English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese,
Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For December 31/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/eliasnews19/english.december31.20.htm
News Bulletin Achieves Since
2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006
Bible Quotations For today
Beware of false prophets, who come to you in sheep’s
clothing but inwardly are ravenous wolves.
Matthew 07/13-27: “‘Enter through the narrow gate; for the
gate is wide and the road is easy that leads to destruction, and there are many
who take it. For the gate is narrow and the road is hard that leads to life, and
there are few who find it. ‘Beware of false prophets, who come to you in sheep’s
clothing but inwardly are ravenous wolves. You will know them by their fruits.
Are grapes gathered from thorns, or figs from thistles? In the same way, every
good tree bears good fruit, but the bad tree bears bad fruit. A good tree cannot
bear bad fruit, nor can a bad tree bear good fruit. Every tree that does not
bear good fruit is cut down and thrown into the fire. Thus you will know them by
their fruits. ‘Not everyone who says to me, “Lord, Lord”, will enter the kingdom
of heaven, but only one who does the will of my Father in heaven. On that day
many will say to me, “Lord, Lord, did we not prophesy in your name, and cast out
demons in your name, and do many deeds of power in your name? ” Then I will
declare to them, “I never knew you; go away from me, you evildoers.” ‘Everyone
then who hears these words of mine and acts on them will be like a wise man who
built his house on rock. The rain fell, the floods came, and the winds blew and
beat on that house, but it did not fall, because it had been founded on rock.
And everyone who hears these words of mine and does not act on them will be like
a foolish man who built his house on sand. The rain fell, and the floods came,
and the winds blew and beat against that house, and it fell and great was its
fall!’
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published on December 30-31/2020
Ministry of Health: 2878 new coronavirus cases, 13 deaths
President Aoun meets Lebanese Democratic Party Chairman, ministers Musharrafiya
and al-Gharib, delegation of expatriate doctors in Australia
Ibrahim vists Rahi, confirms security situation 'under control'
Diab: We are fearful of reaching Italian Covid-19 model, but working to avert
risk
Parents of students abroad close main entrance of bank in Hamra Street
US dollar exchange rate: Buying price at LBP 3850, selling price at LBP 3900
Report: Hizbullah’s Financial Institution Hacked, Party 'Perplexed'
Report: Rahi ‘Angry’ with Aoun, Hariri and Bassil
Diab Clarifies His Remarks about Ammonium Nitrate
Israeli Strikes Kill Syrian Soldier, Target Hizbullah Positions
Lebanese ICRC Spokeswoman Injured in Yemen Blasts
Heavy Shelling Heard from Inside Shebaa Farms
Lebanon set for muted NYE celebrations amid economic, health crises/Najat
Houssari/Arab News/December 30/2020
Lebanon’s racism is fanning the flames of violence towards Syrian refugees/Makram
Rabah/Al Arabiya/December 30/2020
How Lebanon’s President Michel Aoun is paving the way for son-in-law Bassil/Michael
Young/The National/December 30/2020
Titles For The
Latest
English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on
December 30-31/2020
27 dead, dozens wounded in deadly attack on Aden airport
Cowardly’ Aden airport attack draws regional, global condemnation
Israeli FM Quits Gantz's Blue and White Party
Former Israeli spy in US arrives in Tel Aviv, greeted with prayer and passport
Iran allocates $150,000 for families of each victim of downed Ukraine plane
US sends new warning to Iran with bomber mission over Gulf
Turkey, US in talks to form joint working group on S-400s, sanctions: Minister
Syria's Regime Auctions off Land of the Displaced
Potential sale of US smart bombs to Saudi Arabia gets approval
Qatar Emir Invited to Gulf Summit amid Diplomatic Row
UK parliament approves Brexit trade deal as both sides look to future
Afghan Troops, Police Abandon nearly 200 Checkpoints to Taliban
Baghdad’s currency devaluation lifts lid on Iran’s exploitation of Iraqi
resources
Egypt achieves self-sufficiency in rice in 2020 with 6.5 mln tons: Cabinet
Wuhan Virus Cases May be 10 Times Higher than Reported, China Health Study Says
Titles For The Latest The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on December 30-31/2020
It is not the act that defines terrorism for most Americans
but the appearance of the perpetrator/Ray Hanania/Arab News/December 30/2020
With his post-Brexit trip to India, UK PM Boris Johnson aims to send a statement
of intent/Andrew Hammond/Arab News/December 30/2020
How to expand the China-GCC strategic partnership/Abdel Aziz Aluwaisheg/Arab
News/December 30/2020
Syrian conflict needs attention after being put on the backburner/Kareem Shaheen/The
National/December 30/2020
China Using Covid to Overtake America's Economy/Gordon G. Chang/ Gatestone
Institute/December 30/ 2020
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on December 30-31/2020
Ministry of Health: 2878 new coronavirus cases, 13 deaths
NNA/December 30/2020
The Ministry of Public Health announced 2878 new cases of coronavirus infection,
which raises the cumulative number of confirmed cases to 177,996.
13 deaths have been recorded over the past 24 hours.
President Aoun meets Lebanese Democratic Party Chairman,
ministers Musharrafiya and al-Gharib, delegation of expatriate doctors in
Australia
NNA/December 30/2020
Lebanese Democratic Party Chairman, MP Mir Talal Arslan, quoted the President of
the Republic, General Michel Aoun, of his keenness on the serious approach to
complete the formation of the upcoming government in the near future, taking
into account correct representation. Arslan stressed that “It is not
permissible, under any consideration, circumstance, or excuse that the Druze
community is being dealt with by diminishing its rights to gain private
interests for some at the expense of the general national interest, and that is
based on our conviction that this country is a country of diversity, unity and
common coexistence, and has privacy where no one can eliminate anyone in it”. MP
Arslan also considered that "all the approaches that some have tried to take on
the issue of the government are wrong, as if what is required is a specific
targeting of the Druze community."
The President had received MP Arslan, at the head of a delegation that included
Minister of Social Affairs and Tourism in the caretaker government, Ramzi
Musharrafieh, and former Minister Saleh al-Gharib, today at the Presidential
Palace.
The meeting tackled latest local developments, especially those related to the
issue of forming the future government.
MP Arslan statement:
After the meeting, MP Arslan made the following statement to the journalists:
“On the occasion of the honorable holidays, we must first visit His Excellency
the President of the Republic General Michel Aoun to congratulate him on
Christmas and New Year's Day, wishing that Lebanon, in the coming year, will be
in better conditions and oriented according to the correct and constitutional
frameworks that should prevail in every aspect and approach.
The second reason for the visit is that we informed His Excellency the
President, of our view in approaching the government issue that is being
discussed, and our absolute rejection, under any excuse or unconvincing
argument, of the government of 18 ministers, which means prejudice, injustice
and an infringement of the rights of a basic sect in Lebanon Hence, it is not
permissible under any consideration, circumstance, or excuse to deal with the
Druze community against the background of diminishing its rights to gain special
interests for some at the expense of the general national interest, and that is
based on our conviction that this country is a country of diversity, unity and
common living, and it has a specificity where no one can cancel anyone in it.
All the approaches that some have tried to approach with the issue of the
government are wrong, as if what is required is a specific targeting of the
Druze community.
To clarify, I say that when the PM-designate set out, he started with the 14th
government, and ascended to the 18th government, surpassing the 16th government,
because in the 16th government the Druze are equitable in representation, and
from 18 to 20 the Druze are treated fairly on the basis of equality in rights
and duties. But we saw that the situation is going towards a complete disregard
for this issue, so we would like to inform His Excellency the President directly
of this position, which we had issued clear and frank about a week ago, bearing
in mind that no one is called to make it a major issue, as if the 18 and 20th
formation will ruin the country, while trying to portray the matter as
overstepping the deadline and time and manipulating them.
From 18 to 20, the number increases with only two ministers: one is Druze, and
the other is from our brothers in the Catholic community, and therefore this
increase will support the government, which we hope will be formed at the
earliest opportunity, taking into account the correct representation in it”.
The President also met a delegation of expatriate doctors in Australia, in the
presence of MP Nabil Nicolas, who took the initiative to provide a mobile
hospital for dental treatment after the explosion that occurred in Beirut Port.
The hospital was placed at the disposal of the Faculty of Dentistry at the
Lebanese University. The delegation showed commitment of the Lebanese Diaspora
to help their resident brothers through initiatives that address various areas
of assistance.
For his part, President Aoun welcomed the delegation, appreciating the
initiative to provide a mobile hospital for dental treatment, and commended
Lebanese diaspora solidarity with the residing Lebanon in various circumstances,
especially after the explosion in the port. President Aoun also stressed that
the Lebanese diaspora is a wealth of Lebanon, pointing to the laws that were
approved during his era to maintain communication between expatriates and
residents, especially the law of restoring nationality and enabling expatriates
to vote in the parliamentary elections and other measures which shortened the
distance between resident Lebanon and widespread Lebanon.
The delegation included: Fadi Abu Zaid, Mai Abu Zaid, Joel Abu Zaid, Jawad Abu
Zaid, Elsa Abu Zaid, Mary May Abu Zaid, Therese Abu Rahal, and Rami Abu Zaid.—Presidency
Press Office
Ibrahim vists Rahi, confirms security situation 'under
control'
NNA/December 30/2020
Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Mar Bechara Boutros Rahi, on Wednesday welcomed
General Security Chief, General Abbas Ibrahim, who affirmed after the meeting
that the security situation in Lebanon was under control.
"It is true that the country's security situation is influenced by politics, but
as security apparatuses, especially the Lebanese army, we are working on
absolute control of security. The nation's dire social situation will in no
doubt affect the country's security, but I do not think it will end in chaos,"
he added.
Regarding the possibility of terrorist groups taking advantage of the grim
situation in Lebanon, General Ibrahim said that the problem was not a question
of terrorism, but rather a question of poverty. "We should, therefore, not be
surprised if people take to the streets," he warned, but stressed that "the
situation will remain under control."Regarding the mediation that he leads
between the Maronite Patriarch and the French President and the possibility of
his success, Ibrahim said, "As the Cardinal said, there is always hope, and
movement is always a sign of blessing. He plays the most important role in this,
and we count on what he does to achieve satisfactory results." Rahi also
welcomed on Wednesday Caretaker Minister of Environment and Caretaker Minister
of State for Administrative Development, Demianos Kattar, with whom he discussed
the general situation and the strategic and historical role of the patriarchal
seat.
Diab: We are fearful of reaching Italian Covid-19 model,
but working to avert risk
NNA/December 30/2020
Caretaker Prime Minister, Hassan Diab, on Wednesday said in a press briefing,
that travelers arriving in Lebanon are contributing to the spread of the
coronavirus pandemic, but the main problem is internal due to the lack of
citizens' commitment to the required preventive measures such as wearing a mask
and observing social distancing. Premier Diab pointed out that key risk
indicators are the death rate among infected people; the death rate is still low
compared to other countries, as well as the number of intensive care beds
available for corona patients. Diab said that we were in a race against time;
that is why we recently imposed a two-week nationwide lockdown, during which we
were able to increase the number of beds in public and private hospitals. We are
fearful of reaching the Italian model, where corona patients won’t find a
hospital bed; therefore we are working to avert this risk.
In response to a question about the possibility of returning to the lockdown
after the holidays, PM Diab said: “I said and repeat, if we see non-compliance
and a surge in infections, we will definitely go into full closure; but the
number of infected persons is acceptable to date. The most important thing is
the number of deaths and emergency cases that require intensive care. Lebanese
are fortunate that the youth account for the largest percentage of critical
cases, contrarily to Europe where the largest percentage is seen in elderly, and
this helps us. As for the risk of infection in schools, it does not pose a risk
and the infection rate is very low so far; the problem is that schools are not
equipped with a convenient infrastructure and lack teacher training to cope with
the corona crisis. We are waiting for the Ministry of Health’s technical
committee and committee of specialists’ meetings to provide us with the required
statistics. Next Monday, the inter-ministerial committee will convene to decide
on the lockdown-related issue”.
Regarding airport closure, Prime Minister Diab said: “We were among the first
countries to have closed the airport; expats infection rate is very low, and
Lebanon cannot be closed and isolated from abroad; there is also the economic
benefit to the country. However, in the event of a surge in infections arriving
from abroad, we may close the airport; we will act based on the statistics and
information generated by the specialized committees. We will take any decision
that serves the interest of the Lebanese, based on scientific and not political
grounds”.
Diab added: "I asked the Minister of the Interior to follow up on the incoming
infections, and so far we have only one case from the UK with the new strain.
The new Covid-19 strain is present in Europe since last September, and we cannot
close the country to European capitals, especially that there are students who
are visiting their families in Lebanon during the holidays. Thus, we developed a
plan for the safe return from abroad. The plan features strict procedures;
arriving passengers will have to undergo 3 PCR tests, one before boarding the
plane, a second one upon arrival at Beirut airport, with a three-day home
quarantine, then a third one to make sure that the traveler was not infected.
The surge in infections is mainly due community transmission as a result of
non-compliance; thus, I call on all Lebanese to abide by the necessary measures
for the sake of their family members’ safety, especially the elderly, and if we
commit now, as we did in February, March and April, we will definitely overcome
the second wave. ''
Regarding the lack of adequate laboratories that conduct tests to detect those
infected with the new strain, he replied: “There are laboratories, but
commitment is absolutely necessary; we cannot dispatch a policeman at the door
of every citizen; we have adopted strict procedures as the first line of
defense, followed by a home quarantine and then a third test to ensure that the
person was not infected".
In response to a question about the decision of the judicial investigating judge
in the port case, Fadi Sawan, and the position he will take in the event that
Sawan requests to question him further as defendant, Diab replied: “I refer to
the Constitution, which is above all and, and to Article 70, and if he wants to
charge me, he should send the file to the Parliament. I have full respect to the
judiciary and I was the first to have signed the judicial formations out of
respect for the judiciary and its independence”.
In response to a question about the request of Judge Sawan’s dismissal and the
appointment of another judge, he said: "I have not made such a request and I
will not interfere in the work of the judiciary; I did not inquire about this
issue, nor did I make any suggestion in this regard."
PM Diab asked, "Did any Lebanese know what" ammonium nitrate "means before
August 4?” “The first official report I received was on July 22. The reason for
not visiting the port was that I received three different pieces of information
within two hours on June 3. I was first informed by the security services, by
chance, that there was 2000 kilograms of TNT at the port. I immediately
requested to arrange a visit to the port; during the security preparations for
my visit, it became clear that there was different information from what I first
received. I was informed that it weighed 2,500 tons and not 2,000 kilos, and
that it was not "TNT" but "nitrate", which we did not know anything about. An
internet search revealed that the nitrate was a chemical fertilizer. The third
piece of information I received was that this substance has been in the port for
seven years and is not new. As long as the file is still under investigation and
that there are three different information, let the investigation be completed
and the file be send to me, and then I will visit the port with evidence in
hand. I received the report on July 22.
Suppose I visited the port on June 4 and inspected Hangar 12. I would have sent
a letter to the security officials who were already aware of the matter for
seven years. Does anyone know when and who made an opening in Hangar 12? The FBI
report revealed that the quantity that exploded was only 500 tons, so where did
the 2200 tons go? Who is the owner of the ship? How did it enter the port? Who
allowed it in? Who has been silent about that for so long? Are the security
services aware of that? We have convened 20 sessions of the Supreme Defense
Council this year, and none of the security officials raised the issue. I asked
the Secretary-General of the Supreme Defense Council, Major General Mahmoud Al-Asmar,
to look into the Council’s meeting minutes for the word "nitrate"; since 2014
until now, no one from the Supreme Defense Council has informed the President of
the Republic, in his capacity as head of the Council, about the existence of
these materials”.
Premier Diab added, "If I had a feeling that there was a danger in the port, I
would have spoken immediately with the President of the Republic, and I was not
to cover this crime that occurred in 2013. I usually receive dozens of official
security reports and 90 percent turn out to be incorrect."
PM Diab said: “I am deeply hurt. I came to fight corruption from Day 1 but was
deemed corrupt in the end because I did not visit the port.” I received the
report on July 22 and I immediately transferred it to relevant ministers. The
country was under a lockdown by virtue of the general mobilization decision due
to the coronavirus pandemic, and we had Eid al-Adha and Army Day. Is this a
deliberate act? There is something abnormal. I do not believe in coincidence. I
was the first one to have opened the door to Judge Sawan, and when Judge Ghassan
Oweidat called me and asked me, “Do you have an objection to meeting Judge Sawan
on Tuesday, i.e. in 5 days? I told him, let him come now; he came, and I told
him everything."
In response to a question about determining responsibilities after the blast, he
said: “I am not the Judiciary to determine the responsibilities. I fought to
transfer the case to the Judicial Council. I want to make it clear that the
investigation committee that I formed was an administrative investigation
committee and not a judicial committee, and it submitted recommendations to the
Council of Ministers; for this reason, I delayed the Cabinet resignation in
order to pass the following decisions: Firstly, we transferred the case from the
Military Court to the Justice Council, for this allows the affected people to
file lawsuits, and this is what happened. Secondly, we regarded the victims of
the port blast as Army martyrs in terms of compensation and benefits. Thirdly,
the LAF has distributed 100 billion LBP to the port blast’s victims (11300
households), in addition to 22,000 households through civil society
organizations. We have also made a decision that any first-class official who
would be arrested will be put at the disposal of the prime minister”.
As for activating the caretaker government, Premier Diab said: “On July 18, I
declared from the Patriarchal See that I will not resign because the political
divisions in Lebanon do not allow for the formation of another government, that
we may act in a caretaker capacity for a long time, and that this was a crime
against Lebanon, for the caretaker government cannot convene Cabinet sessions
and make decisions; nevertheless, when the port explosion took place, any
government in the world must resign out of a moral duty "
Regarding PM Diab's reception of Prime Minister Saad Hariri at the Grand Serail,
and the solidarity of former prime ministers and the Sunni community with him,
he declared, "I acted based on the Constitution and Article 70. I consider
myself as the prime minister of all Lebanese and I refer to the Constitution."
And whether PM Diab was fearful and anxious about what is being prepared for him
behind Judge Sawan’s decision, he said: “I am a believer and I am not weak but
strong because I am telling the truth. I am not coming from a political family,
and I do not want to be like this. I will not run for parliamentary elections;
if I am asked to head a parliamentary list, I will refuse to do so. I said in my
assignment speech that I consider myself strong because I don't want anything
for myself. "
On lifting subsidies, Premier Diab said: “I have taken a decisive position since
last July against lifting subsidies. As for the issue of rationing, it is
correct because the rich should not benefit from the subsidies that should only
target the needy. I asked the Central Bank’s governor to provide the amount
remaining at the bank for subsidies. According to media reports, we have two
billion dollars, which must suffice for at least six months pending other
solutions. The needy and poor citizen should be given priority, so the financing
card is essential. A decision must be shared by the caretaker government,
Parliament and the Central Bank of Lebanon. I sent a suggestion to the
parliament and I spoke with Speaker Nabih Berri. The suggestion will be
discussed in the joint committees, and I asked the ministers to fully cooperate
with the parliamentary committees to find the appropriate solution”.
Regarding the reasons that prevented Premier Diab from making popular decisions
against corruption and naming things by their names, "There is an interconnected
system of corruption; I do not have full files and therefore I cannot give names
in order not to do anyone wrong. We are not a revolutionary government; we work
pursuant to the Constitution and within the limits of the system. But if the
forensic audit uncovers the sources of corruption, as will happen in auditing
the accounts of the Banque du Liban, then we can say that we are on the right
judicial path. I will not give names without evidence. There is an interrelated
political, financial and economic system, but I fight corruption within the
system and not by breaking public property as happened during the events in the
street, for this does not serve the revolution and the demands of the Lebanese.
"
Regarding the way forward after the lifting of banking secrecy, Diab said: "We
were very late in acting as a result of political bickering and point scoring. I
called on everyone from the beginning to meet and cooperate to solve the social,
financial and banking crises accumulated over decades. On February 11, when we
still had 75 percent of the Eurobonds, which grants us the right to decide
whether to reschedule the debts, and we would have avoided defaulting, I asked
the banks not to sell the bonds; however, the banks sold a large share of the
bonds; the percentage decreased to 58%, and the liquidity remained abroad. If we
had rescheduled the debt, that is, I we had postponed payment for 20 years,
which amounts to 4.6 billion dollars due for 2020, 5 billion for 2021, and 5
billion for 2022, we would have taken a breath for three years on the financial
and economic levels”.
Regarding what Prime Minister Saad Hariri could offer, which Prime Minister Diab
did not manage to offer, he replied: "Approval of the political community.
Efficiency, cleanliness and patriotism are not sufficient for success. Rather,
there must be political consensus. I was the first prime minister to be notified
of his assignment to form a government three days before the nomination."—PM
Press Office
Parents of students abroad close main entrance of bank in
Hamra Street
NNA/December 30/2020
The families of students studying abroad, who have been staging a sit-in outside
the Lebanese Central Bank, have moved their sit-in location to deliberately
close the main entrance of another bank in Hamra Street, NNA reporter said on
Wednesday.
US dollar exchange rate: Buying price at LBP 3850, selling
price at LBP 3900
NNA/December 30/2020
The Money Changers Syndicate announced in a statement addressed to money
changing companies and institutions Wednesday’s USD exchange rate against the
Lebanese pound as follows:
Buying price at a minimum of LBP 3850
Selling price at a maximum of LBP 3900
Report: Hizbullah’s Financial Institution Hacked, Party
'Perplexed'
Naharnet/December 30/2020
Confusion arose among circles affiliated with Hizbullah after the party’s Al-Qard
Al-Hasan financial institution was hacked, despite the institution's assurance
the hackers had no access to any of the internal data or account numbers of
depositors, the Saudi Asharq el-Awsat reported on Wednesday. A hacker group
called “Spiderz” hacked into the cameras and servers of Hizbullah’s financial
institution Al-Qard Al-Hasan, which the party says is a charity association. The
group collected and exposed a name list of borrowers, and published the links to
the information on a special page on Twitter, attaching all details related to
its customers.Spiderz called on borrowers to refrain from paying their due
installments for the benefit of the institution. It also urged depositors to
withdraw their deposits. The hackers promised, via a video recording, to publish
additional information later. Al-Qard Al-Hassan Association was established by
Hizbullah in the 1980s. It was licensed by the Interior Ministry in 1987. It has
32 branches across Lebanon. The hacking process created confusion among the
association’s customers, given that their data was made public, said the daily.
The operation came a few months after the association launched an automated
teller service in its branches in the southern suburbs of Beirut, the party's
center of influence. This encouraged some to place financial deposits in the
institution that is not subject to the Lebanese banking system. The association
downplayed the hack, saying the hackers failed to access any of the internal
information. A spokesperson for the association said the hacking only affected
the external network, explaining that the hack failed to reach the numbers of
deposits, the value of loans, etc. The data published to the public included
lists of customers' names, account numbers and the type of currency in which
they deal in. It also included a list of the most important customers,
borrowers, loan amount, repayment rate, and personal information about
customers. The hacking operation also revealed the accounts of Al-Qard Al-Hassan
Foundation in Jammal Trust Bank, which had been subjected to US sanctions in
2019 for providing financial services to Hizbullah, and was liquidated in
Lebanon.
Report: Rahi ‘Angry’ with Aoun, Hariri and Bassil
Naharnet/December 30/2020
Maronite Patriarch Beshara el-Rahi reportedly plans to seek the Vatican’s
assistance in launching an international initiative towards Lebanon, amid
reports he is holding “great anger” against officials mainly the President, the
PSP's al-Anbaa electronic magazine said Wednesday. The magazine said Rahi was
angry at President Michel Aoun, PM-designate Saad Hariri and MP Jebran Bassil
over the delayed formation of a much-needed government to help steer the country
out of the crisis. According to information obtained by al-Anbaa, Rahi plans to
make contacts with the Vatican to launch an international initiative that
“preserves” Lebanon and “shows interest” in the crisis-hit country. It said
there are attempts to kick off joint efforts between the Vatican and the United
States of America, as Biden’s administration prepares to take office in January,
in order to show interest in the Lebanese file. "Rahi will resume his contacts
on the governmental file after the holiday with Aoun and Hariri," unnamed
sources told al-Anbaa.He will also make contacts with various political forces
in a bid to push for the formation of an “acceptable and efficient” government,
away from quotas and bickering over ministerial portfolios, it added.
Diab Clarifies His Remarks about Ammonium Nitrate
Agence France Presse/December 30/2020
Caretaker Prime Minister Hassan Diab on Wednesday clarified the remarks he
voiced Tuesday about the ammonium nitrate quantity that exploded at Beirut’s
port on August 4. “PM Diab relied in his remarks on unofficial information
attributed to the FBI and he has not received an official report in this regard
from the FBI,” his press office said. One of his advisers told AFP he had been
referring to press reports. AFP could not independently verify the contents of
the FBI report. The U.S. agency declined to comment, referring back to its
August statement that "further questions should be directed to the Lebanese
authorities as the lead investigators." "The FBI report revealed that the amount
that exploded is only 500 tons," Diab told reporters on Tuesday. "Where did the
(other) 2,200 tons go?" he asked. The caretaker prime minister, who resigned in
the wake of the blast that killed more than 200 people, had previously said that
more than 2,700 tons of ammonium nitrate fertilizer had been stored haphazardly
at a port warehouse for years. Nearly five months after the blast, little light
has been shed on the circumstances that led to Lebanon's worst peacetime
disaster, which is widely blamed on decades of negligence and corruption by the
country's ruling elite. Lead investigative judge Fadi Sawwan this month charged
Diab and three former ministers over the explosion in the first set of
indictments against politicians. He charged them with "negligence and causing
death to hundreds and injuries to thousands more" in the first such official
indictment against a prime minister in office in Lebanese history. The blast
probe has since been suspended after two of the charged ministers called on
Sawwan to be replaced. Lebanon's top Court of Cassation must rule on their
request before investigations proceed. The investigation had led to the arrest
of at least 25 suspects, including the chief of the port and its customs
director, but not a single politician.
Israeli Strikes Kill Syrian Soldier, Target Hizbullah
Positions
Agence France Presse/December 30/2020
Israeli air strikes in Syria targeting the pro-Damascus Lebanese Hizbullah group
and Syrian air defence forces killed one Syrian soldier and wounded five others,
a war monitor said Wednesday. The air raids early Wednesday hit positions in a
rural area northwest of the capital, said the Britain-based war monitoring group
Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. Syrian state news agency SANA, citing a
military source, said one Syrian soldier was killed and three others wounded in
an Israeli strike on a military position near the capital. "Today at 01:30 (2230
GMT) the Israeli enemy carried out an air aggression with missile bursts from
northern Galilee, targeting a unit of our air defence forces in the Nabi Habeel
area," the military source said. "Our air defence countered some of the
missiles, which caused one martyr and wounded three soldiers." The Observatory
on Wednesday morning said the number of wounded had risen to five, two of them
in grave condition. The strikes targeted Hizbullah rocket and ammunition depots
in a mountainous area near the town of Zabadani close to the Lebanese border,
destroying them and causing casualties, it said, without providing a toll.
Observatory head Rami Abdel Rahman said pro-Iran groups use the heights around
Zabadani to store weapons and ammunition. "Hizbullah uses (the area) as a
storage spot before transporting weapons and ammunition into Lebanon," he said.
Israel refused to confirm or deny the strike. "We do not comment on foreign
media reports," an army spokesperson told AFP. Israel has launched hundreds of
strikes in Syria since the start of the civil war in 2011. It has targeted
government troops, allied Iranian forces and Hizbullah fighters. It rarely
confirms details of its operations in Syria, but says Iran's presence in support
of President Bashar al-Assad is a threat to which it will continue to respond.
In the night of Thursday to Friday last week, Israeli missile strikes on Syria
killed at least six Iran-backed fighters in the Masyaf district of Hama
province, the Observatory said. One of the missiles, which were fired from
Lebanese airspace, also targeted a government-run research centre where
surface-to-surface missiles are developed and stored, the Britain-based watchdog
said. Repeated Israeli air strikes against positions of Hizbullah and other
pro-Iran groups in Syria in November killed more than 50 Tehran-backed fighters,
most of them non-Syrian. Syria's war has killed more than 380,000 people and
displaced millions since starting in 2011 with the brutal repression of
anti-government protests.
Lebanese ICRC Spokeswoman Injured in Yemen Blasts
Naharnet/December 30/2020
Lebanese national Yara Khaweja, the official spokeswoman of the International
Committee of the Red Cross in Yemen, was lightly wounded Wednesday in the blasts
that rocked Yemen’s Aden airport. According to Lebanon’s National News Agency,
Khaweja was leaving for Cairo when the explosions happened. “She is currently
receiving treatment and her condition is stable,” NNA added. Prior to leaving
the hotel for the airport, Khaweja had tweeted that she had carried out her last
interview about the humanitarian situation in Yemen. At least 26 people were
killed as the explosions rocked the airport moments after a new unity government
flew in, in what some officials charged was a an attack by Iran-backed Huthi
rebels. Although all government ministers were reported to be unharmed, more
than 50 people were wounded, medical and government sources said, with the
casualty toll feared likely to rise.
Doctors Without Borders (MSF) said it was preparing a "mass casualty medical
response plan." As smoke billowed out of the airport terminal from an initial
blast, with debris strewn across the area and people rushing to tend to the
wounded, a second explosion took place. Video footage shot by AFP appears to
show missile-like ordnance striking the airport apron -- that moments before had
been packed with crowds -- and exploding into a ball of intense flames. It was
not immediately clear what had caused the explosions. Sporadic gunfire was heard
soon after.
Heavy Shelling Heard from Inside Shebaa Farms
Naharnet/December 30/2020
Sounds of heavy artillery shelling coming from inside the occupied Shebaa Farms
was heard by villagers close to the Lebanese southern border, the National News
Agency said on Wednesday. NNA said the sound of shelling was the result of
military training drills carried out by Israeli troops. Shebaa Farms is a
disputed area where the borders of Israel, Lebanon and Syria meet. Lebanon and
Syria say Shebaa Farms belong to Lebanon, while the United Nations says the area
is part of Syria and that Damascus and Israel should negotiate its fate.
Lebanon set for muted NYE celebrations amid economic,
health crises
Najat Houssari/Arab News/December 30, 2020
The country’s Internal Security Forces on Wednesday announced that strict
security measures would be in place on New Year’s Eve
BEIRUT: Lebanon has begun the countdown to what are expected to be muted New
Year’s Eve celebrations. Despite some hotels and nightclubs reporting healthy
bookings for parties and events, the country’s dire economic situation and a
surge in coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases is likely to result in most
citizens seeing in 2021 at home. Shops and catering stores have been relatively
busy with people buying items to mark New Year’s Eve and pre-ordering home
deliveries of food. Hotels hosting parties said bookings had exceeded
expectations, but restaurant owners’ syndicate head, Pierre Al-Achkar, pointed
out that 167 hotels damaged by the Beirut port explosion still required repairs
and were unable to open. In the run-up to New Year’s Eve, tourist police and
internal security forces permanently closed six nightclubs, bars, and
restaurants and issued fines to 64 others for violating general mobilization
rules and failing to comply with health and public safety measures. Breaches
included employees not wearing face masks or respecting social distancing,
allowing premises to become overcrowded, and offering hookah.
The country’s Internal Security Forces on Wednesday announced that strict
security measures would be in place on New Year’s Eve, “to maintain the security
and safety of citizens, and to ensure the protection of tourist, commercial and
economic facilities and places of worship, in addition to securing traffic in
order to reduce congestion.”Citizens have also been ordered not to celebrate by
shooting guns into the air, and dancing in bars and restaurants has already been
banned.
Lebanon has recently witnessed a sharp rise in COVID-19 cases, with new daily
recorded numbers hitting highs in excess of 2,800.
“The closure of nightclubs and restaurants that do not comply with the required
procedures is necessary because hospitals are no longer able to admit new
patients and the Christmas experience was not good,” said Dr. Sharaf Abu Sharaf,
head of the Lebanese Order of Physicians.
The spike in virus cases has led many Lebanese to choose to stay at home or
organize private parties in rented halls, with invitees having to take a
polymerase chain reaction test two days before attending events. Due to the
collapse of the Lebanese lira against the dollar, many are also struggling to
make ends meet and pay toward the cost of New Year’s Eve food, drink, and
entertainment.
Tony Bejjani, owner of a restaurant and bar in Beirut, said: “Customer traffic
declined during the holidays and I will not receive customers on New Year’s Eve
due to COVID-19 fears and because the cost will exceed profits.
“The quality of customers varies according to their financial capabilities. Many
bars around me have closed their doors, but I want to continue with a small
profit so that I do not become unemployed. But I do not have much confidence in
the new year,” he added. Meanwhile, authorities have highlighted a recent rise
in the number of armed robberies taking place throughout Lebanon, particularly
in the Bekaa region, and there have also been reports of looting, most notably
in the city of Zahle. Lebanese Forces deputy, Cesar Al-Maalouf, said: “What is
happening in Zahle is unacceptable. Because of the state’s failure to ensure the
security and safety of the city, our young people are its guards. “This is the
final warning for what is left of this dilapidated system. We are no longer to
be blamed for resorting to self-security,” he added. MP Michel Daher said: “The
security lapse that Zahle and its districts are witnessing is no longer
acceptable and we call for an increase in the number of security forces and
strict measures so that people do not have to resort to self-security, the last
scene that foretells the fall of the state.”
Lebanon’s head of General Security, Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim, on Wednesday met
with Maronite Patriarch Mar Bechara Boutros Al-Rahi. After the meeting, he said:
“Security is well kept and under control. It is true that it is influenced by
politics, but we as organs, on top of us the Lebanese Army, are working to
control the security completely. “But certainly, the stressful and difficult
social situation must be reflected on security in terms of looting and security
lapses, but I do not see that it will reach the stage of chaos.
Lebanon’s racism is fanning the flames of violence towards
Syrian refugees
Makram Rabah/Al Arabiya/December 30/2020
As Lebanon celebrated Christmas, a Syrian refugee camp in Miniyeh in the north
of Lebanon was attacked by a group of local youths who set fire to tents amid
clashes with residents. The number of violent incidents against displaced
communities living in the country has grown steadily in recent months. This has
run in parallel with the public becoming apathetic to these acts, and viewing
them as normal daily occurrences.
The makeshift camp houses over 375 people, and the attack highlights a worrying
trend. The 1.5 million Syrian refugees based in Lebanon are increasingly targets
of intimidation and violence, on the back of the country’s disastrous economic
conditions.
Tensions are running high. The killing of Joseph Tawk, a Lebanese national, by a
Syrian living in Bcharre, led to rioting and the eviction of the entire refugee
population of the town with over 200 Syrian families forced to look for refuge
elsewhere or else face physical harm.
This dangerous xenophobic atmosphere isn’t helped by several politicians,
including former minister of Foreign Affairs and President Michael Aoun’s
son-in-law Gebran Bassil blaming Syrian refugees for Lebanon’s collapse.
Bassil has consistently sought to use refugees as a fearmongering foil, and has
previously stated: “The Syrian refugee crisis is the biggest crisis threatening
the Lebanese entity.” This perception is growing among communities that were
initially supportive of the Syrian revolution to topple the Assad regime.
Bcharre is one example, but there are many others.
The voices calling for calm are there. Miniyeh and Bcharre support Saad
al-Hariri’s Future Movement and Samir Geagea Lebanese Forces, both of which have
defended and openly demanded protection for Syrian refugees living in the
country. Hariri has declared, “that they [refugees] won’t go back to Syria as
long as that regime is in place [and] as long as I don’t have a UN green light
for their safe return, I’m not going to do anything.”Calls for eviction of the
Syrian population, however, underscores that Lebanon’s traditional political
parties no longer hold sway over their power base on this issue.
Local media outlets have been complicit in fueling xenophobia by exaggerating
the perceived threat of refugees stealing jobs, while playing down violence on
refugees as simple altercations. In many cases the media fails, or refrains, to
report on violence committed in areas controlled by Hezbollah and their allies.
The expulsion of refugees through force in areas deemed as a security threat saw
the border town of Arsal meet this fate. The Lebanese state has conspired to
make the refugees in Lebanon keep, and in some cases, make worse the suffering
they endured in Syria. Introducing different measures have stripped them of
their legal rights and exposed them to persecution.
Staying silent might be the way the Lebanese state wishes to deal with such
crimes, but the country’s people need to stop looking for excuses to justify
crimes such as the burning of the Bhanin camp – just one example among hundreds
of equally heinous acts of racism perpetrated against non-Lebanese.
The Syrian refugee crisis is undoubtedly a major challenge for Lebanon. The
racism, violence, and expulsion of Syrian refugees by the people of Lebanon is a
different matter. Why should an already reluctant international community invest
in the country when the local population fail to treat others with respect?
The sight of the burning tents in the refugee camp in Miniyeh is not simply a
crime against humanity: Lebanon’s soul and moral standards have gone up in
flames too.
How Lebanon’s President Michel Aoun is paving the way for
son-in-law Bassil
Michael Young/The National/December 30/2020
مايكل يانغ/ذي ناشيونال: الرئيس اللبناني ميشال عون يعبد طريق صهرة جبران باسيل
ليخلفه في موقع الرئاسة
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/94429/michael-young-the-national-how-lebanons-president-michel-aoun-is-paving-the-way-for-son-in-law-bassil-%d9%85%d8%a7%d9%8a%d9%83%d9%84-%d9%8a%d8%a7%d9%86%d8%ba-%d8%b0%d9%8a-%d9%86%d8%a7%d8%b4%d9%8a/
As Lebanon’s cabinet formation process drags on, President Michel
Aoun and his son-in-law Gebran Bassil are attempting to ensure that any new
government allows them to advance their political agenda. This involves two
primary objectives: saving Mr Aoun’s shipwreck of a presidency and guaranteeing
that Mr Bassil will become the next president, in 2022.
Saad Hariri, who was designated in October to form a government, has been unable
until now to come to an agreement with Mr Aoun and Mr Bassil over certain
ministerial portfolios. Normally, under the Taif agreement of 1989, whose
clauses were integrated into the constitution, the prime minister-designate
“signs the decree forming the government with the president”. Mr Aoun has
re-interpreted this vague clause to negotiate over Mr Hariri’s ministerial
choices.
Before Mr Hariri was chosen by parliament to head the new government, the
president had implicitly warned that he would defend his interests in the
cabinet-formation process. This had come after Mr Aoun was compelled,
principally by Hezbollah, to go ahead with parliamentary consultations leading
to Mr Hariri’s being tasked with forming a government. The President’s
preference was to agree over a cabinet prior to Mr Hariri’s designation.
Since then Mr Aoun and Mr Bassil have fought hard for power in a new cabinet,
mainly because both fear they may pay the highest price for widespread popular
resentment against Lebanon’s political cartel. Their demands are a good
indication of their strategy for the remaining two years of Mr Aoun’s term. Mr
Aoun and Mr Bassil have demanded the Justice Ministry and the Interior Ministry,
as well as what is known as a “blocking third” – meaning a certain number of
ministers loyal to them whose resignation can bring the cabinet down.
The Justice Ministry is a sign that Mr Aoun intends to use the two years left of
his term to open corruption files against his political enemies. In that way he
can affirm that he is an honest man who is fighting shady political rivals who
have not allowed his presidency to succeed. Such an effort is unlikely to work,
all the more so as Mr Bassil’s integrity is a matter of considerable doubt, but
it would allow Mr Aoun to create an alterative narrative for his disastrous time
in office.
Control of the Interior Ministry, in turn, would mean that Mr Aoun and Mr Bassil
would be in charge of organising municipal and parliamentary elections in 2022.
It is vital for them to ensure that these elections do not confirm their loss of
popularity, which would undermine Mr Bassil’s presidential ambitions.
As for the so-called “blocking third”, it appears that Mr Aoun has agreed to
give up on this, because Hezbollah asked him to. The thinking behind the demand
was that Mr Bassil would collapse the government before the end of Mr Aoun’s
term, and engage in blackmail by not allowing the formation of a new one until
Lebanon’s leading politicians supported his election as president.
A second facet of Mr Aoun’s and Mr Bassil’s plan is to reinvigorate the
presidency, in order to reverse some changes brought about by Taif, which
curtailed the powers of the Maronite Christian president. In that way both men
could argue that they returned power to the Maronites. Mr Bassil could therefore
portray himself as a communal champion meriting the presidency.
A central aspect of this effort is Mr Aoun’s acquiring effective veto power over
Mr Hariri’s proposed cabinet line-ups. Since his signature is needed for a
government to be formed, the president already has implicit veto power. But at
the same time nothing in the constitution states that a president can form a
government with the prime minister-designate, which is what Mr Aoun is doing.
There are two problems here. First, the constitution is vague, and there is no
credible, independent judicial body in Lebanon to resolve constitutional
ambiguities. And second, Mr Hariri agreed with the two main Shiite parties,
Hezbollah and Amal, to allow the Shiites to retain the Finance Ministry and sign
off on the naming of Shiite ministers. In that way he boxed himself in, opening
the door for Mr Aoun to argue that he too should participate in shaping the
government.
How long can these political games go on when Lebanon is disintegrating
economically? The signs are that Hezbollah wants a government soon, for a
variety of reasons including growing discontent within the Shiite community. At
the same time, the party does not want to take sides in the Hariri-Aoun dispute
to avoid harming its relations with either man. Hezbollah has pressed for a
government to be finalised, and may well push harder after the new year.
This will not change the fact that until Mr Aoun leaves office, Mr Bassil will
continue to use all the weapons at his disposal to impose himself as the
successor to his father-in-law. It is far from certain that Hezbollah will allow
him to do so, as this could trap the party into supporting him when it might
have other preferences. What is shocking is that the steadily poorer Lebanese
population, which is suffering the most, seems entirely marginal to the
politicians’ calculations.
*Michael Young is a Lebanon columnist for The National
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News
published
on December
30-31/2020
27 dead, dozens wounded in deadly attack on Aden airport
Saeed Al Batati/Arab News/December 30, 2020
AL-MUKALLA: Terrorists declared war on Yemen’s fledgling democratic government
on Wednesday with a deadly attack on Aden airport as members of the new
administration flew in from Riyadh. At least 27 people were killed and 40
injured in a series of explosions just outside the airport’s main hall while the
aircraft’s passengers were disembarking. A local security source said the
building was hit by three mortar shells, and Yemen's information minister
Muammar Al-Eryani accused Iran-backed Houthi militias of carrying out the
attack. The explosions were followed by heavy gunfire from armored vehicles as
plumes of smoke and dust rose from the scene. The attack took place as the
airport hall was packed with local officials and well-wishers waiting to greet
the new government. “Most of the dead and wounded are civilians,” a local health
official told Arab News.
The cabinet members, including Prime Minister Maeen Abdulmalik, were taken to
safety at the city’s Maasheq presidential palace, along with the Saudi
Ambassador to Yemen, Mohammed Al-Jaber. Later on Wednesday, Arab coalition
spokesman Col. Turki Al-Maliki said it shot down an explosive drone, suspected
to be from the Houthi militia, which was targeting the palace. “We and the
members of the government are in the temporary capital of Aden and everyone is
fine,” Maeen tweeted from the palace. “The cowardly terrorist act that targeted
Aden airport is part of the war that is being waged against the Yemeni state and
its great people.
“It will only increase our determination to fulfill our duties until the coup is
ended and the state and stability are restored.”The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen
announced the new power-sharing cabinet this month after more than a year of
intense Saudi mediation between the government and the separatist Southern
Transitional Council.The government returned to Aden to put into place the final
components of the Riyadh Agreement and end months of political wrangling and
violence.
Al-Jaber said the terrorists were seeking to destroy the positive atmosphere
created by the formation of the new government and the full implementation of
the Riyadh Agreement. “Targeting the Yemeni government upon its arrival at Aden
airport is a cowardly terrorist act targeting all the Yemeni people, their
security, stability and their daily life,” he said. “It confirms the extent of
disappointment and confusion that the creators of death and destruction have
reached as a result of the success of the implementation of the Riyadh Agreement
and the formation of the Yemeni government and starting its duties to serve the
Yemeni people.”UN Yemen envoy Martin Griffiths also condemned the attack. “I
wish the cabinet strength in facing the difficult tasks ahead,” he said. “This
unacceptable act of violence is a tragic reminder of the importance of bringing
Yemen urgently back on the path toward peace."
Michael Aron, the UN ambassador to Yemen, said: “I condemn the cowardly attack
on Aden airport timed to coincide with the arrival of the new government, a
despicable attempt to cause carnage and chaos and bring suffering when Yemenis
had chosen to move forward together. My thoughts are with the families of those
killed and injured.” Both the secretary of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)
and the Kuwaiti foreign ministry also condemed the attack, while, Emirati
minister Anwar Gargash said the attack on the airport was an attack on the
“prospects for peace and stability in Yemen.”
Cowardly’ Aden airport attack draws regional, global
condemnation
Arab News/December 30, 2020
LONDON: A rocket and gunfire attack on Aden airport in Yemen, targeting the
country’s newly formed government and claiming dozens of lives, has drawn global
condemnation from political, diplomatic and non-governmental figures. Saudi
Arabia strongly condemned the “treacherous” act, saying that it targeted not
only the new government, but the Yemeni people also, according to a statement
carried on Saudi Press Agency (SPA). It also said the Kingdom stood by the
Yemeni people and its aspirations for peace, stability and security. Both the
Emir of Kuwait and the secretary-general of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)
also condemed the attack, while Emirati minister Anwar Gargash said the attack
on the airport was an attack on the Riyadh Agreement and “prospects for peace
and stability in Yemen.” “I condemn the cowardly attack on Aden Airport timed to
coincide with the arrival of the new government,” tweeted Michael Aron,
Britain’s ambassador to Yemen. He called it “a despicable attempt to cause
carnage & chaos & bring suffering when Yemenis had chosen to move forward
together. My thoughts are with the families of those killed & injured.”Nick
Dyer, the UK’s special envoy for famine prevention and humanitarian affairs,
tweeted that he “fully supports” Aron’s statement, and that “those against peace
will just prolong the suffering of millions in #Yemen.”Swedish Foreign Minister
Ann Linde said she “strongly” condemns “the heinous attack.”Yemeni ministers
were returning to Aden after being sworn in last week as part of a reshuffle
following a deal with some of the country’s opposition forces. The attack, which
Yemen’s information minister has attributed to the Iran-backed Houthis, appeared
to be aimed at violently disrupting the country’s fledgling peace process. Linde
implored parties to not allow the attackers to disrupt the peace process,
saying: “We cannot let this deplorable act derail efforts for peace.”
Martin Griffiths, UN special envoy for Yemen, called the attack an “unacceptable
act of violence,” tweeting: “I strongly condemn the attack at #Aden airport upon
the Cabinet’s arrival and the killing and injury of many innocent civilians. My
sincere condolences and solidarity to all who lost loved ones.”
He added: “I wish the Cabinet strength in facing the difficult tasks ahead. This
unacceptable act of violence is a tragic reminder of the importance of bringing
#Yemen urgently back on the path towards peace.”Kemal Kilicdaroglu, leader of
Turkey’s opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP), took to Twitter to express
his outrage at the attack, writing in Turkish that his condolences are with the
people of Yemen. A number of humanitarian NGOs have been affected directly or
indirectly by the attack. ICRC (International Committee of the Red
Cross/Crescent) confirmed on Twitter that one of their staff was killed in the
attack, two were injured and that another three remain unaccounted for. "This is
a tragic day for us and the people of #Yemen," the group said on Twitter.
Doctors Without Borders’ (MSF) Yemen operation said it is preparing to implement
a “mass casualty medical response plan” to cope with the attack. Save the
Children, which works extensively in Yemen, tweeted: “We strongly condemn the
attack today in #Aden int airport #Yemen. According to authorities more than a
dozen have lost their lives & many more are injured.”It added: “We call on all
parties to the conflict to bring an end to the fighting, killing & civilian
infrastructure destruction.”
Israeli FM Quits Gantz's Blue and White Party
Agence France Presse/December 30/2020
Israel's Foreign Minister Gabi Ashkenazi said Wednesday that he is leaving the
Blue and White party, in the latest high profile defection from the bloc led by
Defense Minister Benny Gantz. Gantz's centrist Blue and White ran neck-and-neck
with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's right-wing Likud in three inconclusive
elections between April 2019 and March 2020. But the party has fractured since
Gantz agreed to form a coalition government with Netanyahu in April. Ashkenazi,
like Gantz a former army chief, had been Gantz's top ally in the coalition that
collapsed last week after failing to pass a budget, amid bitter acrimony between
Blue and White and Likud. New elections have been set for March 23, Israel's
fourth vote in just under two years. Despite Blue and White's cratering poll
numbers, Gantz announced Tuesday that he intended to lead the party in the
upcoming vote, vowing to be player in the anti-Netanyahu bloc. On Wednesday,
Ashkenazi tweeted that he did "not intend to contest in the next election with
Blue and White.""I will take a break to consider the path ahead," he said. Gantz
in a statement said he respected Ashkenazi's decision and expressed his
"heartfelt gratitude for these past two years of partnership for the good of our
country."A Blue and White spokesperson told AFP that Gantz had not asked
Ashkenazi to resign from the foreign ministry. That marks a departure compared
to Gantz's response to the defection of outgoing justice minister Avi Nissenkorn.
Nissenkorn bolted from Blue and White to join a new centrist party formed by
veteran Tel Aviv mayor Ron Huldai, called The Israelis. Gantz asked Nissenkorn
to resign from the justice ministry on Tuesday on grounds that Nissenkorn had
"chosen his new political home." Recent polls indicate Blue and White will win
just handful of seats in the March vote.But polls indicate that Netanyahu has
also been hurt by defections, notably the decision by prominent right-winger
Gideon Saar to break with Likud and form his own New Hope party.
Former Israeli spy in US arrives in Tel Aviv, greeted with
prayer and passport
Reuters, Jerusalem/Wednesday 30 December 2020
A former US Navy analyst who served 30 years in prison for spying for Israel
arrived in the country early on Wednesday after parole restrictions on his
travel expired and was welcomed with a prayer and passport by Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu.
Jonathan Pollard, 66, had long voiced a desire to emigrate to Israel, which
granted him citizenship. The espionage affair strained US-Israel relations for
decades. Sentenced in 1987 to life imprisonment after he pleaded guilty to
conspiracy to commit espionage, Pollard was freed on parole in 2015. A US
Justice Department decision last month to let the parole terms’ five-year travel
ban go unrenewed was seen by some as a parting gift to Israel by the Trump
administration. Netanyahu met Pollard and his wife Esther as they disembarked in
Tel Aviv, video distributed by the Israeli prime minister’s office showed. The
couple, both Orthodox Jews, kissed the tarmac. After saying a Hebrew prayer of
thanksgiving for the liberation of prisoners, Netanyahu presented Pollard with
an Israeli passport. “Welcome home,” the prime minister said. Israel Hayom
newspaper, which first reported the couple’s arrival, said they flew in aboard a
private plane due to Esther Pollard’s medical condition.
Iran allocates $150,000 for families of each victim of
downed Ukraine plane
Reuters/Wednesday 30 December 2020
Iran’s cabinet on Wednesday allocated $150,000 for the families of each of the
176 victims of a Ukrainian plane downed in Iranian airspace in January, the
official IRNA news agency reported. “The cabinet approved the provision of
$150,000 or the equivalent in euros as soon as possible to the families and
survivors of each of the victims of the Ukrainian plan crash,” IRNA quoted a
government statement. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said they accidentally shot
down the Ukraine International Airlines plane shortly after take off, mistaking
it for a missile when tensions with the United States were high. Five days
earlier, the US had killed Revolutionary Guards commander Qassem Soleimani with
a drone strike in Iraq.Iran’s Minister of Roads and Urban Development Mohammad
Eslami told state television on Wednesday that the final report on the crash had
been sent to the countries participating in the investigation.
Many of the victims were Canadian citizens or permanent residents.
US sends new warning to Iran with bomber mission over Gulf
The Arab News/December 30/2020
WASHINGTON - The United States flew strategic bombers over the Arabian Gulf on
Wednesday for the second time this month, a show of force meant to deter Iran
from attacking American or allied targets in the Middle East.
One senior US military officer said the flight by two Air Force B-52 bombers was
in response to signals that Iran may be planning attacks against US allied
targets in neighbouring Iraq or elsewhere in the region in the coming days, even
as President-elect Joe Biden prepares to take office. The officer was not
authorised to publicly discuss internal assessments based on sensitive
intelligence and spoke on condition of anonymity. The B-52 bomber mission, flown
round trip from an Air Force base in North Dakota, reflects growing concern in
Washington, in the final weeks of President Donald Trump’s administration, that
Iran will order further military retaliation for the US killing on January 3 of
top Iranian military commander General Qassem Soleimani. Iran’s initial
response, five days after the deadly US drone strike, was a ballistic missile
attack on a military base in Iraq that caused brain concussion injuries to about
100 US troops.
“Health advice”–
Adding to the tension was a rocket attack last week on the US Embassy compound
in Baghdad by Iranian-supported Shia militia groups. No one was killed, but
Trump tweeted afterward that Iran was on notice. “Some friendly health advice to
Iran: If one American is killed, I will hold Iran responsible. Think it over,”
Trump wrote on December 23. Because of the potential for escalation that could
lead to a wider war, the US has sought to deter Iran from additional attacks.
Strategic calculations on both sides are further complicated by the political
transition in Washington to a Biden administration that may seek new paths to
dealing with Iran. Biden has said, for example, that he hopes to return the US
to a 2015 agreement with world powers in which Iran agreed to limit its nuclear
activities in exchange for the lifting of international sanctions. In announcing
Wednesday’s bomber flight, the head of US Central Command said it was a
defensive move. “The United States continues to deploy combat-ready capabilities
into the US Central Command area of responsibility to deter any potential
adversary, and make clear that we are ready and able to respond to any
aggression directed at Americans or our interests,” said Gen. Frank McKenzie,
the commander of Central Command. “We do not seek conflict, but no one should
underestimate our ability to defend our forces or to act decisively in response
to any attack.” He did not mention Iran by name. In advance of the announcement,
the senior US military officer who spoke on condition of anonymity said that US
intelligence has detected recent signs of “fairly substantive threats” from
Iran, and that included planning for possible rocket attacks against US
interests in Iraq in connection with the one-year anniversary of the Soleimani
killing. The US is in the process of reducing its troop presence in Iraq from
3,000 to about 2,500. Trump ordered that the reduction be achieved by January
15; officials say it is likely to be reached as early as next week. The United
States has also picked up signs that Iran may be considering or planning “more
complex” and broader attacks against American targets or interests in the Middle
East, the senior US military officer said, adding that it represented the most
concerning signs since the days immediately following the Soleimani killing. The
officer cited indications that advanced weaponry has been flowing from Iran into
Iraq recently and that Shia militia leaders in Iraq may have met with officers
of Iran’s Quds force, previously commanded by Soleimani. The US officer said
Iran might have its eye on economic targets, noting the September 2019 missile
and drone attack on Saudi oil processing facilities. Iran denied involvement but
was blamed by the United States for that attack.
Range of steps
In recent weeks the US military has taken a range of steps designed to deter
Iran, while publicly emphasising that it is not planning, and has not been
instructed, to take unprovoked action against Iran. Last week, a US Navy
guided-missile submarine made an unusual transit of the Strait of Hormuz, the
strategic waterway between Iran and the Arabian Peninsula. Earlier in December,
a pair of B-52 bombers from Barksdale Air Force Base in Louisiana flew what the
military calls a “presence” mission over the Gulf — a demonstration of US force
and a signal of US commitment to the region, but not an attack mission. That
flight was repeated this week, with two B-52s flying nonstop from Minot Air
Force Base in North Dakota and heading home Wednesday after cruising over the
western side of the Gulf. Tensions with Iran escalated with the killing in
November of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, an Iranian scientist named by the West as the
leader of the Islamic Republic’s disbanded military nuclear programme. Iran has
blamed Israel for the killing, but US officials are concerned that any Iranian
retaliation could hit US interests.
Turkey, US in talks to form joint working group on S-400s,
sanctions: Minister
Reuters, Ankara/Wednesday 30 December 2020
Ankara and Washington have started talks to form a joint working group regarding
Turkey’s purchase of Russian S-400 missile defense systems and the US sanctions
stemming from it, Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said on Wednesday.
Speaking at a news conference, Cavusoglu said the working group had not been
formed yet but talks among experts had begun.
Syria's Regime Auctions off Land of the Displaced
Agence France Presse/December 30/2020
Many Syrians forced from their homes by their country's brutal, decade-old war
are now shocked to discover that their family farms have been taken over by
regime loyalists and cronies. Rights groups and legal experts say local
authorities in parts of northwest Syria recaptured by government forces have
staged auctions to effectively "confiscate" fertile land and punish opponents.
One refugee, 30-year-old Salman, said he always knew it would be difficult to
return to the family plot in Idlib province he abandoned during an offensive a
year ago by President Bashar al-Assad's forces. But whatever hopes he still had
to return one day were all but crushed when he learnt the rights to cultivate
the land had been sold off to a complete stranger. "What right does someone have
to come and take it?" the refugee, who asked to use a pseudonym, told AFP by
phone from Greece where he illegally moved a few months ago. Salman said he used
to plant lentils, barley and black cumin on the 37 acres (15 hectares) of land
he owns with his brothers, earning up to $12,000 each harvest. He discovered
through a post on social media that the rights to the land were being auctioned
off. "We were shocked," he told AFP. "This land was left to us by our ancestors
and we want to pass it down to our children."
- 'Exploiting displacement' -
Several other Syrians displaced from southern Idlib and adjacent Hama and Aleppo
provinces told AFP that they too have had their plots expropriated. Some learnt
about it through social media advertisements run by the regime-affiliated
Farmers' Union in Idlib or through acquaintances still living nearby. In
October, the Farmers' Union said that it was auctioning off the right to use and
cultivate plots owned by Syrians "who don't reside in government-controlled
areas". Victims found they were being blamed for their misfortune. The union
said the original deed-holders were "indebted" to Syria's Agricultural
Cooperative Bank (ACB), which offers loans to farmers -- including those who are
now finding it impossible to settle dues from outside government-controlled
territory. The land owners who spoke to AFP all denied having outstanding
payments.
"It's just an excuse," Salman said. Other auctions are being organised by
regime-linked local security committees, without any mention of outstanding
debts, said opposition watchdog group The Day After and war monitor the Syrian
Observatory for Human Rights. Assad's Russian-backed forces have over the past
three years pushed deeper into Syria's last major opposition bastion in the
northwest. Their latest offensive in early 2020 forced nearly a million people
out of their homes, according to the United Nations. Only 235,000 have returned
since a ceasefire took hold in March. Grappling with a deep economic crisis
compounded by Western sanctions, Damascus is looking to make use of fertile land
to boost agricultural production. Rights groups, including Amnesty
International, have condemned the land expropriations in former rebel
strongholds. "The land auctions exploit displacement for economic benefit," said
Diana Semaan, Amnesty's Syria researcher. Authorities, she said, are "seizing
lands illegally and in violation of international law".
- 'It's a facade' -
In November, an Aleppo security committee said it was taking bids for plots in
reconquered villages, according to documents obtained by The Day After activist
group and the Observatory. Amir, a displaced 38-year-old from Aleppo, said he
was informed less than two months ago by his former neighbour that authorities
were taking offers for his 20 acres of land there. Amir asked the neighbour to
bid on his behalf, but he declined. "Someone who has relatives with intelligence
services in the area" won the bid, said Amir, a father of five who now makes
less than $2 a day picking olives in Idlib. According to judge Anwar Mejni, a
member of a UN committee tasked with overseeing the drafting of a new Syria
constitution, the land auctions are "a kind of punishment". "The auctions may
not transfer ownership of the land, but they violate the rights" of original
owners to access and cultivate them. Another issue, said Mejni, is that "there
is no legal framework" governing the auctions. Even if the ACB indeed organised
them to settle debts, he said, this "should be done under the supervision of the
judiciary". Another farmer, Abu Adel, abandoned his village in Hama back in 2012
as battles raged nearby but continued to visit his plot until regime forces
seized his area last year. The 54-year-old hired people to tend to it while he
is away, but in July an "affiliate" of a local security committee won rights to
use it in an auction. They "are all part of the same clique", Abu Adel said.
"It's a facade."
Potential sale of US smart bombs to Saudi Arabia gets approval
The Arab News/December 30/2020
WASHINGTON – The US State Department has approved the potential sale of 3,000
precision guided munitions to Saudi Arabia in a deal valued at up to $290
billion, the Pentagon said on Tuesday. The sale comes in the final days of US
President Donald Trump’s term. President-elect Joe Biden has pledged to halt
arms sales to Saudi Arabia, the Middle East’s biggest buyer of American weapons,
in a bid to pressure Riyadh to end its intervention in Yemen that has been
launched to contain Iranian influence and restore the internationally-recognised
government of Yemeni President Abd Rabbo Mansour Hadi. The package would include
3,000 GBU-39 Small Diameter Bomb I (SDB I) munitions, containers, support
equipment, spares and technical support, the Pentagon said. “The proposed sale
will improve Saudi Arabia’s capability to meet current and future threats by
increasing its stocks of long-range, precision air-to-ground munitions,” the
Pentagon said in a statement. It added that “the size and accuracy of the SDB I
allows for an effective munition with less collateral damage.” The Pentagon’s
Defense Security Cooperation Agency notified Congress of the possible sale on
Tuesday. Despite approval by the State Department, the notification does not
indicate that a contract has been signed or that negotiations have concluded.
The Pentagon said Boeing Co was the prime contractor for the weapons. The
GBU-39/B Small Diameter Bomb I was developed by Boeing Co and went into
production a decade ago. The compact size and precision guidance allow warplanes
to accurately strike more targets per sort
Qatar Emir Invited to Gulf Summit amid Diplomatic Row
Agence France Presse/December 30/2020
The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) said Wednesday that Qatar's ruler is invited
to the bloc's summit meeting next week amid efforts to heal rifts between Doha
and a Saudi-led alliance. Qatar's Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani received
a "formal invitation" from Saudi King Salman to the January 5 meeting of the
six-nation GCC in Saudi Arabia's northwest Al-Ula province.But it is not yet
clear if Sheikh Tamim -- who was invited to the last summit but declined,
sending then-prime minister Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Al-Thani instead --
will attend. As well as Saudi Arabia and Qatar, the GCC includes Bahrain, Oman,
Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). In June 2017, Saudi Arabia led its
allies the UAE, Bahrain and Egypt to cut ties with Qatar, saying it was too
close to Iran and funding radical Islamist movements -- charges Doha staunchly
denies. After severing ties, the four countries issued a list of 13 demands for
Qatar, including that it shut down its broadcaster Al Jazeera. The Saudi-led
quartet subsequently forced Qataris to leave, closed their airspace to Qatari
aircraft and sealed their borders and ports, separating some mixed-nationality
families. Sheikh Tamim's participation would signal an easing of divisions. On
Wednesday, Saudi's cabinet said that it "wished for a succesful summit to
enhance joint action and enhanced cooperation between the country members,"
according to a statement on the official Saudi Press Agency. It follows comments
earlier this month by Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan who said
that a resolution was in sight. Egypt and the UAE have since given their public
support to the negotiations, although diplomatic sources say the UAE has been
reluctant to compromise. According to a Gulf official close to the negotiations,
it is unlikely the summit will deliver a comprehensive agreement but rather
result in trust-building measures, including the possibility of opening up the
airspace. The potential thaw comes ahead of the January 20 inauguration of Joe
Biden as US president, who is expected to welcome the resolution of a row which
has undercut US efforts to rein in its arch-enemy Iran. Earlier this week,
Qatar's foreign minister, Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani, and US Secretary of
State Mike Pompeo discussed the crisis by telephone. "We believe that resolving
the dispute is in the interest of all parties in the region, as well as in the
interest of the United States," a State Department official said.
UK parliament approves Brexit trade deal as both sides look
to future
Reuters/December 30, 2020
LONDON/BRUSSELS: British lawmakers approved Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s post-Brexit
trade deal with the European Union on Wednesday, as both sides looked to begin a
new chapter of relations just days before their divorce becomes a reality.
Britain and the European Union were signing the deal on Wednesday and the
British parliament will finalize its implementation, ending over four years of
negotiation and safeguarding nearly a $1 trillion of annual trade. Both sides
said it was a chance to begin a new chapter in a relationship forged as Europe
rebuilt after World War Two, but which has often seen Britain as a reluctant
participant in ever-tighter political and economic integration. Johnson, in a
specially convened sitting of parliament, said he hoped to work “hand in glove”
with the EU when its interests aligned, using Britain’s new-found sovereignty to
reshape the British economy. “Brexit is not an end but a beginning,” Johnson
said. “The responsibility now rests with all of us to make the best use of the
powers that we regain, the tools that we’ve taken back into our hands.”
Parliament’s lower house voted 521 to 73 in favor of the deal. The upper house
of parliament now debates the bill and it should become law around midnight. The
deal has been criticized on several fronts since it was agreed on Dec. 24. The
opposition Labour Party say it is too thin and doesn’t protect trade in
services, fishermen rage that Johnson has sold out their interests, and Northern
Ireland’s status remains subject to much uncertainty. Nevertheless, Johnson has
won the support of his party’s hard-line Brexiteers — delivering a break with
the EU far more radical than many imagined when Britain shocked the world in
2016 by voting to leave. Long-time euroskeptic lawmaker Bill Cash said Johnson
had saved Britain’s democracy from four decades of “subjugation” to Brussels:
“Like Alexander the Great, Boris has cut the Gordian knot.” Johnson said he
hoped to end the “old, tired, vexed question of Britain’s political relations
with Europe” and instead become “the best friend and ally the EU could have.”
Earlier, against a backdrop of EU flags, top EU officials signed the treaties
struck on Dec. 24 to preserve Britain’s tariff- and quota-free access to the
bloc’s 450 million consumers. “It is of the utmost importance for the European
Union and the United Kingdom to look forward, in view of opening a new chapter
in their relations,” the EU said in a statement. A British Royal Air Force plane
was scheduled to bring the documents, which bear the EU’s golden stars on a blue
leather folder, to Johnson, who was due to sign it at around 1500 GMT. The
aircraft then takes a signed copy back to Brussels.
Britain formally left the EU nearly a year ago and the new partnership agreement
will regulate ties from Jan. 1 on everything from trade to transport, energy
links and fishing. After both sides have signed, the deal will be in place until
the end of February, pending final approval by the European Parliament to make
it permanent.
Afghan Troops, Police Abandon nearly 200 Checkpoints to
Taliban
Agence France Presse/December 30/2020
Afghan security personnel have abandoned nearly 200 checkpoints in restive
Kandahar province in recent weeks, officials said Wednesday, in some cases
leaving behind their weapons to be seized by the Taliban. Kandahar provincial
governor Hayatullah Hayat and a local lawmaker separately confirmed the
situation to AFP, saying commanders would be disciplined for their actions. The
defence ministry in Kabul denied the reports, insisting government forces had
been making progress in the region. Government forces and the Taliban have
clashed regularly in Kandahar province since October despite peace talks between
the warring sides. "Afghan security forces have retreated from 193 checkpoints
and outposts in Zharai, Maiwand, Arghandab and Panjwai districts," Kandahar
provincial governor Hayatullah Hayat told AFP. "Most of the security chiefs and
officers who neglected their duties have been dismissed and referred to the
judiciary." Kandahar lawmaker Hashim Alkhozai and a local police officer
confirmed the details to AFP. "The security forces exited the bases leaving
behind their weapons and ammunition," Alkhozai said. Most of those who left were
soldiers, said Jan Mohammad, a policeman from Zharai district. "They left
without firing a bullet," he said. "The Taliban now have all the weapons seized
from the army and are using them against us." Governor Hayat blamed "poor
coordination" for the situation amid a shortage of police and troops. Kandahar
is the birthplace of the Taliban, who went on to rule Afghanistan with a harsh
version of Islamic sharia law until being overthrown by a US-led invasion in
2001. Since a US-Taliban deal in February, the insurgents have mostly refrained
from carrying out major attacks on cities, but have launched near-daily assaults
against Afghan forces in rural areas. Peace talks between the two sides -- which
started in September in the Qatari capital of Doha -- are currently on a break
and are due to resume on January 5.
Baghdad’s currency devaluation lifts lid on Iran’s
exploitation of Iraqi resources
The Arab News/December 30/2020
BAGHDAD – Although essentially economic and financial in nature, the Iraqi
government’s decision to devalue the Iraqi dinar against the US dollar has had
political and strategic implications for Iran and its militias in Iraq and the
region. The unresponsive reaction of the black market to the government's
decision revealed that Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi has actually
dealt a major economic blow to Iran's allies in Iraq at a sensitive moment. The
Baghdad government reduced the exchange rate of the local currency so that every
US dollar would be sold for 1,450 dinars instead of 1,119 in order to face an
unprecedented cash liquidity crisis due to low oil prices and the effects of the
COVID-19 pandemic. But the black market is still trading the US dollar at a
lower price than that set by the Central Bank, which means that the government’s
financial policies are achieving quick success, which may contribute to
addressing the general economic recession. The old rate of the Iraqi dinar
created a wide margin for speculation with the dollar at home and for smuggling
of the US currency to Iran by armed militias that have at their disposal private
banks and merchants linked to pro-Iran Shia parties. The figures that were made
available in the days after the exchange rate was changed revealed shocking
facts -- that about 80% of the hard currency that was pumped by Iraq's Central
Bank to maintain a fixed exchange rate is being smuggled into Iran and Syria
after being exchanged in urgent speculation inside Iraq.
Iraqi MP Mohamed al-Darraji said that the Central Bank's selling of dollars to
banks, companies and merchants decreased significantly after hiking up the
exchange rate, which confirms that the dollar was being smuggled out of the
country.
He explained that over the past ten years, the Central Bank had sold private
banks, companies and merchants about $200 million a day, which supposedly
covered the cost of Iraq’s internal needs imported from abroad. However, over
the past two days, the Central Bank sold only $35 million at the new exchange
rate, which confirms that the remainder of the $200 million that was pumped into
the market every day was being smuggled out of Iraq. Economists say that Iran
has dealt with Iraq over the past ten years as a bank to revive its economy and
finance its wars in Syria and Yemen. Smuggled Iraqi money is used to finance
weapons purchases disguised as other material. Iraqi sources say that Iran has
spent billions of dollars, after smuggling them out of Iraq, to buy Chinese
weapons and smuggle them into Syria, Yemen and Lebanon in recent years. All of
these funds came from Iraq's Central Bank, which was pumping dollars to maintain
the old exchange rate of 1,119 dinars per dollar. But with the change in the
exchange rate, dollars coming from Iraq have become expensive and are no longer
profitable. For speculation purposes, the demand for dollars sold by Iraq's
Central Bank has plunged, as the dollar is still being traded on the black
market at prices lower than the government level. In the end, Iran may have lost
an influential financial cover that Iraq was providing to sustain the process of
supplying arms to its proxies in Syria and Yemen, while its militias, parties
and fronts in Iraq lost a very important source of revenue that was sufficient
to sustain their political activities. As soon as Iran made sure it would pay
the price of changing the Iraqi dinar exchange rate against the dollar, it
stopped supplying Iraq with the gas it needed to operate the electric power
stations, which caused the collapse of the national electricity system.
Ahmad Musa, a spokesman for Iraq's electricity ministry, said that Iran had
reduced the amount of gas exported to Iraq per day from 50 million cubic metres
to three million cubic meters, explaining that the national electricity system
can now supply citizens with only one hour of electricity followed by five hours
of blackout. Iran claims that it has reduced the quantity of gas exported to
Iraq due to the accumulation of unpaid Iraqi debt, although bilateral debt
between the two countries in various sectors has never halted economic exchange
before.
Government sources say that Iran is trying to punish Iraq for changing the
exchange rate of its currency by implicating it in an electricity crisis that
may ignite street anger against the government. Observers say that Kadhimi’s
success in passing this test may reflect on the course of the confrontation
between the government and the militias affiliated with Iran, which is believed
to be in its most dangerous phase.
Egypt achieves self-sufficiency in rice in 2020 with 6.5
mln tons: Cabinet
Reuters, Cairo/Wednesday 30 December 2020
Egypt achieved self-sufficiency in rice in 2020 with the production of 6.5
million tons, the cabinet said on Wednesday. The country has planted 1.7 million
feddans (1.76 million acres) of rice this season and the resulting harvest
quantities are more than sufficient for the country’s needs, Supply Minister Ali
Moselhy told reporters on Sunday.
Wuhan Virus Cases May be 10 Times Higher than Reported,
China Health Study Says
Agence France Presse/December 30/2020
The number of coronavirus cases in the Chinese city where the pathogen was first
detected may have been 10 times higher than official figures suggest, according
to a study by health authorities in Wuhan. About 4.4 percent of the city's 11
million residents had developed antibodies against the virus causing Covid-19 by
April, the report by the Chinese Centre for Disease Control (CDC) said. That
correlates to around 480,000 infections in Wuhan by April, nearly 10 times the
official tally to date of 50,000 cases in the city. China has faced a barrage of
criticism at home and abroad over its initial handling of the virus, including
attempts to silence whistle-blowers and not reporting any cases for days in
early January amid high-level political consultations. On Monday, citizen
journalist Zhang Zhan was jailed for four years for reporting on conditions
inside Wuhan during the height of the outbreak.
The discrepancy revealed by the CDC's data may "point to potential
underreporting due to the chaos in late January and early February, when a large
number of people were not tested or were not tested accurately for Covid-19,"
Huang Yanzhong, a senior fellow for global health at the Council on Foreign
Relations (CFR), told AFP. Qin Ying, a serological expert from the CDC told AFP
on Wednesday that disparities in data were not unique to China. "Several
countries have already published similar serological surveys and... in most
instances the number of people with antibodies against the coronavirus was
several times higher than the confirmed case count," Qin said. "So this kind of
disparity is a widespread phenomenon." The CDC added that only 0.44 percent of
the population in central Hubei province outside of Wuhan exhibited antibodies
for the virus, suggesting that the 77-day lockdown on the city may have helped
prevent the spread of the disease. The findings of the survey of more than
34,000 people across the country conducted in April was only released late
Monday. China does not include asymptomatic cases in its official tally, which
could also explain the discrepancy between the total confirmed cases and the
actual number infected. The country's total number of cases stands at 87,027
with 4,634 deaths, according to data from the National Health Commission on
Wednesday. China has largely curbed the virus at home, and was the only major
economy to report positive economic growth this year as restrictions on
businesses and internal travel were lifted. Even in Wuhan the "rate is not as
high as that in New York City (23 percent by September), which may suggest the
(Chinese) government containment efforts were speedy and effective", Huang said.
Officials have also rushed to test tens of millions of people to squash local
mini-outbreaks.
The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on December 30-31/2020
It is not the act that defines terrorism for most Americans
but the appearance of the perpetrator
Ray Hanania/Arab News/December 30/2020
When a recreational vehicle parked on a street in a major tourist area of
Nashville, Tennessee exploded on Christmas Day, police officers were hesitant to
call it an act of terrorism. The massive bomb, placed in a motorhome of the kind
used for road-trip travel, exploded in the early hours of the morning. Three
people were injured and 41 businesses were affected by property damage,
including one building that completely collapsed. Police said the vehicle had
been parked at the site of the explosion for several hours. Shortly before the
blast a message was broadcast in English warning people to evacuate the area,
accompanied by the 1964 Petula Clark song “Downtown.”Police are still trying to
determine a motive for the attack. Evidence recovered at the scene included DNA
from the remains of a person who was in the vehicle. Police suspect they belong
to the bomber and that he intended to kill himself in the blast.
Social media was quickly flooded with all kinds of conspiracy theories. The
bomber wanted to destroy a nearby AT&T transmission building, for example, over
concerns about the effects of 5G networks or fears that they are being used to
control people’s minds. Or evidence of stolen ballots from the US presidential
election were being stored in the area.
If this attack does not appear to be terrorism, I do not know what does. Yet the
FBI and police in Nashville declined to use that word, saying they are
investigating the motives and need to connect them to an “ideology” before they
can declare it an act of terrorism. Well, I can tell you that whenever there is
an act of violence in the US and the suspect is Arab or Muslim, there is never
any hesitation by the authorities and the news media in labeling it as an act of
“terrorism.”
In the minds of many Americans terrorism is a culture, not a political form of
violence intended to achieve a specific goal. Although, to be honest, I cannot
imagine any act of violence, outside of accidental violence, that does not have
as a goal the desire to be destructive and harmful.
The hesitation to declare the Nashville bombing an act of terrorism raises
important questions about the use of stereotypes, racism and even hatred by
Americans to label those they dislike — and Arabs and Muslims have never been
popular in the US.
I know this from firsthand experience. I served honorably in the US military
during the Vietnam War in the early 1970s, and for 12 more years in the Air
National Guard, joining thousands of other Arab Americans who have served this
country patriotically.
But that wasn’t enough for the FBI and the powers that be at the time. The FBI
investigated me for two years because I wrote a letter defending Palestinian
rights that was published in two once-prominent national magazines, Time and
Newsweek.
I was investigated because I am Arab — and since most Americans do not know the
difference between Arab Muslims and Arab Christians, they suspected I was a
“Muslim terrorist.”
The hesitation to declare the Nashville bombing an act of terrorism raises
important questions about the use of stereotypes, racism and even hatred by
Americans to label those they dislike — and Arabs and Muslims have never been
popular in the US.
In fact, as a Christian Palestinian Arab my first reaction whenever there is an
act of violence is one of concern and hope that the person responsible for it is
not an Arab, just to avoid the vicious and immediate backlash that will
inevitably follow.
There is no doubt in my mind — and, I am sure, the minds of the majority of
Arabs and Muslims — that had the suspect in Nashville been identified as Arab or
a Muslim, the US would already be placing the military on alert for a possible
attack on a target.
Instead of conspiracy theories about voter fraud or the effect of technologies
such as 5G on our minds, the discussions would be about the Arab and Muslim
“threat.” Stories in the news media would be filled with concerns about violence
by Arabs and Muslims, and before we know it the Nashville bombing would be
eclipsed by attacks on innocent people who happen to be “Arab-looking” or
“Muslim-looking.”
After the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, dozens of Arabs and Muslims in
the US were targeted in revenge attacks, along with many of their businesses.
Several people were killed simply because they “looked” Arab or Muslim. Among
the dead were several non-Arabs, including Pakistanis and Sikhs. Yet they are
not on the list of victims of Sept. 11, even though that is clearly what they
were.
The logic against recognizing their suffering as being related to the attacks
seems to be simple: how can people perceived, even wrongly, as being
“terrorists” also be the victims of terrorism?
That kind of logic is also exactly what continues to emanate from American
society in response to the violence perpetrated by Israeli authorities against
Arab or Muslim civilians. Every day, Israeli soldiers arrest, beat or kill
Palestinians. On Dec. 21, for example, they shot and killed a 17-year-old named
Mahmoud Omar Kameel in occupied Jerusalem’s Old City. The Israeli PR spin
alleged that he had fired a weapon at the soldiers.
Very few major media outlets reported on the killing, which was covered mostly
by a few “pro-Arab” blogs, so the Israeli claims that Kameel was armed were just
accepted as truth. The Israelis quickly labeled him a “terrorist.” Why not? He
was an Arab and a Muslim, after all.
That “terrorist” label defines how the public views acts of violence and
determines the level of anger in response — and fuels revenge. It determines the
level of response.
In America, no one will destroy the home of the family of the Nashville bombing
suspect, who has been identified as Anthony Quinn Warner. But you can bet the
Israelis will destroy the home of the family of Mahmoud Omar Kameel, the Arab
and Muslim. We probably will not know about such retribution for weeks, or maybe
months, because it is rarely reported.
As Arabs and Muslims, we should be concerned. We should be concerned that the
West views us as guilty until proven innocent when we are accused of crimes. We
should be concerned that different standards are applied to us when it comes to
violent acts of terrorism: Arabs and Muslims are judged as being guilty almost
immediately. Even when the suspect cannot immediately be identified, the
suspicion of Arab or Muslim involvement is often deliberate and pronounced.
If a group is automatically viewed as being “guilty” of terrorism — or almost
anything else — it makes it easier to marginalize the concerns, rights and
humanity of members of that group. That’s why it seems so easy for the West to
condemn and kill Arabs and Muslims in response to violent acts, while
deliberating long and hard about similar acts of violence committed by non-Arabs
and non-Muslims.
*Ray Hanania is an award-winning former Chicago City Hall political reporter and
columnist. He can be reached on his personal website at www.Hanania.com.
Twitter: @RayHanania
With his post-Brexit trip to India, UK PM Boris Johnson
aims to send a statement of intent
Andrew Hammond/Arab News/December 30/2020
One of the unintended consequences for the UK of the coronavirus crisis and
Brexit has been that Boris Johnson’s premiership has involved very little
international travel recently — and what there has been was mainly limited to
Europe.
That will change in 2021, potentially dramatically, as he attempts to look
beyond the continent to drive forward a new “Global Britain” campaign.
After making only 11 foreign trips since July 2019, nine of them to Europe, a
key sign that change is on the horizon for Johnson is his trip to India next
month. It will be his first to the country (and indeed the massive Asia-Pacific
region) as prime minister. He will be guest of honor at the annual Republic Day
parade in New Delhi, and he intends to send a signal of what is to follow during
the rest of 2021 and beyond.
For the UK Government, Global Britain is all about reinvesting in relationships,
championing a rules-based international order, and demonstrating that England,
Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are open, outward-looking and confident on
the world stage. So it is no coincidence that India was selected as the prime
minister’s first overseas port of call in 2021.
London and New Delhi have, of course, long had a unique relationship, dating
back to the days of the British Empire. But the growing warmth in bilateral ties
under the leadership of Johnson and his Indian counterpart, Narendra Modi, is
striking — including, during the coronavirus crisis, a flow of medical goods
from India to the UK. The letter has, for instance, received 11 million face
masks and 3 million packets of paracetamol from the former since the pandemic
began.
Both Johnson and Modi attach high importance to bilateral relations, and in 2018
Modi became the first Indian premier to visit Britain in more than a decade.
Under Johnson, the UK has at least three significant reasons for wanting to
enhance the relationship with India as much as possible. Firstly, the cooling of
ties with China has been more pronounced in London than in many other European
capitals. In this context, the second reason is that London would like New Delhi
to play an ever-increasing role in international affairs. To this end, Johnson
has invited India — along with fellow G20 states South Korea and Australia — to
next year’s UK-hosted G7 summit, as part of his ambition to work with a group of
like-minded democracies to advance shared interests and tackle common
challenges.
The third reason is Brexit. After leaving the EU, Johnson wants to agree a new
UK-India trade deal that will grant UK firms greater access to a market that
includes about 1.3 billion consumers.
For the UK Government, Global Britain is all about reinvesting in relationships,
championing a rules-based international order, and demonstrating that England,
Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are open, outward-looking and confident on
the world stage.
The strength of the contemporary economic relationship between the two countries
is underlined by the fact that the UK is one of the biggest G20 employers and
investors in India. More than 400 British firms have a presence there.
India, meanwhile, is one of largest sources of foreign investment in the UK,
with more 800 Indian companies operating there.
There are several distinctive elements of this economic relationship — which has
come to dominate bilateral ties recently — that Johnson wishes to emphasize in a
post-Brexit trade deal. Firstly, he wants even stronger cooperation in defense
manufacturing, as part of a wider bilateral dialogue on security and defense.
Secondly, he wishes to encourage further international investment, via the City
of London, in Indian infrastructure.
The third element he wishes to emphasize is technology, given the significant
investment in Indian telecoms and tech by UK-headquartered firms. A fourth is
the health, pharmaceutical and life sciences sector. As the “pharmacy of the
world,” India supplies more than 50 percent of the world’s vaccines. More than a
billion doses of the UK-developed Oxford University/AstraZeneca coronavirus
vaccine will be manufactured at the Serum Institute in Pune, for example.
Yet, despite all the potential gains from a trade deal, there are some
challenges that Johnson must face, too. One key issue India is pressing for in a
wider agreement is UK immigration reforms that would allow more Indian
businesspeople and students to travel to England, Scotland, Wales and Northern
Ireland.
However, despite the differences that remain between India and the UK on the
details of a post-Brexit trade deal, what is striking is how much economics has
come to dominate bilateral relations in recent times.
As this has happened, some traditional irritants have been de-emphasized,
including concerns about human rights issues in India. In 2013, for example, a
motion was tabled in the House of Commons calling on the UK government to
reinstate a previously imposed travel ban on Modi, citing “his (alleged) role in
the communal violence in 2002” in Gujarat.
As Johnson continues to prioritize greater post-Brexit ties with India,
controversies such as this have been set aside. During his time in power, any
irritants in UK-India relations look likely to be overridden by a desire for
greater economic cooperation, as London seeks to balance its cooling relations
with Beijing by developing warmer ties with New Delhi.
*Andrew Hammond is an Associate at LSE IDEAS at the London School of Economics
How to expand the China-GCC strategic partnership
Abdel Aziz Aluwaisheg/Arab News/December 30/2020
China enjoys warm ties with Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Cooperation Council
states. Most GCC countries have upgraded their engagement with China to a
“strategic partnership,” with close cooperation in all fields, including
political and security areas. While these developments are important and real, I
will suggest some steps to make it closer and enduring.
GCC-China engagement was not always this close. The contrast is clear in the
case of Saudi Arabia and China, which did not exchange diplomatic ties until
1990. Then, Saudi Arabia accepted the “one China” policy and downgraded Taiwan’s
embassy in the Kingdom to a trade mission. However, most of the change came from
the Chinese side. For much of its history, the People’s Republic of China
supported revolutionary change around the world, including the Gulf. In the
1970s, it supported the Dhofar rebellion in Oman and the socialist regime in
South Yemen, among others. In 1979, it embraced the Iranian revolution, which
ended the US influence in Tehran and gave a wider opening for China in the Gulf.
More recently, as China sought to solidify its position as a global economic
superpower, it replaced revolutionary zeal with support for pragmatism and
respect for international norms, stability and preserving the status quo. With
that transformation, China has been able to establish a solid presence in the
Gulf. In particular, as its thirst for energy increased with rapid economic
growth, it recognized the need for a stable and reliable security architecture
in the Gulf, the source of much of its oil, gas and petrochemicals.
The legacy of support for Tehran lingers as a relic from China’s revolutionary
days, but is waning in terms of strategic interests; for example, in 2019, Iran
provided China with a minuscule 3 percent of its oil imports, a trifle that
could be replaced from other sources.There has been a similar transformation in
economic ties. At $180 billion, GCC trade with China accounts for over 11
percent of the GCC’s overall trade. In 2020, China became the GCC’s top trading
partner, replacing the EU for the first time. This is quite a change in a
relatively short time. In 1992, for example, trade with China accounted for only
2 percent of GCC total trade, compared with the EU share of 24 percent. China
imports more than 32 percent of its crude oil from the GCC.
The transformation in China-GCC relations is quite profound, but is still
evolving. The most difficult part is managing its relations with Iran. China
relies on the security architecture in the Gulf to protect its oil supplies from
the region, and that security system is based on a decades-old partnership
between the US and GCC states. As China-US rivalry intensifies, Beijing’s
support for that security architecture grows more ironic, but it still makes
pragmatic sense. The alternative of China providing security for its own oil
supplies from the Gulf would be expensive.
The growing ties are not only about the security of energy supplies. The GCC has
supported China’s Belt and Road Initiative and some GCC member states are
actively involved in its development in the region. China has become the top
export destination of GCC petrochemicals and chemicals, accounting for about 25
percent of GCC exports. During a visit in February 2019 by Saudi Arabia’s Crown
Prince Mohammed bin Salman, a $10 billion deal was concluded for a refining and
petrochemical complex in China. Coinciding with the same visit,35 bilateral
economic cooperation agreements worth over $28 billion were signed at a
Saudi-Chinese investment forum in Riyadh attended by more than 1,000
participants.
China can play a constructive role by persuading Iran to change its
revolutionary colors, as China itself did and became a global powerhouse for it.
“We've seen huge growth in Chinese companies in the Kingdom. There was a 100
percent increase in entry to the Saudi market in the first half of 2019 compared
with last year,” a Saudi official said in July 2019.
China-GCC relations have grown to include mutual support in international
meetings. China has also dispatched military attaches, most of whom speak
excellent Arabic, to countries of the region, seeking to expand military ties.
Cultural ties are being revived and expanded. Chinese language schools are being
established in the region and Saudi Arabia is moving to make Chinese a third
language in its schools after Arabic and English.
A meeting in November between China and GCC foreign ministers touched on most of
areas of the growing ties between China and the GCC, collectively and
bilaterally. The enthusiasm in these meetings is genuine and palpable.
What could be done to expand those ties? There are several suggestions from the
GCC perspective. First, China needs to reconcile its support for international
norms with its Iran ties. No one doubts China’s commitment to stability in the
region through compliance with international law and the UN Charter. That would
mean respect for national borders, political independence, and the territorial
integrity of neighboring countries. All of these norms are frequently violated
by Tehran, as it continues to recruit, train, arm, fund and dispatch motley
groups of terrorists and sectarian fanatics to destabilize just about every
country in the neighborhood.
The UN Charter also bans the use of force or threats and calls for conflict
resolution through peaceful means, including resort to multilateral legal
agreements and organizations. Iran’s hardliners have dismissed these legal
instruments and forums as Western-orientated and biased.
China can play a constructive role by persuading Iran to change its
revolutionary colors, as China itself did a while ago, and respect the
international and regional order, starting by ceasing support for sectarian and
terrorist groups.
The GCC expects China to support expanding negotiations with Iran to include
ballistic missile development and Tehran’s regional activities and to support
GCC involvement in those talks when they resume.
For the China-GCC strategic partnership to thrive, it needs to be comprehensive
and consistent, with candid and regular dialogue on all aspects of that
partnership.
*Dr. Abdel Aziz Aluwaisheg is the GCC assistant secretary-general for political
affairs and negotiation, and a columnist for Arab News. The views expressed in
this piece are personal and do not necessarily represent GCC views. Twitter:
@abuhamad1
Syrian conflict needs attention after being put on the
backburner
كريم شاهين/ذي ناشيونال: الصراع السوري بحاجة إلى اهتمام بعد أن وضع على نار هادئة
Kareem Shaheen/The National/December 30/2020
For many of us, 2020 felt like a year in which the world stood still. Well-laid
plans were put on hold, reunions with friends and families were postponed,
careers took a backseat while we figured out how to take care of children and
family while juggling work, and for all too many of us, personal loss that
ground down our aspirations and hopes. The relief that the year is almost at an
end is palpable, if only for the psychological need to turn the page on the
calendar.
This collective stalemate, however, also meant that some of the most implacable
conflicts in our part of the world have yet to be resolved. Though battlelines
may not have shifted much (one of the few silver linings of the pandemic),
people continue to suffer in purgatory, unable to resume their lives, fearful of
what is to come when the guns start firing again.
No conflict illustrates this dilemma better than Syria, which despite a largely
peaceful year on the military front, has grown steadily worse for its people.
The crisis has claimed over half a million lives and half the country has been
displaced, yet life is becoming more unbearable and more deprived, for a
population that has endured a decade of war and now finds little solace in
relative peace.
Bashar Al Assad largely secured military victory in Syria thanks to the backing
of Russia and Iran. A series of brutal military campaigns between 2016 and 2018
allowed him to reclaim large swathes of territory that had been lost to rebels
in Aleppo, the south, and in the area surrounding the capital Damascus. Only
Idlib, a province bordering Turkey, and which stretches along the northern
border, remained outside his grasp.
The year began with a renewed push to retake parts of Idlib, which sent hundreds
of thousands fleeing to the Turkish border, threatening to create a new refugee
crisis. The killing of a dozen Turkish soldiers in an airstrike then prompted a
major incursion by Ankara that halted and reversed the regime’s advance back in
March, but added to the tensions on the border. Since the emergence of the
coronavirus pandemic, these battle lines have largely held.
The coronavirus has ravaged Syria – despite a low official case count of just
over 10,000 infections, independent reporting shows the pandemic has raged
through society, both in government-controlled areas and in the destroyed
environs of Idlib. The regime, which cannot afford the lockdown measures
necessary to arrest the virus’s spread, has sought to hide the true extent of
the suffering, rather than do anything to stop it.
The plague was coupled with an economic crisis that has left the population
increasingly destitute. Neighbouring Lebanon’s economy, long a crucial access
point for foreign currency and a place for Syrians to deposit their savings,
collapsed. Syria’s economy also suffered, with poverty and unemployment
increasing, access to food declining, and fuel becoming increasingly scarce.
Long bread and diesel fuel lines are common.
The economic situation has been worsened by stalled reconstruction efforts. The
US Caesar Act sanctions imposed extremely tight restrictions on any business
dealings in the country, making it impossible for companies and nations that
wanted to continue being part of the global financial system to operate there.
The impossibility of reconstruction efforts has made an economic recovery, as a
consequence of Mr Al Assad’s military victory, largely a pipe dream.
Yet even as things got steadily worse for the population, there was no progress
on a peace settlement. A constitutional committee established under UN auspices
has done little to advance its goal of drafting a new charter for the country.
Nor have negotiations involving the main international protagonists in the
country, Russia, Iran and Turkey, created any openings for peace, largely
because they are mostly interested in pursuing self-serving agendas.
The only cause for optimism has been from outside the country. While hope
withers that those responsible for the gravest atrocities of the war will ever
be held to account, European courts have begun prosecuting some of the country’s
war criminals. In Germany, police this year arrested two doctors on suspicion of
taking part in torturing political detainees, while two intelligence officers,
who were charged with crimes against humanity for their role in the torture,
killing and rape of detainees, also stood trial.
There is little basis for hope that in 2021 there might be a resolution to the
crisis in Syria. Perhaps the new administration in the US will take an interest
after a decade of turning an eye away from the slaughter, and use the leverage
of sanctions to push a peace plan in earnest. Perhaps the 10-year anniversary
will offer a stark reminder and an impetus for global action to solve the
crisis. Then again perhaps the stalemate will continue, relegated to the backs
of our minds by the absence of urgency and immediate violence.
But whatever happens, Syrians can ill afford another lost year of desperation.
*Kareem Shaheen is a veteran Middle East correspondent in Canada and a columnist
for The National
China Using Covid to Overtake America's Economy
Gordon G. Chang/ Gatestone Institute/December 30/ 2020
China's economy is worse than it appears, and its vaccines,
needed for a full recovery, are still in development, far behind America's. In
the meantime, Beijing's response to the coronavirus, which includes the smearing
of America, is resulting in China losing friends worldwide.
Government stimulus is powering much of the current growth as are net exports.
Yet the current "flood of defaults" in China points to widespread weakness.
Beijing's spending spree, therefore, is not sustainable, even with the help of
foreign investment.
Ultimately, the economy will recover only when China has an effective and safe
vaccine. Although the Chinese have had months of head start, they are far behind
America.
China is fast losing support in capitals around the world. It is not hard to
figure out why. Chinese ruler Xi Jinping deliberately spread the virus beyond
China's borders — by lying about the transmissibility of the disease and, while
locking down Wuhan, forcing countries to take arrivals from China — and others
are now starting to understand the maliciousness of the Communist Party.
Moreover, they are learning about its venality. For instance, China this spring
sold Italy medical protective gear that Italians had donated to Beijing a few
weeks earlier.
China's economy is worse than it appears, and its vaccines, needed for a full
recovery, are still in development, far behind America's. In the meantime,
Beijing's response to the coronavirus, which includes the smearing of America,
is resulting in China losing friends worldwide. (Photo by Justin Tallis/AFP via
Getty Images)
The U.K.-based Centre for Economics and Business Research believes that, due to
China's superior response to COVID-19, the Chinese economy will become the
world's largest by 2028, five years earlier than previously forecast.
"For some time, an overarching theme of global economics has been the economic
and soft power struggle between the United States and China," the Centre wrote
in a December 26 report. "The COVID-19 pandemic and corresponding economic
fallout have certainly tipped this rivalry in China's favor."
No, it has not. In fact, the opposite looks to be true. The Centre's prediction,
which mimics one of Beijing's narratives, is more than just premature. It is
based on fundamentally wrong assumptions.
China's economy is worse than it appears, and its vaccines, needed for a full
recovery, are still in development, far behind America's. In the meantime,
Beijing's response to the coronavirus, which includes the smearing of America,
is resulting in China losing friends worldwide.
CEBR, as the Centre is known, believes there will be "a strong post-pandemic
rebound in 2021" in the United States. The recovery will tail off with annual
growth of gross domestic product of around 1.9% from 2022 to 2024. Yearly U.S.
growth will then fall to 1.6% in following years.
China's recovery, according to CEBR, will be far more robust. The country will
grow 5.7% each year through 2025. That figure will drop to a still-healthy 4.5%
from 2026-2030.
CEBR's figures are not out of the mainstream. For instance, the International
Monetary Fund estimates an 8.2% expansion next year. The World Bank pegs 2021
growth at 7.9%.
Those numbers, however, look widely optimistic. Government stimulus is powering
much of the current growth as are net exports. Yet the current "flood of
defaults" in China points to widespread weakness. Beijing's spending spree,
therefore, is not sustainable, even with the help of foreign investment.
The sustainable portion of the economy — consumption — has never been as strong
as advertised, but now it is far weaker due to the disease. Even official
numbers paint a dreadful picture. Retail sales, a good proxy for internal
consumer demand, fell 4.8% during the first eleven months of this year over the
same period in 2019. Bellwether auto sales were off 2.9% for the
January-November period. The consumer price index in November dropped 0.5%.
The just-released China Beige Book, a widely followed private survey, shows
pronounced drops in sales growth in the luxury goods, food, and clothing
sub-sectors in the fourth quarter of this year compared to the preceding one.
Travel saw no growth at all, and hospitality was off as well. Moreover, the
survey reveals the business community has a generally dour outlook on the
Chinese economy as a whole, casting doubt on sunny predictions for 2021.
Chinese officials say life has returned to normal in China, but that is
unlikely. State media celebrated the crowds in once-stricken Wuhan and noted it
was the most-visited city during the Golden Week holiday at the beginning of
October. Yet Wuhan reported that holiday revenue fell approximately 30% over
last year. Moreover, even though the holiday was one day longer this year than
in 2019, tourist spending nationwide was down a stunning 30%.
Ultimately, the economy will recover only when China has an effective and safe
vaccine. Although the Chinese have had months of a head start, they are far
behind America. The U.S. now has two vaccines that have received final FDA
approval — the Pfizer-BioNTech one and Moderna's — and both have efficacy rates
well over 90%. The Johnson & Johnson vaccine is on the way.
China's vaccines — Sinovac's and Sinopharm's — have yet to complete Phase 3
trials, and Beijing has been slow to release data. Interestingly, China is
testing the vaccines mostly in other countries, including Morocco, Nigeria, the
United Arab Emirates, Brazil, Turkey, Indonesia, and Chile. Mystifyingly, the
various trials are not being conducted with the same protocols.
Beijing says people accept its two vaccines, which are being administered to
tens of millions, but that is because people have no choice. In Hong Kong, a
separately administered part of China, residents have a choice and anecdotal
evidence suggests many of them are rejecting vaccination because they do not
want the Chinese ones.
Today, there are coronavirus outbreaks around China — the latest is in Beijing —
and the central government has employed lockdowns, mass testing, and
contact-tracing. Not much else is known, unfortunately.
Why? The Communist Party is absolutely determined to control information. On
January 26 of this year, it announced the Central Leading Small Group for Work
to Counter the New Coronavirus Infection Pneumonia Epidemic, China's task force.
There was only one public health official on the initial nine-person roster,
which was filled with political hacks, security types, and propaganda officials.
The Party's propaganda czar, Wang Huning, was named vice chair. Therefore,
supporting the Party's narrative was the primary goal of the ruling
organization, which means information coming from China on the disease is
suspect.
"Beijing's narrative is mutating faster than the virus itself," Claudia Rosett,
foreign policy fellow of the Independent Women's Forum, told Gatestone.
At first, Chinese officials acknowledged the disease started in China, but since
then they have suggested it came from Italy, Spain, India, or frozen-food
packaging. In March, a foreign ministry spokesman stated patient zero was in the
United States and intimated the U.S. Army carried the coronavirus to Wuhan, the
epicenter.
These assertions were absurd, but almost nothing is too ludicrous for Chinese
officials these days. As Rosett says, "At some stage, we'll be reading in the
Communist Party press that the virus was cooked up in the kitchens and stored in
the freezers of Mar-a-Lago, and it was only owing to Xi Jinping's extraordinary
resolve that he did not catch it in 2017 from the chocolate cake."
Rosett is expressing a sentiment resonating just about everywhere. As the Wall
Street Journal reported on December 28, China is fast losing support in capitals
around the world. It is not hard to figure out why. Chinese ruler Xi Jinping
deliberately spread the virus beyond China's borders — by lying about the
transmissibility of the disease and, while locking down Wuhan, forcing countries
to take arrivals from China — and others are now starting to understand the
maliciousness of the Communist Party.
Moreover, they are learning about its venality. For instance, China this spring
sold Italy medical protective gear that Italians had donated to Beijing a few
weeks earlier. "Foreign leaders cite complaints about the way Mr. Xi's
government initially handled Covid-19," the Journal reported.
Beijing has not learned from mistakes this year, and these days, outlandish
statements are evidently in vogue. In recent months, it has been working
overtime to tar the U.S., even stating on December 28 that "disorder" in America
at this moment was worse than at any time "since the founding of the U.S. in
1776." America, the Party's Global Times stated in the title of its editorial,
is "Unrecognizable to the World in 2020."
In short, the Centre for Economics and Business Research missed the real story
of China's response to the coronavirus. Beijing may have reaped temporary gains
in the immediate wake of the disease, but more significantly it has, through
malign and predatory actions, lost standing just about everywhere. China, for a
sustained economic recovery, needs that support.
"China's GDP will overtake that of the U.S. sooner or later," the Global Times
confidently stated on December 27 in another editorial, titled "China Surpassing
U.S. in 2028 Is Faint Praise."
Overtake America? No, it won't.
*Gordon G. Chang is the author of The Coming Collapse of China, a Gatestone
Institute Distinguished Senior Fellow, and member of its Advisory Board. Follow
him on Twitter and Parler @GordonGChang.
© 2020 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.