English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For August 03/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/eliasnews19/english.august03.20.htm
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2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006
Bible Quotations For today
You cross sea and land to make a single
convert, and you make the new convert twice as much a child of hell as
yourselves
Matthew 23/13-15: “‘But woe to you, scribes and
Pharisees, hypocrites! For you lock people out of the kingdom of heaven. For you
do not go in yourselves, and when others are going in, you stop them. Woe to
you, scribes and Pharisees, hypocrites! For you cross sea and land to make a
single convert, and you make the new convert twice as much a child of hell as
yourselves.””
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on August
02-03/2020
The Pompousness, Self-Admiration and Bragging Plagues/Elias Bejjani/August
02/2020
A revolution not televised: Lebanese mock censorship of famous patriotic song
during army celebration
Tough words but Israel, Hezbollah don't want new war: Experts
Aoun Accuses ‘Global Travelers’ of Incitement against Lebanon
Al-Rahi: Anyone who Cares about Lebanon Wouldn't Reject Neutrality
Israel 'Ready for All Scenarios', Report Says Not Seeking Hizbullah Conflict
Israel Expected to Maintain Alert State on Lebanon Border
Israel Sends Spy Balloon over Lebanese Town
Akar: Govt. wasn't Absent during South Incidents
Abdul Samad: Lebanon Won't Ditch West, Especially France
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
August 02-03/2020
Mina Al-Oraibi: As violence spirals, Iraq is headed for real trouble
PM’s Call for Elections Sparks Unprecedented Political Race in Iraq
UN Says Libya Crisis Could Develop to 'Regional War'
Egypt Slams Attempts to Drive Wedge between it and Kuwait
Syrian Security Forces Arrest 12 Army Officers over Makhlouf Ties
Canada/Statement by Minister of Foreign Affairs and Minister of Diversity and
Inclusion and Youth on Romani Genocide Remembrance Day
Afghan Ceasefire Holds as Hundreds of Taliban Prisoners Freed
Court Orders Netanyahu's Son to Stop 'Harassing' Protest Leaders
Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on August 02-03/2020
Iran has upper hand over Russia in Syria/Dr. Majid
Rafizadeh/Arab News/August 02/2020
Iran regime avoids conflict as it attempts to wait out Trump/Dr. Dania Koleilat
Khatib/Arab News/August 02/2020
‘New’ Turkey must resolve standoff with Greece/Yasar Yakis/Arab News/August
02/2020
Turkey's Brain Drain: Why Youths See No Future There/Burak Bekdil/Gatestone
Institute/August 02/2020
Israel’s unique methods against the Iranian threat/Benjamin Weil/Jerusalem
Post/July 02/2020
Thirty years on from the invasion of Kuwait, what have we learnt?/David Mack/The
National/August 02/2020
Sudan Optimistic US Will Soon Remove it from Terror List/Mohammed Amin Yassine/
Asharq Al-Awsat/August 02/2020
Germany's Bund May Be About to Lose Its Crown/Marcus Ashworth/Bloomberg/August,
02/2020
Focusing on Facebook and Google’s Monopoly Misses the Point/Noah
Smith/Bloomberg/August, 02/2020
The War on Masks Is Another Lost Cause/Francis Wilkinson/Bloomberg/August,
02/2020
UNEP: What’s in a Name?/Najib Saab/Asharq Al Awsat/August 02/2020
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on August 02-03/2020
The Pompousness, Self-Admiration and Bragging Plagues
Elias Bejjani/August 02/2020
أوبئة وكوارث التكبر والتبجح وعبادة الذات
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/89063/elias-bejjanithe-pompousness-self-admiration-and-bragging-plagues-%d8%a3%d9%88%d8%a8%d8%a6%d8%a9-%d9%88%d9%83%d9%88%d8%a7%d8%b1%d8%ab-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%aa%d9%83%d8%a8%d8%b1-%d9%88%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%aa/
We witness every day in our life especially with people who are in power or
those who are rich certain disgusting evil conducts exhibited through
superficiality, materialism, boasting and bragging.
These sickening people are conceited, pompous, self centered and never stop
bragging as if the whole world revolves around them.
Such conducts make these individuals look so stupid and so ignorant and at the
same time very difficult to be tolerated.
They isolate themselves and generate frustration and anger among those who deal
with them, be family members or acquaintances.
As Christians are we allowed to brag and boast and act with self-admiration and
superiority?
Of course not, because the bible instructs us to be modest, humble meek and
loving.
Meanwhile God punishes the braggers and conceited as Isaiah states:
Isaiah/10:15 Should an axe brag against him who chops with it? Should a saw
exalt itself above him who saws with it? As if a rod should lift those who lift
it up, or as if a staff should lift up someone who is not wood.
Isaiah/10:16 Therefore the Lord, Yahweh of Armies, will send among his fat ones
leanness; and under his glory a burning will be kindled like the burning of
fire.
Isaiah/10:17 The light of Israel will be for a fire, and his Holy One for a
flame; and it will burn and devour his thorns and his briers in one day.
Isaiah/10:18 He will consume the glory of his forest, and of his fruitful field,
both soul and body. It will be as when a standard bearer faints.
Isaiah/10:19 The remnant of the trees of his forest shall be few, so that a
child could write their number.
Isaiah/10:33-34: “Behold, the Lord, Yahweh of Armies, will lop the boughs with
terror. The tall will be cut down, and the lofty will be brought low.
Isaiah/10:34) He will cut down the thickets of the forest with iron, and Lebanon
will fall by the Mighty One.
A revolution not televised: Lebanese mock censorship of
famous patriotic song during army celebration
The New Arab/August 02/2020
Lebanese social media users have reacted with a mixture of anger and ridicule to
the apparent censorship of the lyrics of a patriotic song during a televised
celebration of Lebanese Army Day, which was celebrated on Saturday, August 1.The
festivities featured a choir singing the song "Ya Beirut" by famous Lebanese
soprano Majida Al-Rumi. However, one line from the song was removed. The
original lyrics contained the words "revolution is born from the womb of
sorrows" but this was replaced with a chorus of "la la la la la" during the
festivities. Beginning in September 2019, Lebanon saw huge protests against
government corruption and the ruling elite as public debt spiralled out of
control. The country is now in the midst of a serious economic crisis and
poverty and unemployment have increased as the Lebanese pound has plummeted in
value. Social media users were quick to accuse the government of censoring
Rumi's well-known lyrics. Television presenter Rania Barghout tweeted angrily at
the Lebanese government: "Were you scared of the words of a song? This la la la
of yours was much louder than a festival that could have passed without incident
but #A_revolution_is_born_from_the_womb_of_sorrows and you can't hide behind the
army for long because they will turn against you soon." The Arabic-language
hashtag #A_revolution_is_born_from_the_womb_of_sorrows quickly trended on
Twitter, with social media users accompanying it with pictures of huge protests
in Lebanon which took place this year and last.
On the occasion of Lebanese Army Day, President Michel Aoun, who has been a
frequent target of the protests, met with army commander General Joseph Aoun (no
relation) and said: "Lebanon is today facing one of the fiercest wars ever,
against more than one enemy, including rampant corruption, those who play with
the livelihoods of citizens, those who attack the national currency, and those
who start rumours to spread despair."
Tough words but Israel, Hezbollah don't want new war:
Experts
The New Arab Staff & Agencies/August 02/2020
Harsh rhetoric from Israel and Lebanon's Hezbollah appeared to threaten further
conflict after border unrest this week, but experts predict both sides will try
to avoid escalation. As the coronavirus pandemic has deepened Lebanon's economic
turmoil and also rocked Israeli politics, the last thing either of the arch foes
wants now is a new military conflict, they argue. Tensions spiked last Monday
along the UN-demarcated Blue Line after months of relative calm when Israel said
it thwarted an infiltration attempt by up to five Hezbollah gunmen, a claim
denied by the Iran-backed group. Israel reported an exchange of fire that forced
the "terrorists" back into Lebanon and said it fired artillery across the
heavily guarded border for "defensive" purposes. The incident came a week after
an alleged Israeli missile attack hit positions of Syrian regime forces and
their allies south of Damascus on July 20, killing five, including a Hezbollah
member. Hezbollah said at the time a response to the deadly Syria strike was
"inevitable", heightening tensions. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned
Monday that Hezbollah was "playing with fire" and that Israel's response to the
border incursion would "be very strong". Since then Israel's Army remains on
"alert" to see if Hezbollah is "going to do anything else," said analyst Orna
Mizrahi of the Institute for National Security Studies. However, Mizrahi, who
previously served in Netanyahu's national security office, argued that a
full-blown escalation now was in neither side's interest. With the pandemic
wreaking havoc - especially in Lebanon, stuck in its deepest economic crisis
since the 1975-1990 civil war - she argued that "both sides don't want a
conflict now".
'False calm'
The last major conflict between Israel and Hezbollah broke out in 2006. A month
of fighting left more than 1,200 Lebanese dead, mostly civilians, and killed 160
Israelis, mostly soldiers. The Blue Line has remained tense ever since, as an
AFP team experienced on a visit last month, 10 days before the border incident.
Officer Jonathan Goshen said Israeli forces could see Hezbollah "preparing for
the next war".Hezbollah's military presence along the Blue Line is not
immediately visible to visiting reporters, but a March report from the United
Nations said the group has fighters and weapons deployed there. "The border
looks calm, but it isn't," Goshen told AFP, weaving in a Jeep amid the trees
near Metula, the northernmost village on the Israeli side. According to Goshen,
when Israeli forces approach the Blue Line, "it's quiet for the first 10 minutes
and then we see them coming all the time, trying to collect intelligence".
During AFP's visit, a small group was visible moving among the fruit trees on
the Lebanese side, sparking heated discussion among Israeli troops on whether
they were Hezbollah or farmers. "Hezbollah!" Goshen said, before ordering his
soldiers to pull back.
Avoiding 'imbroglio'
Hezbollah specialist Didier Leroy of the Royal Higher Institute for Defence also
argued that the group remains primarily focused on the turmoil gripping Lebanon,
which has seen protests since last year against a political system widely deemed
corrupt and incompetent.
The demonstrations, which have also shaken Hezbollah strongholds, are a
"significant factor" in its calculations, he said, adding that "the atmosphere
in Lebanon is not favourable for a hardline anti-Israel agenda". While Israel's
financial crisis is less severe, the Jewish state is struggling to contain
surging coronavirus transmission while street protests over economic hardship,
and against right-wing Netanyahu's leadership, have grown by the week. Nahum
Barnea of the Yediot Aharonoth newspaper, one of Israel's most prominent
columnists, reported that when the gunmen crossed the Blue Line, Israeli
soldiers were ordered to take extraordinary steps to avoid an escalation. "What
made the engagement unusual, maybe even unprecedented, was the unequivocal [do
not kill] order that the IDF soldiers were given," Barnea wrote. The Israeli
army declined to comment when asked by AFP if its soldiers indeed had orders to
refrain from using lethal force. Barnea, in his column, argued that "the logic
behind the decision is clear: killing members of the cell would have necessarily
led to a day of fighting in the north, and maybe more than one day.
"The decision-makers faced the imbroglio from 2006: they didn't want to roll
into the Third Lebanon War."
Aoun Accuses ‘Global Travelers’ of Incitement against
Lebanon
Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 2 August, 2020
President Michel Aoun accused on Saturday individuals, whom he described as
“global travelers”, of creating incitement against Lebanon and its people.
Without naming these individuals, he held them responsible for withholding help
to the Lebanese people. In a televised address on the occasion of the 75th Army
Day, he vowed that he will continue to “walk the minefield” and to exert the
impossible for the sake of Lebanon’s salvation, vowing that he will never quit.
“Lebanon is waging today a war of another type, probably fiercer than military
wars, because it affects every Lebanese in their very living, their lifetime
savings and the future of their children, while the economic and financial
situation is putting strains on everyone, sparing no one,” he added. “In this
war, the enemies of Lebanon are numerous. The first enemy is the rampant
corruption in the institutions and in many individuals. It is resisting fiercely
but the steps towards its eradication are moving slowly, but steadily,” Aoun
said. “The second enemy is every person who manipulates the livelihood of the
citizens to accumulate profit,” he stated. “The third enemy is every person who
has contributed and is contributing to undermining our national currency to
accumulate wealth.”
“The fourth enemy is every person who launches rumors to spread despair and who
travels the globe, inciting against their nation and their own people, trying to
withhold any assistance from them,” he remarked, while also highlighting the
threat of the novel coronavirus outbreak.
“Triumphing in this war depends on us all, state and citizens alike. Each has
their role, and if they carry it out properly, salvation will be possible. But
there is absolutely no point in standing on the side, firing at every rescue
attempt, especially among those who have shirked responsibility in the middle of
the crisis,” Aoun commented. He vowed that the reform measures that have started
to be implemented over public funds, putting an end to corruption and tackling
suspicious files will not stop at one institution, but will cover them all. This
will help restore the Lebanese people’s faith in their country and themselves
before trust is restored in Lebanon, he noted.
Al-Rahi: Anyone who Cares about Lebanon Wouldn't Reject
Neutrality
Naharnet/August 02/2020
Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi on Sunday said those who "truly care" about
Lebanon would not reject his call for the country's neutrality. "I don't know if
someone who truly cares about the welfare of Lebanon and its people, as well as
its unity and return to prosperity, would reject or question this active
neutrality or claim that it does not enjoy consensus or that it is hard to
achieve," al-Rahi said in his Sunday Mass sermon. Shiite spiritual leaders have
criticized al-Rahi's call for neutrality and suggested that it is unrealistic.
In his most recent remarks on the issue, Grand Jaafarite Mufti Sheikh Ahmed
Qabalan said "the issue of neutrality is impossible, not because we don't want
it, but rather because it is totally infeasible."
Israel 'Ready for All Scenarios', Report Says Not Seeking Hizbullah Conflict
Naharnet/August 02/2020
The Israeli army is “ready for all scenarios” should Hizbullah stage an attack
on Lebanon’s border, a spokesman said. “We deny the reports that Al-Jazeera
channel has published. The IDF is ready for all scenarios,” Israeli army
spokesman Avichay Adraee tweeted. Al-Jazeera had earlier quoted an Israeli
military source as saying that Israel is “not seeking a confrontation with
Hizbullah” because its priority is to “prevent Iran from entrenching militarily
in Syria.”“We don’t have an intention to deal any preemptive strike to Hizbullah
or the Lebanese state,” the source added.
The source however noted that Israel’s state of alert on Lebanon’s border “will
continue as long as necessary,” warning that it will “respond forcefully to any
Hizbullah attack” and that “the Lebanese state’s facilities” will be among the
targets.
Tensions have surged in the Lebanese-Israeli border area since Israel killed a
Hizbullah militant in an airstrike in Syria. On Monday, Israel reported a clash
and shelled Lebanese border areas after accusing Hizbullah of staging an
infiltration attempt. The Iran-backed group denied involvement in any activity
on the border but vowed that its retaliation to the Syria raid will certainly
come.
Israel Expected to Maintain Alert State on Lebanon Border
Naharnet/August 02/2020
The state of high alert on Israel's border with Lebanon is expected to protract
for a significant period of time, Israeli army sources have said. "The military
reinforcements of the past days are expected to remain in place," Israel's
Maariv newspaper quoted the sources as saying. "This state will remain as it is
until it become clear whether or not Hizbullah will try to stage another attack.
Through the state of alert, Israel is also seeking to send a message that
Lebanon will pay the hefty price should there be an attack," the daily added.
Tensions have surged in the border area since Israel killed a Hizbullah militant
in an airstrike in Syria. On Monday, Israel shelled Lebanese border areas after
accusing Hizbullah of staging an infiltration attempt. The Iran-backed group
denied involvement in any activity on the border but vowed that its retaliation
to the Syria raid will certainly come.
Israel Sends Spy Balloon over Lebanese Town
Naharnet/August 02/2020
The Israeli army on Saturday sent a spy balloon over the Lebanese border town of
Houla, Lebanon’s National News Agency said. The agency said the balloon hovered
over the town for 15 minutes. Cautious calm is meanwhile engulfing the
Lebanese-Israeli border, NNA added. Tensions have surged in the border area
since Israel killed a Hizbullah militant in an airstrike in Syria. On Monday,
Israel shelled Lebanese border areas after accusing Hizbullah of staging an
infiltration attempt. The Iran-backed group denied involvement in any activity
on the border but vowed that its retaliation to the Syria raid will certainly
come.
Akar: Govt. wasn't Absent during South Incidents
Naharnet/August 02/2020
Deputy PM and Defense Minister Zeina Akar has stressed that the government was
not "absent" during and after Monday's flare-up on the Lebanese-Israeli border.
"It condemned the Israeli attacks and considered them a threat to the climate of
stability in south Lebanon," Akar told al-Quds al-Arabi newspaper in remarks
published Sunday. "The foreign minister also sent a letter to the U.N. in this
regard," she added. Asked whether defending Lebanon has become "the military and
political specialty of a group of the Lebanese," as suggested by al-Mustaqbal
Movement, Akar said "certainly not.""Defending Lebanon remains one of the
missions of the army, which maintains full preparedness and is fully ready to
defend Lebanon and its security and stability," Akar went on to say.
Abdul Samad: Lebanon Won't Ditch West, Especially France
Naharnet/August 02/2020
Information Minister Manal Abdul Samad stressed Sunday that Lebanon "will not
ditch the West, especially France." Her remarks come in the wake of the latest
controversy sparked by Prime Minister Hassan Diab's criticism of the recent
visit to Lebanon by French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian. Hizbullah chief
Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has also suggested that Lebanon should "look east" to
mend its broken economy. "Lebanon will not ditch the West, especially France,
which dispatched its foreign minister to emphasize the importance of reforms,"
Abdul Samad said in an interview with Radio All of Lebanon. As for the
government's financial rescue plan, the minister underlined that "touching
depositors' accounts is a red line for the government." She added that Central
Bank Governor Riad Salameh cannot alone be held responsible for the current
bankruptcy. "The State, the central bank and the banks must jointly bear the
losses," Abdul Samad added.
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous
Reports And News published on August 02-03/2020
Mina Al-Oraibi: As violence spirals, Iraq is headed for
real trouble
The National/August 02/2020
When Mustafa Al Kadhimi was approved by Iraq’s Parliament to serve as its 43rd
Prime Minister in May, there was cautious optimism that he would be able to
begin the process of restoring peace, stability and eventually prosperity in the
country. He has since made many a bold statement and symbolic gesture to
demonstrate to the world that he means business. However, following his
announcement on Friday to hold early parliamentary elections on June 6, 2021, it
has become evident that Mr Al Kadhimi needs a stronger mandate in order to break
the political impasse that paralyses Baghdad, and to counter the foreign
interference – particularly from Iran – that has stifled his attempts to enact
sweeping reforms on multiple fronts. It is also important to point out that, as
frustrating as the previous three months may have been for Mr Al Kadhimi’s
government, the next nine are likely to be yet more testing. During this period,
the Prime Minister has to deal with several medium-term challenges, including
the resurgence of ISIS, the clout of Iranian-backed militia groups and the
financial crisis Iraq finds itself in, due in large part to systemic corruption.
A former intelligence chief, Mr Al Kadhimi has already taken steps to build an
anti-ISIS coalition. He has also shown a willingness to stand up to pro-Iranian
forces both on the floor of Parliament as well as in the streets. His visit last
month to the Iraq-Iran border town of Mandali, which he called “a hotbed for
corrupt people”, was the clearest signal to Tehran yet that its threat to Iraqi
sovereignty – intrinsically linked to the corruption of Baghdad's political
class – will not be tolerated.
Iraqi extremism expert Husham Al Hashimi was shot dead outside his home in
Baghdad on Monday night. AFP
Mr Al Kadhimi also recognises the urgency behind the months-long protests that
erupted across the country in October which – despite ebbs and flows – have
shown few signs of abating. Demonstrators have risked life, limb and the
coronavirus pandemic to demand jobs, better living standards and greater
transparency and accountability from government. While the Prime Minister’s
decision to advance the elections by almost a full year could be seen as a bold
move, it is worth remembering that one of his pledges when he took office was to
guide the country towards early polls that would hopefully usher in new, fresh
faces. Mr Al Kadhimi has even made a call to young Iraqis to stand in the
upcoming elections. Until now, independents have had little chance of success in
elections dominated by political blocs with vast financial resources. Mr Al
Kadhimi himself does not belong to a political party and had previously stated
that he would not run in the elections. By calling early polls, however, he will
have met a key demand of the protesters – provided Parliament ratifies his
decision.
After decades of living through dictatorship, war, terrorism, sectarian strife,
institutional corruption and constant threats to their country’s sovereignty, it
is clear that the Iraqi public have had enough of the political corruption and
dysfunction that plague Baghdad. And although these troubles long precede Mr Al
Kadhimi’s time in office, he will know that he has now inherited them and will,
therefore, be held accountable.
With little ability at the moment to assuage some of the protesters’ long-term
concerns, laying the groundwork for a stronger mandate to do so next year is an
important step. In the meantime, he must continue to focus his efforts on
preventing any further erosion of the integrity of the state and the rule of
law. Baghdad risks being tipped into a state of total lawlessness, evidenced
recently by the recent killing of one of Mr Al Kadhimi’s associates, security
expert Husham Al Hashimi. He must also ensure the safety and security of
protesters, most of whom are ordinary Iraqis. A crucial part of this is seeing
to it that justice is delivered against perpetrators of violence – including
Iranian-backed militias and Mr Al Kadhimi’s own government security forces –
against protesters over the past months. The forces undermining Iraqi stability,
breeding fear and chipping away at national institutions, are as pervasive as
they are insidious. But if the Prime Minister can preserve the state’s core
institutions and make some key advancements along the way, then come election
time he will have signalled to Iraqis that he is in control of his country’s
destiny and can be relied on to do the top job. More importantly, he will have
safeguarded the foundation needed for a stable and democratic Iraq over the long
haul.
PM’s Call for Elections Sparks Unprecedented Political Race
in Iraq
Baghdad – Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 2 August, 2020
Hours after Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi called for general elections
to be held on June 6, 2021, parliament Speaker Mohammed al-Halbousi called for
holding “earlier” elections. Both calls appear “unprecedented” constitutionally
and politically.
Kadhimi made true on his electoral pledge to hold polls in compliance with the
2019 protest movement demands. He took everyone by surprise when he set the date
of the elections, even though parliament has yet to complete the electoral law
and other relevant regulations, such as determining electoral districts.
Moreover, Iraq is confronted with numerous challenges, such as the coronavirus
outbreak and a stifling economic crisis sparked by the collapse in oil prices.
While Kadhimi’s call is seen as justified by the protesters, several observers
and experts suspect that some political powers will seek to abort the polls,
despite their declared statements of support. The PM has effectively thrown the
ball in parliament’s court. With the elections set, the parliament is, according
to the constitution, obligated to dissolve itself. Halbousi, by calling for
“earlier” elections, has in turn thrown the court in everyone’s court, including
the government, the premier and political blocs and their leaders. The speaker
has called for holding an open emergency session for the legislature to set the
procedures to hold the elections. “Successive government have not implemented
their agendas, which has prompted the continuation of popular protests,” he
remarked in declaring his call for “earlier” elections. “Everyone must assume
their responsibilities before the people.” A member of Halbousi’s parliamentary
bloc, MP Yehya Ghazi, stated that some arrangements needed to be complete before
heading to polls. Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, he highlighted legal aspects of
the preparations and the need to implement article 64 of the constitution that
calls for dissolving the parliament, which is seen as a main precursor to
staging the elections. The parliament must be dissolved two months before the
elections and such a move requires an agreement among the political blocs, he
explained. Former member of the Independent High Electoral Commission, Miqdad
Sharifi said that it appears that Kadhimi and Halbousi are in a form of
“competition” over the elections. He explained to Asharq Al-Awsat that the PM
was being pressured by political forces to hold the polls, while the blocs that
represent these forces at parliament are holding back from approving the
electoral law. This consequently is an “embarrassment” to the premier, he added.
Furthermore, Sharifi said it was not feasible to hold the elections in June 2021
given the stifling high temperatures in Iraq at the time which would discourage
voters from heading out to polls stations. “It appears to me that setting such a
date was mainly aimed at pressuring blocs to approve the electoral law and not
at actually holding the polls,” he speculated.
UN Says Libya Crisis Could Develop to 'Regional War'
Tripoli - Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 2 August, 2020
Acting Special Representative and Head of the United Nations Support Mission in
Libya (UNSMIL) Stephanie Williams warned that the Libyan people are increasingly
scared that their future is being taken out of their hands by external actors,
and that the risk of a regional war is rising. During her visit to London,
Williams stressed in a statement that Libyans are worn out and need peace. “The
Libyan people are exhausted and scared in equal measure. They are tired of war
and want peace, but they fear this is not in their hands now. They want a
solution and a ceasefire. The alternative to a ceasefire and an inclusive
political solution is essentially the destruction of their country." "This is as
much a battle between external rivals, as civil war now, in which the Libyans
are losing their sovereignty,” she added. Williams also noted that external
agendas could lead to a regional conflict. “With so many external actors with
their own agendas, the risk of miscalculation and a regional confrontation is
high.”Earlier on Thursday, Williams called on Libyans to grasp the chance of Eid
al-Adha to cease the fighting as she expressed hope that forgiveness and unity
among Libyans will dominate.
Egypt Slams Attempts to Drive Wedge between it and Kuwait
Cairo – Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 2 August, 2020
Egypt slammed on Saturday attempts to drive a wedge between it and Kuwait,
accusing some “spiteful” sides of stoking recent tensions. The Egyptian Foreign
Ministry underlined the “strength of the fraternal relations between Egypt and
Kuwait,” highlighting the “common struggles that saw both sides shed blood for
each other.” This was an apparent reference to the October 1973 war and the 1991
Liberation of Kuwait. It added that both Cairo and Kuwait are keen on developing
their relations in a manner that achieves the interests of their people, but at
the same time, it “rejected and condemned recent attempts on social media to
drive a wedge between the two peoples.” It slammed social media users for their
attacks against religious figures and the leaderships of both countries,
accusing “spiteful” sides of seeking to undermine the good relations between the
two countries. The Foreign Ministry issued its statement a day after the Kuwaiti
embassy in Cairo denounced social media posts that called for burning the
Kuwaiti flag. “Such acts gravely harm Kuwait and are rejected by it,” it said,
warning that such a development may “negatively impact fraternal ties between
the two countries.”The mission added that such a “heinous act” was widely
condemned among official and public circles in Kuwait and that it has carried
out contacts with Egyptian officials to express its disappointment and
condemnation. A video posted on YouTube and circulated on social media showed an
individual offering pedestrians 500 dollars in return for their burning of a
Kuwaiti flag. Everyone refused and instead expressed their respect for the
relations with the Gulf country. The Kuwaiti embassy called on Egyptian
authorities to take the necessary measures to deter such rejected practices and
hold everyone responsible for the video to account. It urged them to put an end
to practices that harm relations between the brotherly countries. Relations
between Cairo and Kuwait have been strained in recent months. In July, Kuwaiti
authorities arrested a citizen for slapping an Egyptian worker, which had
sparked uproar on social media in Egypt.
In March, campaigns against Egyptian workers in Kuwait flooded social media over
the excuse that they may have been infected by the novel coronavirus.
Syrian Security Forces Arrest 12 Army Officers over
Makhlouf Ties
London - Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 2 August, 2020
Syrian security services have arrested 12 officers and regime forces accused of
having ties to business tycoon Rami Makhlouf, Syrian President Bashar Assad’s
cousin. This took place while another eight that have been arrested under the
same charges were released. “The large-scale campaign by the regime’s
intelligence service is still underway, since it has been launched with the
purpose of arresting several regime officers and soldiers, as well as employees
working for Rami Makhlouf,” the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said in one
of its reports. According to Observatory statistics, regime security services
have arrested at least 51 regime officers and soldiers since the start of the
campaign in mid-April. They were arrested for “dealing with foreign bodies and
embezzling state funds”.Reliable sources have informed the Observatory that
regime intelligence arrested nine ex-fighters of the “Al-Bostan Association”.
This brings to 85 the number of managers, employees and ex-fighters arrested for
their connection to Makhlouf’s businesses. They were arrested in Damascus,
Aleppo, Homs, Latakia and Tartus. Earlier this week, Makhlouf revealed that he
had set up a web of offshore front companies to help Assad evade Western
sanctions. In a social media post blasting the government for investigating his
business empire, he said authorities are expelling all investors save for
warlords who have made their fortune exploiting the nine-year war in Syria. One
of Syria's richest and most powerful businessmen, Makhlouf said security forces
were now targeting Cham Holding, the centerpiece of a vast business portfolio
much of which has been seized by the cash-strapped government. The former Assad
loyalist said security forces were pursuing contracts signed by the company on
suspicion he had embezzled funds abroad.
"They fabricated our embezzlement of funds and transferring it to our accounts
abroad ... Stop these unjust claims and read well the contracts," Makhlouf said
in a Facebook post. "These companies' role and aim is to circumvent [Western]
sanctions on Cham Holding."Makhlouf, who has helped bankroll the ruling family
and its supporters, brought in 70 investors nearly 15 years ago to set up Cham
Holding. It is the largest Syrian company by capital and has a monopoly on key
property developments.
Canada/Statement by Minister of Foreign Affairs and Minister of Diversity and
Inclusion and Youth on Romani Genocide Remembrance Day
August 2, 2020 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada
The Honourable François-Philippe Champagne, Minister of Foreign Affairs, and the
Honourable Bardish Chagger, Minister of Diversity and Inclusion and Youth, today
issued the following statement:
“Today, we pay tribute to the more than 500,000 Romani who were murdered and
persecuted during the Holocaust by the Nazis and their collaborators.
“Recognizing and commemorating the Romani genocide—also known as the Porajmos
and Samudaripen—reminds us of the horrific consequences when we let intolerance
and bigotry take root. We must not forget the atrocities faced by the Romani
people and the harrowing stories of victims and survivors.
“Still today, Romani populations around the world continue to be subjected to
racism, prejudice, violence and persecution, especially Romani women, who endure
significant discrimination and social exclusion.
“As a member of the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance [IHRA], Canada
continues to work with others to promote greater awareness of the Romani
genocide, including through the IHRA’s Committee on the Genocide of the Roma.
“During these unprecedented times, we must recall that minorities around the
world continue to be marginalized. We must continue to condemn all forms of
discrimination, and we must never relent in our push for a more equal and more
inclusive world.”
Afghan Ceasefire Holds as Hundreds of Taliban Prisoners
Freed
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/August 02/2020
A rare ceasefire between the Taliban and Afghan government appeared to hold for
the third and final day on Sunday, with hundreds of militant prisoners released
in a bid to bring peace talks closer. Calm prevailed across much of Afghanistan,
with officials not reporting any major clashes between the two foes since the
truce began on Friday to mark the Muslim festival of Eid al-Adha. President
Ashraf Ghani and the Taliban have both indicated that long-delayed negotiations
could begin straight after Eid. "This Eid feels different, parks are full with
people... you almost forget that there has been a war in this country for 40
years," said Shahpoor Shadab, a resident from the eastern city of Jalalabad. In
restive Zabul province, several residents recited poems calling for the
ceasefire -- only the third official halt in fighting in nearly two decades of
conflict -- to be made permanent. "Peace is everybody's need and aspiration,"
said Sardar Wali, who took part in the poetry session. "This is a great
opportunity to extend the ceasefire today and start intra-Afghan talks
tomorrow."Under a deal signed by the Taliban and the U.S. in February, the
"intra-Afghan" talks were slated to start in March, but were delayed amid
political infighting in Kabul and as a contentious prisoner swap dragged on. The
deal stipulated that Kabul would free around 5,000 Taliban prisoners in return
for 1,000 Afghan security personnel held captive by the Taliban. The National
Security Council said Sunday that a further 300 Taliban prisoners had been
released since Friday, taking the total number of insurgents freed so far to
just over 4,900. Authorities however have refused to free hundreds of inmates
accused of serious crimes that the insurgents had requested for release. The
Taliban said they have already fulfilled their side of the exchange. Deadly
violence has rocked Afghanistan since the U.S.-Taliban deal was agreed, with
more than 3,500 Afghan troops killed in attacks by the insurgents, according to
Ghani.
Court Orders Netanyahu's Son to Stop 'Harassing' Protest
Leaders
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/August 02/2020
A court ordered Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's son on Sunday to
refrain from harassing several individuals helping lead protests against his
father, after he tweeted their personal addresses. Yair Netanyahu, who has
caused controversy for past social media posts, was also ordered to delete the
tweet and to "refrain from harassing" the individuals concerned for six months,
according to a ruling from Jerusalem Magistrates' Court judge Dorit Feinstein.
Reacting to the ruling, Yair Netanyahu, 29, said Feinstein had "totally ignored"
evidence presented by his defense, including of threats against him by protest
leaders. A bombastic defender of his father, Yair Netanyahu caused controversy
in 2018 when he was recorded seemingly drunk outside a strip club talking about
a natural gas deal reached by the Israeli government. He has also previously
posted on Facebook about alleged conspiracies against his family. The ruling
came a day after what Israeli media described as the largest protest in a decade
against Netanyahu's tenure, estimating the crowd at roughly 10,000 strong.
Thousands of demonstrators, mainly in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem, have in recent
weeks rallied against the premier's handling of the coronavirus crisis. Some
have called for his resignation. Speaking before a weekly cabinet meeting on
Sunday, the right-wing prime minister lashed out the media, accusing it of
"fueling" rather than covering "violent demonstrations."He said Israel's media
was behaving in "North Korean terms" with a lack of balance and unwavering
support for "left-wing demonstrators." Some of the protesters have voiced
frustration over the government's pandemic response, while others have expressed
broader objections to Netanyahu's stewardship, in particular noting corruption
charges against the premier, which he denies. Israel won praise for its initial
response to the COVID-19 outbreak, but the government has come under criticism
amid a resurgence in cases after restrictions were lifted starting in late
April. Netanyahu has acknowledged that the economy was re-opened too quickly.
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published on August 02-03/2020
Iran has upper hand over Russia in Syria
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/August 02/2020
On the surface, the Islamic Republic and Russia have been on the same side since
the conflict in Syria erupted in March 2011. Both countries have maintained the
same arguments and narrative: That the Assad government is a representative of
the Syrian people and that the government is fighting illegitimate terror and
militant groups. In comparison to Russia’s involvement in Syria, Iran’s
interventions from the outset of the conflict — in the form of military,
financial, advisory and intelligence assistance — were much more noticeable.
Since the uprising began in Syria, the Iranian regime has spent an estimated $30
billion, or between $3 and $4 billion a year, to keep Bashar Assad in power.
Russia did not begin deploying its armed forces in Syria until 2015, by which
time the oppositional and rebel groups had captured a significant part of
Syria’s territory and the Assad regime appeared to be on the verge of collapse.
Russia’s intervention was mainly in the form of airstrikes, although, from 2011
to 2015, Moscow did use its leverage as a member of the UN Security Council to
veto any resolution that demanded Assad resign or that excluded the Syrian
government from international settlement negotiations.
Strategically and geopolitically speaking, Syria is more critical for Tehran
than Moscow. Russia’s strategic interests in the Mediterranean are intertwined
with the political establishment in Damascus because the Syrian port of Tartus —
its second largest — houses Russia’s only naval base in the region. In addition,
Syria has been purchasing arms from Moscow for decades. Nevertheless, while the
Syrian regime is secular and the Iranian one is theocratic, Damascus is Iran’s
most important regional proxy and disorder in Syria would throw into disarray
the key pieces on Iran’s strategic game board, namely Hezbollah and Hamas.
Strategically and geopolitically speaking, Syria is more critical for Tehran
than Moscow.
Although they have built a formidable partnership, Tehran and Moscow have also
been competing with each other to exert more influence in Syria. Assad has
shrewdly played his role in maintaining the support of both countries, but Iran
now appears to have won the competition because it has taken a different
approach. Moscow concentrated on a top-down approach, wherein it sought to
strengthen the regime in return for strategic concessions while enabling Assad
to keep buying arms from Russia. On the other hand, the ruling clerics of Iran
shaped Syria through both a top-down and a bottom-up approach. The bottom-up
approach constitutes infiltrating the Syrian social, political and economic
systems and forming militia groups and non-state actors loyal to Tehran.
No matter who rules Syria, Iran will maintain its influence in the country in
the long term. For example, Iran has already signed lucrative contracts to
provide electricity, obtained a license to become a major mobile phone service
operator — which will allow it to keep communications in Syria under
surveillance — and has received thousands of hectares of land from the Syrian
regime for farming or setting up oil and gas terminals. Tehran has also been
buying up more Syrian real estate and land, giving it a considerable amount of
power over its neighbor.
Iran has also reportedly been altering the demographics by repopulating certain
areas with Shiite families who support Hezbollah and its other militia groups in
an attempt to consolidate its influence in Syria for the long term, as well as
to bolster Assad’s rule. The Islamic Azad University is opening new branches in
Syria, while Tehran has been building Shiite mosques and investing in expanding
Shiite shrines across the country.
Iran now seems to have won its competition with Russia when it comes to
strengthening Syria’s air defense systems. Iran’s armed forces chief of staff
Maj. Gen. Mohammad Bagheri last month met Syrian Defense Minister Ali Ayoub and
they reached a comprehensive agreement that emphasized “the necessity of the
withdrawal of all foreign armed forces having entered Syria illegally.” Bagheri
said: “We will strengthen Syria’s air defense systems in order to improve
military cooperation between the two countries.”
The Iranian regime has also strengthened its coalition of Shiite forces and
militias, some of which invaded Syria from Iraq, Pakistan, Afghanistan and
Lebanon. Many of these Shiite militias have already become the bedrock of
Syria’s sociopolitical and socioeconomic infrastructures. By having military
bases and personnel in Syria, it is less costly for the Iranian regime to
manufacture and export weapons to its proxies in Syria’s neighboring countries,
such as Hezbollah in Lebanon. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and its
special operations unit known as the Quds Force have also been building a
permanent military base just south of Damascus and have significant control over
some Syrian airports. The regime now enjoys a military presence close to the
border of a major rival — Israel. This helps Tehran in its attempts to tip the
long-term regional balance of power in its favor.
Overall, Russia and Iran’s involvements in Syria have evolved from a partnership
to a competition for wielding more influence. As of now, the Iranian regime
clearly enjoys the upper hand.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political scientist.
Twitter: @Dr_Rafizadeh
Iran regime avoids conflict as it attempts to wait
out Trump
Dr. Dania Koleilat Khatib/Arab News/August 02/2020
Hezbollah and Israel were last week involved in clashes in the south of Lebanon.
Hezbollah had reportedly fired a missile at an Israeli tank in the Shebaa Farms
area. Miraculously, the skirmishes were contained in a matter of hours. The
confrontation was quickly contained as the Lebanese armed forces and UN Interim
Force in Lebanon interfered. Each party claimed to have foiled their opponent’s
plot. In contrast with its usual rhetoric, Hezbollah did not seem willing to get
into any confrontation with Israel. Is this because Iran and its proxies are
exhausted from Israeli attacks in Syria and US President Donald Trump’s maximum
pressure policy? Or is that Iran is simply buying time and does not want to
instigate any confrontation before November’s US election?
This face-off coincided with a written proposal to end the war in Yemen by
former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, in which he addressed Crown Prince
Mohammed bin Salman. Ahmadinejad suggested forming a committee of respected
international personalities to hold negotiations between the different Yemeni
factions. He added that he was launching this initiative as a “member of the
humanitarian community” who is hurt by the news he gets about Yemen. The tone
was conciliatory and different from the defiant attitude Iran has previously
adopted when addressing the Gulf.
It is unlikely Ahmadinejad proposed this initiative without getting the green
light from the higher authorities in Iran. Nevertheless, it is a way to reach
out to Saudi Arabia without publicly facing rejection, in case Crown Prince
Mohammed was not receptive. In that case, Iran can always say the initiative was
an individual one presented by the former president, who is not a representative
of the current Iranian government. Tehran could also use a rejection as a public
relations tool against the Kingdom. At the same time, if the Saudis called
Iran’s bluff and accepted the initiative, this would allow the Iranians to play
for time while waiting for the US presidential election.
If Biden wins, Iran might be able to sustain its project in Syria and the Levant
and benefit from the lifting of sanctions.
Iran is currently under immense pressure, starting with the bombings of its
positions in Syria. Israel is also suspected of being behind last month’s
bombing of a nuclear reactor in Iran. The US is also intensifying its maximum
pressure campaign on Iran. However, its elections are only three months away and
Joe Biden, who seems to have a good chance of winning the White House, has
promised to go back to the nuclear deal, which would release Iran from
sanctions. If Biden follows Barack Obama, he might give Iran concessions. The
former president gave the Iranians concessions on Syria in order to avoid
disrupting the flow of negotiations with Tehran. He also was lax on the issue of
Hezbollah and backed down from the red line he drew for Bashar Assad after Iran
threatened to withdraw from negotiations. Therefore, if Biden wins, Iran might
be able to sustain its project in Syria and the Levant and benefit from the
lifting of sanctions. The Iranians are carpet sellers, they are good
negotiators. They know how to gain time and lay low in order to get the most out
of a deal. One should analyze Ahmadinejad’s offer and the skirmishes in Southern
Lebanon from this perspective. It is not to Iran’s advantage to start any
confrontation now. A confrontation could have two effects: A clash with any of
the US’ allies will probably alienate a Biden administration from relaunching
the nuclear agreement or going back to the deal, as requested by Iran. The other
issue is that a war, especially if the US is involved, might have the effect of
rallying Americans around the flag, which could bump up Trump’s approval rating.
Trump promised to end the US’ endless wars and one main reason for him avoiding
hitting mainland Iran after the Iranians shot down a drone was that he did not
want to undertake an action that would damage his popularity with his base.
However, a war might create a sense of emergency and threat among the American
public.
The Saudis, on the other hand, have little trust in the Iranians. At the
inception of the Islamic Republic, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini advocated the
export of the revolution, which is a direct threat to Arab Gulf states and their
systems. It is unlikely that Saudi Arabia will rush to embrace Iran’s proposal
as a goodwill gesture. Nevertheless, the conciliatory tone presented in the
initiative is a way to tell the Saudis “let us keep calm for a while.” Iran has
definitely been weakened by the fight and the sanctions. In key territories in
the Levant, its proxies like Hezbollah and Iraqi groups are on shaky ground. One
reason why Hezbollah avoided a confrontation with Israel in Southern Lebanon is
because it knows it doesn’t want to get involved in a situation it won’t be able
to handle. Iran knows its limitations and is trying to operate within them. The
sanctions Trump imposed when he withdrew from the nuclear deal weakened the
regime, but not to the point of it having to go down on its knees and accept the
conditions he put forward to lift the sanctions. However, as the prospects of a
Biden presidency grow stronger by the day, the Iranians are trying to buy time
and lay low while accommodating foes and waiting for the big day — Nov. 3.
*Dr. Dania Koleilat Khatib is a specialist in US-Arab relations with a focus on
lobbying. She holds a PhD in politics from the University of Exeter and is an
affiliated scholar with the Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy and
International Affairs at the American University of Beirut.
‘New’ Turkey must resolve standoff with Greece
Yasar Yakis/Arab News/August 02/2020
A new row between Turkey and Greece broke out last week over exploration rights
in the Eastern Mediterranean. Turkey issued a NAVTEX (navigational telex) — a
maritime communications system that allows ships to inform other vessels about
their presence in an area. Turkey issued it because one of its seismic research
ships, Oruc Reis, was planning to explore for oil and gas deposits in an area
that it believes to be part of its own maritime jurisdiction area. Greece was
alarmed by this initiative and issued a counter-NAVTEX asking mariners to ignore
Turkey’s notification. It also informed the EU, US and especially Germany and
France, asking them to prevent Turkey from carrying out such exploration. The US
issued a statement saying: “We urge Turkish authorities to halt any plans for
operations and to avoid steps that raise tensions in the region.”
French President Emmanuel Macron, who rarely misses an opportunity to prevent
any Turkish initiative in the Mediterranean, immediately denounced Ankara’s
plan, saying it was “not acceptable for the maritime space of an EU member state
to be violated or threatened.” He called for sanctions if Turkey started to
explore the zone. Turkey announced that the exploration was due to be carried
out in its continental shelf and that Greece was basing its maximalist claim on
the presence of a tiny island — Kastellorizo — located about 1 nautical mile
from Turkey and more than 300 nautical miles from mainland Greece. The Turks
insist the Greek claim contravenes international practice, as the International
Court of Justice in 2009 handed down a verdict stating that Snake Island, which
belongs to Ukraine but is close to Romania, could not have any effect on the
demarcation of maritime boundaries.
Amid fears of an imminent full-fledged confrontation between these two NATO
allies, German Chancellor Angela Merkel had a telephone conversation with
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the crisis was defused.
An exchange of polite words hardly dissimulates the deep-rooted differences
between Turkey and Greece.
Presidential spokesman Ibrahim Kalin said: “Greece over-reacted to our NAVTEX as
if Turkey was going to occupy Kastellorizo. The planned exploration stood about
180 kilometers away from this tiny island. Nevertheless, our president decided
to postpone the exploration for one month and see what happens after.”It is
unclear whether Greece’s reaction was an exaggeration or if it misread Turkey’s
move, but the outcome was that Greek Foreign Minister Nikos Dendias last week
said: “We are ready for dialogue with Turkey without pressure or threat. Our
only problem with Turkey is the delimitation of the continental shelf and
maritime jurisdiction area.”
In turn, Kalin said: “Greece is an important neighbor for Turkey. In line with
the instructions of our president, we are ready to discuss all issues: The
Aegean, continental shelf, islands, airspace, research and screening efforts,
and Eastern Mediterranean, along with other bilateral matters with Greece
without any precondition.”However, this exchange of polite words hardly
dissimulates the deep-rooted differences between Turkey and Greece.
Dendias’ contention that Greece’s only problem with Turkey is the delimitation
of the continental shelf and maritime jurisdiction area is an outright denial of
a plethora of other thorny issues between the two countries. These include the
sovereignty of islets, uninhabited islands, rocks and geographical formations
that were not transferred to Greece by international agreement; Aegean islands
that were transferred to Greece on condition of keeping them demilitarized; the
distinction between the delimitation of airspace over the Aegean Sea and the
notice to airmen line; and the absence of reciprocity between the rights that
Turkish citizens of Greek origin enjoy in Turkey and the rights of the Turkish
Muslim minority in Greece. The Turkish government is taking pride in its recent
move to convert the Hagia Sophia back into a mosque and claims there is now a
new Turkey that efficiently defends its legitimate rights. Signing an agreement
with the UN-backed Government of National Accord in Libya and the ensuing
opportunity to carry out seismic exploration in offshore areas far from the
country’s immediate borders has been cited as further proof of such a new and
powerful Turkey.
If a concrete result could be obtained from the present standoff with Greece,
the Turkish government will have every right to be proud of itself. If not, it
will not be easy to sell this failure to the electorate.
*Yasar Yakis is a former foreign minister of Turkey and founding member of the
ruling AK Party. Twitter: @yakis_yasar
Turkey's Brain Drain: Why Youths See No Future There
Burak Bekdil/Gatestone Institute/August 02/2020
SODEV, another pollster, found that 60.5% of youths supporting Erdoğan said they
would prefer to live in Christian Switzerland with half the salary they would
have earned in Muslim Saudi Arabia.
"These kind of social engineering efforts targeting the younger mind almost
always end up with opposite results, primarily because the new generation do not
like to be told what's good and what's bad for them. Freedoms for most youth are
more important than prayers. This is what conservative politicians often miss."
— Turkish university professor who asked not to be named.
In just the first 65 days of the COVID-19 pandemic, 510 Turks were arrested for
"spreading baseless and provocative messages in social media." Before that, by
the end of 2019, Turkey had banned access to 408,494 web sites, 7,000 Twitter
accounts, 40,000 tweets, 10,000 YouTube videos and 6,200 Facebook accounts.
Erdoğan might sit down and ask himself: Why do the youths whom he wanted to make
"devout" want to flee their Muslim country and live in "infidel" lands?
Turkey's Islamist president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, once declared his political
mission as "raising devout (Muslim) generations." Recent research has shown that
Turkish youths have defied Erdoğan's most ambitious social engineering project.
It is not surprising that young Turks in the 21st century do not want to be
strangled by the unpredictable dictates of an Islamist regime. (Photo by Adem
Altan/AFP via Getty Images)
Turkey's Islamist president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, once declared his political
mission as "raising devout (Muslim) generations." Research in recent years has
shown that Turkish youths have defied Erdoğan's most ambitious social
engineering project.
Konda, a pollster, found in 2019 that Turkish youths were less likely than the
wider population to identify themselves as "religious conservative." They were
less likely to fast, pray regularly or (for females) cover their hair. Ipsos, an
international pollster, found that only 12% of Turks trust Islamic clerics.
SODEV, another pollster, found that 60.5% of youths that support Erdoğan said
they would prefer to live in Christian Switzerland with half the salary they
would earn in Muslim Saudi Arabia. SODEV's study also found that 70.3% of
respondents think a talented youth would never be able to get ahead in
professional life without political/bureaucratic "connections," i.e., without a
hidden touch of nepotism. And only 30% of them think one could freely express
his opinion on social media.
There is new data suggesting that younger Turks have a Western mindset instead
of "religiously conservative/devout" one, as Erdoğan hoped they would. According
to one study, 72% of Turks aged 20 or younger support full membership in the
European Union for Turkey. This is in sharp contrast with the official teachings
of a country where the top Islamic cleric said that "children who do not read
the Quran are with Satan and Satanic people."
"These kind of social engineering efforts targeting the younger mind almost
always end up with opposite results, primarily because the new generation do not
like to be told what's good and what's bad for them," said one Turkish
university professor who asked not to be named. "Freedoms for most youth are
more important than prayers. This is what conservative politicians often miss."
In 2014, a 16-year-old student was arrested for insulting Erdoğan. In 2015, a
15-year-old was detained for insulting Erdoğan. And in 2016, a young university
student was arrested on charges of insulting Erdoğan and making propaganda for a
terror organization -- all that for a social media message. She was arrested
while in class.
It is not surprising, then, that the young Turks want to build a life for
themselves not in their own country, or an Islamic country, but in countries
where civil liberties are sacrosanct. In 2019, a total of 330,289 people left
Turkey to live abroad. Official data shows 40.8% of those who emigrated from
Turkey were between the ages of 20-34.
Seren Selvin Korkmaz, executive director of the Istanbul Political Research
Institute, explained the youth brain drain to Arab News:
"Migration becomes an exit strategy from everyday struggles. In the country,
youth unemployment is more than 25 percent. Many of these young people are still
financially dependent on their families or are working for low wages ... Under
these conditions, she explained, young people do not envision a future for
themselves ... This creates a 'violence of uncertainty' for them. In addition to
unemployment, authoritarian tendencies in the country — including social media
bans and threats to freedom of thought — impact the youth and make them worry
for their future."
In just the first 65 days of the COVID-19 pandemic, 510 Turks were arrested for
"spreading baseless and provocative messages in social media." Before that, by
the end of 2019, Turkey's censors had blocked access to 408,494 web sites, 7,000
Twitter accounts, 40,000 tweets, 10,000 YouTube videos and 6,200 Facebook
accounts.
"This is not the country I dreamed of," said A.B., a 19-year-old student, asking
for strict anonymity for fear of prosecution. "I don't feel I belong to my own
country anymore. I see no sign of a free life. I will go to Europe for further
studies and probably visit Turkey just for holidays."
"This is not the country I dreamed of," is perhaps the best portrayal of how a
young Turk feels about the increasing democratic deficit in his homeland. There
are signs that that democratic deficit will widen.
Erdoğan's ruling AKP party has submitted draft legislation to parliament that
would enable the government to tighten its control on social media, prompting
fears of a new era of even greater censorship. The draft bill would force social
media companies with more than a million daily users in Turkey — such as
Twitter, Facebook and YouTube — to establish a formal presence or assign a
representative in Turkey who would be accountable to Turkish authorities legally
and for tax purposes. If those companies do not comply they may be fined up to
millions of dollars. The law also grants authority to the Turkish government to
reduce their bandwidth by 50% to 95%.
The draft bill came amid reports that Netflix has cancelled a Turkish drama on
the eve of filming: its writer said that the government had blocked it because
it included a gay character. Screenwriter Ece Yörenç said Netflix scrapped "If
Only" after the government refused to grant it a license.
It is not surprising that young Turks in the 21st century do not want to be
strangled by the unpredictable dictates of an Islamist regime. Erdoğan might sit
down and ask himself: Why do the youths whom he wanted to make "devout" want to
flee their Muslim country and live in "infidel" lands?
*Burak Bekdil, one of Turkey's leading journalists, was recently fired from the
country's most noted newspaper after 29 years, for writing in Gatestone what is
taking place in Turkey. He is a Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
© 2020 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Israel’s unique methods against the Iranian threat
Benjamin Weil/Jerusalem Post/July 02/2020
The brilliance in Israel’s alleged reactions lay in how they have managed to
face Iran on a number of fronts: in Iran, in Syria and in Lebanon.
For the better part of the 21st century, Israel has been trying to circumvent
Iran’s regional ambitions in the Middle East to become a nuclear state and
spread its military power to neighboring countries. By exploiting the disarray
in Syria, Iran routinely sends convoys through Syria to arm its Lebanese proxy,
Hezbollah, with precision-guided munitions (PGMs) and other equipment.
Israel has reacted by launching a political and military campaign. Usually it
was the political effort that was very public while the intelligence and
military activities occurred behind the scenes, however, in the past week or so
we have seen a number of mysterious explosions in Iran. It is hard not to see
Israeli (and American) fingerprints all over these incidents.
Israel’s intelligence is known to execute audacious missions around the world
using creative methods. Look no further than breaking into and smuggling out the
secret Iranian nuclear archives in 2019.
The brilliance in Israel’s alleged reactions lay in how they have managed to
face Iran on a number of fronts: in Iran, in Syria and in Lebanon. Each one of
them is a unique peril in and of itself, but together they comprise the big
Iranian threat. Instead of applying a blanket rule for combating Iran, the
Israelis broke down its military campaign into smaller components and used its
flexibility and creativity to address each one in a unique form.
Israel’s target in Syria is not a Syrian sovereign one, rather it is an
independent Iranian actor functioning in Syria. Israel has conducted numerous
airstrikes to avoid shipments of Iranian strategic weapons from entering
Lebanon. Many times, the Israel Air Force must hit a moving target while
avoiding any collateral damage by inadvertently hitting Syrian state assets.
In Iran, though, Israel’s tactics are different. When facing the nuclear program
in Iran, Israel is facing a sovereign country. In Iran, it is Iranian assets
that are on the Israeli radar.
At first it was Iranian scientists who were disappearing mysteriously. Now
Israel has shifted to exploding non-human assets: nuclear-related sites. In this
case, Israel is not exercising any military option or airstrike, it is the
clandestine work of the Mossad planting explosives in various locations.
Lastly, and perhaps the most unique challenge, is Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Hezbollah is neither a sovereign nor independent actor. It is a
semi-governmental organization.
This is why Hezbollah can be a complex and tricky actor to handle. Recognizing
this, Israel has not been exhausting its military and intelligence resources
against Hezbollah, using a combination of political and financial pressures.
Israel has been applying pressure on many countries to recognize Hezbollah’s
political and military arms as a single terrorist organization. By doing so, it
would allow financial sanctions on Hezbollah.
At the same time, there is an effort to expose Hezbollah’s revenue stream and
dry up those sources of money and disrupt the flow of cash. This requires close
cooperation and coordination between legal and financial agencies in a number of
countries.
Whether through military, intelligence, political or financial pressure, the
extent of the Iranian threat is so great, any options are welcomed. Any
opportunity a country has to weaken Iran is an opportunity worth exploring.
The complexity of Iran’s network runs through sovereign, independent and
semi-governmental actors. Israel has identified and deployed different methods
to tackle the various threats in the Iranian value chain. It is now our time to
join Israel in recognizing the full extent of Iran’s threat to the Middle East
and the world.
The world must unite in extending the United Nations arms embargo on Iran later
this year and not allow Russia or China to exercise their veto powers in the UN
Security Council.
*The writer is the director of the Project for Israel’s National Security at the
Endowment for Middle East Truth (EMET), an unabashedly pro-Israel and
pro-American think tank and policy institute in Washington, DC. He formerly
served as the international adviser to Yuval Steinitz, a member of Israel’s
security cabinet and its energy minister.
Thirty years on from the invasion of Kuwait, what have we
learnt?
David Mack/The National/August 02/2020
The Gulf country's liberation and its aftermath were the halcyon days of
positive co-operation between the GCC and the US
When Saddam Hussein gave the order for Iraqi forces to enter Kuwait on August 1,
1990, he set off a chain of diplomatic, military and economic responses. The
result was a decade-long peak of US presence and influence in the Middle East.
In most respects, it was a period of positive accomplishments for the US and its
regional partners.
Hussein thought he could get away with grabbing Kuwait and intimidating other
governments on the Arabian Peninsula. This would have secured his ambitions for
regional leadership and an influential role on the world stage.
His miscalculations cost the Iraqi people dearly. Bad judgment was only part of
the problem. A dictator with minimal exposure to world politics, he was misled
by circumstances that seemed to invite him to take a gamble with great potential
payoff.
Following its eight-year war with Iran, Iraq calculated that a much smaller and
weaker adversary would be an easy target. His hubris was bolstered by a common
belief that Saudi Arabia would not invite western forces onto its territory.
Hussein expected that divisions among the GCC states could paralyse their
response.
The summer of 1990 was a time when the US’s willingness to play an assertive
strategic role in the Middle East was in great doubt. Memories of Vietnam and
Lebanon, where American forces had suffered defeats and setbacks, were fresh,
and popular opinion in the US was hostile to military ventures abroad.
Washington had taken on significant strategic responsibilities in the Gulf
during the final years of the Iraq-Iran War by protecting commercial shipping
from Iranian attacks. Operation Earnest Will, as the effort was known, was an
assertion of US power that involved strategic interaction with members of the
GCC.
Earnest Will was unprecedented, but it did not commit the US or any of the GCC
countries to future military co-operation. Indeed, the US military presence in
the region declined considerably in the following years, and by 1990, there were
only a few small naval warships in the Gulf. US President George H W Bush was
widely if incorrectly viewed as indecisive, and his freedom of action to commit
US military force was constrained by political opponents in Congress.
Starting in May 1990, I was a Deputy Assistant Secretary of State with
responsibility for Washington’s relations with all of the Arab states east of
Egypt, plus Iran. Having served in Iraq for two assignments, I understood Iraqi
capabilities and resentments of the relative per-capita wealth of its Arab
neighbours. I knew Saddam Hussein was ruthless and ambitious.
Having served in Iraq for two assignments, I knew Saddam Hussein was ruthless
and ambitious
After three years as the US Ambassador to the UAE from 1986-1989, I was also
aware of the military vulnerabilities of the GCC states at the time. Kuwait had
made it clear that it preferred to minimise military co-operation with
Washington, to the point that it did not welcome port calls by US Navy ships.
Other Arab governments told us that the only way to deal with Saddam Hussein was
through Arab diplomacy, and many had rebuffed our suggestions for consultations
regarding a potential threat from Iraq.
When Iraq made public threats against Kuwait and the Emirates on July 17, 1990,
the US privately warned top Iraqi officials of the consequences. At the same
time, we publicly declared that we would protect our vital interests in the Gulf
and were prepared to do so in co-operation with our “longstanding friends” –
referring particularly to the GCC.
With one exception, the governments of the Middle East did not respond to our
offer. The exception was the UAE. We began a joint military exercise with
Emirati forces to protect UAE offshore oil facilities. This got Hussein’s
attention, but it was far afield from Iraq. Meanwhile, neighbouring countries
such as Saudi Arabia and Kuwait were avoiding the appearance of closeness with
the US, and so Hussein figured we were bluffing.
In the end, Hussein’s calculations proved false. President Bush declared that
the Iraqi occupation of Kuwait would not stand, and the US gained strong support
for economic sanctions from the UN and countries around the world. The
governments of the GCC all engaged in military co-operation with the US, along
with our other strategic partners. After initial reservations, the US Congress
supported the deployment of half a million US military personnel to expel Iraqi
forces from Kuwait.
Drawing upon the success of Operation Desert Storm, as the US intervention was
known, Mr Bush then turned his attention to economic co-operation with GCC
states and to the Arab-Israeli dispute. The Madrid Conference launched a
promising decade of peace-making. US prestige in the region was never so high.
What are the lessons?
Deterrence by GCC states against an external threat is strongest when they work
together and with the US. Mutual interests will draw the US closer to countries
that have different cultures and different politics. Co-operation will require
persistent attention to those relations and respect for the views of those
governments. The outcome of the mostly unilateral US invasion of Iraq in 2003
and the collapse of the peace process between Israel and the Palestinians show
that the influence of Washington on events in the region fails without
partnerships and careful diplomacy. Reckless leadership, whether by a regional
actor or by US decision makers, can exact a heavy price.
*David Mack is a Nonresident Senior Fellow at Atlantic Council, a former US
Ambassador to UAE and a senior diplomat in Iraq, Jordan, Jerusalem, Libya,
Lebanon, Saudi Arabia and Tunisia
Sudan Optimistic US Will Soon Remove it from Terror List
Mohammed Amin Yassine/ Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 2
August, 2020
Sudan’s government has welcomed statements by the United States administration
on removing it from its terror list after it was designated a state sponsor of
terrorism in 1993 under former US President Bill Clinton, cutting it off from
financial markets and strangling its economy. In a press statement on Saturday,
Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok stressed the transitional government’s adherence
to continue working with US President Donald Trump’s administration to remove
Sudan from the list and allows it to become part of the international community.
He praised the role played by the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and Senator
Chris Coons, a Democrat known for his interest in Africa who urged US Secretary
of State Mike Pompeo to “do everything" he can to support Hamdok and seize the
chance “to build a new democratic partner in the region.”
On Thursday, Pompeo told the Committee he wants to delist Sudan, adding that
legislation on a settlement should come before Congress “in the very, very near
term.”
“There’s a chance not only for a democracy to begin to be built out, but perhaps
regional opportunities that could flow from that as well,” he stressed.
On June 26, Pompeo held a phone call with Hamdok, during which they discussed
means to strengthen the US-Sudan bilateral relationship and reviewed progress
towards addressing the policy and statutory requirements for consideration of
the rescission of Sudan’s State Sponsor of Terrorism designation.
Sudan’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Haydar Badawi Sadig, for his part, said
Pompeo’s remarks indicate that his country will soon be delisted.
He told Asharq Al-Awsat that his country welcomes the US willingness to end this
issue and hopes to accelerate its implementation. Sadig further pointed out that
Pompeo and Coons’s keenness to remove Sudan from the terror list indicates both
US executive and legislative bodies’ attempts to support the democratic
transformation in Sudan. “This would constitute an opportunity and a different
model in Sudan’s troubled environment and is compatible with Sudan’s aspiration
to be delisted,” he noted.
Germany's Bund May Be About to Lose Its Crown
Marcus Ashworth/Bloomberg/August, 02/2020
There’s a new kid in debt town, with the closest thing so far to a true “euro
bond” about to be sold in prodigious size to pay for the European Union’s new
750 billion-euro ($869 billion) pandemic fund. It will represent a challenge to
Europe’s undisputed credit-market champion: the German bund. Germany’s
government bonds have long been the continent’s benchmark for quality. They’re
the equivalent to US Treasuries as offering the safest collateral — and are
regarded essentially as risk free. But the new EU bonds, to be sold and managed
by the European Commission, will provide an alternative, and one that investors
will welcome. Bunds are very expensive, with yields on 10-year notes as low as
the European Central Bank’s -0.5% overnight deposit rate. The Commission will
doubtless offer better returns on its new issues, and the same feeling of
security. German debt is priced at a premium to other euro-zone bonds, but this
will probably narrow now that something else is available. While Berlin won’t be
pleading poverty any time soon, it still has to pay for one of world’s biggest
fiscal responses to the coronavirus crisis — estimated at 1.5 trillion euros so
far. Yet Germany is the country that’s probably furthest behind in its debt
issuance for the year, according to NatWest Markets strategist Giles Gale, who
sees 10-year bund yields climbing into positive territory in 2020. The higher
borrowing costs implied by that would have an impact.
The EU pandemic bond, meanwhile, is already winning friends before its first
issue. S&P Global Ratings has described it as “a breakthrough for EU sovereign
creditworthiness.” This suggests that the Commission may well retain its current
AA debt rating from S&P. Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings award it
AAA.
So the new bonds may gradually take over from the bund as the euro-debt
benchmark. Amundi SA, the largest European investment manager, says they “should
encourage foreign investors to consider the EU as a whole and not as the puzzle
of single issuers.”The pandemic debt will have decent liquidity too. Citi
strategist Michael Spies reckons the EU could issue nearly 200 billion euros
next year. This is less than Italian, French and German plans but it’s of a
serious scale. Before long there may even be derivatives related to it.
And investors will be reassured that the ECB will be able to buy these bonds as
part of its quantitative-easing programs. Up to 50% of each issue can be
purchased by the central bank, a higher ratio than for individual nations’ debt.
At the same time, Germany can no longer rely on its famed parsimony for propping
up the value of bunds. It will raise a record 220 billion euros in new money
this year, reversing years of reducing its overall debt, and it will lift its
ratio of debt to gross domestic product to 77% in the process. It was less than
60% previously. The “black zero” rule — where Germany’s budget had to balance
fiscal spending and tax receipts — is fast disappearing. That bund premium may
no longer be so handsome if the EU upstart grabs market share.
Focusing on Facebook and Google’s Monopoly Misses the Point
Noah Smith/Bloomberg/August, 02/2020
The heads of four of the US’s biggest technology companies — Alphabet Inc.,
Apple Inc. Facebook Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. — appeared before Congress earlier
this week to respond to criticism that they have too much market power. The
hearing showed that lawmakers are beginning to understand what is and isn’t
important when it comes to regulating these large businesses. And it also showed
an increased focus on the most important area of antitrust policy — mergers and
acquisitions and whether regulators have exercised enough vigilance.
In recent years, big tech has become ever more important to the US economy and
US financial markets. The five biggest tech companies (the four that testified,
plus Microsoft Corp.) now represent more than one-fifth of the market
capitalization of the S&P 500. Their value has only risen in the coronavirus
pandemic.
When a few companies get this big and dominant, it makes sense to think about
how they might be using their size to unfairly control markets.
One typical defense against such allegations is that tech companies are not
monopolies. Whether this is true depends on how markets are defined -- for
example, Google is overwhelmingly dominant among search engines, but has only
about a third of digital ad revenues. Facebook Chief Executive Officer Mark
Zuckerberg argued that his company faces intense competition in many markets,
especially from the other top tech companies.
But focusing on whether a company is a monopoly misses the point. Oligopolies,
where a few big companies dominate the market, also tend to wield some degree of
market power. In theory, that can allow powerful players to jack up consumer
prices, underpay workers and squeeze suppliers.
In the case of Big Tech, consumer prices are generally not the issue. Services
provided to consumers by Google and Facebook tend to be free, while Apple’s fat
margins stem mostly from consumer willingness to pay a lot for the brand value
of an iPhone. Wages are a slightly bigger concern. Big tech companies have
already been caught and fined for colluding to hold down engineers’ salaries,
and there has been much attention paid to Amazon’s warehouse low pay and
unpleasant working conditions. But Big Tech ultimately doesn’t employ very many
people, and its proven anticompetitive activities have largely involved highly
paid workers. So while Big Tech wage suppression deserves to be monitored
closely, it’s probably not yet a major threat to US labor markets.
A bigger worry concerns suppliers. Platform companies depend on a network of
third-party companies -- merchants who sell on Amazon, websites that run Google
ads, app developers who sell on Apple’s App Store and so on. The platforms’ size
potentially allows them to extract a lot of value from these smaller companies,
demanding a larger share of their revenue or even creating and then favoring
their own competing offerings.
In the long run, as tech publisher Tim O’Reilly has argued, big tech companies
would probably ossify and ultimately lose out from cannibalizing their own
third-party ecosystems, but there’s always the danger that short-term profits
will prove too tantalizing. Thus, it’s a good thing that Congress focused some
of its attention on the need to maintain fair relationships between platforms
and suppliers. Ultimately, this issue will probably have to be resolved with
regulation because breaking up platform companies would eventually cause new
platforms to emerge and become dominant.
Another concern is the prices that online service companies charge advertisers.
By some estimates, more than half of digital ad spending now goes to either
Google or Facebook, with the fastest-rising competitor being Amazon. Advertisers
are the true paying customers for free online services for consumers.
This is a reason that legislators are worried about platforms buying out the
competition. Facebook CEO Zuckerberg admitted in the hearing that he purchased
social-networking company Instagram in 2012 as a way to head off a potential
competitor. There have been allegations that the company has attempted or
threatened to do the same with other young social networks, telling them that if
they didn’t accept an offer, Facebook would launch a competing product and drive
them out of existence.
Ultimately, that could raise prices for advertisers, if Facebook properties are
the only way for them to reach social-media users. Those sorts of buyouts and
buyout threats could also have a chilling effect on startup formation and
economic dynamism because even the threat of competition from a dominant company
can deter new entrants. Columbia Law School professor Timothy Wu has argued that
such buyouts are illegal under current antitrust law.
So if there’s any case for antitrust action against Big Tech right now, it
probably has to do with the acquisition of upstart competitors. Unlike most of
the issues surrounding Big Tech, which are complicated and confusing because of
the way online network effects change the economics of size, concern over
anticompetitive mergers that jack up prices is very old and very common.
In any case, it’s a very good thing that Congress is beginning to pay more
attention to the problems of industrial concentration and oligopoly in the US
economy. Big Tech is obviously the most well-known and popular case, but with
concentration rising across most industries, these hearings will hopefully be a
jumping-off point for a broader re-examination of the value of mega-mergers and
huge, dominant companies.
The War on Masks Is Another Lost Cause
Francis Wilkinson/Bloomberg/August, 02/2020
When a man in a MAGA hat was asked to put on a mask last week at a suburban
Kansas City restaurant, as state law requires, he said he had an exemption. Then
he lifted his shirt to reveal a holstered firearm. A customer who refused to
wear a mask at a convenience store in Michigan this week stabbed a fellow
customer and was later shot dead by police.
Despite the recommendations of health officials, the requirements of an
increasing number of retail stores and the force of laws — or perhaps because of
them — many citizens are still resisting masks. Covid-19 has spurred a tangled
knot of health-care, economic and political crises. For supporters of President
Donald Trump, however, those crises have produced another: a brutal rejoinder to
the magical thinking that is foundational to the MAGA creed.
It’s not just randos. Georgia Governor Brian Kemp this week instituted a
death-defying ban on local ordinances requiring masks — even as Covid-19 cases
soar in his state. Republican Senator Ted Cruz of Texas was photographed
maskless on a flight. When Trump finally modeled a mask, he received the kind of
praise typically associated with opening your mouth to allow the airplane spoon
of applesauce inside.
The accretion of knowledge about the virus has been halting and muddled. By
contrast, the anti-mask crowd has (so far) remained emphatic and absolute. In
Orange County, California, the Republican-dominated school board voted to allow
schools to reopen even as neighboring Los Angeles and San Diego announced that
the resurgence of Covid-19 had rendered school openings unfeasible. The board
also recommended that neither students nor teachers be required to wear masks or
maintain social distance.
Obviously, fanatical resistance to masks amid a lethal pandemic has little to do
with the efficacy or decorum of cloth coverings. The mask has become a focus of
MAGA angst. As David Frum has noted, a mask “strings an accusation from ear to
ear.” It’s a facial wall, and Mexico’s not paying for this one, either.
The deaths of 135,000-and-counting Americans have altered behavior and changed
opinions, including among Republicans.
“If all of us would put on a face covering now for the next four weeks to six
weeks, I think we could drive this epidemic to the ground,” Dr. Robert Redfield,
the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said this week.
Tate Reeves, the Republican governor of Mississippi, tweeted Monday: “Right now,
despite mixed messages at the beginning, it seems like masks are the best bet.
They’re a hell of a lot better than widespread shut downs. Please wear one!”
Yet the partisan gap on mask use is wide. According to Gallup, 27% of
Republicans say they “never” wear a mask, as do 18% of independents. Among
Democrats, it’s 1%. Yes, some of those Republicans live in rural areas where
mask use is largely unnecessary. But even rural residents go to stores more
often than never.
The mask may prove to be the dividing line between conservatives who share a
common reality with the rest of the nation and those who insist on a separatist
life of conspiracy mongering and political fantasy. The freedom to spread a
lethal disease is shaping up to be a 21st century Lost Cause — a struggle
shrouded in myth and lies that will leave behind a gruesome toll on the
battlefield.
UNEP: What’s in a Name?
Najib Saab/Asharq Al Awsat/August 02/2020
Preventing the Next Pandemic is the title of a timely report about breaking the
chain of diseases transmitted between animals and humans. It warns of further
outbreaks unless governments take active measures to tackle the source of the
problem – which can largely be traced back to unsustainable farming and food
production practices. It was surprising that some media outlets attributed this
significant report to the United Nations Environment Department, a non-existent
entity. After further scrutiny, it turned out that the body behind it was the
United Nations Environment Programme, commonly known as UNEP. So why was UNEP,
the longstanding international agency with its autonomous governing assembly
that had been leading global environmental action for almost a decade, dropped
from news stories?
This is one of the repercussions of an arbitrary measure imposed by former UNEP
Executive Director, Erik Solheim, during his short tenure between 2016 and 2018.
Without going back to the UN secretariat or UNEP governing bodies, Solheim
unilaterally mandated dropping the word “Programme” from the name, changing it
to "UN Environment", and banning the established acronym UNEP, even in social
media domains.
Solheim seemingly had good intentions, most notably to simplify things for
ordinary people who often do not understand the meaning of vague sentences and
acronyms that are common to international reports. He even confided to me, in a
meeting upon his appointment, that when he started his political career in
Norway, he used to ask his grandmother to read the drafts of his speeches and
reports, in order to amend what she could not comprehend. I was excited about
his approach, as I shared his view that what primarily hinders the messages of
international organizations reaching decision-makers and the public alike is
their ambiguity, which prevents turning them into public policies. Solheim
envisioned transforming UNEP meetings from a "dialogue of the deaf" among
experts living in a virtual world and officials looking for solutions, into a
dialogue that uses comprehensible language, and that would lead to measurable
results. Solheim also wished to deliver environmental issues directly to the
public at large, so that people would be an essential part of the change.
However, the practice did not reflect these good intentions. Bringing the
environmental message directly to the people did not necessitate traveling away
from UNEP headquarters in Nairobi for 529 out of 668 days – the entire length of
Solheim’s tenure. Although travel irregularities was the official reason given
for Solheim's forced exit, the greatest damage he did was to single-handedly
change the name and identity of this deep-rooted international agency. A
well-established brand name, which was built over half a century, was
systematically destroyed. Despite repeated warnings that the UN Environment was
an expression devoid of meaning, especially when translated to languages such as
Arabic, the change was enforced by an inner circle around the director. To make
matters worse, millions of dollars were wasted on re-branding across the board,
from letterheads and publications to social media, including domain names and
e-mail addresses. People were unable to understand whether UN Environment stood
for an initiative, a department, an office, a program, or an organization. This
revealed a significant deficiency in governance within the United Nations, for
how could the director of an agency that is part of the Secretariat in New York
pass such a radical change without the approval of the Secretariat and UNEP’s
governing bodies?
Upon Solheim's departure, UNEP started to restore its original name in full,
including its acronym. But it was obvious that the damage would take long to
repair, as reflected in various media outlets still portraying UNEP as a
department within the UN Secretariat. Would anybody have dared to switch the
"United Nations Development Programme" to "United Nations Development", "Food
and Agriculture Organization" to "United Nations Food and Agriculture" or
"United Nations Children's Fund" to "United Nations Children"?
International agencies legally fall under two types. The specialized agencies,
which are 17 autonomous international organizations governed by their member
states, coordinate their work with the United Nations through negotiated
agreements. Among these are the World Health Organization (WHO), the
International Labor Organization (ILO) and the United Nations Educational,
Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO). The international programs, of
which there are 14 including the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and
the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), are agencies with their own
governing bodies made up of country representatives, but they are subject to the
rules of the UN Secretariat and their heads are appointed by the UN
Secretary-General, with subsequent approval by the UN General Assembly. If the
removal of the word "programme" from UNEP’s name aimed to bypass the failure to
formally transform the agency into an autonomous organization, as had been
attempted several times over the years, it became evident that this had only
backfired by diminishing its status as a great global agency to a mere
department.
The role expected of UNEP is to lead international environmental action. It was
transformed from a small secretariat that included a few dozen dedicated staff
when it was founded back in 1972, into a big organization today with around
1,000 employees overseeing hundreds of programs and initiatives and coordinating
the work of many international environmental treaties and agreements. With the
adoption of Agenda 2030, UNEP’s main task became managing the implementation of
the environmental content within the 17 Sustainable Development Goals.
Instead of wasting time and effort on name change, it would have been more
beneficial to focus on achieving UNEP’s mandate and strengthening its position
as a pillar of environmental policy within the United Nations system. One of its
most important tasks is to pursue collaboration and partnership with various
international agencies by developing specific environmental initiatives led by
specialized bodies, to avoid duplication and overlap with the work of other
organizations. For example, matters related to food safety and security would be
handled by FAO, health by the WHO, and environmental education by UNESCO.
Another UNEP priority is to constantly review international environmental
conventions and agreements, comparing the set goals to actual achievements, in
order to close gaps and improve performance.
Besides enhancing the scientific content of the Global Environment Outlook (GEO)
issued periodically by UNEP, the science-policy aspects should be strengthened,
so the report can respond better to current challenges and serve as a useful
tool for changing environmental policies at the national level, not only provide
abstract information and intangible ideas.
Former UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said that the true measure of an
organization’s success should be what it achieves, not what it promises. This
requires a periodic performance appraisal, undertaken by an independent and
external specialized consultant. While international funds adopt this procedure
by subjecting their work to periodic review by an external consultant, this has
not happened so far at the United Nations Environment Programme.
Millions spent on changing UNEP name would have been better used to conduct a
comprehensive review of the agency’s work and performance, by a qualified
external consultancy. This might be the most urgent task for the new UNEP
leadership.
*Najib Saab is Secretary General of the Arab Forum for Environment and
Development- AFED and Editor-in-Chief of Environment & Development magazine.