisis. Years of
corruption and mismanagement have left Lebanon with depleted resources, while
shrinking investment in the war-riddled region. Falling remittances from
Lebanese abroad only increased the shortage of foreign capital.
In an outpouring of anger, protesters took to the streets Thursday, shutting
down roads in several parts of the country and burning tires. Some protesters
pelted branch offices of private banks with stones while in central Beirut, one
bank was set on fire.
After a raucous night that included volleys of tear gas, calm was restored
Friday and security forces reopened blocked roads.
The renewed demonstrations represented a huge challenge for Diab, the prime
minister, who took over after his predecessor, Saad Hariri, resigned amid
nationwide protests late last year. Diab’s government is supported by the
Hezbollah party and its allies but has already been weakened by the crisis.
The heavily indebted government has been in talks for weeks with the
International Monetary Fund after it asked for a financial rescue plan but there
are no signs of an imminent deal.
Mike Azar, a financial adviser and former lecturer at John Hopkins University,
said the only way to control the exchange rate is to increase demand for the
local currency while supplying sustainable dollars for example, by increasing
exports.
“If they inject dollars into the exchange offices ... they would be flushing our
remaining reserves down the drain. People will just go buy dollars and store
them in their houses," Azar said.
Injecting dollars has been promised time and again, he said, but only offers
temporary relief and adds to depositors' woes.
“Each dollar of reserves we spend increases the size of the losses because these
reserves are owed to depositors so depositors are subsidizing this transaction,”
Azar added. Nasser, the contractor, said he has few options.
“I am seriously thinking of leaving the country on the first plane out because
we no longer have room here," he said. “This country is for people who are not
good. They don’t want good people to stay.”
Lebanon protesters call on government to resign amid crisis
Associated Press/June 13/2020
Protesters in Beirut carried a banner that read “There is an alternative.”
BEIRUT: Lebanese protesters took to the streets in Beirut and other cities
Saturday in mostly peaceful protests against the government, calling for its
resignation as the small country sinks deeper into economic distress.
The protests come after two days of rallies spurred by a dramatic collapse of
the local currency against the dollar. Those rallies degenerated into violence,
including attacks on private banks and shops.
The local currency, pegged to the dollar for nearly 30 years, has been on a
downward trajectory for weeks, losing over 60% of its value. But the dramatic
collapse this week deepened public despair over the already troubled economy.
Lebanon is heavily dependent on imports, and the dollar and local currency have
been used interchangeably for years.
The unparalleled economic and financial crises are proving a major challenge to
the government of Prime Minister Hassan Diab, who took office earlier this year
after his predecessor resigned amid nationwide protests. Soon after taking
office, Diab was faced with handling the coronavirus pandemic, which put the
country in lockdown for months, further compounding the crisis.
Diab’s government is supported by the powerful militant group Hezbollah and its
allies, but has already been weakened by the economic crisis.
In a speech Saturday, Diab urged the public to be patient, saying there were a
great many political hurdles, including from rivals he said sought to undermine
his government. Diab offered no solutions to the crisis, nor did he name his
opponents, but said his government is working to fight corruption and uphold the
power of the state.
For the protesters Saturday, many of them members of organized political
parties, Diab’s government has failed to handle the crisis.
Neemat Badreddin, a political activist, described the government as captive to
the interests of political groups and not the public.
“This current government proved to be a failure,” said Badreddin, wearing a face
mask featuring the Lebanese flag with its green cedar tree in the center. “We
want a new government ... we want stability and we want to be able to live
without begging or without people having to migrate.”
Protesters in Beirut carried a banner that read “There is an alternative.”
In the southern city of Sidon, some directed their wrath at the central bank
governor. One protester raised a banner called him the “protector of all thieves
in Lebanon.”
In the northern city of Tripoli, army troops forcefully dispersed dozens of
protesters who had blocked the road preventing trucks from moving forward,
according to videos posted online. The protesters allege the trucks were
smuggling goods to Syria — a common complaint in Lebanon as the neighboring
country grapples with its own economic hardships. Later, Lebanon’s customs
authorities said in a statement that the trucks were transporting U.N. aid
destined to Syria.
After an emergency Cabinet meeting Friday to address the crisis, the government
announced that the central bank would inject fresh dollars into the market to
prop up the Lebanese pound — a measure that many say is likely to offer only
temporary relief.
The dollar shortage, coupled with already negative economic growth, has crunched
Lebanon’s middle class and increased poverty in the small Mediterranean nation
of over five million that’s home to over 1 million Syrian refugees.
The heavily indebted government has been in talks for weeks with the
International Monetary Fund after it asked for a financial rescue plan but there
are no signs of an imminent deal.
Protest in Jounieh demanding implementation of
International resolutions
NNA/June 14/2020
A number of citizens staged a sit-in in the city of Jounieh, against illegal
weapons under the slogan of "No to statelets within the state, not to illegal
weapons," demanding those concerned to implement the Security Council
Resolutions 1559, 1701 and 1680, NNA correspondent reported on Saturday.
Demonstrators also called for the demarcation of the border with Syria to stop
the transfer of arms and smuggling.
Clashes return to Bab al-Tabbaneh, several roads blocked to
traffic
NNA/June 14/2020
Tension has returned to the Tabbaneh area this evening, as its main and
branching streets, especially Syria Street, are witnessing violent
confrontations between Army units and young men protesting against the passage
of trucks loaded with food to Syria, and against the deteriorating economic
conditions, NNA correspondent in Tripoli reported. The protesters have also
cut-off a number of the city's main roads using burning tires and waste
containers, namely Al-Arz Street in al-Qobbeh, Al-Nour Square and the
international road in Al-Beddawi, amid the heavy spread of Army units.
23 casualties so far in confrontations in Bab alTabbaneh
NNA/June 14/2020
The Bab al-Tabbaneh area witnessed confrontations between groups of young men
and Army units this afternoon, which have resulted in the wounding of 23 persons
so far, including 4 soldiers, NNA correspondent in Tripoli reported.
The Islamic Medical Association's Emergency and Relief paramedics have tended to
all the casualties, transporting 9 of them to the Tripoli Governmental and
Islamic Hospitals for treatment. These confrontations were triggered when a
group of young men from Bab al-Tabbaneh intercepted large trucks loaded with
food stuff as they were heading to Syria, on the pretext that the Lebanese are
more entitled to these food products due to the hunger striking them and their
deprived livelihood due to high unemployment. Clashes evolved into throwing
stones at Army units who responded with tear gas at the demonstrators, while
other protesters blocked the roads to Abdul Hamid Karami 'Al-Nour' Square, Al-Qobba
Road, Al-Arz Street and Al-Tabbaneh Highway with burning tires, NNA
correspondent indicated.
Sit-in at Al-Alam Square in Tyre
NNA/June 14/2020
Activists from the city of Tyre staged a sit-in at Al-Alam Square this evening,
in protest against the high consumer prices and rising dollar exchange rate, and
against the corrupt system, NNA correspondent in Tyre reported.
Protesters raised the Lebanese flags and banners calling for "early elections
and a civil government that is not from the parties, but from the people, and
far from quotas. Participants in the sit-in confirmed the continuation of their
moves "until their rightful demands are met."
Two demonstrations denouncing Central Bank Governor,
political class set out in downtown Beirut
NNA/June 14/2020
A demonstration set out this afternoon from Bechara El Khoury Square in downtown
Beirut towards the Ministry of Finance-Directorate of Imports and the
Association of Banks, then Riad El Solh Square, in protest against Central Bank
Governor Riad Salameh, the financial policies and the existing political class.
Banners calling for "accountability" and "the recovery of looted money" were
raised, as protesters denounced the "sectarian quotas system that can neither be
rectified nor reformed, but must rather be changed to save society from
bankruptcy." Meanwhile, Central Beirut's Ring Bridge is witnessing another
demonstration heading towards the Association of Banks, to join those coming
from Bechara El-Khoury, whereby both demonstrations will head together towards
Riad El Solh Square.
Fahmy: Security forces will track down sabotage
perpetrators, bring them to justice
NNA/June 14/2020
Minister of Interior and Municipalities, Brigadier General Mohamed Fahmy,
affirmed via his Twitter account today: "As we have repeatedly stressed on
protecting peaceful protesters and suppressing rioters and infiltrators, the
security forces will work to track down security violators and those who have
broken and destroyed public and private property in the heart of Beirut, and
bring them before the concerned judiciary...The outrageous and vicious attack
witnessed in Beirut and some areas yesterday is reprehensible and rejected."
Mortada calls for declaring 'state of emergency' over
smuggling issue
NNA/June 14/2020
Minister of Agriculture, Abbas Mortada, called Saturday for declaring a "state
of emergency" with regards to the issue of smuggling, and to monitor and control
the borders and all crossings.
Speaking in an interview with "Radio Lebanon" this morning, Mortada said: "In
Lebanon, we are accustomed to living day by day in light of the difficult
circumstances and the successive and pressing economic, health and social crises
in the country...and the government is carrying out its duties each day and is
setting plans."He stressed that the most important thing is that the government
performs its duties, whether it remains or leaves. He considered herein that the
extreme efforts invested by the various cabinet ministers would have yielded
more fruitful results had we been living under normal circumstances.
"Today's effort is taking place in light of an economic vacuum, extremely
serious crises and a pressing atmosphere in the country. This government came in
wake of an economic and social crisis that already existed," Mortada reminded.
He deemed that economic solutions require "more time, concerted efforts and
cooperation to save the country from its crises."
Over the recent administrative appointments, Mortada affirmed that "they were
passed according to the constitutional mechanism, with a difference in views
which is normal in Lebanon." He denied that the appointments took place on the
basis of quota sharing, stressing that "the people who were appointed are
qualified and holders of good resumes and deserve to be in such positions."
Meanwhile, Mortada wished that the mechanism approved by the Parliament Council
had been adopted. He hoped to reach a more transparent mechanism, taking into
account the qualifications and capability factors.
At the agricultural level, the Minister pointed out that boosting Lebanon's
economy and agriculture requires more effort, cooperation and capabilities.
"The Ministry of Agriculture has placed all strategic plans and opened up to all
segments of society with high expertise and great potential for cooperation,
within a strategic framework to be presented later in the government."
Mortada disclosed that his Ministry's strategic plan will see the light within a
week, reiterating that this requires capabilities, while assuring that all
offices at the Agriculture Ministry are working relentlessly on the ground for
the development of the agricultural sector.
"Efforts are underway to enable farmers to benefit from the National Social
Security Fund, to secure the future of everyone who wants to work in the
agricultural sector," Mortada corroborated.
He appealed to the Lebanese citizens and all political forces "to support the
Ministry of Agriculture, especially in light of the worsening economic and
financial crises, since Lebanon is in need of food sovereignty that can only be
achieved through relying on specific agricultural standards and specifications,
and keeping pace with the modernization of agriculture in the world."
"Reforms, then reforms, then reforms," underlines Geagea
NNA/June 14/2020
Lebanese Forces Party Chief, Samir Geagea, tweeted Saturday on the rising US
dollar exchange rate against the Lebanese Lira, saying: "Curbing the
deterioration of the Lebanese pound's exchange rate cannot be through the loss
of more US dollars from the Central Bank, which most likely will go to
Syria...Controlling the Lira's exchange rate has only one solution: reforms,
then reforms, then reforms, starting with the illegal crossings between Lebanon
and Syria and far-reaching the electricity file, which constitutes a huge daily
drainage of dollars in Lebanon."
Jumblatt: Why to undermine Beirut?
NNA/June 14/2020
"Why to enfeeble and infringe upon Beirut, the city of thought, diversity,
literature, theater, and music; Beirut of convergence and dialogue; Beirut of
steadfastness and revolutions; Beirut the refuge of the oppressed; Beirut the
crossing of civilizations...Beirut Oh, Beirut!" tweeted Progressive Socialist
Party Chief, Walid Jumblatt, on Saturday.
El-Machnouk urges Interior Minister to ban motorcycles in
Beirut
NNA/June 14/2020
MP Nohad El-Machnouk called Saturday via Twitter on the Interior Minister,
Brigadier General Mohamed Fahmy, "to prevent motorbikes from roaming in the city
of Beirut, exceptionally and for a specific period, in order to avoid frictions
and attacks that seek strife through the 'alliance of motorcycles', and also to
make way for the real revolutionaries to express their opinions."
Lebanon PM launches attack against his government’s
opponents
Najia Houssari/Arab News/June 14/2020
BEIRUT: Prime Minister Hassan Diab responded to his government’s political
opponents in a tough speech addressing the Lebanese on Saturday night.
As the protests continued and clashes between demonstrators and security forces
in the city of Tripoli caused injuries, Diab spoke of “a programmed campaign
organized by parties known by name and method of thinking that are not deterred
from using any method to shatter the image of others.”
Diab said that his government “has a high percentage of citizens’ confidence,
which has disturbed many of those who bet on its failure, and some have tried to
invest without any national deterrent by pumping lies and rumors, to prevent the
government from removing the rubble under which the secrets of corruption
disappear.”
“Know that we have found many keys from that black structure. There is a lot to
discover soon with documents and facts, and this structure will fall on those
who hide in its corners,” he said.
Diab said that “the coup attempt fell and all secret and public meetings and
orders of internal and joint operations to stop discovering of corruption failed
too.”
“They revealed that people’s lives do not concern them and that their aim is to
protect themselves.”
Diab said that “the state is not bankrupt, there is financial stumbling, but the
country is rich in citizens and its resources.”
Addressing the people, he said: “Your rights are reserved with the banks and the
Bank of Lebanon and the state is the guarantor.”
“There are those who want to go back to before Oct. 17 (the date of protests
against the Saad Hariri government) and turn the clock back.”
Diab spoke of “political barriers that stand in the way of his government, but
change is definitely coming.”
He said that “the state oppresses its children and youth and deprives them of
their rights.”
“When the state weakens, the gangs are strengthened, and when the state
retreats, small states appear, and when stability shakes, civil peace collapses,
and when accountability stops, corruption prevails,” he said.
“The judiciary does not need to be instructed to move. We insist that the
judiciary be independent and impartial. The confrontation is difficult, and I
call on the Lebanese to be more patient because the battle with corruption is
very fierce, because the corrupt will not give up so easily,” the prime minister
said.
Diab said that “opening the airport on July 1 will allow us to restore part of
the economic cycle, but what is happening today will increase suffering, and I
call on the Lebanese to refrain from distorting the protests in order to cross
the ordeal and protect Lebanon.”
The prime minister’s remarks came as the anger of groups of protesters who took
to the squares of Beirut and Tripoli turned into deliberate sabotage of public
and private property without indicating clear slogans for their movement. The
riots led to angry reactions in the two cities.
This prompted former Prime Minister Saad Hariri to warn that “Beirut should not
be targeted by anyone. Do not force people to protect their own properties and
livelihoods. We will not stand by as spectators while the capital is destroyed.”
Both Amal Movement and Hezbollah later denied any relationship with the
saboteurs.
Beirut awoke to painful scenes left by the riots, during which young men who
arrived on motorbikes smashed and burned shops, pulled stones off buildings and
threw them at security forces, and uprooted traffic signs. Stones and glass
fragments covered the squares and the content of the shops were ruined.
The security forces responded to the rioters with tear gas and rubber bullets.
Anger was reignited mid-week with news circulating on social media that the
exchange rate of the dollar on the black market had reached 7,000 Lebanese
pounds.
On Friday, the government said that the news was incorrect. It took measures to
curb the rise of the exchange rate, which exceeded 5,000 Lebanese pounds to the
dollar, by requesting the central bank to pump dollars into the market to money
changers, starting on Monday, to gradually reduce the exchange rate to 3,200
Lebanese pounds.
Despite the government’s move to stop the collapse of the Lebanese pound, the
protests continued in downtown Beirut in the absence of coordination between
civil movement groups. Each protesting group seemed to have its own agenda.
The goal of these attacks is to turn public opinion against popular movements,
so beware of infiltrators who climb over your demands.
Saad Hariri, Former prime minister of Lebanon
The Lebanese army and internal security forces accompanied the demonstrators,
and Prime Minister Diab asked the leaders of the two security establishments to
“take appropriate measures to prevent suspicious attacks on public and private
property in downtown Beirut.”
In a statement, he said that what had happened in Beirut on Friday night was
“unacceptable by all standards.”
Interior Minister Mohammed Fahmi described what happened as a “reprehensible,
disgraceful and unacceptable attack.”
The scene of devastation in the heart of Beirut provoked the people and
activists of the capital.
Hariri visited the damaged shops and spoke to their owners, one of whom raised a
Lebanese flag over his burned shop and wrote under it: “Despite your madness, we
love you, Lebanon.”
Hariri said that “those who organized and carried out sabotage and burning
attacks in Beirut do not have an iota of the goals and values of the revolution.
They are misguided groups drifting behind a cursed plot that seeks sedition and
further collapse. The goal of these attacks is to turn public opinion against
popular movements, so beware of infiltrators who climb over your demands.”
Hariri accused the Lebanese administration and “its government of ignoring the
independence of the judiciary and watching the sabotage of Beirut’s markets,
burning its heart and assaulting its role and dignity.”
The Grand Mufti, Sheikh Abdul Latif Derian, blamed the state for what had
happened.
He warned: “If the state does not carry out its tasks, the jungle law that is
not acceptable to any sane person will prevail, and we will no longer be silent
about such actions that violate human morals and threaten security.”
Shop owners in the capital and other cities were busy fortifying the fronts of
their shops, fearing that riots in the coming days could reach their stores.
Tony Eid, head of the Beirut Traders Association, told Arab News: “What
happened, regardless of its causes, will harm traders and business owners. The
commercial flow is built on trust, which has been lost, and people will be
afraid to continue their declining business.”
“During the last three months, the percentage of business closure in the
Beirut’s Achrafieh district alone reached between 50 percent to 70 percent, so
everyone is obsessed with material damage as a result of riots that may take
place and they no longer have hopes for the country,” he said.
Eid said: “Merchants are not the ones who stole the country, but rather those
who are in power. Merchants put their savings, borrowed and risked to establish
their businesses, so what is their fault?”
He said that merchants were now asking the association to help them find
solutions “to close their businesses with the least possible harm.”
Riot scenes were repeated in the northern city of Tripoli, and the Al-Nour
Square turned into a battlefield.
Some rioters arrived on motorbikes and clashed with soldiers, throwing stones
and firecrackers at them. The army responded with rubber bullets and tear gas.
The riots caused 36 injuries in Tripoli and one injury in Beirut.
Tripoli MP Mohammed Kabbara said: “We will not be silent on sabotaging Tripoli,
nor will we be silent on the increasing poverty in our city, and we will not be
silent on some suspected mercenaries from outside Tripoli who target its
reputation, image and economy.”
Hezbollah MP Hassan Fadlallah denounced “violence and attacks on public and
private property in Beirut and Tripoli.”
“The true cry of hunger is not to attack others. Rather, it should be directed
against the corrupt who looted public money and against the policy of American
sabotage of our national economy,” he said.
Hezbollah MP Anwar Jumaa said: “Hezbollah is the only party in Lebanon now that
pumps millions of dollars a month into the market, and this contributes to
preventing the collapse of Lebanon now and moving the economic cycle.”
Amal Movement MP Ali Bazzi said: “The right of citizens to peacefully
demonstrate and express their opinion is constitutionally guaranteed, but
attacking public and private property is not different from the damage caused by
those who looted and corrupted the country.”
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous
Reports And News published on June 13-14/2020
Worldwide COVID-19 Cases Exceed 7.66 Million
Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June, 2020
More than 7.66 million people have been reported to be infected by the novel
coronavirus globally. Deaths caused by the virus worldwide reached a total of
424,757 cases, according to a Reuters tally. More than 210 countries and
territories reported infections since the first cases were identified in China
in December 2019. The outbreak of the pandemic has dealt a shock to the global
economy with unprecedented speed. Meanwhile, a prominent US economist said there
can be no real economic recovery in Europe unless governments “completely
suppress” the virus, the Associated Press reported.
Kadhimi Wins First Round of Strategic US-Iraqi Talks
Baghdad- Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June, 2020
Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa Kadhimi won the first round of US-Iraqi strategic
talks that kicked off last Wednesday to tackle the US military presence in Iraq.
The talks came amid deep national and political division, mainly over members of
the Iraqi delegation that participated in the meetings, the nature of the
dialogue, in addition to a Katyusha missile that hit the Green Zone in Baghdad.
However, a joint Iraqi-US statement and an announcement by the US Secretary of
State came to prove a development in relations. Even the missile incident,
launched to embarrass Kadhimi before the talks, was considered by Washington as
benefiting to the dialogue between the two sides. In this regard, Washington’s
Secretary of State said this rocket being fired at the United States, at the
embassy in Baghdad, “highlights exactly why we have to have this strategic
dialogue,” adding that agreements with the Kadhimi government suggest that
Iraqis are committed to demonstrating – re-establishing sovereignty, exercising
control of these – of rogue militias, and having a unified security service in
the country. A joint Iraqi-US statement following the strategic talks said that
Washington reiterated that it does not seek nor request permanent bases or a
permanent military presence in Iraq. The US also expressed its solidarity with
the Republic of Iraq, not only through close bilateral cooperation on the
security and political levels, but also through its support for Iraq and the new
Iraqi government. Also, the joint statement said bot nations reiterated the
importance of assisting Iraq in implementing its governmental program and
reforms in a manner that reflects the aspirations of the Iraqi people, including
carrying out humanitarian efforts, restoring stability, rebuilding the country,
and organizing free, fair, and credible elections. “The United States, with its
international partners, emphasized its continued support for Iraq’s electoral
preparations, efforts to strengthen rule of law, human rights, and the return
and reintegration of displaced people, especially the smaller components of
Iraqi society that were targeted for genocide by ISIS,” the statement read.
On the security partnership, the two countries recognized that in light of
significant progress towards eliminating the ISIS threat, over the coming months
the US would continue reducing forces from Iraq and discuss with the Iraqi
government the status of remaining forces as both countries turn their focus
towards developing a bilateral security relationship based on strong mutual
interests. In this regard, Iraqi militia expert Hisham al-Hashemi told Asharq
Al-Awsat that “The Iraqi-US talks achieved the main document of principles that
would be legally developed during the first round of talks expected next July.”
He said this document should offer Iraq a solid ground that would enable Baghdad
to write the texts of the US-Iraqi agreement based on the national interest of
Iraq ahead of signing an understanding with Washington during the next fall.
“The results of the first round of talks are positive,” Saad al-Matlabi, a
member of the State of Law Coalition, told Asharq Al-Awsat. “However,” he added,
“we are still waiting to look at the details before reaching an agreement that
protects the supreme interests of Iraq and that could keep Baghdad away from
regional axes.”
Turkish Lira Notes Circulate in Northern Syria
Saturday, 13 June, 2020 - 06:15
Ankara, Damascus, Idlib- Saeed Abdulrazek, Firas Karam, and Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday,
13 June, 2020.
The Turkish lira has started making its way to northern Syria following a
decision by pro-Ankara military factions and local opposition councils to
encourage its use instead of the Syrian pound, which has greatly decreased in
value in the last days. During three military operations backed by loyal
factions, the Turkish Army had recently controlled large swathes of territory in
northern Syria. Ankara helped introduce Turkish services and government
institutions and services to those areas, which host more than 3 million
Syrians. Therefore, in order to protect citizens' savings due to the rapid
depreciation of the Syrian pound, local military and civil institutions hurried
to adopt the Turkish lira in the area. Mustafa Madi, the owner of an electrical
tools shop in Saramand in the countryside of Idlib, told Asharq Al-Awsat, “Of
course, it is safer to commercially deal with the Turkish lira instead of the
Syrian lira, which is witnessing an unprecedented devaluation.” He said the
rapid depreciation of the Syrian pound inflicts immense financial losses because
merchants are forced to change to prices of products all the time. Human Rights
activist Akram Junaid said: “the economic situation in northern Syria is now
completely linked to the Turkish economy.” This week, the Syrian pound’s
exchange rate to the dollar crashed, hitting a record low against the US dollar
(USD). Economy and Finance in the Syrian Interim Government, Abdul Karim al-Masri
said that all dealings at government institutions would be in the Turkish lira
or the US dollar. “We will buy wheat and sell flour in the dollar and we will
sell bread in the Turkish lira,” Masri said. In Damascus, sources told Asharq
Al-Awsat that the slight amelioration in the value of the Syrian lira exchange
rate in the past few days came after Syrian businessmen injected US dollars in
the market, in addition to a decision by the Syrian Central Bank to control
money transfers from outside the country. Such measures helped the Syrian pound
to trade at 2,400 against the dollar after hitting a record low of 3,400 last
Monday. Syria's economy has been battered by nine years of war, compounded by a
financial crisis in neighboring Lebanon, which had served as a conduit for
dollars into government-held areas under international sanctions. Big dealers
told Asharq Al-Awsat that ATMs were currently not operating in Syria following
an old dispute between the Central Bank of Syria and the Lebanese operating
company, CSC Group, which is owned by Abdul-Qader Douweyk. They uncovered that
the CB is planning to transfer the contract to a relative of Asmaa Assad, the
wife of President Bashar Assad.
Turkey Military Runs Drill in East Mediterranean
Ankara - Saeed Abdul Razzak/Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June,
2020
Turkey’s military has conducted air and naval exercise in the eastern
Mediterranean, its defense ministry said on Friday, affirming news by the Libyan
Government of National Accord (GNA) forces in this regard. The drill, conducted
by Turkey’s navy and air force, was dubbed an “Open Sea Training” exercise by
the ministry. Eight frigates and corvettes participated, along with 17 warplanes
based in the central Turkish airbase of Eskisehir, in a 2,000-km round trip, it
said in a statement. The military said the drill was meant to test and develop
Turkey’s ability to command and execute long-distance operations.
Turkey’s statement came 24 hours after the “Volcano of Rage” operation room
announced that Turkish aerial and naval forces have conducted drills above the
Mediterranean Sea, using E-7T airborne early warning and control aircraft. Fayez
al-Sarraj's GNA room, backed by Turkey, also noted that Ankara launched an air
bridge consisting of 17 aircraft between Istanbul and Misrata, as well as
frigates carrying precision-guided missiles and armed drones. Itamilradar
website, which monitors military aircraft movements over Italy and the
Mediterranean Sea, said it detected on Thursday a new mission by the Turkish Air
Force. Italian Flightradar24 site confirmed the claims, pointing out that three
Turkish military cargo planes and a ship carrying weapons approached the
airspace of western Libya. It said two of them took off from Istanbul airport,
while the third flew from Konya military base in Misrata but returned without
landing. The Turkish cargo ship (CIRKIN), which sailed from Istanbul, was
intercepted by a Greek frigate, which follows the EU's military mission in Libya
Operation, known as Irini, Flightradar24 reported. Turkish media also confirmed
the Greek naval interception of a “Turkish commercial cargo ship,” which was
accompanied by Turkish frigates heading to Libya. European Union High
Representative for Foreign Affairs Josep Borrell confirmed that the incident
occurred in international waters off the Libyan coast. He said Turkey opposed
Irini’s inspection of the ship after it was suspected of violating the UN arms
embargo on Libya.
Turkey Slams Twitter after Removal of State-Linked Accounts
Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June, 2020
Turkey fiercely criticized Twitter on Friday for suspending more than 7,000
accounts that had been set up to boost President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, saying
the company was smearing the government and trying to redesign Turkish politics.
Twitter said it was taking down 7,340 accounts from a network detected early in
2020 that it said was being used to amplify political narratives favorable to
Erdogan's ruling AK Party. They were among over 32,000 accounts removed by
Twitter which said they were used by China, Russia and Turkey for propaganda, to
sow misinformation or attack critics. "(This) has demonstrated yet again that
Twitter is no mere social media company, but a propaganda machine with certain
political and ideological inclinations," said Turkish presidency communications
director Fahrettin Altun. In a written statement, he added that allegations
these were "fake" profiles designed to support the president and were managed by
a central authority were untrue. He also said documents cited to support
Twitter's decision were unscientific, biased and politically motivated, and that
it was scandalous to cite a report by individuals "peddling their ideological
views". Those remarks appeared to refer to a report by the Stanford Internet
Observatory, with which Twitter shared its information, that said the network
posted some 37 million tweets, promoting the AKP and criticizing Turkey's main
opposition parties. "We would like to remind the company (Twitter) of the
eventual fate of a number of organizations which attempted to take similar steps
in the past," Altun said. In the past, Turkey has blocked access to online
encyclopaedia Wikipedia, YouTube and Twitter.
UAE: Israeli Annexation Plan Impedes Peace Process
Abu Dhabi - Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June, 2020
UAE’s ambassador to Washington Youssef Al Otaiba warned that Israel's plan to
annex land in the occupied Palestinian West Bank would impede the peace process
and “upend” Israel's efforts to improve ties with Arab countries. “Annexation
would - certainly and immediately - upend all Israeli aspirations for improved
security, economic and cultural ties with the Arab world and the UAE,” he said
in an op-ed entitled “It’s Either Annexation or Normalization” that was
published by Israel’s daily Yedioth Ahronoth. This came as the Israeli
government intends to proceed with the US annexation plan on July 1 which allows
Israel to annex large swaths of the occupied West Bank, including illegal
settlements, and the Jordan Valley. The plan also proposed the establishment of
a demilitarized Palestinian state on the remaining patchwork of disjointed parts
of the Palestinian territories without East Jerusalem, which Palestinians want
as the capital of their state. Earlier in May, Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al
Nahyan, Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation, also
expressed his deep concern and rejection of the measures included in the Israeli
plans to annex Palestinian lands. He warned that this unilateral move is
illegal, undermines opportunities for peace, and contradicts all efforts made by
the international community to reach a lasting political solution in accordance
with relevant international resolutions. He also reiterated the UAE’s position
that any action taken unilaterally impedes and hinders the chances of a lasting
peace to which all parties aspire. For his part, Minister of State for Foreign
Affairs of the United Arab Emirates, Anwar Gargash, called on Israel to end
talks about annexing Palestinian lands, considering that any unilateral move by
Tel Aviv would represent a strong blow to the peace process. “The continuous
Israeli talk about annexing Palestinian lands must stop,” he said.
Syrian Extremist Killed in Libya Drone Strike
Cairo - Jamal Jawhar/Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June, 2020
A Syrian extremist identified as Samer al-Atrash has been killed in a drone
strike in the Libyan city of Sirte, a Libyan military official said Friday. The
official told Asharq Al-Awsat that in the past two days the Libyan National Army
(LNA) has killed a large number of gunmen, mercenaries and terrorists fighting
alongside the Government of National Accord (GNA). Social media pages belonging
to Syrian mercenaries mourned al-Atrash, who is a former ISIS member and who had
previously been in the ranks of al-Nusra Front. Al-Atrash travelled from Syria
to Libya in January along with several companions, the official said. They took
flights to Misrata’s airport to fight alongside the GNA. The Libyan Army has
also killed terrorist Murad Abou Hammoud al-Azizi during clashes in the Libyan
capital Tripoli. LNA spokesman Ahmed al-Mismari has said that Mohamed Hindawi,
another extremist commanding a pro-GNA factions, has also been killed in
fighting near Tripoli.
US Prefers Wider UN Role in Resolving Libya Crisis
Washington - Elie Youssef/Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June, 2020
US Assistant Secretary for Near Eastern Affairs David Schenker has said that
parts of Cairo's proposal on Libya are helpful but that the UN mediation can
make better progress. "We think there are parts of the initiative that are
helpful. ... That said, we think that the UN-led process and the Berlin process
are really ... the most productive frameworks ... to make progress on a
ceasefire," Schenker said. On Saturday, Egypt called for a ceasefire starting on
Monday, as part of an initiative that also proposed an elected leadership
council. It also proposed "foreign mercenaries" to leave and militias be
disbanded and disarmed. "We continue to call for de-escalation, a ceasefire, a
return to political negotiation," Schenker said. "Now is a time for Libyans on
all sides to act so neither Russia, nor any other country, can interfere in
Libya." The UN mission to Libya on Thursday voiced "horror" at reports of at
least eight mass graves. Schenker called the accounts of mass grounds "truly
disturbing" and also warned that an advance of the Government of National Accord
(GNA) on Sirte "could have serious humanitarian consequences."Last week, US
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo welcomed the resumption of talks led by the UN
between the GNA and the Libyan National Army (LNA), and urged speedy
negotiations to achieve a ceasefire. Their agreement “to re-enter UN security
talks was a good first step, very positive,” Pompeo said in a news conference.
“Quick and good-faith negotiations are now required to implement a ceasefire and
relaunch the UN-led intra-Libyan political talks,” he added. UN chief Antonio
Guterres has suggested that former Ghana foreign minister and current UN envoy
to the African Union, Hanna Tetteh, head the UN Libya mission. Reuters quoted
diplomats as saying that before agreeing to Tetteh's appointment, Washington
wants Guterres to name a special envoy to focus on mediating peace in Libya and
has proposed former Danish Prime Minister Helle Thorning-Schmidt.
UN Requests Inquiry into 8 Mass Graves in Tarhouna
Cairo- Jamal Jawhar/Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June, 2020
At least eight mass graves have been reportedly been discovered in Libya,
according to the United Nations. The United Nations Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL)
and the United States embassy requested a prompt and transparent inquiry into
this crime. The Mission “notes with horror reports on the discovery of at least
eight mass graves in past days, the majority of them in Tarhouna,” it wrote on
Twitter. “International law requires that the authorities conduct prompt,
effective, and transparent investigations into all alleged cases of unlawful
deaths.” It also welcomed a decision by the Tripoli-based Minister of Justice to
establish a Committee with “wide ministerial powers and overseen by the Attorney
General” to look into these mass graves. It called on its members to “promptly
undertake the work aimed at securing the mass graves, identifying the victims,
establishing the cause of death and returning the bodies to the next of kin.”The
UNSMIL said it was ready to provide Libya with support as necessary. The US also
stated that it shared UNSMIL’s “horror” and said it “supports immediate efforts
by Libyan authorities and international bodies to investigate these intolerable
abuses and bring perpetrators to justice.” Interior Minister Fathi Bashagha, for
his part, pledged that security forces “will look into these mass graves to
determine the identity of the corps, hand them over to their families, and
pursue perpetrators.”Some of these graves were found in areas between Tarhouna
desert, its public hospital, and the headquarters of the General Directorate for
Central Security in the city, as well as in an inoperative well in al-Awata area
between Tarhouna and Suq al-Khamis. The LNA didn’t comment on the case, yet a
military source in the LNA denied the army’s relation to any of these crimes.
“These crimes, if true, are surely perpetrated by militias and terrorist
groups,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.
Ennahda Faces Challenges to Include Heart of Tunisia in
Government
Tunis- Al Mongi Al Saidani/Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June,
2020
Tunisia’s Ennahda movement continues to rally support for its proposal to expand
the government coalition to include the Heart of Tunisia movement, which is
rejected by the People's Movement and Tahya Tounes. The Heart of Tunisia
movement, chaired by Nabil Karoui, announced that it would participate in the
government if it received seven ministries, which would affect negotiations with
the rest of the parties of the government coalition led by Ennahda. Top official
of Heart of Tunisia Iyadh Elloumi asserted that his party does not reject
participating in the government, but asks for ministries of economy, finance,
and industry, along with four others. Karoui previously announced in a televised
interview that expanding the “government political belt” will have a positive
impact on the parliamentary work and will ensure the smooth passing of bills and
decrees in the parliament. He further affirmed that he has no problem with any
political party in Tunisia. Observers believe that the movement's condition will
suspend the negotiations on expanding the government coalition. They also noted
that if Heart of Tunisia, with 29 parliamentary seats, joined the ruling
coalition, it will be at the expense of the People’s Movement with 15 seats, and
Tahya Tounes, which has 14 seats. Speaker Rachid Ghannouchi, and head of Ennahda
movement, called upon all parties to agree on amending the ruling coalition that
would create a balance between the government and parliament. Ghannouchi
stressed that the coalition will be able to establish an economic and social
rescue program, which would achieve social stability, national solidarity, and
provide all guarantees and incentives to attract investment. President Kais
Saied and Prime Minister Elyes Fakhfakh do not share Ennahda’s enthusiasm to
include the Heart of Tunisia in the government.
The President called upon the Prime Minister to ensure the government maintains
the same principles upon which it was established, namely not including a party
suspected of corruption. Saied noted that there is no need to undertake a
ministerial amendment to include some of the proposed figures of Karoui’s
movement as ministers. Both the President and the Prime Minister agreed it was
necessary to bring all parties of the government coalition together, but without
expanding it to include people who are being prosecuted in cases of financial
corruption.
Egypt, Sudan Express Reservations on Ethiopia’s GERD
Document
Cairo - Waleed Abdul Rahman/Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 13 June,
2020
Egypt and Sudan expressed reservations on Friday over a document submitted by
Ethiopia on filling and operating the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD).
Cairo and Khartoum stressed the need for an “acceptable agreement” before Addis
Ababa starts filling the Nile dam’s reservoir next July.
Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan resume on Saturday the second round of virtual talks
on GERD in the presence of observers from the European Union, the US and South
Africa. Cairo is attached to the deal reached during talks held on February 21
in Washington, for being “an equitable and balanced agreement that enables
Ethiopia to achieve its development goals while preserving the rights of Egypt
and Sudan.” It said the Ethiopian paper on filling and operating GERD was
inconsistent with the principles and rules previously agreed upon by Egypt,
Sudan and Ethiopia in the negotiations brokered by the US and the World Bank. In
a statement issued Thursday, Cairo stressed the importance of Ethiopia to be
negotiating with “good intentions” in order to sign a fair agreement that takes
into account the interests of all three countries.
Sudan announced that the three parties started discussing GERD documents amid
tension on several issues. It said the three concerned states agreed to exchange
views on controversial issues to bridge the gap in their viewpoints. Sudanese
Minister of Irrigation Yasser Abbas told a local television channel that his
country believes in the rights of any state for development, but without harming
others. Ethiopia has already planned to start filling the reservoir of the dam
in July.
The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources published on June 13-14/2020
Finally, a Good New Snap-Back Plan on Iran
Peter Huessy/Gatestone Institute/June 13/2020
The RSC plan also advocates that Congress impose further new sanctions on
"Iran's petrochemical, shipping, financial, construction and automotive
sectors." Legislation would also target "Iran's human rights violations and
regional aggression, including in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen. And it
suggests sanctioning the Instrument in Support of Trade Exchanges (INSTEX), a
European mechanism that the United States has criticized as a way to evade US
sanctions on Iran."
In an unprecedented but welcome manner, the RSC bill would for the first time
place "new sanctions on the arms industries of countries like Russia and China
that return to selling weapons to Iran, the banks facilitating any sale of
weapons to Iran, and the companies shipping weapons."
Diplomacy will not stop Iran. Real pressure will.
With the new RSC strategy, the US and its allies have a real shot at taking down
the regime in Iran. That would indeed signal the success of economic "maximum
pressure."
Iran is dedicated not only to the destruction of Israel but also to the
elimination of US influence and presence in the greater Middle East. Photo:
Iran's Supreme Guide, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
The Republican Study Committee (RSC) in the House of Representatives, proposed
on June 10, 2020, an unprecedentedly strong new Iran policy. The package of
proposed legislation would end all Iranian waivers, snap-back economic sanctions
in place prior to the Iran nuclear deal, and set severe economic penalties on
those seeking to sell advanced weaponry to Iran.
The new GOP plan also advocates that Congress impose further new sanctions on
"Iran's petrochemical, shipping, financial, construction and automotive
sectors." Legislation would also target "Iran's human rights violations and
regional aggression, including in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen. And it
suggests sanctioning the Instrument in Support of Trade Exchanges (INSTEX), a
European mechanism that the United States has criticized as a way to evade US
sanctions on Iran."
It is true since the United States in 2018 ended its support for the 2015
nuclear deal with Iran, (known as the Joint Comprehensive Program of Action (JCPOA)),
it adopted a policy of "maximum economic pressure."
The hope was that such a policy would stop Iran from: (1) building nuclear
weapons, (2) arming terrorists, (3) fielding ballistic missiles, and (4)
expanding illicit business with Europe, Russia, China, Iraq and Venezuela.
Illicit business would include both the purchase of advanced military weapons
and the export of crude oil and electricity.
While the policy had some important aspects, there were, regrettably, extensive
loopholes.
The diplomats at the State Department wanted training funds for Lebanon's
military, so a waiver was granted, despite the circumstance that Iran's proxy,
Hezbollah, now effectively controls much of the country.
The US Treasury Department, apparently hoping to secure European favor, waived
sanctions to allow European nuclear reactor technology cooperative work with
Iran.
The US Administration economists, evidently wishing to help Iraq, waived
restrictions and gave the green light to Iran to sell $800 million in
electricity to Iraq.
Unfortunately, even under existing sanctions, Iran was already expanding its
nuclear weapons fuel project -- producing 400% of the allowable material --
supporting Hezbollah with new smuggling technologies, such as miniature
submarines that can carry even more drugs more quickly in America's own South
American backyard, selling crude oil to Venezuela, and arming and financing
proxy terror groups.
Giving Iran waivers would hardly make things better.
If the UN arms embargo on Iran expires in October, the threat from Iran could
worsen exponentially as Russia and China could sell Iran some most deadly new
military weaponry.
What then are the prospects for the new strategy being adopted by Congress?
As Adam Kredo of the Washington Free Beacon has explained, the Congress may
indeed adopt the new strategy through passage of a series of bills. Even some
senior Democrats may support the plan. These include Sen. Robert Menendez (D.,
N.J.), Rep. Ted Deutch (D., Fla.), and Rep. Eliot Engel (D., N.Y.), all of whom
had expressed concerns about the 2015 Iran nuclear deal and Tehran's regional
ambitions. Key to their thinking seems to be that Iran without question
regularly cheats on the nuclear deal.
The real problem may not be in Congress but with the waiver enthusiasts within
the administration: they may try to derail the new push to universally crackdown
on Iran as outlined here, and however inadvertently, again let Iran off the hook
for its illegal nuclear work and support for terrorism.
One can understand the brief for diplomacy and a negotiated deal with Iran, but
as Israel has shown the world, one does not negotiate deals with Iran and the
Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). They -- along with a number of other
countries with which the US seems to wish it could negotiate – simply do not
keep up their end of any bargain.
Israel has battled the IRGC in Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq, while having to bomb
secretive Iraqi and Syrian nuclear reactors.
There are lessons here.
Iran is dedicated not only to the destruction of Israel but also to the
elimination of US influence and presence in the greater Middle East.
Diplomacy will not stop Iran. Real pressure will.
The RSC policy proposal has learned such lessons and "includes more than 140 new
initiatives." According to the RSC Chairman, Rep. Mike Johnson (R-LA), and the
Task Force Chairman Rep. Joe Wilson (R-SC), the Iran proposals include "the
toughest sanctions that have ever been proposed by Congress on Iran."
Given that Iran remains in wholesale violation of the 2015 nuclear agreement,
continues to support terror groups in Syria, Yemen, Lebanon, Iraq and
Afghanistan and is building the largest inventory of ballistic missiles in the
entirety of the Middle East, one expert who welcomed the House effort told this
author that Iran for too long has wriggled free of sanctions. The new strategy
closes all the loopholes and augments the administration's maximum pressure
campaign, giving the free world a real shot at ending Iran's threats to its
interests.
In an unprecedented but welcome manner, the RSC bill would for the first time
place "new sanctions on the arms industries of countries like Russia and China
that return to selling weapons to Iran, the banks facilitating any sale of
weapons to Iran, and the companies shipping weapons."
Finally, under the GOP's new plan, a key provision bars any administration from
lifting sanctions without getting approval from Congress, which would help
cement this sanctions law remaining in place as long as necessary.
With the new RSC strategy, the US and its allies have a real shot at taking down
the regime in Iran. That would indeed signal the success of economic "maximum
pressure."
Peter Huessy is Director of Strategic Deterrent Studies at the Mitchell
Institute. He is also senior consulting analyst at Ravenna Associates, a
strategic communications company.
© 2020 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Raymond Stock on Countering Russia's Increasing Involvement in Egypt
Marilyn Stern/Middle East Forum Radio/June 13/2020
https://www.meforum.org/61096/raymond-stock-on-russias-involvement-in-egypt
Audio Recording
Raymond Stock, a Middle East Forum Writing Fellow and instructor of Arabic at
Louisiana State University, spoke to Middle East Forum Radio host Gregg Roman on
June 3 about the warming of Russian-Egyptian relations.
Russian-Egyptian relations were moribund for four decades after Cairo abruptly
switched its Cold War allegiance from the Soviet Union to the U.S. in the 1970s,
after which Egypt became the world's second-largest non-NATO recipient of U.S.
military aid (after Israel).
According to Stock, Russia saw an "opportune moment" to regain a foothold in
Egypt in 2013 following the Obama administration's suspension of military aid to
Egypt in response to the ouster of then-president Mohammed Morsi by the
country's military following mass protests against his Islamist-led government.
Although the suspension was temporary, both the Obama and Trump administrations
have at times withheld portions of the roughly $1.3 billion in annual military
aid the U.S. provides Egypt to pressure Morsi's successor, Abdel Fattah al-Sisi,
on his human rights record. Russia, on the other hand, "was the first to
congratulate" Sisi after he was elected president in 2014.
The Russians were quick to exploit the opening with Sisi, and the Egyptians have
been eager to purchase Russian arms – most recently a $2 billion dollar deal for
advanced Su-35 fighter jets – in violation of American sanctions on Russia's
defense industry. Several factors are at play here.
First, Sisi and the masses of Egyptians who support him see American suspensions
of aid as "interfering in Egypt's sovereignty" and "don't view the U.S. as a
reliable ally," said Stock. Russian arms, though mostly purchased rather than
granted outright, have no clear political strings attached.
Second, Egyptians complain that the U.S. is not providing the kind of military
hardware required to meet their security needs. "Living in a dangerous
neighborhood," chief among Egypt's concerns are the need to "project power
against jihadi groups," counter the threat to Egypt's water resources posed by
the building of the Greater Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), and match the
military power of Israel. While Egypt and Israel have close security
cooperation, particularly in fighting jihadi groups in Sinai, popular opinion in
Egypt does not see Israel as a friend. "Egyptian society as a whole has been so
propagandized over the years against Israel," said Stock, "[that] it will take
generations for a warm peace that they cannot bring themselves to at present."
Egyptians "don't view the U.S. as a reliable ally."
Third, Russia has skillfully exploited Egypt's water insecurity and energy
vulnerabilities. In addition to helping Egypt prepare militarily for "any
contingencies" should a "water war" erupt with Ethiopia in the future, the
Russians are building a $28.75 billion nuclear power plant on the northwest
coast of Egypt.
Sisi's justification for building the nuclear plant, which will leave Egypt
heavily in debt to Russia, is ostensibly to solve the country's long-term energy
consumption needs, but Stock noted that nuclear advancement is a matter of
"pride and prestige" for many Egyptians because of Israel's (unofficial)
possession of nuclear weapons. The plant "offers an opportunity" for Egypt to
start a uranium enrichment program, "a first step towards a nuclear weapons
program" which is of great concern to the West.
With the U.S. seeking to disengage from the Middle East and Russia expanding its
presence in the region, stopping Egypt's gravitation into Russia's orbit won't
be easy. U.S. policymakers who want to counter Russian influence in Egypt are
hampered by the "amount of repression under the Sisi regime," which they cannot
easily ignore. But aid conditionality can be paired with greater positive
incentives. "We need to enhance our carrot and stick approach" when evaluating
our criteria for aid to Egypt, said Stock, "otherwise, Egypt is going to
disappear from our roster of allies."
*Marilyn Stern is the producer of Middle East Forum Radio.
Bibi's Brilliant Annexation Bluff?
Matthew Mainen/JNS/June 13/2020
I came out swinging last month in favor of Israel declaring sovereignty over
parts of Judea and Samaria. My position has evolved. Specifically, I am starting
to think that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu doesn't plan on
immediate, large-scale annexation, but instead has modified his gevalt strategy
for the realm of international relations. If I'm right, then well-played, Bibi,
well-played.
In domestic politics, Netanyahu has proven a master bluffer, convincing the
Israeli public time and again that the Likud Party faces imminent electoral
onslaught that can only be curbed by voting Likud instead of smaller right-wing
parties. Here, the bluffed "catastrophe" is Israel taking drastic and unilateral
actions counter to the flawed consensus on resolving the Palestinian-Israeli
conflict.
By making the world believe that he's serious about annexing vast portions of
the West Bank—the Jordan Valley included—Israel has acquired unprecedented
leverage as it seeks normalized relations with Arab countries and European
acceptance that the settlements are here to stay.
By making the world believe annexation is imminent, Israel has acquired
unprecedented leverage.
I proposed annexation when the world was on lockdown and preoccupied with
combating COVID-19. In an idealized execution of my proposal, Israel would have
quietly annexed territory while governments were still scrambling to contain a
global health crisis. When all was said and done, annexation would have been
long said and done. That window of opportunity has closed, and the international
community's fixation on Israel has predictably re-emerged.
Under today's conditions, annexation might not be the smartest move, especially
considering the alternative of inviting the Palestinians back to the negotiation
table and letting them reject compromise for the millionth time, all the while
spending what could be (and hopefully aren't) the final months of the Trump
administration building settlements on every last square inch desired for
eventual acquisition.
A Gulf Arab diplomat put it best: "Why doesn't Israel let the clock run?"
A Gulf Arab diplomat put it best: "Why doesn't Israel let the clock run and show
that [Palestinian Authority leader Mahmoud] Abbas isn't serious about peace. To
pursue annexation will shift all the focus to Israel, which will be subject to
global condemnation."
As aptly posed by Joel Rosenberg, who interviewed that diplomat, it's "the
settlements or the Saudis?"
The wisest course of action is the Saudis today while temporarily leaving the
settlements in legal limbo (but still building vigorously) for a little longer.
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the de facto leader of the Gulf monarchy, has
made clear that his patience with the Palestinians has worn thin. If Israel can
secure a commitment that the Saudis will not oppose annexation when the
Palestinians refuse to accept a peace deal in a reasonable period of time, then
it makes sense to pause on annexation.
Now is the time for Israel to consider cashing in on the leverage it has built
over the past several months by making the world believe that massive annexation
is imminent. In exchange for agreeing to slow the pace—something the Trump
administration has already hinted it deems desirable—Israel should request
immediate diplomatic recognition from the Arab Gulf.
UAE Ambassador to the US Yousef Al Otaiba implored Netanyahu to back away from
annexation in a June 12 op-ed in Yediot Achronot.
The United Arab Emirates' ambassador to the United States wrote op-ed on June 12
that was published in Yediot Achronot, Israel's most circulated Hebrew
newspaper, imploring Netanyahu to back away from annexation. Israel should
invite him, along with the Emirs of Dubai and Abu Dhabi, to make their case to
the Israeli people in person, just as Egyptian President Anwar Sadat did in
1977.
Establishing formal ties should not be done quietly, and doing so out in the
open, with the United States taking lead as the mediator, would be a smart move.
Trump, a key proponent of Israeli-Gulf relations, could use a major diplomatic
victory as he faces a tough re-election campaign, and the Israeli-Gulf alliance
could use another four years of Trump.
Both know that a return to the Obama administration's Mideast policy, an
inevitability if Joe Biden becomes president, will be a return to appeasing Iran
at the expense of regional security.
Looking beyond the Gulf, Netanyahu deserves credit for getting Europe to nearly
forget about its previous favorite boogeyman of Jews building homes on disputed
soil. If Israel is to back away from formally incorporating all settlements, it
should demand concessions such as a commitment from E.U. members to abstain on
all resolutions related to Israel at the United Nations; a tangible plan to
alter its discriminatory product-labeling for settlement goods; and a review of
aid to the Palestinians that perpetually reaches the hands of
terrorist-affiliated entities. Like in the Gulf, European perspectives on Israel
are gradually shifting. Civilizationists, those fighting leftist attempts to
erode European culture by rubbing their noses in diversity, have gained an
irreversible foothold in European politics. Already, Israel has learned that it
can rely on fellow nationalist governments like Hungary and Austria to oppose
unfriendly E.U. action.
Just as Israel should exercise prudence in not placing undue pressure on its
Gulf allies, so, too, should Israel make life easy for its European allies.
With the most recent reports suggesting that the Israeli prime minister will, at
most, stick to annexing only the large settlement suburbs near Jerusalem, it
would be wise to continue the facade of grander annexation in the background.
When others prove willing to compromise, Israel will as well.
*Matthew Mainen is a Washington-resident fellow at the Middle East Forum and
graduate of Stanford Law School. Follow him on Twitter.
China Takes Over Hong Kong: EU Shrugs
Giulio Meotti/Gatestone Institute/June 13/2020
"Germany is leading the whole Europe, they're so ambitious, they want to be
leader but morally they are so collapsed." — Ai Weiwei, artist, La Repubblica,
June 1, 2020
"China is a predator and Europe is its prey". — François Heisbourg, French
scholar, Le Figaro, May 29, 2020.
There is no mediation with Chinese imperialism.
"Why die for Hong Kong?", the Europeans shortsightedly seem to say today.
During the last year of protests, Hong Kong's demonstrators have waved the
American flag. China well knows the meaning of that small outpost on its
doorstep, with its freedom of speech and rule of law. Have you seen the European
flag being waved in Hong Kong? No, and with good reason.
During the last year of protests, Hong Kong's demonstrators have waved the
American flag. China well knows the meaning of that small outpost on its
doorstep, with its freedom of speech and rule of law. Have you seen the European
flag being waved in Hong Kong? No, and with good reason. Pictured: Protesters,
many waving American flags, attend a pro-democracy rally in Hong Kong on October
14, 2019.
In the aftermath of China's approval of a new national security law for Hong
Kong, which de facto ends the autonomy of the former British colony guaranteed
by an international treaty, two Anglo-Saxon democracies immediately protested
very loudly.
The United States and the United Kingdom tried to convene a meeting of the UN
Security Council to deal with the matter (China prevented it). Then the
governments of the United States, Britain, Australia and Canada released a joint
statement stressing that the international community has a lasting interest in
the stability and autonomy of Hong Kong. The UK even announced that it will
extend to more than three million residents of Hong Kong a renewable one-year
visa and the eventual possibility of obtaining British citizenship. US Secretary
of State Mike Pompeo raised the possibility of canceling the privileged
commercial status that the US has so far given to Hong Kong, and President
Donald Trump announced sanctions against Chinese leaders responsible for
introducing the national security law in Hong Kong.
The last British governor of Hong Kong, Chris Patten, said that China had
"betrayed" Hong Kong. True, the Chinese regime has forsaken the commitment laid
down in the treaty. But a greater betrayal is from Europe. What did the EU do on
Hong Kong? Nothing. It is simply allowing China to overpower and crush its last
bastion of freedom.
The EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs, Josep Borrell, ruled out
sanctions against China for initiating the new Hong Kong law. "The EU's decision
not to use its leverage as the world's biggest trade bloc comes in stark
contrast to the U.S., which is threatening trade measures if Beijing proceeds
with imposing national security laws", Politico related.
The French Foreign Minister, Jean-Yves Le Drian, at a hearing in the country's
Senate, announced that Europe must not get carried away in a clash between US
and China, and that "a new cold war" must be avoided. "A policy aimed at
isolating China is not in Germany's or Europe's interests", noted Norbert
Röttgen, chair of the Foreign Affairs Committee in German parliament.
These Europeans are implicitly saying that, as with turning over
Czechoslovakia's Sudetenland to Nazi Germany roughly 80 years ago, that
sacrificing Hong Kong is necessary to protect its investments in China. "At the
end of the day, I fear that the economic relationship with China is just too
important", a European diplomat confessed.
Europe's self-censorship over China is grotesque. Brussels already rewrote a
report criticizing China for its handling of the coronavirus. To Jonathan
Holslag, a Belgian professor of international politics, the crisis is just
another indicator of the continued weakening of an opportunistic Europe in the
face of a rising China. Nicole Gnesotto, who holds the EU chair at the National
Conservatory of Arts and Crafts, remarked: "Europe is immature: is it a
childhood disease that will pass, or a genetic disease?".
"I very much hope Angela Merkel doesn't sacrifice Germany's fundamental values
to support the economy and appease China", Joshua Wong, Hong Kong's heroic
activist, said. "Being dependent on China will sooner or later do Germany
serious harm".
Last year, China fumed over the meeting between Wong and Germany's foreign
minister. Now that China has driven the final nail in the coffin of Hong Kong,
Germany appeased Beijing and said that it wanted to "mediate" between China and
US over Hong Kong. But there is no mediation with Chinese imperialism.
The Chinese artist and dissident Ai Weiwei attacked German appeasement:
"France, England, especially Germany is the most dark, tricky one, they
[Germany] also have a great strategic discipline, they're so identified with an
authoritarian state, in their blood they have this, they love China so much, you
can see all those [German] politicians, they go to China more than they go to
see their grandma. Germany is leading the whole Europe, they're so ambitious,
they want to be leader but morally they are so collapsed. It's so fake in
Germany. That's why the European family don't trust Germany. They want to break
away it because the Germans get the most benefits from China. German industrial
leaders officially announced that German future belongs to China. German banks,
German technology, they're really supporting this so well. And you can never see
German leaders criticize China openly, even during this virus crisis, but you
can say the same of every European nation. I am really worried. The West is
going down so fast because doesn't uphold its beliefs".
Europe is deluding itself on China. As the French scholar François Heisbourg
noted, "China is a predator and Europe is its prey".
"Around the world, voices have been raised in support of Hong Kong's brave
pro-democracy demonstrators", US author George Weigel wrote. "Has the Holy See's
voice been heard? If so, I missed it and so did many others".
The EU and the Vatican have stayed silent about China's takeover of Hong Kong.
Criticism also came from Hong Kong's bishop, Joseph Zen: "I'm sorry to say that
we have nothing to expect from the Vatican. In these past few years, they have
never said anything to reproach China for their persecution". They have
"surrendered the Church to the Chinese authority".
The journal Civiltà Cattolica, edited by Jesuits and is reviewed by the Vatican
before publication, just launched a new Chinese edition. According to Vatican
expert John L. Allen Jr., it is the proof of a "Vatican 'all in' on Chinese
courtship". The Vatican's pact with China seems to have bought the Holy See's
silence at the expense not only of millions of Catholics, but also of Hong Kong.
"We are at the end of a long process of surrender", Cardinal Zen concluded.
Thanks to the alliance of democracies around the United States, the containment
strategy, and the struggle for values that allowed the delegitimization of the
lies and terror that served as a cement to Soviet communism, the West managed to
defeat the Soviet Empire and cause its collapse from within. The West today has
all the resources it needs to stop Communist Chinese imperialism. The only thing
missing is Europe's will to defend itself. There is still time to avoid the
fatal mistake of the 1930s, when Europe's democracies were torn apart by
abasement in front of the rise of totalitarianism. Europe needs to wake up and
counter China.
Tibet's spiritual leader, the Dalai Lama, also urged Europe not to appease
China: "During Chamberlain, just before the Second World War, too much
appeasement failed", he said, referring to the misguided attempt of British
Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain to reach an accommodation with Hitler's
Germany in the 1930s. As Churchill wrote to Chamberlain, "You were given the
choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour and you will have war".
"Why die for Danzig?", asked the French pacifist Marcel Déat in 1939. He meant
that the fate of the city of Danzig was not worth a confrontation. He argued in
favor of appeasement with Nazi Germany, which demanded to annex the
semi-autonomous Free City of Danzig.
"Why die for Hong Kong?", the Europeans now seem to say.
During the last year of protests, Hong Kong's demonstrators have waved the
American flag. China well knows the meaning of that small outpost on its
doorstep that refuses to yield, with its freedom of speech, rule of law and
religious freedom unthinkable in mainland China.
Have you seen the European flag being waved in Hong Kong? No, and for good
reason.
*Giulio Meotti, Cultural Editor for Il Foglio, is an Italian journalist and
author.
© 2020 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Erdogan’s bewildering character
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Arab News/June 13/2020
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has become a prominent figure in the
region’s politics because of his involvement in the area’s problems and wars.
Most Arabs have gradually become aware of his true identity, previously hidden
by the propaganda spread by his allies, the extremist Islamist groups that moved
to Turkey to live under his protection.
At one time Erdogan was welcomed in Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, Cairo, Kuwait and
Tunisia. However, now most capitals have shunned him, as his name has become
inextricably linked to the region’s problems.
Furthermore, under his leadership Turkey is now facing a dire economic
situation; while he incessantly promotes himself and his heroism, including the
funding of films and TV series about leaders he believes reflect his own image,
such as “Ertugrul” and a movie about the Ottoman Empire.
Erdogan has ruled Turkey since 2003. During those 17 years, he carried out
arbitrary constitutional changes to ensure he remains in power. In my opinion,
he will do anything he can to maintain his leadership position for the next
decade, because he knows that if deposed he would be held accountable for his
abuses of power and corruption.
This is why he is already working on winning the 2023 election, so that he can
remain in power for a further five years. If he is successful, then by the end
of that term he will be 74 years old, and once again do whatever he can to cling
to power — or, failing that, bequeath it to a chosen successor. Thus, when he
eventually does leave the presidential palace for the final time it will be only
to his grave. Otherwise, his many opponents will be waiting for him.
Erdogan is extremely unpopular among Turkish youth because of his fanatical,
insular approach.
Indeed, Erdogan has not build a solid, sustainable system of government. Rather,
he is in a similar mold to Saddam Hussein or Muammar Qaddafi in that his power
is based primarily on a strong personality. As a result, when he is gone the
frameworks and policies he had established will collapse. Contrast this with the
rule of Ali Khamenei in Iran, where there is an ideological system in place
which will continue regardless of the identities of the supreme leader or the
president.
Erdogan has been in conflict with almost everyone involved in Turkish politics,
including party comrades and pillars of his government. Many have spoken out
against him and threatened retribution. This is why he is now mostly surrounded
by relatives and employees. He got rid of all those he relied on while climbing
the political ladder during the past two decades to gain, and then hold on to,
power. Most notable among them is Fethullah Gulen, a religious leader, who
Erdogan accused of masterminding the failed July 2016 coup against him, in spite
of all the facts that proved otherwise. The reason for the hostility was that
Gulen began to disagree with him, criticize him on many issues, and talk about
the corruption of Erdogan’s family members, especially with regards to gold
sales to Iran and other countries. The coup, if there ever was one, would have
been directed by a military establishment that has also turned against him.
In the space of two years, Erdogan arrested and imprisoned more than 150,000
people, including judges, university professors, army and police officers, and
journalists. He also reorganized the security services, closed more than 200
media outlets and, in 2014, blocked social media and messaging sites such as
Twitter, WhatsApp and Facebook, among others, after messages spread on the
platforms about his family’s involvement in the gold sales. The blocking
attempts continued for years.
So, when Erdogan departs the political scene, he will not be succeeded by
someone similar. For this reason, I disagree with those who say he is trying to
revive the Ottoman caliphate — he is too small for that task, and the Ottoman
empire is gone for ever. No one in Turkey would be prepared to preserve his
legacy, not least because he is extremely unpopular among Turkish youth, who
dislike his fanatical and insular approach.
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed is a veteran columnist. He is the former general manager
of Al-Arabiya news channel, and former editor-in-chief of Asharq Al-Awsat.
Twitter: @aalrashed
Daesh’s reappearance puts fragility of Iraq and Syria in focus
Paul Iddon/Arab News/June 13/2020
IRBIL, Iraqi Kurdistan: An uptick in attacks in Iraq by suspected Daesh
militants since the beginning of this year is stoking fears that the militant
outfit is regrouping and could again threaten the country’s stability.
On May 28, Daesh spokesperson Abu Hamza Al-Qurayshi released a recording on the
messaging app Telegram, saying that the terror group’s fighters will “start to
increase their attacks against the Crusaders since the US has withdrawn from
Iraq.”
“Greater punishment against Crusaders is coming once the caliphate achieves the
victory and is established once again,” Al-Qurayshi said, according to the Iraqi
Kurdish news agency Rudaw.
Earlier in May, hundreds of acres of wheat and barley cropland in Iraq’s
disputed Kirkuk province went up in flames.
Daesh claimed responsibility for some of the fires. Around the same time, it
released a propaganda video vowing to free fellow members from Iraqi jails.
Since 2017, Daesh has taken advantage of security gaps in disputed regions
between Iraq and the autonomous Kurdistan region, terrorizing and extorting
locals, and mounting hit-and-run attacks against Iraqi and Kurdish forces.
Citing the US Central Command, the most recent Pentagon Inspector General
report, which covers the period from Jan. 1 to March 31, warned that Daesh is
“regrouping and reforming” in the mountains of Makhmur in northern Iraq, which
is inside the disputed territories between Iraq and the Kurdistan region.
Since 2017, Daesh has taken advantage of security gaps in disputed regions
between Iraq and the autonomous Kurdistan region, terrorizing and extorting
locals, and mounting hit-and-run attacks against Iraqi and Kurdish forces. (Alamy)
According to the report, the US also expects Daesh “to seek to re-establish
governance in northern and western areas of Iraq.”
On May 17 the Iraqi military launched an operation to force Daesh out of its
sanctuaries. However, if past efforts of this kind are any indication, it is
unlikely to inflict long-lasting damage on the group.
Since 2017, Daesh has reverted to the role of lethal non-state actor — as it was
before it conquered one-third of northern Iraq in June 2014 and declared the
establishment of a “caliphate.”
“Daesh has posed a threat to Iraq, in its various forms, since 2003 and will
continue to do so for the foreseeable future,” Michael Knights, a military and
security affairs specialist at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy,
told Arab News.
“It is now part of the Iraqi landscape, like a resilient weed or virus.”
Since 2017, Daesh has taken advantage of security gaps in disputed regions
between Iraq and the autonomous Kurdistan region, terrorizing and extorting
locals, and mounting hit-and-run attacks against Iraqi and Kurdish forces. (Alamy)
Knights and Alex Almeida, who monitor Daesh’s activities, have detected a 13
percent increase in the militants’ attacks in Iraq this year over the previous
year — at least 566 in the first three months of 2020, compared with 1,669
during the entire 2019.
According to Knights, Daesh is again using strategies that worked in the past,
including jailbreaks and extorting farmers by threatening to burn their crops.
“In terms of attack metrics, Daesh is back to 2012 levels, but is still only a
third of 2013 levels, and it will take more than a year of growth at the current
rate to reach 2013 levels of attacks,” he said.
“Also, the insurgency is different at a qualitative level. Today’s Daesh is not
really present in the cities, and so far they have turned away from
mass-casualty attacks on civilians.”
Nevertheless, the group still poses a threat after transferring its strength
from Syria back into Iraq over the past 12-18 months.