English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For August 01/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/eliasnews19/english.august01.20.htm
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Bible Quotations For today
The scribes and the Pharisees sit on Moses’
seat; therefore, do whatever they teach you and follow it; but do not do as they
do, for they do not practise what they teach
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew
23/01-12:”Then Jesus said to the crowds and to his disciples, ‘The scribes and
the Pharisees sit on Moses’ seat; therefore, do whatever they teach you and
follow it; but do not do as they do, for they do not practise what they teach.
They tie up heavy burdens, hard to bear, and lay them on the shoulders of
others; but they themselves are unwilling to lift a finger to move them. They do
all their deeds to be seen by others; for they make their phylacteries broad and
their fringes long. They love to have the place of honour at banquets and the
best seats in the synagogues, and to be greeted with respect in the
market-places, and to have people call them rabbi. But you are not to be called
rabbi, for you have one teacher, and you are all students. And call no one your
father on earth, for you have one Father the one in heaven. Nor are you to be
called instructors, for you have one instructor, the Messiah. The greatest among
you will be your servant. All who exalt themselves will be humbled, and all who
humble themselves will be exalted.”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on July31-August
01/2020
Health Ministry: 224 new corona cases
Hariri Hospital: One death, 18 critical cases
Al-Rahi meets with 'Strong Republic' Bloc delegation
Magnitsky Act will pursue Lebanon’s corrupt/Najia Houssari/Arab News/July
31/2020
Aoun to Deliver a Speech on Army Day
Report: Israel Prepared to Retaliate against Hizbullah Strike
Qabalan Marks Eid Adha: Lebanon Neutrality is Impossible
Zasypkin Says Israel-Lebanon War 'Unlikely'
Lebanon’s Security Chief Fills Vacuum Left By Government’s 'Absence'
Lebanese Forces: We will file charges against Ghassan Atallah for false and
misleading news
Diab Withdraws Comments Against Le Drian, Soothes Talks With France
Understanding Hezbollah's complex planning behind the events on Har Dov/Joanathan
Spyer/Jerusalem Post/July 31/2020
When Will Lebanon Take Back the South?/Elias Harfoush/Asharq Al Awsat/July
31/2020
How to save Lebanon from looming hyperinflation/Nasser Saidi/The National/July
31/2020
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on July31-August 01/2020
Iraqi PM announces June 6 snap elections, calls for ‘change in political
scene’
US designates, sanctions key ISIS financial supporter in Turkey: Treasury
Department
Khamenei Rejects Talks with US over Missile, Nuclear Programs
Iran's Khamanei Says Sanctions Failed, No Talks with Trump
U.S. Adds Materials To Metals Sanctions Against Iran
Washington Punishes Damascus, Eyes Moscow
Executed Turkish general exposed misuse of Qatari funds for Syria extremists:
Report
Erdogan Insists on Decisive Action in Libya
Ghannouchi Survives No-Confidence Vote
Car Bomb Kills 9 in Northeast Syria
Trump Suggests Delay in Presidential Election over Coronavirus Fears
Florida Hits Another Record Virus Death Toll as Hurricane Looms
Second round of Ukraine-Iran plan crash talks set for October
Study: Young Children Carry Higher Levels of Coronavirus
US, China consulate closures deal losses to both nations
Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on July31-August 01/2020
Sudan, Darfur and the prospects of Stabilization and
Democratization/Charles Elias Chartouni/July 31/2020
U.S. Sanctions Assad’s 18-Year-Old Son, Promises More Targets to Come/David
Adesnik/FDD/July 31/2020
Systemic Hypocrisy/Judith Bergman/Gatestone Institute/July 31/2020
Biden Offers an Obama-Trump Cocktail/Amir Taherii/Asharq Al-AwsatJuly 31/2020
It’s Not Just Anti-Vaxxers Who Worry About Vaccines/Therese
Raphael/Bloomberg/July, 31/2020
The US Can Control Covid Without a Second Lockdown/Faye Flam/Bloomberg/July,
31/2020
The US wants to stop Iran's arms build-up by hook or by crook/Con Coughlin/The
National/July 31/2020
Question: "What does it mean that there is neither Jew nor Greek in Galatians
3:28?"/GotQuestions.org/July 31/2020
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on July31-August 01/2020
Health Ministry: 224 new corona cases
NNA/July 31/2020
The Public Health Ministry indicated on Friday that 224 new cases of coronavirus
infection have been registered today, thus raising the cumulative number of
infected cases to-date to 4555 cases.
Hariri Hospital: One death, 18 critical cases
NNA/July 31/2020
In its daily report on the latest COVID-19 developments, the Rafic Hariri
University Hospital indicated on Friday that one death case has been registered,
while 18 critical cases are receiving medical attention at the hospital.
The report stated that 680 tests were carried out at the hospital's laboratories
during the past 24 hours. It added that the number of patients infected with
coronavirus who are currently receiving treatment and follow-up at the hospital
is 65, while 17 suspected cases were transferred from other hospitals within the
past 24 hours.Moreover, the hospital disclosed that no new recoveries have been
registered during the past 24 hours; thus maintaining the total number of
recoveries to-date at 259 cases. It added that 5 patients were released from the
hospital during the past 24 hours to be home quarantined, after their attending
physician confirmed their clinical recovery. "Two cases were transferred from
intensive care to the isolation unit after their condition has improved," the
report stated, noting that the total number of critical cases currently present
inside the hospital is 18 patients.
The Hariri Hospital concluded its report by reminding citizens that the
Coronavirus Call Center for emergency response and inquiry about test results
operates 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, including public holidays, and can be
reached through the landline number 01-820830, or through the WhatsApp contact
service 76-897961.
Al-Rahi meets with 'Strong Republic' Bloc delegation
NNA/July 31/2020
Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Bechara Boutros al-Rahi, met this morning in Al-Diman
with a "Strong Republic" Bloc delegation, commissioned by Lebanese Forces Party
Chief Samir Geagea, including MP's Wehbi Qatisha, Shawki Daccash and Antoine
Habshi, as well as the Head of LF's Bureau for Communication with Spiritual
Leaders Tony Mourad and Bureau Member Jean-Claude Saab. The tripartite
initiative launched by the Patriarch, which represents a rescue solution for
Lebanon, was at center of discussions during the meeting. On emerging, MP Habshi
spoke on behalf of the delegation, saying: "We came today to visit His Beatitude
in wake of the neutrality initiative he has put forth, especially since the
concept of neutrality is being given different interpretations which do not
reflect its simple content."He added: "Our Patriarch has clarified that
neutrality is based on three pillars, the first being neutrality itself, whereby
Lebanon, ever since its foundation, has been established through national
agreement on neutrality to be a place for convergence and not conflicts...We
believe that with the guarantee of neutrality, Lebanon can fulfill its mission
and, as our Patriarch said, refrain from engaging in any conflicts with the
surrounding nor enter into problems or wars, since Lebanon, being a land for
convergence and dialogue, must be immune from these conflicts in order to be
able to unite in the event of disagreements, and this message cannot be carried
out by Lebanon unless there is a strong state...and His Beatitude spoke clearly
about the Lebanese sovereignty and legitimacy.""In order to have a strong state,
its sovereignty and legitimacy must be intact; thus enabling it to maintain its
strength, face any challenge and defend any encroachment on its sovereignty, and
embrace all its citizens...At that instant, said state can carry out all the
necessary steps to resolve its pending issues, such as the armed Palestinian
presence, the Syrian displacement, and others, because the strong state protects
everyone and defends its sovereignty in the face of every aggressor," Habshi
underlined. "The most important thing is that when the state is neutral, Lebanon
will not be exposed to the economic, financial, monetary and social crises it is
facing today due to its lack of neutrality," the MP maintained. "We must grab
this initiative by the Patriarch, and stand together as Lebanese and help each
other in reaching Lebanon's neutrality and sparing the country all the problems
and socio-economic conditions it is witnessing today," Habshi asserted. He
concluded by reiterating that "when we call for a strong state and neutrality
from all conflicts, this means that only the state decides on peace and war, and
it is the one that legitimately controls all its territories at home and on its
borders."
Magnitsky Act will pursue Lebanon’s corrupt
Najia Houssari/Arab News/July 31/2020
BEIRUT: Lebanon is failing to respond to demands from the international
community that reforms should be implemented as a condition for receiving aid,
even as a US law threatens to pursue those who have brought the Middle Eastern
country to its knees. Lebanon is buckling under the worst economic crisis in its
history, with the ensuing political and financial turmoil fueling public anger.
The UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, Michelle Bachelet, warned on July 10
that the situation was “rapidly getting out of control” and that some of the
most vulnerable Lebanese risked starving to death due to this crisis, adding:
“We must act immediately before it is too late.”The US and France have said that
reforms are needed before financial assistance can be given, but Prime Minister
Hassan Diab’s government has said it is helpless to meet the conditions set by
the international community.
Washington has given Diab’s government the chance to respond to the conditions
of cooperation but the government, according to a statement from Assistant
Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs David Schenker a few days ago,
failed to get past the pitfalls, found it easier to overlook the demands of the
international community, and did not study its decisions in a manner consistent
with the situation at home. Adding to the pressure on Lebanon is the Magnitsky
Act, which could affect businessmen, politicians and possibly even religious
leaders, according to economist Violette Balaa.
“The delay in starting its implementation is linked to a careful study of the
legal mechanism attached to its provisions and recommendations, and it is
complicated in terms of freezing assets inside and outside Lebanon,” she told
Arab News. “In addition, it is possible that those affected by the sanctions
might resort to justice.”The government was exercising a policy of
“circumventing” the case of financial appointments to maintain the political
quota, she said and referred to “the blatant stalling of opening the door to
reforms in the electricity sector.” Power distribution had reached its lowest
since wartime as a result of the adulterated and smuggled fuel crises, she
added.
“The owners of power generators are giving the signal to completely cut off the
energy supply for reasons related to rationing the distribution of fuel, for
fear of having it smuggled to Syria.” Information is also circulating in Lebanon
that the US will not grant Lebanon any exemptions from the Caesar Syria Civilian
Protection Act, which is intended to send a signal to foreign businesses that
they should not engage with President Bashar Assad’s regime, and that any
exemption related to getting the electrical current from Syria would be
conditional on monitoring smuggling through border crossings.
Schenker previously suggested that the US was mulling sanctions against the
backdrop of the Magnitsky Act in Lebanon, and was considering a set of names.
The Magnitsky Act initially sought the punishment of Russian figures responsible
for the death of tax advisor Sergei Magnitsky in a Moscow prison in 2009, but
its application soon began to expand. In 2016, US Congress adopted a global
version of the act to give the US president the power to impose sanctions on any
foreigner accused of human rights violations, such as murder, torture, and other
violations set out in international human rights law. In 2017, President Donald
Trump signed Executive Order No. 13818 “blocking the property of persons
involved in serious human rights abuse or corruption.”“There is an impression
among US administration officials that Diab’s government will not last long
after the series of failures that the Lebanese are seeing during the outbreak of
economic and social crises, and they expect this government to fall next
September,” Balaa said.
Aoun to Deliver a Speech on Army Day
Naharnet/July 31/2020
President Michel Aoun is scheduled to deliver a speech on Saturday marking Army
Day, the National News Agency reported on Friday. The speech will be aired on
television stations and audio media outlets at 10:00 a.m. Aoun will address the
Lebanese, the graduating officers in the Diamond Jubilee of the Army, said NNA.
An annual graduation ceremony of troops usually held in Fayadieh was canceled
due to the spread of COVID-19 coronavirus.
Report: Israel Prepared to Retaliate against Hizbullah Strike
Naharnet/July 31/2020
Israeli media said the Israeli army received an order to “strike” specific
“Lebanese” targets shall Hizbullah carry out any retaliatory attack against
Israel, media reports said on Friday. Israeli television channel, I24news, said
Israeli Defense Minister Benjamin Gantz, ordered the army to “destroy” vital
Lebanese facilities if Hizbullah carries out any retaliatory attack against
soldiers or citizens, in response to the killing of one of its officers near
Damascus with an Israeli raid. The source pointed out that Gantz issued these
instructions during a session held Thursday, in the presence of the Israeli
Chief of Staff, Aviv Kochavi and a number of senior army leaders. Gantz had
reportedly stressed that if Hizbullah carries out an attack, Lebanon “will see
an unprecedented Israeli response against its infrastructure and vital
facilities.”
Qabalan Marks Eid Adha: Lebanon Neutrality is
Impossible
Naharnet/July 31/2020
Grand Shiite Jaafarite Mufti Sheikh Ahmed Qabalan said on Friday that neutrality
in Lebanon is “impossible because it is inapplicable.” Qabalan’s remarks came in
a televised speech marking Eid el-Adha. He said: “Part of wars in the region are
not far from Lebanon,” referring to the war in neighboring Syria, “which
confirms that Lebanon is in the eye of the storm. It can not be neutral, on the
contrary it must be an active partner to defend itself and its interest,
otherwise it could be an easy prey.” Qabalan’s comments arise after the calls of
Maronite Patriarch Beshara el-Rahi to neutralize Lebanon from regional
conflicts. This, drew different reactions from political parties in Lebanon. On
Lebanon’s multiple crises including a crunching economic and financial crisis,
Qabalan said the situation is “historically catastrophic at all levels in
Lebanon,” accusing “some parties of making it worse.”“We suffer from despair,
exhaustion, and a comprehensive blockade in Lebanon amid a crisis of power,
hunger dealers, high prices of goods and monopolization. The country faces
societal and moral disasters. A frightening shortfall in the authority’s ability
is revealed amid the total absence of conscience. I invite everyone not to fall
in the trap of the international regional project that tightens the blockade on
our country,” said Qabalan.
Zasypkin Says Israel-Lebanon War 'Unlikely'
Naharnet/July 31/2020
Russian Ambassador to Lebanon Alexander Zasypkin said on Friday that the
prospects of an Israeli war with Lebanon are “unlikely,” adding that both
parties realize that major losses could be entitled as a result. “We do not see
a high probability of war, there is a balance and each side knows that there are
huge losses for each of the two parties,” said Zasypkin in an interview with al-Mayadeen.net.
He added that “the priorities in the region now are to find solutions to
conflicts in Syria, Libya and Yemen and also monitor the situation in Lebanon."
Nevertheless, he said “strategically no party will achieve its goals. This means
that the situation is rigid until the next stage hoping to find
solutions."Tension flared earlier this week on the border when Israel reinforced
military presence after a security incident at the border led the Jewish state
to fire artillery across the frontier. Israel claimed that members of Hizbullah
armed with rifles crossed the UN-demarcated Blue Line in the disputed Mount Dov
area, claimed by Lebanon, Syria and Israel. But Hizbullah, which has a presence
in the area denied any involvement.
Lebanon’s Security Chief Fills Vacuum Left By Government’s
'Absence'
Beirut- Mohammed Shukair/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 31 July, 2020
A senior political figure, who spared no effort to support the government of
Prime Minister Hassan Diab, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the latter “is still
acting like he were living on another planet and refrains from interfering at
the right time to stop the country from collapsing.”The senior politician,
quoted by his visitors, noted that the government has “demonstrated its
inability to address the Lebanese complaints and concerns.”In remarks to Asharq
Al-Awsat, the sources said that the political leader, who was one of the main
backers of the government upon its formation, expressed his discontent with the
latter’s performance. “Its prime minister has placed himself in a political
lockdown because of his insistence on some positions that brought him into a
series of political clashes,” he reportedly said. He added that Diab went as far
as to clash with French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian, instead of
maintaining a good relationship with the country that has been working to help
Lebanon overcome its crises. According to the sources, the senior political
leader believes that the premier’s problem lied in his lack of a clear vision to
provide solutions to economic and living problems. He also affirmed that relying
on a government of “technocrats” was not fitting because of the absence of a
unified political vision and initiatives that meet the people’s aspirations. In
this context, the political leader noted that the role currently assumed by the
head of the General Security, Major General Abbas Ibrahim, was aimed at filling
the vacuum left by the government’s inaptness to run political affairs. The
sources emphasized that Ibrahim’s movements were now supported by those who were
initially against the security chief’s working on behalf of the government. They
said that he was benefiting from his network of relations with all parties,
whether in the loyalty or the opposition.
Lebanese Forces: We will file charges against Ghassan
Atallah for false and misleading news
NNA/Friday, 31 July, 2020
The Lebanese Forces Party's media circle issued a statement on Friday, in which
it categorically denied "all the false allegations and misleading and fabricated
reports made by former Minister Ghassan Atallah regarding LF's seeking to hold
meetings with Hezbollah."The Party indicated that in light of the continued lies
and slander, its legal department will file a law suit against former Minister
Atallah in this respect.
Diab Withdraws Comments Against Le Drian, Soothes Talks
With France
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 31 July, 2020
Lebanon’s Prime Minister Hassan Diab tried to “soften the rhetoric” with the
French side, after his harsh criticism against French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves
Le Drian last week. In remarks on Thursday, Diab announced that France’s offer
to provide technical assistance at the financial level “is being studied” and
emphasized the deep-rooted relations between the two countries. The premier was
speaking following a meeting at the Grand Serail with a French delegation that
included Chargé D'Affaires Salina Grenet-Catalano, Advisor Ines Ben Karim, and
Head of Economic Affairs department François De Ricolfis. Diab expressed
“Lebanon’s aspiration to strengthen cooperation between the two countries…
especially in the framework of international organizations.” He also said that
Le Drian’s visit came “in the context of the historical relationship that links
the two countries together.”The premier’s comments came days after he harshly
criticized Le Drian, accusing him of having “incomplete information” on the
reform paths adopted by his government. He reportedly told a cabinet meeting
that the French minister’s warning and “lack of information” about government
reforms indicated an “international decision not to assist Lebanon.” Diab has
later deleted a tweet stating the same.
Understanding Hezbollah's complex planning behind the
events on Har Dov
Joanathan Spyer/Jerusalem Post/July 31/2020
جواناثان سباير: محاولة لفهم التخطيط المعقد لحزب الله فيما
يتعلق بأحداث مزارع شبعا الأخيرة
BEHIND THE LINES: This week’s skirmish on the northern border must be seen
through the prism of the leadership struggle in Lebanon.
The events at Mount Dov earlier this week, in order to be understood, need to be
placed in the broader context of Israel’s ongoing undeclared military campaign
against Iran. They also cannot be separated from Hezbollah’s current status as
the de facto ruler of Lebanon.
In the Israel-Iran conflict, at the present time, Lebanon is a secondary front.
A state of de facto mutual deterrence has largely held in this area since the
2006 war. The preference of both Israel and Hezbollah – for the moment – is that
this situation should hold.
Israel, in addition to the quiet and ongoing campaign against Iran in Syria, and
beyond it, is focused at present on the pandemic and its various economic,
social and political costs.
Lebanon and Hezbollah’s focus is of necessity the same. Hezbollah is today the
dominant force in Lebanese public life. The bloc of which it is a part holds a
majority in the 128-member parliament and a majority in the cabinet. Prime
Minister Hassan Diab is its obedient servant.
This means that the profound economic crisis currently gripping the country
falls squarely in Hezbollah’s lap. It is required to operate and to make
decisions as a governing force, responsible for the avoidance of general
socioeconomic collapse, which is now a real possibility in Lebanon.
The aforementioned dynamic ought to support the continuation of uneasy quiet
along the border. The problem is that Hezbollah is not only or primarily a
successful local political actor. Rather, it is a franchise of Iran’s Islamic
Revolutionary Guards Corps. Indeed, its local political predominance is a direct
function of the outsize strength and capacity afforded it in the Lebanese
context by Iranian support.
As an IRGC franchise, Hezbollah forms an integral and important element in
Iran’s larger regional strategy. Israel is currently engaged in an ongoing
campaign to degrade and roll back a particular element of that strategy –
namely, the effort by Iran to consolidate and extend its presence in Syria.
For Hezbollah, the extension of this presence is a cardinal interest. The
Iranian deployment in Syria provides Hezbollah with a strategic hinterland and a
potential extended front line against Israel in the event of war. Syria also
contains nodes along the land and air bridges by which Iran seeks to supply its
Lebanese franchise and improve its capacities and capabilities.
The Iranian presence in Syria is not maintained only or mainly by Iranian
personnel. Tehran maintains a variety of both local Syrian and international
(Arab and non-Arab) proxies to advance its interest in this area. This includes
Afghan, Iraqi and Pakistani elements. The Lebanese IRGC franchise is also an
integral and prominent element in Syria.
For this reason, despite the narrow mutual interest in quiet along the
Israel-Lebanon border, Israel and Hezbollah are engaged in an ongoing, direct
conflict on neighboring soil.
Israel has neither the desire nor the ability to avoid harm to the specific
Lebanese component of the IRGC’s deployment in Syria.
So the question arises as to how to manage the continued current narrow mutual
desire for quiet on the border, even as this conflict continues.
CLEARLY, HEZBOLLAH’S desire is to deter Israel to a point where it ceases to
cause harm to its personnel in the Syrian context. This appears to be
unachievable. Failing this, it needs to show (not least to its own public and
also to its Iranian masters) that the blood of its fighters cannot be shed
without cost.
To do this, the movement needs to extract a serious price from Israel for all
such actions in this regard. But it needs to do this without causing a
large-scale Israeli retaliation into Lebanon, which it can ill afford and does
not want. This is a difficult balancing act to perform.
The process was put to the test again this week. The death of Hezbollah
operative Ali Mohsen in an alleged Israeli bombing in the Damascus area on July
20 made a response along the border inevitable. Israel’s forces deployed in
expectation of enemy action along the border. An abortive effort, according to
the IDF, took place on July 27, in which a section of Hezbollah fighters crossed
the border. The force was spotted, engaged by the IDF, and then it rapidly
retreated.
This was the third such occurrence in the last half decade. There has been a
decline in the potency of Hezbollah’s responses across this period. But from the
beginning, the counterstrikes were not proportionate to the damage the movement
was experiencing.
In January 2015, in retaliation for the killing of a senior Hezbollah commander,
an Iranian general and five others in the Quneitra area, Hezbollah succeeded in
launching an anti-tank missile at an IDF jeep. Two IDF infantry soldiers were
killed.
In September 2019, the movement responded to an Israeli drone strike in Beirut
on August 25 and the killing of two operatives in an airstrike on Damascus on
August 24. On that occasion, Hezbollah made do with firing anti-tank missiles at
an IDF outpost and an ambulance along the border. There were no fatalities.
On the present occasion, still less appears to have been achieved. A group of
fighters crossed the border, were engaged, and retreated, apparently without
loss of life.
Following the incident, a Hezbollah statement in the evening denied that any
incursion had been attempted. Hezbollah’s statement in the evening of the 27th
included an assertion that “our retaliation for martyr Ali Mohsen is surely
coming.” The IDF will no doubt remain in a heightened state of alert in the
coming days.But the declining level of Hezbollah response to IDF killings of its
members in Syria in recent years is notable. The rule that Israel appears to be
trying to impose is that the killing of Lebanese Hezbollah members outside of
Lebanon will continue, and that the movement’s situation is such that it will be
obliged to make only a token response to this. In this regard, Israel’s greater
conventional military strength and hence capacity for damage is one side of
this.
The other side is Hezbollah’s domestic situation in Lebanon. Ibrahim Amin,
editor of the pro-Hezbollah Al Akhbar newspaper, often reflects the thinking of
Hezbollah’s leadership in his editorials. In an article this week, Amin wrote
that “the resistance did not initiate the declaration of war, but on the
contrary, it has always said – and it means what it says – that it does not want
war. But not at any cost. In the sense that the resistance, which does not want
war, also does not want to surrender in order not to have war.”
The oddly defensive tone of this statement is at odds with the usual timbre of
Amin’s editorials. These tend to read like the haughty edicts of a triumphant
general. The article was written in Arabic, and is meant for local consumption.
It is clearly intended to assure the Lebanese public, at a moment of
unprecedented domestic crisis, that Hezbollah is not seeking to embroil them in
renewed conflict. The movement’s dominant domestic position matters to it (and
its masters in Tehran). It cannot be maintained by coercion alone.
This leaves Hezbollah caught between the desire to maintain a general deterrence
against Israeli strikes against its members, and the urgent need not to provoke
a new war. The consequent possibility is that it may have to settle for rules of
engagement in which Israel leaves it alone in Lebanon (unless provoked) while
reaping a toll of its fighters in Syria. The period ahead will show whether or
not, given unavoidable realities, this latter arrangement is for now acceptable
to the Lebanese IRGC franchise.
Following the 2006 War, Hezbollah moved into a more overt and political role in
Lebanon. Since 2018, the coalition of which it is a part has ruled the country.
Some observers in Israel maintained in the post-2006 period that Hezbollah’s
“hybrid” status was its main asset, which would begin to evaporate as it became
the overt ruler of the country in which it was established by the IRGC in 1982.
This theory is now being put to the test.
When Will Lebanon Take Back the South?
Elias Harfoush/Asharq Al Awsat/July 31/2020
The Lebanese government was the last to know about what happened in South
Lebanon on Monday. It is said that Prime Minister Hassan Diab canceled all his
meetings and appointments to follow what was happening, most probably like every
other Lebanese person did, on his TV.
In light of the contradictory news and stories, between the Israeli claim that
Hezbollah carried out an attack in Shebaa Farms and Hezbollah denying that, and
its affiliated media mocking what they considered to be a “state of confusion”
in Israel, Lebanese officials were satisfied to play the role of mere observers,
as if what was happening, or not happening, in the South was in another country.
All that Lebanon can do in “occasions” like this is to make calls to calm the
situation, calls that do not usually include the involved parties, i.e.
Hezbollah and Israel, only to later raise a complaint to the Security Council;
though the fate of that complaint is always known beforehand, leaving affairs on
the southern borders for the international forces that play the role of border
patrol.
This is not new in south Lebanon, the Lebanese state is always the last to know.
As a result of Lebanon’s misfortunate location north of Israel, the South has
always served as a battlefield that the Lebanese state preferred to know nothing
about. It would send a limited number of soldiers there with clear instructions
to avoid any confrontation with those who actually have power on the ground,
whether it was the Palestinians before or now Hezbollah who is now turning it
into a proxy battlefield between Israel and Iran.
Even the Lebanese, who are not from areas on the border rarely step foot there,
preferring to only hear and not see what is happening there so that the sight
does not ruin their folklorish Lebanese mood that asserts that everything in the
“Switzerland of the East” is fine.
The contradictions and disputes between Lebanese politicians and the lack of
strategy prevented the state from determining a specific policy regarding what
it wants to do on its borders with Israel. It believed it had survived the 1967
War and the occupation of neighboring countries, only to soon discover that its
survival was temporary when the South was occupied and turned into one of the
fiercest battlefields in the area.
The differences between the Lebanese rendered reaching a unified policy all the
more difficult. In the aftermath of “Black September” and the withdrawal or
expulsion of the resistance from Jordan in 1970, the Palestinian resistance
relocated to south Lebanon which as a result came to be known as “The Land of
the PLO” after the Lebanese state, in an exceptional historical irony and under
Egyptian sponsorship by President Gamal Abdel Nasser at the time, allowed part
of the area on the border to become the Palestinian Resistance’s area of
operations, while the state completely neglected the violations and attacks that
happened from its borders despite the 1949 “truce” between Lebanon and Israel.
There had to be a price for the Lebanese politicians’ neglect towards what was
happening on their borders. When one examines that period in history they
inevitably infer that what happened was natural: The resistance took advantage
of Lebanese disputes, becoming a main party in internal decision-making, to the
point that it became common to say that government decisions are taken in the
“Fakhani Republic”—the name of the area that Yasser Arafat took as his
headquarters, which ironically was not very far from Haret Hreik in the southern
suburbs of Beirut that the Secretary-General of Hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah,
took as his headquarters.
Increasing Palestinian intervention in Lebanese political life became a source
for resentment by a large group of Lebanese, which then culminated in a
15-year-long civil war and Israel invading Lebanon to later withdraw from most
areas except for the South which it continued to occupy for two decades.
Mutual conditions between Israel and the Syrian regime at the time prevented the
Lebanese authorities from negotiating any acceptable conditions for Israel to
withdraw, paving the way for Hezbollah to take advantage of the vacuum that they
claim is the result of the state’s impotence and the lack of any resistance in
the area.
So when we say that the state’s sovereignty de facto does not reach south
Lebanon due to Hezbollah, we are narrating only a chapter in the history of that
area that Lebanese governments have always treated as disposable to any party
that is ready to take over and manage it per their own interests.
“The Land of the PLO” has now become “The Land of Hezbollah”. The same way that
the Palestinian resistance imposed itself by force as an actor in the Lebanese
political scene in an alliance with a certain group of Lebanese, Hezbollah is
now doing the same: Deciding to turn south Lebanon into a battlefield for
Hezbollah both despite all international resolutions and in collusion with high
officials in an effort to keep them in their positions.
Defending Lebanon, whose army is supposedly weak and incapable, becomes a
pretext for revoking the state’s sovereignty over its borders, while the real
motive is actually securing Iranian interests, which are now to relieve the
pressure on the Revolutionary Guard Corps in Syria by opening another front in
south Lebanon. Consequently, whether war breaks out in the South or a truce is
signed with Israel all depends on Tehran’s interests.
Under the same pretext, weapons become a tool to sway internal policies towards
the interest of a certain group of Lebanese over the others. A demand to hand
over arms to the state is considered treason, rendering the “Army, People and
Resistance” slogan above critique or revision.
History is repeating itself as tragedy. Remembering the final moments of the
Palestinian role in Lebanon is useful: The dominion of weapons is not permanent
and is subject to change, and the state being subject to foreign forces and
escaping its responsibilities is a definite recipe for an impending explosion,
however long that takes.
How to save Lebanon from looming hyperinflation
Nasser Saidi/The National/July 31/2020
To bring the country's economic chaos to an end, it is important to examine how
it all began.
In June 2020, Lebanon’s inflation rate was 20 per cent, month-on-month. In other
words, prices in the country were, on average, 20 per cent more than they were a
month before. Compared to a year earlier, in June 2019, they had nearly doubled.
Lebanon is well on its way to hyperinflation – when prices of goods and services
change daily, and rise by more than 50 per cent in a month.
Hyperinflation is most commonly associated with countries like Venezuela and
Zimbabwe, which this year have seen annual inflation rates of 15,000 per cent
and 319 per cent, respectively. Lebanon is set to join their league; food
inflation surged by 108.9 per cent during the first half of 2020. When
hyperinflation takes hold, consumers start to behave in very unusual ways. Goods
are stockpiled, leading to increased shortages. As the money in someone’s pocket
loses its worth, people start to barter for goods.
What characterises countries with high inflation and hyperinflation? They have a
sharp acceleration in growth of the money supply in order to finance
unsustainable overspending; high levels of government debt; political
instability; restrictions on payments and other transactions and a rapid
breakdown in socio-economic conditions and the rule of law. Usually, these
traits are associated with endemic corruption.
Lebanon fulfils all of the conditions. Absent immediate economic and financial
reforms, the country is heading to hyperinflation and a further collapse of its
currency.
How and why did this happen?
Lebanon is in the throes of an accelerating meltdown. Unsustainable economic
policies and an overvalued exchange rate pegged to the US dollar have led to
persistent deficits. Consequently, public debt in 2020 is more than 184 per cent
of GDP – the third highest ratio in the world.
The trigger to the banking and financial crisis was a series of policy errors
starting with an unwarranted closure of banks in October 2019, supposedly in
connection with political protests against government ineffectiveness and
corruption. Never before – whether in the darkest hours of Lebanon’s civil war
(1975-1990), during Israeli invasions or other political turmoil – have banks
been closed or payments suspended.
The bank closures led to an immediate loss of trust in the entire banking
system. They were accompanied by informal controls on foreign currency
transactions, foreign exchange licensing, the freezing of deposits and other
payment restrictions to protect the dwindling reserves of Lebanon’s central
bank. All of this generated a sharp liquidity and credit squeeze and the
emergence of a system of multiple exchange rates, resulting in a further loss of
confidence in the monetary system and the Lebanese pound.
Multiple exchange rates are particularly nefarious. They create distortions in
markets, encourage rent seeking (when someone gains wealth without producing
real value) and create new opportunities for cronyism and corruption. Compounded
by the Covid-19 lockdown, the result has been a sharp 20 per cent contraction in
economic activity, consumption and investment and surging bankruptcies. Lebanon
is experiencing rapidly rising unemployment (over 35 per cent) and poverty rates
exceeding 50 per cent of the population.
With government revenues declining, growing budget deficits are increasingly
financed by the Lebanese central bank (BDL), leading to the accelerating
inflation. The next phase will be a cost-of-living adjustment for the public
sector, more monetary financing and inflation: an impoverishing vicious circle!
We are witnessing the bursting of a Ponzi scheme engineered by the BDL, starting
in 2016 with a massive bailout of the banks, equivalent to about 12.6 per cent
of GDP. To protect an overvalued pound and finance the government, the BDL
started borrowing at ever-higher interest rates, through so-called “financial
engineering” schemes. These evolved into a cycle of additional borrowing to pay
maturing debt and debt service, until confidence evaporated and reserves were
exhausted.
By 2019, the BDL was unable to honour its foreign currency obligations and
Lebanon defaulted on its March 2019 Eurobond, seeking to restructure its
domestic and foreign debt. The resulting losses of the BDL exceeded $50 billion,
equivalent to the entire country’s GDP that year. It was a historically
unprecedented loss by any central bank in the world.
With the core of the banking system, the BDL, unable to repay banks’ deposits,
the banks froze payments to depositors. The banking and financial system
imploded.
As part of Lebanon’s negotiations with the IMF to resolve the situation, the
government of Prime Minister Hassan Diab prepared a financial recovery plan that
comprises fiscal, banking and structural reforms. However, despite the deep and
multiple crises, there has been no attempt at fiscal or monetary reform.
In effect, Mr Diab’s government and Riad Salameh, the head of the central bank,
are deliberately implementing a policy of imposing an inflation tax and an
illegal “Lirafication”: a forced conversion of foreign currency deposits into
Lebanese pounds in order to achieve internal real deflation.
The objective is to impose a ‘domestic solution’ and preclude an IMF programme
and associated reforms. The inflation tax and Lirafication reduce real incomes
and financial wealth. The sharp reduction in real income and the sharp
depreciation of the pound are leading to a massive contraction of imports,
reducing the current account deficit to protect the remaining international
reserves. Lebanon is being sacrificed to a failed exchange rate and incompetent
monetary and government policies.
What policy measures can be implemented to rescue Lebanon? Taming inflation and
exchange rate collapse requires a credible, sustainable macroeconomic policy
anchor to reduce the prevailing extreme policy uncertainty.
Here are four measures that would help:
First, a “Capital Control Act” should be passed immediately, replacing the
informal controls in place since October 2019 with more transparent and
effective controls to stem the continuing outflow of capital and help stabilise
the exchange rate. This would restore a modicum of confidence in the monetary
systems and the rule of law, as well as the flow of capital and remittances.
Second is fiscal reform. It is time to bite the bullet and eliminate wasteful
public spending. Start by reform of the power sector and raising the prices of
subsidised commodities and services, like fuel and electricity. This would also
stop smuggling of fuel and other goods into sanctions-laden Syria, which is
draining Lebanon’s reserves. Subsidies should be cut in conjunction with the
establishment of a social safety net and targeted aid.
These immediate reforms should be followed by broader measures including
improving revenue collection, reforming public procurement (a major source of
corruption), creating a “National Wealth Fund” to incorporate and reform state
commercial assets, reducing the bloated size of the public sector, reforming
public pension schemes and introducing a credible fiscal rule.
Third, unify exchange rates and move a to flexible exchange rate regime. The
failed exchange rate regime has contributed to large current account deficits,
hurt export-oriented sectors, and forced the central bank to maintain high
interest rates leading to a crowding-out of the private sector. Monetary policy
stability also requires that the BDL should be restructured and stop financing
government deficits and wasteful and expensive quasi-fiscal operations, such as
subsidising real estate investment.
Fourth, accelerate negotiations with the IMF and agree to a programme that sets
wide-ranging conditions on policy reform. Absent an IMF programme, the
international community, the GCC, EU and other countries that have assisted
Lebanon previously will not come to its rescue.
Lebanon is at the edge of the abyss. Absent deep and immediate policy reforms,
it is heading for a lost decade, with mass migration, social and political
unrest and violence. If nothing is done, it will become "Libazuela".
*Nasser Saidi is a former Lebanese economy minister and first vice-governor of
the Central Bank of Lebanon
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous
Reports And News published on July31-August 01/2020
Iraqi PM announces June 6 snap elections, calls for ‘change
in political scene’
Ismaeel Naar, Al Arabiya EnglishFriday 31 July
2020
Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi gave a televised address to the nation
on Friday in which he announced details of the upcoming elections. During the
speech, al-Kadhimi announced his government’s intentions to hold snap elections
on June 6, 2021, calling on all Iraqis to “line up to vote to change the
political scene in the country.” “We are facing a backlog of years of waste,
neglect and weak management in Iraq. There are no solutions to crises in Iraq
without regaining the role of the state. We are working for a free election that
will produce a parliament that forms a government that reflects the will of the
people,” al-Kadhimi said in his speech. “We are facing a backlog of years of
waste, neglect and weak management in Iraq. There are no solutions to crises in
Iraq without regaining the role of the state. We are working for a free election
that will produce a parliament that forms a government that reflects the will of
the people,” al-Kadhimi said in his speech. Al-Kadhimi also spoke on the recent
killings of protesters in Baghdad’s central Tahrir Square, in which Iraqi
policemen used their own hunting rifles to kill demonstrators. “We vow to hold
independent investigations into the killing of protesters in Iraq. We will turn
over everyone involved and responsible in the bloodshed of Iraqis to face
justice. We have already identified those responsible for the killings of
demonstrators within 72 hours,” al-Kadhimi said during the televised speech.
Protests began last Sunday night in Baghdad and several southern cities,
expressing fury at poor public services as temperatures topping 50 degrees
Celsius have swelled demand for air-conditioning and overwhelmed dilapidated
power grids.(With agencies)
US designates, sanctions key ISIS financial supporter in
Turkey: Treasury Department
Joseph Haboush, Al Arabiya English/Friday 31 July 2020
The United States has recently sanctioned a key financial supporter for ISIS
inside Turkey, according to a statement from the US Treasury Department.
Washington has accused Turkey of “undermining” the fight against ISIS last year
and sanctioned two ministries and three senior Turkish government officials for
a military campaign against US-allied forces in Syria. “The Turkish Government’s
actions are endangering innocent civilians, and destabilizing the region,
including undermining the campaign to defeat ISIS,” the US Treasury Department
said at the time. This week, the Treasury Department announced the designation
of two ISIS financial facilitators in Syria and Turkey. “This action coincides
with the thirteenth meeting of the Counter ISIS Finance Group (CIFG), which
includes over 60 countries and international organizations, and plays a
fundamental role in coordinating efforts to deny ISIS access to the
international financial system and eliminate its sources of revenue,” a
statement from the US agency said. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said that
the Trump administration was fully committed to disrupting ISIS’s financial
activities and networks. “Together, with our CIFG partners, we must remain
vigilant to ensure that the global remnants of this terrorist group do not
regain a foothold,” Mnuchin said. According to the Treasury Department, one of
the ISIS supporters, Adnan Amin Muhammad al-Rawi, was an ISIS facilitator in
Turkey. The statement also said that the latest US designation was part of a
series of actions since 2016, when “ISIS finance emir Fawaz Muhammad Jubayr al-Rawi,”
was designated. “Since then, Treasury has continued targeting other al-Rawi
network members and their associated entities for providing critical financial
and logistical support to ISIS,” according to the statement.
Jubayr al-Rawi, in 2016, owned and operated a currency exchange business, which
he used to exchange currency between exchange houses in Syria and Turkey.
Khamenei Rejects Talks with US over Missile, Nuclear
Programs
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 31 July, 2020
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, ruled out negotiations with the United
States over Tehran's ballistic missile and nuclear programs on Friday and urged
Iranians to resist the Trump administration’s pressure. "America's brutal
sanctions on Iran are aimed at collapsing our economy ... Their aim is to limit
our influence in the region and to halt our missile and nuclear capabilities,"
Khamenei said in a speech broadcast live on television. "Relying on national
capabilities and cutting our dependence on oil exports will help us to resist
America's pressure,” Reuters quoted him as saying. Relations between Tehran and
Washington have deteriorated since US President Donald Trump in 2018 abandoned a
pact between Iran and six world powers under which Iran accepted curbs on its
nuclear program in return for lifting sanctions. Washington has reimposed
sanctions that have sharply lowered Tehran’s oil exports. The US says it wants
Tehran to negotiate a wider deal to further curb Iran's nuclear work, halt its
missile program and limit Iran’s regional influence. Khamenei said Friday that
European states have failed to salvage the country's 2015 nuclear deal. "They
have inflicted a blow on Iran's economy by hollow promises," he said in the
televised speech.
Iran's Khamanei Says Sanctions Failed, No Talks with Trump
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/July 31/2020
Iran will not open talks with the United States that will only benefit Donald
Trump, supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said Friday, insisting the US
president's sanctions policy had failed. Decades-old tensions between Tehran and
Washington have soared in the past year, with the sworn enemies appearing
several times to come to the brink of war. The tensions have been rising since
2018, when Trump withdrew the United States from a landmark nuclear accord and
unilaterally reimposed crippling sanctions. "There is no doubt that sanctions
are a crime, a blow from the US to Iran," said supreme leader Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei in a televised speech. "But the smart Iranian has made the best use of
this attack, this animosity and benefited... by using sanctions as a means to
increase national self-reliance." Khamenei said Western "think tanks admit that
the maximum pressure (policy) of sanctions and US force has not succeeded." The
2015 deal between Tehran and major powers promised relief from sanctions in
return for limits on Iran's nuclear programme. After abandoning the agreement,
the United States reimposed sanctions on Iran's vital oil exports and its access
to the international banking system, and pressured allies and rivals alike to
fall in line. Iran has responded by trying to boost its non-oil exports,
particularly to neighbouring countries. "This has caused the country's economy
to be naturally less reliant on oil," Khamenei said, casting the development in
a positive light. Khamenei condemned calls for Iran to open new talks with the
United States, saying he would not agree to meetings that were aimed only at
boosting Trump's re-election hopes. The 81-year-old even called Trump an "old
man", even though he is seven years older than the US president. "This old man
in charge, he apparently made some propaganda use out of his negotiations with
North Korea. Now he wants to use (talks with Iran) for the (November 3 US
presidential) election." Khamenei said that in return for new talks, the US
would demand: "Reduce your defensive capability, destroy your regional power and
give up the vital nuclear industry." "No logic dictates giving into the
aggressor's demands," he said.
U.S. Adds Materials To Metals Sanctions Against Iran
RadioFreeEurope/July 31/2020
The United States has expanded sanctions against Iran’s metals industry, adding
22 materials to the U.S. sanctions regime, a move that allows Washington to
blacklist any company or entity that transfers the materials to Iran.
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo made the announcement in a statement on July
30, calling it a "major expansion" of the Iran metals-related sanctions
administered by the State Department.
Pompeo said the 22 specific materials listed were used in connection with Iran's
nuclear, military, or ballistic-missile programs, which “pose a grave threat to
international peace and security."Pompeo also said he was firm in his determination that Iran's elite security
force, the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), controls Iran's
construction sector.
As a result, sanctions may still be imposed on those who knowingly transfer
certain materials to or from Iran to be used in connection with Iran’s
construction sector, Pompeo said.
The materials he said he had determined are used in connection with Iran's
nuclear, military, or ballistic-missile programs included aluminum powder with
purity above 98 percent. Aluminum powder is a key ingredient in solid-fuel
propellants used to launch missiles.
Tensions between Tehran and Washington have been on the rise since the United
States withdrew from a landmark 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and world powers
and reimposed crippling sanctions that have battered the Iranian economy.
The United States pulled out of the nuclear agreement in May 2018 and reimposed
sanctions as part of what it calls a “maximum pressure” campaign on Iran. In
response, Iran gradually started breaching its nuclear commitments.
Pompeo also has been urging the UN Security Council to extend an arms embargo on
Iran. The United States has formally asked the council to extend the embargo,
which is set to be progressively eased beginning in October under UN Security
Council Resolution 2231, which enshrined the 2015 nuclear deal between Tehran
and world powers.
Veto-wielding Russia and China have questioned Washington’s right to use a
disputed legal move to force a return of UN sanctions on Iran.The United States has said that allowing the embargo to expire would cause
instability in the Middle East.
With reporting by Reuters
Washington Punishes Damascus, Eyes Moscow
London - Ibrahim Hamidi/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 31 July, 2020
The new sanctions imposed by Washington under the Caesar Act have put more
pressure on Moscow to work on “changing the behavior of the Syrian regime.” The
southwestern region of Syria may be a gateway to express this “change” by
expelling Iran and its organizations from this region in implementation of
Washington’s interpretations of the Russian-US agreement dating back to 2018. It
was remarkable that the last list included Hafez Assad, the son of Syrian Regime
President Bashar Assad, knowing that the first batch of sanctions also targeted
Assad’s wife, Asma.According to observers in Washington, Syrian officials “were
surprised by these two designations, because they expected that the blacklist
would not include figures from the narrow circle”.But this deliberate move was
aimed at sending a “political message” to both Moscow and Damascus: “The boycott
in Washington has surpassed parties and institutions and became unanimous.”This
was evident in the remarks made by US Deputy Envoy Joel Rayburn, saying: “It has
been such a prominent trend among Syrian regime actors to use their adult family
members, whether those are siblings or children, to try to continue business in
their place after being sanctioned.”
This necessitates the designation of relatives, even if they are not personally
implicated in conduct that falls within the sanctions regime, he
emphasized.There are about 50 names and entities on the US “blacklist”. In the
coming months, twice that number of military and government officials, deputies
and businessmen, both Syrians and non-Syrians, will be included. “It is no
longer possible to live in two worlds: Everyone must choose his position and
determine the world in which he wants to live in. Washington’s world or the
regime’s world,” European diplomats said, commenting on Washington’s recent
moves.
They noted that those responsible for the Syrian file in Washington were
confident that the American policy is “successful, as it increased the pressure
on Damascus and changed Moscow’s calculations.”The same diplomatic sources
pointed to “the failure of Arab or European attempts to break Damascus’
isolation and normalize relations with it.” Arab businessmen have also avoided
contributing to the reconstruction of Syria amid the worsening economic crisis
in both Syria and Lebanon. Geopolitically, those handling the file in Washington
see other “successes”, including the continuation of the ceasefire in Idlib.
“The data indicates that Turkey will not back down in Idlib” and that the flow
of humanitarian aid continues despite the presence of only one open gate at the
Turkish border. Another success, according to officials in Washington, is “the
ongoing Israeli raids on Iranian sites in Syria, with Russian blessing and
American support,” to prevent Tehran from consolidating its military presence
there. Third, Washington is lauding the sustainability of the disengagement
agreement east of the Euphrates, despite the continued “harassment” of Russian
forces against the US army and their attempt to “extend” toward the borders of
Iraq. Against the backdrop of these “successes”, contacts continue between
Washington and Moscow. Russia seems more aware of the “scale of the problem” in
Syria and is showing a more realistic approach than the public statements that
focus on launching campaigns against the US “unilateral and unlawful
sanctions.”The Americans say that there will be no “free move” towards Moscow,
but they are ready to “respond positively to any steps taken by Russia in
Syria.” Obviously, there are two areas for testing the current Russian position:
First, the extent of Damascus’ response to the form and content of the work of
the Constitutional Committee meeting in Geneva on August 24 for the
implementation of Resolution 2254. Second, Russia’s pressure on Iran to expel it
from southwestern Syria in line with the US-Russian agreement in 2018, as
weakening the Tehran regime represents an American-Russian joint interest in
Syria.
Executed Turkish general exposed misuse of Qatari funds for
Syria extremists: Report
Ismaeel Naar, Al Arabiya English/Friday 31 July 2020
The Turkish army executed a senior general within its ranks after he had
discovered the embezzlement of illicit Qatari funding for extremists in Syria by
public officials, according to a 2019 court testimony unveiled in a report by
the Nordic Monitor.
Semih Terzi, a general within the Turkish army, was executed on the night of the
2016 Turkish coup attempt against Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The
new allegations unveiled in court testimonies from a hearing March 20, 2019at
Ankara 17th High Criminal Court were made by Col. Fırat Alakuş, an army officer
working within Turkey’s Special Forces Command’s intelligence section. According
to the Nordic Monitor, Terzi is said to have been executed after discovering
that Lt. Gen. Zekai Aksakallı, in charge of the Special Forces Command at the
time, was working covertly with Turkey’s National Intelligence Organization
(MIT) “in running illegal and clandestine operations in Syria for personal gain
while dragging Turkey deeper into the Syrian civil war.”“[Terzi] knew how much
of the funding delivered [to Turkey] by Qatar for the purpose of purchasing
weapons and ammunition for the opposition was actually used for that and how
much of it was actually used by public officials, how much was embezzled,” Col.
Alakuş was quoted as saying by the Nordic Monitor via his court testimony. The
Nordic Monitor said in its report published on Friday that Alakuş testified that
Aksakallı had run a gang outside of the chain of command within the Turkish
intelligence that was involved in illicit activities. The report further alleged
that Terzi was aware of public officials involved in oil-smuggling operations
with ISIS from Syria. “[Terzi] was aware of who in the government was involved
in an oil-smuggling operation from Syria, how the profits were shared, and what
activities they were involved in,” Alakuş said in his testimony.
Erdogan Insists on Decisive Action in Libya
Ankara - Saeed Abdulrazeki/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 31 July, 2020
Tukey has sent mixed signals regarding the Libyan crisis by pledging a decision
military action and calling for a peaceful solution in the war-torn country. “We
are determined to make sure that our struggle in the vast region from Iraq to
Syria and Libya ends in victory for our country and our friends and brothers and
sisters in these countries,” Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on the
occasion of Eid al-Adha. Turkey will also continue to defend its rights in the
Eastern Mediterranean and Aegean, he said. In the same context, Turkish Defense
Minister Hulusi Akar affirmed in statements Thursday that Turkey is doing its
utmost to help its Libyan brothers, in order to bring about a ceasefire,
stability, and territorial integrity in Libya. Akar added that the continued
external military support received by Libyan National Army commander Khalifa
Haftar represents the greatest obstacle to peace in the country. Rami
Abdulrahman, director of the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, stated that
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham arrested “Fadl Al-Libi”, the leader of “Jaysh Al-Sahel”
operating under the banner of “Hurras Al-Din” organization.
The militant was arrested for refusing to leave Syria and engage in fighting in
Libya, at Turkish authorities' orders. Russia’s Sputnik also revealed Thursday
that a new group of mercenaries was dispatched to al-Watiya airbase in western
Libya. Further, weapons and mercenaries were sent to Misrata ahead of a possible
new operation in Sirte and Jufra.
Ghannouchi Survives No-Confidence Vote
Tunis - Kamel Ben Younes/Asharq Al Awsat/July 31/2020
Tunisia’s parliament speaker and veteran leader of the Ennahda Movement, Rached
Ghannouchi, narrowly survived a confidence vote after opposition lawmakers
failed to gather enough no-confidence votes to overthrow him. Ghannouchi’s slim
margin of victory may only deepen the country's political divisions after the
resignation of the prime minister and the opposition vowing to continue to try
to remove Ghannouchi from office. Some 97 members of parliament on Thursday
voted against Ghannouchi, falling short of the 109 needed to overthrow him. Only
133 MPs voted while 84 lawmakers abstained from attending the voting session,
including Ghannouchi and his first deputy Samira al-Shawashi. The vote took
place after a tumultuous session, which was broadcast by the Tunisian media, and
during which deputies from different political blocs exchanged strong
accusations. Some blamed the stalling of the normal functioning of parliament
and its committees on Ghannouchi and the Ennahda party, and the parties allied
with it like the Heart of Tunisia and the Karama and the Future coalition blocs.
Others blamed the stumbling of parliament on the Free Destourian Party and its
leader Abir Moussi and their allies in the battle to overthrow Ghannouchi,
especially the following parties: the Democratic Current led by Mohamed Abbou,
People's Movement led by Zuhair al-Meghzawi and Tahya Tounes headed by ex-PM
Youssef Chahed. “A total of 133 members of parliament took part in the vote. 97
deputies voted against Ghannouchi, 16 voted in favor of him, and 18 votes were
annulled,” said the second Deputy Speaker of Parliament Tarek Fetiti at a
plenary session. Fetiti confirmed that the winner of the vote is democracy in
Tunisia and the choice to resolve disputes among Tunisians through political
means and voting, not violence.
The plenary session, which was supposed to be conducted without debate to hold a
vote by secret ballot, took place in a heated atmosphere, marked by altercations
and exchange of accusations between deputies.
Car Bomb Kills 9 in Northeast Syria
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/July 31/2020
A car bomb in northeast Syria targeting a checkpoint manned by Turkish-backed
forces killed nine people, mostly fighters, near the border town of Ras al-Ain
on Thursday, a war monitor said. The blast in the village of Tal Halaf held by
Turkish forces and their Syrian proxies also wounded 15 others, the
Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said. Turkish forces and their
Syrian proxies last year seized a 120-kilometre (75-mile) stretch of land inside
the Syrian border from Kurdish forces, running from Ras al-Ain to Tal Abyad.
Many bombings have since rocked the area, several in the past week alone. An
explosives-rigged motorbike in Ras al-Ain on Tuesday killed two civilians and a
fighter, the Observatory said, two days after another in a vegetable market in
the town killed eight people, six of them civilians. The Kurdish-led People's
Protection Units, from whom the Turks and their allies seized the territory,
have played a key role in the US-backed fight against the Islamic State jihadist
group in Syria. But Ankara views them as an extension of the Kurdistan Workers'
Party (PKK) that has waged a deadly insurgency in southeastern Turkey since
1984. Syria's civil war has killed more than 380,000 people and displaced
millions from their homes since erupting in 2011 with the brutal repression of
anti-government protests.
Trump Suggests Delay in Presidential Election over Coronavirus Fears
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/July 31/2020
U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday suggested delaying the 2020 election, in
which he is currently lagging badly in the polls, citing the coronavirus and
what he said would be "fraudulent" voting. "Delay the Election until people can
properly, securely and safely vote???" Trump asked in a tweet. "With Universal
Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most
INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history. It will be a great embarrassment to
the USA," the tweet said.
Florida Hits Another Record Virus Death Toll as Hurricane
Looms
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 31 July, 2020
Hurricane Isaias was barreling towards Florida on Friday, a day after the state
registered a record 253 coronavirus deaths and authorities closed down some
COVID-19 testing centers to prepare for the looming storm.
Florida has emerged as a major new epicenter of the US battle against the
disease, with confirmed cases recently surpassing New York and now second only
to California. The state toll has leapt over the past week and more than 6,500
people have died from the disease there, according to health officials.
Thursday marked the third consecutive day the state hit a new record for
coronavirus deaths. Isaias is expected to strike Florida over the weekend as
authorities struggle to contain the disease and is now coursing through the
Atlantic Ocean with wind speeds of 80 miles (130 kilometers) per hour, according
to the Miami-based National Hurricane Center. Forecasters are unsure how strong
the storm will be when it nears the coast. "There is a risk of impacts from
winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surges along portions of the US east coast,
beginning this weekend in Florida," the NHC said, adding that tropical storm or
hurricane watches could soon be issued. The hurricane has already hit the
Dominican Republic, where a 53-year-old man was killed and rivers broke their
banks. It also unleashed flooding, toppled trees and knocked out power for
thousands of people in Puerto Rico. "If you are watching this, please, we need
help!" begged a man in a video shared on social media that showed him and others
trapped by rising floodwaters on the roof of a car. No evacuations have been
ordered yet in Florida, but authorities warned locals to begin preparing their
homes and businesses for the possible onslaught of Isaias. More than 460,000
people have been infected with the virus in Florida, which has a population of
21 million, and a quarter of the state's cases are in Miami.
Second round of Ukraine-Iran plan crash talks set for October
Reuters, Kyiv/Friday 31 July 2020
Ukraine said on Friday that its first round of talks with Iran about the downing
of a Ukrainian airliner shortly after takeoff in Tehran in January had been
constructive, and that it was determined “to bring Iran to justice”. Iranian and
Ukrainian delegations held the first round of talks on Thursday in Kyiv, with
Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba calling them as “constructive”. Iranian
forces say they downed the Ukraine International Airlines Boeing 737 jet after
mistaking it for a missile at a time when tensions with the United States had
risen. All 176 people on board - including 57 Canadians - were killed.
“The talks ended late last night. The talks lasted 11 hours. In general, they
were constructive,” Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said in a video briefing
after meeting with an Iranian delegation. Kuleba said the sides had agreed the
terms of next round of talks and that Kyiv would not allow anyone to drag out
the negotiations. Later on Friday, the Ukrainian prosecutor general’s office
said the next round was set for October. “Of course, if the negotiations with
Iran are unsuccessful, then we will go to international courts and I have
absolutely no doubt that we will bring Iran to justice. But this is plan B,”
Kuleba said.
“And plan A is negotiations with Iran and the solution of all these issues and
the payment of compensation. We saw Iran was disposed to a serious and
substantive conversation,” he said. President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said in
February that Ukraine was not satisfied with the size of compensation Iran had
offered to families of Ukrainians killed in the incident and Kuleba said on
Thursday that Ukraine would make every effort to maximize compensations. An
international team has started examining the black box flight recorders from the
plane. A senior Ukrainian diplomat said last week that the transcript from the
black box showed there had been illegal interference with the plane.
Study: Young Children Carry Higher Levels of Coronavirus
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 31 July, 2020
Children under the age of five have between 10 to 100 times greater levels of
genetic material of the coronavirus in their noses compared to older children
and adults, a study in JAMA Pediatrics said Thursday. Its authors wrote this
meant that young children might be important drivers of COVID-19 transmission
within communities -- a suggestion at odds with the current prevailing
narrative. The paper comes as the administration of US President Donald Trump is
pushing hard for schools and daycare to reopen in order to kickstart the
economy.
Between March 23 and April 27, researchers carried out nasal swab tests on 145
Chicago patients with mild to moderate illness within one week of symptom onset.
The patients were divided in three groups: 46 children younger than
five-years-old, 51 children aged five to 17 years, and 48 adults aged 18 to 65
years. The team, led by Dr. Taylor Heald-Sargent of the Ann & Robert H. Lurie
Children's Hospital, observed "a 10-fold to 100-fold greater amount of
SARS-CoV-2 in the upper respiratory tract of young children."The authors added
that a recent lab study had demonstrated that the more viral genetic material
was present, the more infectious virus could be grown. It has also previously
been shown that children with high viral loads of the respiratory syncytial
virus (RSV) are more likely to spread the disease. "Thus, young children can
potentially be important drivers of SARS-CoV-2 spread in the general
population," the authors wrote. "Behavioral habits of young children and close
quarters in school and day care settings raise concern for SARS-CoV-2
amplification in this population as public health restrictions are eased," they
concluded. The new findings are at odds with the current view among health
authorities that young children -- who, it has been well established, are far
less likely to fall seriously ill from the virus -- don't spread it much to
others either. However, there has been fairly little research on the topic so
far. One recent study in South Korea found children aged 10 to 19 transmitted
COVID-19 within households as much as adults, but children under nine
transmitted the virus at lower rates.
US, China consulate closures deal losses to both nations
MATTHEW LEE/AP/July 31/2020
In shutting each other’s consulates, the United States and China have done more
than strike symbolic blows in their escalating feud. They’ve also dimmed each
other’s ability to observe — and to spy on — critical regions of their
countries. For the United States, the loss of the Chengdu mission in
southwestern China will, among other things, cloud its view of Tibet, a region
where Buddhist residents say Beijing is eroding its culture and its traditional
independent streak. China says Tibet has been its territory for centuries. For
China, the loss of its mission in Houston dims its view of America’s South and,
according to U.S. officials, removes the nerve center of a Chinese spying
network. While the impact of the consulate closures has yet to be fully felt by
either side, it will be. “We’ll be flying blind if not with very dark glasses
and so will they,” said Beatrice Camp, a retired career diplomat who served as
consul general at the U.S. consulate in Shanghai from 2008 to 2011.
The closures of the consulates up the ante in the diplomatic confrontation, with
the Trump administration turning up the heat on China in the midst of an already
heated rivalry that has been exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic and ahead
of the November U.S. presidential election — and Beijing responding in kind.As
President Donald Trump, under fire for his response to the pandemic, points to
China as the culprit, neither side appears willing to back down. Although a calm
of sorts has descended in recent days with no new actions or retaliation
announced, U.S. officials say more is coming.
“It’s extremely aggressive, extremely belligerent and I don’t know what the goal
is or where this is supposed to take us,” said Camp, noting that cooperation and
exchanges in the fields of agriculture, energy, aviation, the environment and
commercial and cultural exchanges will suffer.
In addition to serving as service centers for visa seekers and Chinese and
American citizens in need of assistance in each city, the consulates provided a
safe and secure headquarters for intelligence collection and political
reporting.
In Houston, U.S. officials said they removed the epicenter of a Chinese spying
network that spanned more than 25 cities, collecting intelligence, trying to
steal intellectual property and harassing the expatriate families of dissidents
and others while trying to coerce them to return to China.
Led by a consul general who had previously served in Australia, where China has
been especially active in going after expatriates, the Houston consulate was
“particularly aggressive and particularly successful,” one U.S. official said.
U.S. officials do not deny collecting intelligence from the consulate in Chengdu
but insist that it functioned the same as any diplomatic mission run by the
United States or other nations.
A second U.S. official, who like the first was not authorized to discuss the
matter publicly and spoke on condition of anonymity, said Chengdu was important
for “understanding and messaging the Chinese people and especially the people in
that district, which includes Tibet.”
But the officials said that those efforts were hamstrung by Chinese regulations
and that China enjoyed far greater access from its Houston consulate than U.S.
diplomats did in Chengdu. The U.S. has had a consulate in Chengdu for 35 years,
but its presence in southwest China predates that. During World War II, American
planes airlifted supplies to Chinese troops in the area from bases in India and
Burma, now called Myanmar, in a drive to hold back the Japanese advance.
For many years, it was the lone foreign consulate in Chengdu, with other nations
forced to locate diplomatic missions in Chonqqing, a mega-city that is home to
major U.S. and other Western commercial interests. The Chengdu consulate had
also overseen U.S. interests in the provinces of Yunnan and Guizhou.
Chengdu is also a jumping-off point for visits to Tibet, access to which has
long been restricted for foreigners, particularly since an uprising against
Beijing’s rule in 2008. China says Tibet has been its territory for seven
centuries, but many Tibetans say they were effectively independent for most of
that time.
Tibet’s Buddhist spiritual leader, the Dalai Lama, fled to India in 1959 amid an
uprising against Chinese rule, and Beijing has refused dialogue with his
self-declared government in exile.
China and India still contest the high-mountain border between the sides, and
their forces engaged in clashes this summer that left 20 Indian troops dead.
China has not disclosed its casualty count.
Prior to the fighting, the U.S. ambassador to Beijing, Terry Branstad, visited
Tibet last year and urged Beijing to undertake substantive dialogue with the
Dalai Lama and refrain from interfering in religious practices.
As the capital of Sichuan province, with a population of more than 81 million
people, Chengdu looms large in China’s economy, playing a major role in
industries from aviation to pharmaceuticals and agricultural products.
With the Houston consulate’s closing, American citizens and Chinese seeking
visas or wishing to manage business in the U.S. will have to travel to the
embassy in Beijing or to consulates along the East Coast. The U.S. consulate in
the central China city of Wuhan, from which the global pandemic first emerged
late last year, remains closed.
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published on July 30-31/2020
Sudan, Darfur and the prospects of Stabilization and
Democratization
Charles Elias Chartouni/July 31/2020
شارل الياس شرتوني: السودان ودارفور واحتمالات الإستقرار والديموقراطية
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/89029/charles-elias-chartouni-sudan-darfur-and-the-prospects-of-stabilization-and-democratization-%d8%b4%d8%a7%d8%b1%d9%84-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%b3-%d8%b4%d8%b1%d8%aa%d9%88%d9%86%d9%8a-%d8%a7%d9%84/
The downfall of Omar Hassan al Bachir the genocidal autocrat, and the eclipse of
the Islamist narrative featured by Hassan al Turabi ( 1932-2016 ), does not seem
to usher an era of stability and cumulative Democratic reforms in Sudan.
The genocide pattern seems to perpetuate in Darfur, and the scorched earth
politics against non Arabs pursues its unimpeded course ( plunder, rape,
massacres … ).
Aside from the program of reforms unreeled by the democratic government which
relayed the Islamist dictatorship ( abrogation of apostasy, flogging for
lawbreakers, female genital mutilation, gay sex death penalty, and alcohol
consumption for non Muslims… ), it does not seem that racial discrimination
against non-Arabs is to abate soon, give way to a status of self governance in
Darfur, and put an end to the ongoing genocide which has cost the life to
300.000 inhabitants, since 2003.
One wonders whether there are any chances to oversee a change besides a
secession, and the formation of separate Statehood alike the one that took place
in the South, since there are no chances for democratization within the actual
political framework and its hegemonic pillars.
The regional State system built on the premisses of a discriminatory, racist and
authoritarian Arab narrative has proven to be a deadly fallacy which gave way to
decades of genocides, demographic engineering, institutional inequities, and
systemic political irrelevance which led to a consolidated state of existential
helplessness. Southern Sudanese and Darfur ethnic groups had to cope with
decades of cyclical massacres, massive displacement and structural helplessness,
until the first ones were able to access independence and build separate
statehood, whereas Darfur ethnicities are still eligible to discretionary
violence and deliberate scapegoating.
The unitary framework of governance didn’t yield, so far, a democratic treatment
of the inter-ethnic cleavages, and doesn’t seem to dim the violent connotations
of weighted ideological prejudices. Darfur has no other chance to escape the
doom of systemic racialism and hard wired exploitative power relationships,
unless it recovers self determination rights and achieves national independence.
The implosion of the Arab inter-System and its underlying ideological narrative
and power equations, is unlikely to be tackled, unless the relaying scenarios
concede to a conflict resolution scenario based on self determination,
consensual ethno-national political arrangements, federal schemes of governance
and Human Rights provisions ( 1948 ).
Arab-Islamic political culture is wedded to a notion of power politics that can
hardly reconcile with the mandates of a constitutional democracy based on basic
Human Rights, reconnaissance and consociational regimes and their intellectual
predicates.
It takes genuine intellectual and political reforms and restructured power
relationships, to finish off with the burdens of a stifling legacy and initiate
a new dynamic, the Darfur tragedy should be no exception if this region were to
oversee a transition to stability and steady reforms. The curtailment of the UN
peace keep mission is an all advised move, and the thrust of US power should
revitalize, if this state of macabre bloodletting is to stop and its dynamics
terminated.
U.S. Sanctions Assad’s 18-Year-Old Son, Promises More
Targets to Come
David Adesnik/FDD/July 31/2020
The departments of State and Treasury announced the designation yesterday of 14
individuals and entities with ties to the regime of Syria’s Bashar al-Assad,
including his eldest son, Hafez. Coming after 39 designations in June,
yesterday’s action marks the continuation of what Secretary of State Mike Pompeo
described as “a sustained campaign of economic and political pressure to deny
the Assad regime revenue and support it uses to wage war and commit mass
atrocities against the Syrian people.”
The escalation of pressure on Assad began last month when the Caesar Act gave
the administration new authorities to target foreign nationals that do business
with the Assad regime. Since Assad’s scorched-earth offensives have devastated
the Syrian economy, the regime relies increasingly on foreign partners to keep
it solvent. Yet only nine of the 39 designations in June were imposed pursuant
to the Caesar Act, and those nine targets were all Syrian, not foreign.
From a legal perspective, the more notable development in June was the use of
Executive Order 13894 to designate members of the Assad family, including
Assad’s wife, sister, and sister-in-law. Similarly, the State Department
designated the wife and children of Muhammad Hamsho, a Syrian businessman whom
the United States sanctioned in 2011 for backing the Assad regime.
At a press briefing yesterday, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State and Special
Envoy for Syria Joel Rayburn explained, “Regardless of whether these actors are
designated pursuant to the Caesar Act itself or under other executive orders, we
view them all as in-line – all these designations, I should say – as in-line
with the goals of the Caesar Act.” In effect, the administration intends to
employ all Syria-related authorities, not just the Caesar Act, to hold the
regime accountable for its atrocities.
Rayburn also noted, “It has been such a prominent trend among Syrian regime
actors to use their adult family members, whether those are siblings or
children, to try to continue business in their place after being sanctioned.”
This necessitates the designation of relatives, even if they are not personally
implicated in sanctionable conduct.
The president signed E.O. 13894 last October, six weeks before he signed the
Caesar Act into law. The immediate impetus was Turkish intervention in northeast
Syria, yet the order included authorities intended to complement the Caesar Act,
whose passage was almost certain at that point.
The European Union has been designating the relatives of regime insiders since
the early days of the war. In 2012, it blacklisted Assad’s wife, Asma, as well
as his late mother, sister, and sister-in-law.
At yesterday’s briefing, journalists questioned Rayburn about whether the
administration would target foreign nationals pursuant to the Caesar Act, since
that authority is the most distinctive provision of the law. In particular,
correspondents inquired about potential targets based in the United Arab
Emirates, whose government has signaled its interest in repairing relations with
the Assad regime.
Rayburn responded, “We can make no exceptions,” even for countries whose
policies align with those of the United States on most issues. Via diplomatic
channels, Washington had already informed its partners around the globe “to not
put us in the position of having to sanction them instead of spending our time
sanctioning the Syrian regime and its associates. We’ve made very clear that we
will not hold back from doing that.”
At times, the United Arab Emirates has cooperated with Treasury to disrupt
Tehran’s illicit financing schemes, yet given its generally poor record of
compliance with sanctions on either Syria or Iran, the Emirates may pose the
most high-profile test of Washington’s resolve to deal firmly with its friends.
Lebanon also harbors extensive networks of firms and individuals tied to the
Assad regime. If and when foreign nationals test the administration’s
willingness to employ the most powerful provisions of the Caesar Act, the
response should be swift and decisive.
*David Adesnik is research director and a senior fellow at the Foundation for
Defense of Democracies (FDD), where he also contributes to FDD’s Center on
Economic and Financial Power (CEFP). For more analysis from David and CEFP,
please subscribe HERE. Follow David on Twitter @adesnik. Follow FDD on Twitter @FDD
and @FDD_CEFP. FDD is a Washington, DC-based, nonpartisan research institute
focusing on national security and foreign policy.
Systemic Hypocrisy
Judith Bergman/Gatestone Institute/July 31/2020
"Under conditions that strongly suggest forced labour, Uyghurs are working in
factories that are in the supply chains of at least 83 well-known global brands
in the technology, clothing and automotive sectors, including Apple, BMW, Gap,
Huawei, Nike, Samsung, Sony and Volkswagen. This report estimates that more than
80,000 Uyghurs were transferred out of Xinjiang to work in factories across
China between 2017 and 2019, and some of them were sent directly from detention
camps. The estimated figure is conservative and the actual figure is likely to
be far higher." — "Uyghurs for Sale," the Australian Strategic Policy Institute
(ASPI), March 1, 2020, with subsequent updates.
Corporate giants might be more successful at convincing the public that they
truly care about social justice, inequality and the communities they claim to
"serve" if this "care" did not only manifest itself in statements filled with
virtue-signaling but in business practices as well -- such as not using forced
labor and children in the supply chain.
Finally, pledging funds to Black Lives Matter, a self-described Marxist
organization whose stated goal is "alternatives to capitalism", fails to
convince one of much else than a corporate desire to ride the latest wave of
wokeness to score easy profits and points.
Corporate giants might be more successful at convincing the public that they
truly care about social justice and inequality if this "care" did not only
manifest itself in statements filled with virtue-signaling but in business
practices as well. In March, a media report revealed that children as young as
eight were "working 40-hour weeks in gruelling conditions" on Guatemalan coffee
bean farms that supply Starbucks. Pictured: Starbucks corporate headquarters in
Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Mark Ralston/AFP via Getty Images)
Since the killing of George Floyd, corporate virtue signaling has reached
unprecedented heights.
Apple pledged $100 million reportedly to "combat racism."
"The unfinished work of racial justice and equality call us all to account,"
Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook said in a Twitter video. "Things must change, and
Apple's committed to being a force for that change. Today, I'm proud to announce
Apple's Racial Equity and Justice Initiative, with a $100 million commitment".
Starbucks pledged $1 million in "Neighborhood Grants to promote racial equity
and create more inclusive and just communities".
Microsoft announced that it would invest $150 million more into diversity and
inclusion efforts in the company. "We are committed to take action to help
address racial injustice and inequity, and unequivocally believe that Black
lives matter", CEO Satya Nadella said.
Nike pledged to donate $40 million over the course of four years to
"organizations that put social justice, education and addressing racial
inequality in America at the center of their work". According to John Donahoe,
President and CEO of Nike, Inc.:
"Systemic racism and the events that have unfolded across America... serve as an
urgent reminder of the continued change needed in our society...We will continue
our focus on being more representative of our consumers while doing our part in
the communities we serve."
It is difficult to find any corporate insistence on "social justice" persuasive,
coming as it does from businesses that have chosen to move large parts of their
manufacturing processes to countries such as China, which is led by a regime
that persecutes ethnic and religious minorities. It withholds from its own
citizens the most basic human rights, such as freedom of expression, freedom of
religion and freedom of assembly, as reported by Gatestone Institute here, and
here. China is also, according to Amnesty International, the world's leading
executioner. China, moreover, continues to occupy Tibet, which it invaded in
1950, and where it has moved millions of ethnic Chinese to "Sinicize" the area.
The incongruence of companies that profess to be committed to justice and
equality at home in the US, but that have no twinges of conscience about doing
business abroad under a regime that commits some of the worst human rights
abuses in the world, is a bit up-ending.
Nike, Apple, Microsoft and Samsung, among 83 multinational companies, were found
in March to be linked to Uyghur forced labor in Chinese factories, according to
a report, "Uyghurs for Sale," by the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI).
"The Chinese government has facilitated the mass transfer of Uyghur and other
ethnic minority citizens from the far west region of Xinjiang to factories
across the country", stated the report.
"Under conditions that strongly suggest forced labour, Uyghurs are working in
factories that are in the supply chains of at least 83 well-known global brands
in the technology, clothing and automotive sectors, including Apple, BMW, Gap,
Huawei, Nike, Samsung, Sony and Volkswagen.
"This report estimates that more than 80,000 Uyghurs were transferred out of
Xinjiang to work in factories across China between 2017 and 2019, and some of
them were sent directly from detention camps. The estimated figure is
conservative and the actual figure is likely to be far higher. In factories far
away from home, they typically live in segregated dormitories, undergo organised
Mandarin and ideological training outside working hours, are subject to constant
surveillance, and are forbidden from participating in religious observances".
This was not entirely breaking news. Already in December of 2018, The New York
Times ran an article about incarcerated Uyghurs forced to work in factories. The
use of all kinds of prisoners in factories that supply Western companies is not
new, either: In recent years, stories of messages from prisoners found in
Chinese manufactured goods have gone viral. In 2014, a woman in Northern Ireland
found a note in a pair of trousers she had bought that said:
"SOS! SOS! SOS! We are prisoners in the Xiang Nan Prison of the Hubei Province
in China. Our job inside the prison is to produce fashion clothes for export. We
work 15 hours per day and the food we eat wouldn't even be given to dogs or
pigs. We work as hard as oxen in the field. We call on the international
community to condemn the Chinese government for the violation of our human
rights!"
Several other examples have been found; whether they are anecdotal or not, given
China's record, they should have led to more than superficial investigations
that apparently were never followed up.
One would think that companies that claim to be concerned with justice and
equality would be boycotting and divesting from a regime that not only enables,
but actively engages in forced labor – a nicer word for slavery. In theory, they
would not be seen anywhere near forced labor. Uyghur lives, apparently, do not
matter. Starbucks ran into a similar scandal, also in March, that showed the
grim realities beneath the coffee chain's carefully designed "woke" image. A
media report revealed that children as young as eight were working on Guatemalan
coffee bean farms that supply the chain.
"Channel 4's Dispatches filmed the children working 40-hour weeks in gruelling
conditions, picking coffee for a daily wage little more than the price of a
latte," the Guardian noted. "The beans are also supplied to Nespresso, owned by
Nestlé..."
"The Dispatches team said some of the children, who worked around eight hours a
day, six days a week, looked as young as eight. They were paid depending on the
weight of beans they picked, with sacks weighing up to 45kg. Typically, a child
would earn less than £5 [less than US $6.40] a day, although sometimes it could
be as low as 31p an hour. Over the course of the investigation, Dispatches
visited seven farms linked to Nespresso and five linked to Starbucks. Child
labour was found on all the farms".
Starbucks -- and Nespresso -- immediately professed "zero tolerance" for the
practice and Starbucks claimed that it had not sourced beans from the most
recent harvest of the farms, although it did source them in 2019. However, to
persist in proclaiming "wokeness," while apparently not caring enough to show
the due diligence required to ensure that the people working in the supply chain
are treated according to the most minimal work regulations -- such as not
employing children in slave-like conditions, must be the definition of
hypocrisy. Guatemalan lives evidently do not matter, either -- at least until
the media takes a look. Starbucks, after the scandal, went into full defense
mode. It announced that it would "recommit to an Emergency Relief Fund to be
paid in 2020 to farmers in Guatemala who sell coffee to Starbucks" and "commit
to support farmers and their communities through piloting regional community and
childcare centers".Corporate giants might be more successful at convincing the
public that they truly care about social justice, inequality and the communities
they claim to "serve" if this "care" did not only manifest itself in statements
filled with virtue-signaling, but in business practices as well -- such as not
using forced labor and children in the supply chain.
Finally, pledging funds to Black Lives Matter, a self-described Marxist
organization whose stated goal is "alternatives to capitalism", fails to
convince one of much else than a corporate desire to ride the latest wave of
wokeness to score easy points and profits.
*Judith Bergman, a columnist, lawyer and political analyst, is a Distinguished
Senior Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
© 2020 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Biden Offers an Obama-Trump Cocktail
Amir Taherii/Asharq Al-AwsatJuly 31/2020
If elected next November, Joe Biden would be the US president with the longest
association with foreign policy. We say association because he has had both
direct and indirect experience in the field. For almost 30 years as a senator,
including tenures as Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Biden
had a vantage observation post. Then, with eight years as Barack Obama’s Vice
President, he gained practical experience.
So, when it comes to foreign policy the man should be heard. As the presidential
campaign heads for the home-stretch, Biden touts his foreign policy credentials
with speeches, talks to think-tanks and last week, a paper in 80 pages.
What does one learn from all that?
The first thing is that Biden does not offer any new ideas to make
headline-writers jump for joy.
Most of the time he either promises a back-to-the-future revival of Obama’s
policy or a less sensational version of what Donald Trump is doing as President.
The calculation behind this may be Biden’s wish to appear as conciliator,
winning support from the Obamaists without antagonizing Trumpists.
The second thing one learns is that, though aware of the fact that the
post-World War order is in trouble, Biden does not see this as a structural
problem but as a series of defects to be fixed with partial repairs and
redecoration.
He has little to say on reforming the United Nations and more than 30 other
organizations atrophied into irrelevant or even harmful bureaucracies.
Trump has pointed out the problem without offering a solution apart from walking
away on some occasions. Biden’s ambiguity on this may be understandable because,
as a conservative politician, he is wary of radical options, something that
might enrage the Bernie Sanders crowd.
Next, Biden is careless with terminology. When talking of relations with China
and Russia, for example, he is not quite sure how to describe them. At times
they are “a challenge” and at others they are labelled “rivals” or
“adversaries.”
Biden says he agrees with Trump that China, a “serious challenge”, cheats on
trade rules, grants subsidies to its businesses, steals intellectual property,
and has destroyed millions of jobs in the US. But then he castigates Trump’s
“confrontational approach” to China.
What would he do? Biden would demand “more transparency” from China. He would
also “work with allies” to develop a common policy. But that requires US
leadership and that, in turn, needs a strategy to present to the allies. There
is none.
On Russia, Biden again agrees with Trump that it is “assaulting the foundations
of Western democracies”, a clearly sensational charge.
What is to be done?
Biden suggests consulting with allies to adopt sanctions with “meaningful cost
to Russia.” On some issues he adopts Obama’s kick-the-can method.
On Iran, for example, he wants to revive the Obama “nuke deal” known as JCPOA
provided Tehran does a number of unspecified things. He repeats Trump’s
assertion that the US will not allow Iran to acquire nuclear weapons, but isn’t
seeking regime change either.
He repeats Trump’s claim that Iran is a de-stabilizing factor, but adds that
there should be no war on Iran. He approves Trump’s decision to order the
killing of Gen. Qassem Soleimani as “justice for his role”.
Biden also kicks the can down the road on Venezuela, branding President Nicolas
Maduro “a tyrant” and endorsing Juan Guaido as the legitimate leader of his
nation. So, what to do?
Again Biden suggests consulting allies.
Biden describes NATO as “most enduring alliance in history”, something that
reminds one of Richard Nixon’s quip in front of the Great Wall in China: “The
Great Wall is great!” However, Biden again offers no ideas to revitalize the
alliance.
He singles out Turkey, a NATO ally, for bitter attacks and says he would
withdraw US nuclear weapons from there. He says Turkey should “pay a heavy
price”, and promises to support President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s opponents,
presumably under Fethullah Gulen who forged close ties with the Obama
administration.
Biden’s catch-phrase “our allies” suffers from ambiguity.
He talks of a “return to great power competition” involving the US, China and
Russia, no mention of Europeans. He revives Dick Cheney’s concept of “a
coalition of the willing”, suggesting “a summit of democracies” but does not say
who would be invited. Right now half of the 193 members of the UN could be
regarded as democracies of various degrees of legitimacy.
Obama’s “leading from behind” method makes a comeback with Biden on many issues.
He talks of China’s imprisonment of 1.2 million Uighurs. But he finds no word
stronger than “unconscionable” to describe the crime. What to do? Biden’s
answer: “Consult with allies and the UN” but the US should not take the lead.
Biden wants to revive Obama’s Trans-Pacific-Partnership scheme and commits
himself to defending Japan, Indonesia, Australia, and South Korea, against
Chinese threats. But he forgets that China is also a threat to the Philippines
and Vietnam not to mention Taiwan with which the US has special defense
arrangements.
On North Korea, Biden ridicules Trump’s personal diplomacy and promises never to
meet Kim Jong-un while suggesting more negotiations with Pyongyang.
On the Israel-Palestine issue, Biden says he is “a proud Zionist” and supports a
two-state solution while insisting he would exert no financial pressure on
Israel to change its policies. He also endorses Trump’s decision to move the US
embassy to Jerusalem.
Like Trump, Biden wants to end the US military presence in Afghanistan and Iraq.
On Afghanistan he wants to pursue Trump’s quest for a deal with Taliban. And on
Iraq, he forgets that the withdrawal accord was made under President George W
Bush but delayed under Obama.
Biden disagrees with Trump on withdrawal from Syria, calling it a “betrayal.”
but forgets that Obama didn’t want any involvement.
Biden agrees with Trump on spending more on the military but says he wouldn’t
use force except “in defense of our vital interests”, a Bidenian palisade. The
only threat to vital interest he cites is “disruption in the flow of oil” but
then he threatens moves that could wreck US relations with some of its
oil-exporting allies. The “war on terror” will continue with drones and air
strikes as during Obama’s presidency.
The Obama-Trump cocktail offered by Biden could keep the US on an uncertain
trajectory for four more years. There is one thing that Biden may be able to do:
rebuild the bureaucratic underpinnings of US foreign policy that is badly shaken
by the Trumpian wrecking ball.
It’s Not Just Anti-Vaxxers Who Worry About Vaccines
Therese Raphael/Bloomberg/July, 31/2020
With any luck, one of the handful of promising Covid-19 vaccines currently going
through human trials will meet with regulatory approval, maybe even in time for
winter. One thing worrying public health officials, though, is what happens if a
significant number of people don’t want to be vaccinated.
Vaccines are responsible for saving millions of lives every year, and yet there
has always been a small but hardcore contingent of anti-vaxxers that rejects the
science or buys into conspiracy theories about immunizations. Unfortunately,
their ranks are growing during the current crisis. National health authorities,
along with the World Health Organization, are engaged in a furious game of
whack-a-mole as they try to knock down the conspiracy theories and correct
misinformation.
Countering the anti-vaxxers is important work, but it’s only part of the
picture. The bigger danger is a broader vaccine hesitancy: What if rational
people who get their flu shots and vaccinate their children, and who are eager
to be part of the solution to this pandemic, have worries that public health
authorities and governments don’t address?
The World Health Organization lists vaccine hesitancy as one of its top 10
global health threats. One in six UK respondents to a June YouGov survey said
they definitely or probably would not get vaccinated. A CNN poll in May showed a
third of Americans would not try to get a vaccine if it existed. Like everything
else in the US, opinion on a vaccine varies along party lines, with 81% of
Democrats and only 51% of Republicans keen to get vaccinated.
Some of the skepticism reflects a mistrust of Big Pharma, some of it a mistrust
of government. Some of it is simply because it’s been a long time since we lived
in fear of the many diseases that vaccines now protect against.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, the US’s top infectious disease expert, has said that a
vaccine that is 70% to 75% effective but taken by only two-thirds of the public
would not create the herd immunity necessary for economies to get back up and
running. So governments have a lot riding on not only securing an immunization
program but on making sure people take part.
However, if a vaccine overpromises, if the risks are not clearly explained or if
there are problems with delivery, it could further undermine trust in
authorities, institutions and even experts, with far-reaching consequences for
public health and the economy. It’s hard to imagine another time when there was
so much riding not just on the science, but on how it’s communicated.
One hurdle for health-care authorities is convincing people that a vaccine
produced at lightning speed is no less safe than one that would normally take
more than a decade to develop. They will have to be clear about where the
uncertainty lies. For example, it’s impossible to know from even large clinical
trials how vaccines will affect people with a range of different conditions; if
vaccines will have adverse long-term effects; or what the impact of repeat doses
might be if, as many expect, booster shots are required.
Most advanced countries have developed systems for reporting adverse
consequences of vaccines and medications precisely because there is uncertainty
in their effects across different populations and over time. The US has the
Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System or VAERS; the UK has the yellow card
scheme. While established vaccines have been linked to some rare cases of
serious illness, researchers have not found a link between established vaccines
and adverse impacts in most cases. This hasn’t stopped incorrect information
from spreading. Confused and irresponsible messaging hasn’t been helpful either.
“The fact that it’s being crunched into such a short period has been a cause for
concern,” says Oksana Pyzik, a senior teaching fellow at the University College
London School of Pharmacy. “We can’t really afford to cut corners in this
process, specifically because there is so much momentum behind an anti-science
movement.”
There are other concerns, apart from efficacy and safety, that governments will
have to monitor, notes Pyzik. One is the risk of fakes. The WHO says one in 10
medical products circulating in low- and middle-income countries is falsified or
does not meet standards. Falsified medicines lead to poisoning, untreated
disease and other hazards. And Covid-related fraud, from masks to medicine, is
booming, the United Nations has found. Vaccines will be a target, too. Officials
have already discovered a fake Israeli coronavirus vaccine being sold in South
America.
Any doubts over the quality of a vaccine, which can also be affected by
inadequate storage or transport, will impact trust. And that trust was being
sorely tested even before the pandemic. In the US, a near epidemic of
overprescribing, especially of opioids, has increased skepticism of both doctors
and drug companies. Black and minority communities hit hardest by Covid-19 might
have the most reason to line up for vaccines, but vaccination rates are lower
among minority groups because of lower levels of trust from historical abuses.
None of this is to suggest that vaccinating isn't the right choice for society
and individuals. Researchers and pharmaceutical companies are moving at a
breakneck pace in this outbreak for very understandable reasons. The recent
surge of cases in Europe and elsewhere underscores the imperative of finding a
way past this pandemic.“It’s understandable that people are more concerned about
new vaccines, but all prospective Covid-19 vaccines are undergoing extensive
testing to ensure they are effective and safe,” writes Dr. Mary Ramsay, the head
of immunization at Public Health England, via email.
If people are to have confidence in regulators’ declarations that a vaccine is
“safe and effective,” much will depend on governments acknowledging their
concerns and being transparent about both the benefits and the unknowns.
Pretending science doesn’t contain uncertainty serves neither the scientists nor
public health.
The US Can Control Covid Without a Second Lockdown
Faye Flam/Bloomberg/July, 31/2020
Rising Covid-19 case counts across the US have made a second lockdown seem
almost inevitable. It is likely to be months before a vaccine could end the
coronavirus pandemic, and the US is also months away from using the
testing-and-tracing strategy other countries have used to keep new outbreaks
from expanding. But Americans can’t be expected to stay in their homes for
months on end. The rational, fair, humane way forward is for society to balance
pandemic safety against other vital needs — the need to make a living, the need
for education and the need for social interaction.
People who want to break out of solitary confinement are not necessarily
ignoring “the science.” They are balancing what scientists have found with other
factors, just as people who use air conditioning in 100-degree weather aren’t
necessarily global warming deniers. You can take global warming seriously
without making every possible sacrifice. To combat the coronavirus crisis,
public health officials have urged extreme measures — doing everything we can to
prevent further spread of the pandemic. What they should be telling us is how to
reduce our odds of getting the disease in a way that can be sustained
economically and socially, while keeping the curve flattened and hospital beds
available.
Risk communication consultant Peter Sandman says he thinks our current “do
everything you can do avoid infection” policy in public health is driven by the
urge to make up for past mistakes on the part of politicians and experts in
public health. In January and February, they reassured people the risk was low
even as the disease spread quickly in China and there was every reason to think
it would go elsewhere.
Then the public health community panicked, he says. He’s worked on a number of
pandemic preparedness plans and read others, and none of them mentioned telling
everyone to stay home for the foreseeable future.
There was a good rationale to ask New Yorkers to stay home earlier this year.
Flattening the curve in New York City meant preventing too many people from
getting seriously ill at once and overwhelming hospitals. But the reason for the
lockdowns that look place in most other states was never clearly communicated.
Business closures and stay-at-home orders would have been justifiable in less
hard-hit states, if they were used to buy time to better cope with outbreaks —
ramping up testing and contact tracing and preparing hospitals with supplies and
protective equipment. That failed spectacularly, especially in Florida, Arizona,
Texas and California.
People there made enormous sacrifices and got very little in return, since
almost nothing was done to make the situation any safer coming out of the
shutdowns than going into them. Now, Sandman says, people are drained of their
economic and emotional reserves.
Public health officials — and society more broadly — have to come to terms with
the fact that we’re not in this together. It’s easy for some people to stay
home. Some people are living comfortably on savings or do-at-home jobs,
surrounded by family. Some are more motivated to stay home, since they have
health conditions that put them at a much higher risk of dying if they contract
Covid-19.
Others need to leave the house to work. Especially for younger, healthier people
who are at very low risk of dying or developing long-term complications, it
might be reasonable to accept some risk in exchange for the chance to make a
living, see beloved friends, find a life partner, or give their kids the
educations they need to succeed. These are not trivial things.
Now it’s time to make the best of a bad situation and finally start creating
well-communicated long-term policies that allow some degree of balance. Harvard
epidemiologist William Hanage said he doesn’t like the use of the word
“reopening.” Better, he says, to think about keeping infections at a manageable
level by limiting activities that are known to be high risk. And risks of
different activities vary by place and time, so mayors, governors and other
local leaders need to keep people as informed as possible about local
conditions. What matters is the approximate number of active, infectious cases
in a region — not the cumulative cases, since many have recovered, or the rate
of change, when the base number of cases might be very low.
There’s lots of data out there, but the useful kind is hard to come by. Or as
Hanage puts it, “We have been ill-served, as most communication has been
astonishingly poor and astonishingly misleading … there’s a great deal of
infuriating nonsense.”
Current transmission rates can be estimated by various techniques including
testing a random sample of people or measuring the level of virus in local
sewage. This is critical to know because the hazard of opening gyms or bars will
be much higher in an area of current outbreak than one with almost no cases.
It’s also time to stop blaming each other — which is tearing us apart. As
Sandman pointed it, “all health public health failures are policy failures.” If
people don’t follow a policy, it’s because it’s the wrong policy or was badly
communicated. This is what policy makers are supposed to think through.
A few brave souls in the public health community, trying to help people find a
level of much-needed balance, have come forward to say that some activities are
relatively low risk. Being around other people outdoors is safer than indoors,
and short exposures are safer than long ones. If everyone wears a mask, getting
a haircut is okay. Getting exercise outdoors is reasonable. Outdoor restaurant
tables are safer than indoor ones. That way, people can be armed with enough
information to be good citizens during the pandemic, while still leading lives
worth living.
The US wants to stop Iran's arms build-up by hook or by crook
Con Coughlin/The National/July 31/2020
Washington may even exploit a legal loophole to try and extend a UN embargo
against Tehran.
The prospect of Iran being able to buy weapons on the open market has prompted
the Trump administration to launch a diplomatic offensive aimed at pressuring
the United Nations to extend its arms embargo against Tehran when it comes up
for renewal later this year.
The embargo was implemented under UN Security Council resolution 2231, passed in
2015 in support of the controversial nuclear deal negotiated under the aegis of
former US president Barack Obama.
The embargo is due to expire on October 18, but attempts by Washington to
persuade the UN to agree to an extension have foundered in the face of strong
opposition from China and Russia, which have the power to veto any extension.
Both Beijing and Moscow have lent their support to Tehran during the latter's
recent upsurge in tensions with Washington following US President Donald Trump’s
unilateral decision to withdraw from the nuclear deal in 2018. The Russians and
Chinese argue that the American withdrawal from the agreement means that Iran
should no longer be subjected to an arms embargo when the terms of the
resolution expire in the autumn.
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has already indicated that his regime intends
to take full advantage of any relaxation in the terms of the arms embargo to
rebuild his country’s depleted weapons arsenal. State-run Iranian television
reported at the end of last year that Mr Rouhani had commented: “When the
embargo is lifted next year, we can easily buy and sell weapons. This is one of
those important impacts of this [nuclear] agreement.”
Washington has expressed particular concern that ending the arms embargo will
enable Iran to buy sophisticated weaponry from Russia and China. Tehran is
currently in the process of negotiating a wide-ranging trade deal with Beijing
said to be worth around $400 billion over a 25-year period. Under the terms of
the agreement, Tehran and Beijing are said to be working on a project to develop
a military base in the Indian Ocean that will enable them to challenge America’s
long-standing military dominance in the region.
The agreement, which a senior aide to Mr Rouhani says should be signed by next
March, encompasses closer military co-operation between the two countries,
including weapons development, combined training and intelligence sharing.
Washington has expressed concern that this will allow China and Iran to monitor
more closely the activities of the US Fifth Fleet in the Gulf, as well as the
joint US-UK military base on the Indian Ocean island of Diego Garcia.
Despite the arms embargo, Iran has continued work on developing its military
strength, in particular by upgrading the numerous ballistic missile systems that
have been linked with its nuclear programme.
The growing sophistication of Iran’s missile capabilities was demonstrated
earlier this week when the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps launched
underground ballistic missiles at a mock-up American aircraft carrier that had
been deployed in the Strait of Hormuz. The missiles, appeared to have been
launched from Iran’s desert plateau, suggest that the regime has developed a
network of subterranean bases that can be used to threaten the US and its allies
in the Gulf. Commenting on the exercise, Gen Amir Hajizadeh, the commander of
the IRGC's aerospace division, told state TV: “We have carried out the launch of
the ballistic missiles from the depths of the earth for the first time.”
Moreover, the prospect of Iran having the freedom to rebuild its weapons arsenal
comes at a time when there has been an upsurge in provocative activity by Tehran
in the Middle East. Iran has been accused of increasing tensions with Israel
after a team of Hezbollah fighters in Lebanon were reported to have attempted an
attack on Israeli positions in their country's north earlier this month.
In an attempt to curb Iran’s military ambitions, which believes constitute a
direct threat to the security of the Gulf region, Washington has launched a
diplomatic offensive aimed at putting pressure on the UN to extend the arms
embargo.
In a recent address to the Security Council, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo
delivered a blunt warning, arguing that the council was faced with a stark
choice. It could “stand for international peace and security, as the United
Nations’ founders intended, or let the arms embargo on the Islamic Republic of
Iran expire, betraying the UN’s mission and its finest deals, which we have all
pledged to uphold".
Mr Pompeo explicitly warned that a failure to renew the embargo would enable
Iran to buy sophisticated weaponry from Russia, such as warplanes “that can
strike up to a 3,000-kilometre radius”.
Tehran would also be able to upgrade and expand its fleet of submarines, thereby
enabling it to threaten international shipping and freedom of navigation in the
Gulf, Strait of Hormuz and the Arabian Sea. Allowing Iran access to new arms
supplies would also enable it to continue supplying weapons to proxies, such as
Hezbollah and Hamas, as well as maintain its support for the Assad regime in
Syria.
Given that China and Russia are unlikely to alter their position on ending the
arms embargo when the issue comes before the Security Council in October, the
Trump administration is looking at a range of options to maintain the embargo.
One option under consideration in Washington is for the US to point out that –
despite the Trump administration’s withdrawal from the deal – it remains a
participant in the nuclear agreement, and can therefore exercise a Security
Council provision to veto the embargo’s expiration.
Whether or not this dubious tactic succeeds, what is beyond doubt is that any
attempt by Iran to rebuild its weapons arsenal will, at the very least,
encounter stiff resistance from Washington.
*Con Coughlin is the Telegraph’s defence and foreign affairs editor
Question: "What does it mean that there is neither Jew nor
Greek in Galatians 3:28?"
GotQuestions.org/July 31/2020
Answer: “There is neither Jew nor Greek, there is neither slave nor free, there
is no male and female, for you are all one in Christ Jesus” (Galatians 3:28, ESV).
This translation, along with the NASB, KJV, and NKJV, uses the phrase “Jew nor
Greek.” The NIV translates it less literally as “Jew nor Gentile.” Either way,
this verse relates a wonderful message concerning the unity we have in Christ
In New Testament times, Greek culture was dominant in the Roman Empire of which
Israel was a part, so there was a basic distinction made between Jews and
Greeks. (Greeks could refer to those who lived according to the practices of
Greek culture, whether they were ethnically Greek or not. Today there are many
non-Jews who are not Greeks and who do not follow Greek culture, so the word
Gentile may give a better sense of what the passage is saying.) The Jews were
the people of God, and the Greeks/Gentiles were not.
In addition to Jew and Greek, Galatians 3:28 lists two other contrasting pairs:
male and female, and slave or free. When Paul says that “there is neither Jew or
Greek,” male or female, or slave and free, we know that he is not speaking
literally, for all of these types of people existed in Paul’s day as well as in
our day (modern gender-bending notwithstanding). Paul is not saying that the
differences do not exist but that, in Christ, they do not matter. Again, this is
not an absolute statement that the differences have been completely abolished,
as some interpret it, because the New Testament spends a good bit of time
telling how men and women should act in their unique roles as men or women and
of the proper behavior of slaves and masters, even Christian slaves and
Christian masters (see Ephesians 5:21—6:9 and Colossians 3:18—4:1, for example).
But within the context of the discussion of Galatians 3, these differences do
not matter. When these differences are taken outside the context of Galatians 3,
they might matter a great deal. Galatians 3:28 cannot be quoted in isolation to
“prove” that there are or should be no differences.
For example, if a family is attending an amusement park, they may encounter
different prices for different people: kids, teenagers, adults, teachers,
students, senior citizens, military veterans, etc. However, on Tuesday everyone
is admitted for the same low price. So, if the family approaches the ticket
window on a Tuesday, and Grandma says to the ticket agent, “Don’t forget, I am a
senior citizen,” the ticket agent might respond, “It doesn’t matter.” He is not
attempting to be rude or say that all of the life experience that Grandma has
accumulated is worthless. Nor is he saying that the aches and pains of age will
not affect her today. What he is saying is that, within the context of the issue
at hand—ticket prices—the fact that she is a senior citizen (or that Dad is a
veteran or that Junior is a college student) does not matter; that is, those
facts, as important as they may be in other contexts, simply do not affect the
ticket prices on Tuesday. The distinctions do not matter.
Galatians 3:26–29 gives the fuller context: “So in Christ Jesus you are all
children of God through faith, for all of you who were baptized into Christ have
clothed yourselves with Christ. There is neither Jew nor Gentile, neither slave
nor free, nor is there male and female, for you are all one in Christ Jesus. If
you belong to Christ, then you are Abraham’s seed, and heirs according to the
promise.”
The specific consideration is the identity of Abraham’s offspring, those who are
children of God and eligible to inherit the promises God made to Abraham. It
would be normal to think that Jews were Abraham’s descendants and thus the only
ones eligible to receive the promises God, but Paul says that, in Christ, Greeks
or Gentiles can also be Abraham’s children and heirs. It would be normal to
think of men as heirs, because in that culture women generally did not inherit
property. It would be normal to think that only free people could be heirs,
because slaves did not inherit—they were given as an inheritance. However, Paul
says that in Christ slaves, women, and Greeks can all be heirs to the promises
of God.
In Christ, it doesn’t matter about your ethnic identity, your gender, or your
station in life. If you are in Christ, you are one of God’s chosen people and
you stand to inherit all that God has promised. It is only through Christ that
anyone can inherit God’s kingdom (John 14:6). While there may still be ethnic,
gender, and social distinctions that carry weight in other contexts, those
distinctions do not affect one’s standing as a child of God by faith in Christ.